Tayyar.

All axes · issue

West alignment

التوجه نحو الغرب

STRATEGIC and security alignment with Western (US/EU) blocs — military cooperation, diplomatic partnership, trade. This is geopolitical orientation, NOT cultural affinity for liberal Western values: a religious-nationalist party can be strongly pro-Western strategically (wants US arms and backing) while rejecting Western liberal social values. Score the strategic posture. Pro-Western (+), anti-Western or hostile-nonaligned (−).

Scoring rubric

How positions are calibrated on this axis. The conventions guide the scorer; anchored examples show how known MENA actors land at -10, -5, 0, +5, +10.

Score the actor on alignment with the Western (primarily US-and-EU-led) international order. Positive: explicitly pro-Western, treaty-aligned, normalization-supporting. Negative: anti-Western, aligned with non-Western powers (Russia, China, Iran), opposes US influence. Score on stated foreign policy and observed alignment behavior. The Palestinian question is on its own axis and should not dominate this score.

  • -10
    Active anti-Western, aligned with Iran/Russia
    Houthis, Hezbollah, PFLP
  • -7
    Anti-Western posture without full alignment
    State of Law Iraq, Hamas
  • -3
    Wary of West, prefers non-alignment
    FLN Algeria, Ennahda
  • +0
    Pragmatic, no strong alignment
    Most centrist parties
  • +3
    Pragmatically pro-West
    Many Maghreb ruling parties
  • +7
    Strongly pro-West, NATO-friendly
    Israeli right (Likud, Religious Zionism), Lebanese Forces
  • +10
    Treaty-bound, deep integration
    Some Gulf normalizers
Parties scored
81
Mean
+0.58
Median
+2.00
Std dev
5.62
Range
-10.0 → 8.5

Ranking

All parties scored on this axis, sorted from most Pro-Western to most Anti-Western.

