All axes · issue
Liberal democracy
الديمقراطية الليبراليةCommitment to LIBERAL democracy — independent courts, free press, opposition and minority rights, limits on executive power. NOT mere electoral participation: a party that contests elections but works to weaken the judiciary, entrench ethnic or religious supremacy, or curb minority and dissident rights scores LOW (−). Strong commitment to liberal-democratic checks scores HIGH (+).
Scoring rubric
How positions are calibrated on this axis. The conventions guide the scorer; anchored examples show how known MENA actors land at -10, -5, 0, +5, +10.
Score the actor on its commitment to democratic norms in the abstract: free elections, peaceful transfer of power, rule of law, judicial independence, freedom of assembly. Distinct from regime-stance (which captures their view of the current regime specifically). An actor can be pro-democratic in principle and anti the current regime simultaneously. Score on the actor's most recent decade of behavior where it diverges from rhetoric.
- -10Anti-democratic, revolutionaryHouthis (behavioral), Ba'ath Syria (historical)
- -7Authoritarian, suppresses oppositionFLN Algeria (behavioral), Hamas (behavioral)
- -3Hybrid; elections held but constrainedMost MENA monarchic systems
- +0Mixed recordMany regional ruling parties
- +3Pro-democratic with constraintsHezbollah (declared), Likud (declared)
- +7Strong pro-democratic platformBalad, FFS Algeria
- +10Uncompromising democratic principleSome Israeli liberal-left, FFS
- Parties scored
- 77
- Mean
- +0.11
- Median
- +0.50
- Std dev
- 5.19
- Range
- -9.0 → 8.0
Ranking
All parties scored on this axis, sorted from most Strong commitment to most Weak/anti.
- 1 Mubadara PS +8.0
- 2 Yesh Atid IL +8.0
- 3 Socialist Forces Front DZ +7.0
- 4 Syrian National Coalition SY +7.0
- 5 Meretz IL +7.0
- 6 Hadash-Ta'al IL +7.0
- 7 Hadash IL +7.0
- 8 Egyptian Social Democratic Party EG +7.0
- 9 Union of Forces of Progress MR +6.5
- 10 Ta'al IL +6.0
- 11 Israeli Labor Party IL +6.0
- 12 National Unity IL +5.5
- 13 National Umma Party SD +5.5
- 14 National Forces Alliance LY +5.5
- 15 Al-Wefaq National Islamic Society BH +5.5
- 16 Socialist Union of Popular Forces MA +5.0
- 17 Sudanese Communist Party SD +5.0
- 18 Free Egyptians Party EG +5.0
- 19 Yemeni Socialist Party YE +5.0
- 20 Long Live Tunisia TN +5.0
- 21 Lebanese Forces LB +5.0
- 22 Palestinian People's Party PS +5.0
- 23 New Wafd Party EG +4.8
- 24 Ennahda TN +4.0
- 25 Tunisian Workers Party TN +4.0
- 26 Workers' Party DZ +4.0
- 27 Jordanian Communist Party JO +4.0
- 28 Democratic Unionist Party SD +3.5
- 29 Ra'am (United Arab List) IL +3.5
- 30 New Hope IL +3.0
- 31 Reform Party JO +3.0
- 32 Tagammu Party EG +3.0
- 33 Yisrael Beiteinu IL +2.5
- 34 National Rally for Reform and Development (Tewassoul) MR +2.5
- 35 Istiqlal Party MA +2.0
- 36 Islamic Action Front JO +2.0
- 37 DFLP PS +2.0
- 38 People's Movement TN +1.5
- 39 National Rally of Independents MA +0.5
- 40 National Charter Party JO +0.5
- 41 Authenticity and Modernity Party MA +0.0
- 42 National Wisdom Movement IQ +0.0
- 43 PFLP PS +0.0
- 44 Yemeni Congregation for Reform (Islah) YE -0.5
- 45 Movement of Society for Peace DZ -2.0
- 46 Sairoon Alliance IQ -2.0
- 47 Free Patriotic Movement LB -2.5
- 48 Justice and Construction Party LY -2.5
- 49 Southern Transitional Council YE -3.0
- 50 El Insaf (Equity Party) MR -3.0
- 51 Al-Menbar Islamic Society BH -3.0
- 52 Patriotic Union of Kurdistan IQ -3.0
- 53 Shas IL -3.5
- 54 Kurdistan Democratic Party IQ -3.5
- 55 Likud IL -4.0
- 56 Northern Islamic Movement IL -4.0
- 57 Free Destourian Party TN -4.0
- 58 Amal Movement LB -4.5
- 59 Fatah PS -5.0
- 60 United Torah Judaism IL -5.0
- 61 Democratic National Rally DZ -5.0
- 62 National Liberation Front DZ -6.0
- 63 State of Law Coalition IQ -6.0
- 64 Nour Party EG -6.0
- 65 Islamic Asalah Society BH -6.0
- 66 General People's Congress YE -6.0
- 67 Hayat Tahrir al-Sham SY -7.0
- 68 Islamic Salvation Front DZ -7.0
- 69 Hamas PS -7.0
- 70 Mostaqbal Watan EG -7.0
- 71 Religious Zionism Party IL -7.5
- 72 Hezbollah LB -7.5
- 73 Noam IL -8.0
- 74 Otzma Yehudit IL -8.0
- 75 Palestinian Islamic Jihad PS -8.5
- 76 Ansar Allah (Houthis) YE -9.0
- 77 Ba'ath Party (Syria) SY -9.0
Score distribution
Histogram of scores across all 77 parties. Mean +0.11, median +0.50, σ 5.19. Multi-modal distributions point to genuine cleavages on this axis; unimodal narrow ones to consensus.
Weak/anti Strong commitment
By country
Mean score per country.
- Sudan 3 parties +4.67
- Jordan 4 parties +2.38
- Tunisia 5 parties +2.10
- Mauritania 3 parties +2.00
- Morocco 4 parties +1.88
- Libya 2 parties +1.50
- Egypt 6 parties +1.13
- Israel 17 parties +0.91
- Palestine 7 parties -0.79
- Bahrain 3 parties -1.17
- Algeria 6 parties -1.50
- Lebanon 4 parties -2.38
- Yemen 5 parties -2.70
- Iraq 5 parties -2.90
- Syria 3 parties -3.00
Cross-axis correlations
How parties' scores on this axis covary with their scores on each other axis. Pearson r runs from −1 (perfect inverse) to +1 (perfect identity); 0 means independent. Computed across all parties scored on both axes (n shown per row). Strong correlations expose which axes are really measuring the same cleavage in the data; near-zero values are the ones with the most additional explanatory power.
- Press freedom strongly positively correlated +0.98 n=18
- Civil liberties strongly positively correlated +0.98 n=75
- Gender equality strongly positively correlated +0.83 n=19
- Social strongly positively correlated +0.76 n=77
- Traditionalism vs modernization moderately positively correlated +0.66 n=72
- State & religion moderately positively correlated +0.65 n=77
- Iran posture weakly inversely correlated -0.36 n=17
- Centralism vs federalism weakly positively correlated +0.34 n=72
- Regional stance weakly positively correlated +0.24 n=76
- Palestinian question roughly independent +0.20 n=77
- Regime stance roughly independent -0.19 n=72
- West alignment roughly independent +0.19 n=75
- Pan-Arab vs particularist roughly independent +0.18 n=61
- Economic roughly independent -0.04 n=77
- Sectarian power-sharing roughly independent +0.01 n=9