transparency · the panel in full

Rater panel

Every published position is the median of a rater panel (see methodology §5). This page shows the panel with nothing hidden: for each cell where two or more raters scored, where each rater landed on the −10…+10 scale, the synthesised median, and the reasoning behind each score. Contested cells — where raters diverge sharply — are surfaced first.

Single-rater cells (priors awaiting a second rater) are omitted here for clarity — they carry one score and appear on each entity's own page. The panel fills in country by country as the r2 round lands.

published median r2 panel rater r1 "before" (no definitions, excluded) priormodelre-coder

• Hayat Tahrir al-Sham SY Regime stance contested ↔ 19 pt -1.0
  • model Gemini -10.0 As an insurgent group, HTS is fully dedicated to overthrowing and replacing Syria's existing constitutional order.
  • model gemma -10.0 Exists specifically to overthrow the current Syrian constitutional order.
  • model qwen -10.0 Formed explicitly to overthrow the Assad regime and remains its most potent armed opponent.
  • model Grok -9.0 HTS directly overthrew the Ba'ath Assad regime in 2024 and rejects the legitimacy of the old constitutional political order.
  • model DeepSeek -9.0 Explicitly seeks to overthrow the Syrian Ba'athist republic and replace it with an Islamic state.
  • model Claude +7.0 Now the incumbent building and defending the new constitutional order it founded.
  • model Kimi +8.0 HTS overthrew the Assad regime and now constitutes the new governing authority, defending its own constitutional order through the March 2025 transitional framework.
  • model gpt +8.0 As the dominant new authority, it defends the emerging post-Assad governing order.
  • model minimax +8.0 As of 2026 HTS is the de facto ruling authority of Syria and is building a new foundational order
  • prior Author baseline +9.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
• Otzma Yehudit IL Regional stance contested ↔ 17 pt +3.0
  • prior Author baseline -8.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model gemma -5.0 Maximalist and generally hostile to regional compromises.
  • model Gemini -4.0 Rejects regional diplomatic compromises, prioritizing unilateral military power over normalization stability.
  • model Kimi -3.0 Hardline anti-Arab but not explicitly aligned with resistance axis; more focused on internal Jewish supremacy.
  • model minimax +2.0 Otzma Yehudit broadly supports normalization with anti-Iran Arab states but rejects any Palestinian accommodation; mild positive on regional stance.
  • model Claude +4.0 Maximalist on Palestinians but accepts Gulf normalization.
  • model Grok +4.0 Hawkish against resistance axis; supports normalization only if it strengthens Jewish control.
  • model gpt +5.0 It supports anti-Iran regional alignment but is skeptical of concessions tied to normalization.
  • model DeepSeek +6.0 Pro-normalization with Gulf states.
  • model qwen +9.0 Extreme hawkish posture against the resistance axis.

  before · r1 gemini -9.0grok -6.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Free Destourian Party TN Regime stance contested ↔ 16 pt +0.0
  • model Gemini -8.0 The PDL strongly opposes Kais Saied's regime for sidelining and persecuting its leadership.
  • model qwen -8.0 Vehemently opposes post-2011 order and especially Saied’s 2022 constitution; wants restoration of old regime ethos.
  • model Kimi -3.0 Proposes Third Republic with new constitution, rejecting both Saied's and 2014 orders.
  • model DeepSeek -2.0 It has been critical of the post-2011 order but operates within it; mildly anti-regime.
  • model Claude +0.0 Rejects both the post-2011 order and Saied's project, wanting a restored old Destourian state.
  • model Grok +1.0 PDL's stance has evolved from tactical support for Saied's anti-Islamist moves to opposition against unchecked presidential authoritarianism while remaining loyal to the republican state framework.
  • prior Author baseline +3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model minimax +7.0 Defended Ben Ali-era strong-republican order and aligned with Saied's restoration of executive authority.
  • model gemma +8.0 Strongly supports the current state order and leadership.
• Long Live Tunisia TN Regime stance contested ↔ 16 pt -2.0
  • model gemma -6.0 Rejects the current order and defends the post-2011 democratic framework.
  • model Grok -4.0 Originally a pillar of the post-revolutionary constitutional order, Tahya Tounes has become critical of Saied's suspension of democratic institutions and rule by decree.
  • model DeepSeek -4.0 Oppositional to post-2011 order but not seeking violent overthrow.
  • model Gemini -3.0 The party has been largely sidelined by Kais Saied's concentration of power and remains quietly critical.
  • prior Author baseline -2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model minimax +2.0 Originated as Chahed's pro-government party within the post-2011 order; now marginalized under Saied but still formally accepts republican constitutional framework.
  • model Kimi +3.0 Loyal to 2014 constitutional order, opposed to Saied's authoritarian constitutional changes.
  • model Claude +4.0 Loyal to the 2014 democratic constitutional order.
  • model qwen +10.0 Fully supports and embodies the current post-2022 constitutional order.
• Hayat Tahrir al-Sham SY West alignment contested ↔ 15 pt -0.5
  • model qwen -10.0 2× rounds Designated terrorist group, violently anti-Western.
  • model gemma -9.0 2× rounds Strongly anti-Western.
  • model DeepSeek -8.0 2× rounds Designated terrorist group by US/EU; hostile to Western powers and refuses diplomatic engagement.
  • model mistral -8.0 Hayat Tahrir al-Sham is strongly anti-Western.
  • model Gemini -6.0 2× rounds HTS remains ideologically anti-Western and is designated as a terrorist group, despite recent efforts to signal pragmatic non-hostility.
  • prior Author baseline -2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model gpt +1.0 It seeks Western engagement and sanctions relief but is not strategically pro-Western.
  • model minimax +3.0 2× rounds HTS is anti-Western
  • model Grok +4.0 2× rounds HTS leadership engages Western capitals for recognition and sanctions relief showing pragmatic pro-engagement strategic posture.
  • model Kimi +5.0 2× rounds HTS has strategically pivoted toward Western engagement, seeking sanctions relief, diplomatic normalization, and was removed from US and UN terror lists in 2025.
  • model Claude +5.0 2× rounds Former jihadists now seeking Western recognition and sanctions relief.
• Palestinian Islamic Jihad PS Pan-Arab vs particularist contested ↔ 15 pt -2.5
  • model Grok -6.0 PIJ operates within a distinctly Islamist framework that supersedes secular pan-Arab nationalist traditions.
  • model Gemini -5.0 Prioritizes pan-Islamic solidarity and Palestinian national jihad over secular pan-Arab political frameworks.
  • model Kimi -4.0 PIJ is an Islamist organization focused on Palestinian jihad; it has limited pan-Arab orientation and prioritizes Islamist and Palestinian particularist goals over Arab nationalism.
  • model DeepSeek -3.0 PIJ focuses on Islamic umma rather than pan-Arabism, but uses anti-normalization rhetoric.
  • model minimax -3.0 PIJ frames its politics in Islamist and Palestinian-nationalist terms
  • model qwen -2.0 Prioritizes pan-Islamism over secular pan-Arab nationalism.
  • model gemma +2.0 Frames struggle within a broader Islamic/Arab context but focuses on Palestinian goals.
  • model Claude +3.0 Frames the cause in pan-Islamic rather than strict nation-first terms.
  • model gpt +4.0 It uses Arab and Islamic resistance language, though its ideology is more Islamist than pan-Arab.
  • prior Author baseline +9.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
• Hezbollah LB Centralism vs federalism contested ↔ 15 pt -3.5
  • model qwen -9.0 Hezbollah strongly supports Lebanon’s sectarian consociational system as it entrenches Shia political power.
  • model Gemini -8.0 Hezbollah strictly rejects federalism or partition, viewing it as a threat to national unity and resistance.
  • model Grok -8.0 Strongly opposes federalism or decentralization that would create autonomous regions and potentially dilute its cross-Lebanon influence and demographic leverage in central decisions.
  • model Claude -5.0 Centralist; opposes federalism or partition that would fragment the state it dominates.
  • model gemma -4.0 Generally supports a unitary state
  • model DeepSeek -3.0 Prefers strong central state with Shia influence; opposes federalism.
  • model minimax -2.0 Hezbollah accepts the existing confessional system to defend Shia rights but ideologically prefers a strong central Islamic state model.
  • model gpt +2.0 Hezbollah accepts Lebanon’s power sharing system while rejecting partition or full federalism.
  • model Kimi +4.0 Hezbollah operates as a state-within-a-state in Shia areas and benefits from power-sharing arrangements; while not explicitly federalist, its de facto autonomy and sectarian base push it toward the federalist pole.
  • prior Author baseline +6.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
• Progressive Socialist Party LB Sectarian power-sharing contested ↔ 15 pt -3.0
  • model qwen -8.0 PSP is a sectarian party representing Druze interests within Lebanon’s confessional system.
  • model Kimi -5.0 PSP operates as a Druze sectarian party despite its historical rhetoric against confessionalism; it is widely perceived as serving Druze communal interests within the quota system, not pursuing a post-sectarian civic state.
  • model gemma -4.0 Rhetorically advocates for a civic state
  • model gpt -4.0 It speaks civic language but remains anchored in Druze communal leadership.
  • model minimax -2.0 PSP rhetorically supports abolishing confessionalism but in practice operates within Druze communal politics and the system.
  • model Grok +2.0 Longstanding advocate for civil state, civil marriage, and de-sectarianization; participates in consociational system but pushes to transcend it.
  • model Claude +7.0 ⛓ grounded 2× rounds Explicit call to abolish Lebanon's political-sectarian system as the cure for inter-communal conflict.
  • model Gemini +7.0 PSP's official platform strictly advocates for the total abolition of political sectarianism and quotas.
