All axes · issue
Palestinian question
القضية الفلسطينيةPosition on Palestinian rights, statehood, and self-determination — strong support (positive) vs. opposition (negative).
Scoring rubric
How positions are calibrated on this axis. The conventions guide the scorer; anchored examples show how known MENA actors land at -10, -5, 0, +5, +10.
Score the actor on the Palestinian question. Positive: strongly pro-Palestinian, supports Palestinian statehood / right of return / anti-occupation framing. Negative: opposes Palestinian statehood, supports West Bank annexation, anti-Palestinian framing. Most MENA Arab parties cluster +5 to +9; Israeli parties span the negative half. The score should reflect the actor's POSITION not their feasibility-of-action.
- -10Annexationist, anti-Palestinian-statehoodOtzma Yehudit, Religious Zionism
- -7Opposes Palestinian statehoodLikud
- -3Equivocal, two-state but with conditionsYesh Atid, National Unity
- +0No clear stanceFew clear examples
- +5Supports Palestinian rights, pragmaticHadash, Egyptian SDP
- +8Strong pro-Palestinian positionMost Arab nationalist parties
- +10Maximalist pro-Palestinian, anti-ZionistPFLP, Houthis, FIS, PT Algeria
- Parties scored
- 80
- Mean
- +6.03
- Median
- +7.50
- Std dev
- 4.56
- Range
- -10.0 → 10.0
Ranking
All parties scored on this axis, sorted from most Pro-Palestinian rights to most Opposed.
- 1 Balad IL +10.0
- 2 Hamas PS +10.0
- 3 Mubadara PS +10.0
- 4 Palestinian Islamic Jihad PS +10.0
- 5 PFLP PS +10.0
- 6 DFLP PS +10.0
- 7 Palestinian People's Party PS +10.0
- 8 Ta'al IL +9.5
- 9 Ansar Allah (Houthis) YE +9.5
- 10 Hadash-Ta'al IL +9.5
- 11 Northern Islamic Movement IL +9.5
- 12 Tunisian Workers Party TN +9.0
- 13 Workers' Party DZ +9.0
- 14 People's Movement TN +9.0
- 15 Fatah PS +9.0
- 16 Islamic Salvation Front DZ +9.0
- 17 Movement of Society for Peace DZ +9.0
- 18 National Liberation Front DZ +9.0
- 19 National Rally for Reform and Development (Tewassoul) MR +9.0
- 20 Freedom and Justice Party EG +9.0
- 21 Islamic Action Front JO +9.0
- 22 Hezbollah LB +9.0
- 23 Jordanian Communist Party JO +9.0
- 24 Al-Wefaq National Islamic Society BH +9.0
- 25 Hadash IL +9.0
- 26 Tagammu Party EG +8.5
- 27 Ennahda TN +8.0
- 28 Sudanese Communist Party SD +8.0
- 29 Yemeni Congregation for Reform (Islah) YE +8.0
- 30 Ba'ath Party (Syria) SY +8.0
- 31 Justice and Construction Party LY +8.0
- 32 Justice and Development Party MA +8.0
- 33 Al-Menbar Islamic Society BH +8.0
- 34 Islamic Asalah Society BH +8.0
- 35 Sairoon Alliance IQ +8.0
- 36 Democratic National Rally DZ +8.0
- 37 Union of Forces of Progress MR +8.0
- 38 Socialist Union of Popular Forces MA +7.5
- 39 Yemeni Socialist Party YE +7.5
- 40 Nour Party EG +7.5
- 41 Ra'am (United Arab List) IL +7.5
- 42 Socialist Forces Front DZ +7.0
- 43 Syrian National Coalition SY +7.0
- 44 Democratic Unionist Party SD +7.0
- 45 El Insaf (Equity Party) MR +7.0
- 46 Istiqlal Party MA +7.0
- 47 National Umma Party SD +7.0
- 48 National Wisdom Movement IQ +7.0
- 49 State of Law Coalition IQ +7.0
- 50 General People's Congress YE +7.0
- 51 Egyptian Social Democratic Party EG +7.0
- 52 Progressive Socialist Party LB +7.0
- 53 Amal Movement LB +6.5
- 54 New Wafd Party EG +6.0
- 55 Hayat Tahrir al-Sham SY +6.0
- 56 Long Live Tunisia TN +6.0
- 57 Reform Party JO +6.0
- 58 Free Destourian Party TN +6.0
- 59 The Democrats IL +5.5
- 60 Authenticity and Modernity Party MA +5.5
- 61 National Forces Alliance LY +5.5
- 62 National Charter Party JO +5.5
- 63 Free Egyptians Party EG +5.0
- 64 National Rally of Independents MA +5.0
- 65 Israeli Labor Party IL +4.8
- 66 Southern Transitional Council YE +4.0
- 67 Mostaqbal Watan EG +4.0
- 68 Patriotic Union of Kurdistan IQ +4.0
- 69 Free Patriotic Movement LB +3.0
- 70 Kurdistan Democratic Party IQ +2.5
- 71 Yesh Atid IL +2.5
- 72 National Unity IL -1.5
- 73 Kataeb Party LB -1.5
- 74 Lebanese Forces LB -2.0
- 75 United Torah Judaism IL -4.0
- 76 Shas IL -5.0
- 77 Yisrael Beiteinu IL -7.0
- 78 Likud IL -8.0
- 79 Religious Zionism Party IL -9.5
- 80 Otzma Yehudit IL -10.0
Score distribution
Histogram of scores across all 80 parties. Mean +6.03, median +7.50, σ 4.56. Multi-modal distributions point to genuine cleavages on this axis; unimodal narrow ones to consensus.
Opposed Pro-Palestinian rights
By country
Mean score per country.
- Palestine 7 parties +9.86
- Algeria 6 parties +8.50
- Bahrain 3 parties +8.33
- Mauritania 3 parties +8.00
- Tunisia 5 parties +7.60
- Jordan 4 parties +7.38
- Sudan 3 parties +7.33
- Yemen 5 parties +7.20
- Syria 3 parties +7.00
- Libya 2 parties +6.75
- Egypt 7 parties +6.71
- Morocco 5 parties +6.60
- Iraq 5 parties +5.70
- Lebanon 6 parties +3.67
- Israel 16 parties +1.42
Cross-axis correlations
How parties' scores on this axis covary with their scores on each other axis. Pearson r runs from −1 (perfect inverse) to +1 (perfect identity); 0 means independent. Computed across all parties scored on both axes (n shown per row). Strong correlations expose which axes are really measuring the same cleavage in the data; near-zero values are the ones with the most additional explanatory power.
- Pan-Arab vs particularist strongly positively correlated +0.72 n=66
- Iran posture moderately positively correlated +0.69 n=17
- West alignment moderately inversely correlated -0.61 n=78
- Regional stance moderately inversely correlated -0.60 n=79
- Regime stance moderately inversely correlated -0.47 n=76
- Economic moderately inversely correlated -0.44 n=80
- Sectarian power-sharing weakly positively correlated +0.24 n=11
- Liberal democracy roughly independent +0.14 n=80
- Civil liberties roughly independent +0.14 n=79
- Social roughly independent +0.10 n=80
- State & religion roughly independent +0.09 n=80
- Gender equality roughly independent +0.04 n=20
- Centralism vs federalism roughly independent +0.02 n=76
- Press freedom roughly independent -0.02 n=19
- Traditionalism vs modernization roughly independent +0.01 n=76