Tayyar.

All axes · issue

Regime stance

الموقف من النظام

Stance toward the state's foundational constitutional order — for Israel the Zionist-democratic state; for republics and monarchies the existing political order. Pro-regime (+) accepts and defends that order; anti-regime (−) rejects or seeks to overturn it. This measures stance toward the FOUNDATIONAL ORDER, not the incumbent government: an opposition party loyal to the constitutional order still scores positive.

Scoring rubric

How positions are calibrated on this axis. The conventions guide the scorer; anchored examples show how known MENA actors land at -10, -5, 0, +5, +10.

Anchor on the foundational order, not the sitting cabinet. +8..+10 founds/defends the order (e.g. Likud, Labor, most Zionist parties in Israel; loyalist parties under an Arab republic). −8..−10 rejects the order's legitimacy (anti-Zionist parties; revolutionary or separatist movements). Mid-range: pragmatic participation without ideological endorsement (e.g. non-Zionist Haredi or Arab parties working within the system), or parties that defend the state's existence while seeking to overturn its democratic character (score reflects partial acceptance).

  • -10
    Banned, openly revolutionary
    FIS Algeria, Northern Islamic Movement, FJP Egypt
  • -7
    Active opposition pushing systemic change
    Ennahda Tunisia, Sairoon Iraq (withdrew)
  • -3
    Critical opposition
    FFS Algeria, Sudanese Communist Party
  • +0
    Ambivalent or structural opposition
    GPC Yemen, Mubadara Palestine
  • +3
    Aligned-leaning opposition
    Some coalition-supporting opposition
  • +7
    Ruling coalition partner
    State of Law Iraq, RNI Morocco
  • +10
    Ruling party / establishment
    FLN Algeria, Likud, Mostaqbal Watan, HTS
Parties scored
78
Mean
+2.11
Median
+4.50
Std dev
6.14
Range
-9.0 → 10.0

Ranking

All parties scored on this axis, sorted from most pro-regime to most anti-regime.