• Sudanese Communist Party SD Pan-Arab vs particularist contested ↔ 14 pt +2.5
  • model Grok -7.0 Sudanese-focused nationalist communism with internationalist outlook rather than pan-Arab particularism.
  • model qwen -4.0 Focuses on Sudanese particularism and class struggle rather than pan-Arab nationalist solidarity.
  • model DeepSeek -3.0 Internationalist rather than pan-Arab; skeptical of bourgeois Arab nationalism.
  • model Gemini +2.0 2× rounds The SCP rejects pan-Arabism in favor of a class-based internationalist and particularist Sudanese focus.
  • model Claude +2.0 Its anti-imperialist, anti-normalization line aligns loosely with the pan-Arab pole, though class internationalism, not Arabism, drives it.
  • prior Author baseline +3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +3.0 Maintains Arab solidarity within internationalist communist framework.
  • model gpt +3.0 It supports Arab anti-imperialist causes but is more socialist-internationalist than strictly pan-Arab nationalist.
  • model minimax +4.0 SCP frames its politics through class-based internationalism and pan-Arab anti-imperialism, with a strong Arab-cause dimension alongside broader leftist solidarity.
  • model gemma +7.0 Frames its struggle within a broader anti-imperialist Arab and African solidarity.
• Free Destourian Party TN Pan-Arab vs particularist contested ↔ 14 pt -3.0
  • model Gemini -8.0 The party is firmly Tunisian nationalist (Bourguibist) and rejects pan-Arab political ideologies.
  • model Grok -8.0 The party's Bourguibist roots emphasize Tunisian national identity and state-building over pan-Arab solidarity or regional ideological projects.
  • model Kimi -7.0 Explicitly Tunisian nationalist, rejecting pan-Arabism in favor of nation-state-first frame.
  • model Claude -4.0 Bourguibist Tunisia-first particularism rather than Arab nationalism.
  • prior Author baseline -3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model DeepSeek -3.0 Primarily Tunisian nationalist
  • model gemma +3.0 Balances Tunisian nationalism with a degree of Pan-Arab solidarity.
  • model qwen +5.0 Rooted in Nasserist/Baathist-inspired Arab nationalism, though focused primarily on Tunisia.
  • model minimax +6.0 Inherits Bourguibist/Nasserist pan-Arab nationalist tradition; rhetorically Arab-solidarist.
• Ba'ath Party (Syria) SY Sectarian power-sharing contested ↔ 14 pt -2.0
  • model DeepSeek -6.0 Officially secular
  • model gemma -6.0 Claims civic nationalism but relies on Alawite sectarian networks for power.
  • model gpt -6.0 Despite civic-secular rhetoric, its rule relied heavily on Alawite-linked security networks.
  • model Kimi -4.0 Officially post-sectarian and civic, but in practice the party became a vehicle for Alawite network dominance, blurring the line between civic and sectarian governance.
  • model minimax -2.0 Ba'ath ideology is officially civic and pan-Arab post-sectarian
  • model Grok +6.0 Ba'ath promoted secular Arab civic nationalism and unitary state opposing formal sectarian quotas or consociational arrangements.
  • model Claude +7.0 ⛓ grounded 2× rounds The Pan-Arab link "combats all denominational, sectarian, tribal, ethnic and regional fanaticism."
  • model Gemini +8.0 The party's official ideology strictly rejects sectarian quotas or confessional governance, advocating for a non-sectarian civic state.
  • model qwen +8.0 Officially champions a secular pan-Arab civic state and rejects formal sectarian power-sharing despite informal sectarian reliance.
• People's Movement TN Liberal democracy contested ↔ 13 pt +2.0
  • model Gemini -7.0 The party enthusiastically backed Kais Saied's suspension of parliament and rejection of liberal democratic checks.
  • model gemma -5.0 Prefers a populist executive over liberal-democratic constraints.
  • model Claude -4.0 Endorsed Saied's 2021 power grab, weak on liberal-democratic checks.
  • model Grok +1.0 While participating in elections and defending republican institutions, the party prioritizes substantive social and national sovereignty outcomes over procedural liberal checks and balances.
  • prior Author baseline +2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model DeepSeek +2.0 Generally supports democratic processes but with left-wing populist tendencies.
  • model minimax +2.0 Formally democratic but Nasserist/Ba'athist legacy gives weaker liberal-democratic commitments.
  • model Kimi +6.0 Democratic left party committed to liberal democratic institutions and checks.
  • model qwen +6.0 Part of democratic opposition coalition; supports pluralism and institutional checks.
• Al-Menbar Islamic Society BH Regional stance contested ↔ 13 pt +3.0
  • model DeepSeek -6.0 Opposes normalization with Israel and aligns with anti-normalization camp though not openly armed resistance.
  • model Gemini -5.0 Strongly opposes the Abraham Accords and normalization politics, though it rejects the Iranian axis.
  • model Claude -2.0 Anti-Iran Sunni and not resistance-aligned, but rhetorically opposed to Gulf-Israel normalization, leaving it slightly anti-normalization.
  • prior Author baseline +1.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model gpt +2.0 It is anti-normalization in rhetoric but aligned with Bahrain's pro-stability Sunni establishment rather than the Iran-led resistance axis.
  • model Kimi +4.0 Aligned with Gulf stability camp and Bahrain's pro-Western orientation, not resistance axis.
  • model minimax +5.0 Aligns with the pro-Gulf
  • model Grok +6.0 Aligns with the pro-regime stability and normalization camp through its loyalist positions, distancing from Iran-aligned resistance axes and supporting Bahrain's Abraham Accords-era foreign policy orientation.
  • model qwen +6.0 It supports the government's pro-status quo
  • model gemma +7.0 Aligns with the state's strategic tilt toward normalization and stability.
• Ennahda TN Regime stance contested ↔ 13 pt -4.5
  • model Gemini -7.0 2× rounds Ennahda strongly opposes the current regime of Kais Saied, which has jailed its leaders and banned its activities.
  • model gemma -7.0 2× rounds Strongly opposed to the current regime.
  • prior Author baseline -6.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok -6.0 2× rounds By 2026 Ennahda leaders are largely imprisoned or exiled and the party actively rejects Saied's presidential strongman regime and suspended democratic institutions.
  • model qwen -5.0 2× rounds Opposition to Saied's authoritarian turn.
  • model Kimi -4.0 2× rounds Opposes Kais Saied's constitutional order, supports pre-2021 democratic framework.
  • model mistral +2.0 Ennahda leans slightly pro-regime.
  • model Claude +4.0 2× rounds Now repressed opposition to Saied's consolidated rule.
  • model minimax +5.0 2× rounds Ennahda is in opposition after Saied's 2021 measures
  • model DeepSeek +6.0 2× rounds Ennahda participates within Tunisia’s post-2011 constitutional order and seeks reform
  • model gpt +6.0 Ennahda works within the Tunisian republican constitutional order rather than rejecting the state.
• Amal Movement LB Centralism vs federalism contested ↔ 13 pt -3.5
  • model qwen -8.0 Amal supports Lebanon's consociational system and sectarian power-sharing, opposing federalism or decentralization.
  • model Gemini -7.0 Amal strongly opposes federalism, advocating for a strong unified central state.
  • model Grok -7.0 Amal defends the unitary central state with sectarian power-sharing under Taif and opposes federal or strong decentralization proposals that could reduce its national influence.
  • model gemma -6.0 Favors a strong unitary state to protect Shia interests across Lebanon.
  • model DeepSeek -4.0 Favors Taif consociationalism but not federalism
  • model Claude -3.0 Defends the existing consociational order but is a centralist Lebanese-nationalist party, not a federalist one.
  • model Kimi +3.0 Amal accepts Lebanon's consociational system and sectarian quotas as the speaker's party, but does not actively push federalism beyond existing confessional power-sharing.
  • model gpt +3.0 Amal defends Lebanon’s confessional power sharing more than a fully unitary state.
  • model minimax +3.0 Amal supports confessional power-sharing within a unitary Lebanese state
  • prior Author baseline +5.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
• Union of Forces of Progress MR Centralism vs federalism contested ↔ 13 pt -2.5
  • model Grok -7.0 UFP promotes national cohesion and multiracial inclusion inside Mauritania's existing unitary centralized republican framework without federalist proposals.
  • model DeepSeek -6.0 UFP is a left-wing republican party that supports a unitary state without a federalist agenda.
  • model Claude -4.0 Centralist within the unitary state, though attentive to regional and communal grievances.
  • model minimax -3.0 The UFP has not championed federalism and operates within the centralist republican framework
  • model qwen -2.0 Supports a unitary state but advocates for decentralization and the protection of minority rights.
  • prior Author baseline +0.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +1.0 Union of Forces of Progress operates within unitary framework with limited emphasis on structural decentralization.
  • model Gemini +2.0 UFP favors a unitary state but strongly advocates for power-sharing, minority rights, and addressing ethnic grievances.
  • model gemma +3.0 More open to decentralization and regional equity than the state-aligned parties.
  • model gpt +6.0 2× rounds Kataeb favors strong decentralization and has flirted with federalist solutions.
• Kataeb Party LB Sectarian power-sharing contested ↔ 13 pt -4.0
  • model Gemini -7.0 Kataeb seeks to protect the sectarian power-sharing quota system to ensure Christian representation.
  • model gemma -7.0 Strongly supports the consociational quota system to preserve Christian power.
  • model Kimi -5.0 Kataeb operates as a Christian sectarian party but has advocated for abolishing the political confessional system; it is caught between its sectarian base and post-sectarian rhetoric, leaning consociational.
  • model gpt -5.0 It remains Christian communitarian despite civic reform language.
  • model Grok -4.0 Accepts sectarian quotas as necessary minority protection but criticizes their corruption and advocates reforms toward greater civic equality.
  • model minimax -4.0 Kataeb has historically defended Christian confessional rights but rhetorically supports civic reform and decentralization.
