All axes · issue

Iran posture

الموقف من إيران

Position toward the Islamic Republic of Iran as a regional actor: alliance, hostility, or neutrality. Independent from West alignment — a party can be anti-Western AND anti-Iran (most Sunni Salafi groups), or pro-Western AND anti-Iran (Saudi, UAE, post-1979 Israel), or anti-Western AND pro-Iran (Hezbollah, Houthis, post-2003 Iraqi Shia parties).

Scoring rubric

How positions are calibrated on this axis. The conventions guide the scorer; anchored examples show how known MENA actors land at -10, -5, 0, +5, +10.

Score the explicit Iran position: military alignment with Iran or its proxies, diplomatic stance toward Tehran, position on the Iran nuclear file, framing in public rhetoric. Distinct from broader anti-imperialist or pan-Arab framings unless they explicitly include Iran.

  • -10
    Iran framed as existential threat; military preparation explicit.
  • -5
    Iran-adversarial; tactical diplomacy.
  • +0
    Tactical, transactional; varies by issue.
  • +5
    Strategic coordination with Iran on regional issues.
  • +10
    Direct alliance; military integration via IRGC structures.
Parties scored
19
Mean
-1.63
Median
-4.00
Std dev
7.67
Range
-10.0 → 10.0

Ranking

All parties scored on this axis, sorted from most Pro-Iran / aligned to most Anti-Iran / adversarial.

Anti-Iran / adversarial ← → Pro-Iran / aligned

-10-5+0+5+10
  1. 1 Hezbollah LB
    +10.0
  2. 2 Ansar Allah (Houthis) YE
    +9.0
  3. 3 Palestinian Islamic Jihad PS
    +9.0
  4. 4 Amal Movement LB
    +7.0
  5. 5 Hamas PS
    +7.0
  6. 6 State of Law Coalition IQ
    +7.0
  7. 7 PFLP PS
    +4.0
  8. 8 National Wisdom Movement IQ
    +3.0
  9. 9 Freedom and Justice Party EG
    -3.5
  10. 10 Sairoon Alliance IQ
    -4.0
  11. 11 New Hope IL
    -8.0
  12. 12 Israeli Labor Party IL
    -8.0
  13. 13 Nour Party EG
    -8.0
  14. 14 Kataeb Party LB
    -8.5
  15. 15 Noam IL
    -9.0
  16. 16 Hayat Tahrir al-Sham SY
    -9.0
  17. 17 Lebanese Forces LB
    -9.0
  18. 18 Likud IL
    -10.0
  19. 19 Otzma Yehudit IL
    -10.0

Score distribution

Histogram of scores across all 19 parties. Mean -1.63, median -4.00, σ 7.67. Multi-modal distributions point to genuine cleavages on this axis; unimodal narrow ones to consensus.

-10: 2 parties 2 -9: 3 parties 3 -8: 4 parties 4 -4: 1 party -3: 1 party +3: 1 party +4: 1 party +7: 3 parties 3 +9: 2 parties 2 +10: 1 party −10 0 +10

Anti-Iran / adversarial Pro-Iran / aligned

By country

Mean score per country.

  • Yemen 1 party
    +9.00
  • Palestine 3 parties
    +6.67
  • Iraq 3 parties
    +2.00
  • Lebanon 4 parties
    -0.13
  • Egypt 2 parties
    -5.75
  • Israel 5 parties
    -9.00
  • Syria 1 party
    -9.00

Cross-axis correlations

How parties' scores on this axis covary with their scores on each other axis. Pearson r runs from −1 (perfect inverse) to +1 (perfect identity); 0 means independent. Computed across all parties scored on both axes (n shown per row). Strong correlations expose which axes are really measuring the same cleavage in the data; near-zero values are the ones with the most additional explanatory power.