Anti-Western ← → Pro-Western

-10-5+0+5+10
  1. 1 National Unity IL
    +8.5
  2. 2 Yesh Atid IL
    +8.5
  3. 3 New Hope IL
    +8.0
  4. 4 The Democrats IL
    +8.0
  5. 5 Israeli Labor Party IL
    +8.0
  6. 6 Kurdistan Democratic Party IQ
    +8.0
  7. 7 Likud IL
    +8.0
  8. 8 National Rally of Independents MA
    +8.0
  9. 9 Lebanese Forces LB
    +8.0
  10. 10 Yisrael Beiteinu IL
    +7.5
  11. 11 Authenticity and Modernity Party MA
    +7.5
  12. 12 Syrian National Coalition SY
    +7.0
  13. 13 Free Egyptians Party EG
    +7.0
  14. 14 Kataeb Party LB
    +7.0
  15. 15 National Charter Party JO
    +6.5
  16. 16 Religious Zionism Party IL
    +6.0
  17. 17 Southern Transitional Council YE
    +6.0
  18. 18 National Forces Alliance LY
    +6.0
  19. 19 Mostaqbal Watan EG
    +6.0
  20. 20 Shas IL
    +5.5
  21. 21 Fatah PS
    +5.5
  22. 22 New Wafd Party EG
    +5.0
  23. 23 El Insaf (Equity Party) MR
    +5.0
  24. 24 Istiqlal Party MA
    +5.0
  25. 25 Long Live Tunisia TN
    +5.0
  26. 26 Otzma Yehudit IL
    +5.0
  27. 27 United Torah Judaism IL
    +5.0
  28. 28 Free Destourian Party TN
    +5.0
  29. 29 Patriotic Union of Kurdistan IQ
    +5.0
  30. 30 Al-Menbar Islamic Society BH
    +4.5
  31. 31 Islamic Asalah Society BH
    +4.5
  32. 32 Egyptian Social Democratic Party EG
    +4.0
  33. 33 Reform Party JO
    +3.5
  34. 34 Socialist Union of Popular Forces MA
    +3.0
  35. 35 National Umma Party SD
    +2.5
  36. 36 General People's Congress YE
    +2.5
  37. 37 Socialist Forces Front DZ
    +2.0
  38. 38 Ennahda TN
    +2.0
  39. 39 Yemeni Congregation for Reform (Islah) YE
    +2.0
  40. 40 Democratic Unionist Party SD
    +2.0
  41. 41 Justice and Development Party MA
    +2.0
  42. 42 Progressive Socialist Party LB
    +2.0
  43. 43 Democratic National Rally DZ
    +1.5
  44. 44 Ra'am (United Arab List) IL
    +0.0
  45. 45 Hayat Tahrir al-Sham SY
    -0.5
  46. 46 Mubadara PS
    -0.5
  47. 47 Yemeni Socialist Party YE
    -1.0
  48. 48 Free Patriotic Movement LB
    -1.0
  49. 49 National Liberation Front DZ
    -1.0
  50. 50 Union of Forces of Progress MR
    -1.5
  51. 51 Justice and Construction Party LY
    -2.0
  52. 52 National Wisdom Movement IQ
    -2.0
  53. 53 Freedom and Justice Party EG
    -2.5
  54. 54 Noam IL
    -3.0
  55. 55 Movement of Society for Peace DZ
    -3.0
  56. 56 National Rally for Reform and Development (Tewassoul) MR
    -3.0
  57. 57 Nour Party EG
    -3.0
  58. 58 Ta'al IL
    -3.5
  59. 59 Amal Movement LB
    -4.5
  60. 60 Balad IL
    -4.5
  61. 61 People's Movement TN
    -5.0
  62. 62 Al-Wefaq National Islamic Society BH
    -5.0
  63. 63 State of Law Coalition IQ
    -5.0
  64. 64 Sairoon Alliance IQ
    -5.0
  65. 65 Hadash IL
    -5.0
  66. 66 Palestinian People's Party PS
    -5.0
  67. 67 Islamic Action Front JO
    -5.5
  68. 68 Tagammu Party EG
    -5.5
  69. 69 Sudanese Communist Party SD
    -6.0
  70. 70 Northern Islamic Movement IL
    -6.0
  71. 71 DFLP PS
    -6.5
  72. 72 Jordanian Communist Party JO
    -7.0
  73. 73 Tunisian Workers Party TN
    -8.0
  74. 74 Workers' Party DZ
    -8.0
  75. 75 Ba'ath Party (Syria) SY
    -8.0
  76. 76 Islamic Salvation Front DZ
    -8.0
  77. 77 Hamas PS
    -8.5
  78. 78 Hezbollah LB
    -9.0
  79. 79 PFLP PS
    -9.0
  80. 80 Ansar Allah (Houthis) YE
    -10.0
  81. 81 Palestinian Islamic Jihad PS
    -10.0

Score distribution

Histogram of scores across all 81 parties. Mean +0.58, median +2.00, σ 5.62. Multi-modal distributions point to genuine cleavages on this axis; unimodal narrow ones to consensus.

-10: 2 parties -9: 2 parties -8: 5 parties 5 -7: 1 party -6: 3 parties -5: 8 parties 8 -4: 2 parties -3: 5 parties 5 -2: 3 parties -1: 4 parties +0: 3 parties +2: 7 parties 7 +3: 3 parties +4: 2 parties +5: 10 parties 10 +6: 6 parties 6 +7: 4 parties +8: 9 parties 9 +9: 2 parties −10 0 +10

Anti-Western Pro-Western

By country

Mean score per country.

  • Morocco 5 parties
    +5.10
  • Israel 17 parties
    +3.29
  • Libya 2 parties
    +2.00
  • Egypt 7 parties
    +1.57
  • Bahrain 3 parties
    +1.33
  • Lebanon 6 parties
    +0.42
  • Iraq 5 parties
    +0.20
  • Mauritania 3 parties
    +0.17
  • Yemen 5 parties
    -0.10
  • Tunisia 5 parties
    -0.20
  • Sudan 3 parties
    -0.50
  • Syria 3 parties
    -0.50
  • Jordan 4 parties
    -0.63
  • Algeria 6 parties
    -2.75
  • Palestine 7 parties
    -4.86

Cross-axis correlations

How parties' scores on this axis covary with their scores on each other axis. Pearson r runs from −1 (perfect inverse) to +1 (perfect identity); 0 means independent. Computed across all parties scored on both axes (n shown per row). Strong correlations expose which axes are really measuring the same cleavage in the data; near-zero values are the ones with the most additional explanatory power.

Other axes

Pick any axis in the table above, or combine two on the compass.