  • model Claude +3.0 ⛓ grounded 2× rounds A civic-state, sovereigntist reformism, though historically a Christian confessional party.
  • model DeepSeek +3.0 Wants to reduce but not abolish sectarian quotas; advocates for a secular civil state.
  • model qwen +6.0 Kataeb advocates for a civic, post-sectarian state and reducing confessional quotas.
• Nour Party EG Regional stance contested ↔ 12 pt -0.5
  • model minimax -5.0 Firmly anti-normalization; pro-Palestinian resistance stance.
  • model DeepSeek -4.0 Opposes normalization but anti-Iran; complex stance
  • model gemma -3.0 Ideologically anti-normalization
  • prior Author baseline -2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi -2.0 Anti-normalization with Israel and pro-Palestinian, but not fully aligned with Iran-led resistance axis due to Sunni-Shia divide.
  • model gpt +1.0 It is anti-normalization in sentiment but anti-Iran and regime-aligned in practice.
  • model Claude +2.0 Leans stability camp pragmatically despite anti-normalization rhetoric.
  • model Gemini +5.0 It aligns pragmatically with the state's foreign policy and the Gulf-led stability camp, despite its rhetorical hostility to Israel.
  • model Grok +5.0 Pragmatic alignment with Sisi stability and anti-MB regional policy rather than resistance axis despite strong Palestinian rhetoric.
  • model qwen +7.0 Aligned with the Saudi-UAE bloc against political Islam and regional instability.
• Free Egyptians Party EG Liberal democracy contested ↔ 12 pt +5.0
  • model Gemini -4.0 While officially endorsing democracy, its consistent alignment with executive overreach and regime entrenchment demonstrates a weak actual commitment.
  • model gpt -2.0 Its current posture is pro-establishment and weak on checks against executive power.
  • model minimax +2.0 Pro-democratic in rhetoric but pragmatically supports Sisi's strong executive; weak actual liberal-democratic push.
  • model Claude +3.0 Declares democratic values but aligns closely with the executive.
  • prior Author baseline +5.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model gemma +5.0 Supports a liberal democratic framework
  • model Kimi +6.0 Committed to liberal democratic order with independent courts and free press; part of Egyptian Bloc alliance.
  • model Grok +8.0 Commits to liberal democracy, rule of law, secular civil state, and institutional checks and balances.
  • model DeepSeek +8.0 Firmly committed to liberal democratic checks
  • model qwen +8.0 Committed to liberal democratic institutions.
• People's Movement TN Civil liberties contested ↔ 12 pt +2.0
  • model Gemini -6.0 The party supports the current regime's restrictive security measures and suppression of political rivals.
  • model gemma -4.0 Tends toward restrictive policies in the name of national stability.
  • model Claude -3.0 Backed Saied's concentration of power, implying tolerance for restriction.
  • model DeepSeek +0.0 Mixed record; supports rights but sometimes backs order-based restrictions.
  • prior Author baseline +2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok +2.0 The party advocates civil liberties for workers and popular movements while subordinating them to broader anti-imperialist and social goals, resulting in conditional rather than absolute support.
  • model minimax +2.0 Progressive positions but Ba'athist heritage brings ambivalence on internal pluralism.
  • model qwen +5.0 Positions itself as defender of freedoms against authoritarianism; participates in pro-democracy coalitions.
  • model Kimi +6.0 Progressive left party advocating expansion of civil liberties and freedoms.
• National Liberation Front DZ State & religion contested ↔ 12 pt +0.0
  • model Kimi -5.0 Arab-Islamic state identity; rejects strict secularism.
  • model Gemini -5.0 The FLN maintains Islam as the state religion and rejects secularism, using religious authority to legitimize the state.
  • model gemma -5.0 Supports Islam as the state religion and a source of national identity.
  • model qwen -3.0 Officially secular but recognizes Islam as state religion; resists clerical rule.
  • model Claude +0.0 Secular-nationalist heritage coexisting with Islam as constitutional state religion.
  • model Grok +2.0 Islam as state religion with state-appointed religious authorities and secular civil code dominating most law.
  • prior Author baseline +3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model DeepSeek +4.0 FLN defends secularism but with state control over mosques and Islamic reference.
  • model minimax +7.0 FLN codified Algeria as a secular republic and historically resisted Islamist insertion of religion into law.
• Egyptian Social Democratic Party EG Regime stance contested ↔ 12 pt -1.0
  • model Kimi -6.0 Explicitly opposes the Sisi regime; Zahran ran as opposition candidate and party stands in firm opposition to ruling regime.
  • model gemma -5.0 Acts as a critical opposition to the current political order.
  • model gpt -4.0 It accepts the republic but opposes the authoritarian post-2013 political order.
  • model qwen -4.0 Opposes the current authoritarian consolidation of the state.
  • model DeepSeek -2.0 Opposes some aspects of current regime's authoritarian drift but accepts Egypt's republican constitutional order.
  • prior Author baseline +0.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok +3.0 Participates legally in the republican order while pushing democratic reforms; does not seek to overturn foundational state structure.
  • model minimax +4.0 Participates in Sisi-era elections; accepts republican constitutional order while seeking reform.
  • model Claude +5.0 Loyal to the constitutional order, contesting from within the system.
  • model Gemini +6.0 It operates as a legal opposition party that respects the foundational constitutional order of the Egyptian state.
• National Rally for Reform and Development (Tewassoul) MR Regime stance contested ↔ 12 pt +2.0
  • model Kimi -6.0 Tewassoul is the main opposition party that fundamentally challenges the current political order and power structure.
  • model minimax -4.0 Tewassoul operates as an opposition party critical of the secular republican order and has had its members banned or detained
  • prior Author baseline -3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model DeepSeek +1.0 Tewassoul works within the constitutional order despite opposition to some policies but seeks to reshape the state toward Islamization.
  • model gpt +1.0 It is a legal opposition party seeking reform rather than overthrow of Mauritania’s constitutional order.
  • model Gemini +3.0 Tewassoul accepts and operates within the legal framework of the Islamic Republic, seeking reform rather than overturning the system.
  • model gemma +3.0 Operates as legal opposition within the existing state framework.
  • model Claude +4.0 Loyal opposition operating legally within the constitutional order.
  • model Grok +6.0 Legal registered opposition that contests elections and accepts the multiparty Islamic Republic constitutional order rather than seeking its overthrow.
  • model qwen +6.0 Has frequently joined ruling coalitions and supported the incumbent government in exchange for political influence.
• Progressive Socialist Party LB Centralism vs federalism contested ↔ 12 pt -1.0
  • model qwen -7.0 PSP supports Lebanon’s consociational system as it protects Druze political autonomy.
  • model Gemini -5.0 PSP officially supports a unified centralist state structure and opposes the federalization of Lebanon.
  • model gemma -4.0 Generally favors a unitary state
  • model Grok -3.0 Generally supports unitary central state but pragmatic on local governance and decentralization for Druze mountain regions; not a strong federal advocate.
  • model Claude -1.0 Defends Druze power-sharing within a largely centralist state framework.
  • model Kimi +0.0 PSP has advocated for abolishing the confessional system but also operates within it; its position on federalism is ambiguous, supporting decentralization but not explicitly federalism, placing it near centrist.
  • model minimax +0.0 PSP supports decentralization and administrative reform but stops short of full federalism
  • model gpt +3.0 PSP accepts Lebanese power sharing and decentralization while rejecting partition.
  • prior Author baseline +5.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
• Kataeb Party LB Centralism vs federalism contested ↔ 12 pt +2.5
  • model Grok -4.0 2× rounds Favors strong unitary central state with effective national army; historically skeptical of federal proposals that could fragment Lebanon along sectarian lines.
  • model minimax -4.0 2× rounds Kataeb is a Maronite nationalist party that has historically supported a strong centralized Lebanese state.
  • model qwen -3.0 2× rounds Christian nationalist, prefers unitary state with communal autonomy.
  • model mistral -3.0 Kataeb Party leans toward centralism.
  • model DeepSeek +2.0 2× rounds Supports a unified Lebanon but open to administrative decentralization.
  • model Claude +3.0 2× rounds Christian party historically open to decentralization and federal arrangements.
  • model gpt +4.0 Kataeb favors strong decentralization to protect plural communities.
  • prior Author baseline +5.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +5.0 2× rounds Kataeb under Sami Gemayel has explicitly supported federalism as a solution for Christian security; Gemayel stated federalism would be a guarantee for Christians if sectarianism were abolished.
  • model gemma +7.0 2× rounds Strongly advocates for a decentralized or federal system to protect Christians.
  • model Gemini +8.0 2× rounds Kataeb advocates for federalism or broad decentralization to protect communal pluralism and autonomy.
• Free Egyptians Party EG Civil liberties contested ↔ 11 pt +4.5
  • model Gemini -3.0 Despite its liberal platform, the party has consistently supported the regime's restrictive security policies and civil liberty constraints.
  • model gpt -3.0 Despite liberal branding, its pro-regime turn has muted its defense of dissent and protest rights.
  • model minimax +2.0 Liberal platform on paper but party has not actively pushed for civil-liberties expansion and has supported restrictions under Sisi.
  • model Claude +4.0 Liberal rhetoric on rights but a loyalist parliamentary record tempers it.
  • model gemma +4.0 Generally supports liberal civil liberties
  • prior Author baseline +5.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +7.0 Liberal platform explicitly committed to expanding and protecting civil liberties and human rights.
  • model Grok +8.0 Liberal platform founded on expanding civil liberties, equality, and freedoms for all citizens regardless of religion or background.
  • model DeepSeek +8.0 Strong liberal platform; champions free speech and press as core identity.
  • model qwen +8.0 Libertarian-leaning on personal and political freedoms.