anti-regime ← → pro-regime

-10-5+0+5+10
  1. 1 Ba'ath Party (Syria) SY
    +10.0
  2. 2 Mostaqbal Watan EG
    +9.5
  3. 3 New Hope IL
    +9.0
  4. 4 El Insaf (Equity Party) MR
    +9.0
  5. 5 Authenticity and Modernity Party MA
    +9.0
  6. 6 Likud IL
    +9.0
  7. 7 National Liberation Front DZ
    +9.0
  8. 8 National Rally of Independents MA
    +9.0
  9. 9 Democratic National Rally DZ
    +9.0
  10. 10 National Unity IL
    +8.5
  11. 11 National Charter Party JO
    +8.5
  12. 12 Yesh Atid IL
    +8.5
  13. 13 Yisrael Beiteinu IL
    +8.0
  14. 14 The Democrats IL
    +8.0
  15. 15 Fatah PS
    +8.0
  16. 16 Israeli Labor Party IL
    +8.0
  17. 17 State of Law Coalition IQ
    +8.0
  18. 18 Islamic Asalah Society BH
    +8.0
  19. 19 Religious Zionism Party IL
    +7.5
  20. 20 Otzma Yehudit IL
    +7.5
  21. 21 Al-Menbar Islamic Society BH
    +7.5
  22. 22 Istiqlal Party MA
    +7.0
  23. 23 Justice and Development Party MA
    +7.0
  24. 24 Patriotic Union of Kurdistan IQ
    +7.0
  25. 25 Free Egyptians Party EG
    +6.5
  26. 26 Shas IL
    +6.0
  27. 27 Noam IL
    +6.0
  28. 28 Amal Movement LB
    +6.0
  29. 29 National Wisdom Movement IQ
    +6.0
  30. 30 Lebanese Forces LB
    +6.0
  31. 31 Free Patriotic Movement LB
    +5.5
  32. 32 Kurdistan Democratic Party IQ
    +5.5
  33. 33 United Torah Judaism IL
    +5.5
  34. 34 Socialist Union of Popular Forces MA
    +5.0
  35. 35 Kataeb Party LB
    +5.0
  36. 36 Nour Party EG
    +5.0
  37. 37 Progressive Socialist Party LB
    +5.0
  38. 38 New Wafd Party EG
    +4.5
  39. 39 National Forces Alliance LY
    +4.5
  40. 40 General People's Congress YE
    +4.5
  41. 41 Yemeni Congregation for Reform (Islah) YE
    +4.0
  42. 42 Reform Party JO
    +3.5
  43. 43 Movement of Society for Peace DZ
    +3.0
  44. 44 Sairoon Alliance IQ
    +3.0
  45. 45 Justice and Construction Party LY
    +2.5
  46. 46 National Umma Party SD
    +2.5
  47. 47 National Rally for Reform and Development (Tewassoul) MR
    +2.0
  48. 48 Hezbollah LB
    +2.0
  49. 49 Union of Forces of Progress MR
    +2.0
  50. 50 Democratic Unionist Party SD
    +1.5
  51. 51 Tagammu Party EG
    +1.5
  52. 52 Yemeni Socialist Party YE
    +1.0
  53. 53 Free Destourian Party TN
    +0.0
  54. 54 Hayat Tahrir al-Sham SY
    -1.0
  55. 55 Egyptian Social Democratic Party EG
    -1.0
  56. 56 Long Live Tunisia TN
    -2.0
  57. 57 Ra'am (United Arab List) IL
    -2.0
  58. 58 Islamic Action Front JO
    -2.5
  59. 59 People's Movement TN
    -4.0
  60. 60 Jordanian Communist Party JO
    -4.0
  61. 61 Ennahda TN
    -4.5
  62. 62 Socialist Forces Front DZ
    -5.0
  63. 63 Ta'al IL
    -6.0
  64. 64 Workers' Party DZ
    -6.5
  65. 65 Sudanese Communist Party SD
    -7.0
  66. 66 Al-Wefaq National Islamic Society BH
    -7.0
  67. 67 PFLP PS
    -7.0
  68. 68 Hadash IL
    -7.0
  69. 69 Southern Transitional Council YE
    -7.5
  70. 70 Hamas PS
    -7.5
  71. 71 Tunisian Workers Party TN
    -8.0
  72. 72 Balad IL
    -8.0
  73. 73 Freedom and Justice Party EG
    -8.0
  74. 74 Ansar Allah (Houthis) YE
    -8.5
  75. 75 Syrian National Coalition SY
    -9.0
  76. 76 Islamic Salvation Front DZ
    -9.0
  77. 77 Northern Islamic Movement IL
    -9.0
  78. 78 Palestinian Islamic Jihad PS
    -9.0

Score distribution

Histogram of scores across all 78 parties. Mean +2.11, median +4.50, σ 6.14. Multi-modal distributions point to genuine cleavages on this axis; unimodal narrow ones to consensus.

-9: 4 parties -8: 4 parties -7: 6 parties 6 -6: 2 parties -5: 1 party -4: 3 parties -2: 3 parties -1: 2 parties +0: 1 party +1: 1 party +2: 5 parties 5 +3: 4 parties +4: 2 parties +5: 7 parties 7 +6: 8 parties 8 +7: 4 parties +8: 9 parties 9 +9: 10 parties 10 +10: 2 parties −10 0 +10

anti-regime pro-regime

By country

Mean score per country.

  • Morocco 5 parties
    +7.40
  • Iraq 5 parties
    +5.90
  • Lebanon 6 parties
    +4.92
  • Mauritania 3 parties
    +4.33
  • Israel 17 parties
    +3.50
  • Libya 2 parties
    +3.50
  • Bahrain 3 parties
    +2.83
  • Egypt 7 parties
    +2.57
  • Jordan 4 parties
    +1.38
  • Algeria 6 parties
    +0.08
  • Syria 3 parties
    +0.00
  • Sudan 3 parties
    -1.00
  • Yemen 5 parties
    -1.30
  • Tunisia 5 parties
    -3.70
  • Palestine 4 parties
    -3.88

Cross-axis correlations

How parties' scores on this axis covary with their scores on each other axis. Pearson r runs from −1 (perfect inverse) to +1 (perfect identity); 0 means independent. Computed across all parties scored on both axes (n shown per row). Strong correlations expose which axes are really measuring the same cleavage in the data; near-zero values are the ones with the most additional explanatory power.

Other axes

Pick any axis in the table above, or combine two on the compass.