All axes · issue
Pan-Arab vs particularist
القومية العربية مقابل الخصوصيةDegree to which the actor frames its politics around pan-Arab solidarity (the Nasserist, Baathist, and contemporary anti-normalization tradition) versus country- or community-specific particularism (sectarian, ethnic, monarchic, or nation-state-first frames). One of the major regional cleavages.
Scoring rubric
How positions are calibrated on this axis. The conventions guide the scorer; anchored examples show how known MENA actors land at -10, -5, 0, +5, +10.
Score the actor on the pan-Arab vs particularist axis. Positive: actively frames politics around pan-Arab solidarity (Nasserist, Baathist, anti-normalization tradition). Negative: country- or community-specific particularism (sectarian, ethnic, monarchic, nation-state-first frames). A score of 0 marks pragmatic parties without strong pan-Arab framing. Kurdish parties are the dataset's pan-Arab floor; Baathist parties the historical ceiling.
- -10Strongly particularist (ethnic/sectarian/nation-state)KDP, PUK, Otzma Yehudit, Religious Zionism, Likud
- -7Country-first or sectarianLebanese Forces, Yesh Atid, Shas
- -3Moderate particularismMost ruling Maghreb parties
- +0Pragmatic, neither tradition dominantHezbollah, Hamas
- +3Some pan-Arab framingIslah Yemen, Houthis (behavioral)
- +7Strong pan-Arab traditionFLN Algeria, Fatah, USFP Morocco
- +10Canonical Baathist / pan-ArabBaath Party Syria (historical)
- Parties scored
- 66
- Mean
- +0.84
- Median
- +2.00
- Std dev
- 4.20
- Range
- -9.0 → 9.8
Ranking
All parties scored on this axis, sorted from most pan-Arab to most particularist.
- 1 Ba'ath Party (Syria) SY +9.8
- 2 People's Movement TN +7.0
- 3 Balad IL +7.0
- 4 Tagammu Party EG +7.0
- 5 Northern Islamic Movement IL +6.0
- 6 Jordanian Communist Party JO +6.0
- 7 PFLP PS +6.0
- 8 Ta'al IL +5.5
- 9 Tunisian Workers Party TN +5.0
- 10 National Liberation Front DZ +5.0
- 11 Islamic Action Front JO +5.0
- 12 Socialist Union of Popular Forces MA +4.5
- 13 Movement of Society for Peace DZ +4.5
- 14 Hadash IL +4.5
- 15 Workers' Party DZ +4.0
- 16 Yemeni Socialist Party YE +4.0
- 17 Democratic Unionist Party SD +4.0
- 18 Istiqlal Party MA +4.0
- 19 Freedom and Justice Party EG +4.0
- 20 Progressive Socialist Party LB +4.0
- 21 Yemeni Congregation for Reform (Islah) YE +3.5
- 22 National Rally for Reform and Development (Tewassoul) MR +3.5
- 23 Islamic Salvation Front DZ +3.0
- 24 Justice and Construction Party LY +3.0
- 25 Hezbollah LB +3.0
- 26 Sudanese Communist Party SD +2.5
- 27 Democratic National Rally DZ +2.5
- 28 General People's Congress YE +2.5
- 29 New Wafd Party EG +2.0
- 30 Ennahda TN +2.0
- 31 Amal Movement LB +2.0
- 32 National Umma Party SD +2.0
- 33 Justice and Development Party MA +2.0
- 34 Union of Forces of Progress MR +2.0
- 35 Ra'am (United Arab List) IL +2.0
- 36 Reform Party JO +1.5
- 37 Al-Wefaq National Islamic Society BH +1.5
- 38 El Insaf (Equity Party) MR +1.0
- 39 Fatah PS +1.0
- 40 Egyptian Social Democratic Party EG +1.0
- 41 Sairoon Alliance IQ +0.0
- 42 Al-Menbar Islamic Society BH -0.5
- 43 Syrian National Coalition SY -1.0
- 44 Hamas PS -1.0
- 45 Ansar Allah (Houthis) YE -2.0
- 46 Nour Party EG -2.0
- 47 Islamic Asalah Society BH -2.0
- 48 National Charter Party JO -2.0
- 49 Palestinian Islamic Jihad PS -2.5
- 50 Socialist Forces Front DZ -3.0
- 51 Free Egyptians Party EG -3.0
- 52 Long Live Tunisia TN -3.0
- 53 National Forces Alliance LY -3.0
- 54 National Wisdom Movement IQ -3.0
- 55 Free Destourian Party TN -3.0
- 56 Mostaqbal Watan EG -3.5
- 57 Free Patriotic Movement LB -3.8
- 58 Authenticity and Modernity Party MA -4.0
- 59 State of Law Coalition IQ -4.0
- 60 Hayat Tahrir al-Sham SY -4.5
- 61 National Rally of Independents MA -5.0
- 62 Southern Transitional Council YE -7.0
- 63 Kataeb Party LB -7.0
- 64 Lebanese Forces LB -7.0
- 65 Kurdistan Democratic Party IQ -9.0
- 66 Patriotic Union of Kurdistan IQ -9.0
Score distribution
Histogram of scores across all 66 parties. Mean +0.84, median +2.00, σ 4.20. Multi-modal distributions point to genuine cleavages on this axis; unimodal narrow ones to consensus.
particularist pan-Arab
By country
Mean score per country.
- Israel 5 parties +5.00
- Sudan 3 parties +2.83
- Algeria 6 parties +2.67
- Jordan 4 parties +2.63
- Mauritania 3 parties +2.17
- Tunisia 5 parties +1.60
- Syria 3 parties +1.42
- Palestine 4 parties +0.88
- Egypt 7 parties +0.79
- Morocco 5 parties +0.30
- Yemen 5 parties +0.20
- Libya 2 parties +0.00
- Bahrain 3 parties -0.33
- Lebanon 6 parties -1.46
- Iraq 5 parties -5.00
Cross-axis correlations
How parties' scores on this axis covary with their scores on each other axis. Pearson r runs from −1 (perfect inverse) to +1 (perfect identity); 0 means independent. Computed across all parties scored on both axes (n shown per row). Strong correlations expose which axes are really measuring the same cleavage in the data; near-zero values are the ones with the most additional explanatory power.
- Palestinian question strongly positively correlated +0.72 n=66
- Economic moderately inversely correlated -0.63 n=66
- Regional stance moderately inversely correlated -0.56 n=66
- West alignment moderately inversely correlated -0.56 n=66
- Iran posture moderately positively correlated +0.43 n=14
- Sectarian power-sharing weakly positively correlated +0.30 n=11
- Centralism vs federalism weakly inversely correlated -0.27 n=66
- Regime stance weakly inversely correlated -0.26 n=66
- Civil liberties roughly independent +0.19 n=66
- Liberal democracy roughly independent +0.16 n=66
- Social roughly independent +0.14 n=66
- Press freedom roughly independent +0.09 n=12
- State & religion roughly independent +0.05 n=66
- Traditionalism vs modernization roughly independent -0.05 n=66
- Gender equality roughly independent +0.03 n=13