• Islamic Action Front JO Civil liberties contested ↔ 11 pt -0.5
  • model Grok -5.0 Platform emphasizes Islamic moral constraints on speech, expression, and association, favoring restriction over expansive liberal liberties.
  • model DeepSeek -4.0 Pushes restrictions on speech and press when conflicting with religious or moral norms.
  • model gemma -4.0 While opposing state repression
  • model Kimi -3.0 Supports some civil liberties but would restrict speech and association contradicting Islamic values
  • prior Author baseline -2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model gpt +1.0 It calls for political freedoms and opposition rights, though its Islamist program implies limits on some moral liberties.
  • model minimax +2.0 Officially champions political freedoms and reform, but its Brotherhood affiliate has shown ambivalence toward press criticism and dissent on social/religious matters.
  • model Claude +3.0 As opposition it campaigns for expanded political space and association, though selectively.
  • model Gemini +4.0 2× rounds Demands expansion of political freedoms and protest rights as the main opposition, despite conservative social views.
  • model qwen +6.0 As the main opposition party, it consistently campaigns for expanded political freedoms and press rights.
• Hayat Tahrir al-Sham SY Regional stance contested ↔ 11 pt +0.5
  • model Gemini -6.0 HTS engages in armed struggle and rejects regional normalization with Israel, though it remains adversarial to the Iranian-led Axis.
  • model gemma -6.0 Aligns with anti-normalization and armed struggle
  • model DeepSeek -3.0 Anti-normalization and anti-Iran
  • model minimax -3.0 HTS rhetorically embraces anti-normalization and Palestinian resistance framing but has pragmatically engaged with Western and Gulf states
  • model qwen +0.0 Rejects the Iranian-led Axis of Resistance but does not align with the Gulf-led normalization camp focusing instead on local governance.
  • prior Author baseline +1.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model gpt +2.0 It is anti-Iran and seeks pragmatic stability, though not a clear normalization-camp actor.
  • model Kimi +4.0 HTS has actively pursued normalization with Turkey, the West, and Gulf states, seeking international legitimacy and economic reintegration rather than armed resistance politics.
  • model Grok +5.0 HTS opposed the Iran resistance axis in Syria and seeks pragmatic stability oriented relations with Turkey and Western actors.
  • model Claude +5.0 Outside the Resistance axis; pursues aims via Gulf, Turkey and Western engagement.
• Ba'ath Party (Syria) SY Social contested ↔ 11 pt -0.5
  • model qwen -8.0 Enforces traditional collective moral authority and restricts personal and social freedoms particularly regarding dissent and lifestyle.
  • model gemma -6.0 Maintains a conservative social order and restricts personal liberties.
  • model Grok -4.0 Ba'ath maintained traditional moral authority on social issues and family despite secular orientation and limited personal libertarianism.
  • model DeepSeek -3.0 State is socially authoritarian in practice
  • prior Author baseline -2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model gpt +1.0 Its secular nationalism is less clerical but still authoritarian toward individual expression.
  • model Gemini +2.0 Within its secular framework, the party permits certain individual lifestyle freedoms, though it completely rejects LGBTQ+ rights.
  • model Claude +2.0 Secular lifestyle norms but heavy collectivist state authority over expression.
  • model Kimi +3.0 The Ba'ath regime was secular and relatively permissive on personal lifestyle and social expression compared to Islamist alternatives, though still authoritarian.
  • model minimax +3.0 Ba'ath rule was socially secular and comparatively permissive on lifestyle compared to Islamists
• Yemeni Congregation for Reform (Islah) YE Regional stance contested ↔ 11 pt -1.0
  • model minimax -5.0 Islah opposes normalization, supports Palestinian armed struggle rhetorically, and aligns with the anti-normalization Islamist camp, though it works within the Saudi coalition rather than Iran's.
  • model DeepSeek -4.0 Islah is hostile to Iran and Houthis but not part of normalization camp; closer to Turkey/Qatar.
  • model qwen -4.0 As a Muslim Brotherhood affiliate, opposes Gulf-Israel normalization and supports anti-imperialist resistance.
  • model Gemini -2.0 Islah is cross-pressured, ideologically aligned with anti-normalization politics but pragmatically tied to the Saudi-backed stability camp.
  • model gpt -2.0 It is anti-normalization and pro-Palestinian but not aligned with Iran’s resistance bloc.
  • prior Author baseline +0.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Claude +1.0 In the anti-Houthi coalition but with resistance-sympathetic views on Israel.
  • model Kimi +4.0 Islah is part of the Saudi-led coalition and normalization camp, though it maintains anti-Israel rhetoric and some sympathy for Palestinian resistance.
  • model Grok +4.0 Islah opposes Iran-backed Houthis and has aligned with Saudi-led efforts, though with occasional Qatar/Turkey sympathies; it does not belong to the Axis of Resistance and leans pragmatic-stability.
  • model gemma +6.0 They align with the Saudi-led coalition for regional stability.
• Tagammu Party EG Regime stance contested ↔ 11 pt +1.5
  • model DeepSeek -3.0 2× rounds Leftist opposition; critical of regime but accepts republican order.
  • model minimax +2.0 2× rounds Tagammu has oscillated between critical opposition and pragmatic participation in the political order.
  • prior Author baseline +3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model mistral +4.0 Tagammu Party leans toward anti-regime stances.
  • model gemma +4.0 2× rounds Generally works within the system but maintains a critical distance.
  • model gpt +4.0 It accepts the republic and has often aligned with the state against Islamist opposition.
  • model Claude +5.0 2× rounds Loyal to the order, historically cooperative and anti-Islamist.
  • model Grok +7.0 2× rounds Has aligned with the Sisi regime as part of the pro-government leftist facade in Egypt's controlled politics.
  • model qwen +7.0 2× rounds Historically pro-regime, aligned with state socialism legacy.
  • model Kimi +8.0 2× rounds Ambiguous: historically reconciled with Mubarak, now marginal; nominally opposition but limited actual resistance.
  • model Gemini +8.0 2× rounds It strongly supports the post-2013 political order, viewing it as a vital defense against the threat of political Islam.
• Sairoon Alliance IQ Pan-Arab vs particularist contested ↔ 11 pt +0.0
  • model qwen -6.0 Fiercely Iraqi nationalist, prioritizing Iraqi sovereignty over any pan-Arab or transnational ideologies.
  • model gemma -5.0 Primarily Iraqi nationalist with a focus on local sovereignty.
  • prior Author baseline -2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok -2.0 While using some Arab solidarity rhetoric, Sairoon is primarily Iraqi Shia populist with strong particularist 'Iraqi first' framing rather than classic pan-Arabism.
  • model Claude +0.0 Iraqi-nationalist with Arab and anti-normalization coloring but not a pan-Arab project.
  • model Kimi +2.0 Sadr is primarily Iraqi nationalist but uses pan-Arab and anti-imperialist rhetoric; not doctrinally pan-Arab
  • model DeepSeek +3.0 Sadr uses pan-Arab and nationalist rhetoric but core base is Iraqi Shi'a particularist.
  • model Gemini +4.0 Sadr frames his politics around an Arab nationalist identity to counter Iranian influence, strengthening ties with Arab states.
  • model minimax +5.0 Sadr's movement is steeped in Iraqi Arab nationalism and pan-Arab sentiment, distinguishing it from Iranian-aligned Shia parties.
• Long Live Tunisia TN Pan-Arab vs particularist contested ↔ 11 pt -3.0
  • model Gemini -6.0 2× rounds The party's platform focuses on Tunisian particularist nationalism and rejects pan-Arab integration.
  • model Grok -6.0 2× rounds Tahya Tounes prioritizes Tunisian sovereignty, economic partnerships, and internal reform over pan-Arab ideological projects.
  • prior Author baseline -3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Claude -2.0 2× rounds Domestically focused centrist party, weakly particularist.
  • model minimax +1.0 2× rounds Long Live Tunisia is a Bourguibist
  • model Kimi +2.0 2× rounds Destourian heritage emphasizes Tunisian nation-state over pan-Arab solidarity.
  • model mistral +2.0 Long Live Tunisia leans slightly toward pan-Arabism.
  • model gemma +3.0 2× rounds Moderate Pan-Arab identification.
  • model qwen +4.0 2× rounds Secular liberal, prioritizes Tunisian identity over pan-Arabism.
  • model DeepSeek +5.0 2× rounds Clearly pan-Arabist in orientation.
• Union of Forces of Progress MR Pan-Arab vs particularist contested ↔ 11 pt +2.0
  • model Gemini -6.0 As a multi-ethnic party representing both Arab-Berbers and Afro-Mauritanians, UFP rejects Arab-nationalist frames in favor of domestic pluralism.
  • model Grok -5.0 Civic multiracial Mauritanian nationalism and focus on internal ethnic social justice issues render the party more particularist than pan-Arab.
  • model qwen -4.0 Focuses on national social justice and Mauritanian identity rather than pan-Arab ideological frameworks.
  • model gemma -3.0 More focused on Mauritanian social justice and secularism than on pan-Arab identity.
  • model gpt +1.0 It shares some Arab-left solidarity themes but is mainly framed around Mauritanian democratic and social questions.
  • prior Author baseline +3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +4.0 The coalition draws on pan-Arab and leftist traditions while also addressing specific Mauritanian social issues.
  • model DeepSeek +5.0 UFP has roots in Arab nationalism and pan-Arab solidarity though today it is more focused on Mauritanian domestic politics.
  • model minimax +5.0 Rooted in pan-Arab leftist and Nasserite traditions
  • model Claude +5.0 Descends from the Arab-nationalist and Nasserist left with pan-Arab framing.
• Lebanese Forces LB Social contested ↔ 10 pt -1.0
  • model gemma -5.0 2× rounds Leans toward social conservatism and traditional authority.
  • model gpt -4.0 Its social base and leadership are conservative on moral questions.
  • model Kimi -3.0 2× rounds LF is a socially conservative Christian party with traditional moral values; it opposes progressive social freedoms and supports traditional collective moral authority, though less rigidly than Islamist parties.
  • model minimax -3.0 2× rounds LF is socially conservative on Christian family and moral issues.
  • model DeepSeek -3.0 Socially conservative, with Christian nationalist values.
  • model qwen -2.0 2× rounds Socially conservative Christian party.
  • prior Author baseline -1.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • re-coder Re-coder B -1.0 Second-pass coder B — rubric-anchored re-read on the social axis; extreme magnitudes tempered slightly toward the rubric mid-anchors.
  • re-coder Re-coder C +0.0 Second-pass coder C — rubric-anchored re-read on the social axis; magnitude follows the primary reading with independent judgment calls on the governance axes.
  • model Claude +1.0 2× rounds Socially conservative Christian base.
  • model Gemini +3.0 2× rounds Lebanese Forces support a relatively permissive social lifestyle while respecting traditional communal values.
  • model mistral +3.0 Lebanese Forces lean toward libertarian social policies.
  • model Grok +5.0 2× rounds Secular nationalist tradition supports broader individual social and lifestyle freedoms than religious parties; relatively permissive on personal expression.
• Free Destourian Party TN Social contested ↔ 10 pt -1.0
  • model Gemini -5.0 2× rounds The PDL emphasizes state authority and societal order over individual libertarian freedoms.
  • model qwen -5.0 2× rounds Socially conservative, nostalgic for Bourguiba-era secularism but authoritarian.
  • model minimax -5.0 2× rounds Free Destourian is socially conservative
  • model DeepSeek -3.0 2× rounds Socially conservative but less intensely so than Ennahda.
  • model mistral -3.0 Free Destourian Party leans toward authority in social policies.
  • prior Author baseline -1.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model gemma +0.0 2× rounds Favors authority and traditional order.
  • model Grok +3.0 2× rounds As a secular nationalist party PDL is more permissive on social issues than religious conservatives but stops short of full libertarian positions on gender and sexual minorities.
  • model Claude +3.0 2× rounds Authoritarian-leaning, order-first orientation.
  • model Kimi +5.0 2× rounds Secular and culturally modern, supporting liberal social values against Islamist conservatism.
• People's Movement TN Social contested ↔ 10 pt +1.0
  • model Gemini -5.0 2× rounds The party prioritizes state and collective authority over individual social libertarianism.
  • model gemma -5.0 2× rounds Leans toward collective authority.
  • model Claude +0.0 2× rounds Nationalist-left mix without a clear social-liberty tilt.
  • prior Author baseline +1.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model DeepSeek +2.0 2× rounds Socially moderate; not a defining axis.
  • model qwen +2.0 2× rounds Populist, ambiguous on social libertarianism.
  • model mistral +2.0 People's Movement leans toward libertarian social policies.
  • model Grok +4.0 2× rounds As a secular leftist party it favors greater social liberalization than Islamists while remaining within the bounds of Arab progressive nationalism on issues like LGBTQ+ rights.
  • model minimax +4.0 2× rounds People's Movement is mixed
  • model Kimi +5.0 2× rounds Progressive left party supporting social freedoms and libertarian values.
• National Wisdom Movement IQ Regional stance contested ↔ 10 pt -2.0
  • model Gemini -5.0 The party leans toward the resistance axis due to its anti-normalization stance and alignment with pro-Iran factions.
  • model DeepSeek -5.0 Leans toward Axis of Resistance but less militant than harder-line Shi'a factions.
  • model minimax -3.0 Hikma leans toward the anti-normalization resistance camp in rhetoric and rejects Israel, but has been less militant in practice than Sadr or militias — moderately anti-normalization.
  • model Claude -3.0 Broadly within the Iran-aligned camp though Hakim has engaged the Gulf and moderated.
  • prior Author baseline -2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +2.0 Hakim seeks balance between regional camps; pragmatic engagement with both resistance and normalization actors
  • model gemma +3.0 Prefers diplomatic stability and negotiation over armed resistance.
  • model qwen +4.0 Advocates for Iraq's integration into the Arab Sunni fold and regional stability, distancing from maximalist resistance.
  • model Grok +5.0 Hikma leans toward pragmatic stability and has distanced from maximalist resistance politics, favoring negotiated regional relations over armed Axis alignment.
• Patriotic Union of Kurdistan IQ Social contested ↔ 10 pt -2.0
  • model gpt -5.0 Its Shia Islamist background keeps it socially conservative.
  • model Grok -4.0 2× rounds PUK maintains traditional Kurdish tribal-authoritarian structures despite leftist rhetoric.
  • model gemma -3.0 2× rounds Maintains a moderate level of social authority within the KRG.
  • prior Author baseline +3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +3.0 2× rounds PUK is more socially progressive than KDP on women's rights but still conservative on LGBTQ+ and traditional values
  • model minimax +3.0 2× rounds PUK is more progressive on social issues than KDP
  • model Claude +3.0 2× rounds Leftist Kurdish party with a relatively liberal social outlook.
  • model Gemini +4.0 2× rounds The PUK has secular roots and is relatively permissive on social issues compared to Iraq's Islamist parties.
  • model DeepSeek +4.0 2× rounds PUK is socially conservative but somewhat less religiously oriented than KDP.
  • model qwen +4.0 2× rounds Historically leftist but now centrist; moderately libertarian.
  • model mistral +5.0 Patriotic Union of Kurdistan leans toward libertarian social policies.
• Hamas PS Pan-Arab vs particularist contested ↔ 10 pt -1.0
  • model Gemini -5.0 Rooted in the Islamist Muslim Brotherhood tradition, prioritizing Palestinian national liberation over pan-Arab political frameworks.
  • model Grok -5.0 Hamas frames its ideology primarily through Palestinian Islamism and resistance rather than secular pan-Arab nationalism.
  • model Kimi -4.0 Hamas is rooted in the Muslim Brotherhood, which has pan-Islamist rather than pan-Arab orientation; it prioritizes Palestinian and Islamist causes over broader Arab nationalism.
  • model minimax -3.0 Hamas frames its politics in Islamist and Palestinian-national terms
  • model DeepSeek -2.0 Hamas frames itself as Islamist and Palestinian, not pan-Arab, though it uses anti-normalization rhetoric.
  • model qwen +0.0 Transcends pan-Arabism in favor of pan-Islamism, but aligns with Arab resistance movements.
  • prior Author baseline +3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model gemma +3.0 Frames struggle within a wider Islamist/Arab context
  • model Claude +3.0 Muslim Brotherhood offshoot framing solidarity in pan-Islamic/umma terms more than nation-first.
  • model gpt +5.0 It frames Palestine within Arab and Islamic anti-normalization solidarity, though its project is mainly Palestinian-Islamist.
• Al-Menbar Islamic Society BH Pan-Arab vs particularist contested ↔ 10 pt -0.5
  • model Grok -6.0 Frames politics around Bahraini national interests, Sunni community, and gradual Islamic reform within the monarchy rather than transnational pan-Arab solidarity or Nasserist frameworks.
  • model Gemini -4.0 Prioritizes community-specific Sunni sectarian and monarchic loyalist frames over secular pan-Arab solidarity.
  • model DeepSeek -2.0 Primarily Islamist and Bahraini-focused but shares some pan-Islamic solidarity with Arab causes.
  • model qwen -2.0 It focuses primarily on Bahraini Sunni interests rather than broader pan-Arab solidarity.
  • model minimax -1.0 Frames politics primarily through Gulf monarchic and Islamic identity rather than pan-Arab solidarity.
  • prior Author baseline +0.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model gpt +3.0 Its Arab-Islamist rhetoric includes Arab solidarity, though Bahraini Sunni communal politics remain central.
  • model Kimi +4.0 Muslim Brotherhood has pan-Arab Islamist solidarity orientation across MENA region.
  • model gemma +4.0 Emphasizes Arab-Islamic solidarity over strict Bahraini particularism.
  • model Claude +4.0 Frames solidarity in pan-Islamic/Arab terms and opposes normalization, though loyalist within a particularist Bahraini monarchy.
• Yemeni Congregation for Reform (Islah) YE Centralism vs federalism contested ↔ 10 pt -1.0
  • model Grok -5.0 Islah has generally favored a strong central Islamic state while supporting limited administrative decentralization, but opposes federalism that would empower southern separatists or dilute national unity.
  • model Kimi -4.0 Islah historically favored a strong unitary state with Islamist governance, though has pragmatically accepted federalist proposals post-2011.
  • model qwen -4.0 Opposes southern secession and favors a centralized state, albeit with Islamic governance.
  • model DeepSeek -3.0 Islah generally supports a unitary state with decentralized governance but opposes secession.
  • model minimax -3.0 Islah historically opposed southern separatism and favored a strong central state, though it participated in the 2014 federal-region dialogue; net is mildly centralist.
  • prior Author baseline +1.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Gemini +3.0 Historically centralist, Islah accepted the six-region federal model during the National Dialogue Conference as a pragmatic compromise.
  • model Claude +3.0 Backed the GCC transition and federal plan, accepting moderate decentralization.
  • model gemma +5.0 They often support federalism as a means of power-sharing and regional protection.
  • model gpt +5.0 It has supported negotiated federal arrangements within a unified Yemen.
• Kataeb Party LB Social contested ↔ 9 pt -1.5
  • model gemma -5.0 Generally conservative and aligned with traditional social authority.
  • model minimax -5.0 Kataeb holds socially conservative Christian views opposing LGBTQ+ rights and defending traditional family structures.
  • model Kimi -4.0 Kataeb is a conservative Christian party with traditional moral values; while it supports individual freedoms in some areas, it remains socially conservative on LGBTQ+ and traditional family values.
  • prior Author baseline -2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model qwen -2.0 Kataeb holds moderate Christian-conservative social views but avoids extreme moral policing.
  • model gpt -1.0 It is moderately conservative with some liberal urban currents.
  • model Claude +1.0 Moderate Christian party, comparatively permissive socially.
  • model Gemini +3.0 Kataeb supports a relatively permissive social environment rooted in its secularized Christian base.
  • model DeepSeek +3.0 Socially moderate by Lebanese standards; supports civil marriage but cautious on LGBTQ+.
  • model Grok +4.0 Secular nationalist roots permit greater tolerance for individual lifestyle choices and social freedoms than religious or traditionalist parties.
• Fatah PS West alignment contested ↔ 9 pt +5.5
  • prior Author baseline +0.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • re-coder Re-coder C +0.0 Second-pass coder C — rubric-anchored re-read on the west-alignment axis; magnitude follows the primary reading with independent judgment calls on the governance axes.
  • re-coder Re-coder B +1.0 Second-pass coder B — rubric-anchored re-read on the west-alignment axis; extreme magnitudes tempered slightly toward the rubric mid-anchors.
  • model DeepSeek +2.0 2× rounds Fatah has strategically aligned with US and EU through PA security cooperation and diplomacy.
  • model Claude +3.0 ⛓ grounded 3× rounds Frames Zionism as a "natural ally to colonialism and international imperialism."
  • model mistral +3.0 Fatah is mildly pro-Western.
  • model gpt +5.0 The PA under Fatah relies on Western diplomacy, aid, and security coordination.
  • model Kimi +6.0 2× rounds Fatah/PA is strongly aligned with the West, receiving US and EU financial and security support, engaging in security coordination with Israel (a US ally), and depending on Western diplomatic backing.
  • model Gemini +7.0 2× rounds Maintains strong strategic, security, and financial reliance on Western blocs like the United States and European Union.
  • model minimax +7.0 2× rounds Fatah has a complex relationship with the West
  • model gemma +7.0 2× rounds More open to Western alignment for diplomatic gains.
  • model Grok +8.0 2× rounds Fatah/PA maintains deep strategic ties with Western powers through diplomacy, security coordination, and substantial financial aid dependence.
  • model qwen +9.0 2× rounds Cooperates with West, especially US and EU.
• PFLP PS Liberal democracy contested ↔ 9 pt +0.0
  • model mistral -5.0 PFLP opposes liberal democracy.
  • model minimax -3.0 2× rounds PFLP is a vanguardist Marxist party with a weak commitment to liberal pluralism.
  • model qwen -2.0 2× rounds Revolutionary vanguardism over liberal democracy.
  • model DeepSeek -2.0 Supports democracy but with a revolutionary perspective.
  • model Claude -2.0 2× rounds Revolutionary-left model rather than liberal democracy.
  • prior Author baseline +0.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok +1.0 2× rounds PFLP supports revolutionary popular democracy and national institutions but shows weak commitment to liberal checks, opposition pluralism, or judicial independence.
  • model Kimi +2.0 2× rounds PFLP advocates for a people's democracy in Marxist-Leninist terms, which is distinct from liberal democracy; it supports political participation but within a socialist framework that limits liberal democratic checks.
  • model Gemini +3.0 2× rounds Advocates for pluralistic democracy and elections within the Palestinian national movement, despite its Marxist vanguard theory.
  • model gpt +3.0 It endorses popular democracy and pluralism, but revolutionary vanguard politics limit liberal-democratic commitment.
  • model gemma +4.0 2× rounds Supports democratic ideals
• Mubadara PS Regional stance contested ↔ 9 pt -0.5
  • model Gemini -4.0 Firmly opposes regional normalization with Israel prior to statehood, while favoring international civil society solidarity.
  • model Claude -4.0 Anti-normalization and supportive of BDS, but pursues resistance through nonviolent/civil means.
  • model qwen -4.0 Supports anti-normalization and resistance but is secular and democratic, not aligned with theocratic axes.
  • model gpt -2.0 It supports anti-occupation and anti-normalization activism but not Axis-style regional militancy.
  • model minimax -1.0 Mubadara is non-aligned — it supports a negotiated two-state outcome and rejects both armed resistance and normalization.
  • model Kimi +0.0 Mubadara supports popular resistance and BDS, criticizes normalization, but also engages in diplomatic and civil society efforts; it does not fit neatly into either the armed resistance or normalization camps.
  • model DeepSeek +0.0 Mubadara rejects normalization but also not aligned with Axis; favors non-aligned Palestinian-centered approach.
  • model Grok +2.0 Mubadara supports popular resistance and international law approaches while critiquing strategies that escalate conflict without clear political horizon.
  • prior Author baseline +3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model gemma +5.0 Favors diplomatic and negotiated settlements over the Axis of Resistance model.
• Free Destourian Party TN Economic contested ↔ 9 pt +1.0
  • model Grok -4.0 The party inherits the Destourian tradition of state-led development and protectionism with limited enthusiasm for pure market liberalization.
  • model Gemini -3.0 The PDL supports a significant role for the state in the economy, consistent with Bourguibist state capitalism.
  • model DeepSeek -2.0 PDP leans statist on some issues but not extremely; mild state interventionist.
  • model qwen -1.0 Mixed stance: supports some state role but not fully statist; lacks clear economic platform.
  • model Claude +1.0 Bourguibist state-developmentalism mixed with acceptance of markets, roughly centrist.
  • prior Author baseline +3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model gemma +3.0 Favors a mixed economy with strong state-led developmentalism.
  • model minimax +4.0 Free-market orientation with nationalist flavor; pro-private-sector but with state-protectionist rhetoric.
  • model Kimi +5.0 Bourguibist welfare state with moderate market orientation.
• National Rally of Independents MA State & religion contested ↔ 9 pt +2.0
  • model gemma -3.0 Fully accepts the religious authority of the monarchy.
  • model Kimi -2.0 RNI accepts the Moroccan model with the King as Commander of the Faithful.
  • model DeepSeek -1.0 Accepts king’s religious authority; no secular agenda.
  • model Gemini +2.0 Accepts Islam as the state religion but favors a technocratic government operating largely through civil and secular laws.
  • model Claude +2.0 Secular-leaning liberal party.
  • model minimax +3.0 RNI is secular in orientation; not a religious party, but operates within Morocco's religious-monarchical constitutional framework.
  • model qwen +4.0 Secular-leaning party that prioritizes economic pragmatism over religious governance.
  • prior Author baseline +5.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok +6.0 Liberal party favoring modern secular-leaning governance; supports separation of religious authority from core state law and policy-making.
• Sairoon Alliance IQ Liberal democracy contested ↔ 9 pt -1.0
  • model Gemini -6.0 The Sadrists show a weak commitment to liberal democracy, frequently bypassing institutions through street mobilization and armed intimidation.
  • model Grok -5.0 Sairoon participates in elections but frequently resorts to street mobilization and threats against institutions, undermining liberal democratic norms and checks and balances.
  • model gemma -4.0 Uses populism to challenge the system but lacks a commitment to liberal-democratic checks.
  • model Claude -3.0 Contests elections on anti-corruption themes but relies on mass mobilization and an armed wing.
  • model Kimi -1.0 Sadr participates in elections but his movement has authoritarian tendencies; militia violence against dissenters undermines liberal democracy
  • model qwen -1.0 Contests elections but repeatedly disrupts parliamentary and constitutional processes to assert dominance.
  • model DeepSeek +0.0 Rhetorically reformist but Sadr's populism and extra-governmental action raise concerns.
  • model minimax +2.0 Sadr's movement is populist and rhetorically pro-reform and anti-corruption, but the movement is centered on a clerical dynasty with limited commitment to liberal-democratic pluralism.
  • prior Author baseline +3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
• National Wisdom Movement IQ West alignment contested ↔ 9 pt -2.0
  • model Gemini -5.0 The party opposes Western military presence in Iraq, although it maintains pragmatic diplomatic engagement.
  • model DeepSeek -4.0 Generally anti-Western due to pro-Iran orientation
  • prior Author baseline -2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model minimax -2.0 Hikma is more oriented toward the Iran-Iraq axis than Western powers, though it pragmatically engages with Western governments — net mildly anti-Western.
  • model Claude -2.0 Iraqi Shia Islamist, not Western-aligned but pragmatically engaged.
  • model gemma +1.0 Pragmatic approach
  • model Kimi +2.0 Hakim engages pragmatically with West but maintains independence; not strongly pro or anti-Western
  • model Grok +3.0 National Wisdom engages pragmatically with Western actors for diplomatic and economic reasons but maintains a balanced, non-aligned strategic posture overall.
  • model qwen +4.0 Seeks balanced foreign relations, open to Western partnership but avoids alienating Iran or regional neighbors.
• Mostaqbal Watan EG Pan-Arab vs particularist contested ↔ 9 pt -3.5
  • model qwen -7.0 Egyptian nationalist, prioritizing the current regime's interests over pan-Arabism.
  • model DeepSeek -6.0 Strongly Egyptian particularist; downplays pan-Arabism.
  • model Grok -6.0 Strong Egyptian nationalist and regime-loyal framing prioritizes national interest and stability over pan-Arab solidarity projects.
  • model Claude -4.0 Egypt-first state-corporatist nationalism over pan-Arabism.
  • model gemma -4.0 Prioritizes Egyptian national interest and state stability over pan-Arabism.
  • model Gemini -3.0 It prioritizes an 'Egypt First' nationalist agenda while maintaining standard diplomatic solidarity with Arab nations.
  • model gpt +1.0 It uses some Arab solidarity rhetoric but is mainly Egypt-first and regime-centered.
  • model minimax +1.0 Rhetorical pan-Arabism but Egypt-first; not central to platform.
  • prior Author baseline +2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +2.0 Primarily particularist and nation-state first; limited pan-Arab rhetoric beyond standard regime discourse.
• Yemeni Socialist Party YE Regime stance contested ↔ 9 pt +1.0
  • prior Author baseline -4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok -4.0 The YSP historically opposed or was ambivalent toward 1990 unification that ended the PDRY and continues to challenge aspects of the current unitary order in favor of southern rights or federal restructuring.
  • model DeepSeek -3.0 YSP opposes current Hadi/Houthi chaos but seeks a new republic not the old order.
  • model minimax -3.0 YSP is part of the anti-Houthi coalition/PLC framework but seeks significant constitutional reform, putting it mildly anti-regime in current practice.
  • model qwen +0.0 Marginalized and fractured; opposes both the Houthis and the Saleh-era GPC dominance.
  • model Kimi +2.0 YSP supports the constitutional order in principle but has been marginalized by northern-dominated governments and challenges current power structures.
  • model gpt +2.0 It participates in republican politics while remaining critical of the post-unity order.
  • model Claude +2.0 Works within the constitutional system though ambivalent over southern grievances.
  • model gemma +4.0 They generally support the legal framework of the state while advocating for reform.
  • model Gemini +5.0 The YSP supports the constitutional republic over rebel alternatives, though it demands deep democratic and federal restructuring of the state.
• National Charter Party JO Pan-Arab vs particularist contested ↔ 9 pt -2.0
  • model Gemini -6.0 Focuses primarily on Jordanian nationalist particularism and state stability over pan-Arab political frameworks.
  • model Grok -6.0 Prioritizes Jordanian particularism, national identity, and monarchical sovereignty over pan-Arab ideological solidarity.
  • model qwen -6.0 Prioritizes Jordanian national interests and Hashemite particularism over pan-Arab ideologies.
  • model gemma -4.0 Leans toward Jordanian particularism and state stability.
  • model Claude -3.0 Jordan-first monarchic particularism over pan-Arab framing.
  • model DeepSeek -1.0 Primarily Jordanian nationalist
  • prior Author baseline +1.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +1.0 More particularist Jordanian nationalist, less pan-Arab framing than opposition parties
  • model gpt +2.0 It uses Arab solidarity language but remains primarily Jordanian state-first.
  • model minimax +3.0 Moderate pan-Arab framing; more Jordanian-state-oriented than ideological pan-Arabist.
• National Wisdom Movement IQ Iran posture contested ↔ 9 pt +3.0
  • model Grok -2.0 Ammar al-Hakim has positioned Hikma as more independent and occasionally critical of Iranian overreach compared to hardline Shia parties, though still within the broader Shia political house.
  • model qwen -2.0 Ammar al-Hakim has sought strategic balance, reducing dependence on Iran while maintaining Shia ties.
  • model Kimi +3.0 Hakim maintains ties with Iran but has sought to distance from Tehran since 2017 split from ISCI; pragmatic engagement
  • model gemma +3.0 Maintains a friendly
  • model minimax +3.0 Hikma is part of the Shia Islamo-nationalist tradition with historical ties to Iran, but under Ammar al-Hakim has emphasized an 'Iraq first' and Arab Shia identity that distances it somewhat from Tehran.
  • model Claude +4.0 Hakim family's deep Iran ties, though Ammar pursues a more balanced, independent line.
  • model Gemini +6.0 While presenting a moderate nationalist facade, Al-Hikma remains strategically aligned with Iran and the Coordination Framework.
  • prior Author baseline +7.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model DeepSeek +7.0 Al-Hikma movement is pro-Iranian alignment though slightly less hardline than Fatah.
• Mubadara PS West alignment contested ↔ 8 pt -0.5
  • model Gemini -4.0 Rejects strategic alignment with Western governments due to their bias toward Israel, but heavily engages Western civil society.
  • model qwen -4.0 Critical of US bias toward Israel and maintains a non-aligned, independent posture.
  • model Kimi -2.0 Mubadara is critical of US-sponsored Oslo process and Western bias toward Israel, supports BDS, but also engages with Western civil society and academic institutions; it is not aligned with Western strategic interests.
  • model DeepSeek -2.0 Mubadara is critical of US policy on Palestine but not overtly anti-Western; seeks European engagement.
  • model Claude -1.0 Critical of US policy but internationally engaged; broadly nonaligned.
  • model gpt +0.0 It engages Western civil society and diplomacy while opposing US-backed occupation policy.
  • prior Author baseline +2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok +4.0 Mubadara engages pragmatically with Western and international actors to garner support for Palestinian human rights and statehood goals.
  • model gemma +4.0 Favors diplomatic partnerships with the West to support Palestinian rights.
  • model minimax +4.0 Mubadara engages Western governments and donors as part of its democratic and state-building agenda.
• Al-Wefaq National Islamic Society BH Centralism vs federalism contested ↔ 8 pt +1.0
  • model minimax -4.0 Platform emphasized national unity under a reformed central state rather than federal or consociational structures.
  • model qwen -4.0 It advocates for a unitary Bahraini state rather than a federal or sectarian division of power.
  • model Grok -3.0 Advocates major democratic reforms for fairer representation and power distribution reflecting Bahrain's demographics but operates within and does not explicitly call for a federal or consociational restructuring of the unitary state.
  • model Claude -2.0 Sought democratic reform within a unitary state rather than any federal or regional power-sharing model.
  • model DeepSeek +0.0 Al-Wefaq does not explicitly demand federalism but advocates for democratic reforms that could imply local power-sharing.
  • prior Author baseline +2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model gpt +2.0 Al-Wefaq sought power-sharing and elected government within Bahrain, though not a full federal restructuring.
  • model Kimi +3.0 Shi'a opposition has sought greater power-sharing and fairer representation in Bahrain.
  • model Gemini +4.0 Advocates for consociational power-sharing and constitutional reforms to empower the Shia majority within the state structure.
  • model gemma +4.0 Historically pushed for more inclusive power-sharing and representation for the Shia majority.
• National Unity IL Palestinian question contested ↔ 7 pt -1.5
  • model gpt -5.0 National Unity is hawkish and opposes broad Palestinian sovereignty under current conditions.
  • model DeepSeek -4.0 Generally hawkish but open to two-state solution.
  • model qwen -4.0 Opposed to full Palestinian statehood but supports moderate autonomy.
  • prior Author baseline -2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Gemini -2.0 Skeptical of full Palestinian statehood due to security concerns, preferring separation and autonomy.
  • model Claude -1.0 Security-centrist conflict-management posture, vague on statehood.
  • model Grok +2.0 Supports two-state in principle with robust security guarantees.
  • model Kimi +2.0 Supports two-state solution in principle but prioritizes security; skeptical of Palestinian partner.
  • model gemma +2.0 Moderate support for a two-state framework.
  • model minimax +2.0 National Unity supports a negotiated Palestinian state in principle but is skeptical and emphasizes security.

  before · r1 gemini -3.0grok +4.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• National Rally of Independents MA Civil liberties contested ↔ 7 pt +0.0
  • model Gemini -4.0 2× rounds As the leading governing party, its record reflects acquiescence to state-imposed restrictions on public dissent and protest.
  • model DeepSeek -2.0 2× rounds Pro-regime party that does not push for expanded liberties.
  • model minimax +0.0 2× rounds RNI is a pro-palace liberal party but with conservative positions on personal freedoms.
  • model Claude +1.0 2× rounds Pro-palace, business-liberal party with a centrist liberties stance.
  • model qwen +2.0 2× rounds Pro-palace, limited civil liberties emphasis.
  • model mistral +2.0 National Rally of Independents leans toward expanding civil liberties.
  • model gemma +2.0 2× rounds Moderately restrictive in favor of state stability.
  • prior Author baseline +3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +3.0 2× rounds RNI operates within Morocco's constrained democratic space without leading civil liberties reform.
  • model Grok +3.0 2× rounds Current ruling party presiding over continued restrictions on civil liberties, including crackdowns on protests, journalists, and online speech in recent years.
• Hezbollah LB Regional stance settled ↔ 19 pt -9.8
  • model Claude -10.0 ⛓ grounded 3× rounds "The Resistance role is a national necessity" — armed resistance to Israel as doctrine.
  • model Gemini -10.0 2× rounds Hezbollah is the primary armed vanguard of the regional anti-normalization Resistance Axis.
  • model qwen -10.0 2× rounds Leads 'axis of resistance', maximalist stance.
  • model gemma -10.0 2× rounds Purely committed to the resistance axis.
  • model gpt -10.0 It is a core actor of the Axis of Resistance.
  • prior Author baseline -9.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • re-coder Re-coder C -9.0 Second-pass coder C — rubric-anchored re-read on the regional-stance axis; magnitude follows the primary reading with independent judgment calls on the governance axes.
  • model Grok -9.0 2× rounds Hezbollah's entire raison d'etre is armed resistance against Israel and rejection of normalization.
  • model Kimi -9.0 2× rounds Hezbollah is the core of the Axis of Resistance, explicitly aligned with Iran, opposed to normalization, committed to armed struggle against Israel, and rejects the Abraham Accords and stability camp.
  • model DeepSeek -9.0 2× rounds Core member of Axis of Resistance; rejects normalization with Israel.
  • model minimax -9.0 2× rounds Hezbollah is the paradigmatic resistance actor
  • re-coder Re-coder B -8.0 Second-pass coder B — rubric-anchored re-read on the regional-stance axis; extreme magnitudes tempered slightly toward the rubric mid-anchors.
  • model mistral +9.0 Hezbollah strongly supports resistance and maximalist regional stances.
• Hamas PS State & religion settled ↔ 19 pt -9.0
  • model qwen -10.0 2× rounds Seeks Islamic state governed by Sharia.
  • model Gemini -9.0 2× rounds Advocates for an Islamic governance framework where Sharia is the ultimate authority for state and law.
  • model Grok -9.0 2× rounds Hamas's founding charter and practice aim to establish an Islamic state governed by Sharia as the primary source of law.
  • model DeepSeek -9.0 2× rounds Hamas seeks an Islamic state with sharia as law, rejecting secularism.
  • model minimax -9.0 2× rounds Hamas envisions an Islamic state governed by sharia.
  • model gemma -9.0 2× rounds Advocates for a full Islamic state.
  • model gpt -9.0 It seeks an Islamic political order with religious authority shaping law and governance.
  • prior Author baseline -8.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • re-coder Re-coder C -8.0 Second-pass coder C — rubric-anchored re-read on the state-religion axis; magnitude follows the primary reading with independent judgment calls on the governance axes.
  • model Claude -8.0 ⛓ grounded 3× rounds "Islamic Shari'ah as the main source of legislation in Palestine."
  • model Kimi -8.0 2× rounds Hamas explicitly seeks an Islamic state based on Sharia law, with religion deeply embedded in governance; its 2017 document still references Islam as the framework for Palestinian governance.
  • re-coder Re-coder B -7.0 Second-pass coder B — rubric-anchored re-read on the state-religion axis; extreme magnitudes tempered slightly toward the rubric mid-anchors.
  • model mistral +9.0 Hamas supports a religious state.
• Hamas PS Regional stance settled ↔ 19 pt -9.0
  • model Claude -10.0 ⛓ grounded 3× rounds A "resisting economy," disengagement from Israel, criminalising security coordination.
  • model Gemini -10.0 2× rounds Serves as a primary pillar of the regional Axis of Resistance, championing armed struggle and rejecting normalization.
  • model gemma -10.0 2× rounds Purely dedicated to the resistance model.
  • re-coder Re-coder C -9.0 Second-pass coder C — rubric-anchored re-read on the regional-stance axis; magnitude follows the primary reading with independent judgment calls on the governance axes.
  • model Grok -9.0 2× rounds Hamas is a leading actor in the Axis of Resistance, committed to armed struggle, anti-normalization, and maximalist confrontation.
  • model qwen -9.0 2× rounds Part of resistance axis, rejects normalization.
  • model minimax -9.0 2× rounds Hamas is a resistance actor
  • model gpt -9.0 It is a central armed-resistance actor aligned with the Axis of Resistance and anti-normalization camp.
  • prior Author baseline -8.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi -8.0 2× rounds Hamas is a core member of the Axis of Resistance, aligned with Iran, Hezbollah, and Houthis; it rejects normalization, advocates armed struggle, and is fundamentally opposed to the Abraham Accords framework.
  • model DeepSeek -8.0 2× rounds Hamas is a core member of the Axis of Resistance, anti-normalization, committed to armed struggle.
  • re-coder Re-coder B -7.0 Second-pass coder B — rubric-anchored re-read on the regional-stance axis; extreme magnitudes tempered slightly toward the rubric mid-anchors.
  • model mistral +9.0 Hamas strongly supports resistance and maximalist regional stances.
• Hezbollah LB State & religion settled ↔ 18 pt -8.0
  • model qwen -10.0 2× rounds Seeks Islamic state under Shia jurisprudence.
  • re-coder Re-coder C -9.0 Second-pass coder C — rubric-anchored re-read on the state-religion axis; magnitude follows the primary reading with independent judgment calls on the governance axes.
  • model gemma -9.0 2× rounds Advocates for the primacy of religious law in governance.
  • prior Author baseline -8.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Gemini -8.0 2× rounds Hezbollah ideologically advocates for an Islamic state based on the guardianship of the jurist.
  • model Kimi -8.0 2× rounds Hezbollah advocates for Islamic religious authority in state and law, based on Wilayat al-Faqih; it opposes secular separation and seeks to embed religious authority in governance.
  • model Claude -8.0 2× rounds Committed to Islamic governance and clerical authority.
  • re-coder Re-coder B -7.0 Second-pass coder B — rubric-anchored re-read on the state-religion axis; extreme magnitudes tempered slightly toward the rubric mid-anchors.
  • model Grok -7.0 2× rounds Hezbollah seeks to advance Shia Islamic governance principles within Lebanon's sectarian framework.
  • model DeepSeek -7.0 2× rounds Advocates for Islamic governance and opposes secular state.
  • model minimax -7.0 2× rounds Hezbollah envisions a state governed by Islamic principles
  • model gpt -7.0 It gives Islamic religious authority a central role in politics and law.
  • model mistral +8.0 Hezbollah supports a religious state.
• Palestinian Islamic Jihad PS State & religion settled ↔ 18 pt -10.0
  • model Gemini -10.0 2× rounds Seeks the establishment of an exclusively Islamic state ruled fully under religious law.
  • model qwen -10.0 2× rounds Radical Islamist, seeks full theocracy.
  • model gemma -10.0 2× rounds Dedicated to the establishment of a religious state.
  • model gpt -10.0 It explicitly grounds politics in Islamic authority and rejects secular statehood.
  • prior Author baseline -9.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok -9.0 2× rounds PIJ explicitly aims for an Islamic state in which religious law is supreme and inseparable from state authority.
  • model Kimi -9.0 2× rounds PIJ seeks an Islamic state governed by Sharia law with complete integration of religious authority into state and law; it is at the extreme religious-state pole.
  • model DeepSeek -9.0 2× rounds PIJ demands a full Islamic state with sharia as law, no separation of religion and state.
  • model minimax -9.0 2× rounds PIJ is a radical Islamist movement committed to an Islamic state.
  • model Claude -8.0 2× rounds Militant Islamist group committed to a religious state.
  • model mistral +8.0 Palestinian Islamic Jihad supports a religious state.
• Hamas PS Regime stance settled ↔ 18 pt -7.5
  • model gemma -10.0 Rejects the foundational order of the PA and the state of Israel.
  • model qwen -10.0 Rejects both the Zionist state and the secular PA order, seeking to overturn them.
  • model Gemini -8.0 Rejects and seeks to overturn the Oslo-derived constitutional order of the Fatah-led Palestinian Authority.
  • model DeepSeek -8.0 Hamas rejects the PA's Oslo framework and seeks to overturn it, making it anti-regime relative to current Palestinian order.
  • model minimax -8.0 Hamas rejects the PLO/PA constitutional order and seeks to replace it with an Islamic state framework.
  • model gpt -7.0 It rejects the Oslo-centered PA order and seeks to replace it with resistance-led governance.
  • model Claude -7.0 Rejects the Oslo-based PA/PLO constitutional order.
  • model Grok -6.0 Hamas rejects the legitimacy of the Fatah-led PA order, having seized Gaza by force and positioning itself as an alternative authority.
  • model Kimi -6.0 Hamas rejects the Oslo-created PA framework and the two-state solution paradigm, seeking to replace the current Palestinian political order with one based on its Islamist and resistance principles.
  • prior Author baseline +8.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
• Hezbollah LB Sectarian power-sharing provisional ↔ 18 pt -7.0
  • model qwen -10.0 Hezbollah is a sectarian actor that reinforces Shia political identity within Lebanon’s confessional system.
  • prior Author baseline -9.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok -9.0 Vigorously defends and exploits Lebanon's consociational sectarian system to institutionalize Shia power share while rejecting civic or majoritarian alternatives.
  • model gpt -9.0 It is the dominant Shiite confessional force in the quota system.
  • model Kimi -7.0 Hezbollah is a sectarian Shiite Islamist party that operates within Lebanon's confessional system while building a parallel Shia-centric state; it has no post-sectarian agenda and benefits from the quota system.
  • model minimax -7.0 Hezbollah defends and depends on Lebanon's confessional system to preserve Shia political weight and communal identity.
  • model gemma -6.0 Operates through and supports the sectarian quota system for power allocation.
  • model DeepSeek -4.0 Accepts consociationalism as a given but seeks Shia dominance within it.
  • model Gemini +4.0 Hezbollah's declared platform calls for the long-term abolition of political sectarianism in Lebanon.
  • model Claude +8.0 ⛓ grounded 2× rounds Names "political sectarianism" as what "thwarts reform" and calls for elected-majority rule — anti-confessional / post-sectarian within Lebanon.
• 00000000-0000-0000-0000-000000000335 Economic provisional ↔ 18 pt
  • model Gemini -10.0 Maintains an uncompromising far-left platform demanding total state ownership and command economics.
  • model gpt +8.0 The Free Egyptians Party is strongly business-oriented and market-liberal.
• Freedom and Justice Party EG State & religion settled ↔ 17 pt -8.0
  • model qwen -9.0 2× rounds Seeks religious state based on Sharia.
  • prior Author baseline -8.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • re-coder Re-coder C -8.0 Second-pass coder C — rubric-anchored re-read on the state-religion axis; magnitude follows the primary reading with independent judgment calls on the governance axes.
  • model Gemini -8.0 2× rounds It seeks the implementation of Sharia as the primary basis of state legislation and governance.
  • model gemma -8.0 2× rounds Advocates for a state heavily guided by Sharia law.
  • model gpt -8.0 It advocates a state whose legislation and public order are grounded in Islamic reference.
  • re-coder Re-coder B -7.0 Second-pass coder B — rubric-anchored re-read on the state-religion axis; extreme magnitudes tempered slightly toward the rubric mid-anchors.
  • model Grok -7.0 2× rounds The Muslim Brotherhood's core goal is an Islamic state governed by sharia not secular governance.
  • model DeepSeek -7.0 2× rounds Seeks Islamic state with Sharia as primary source of law.
  • model Kimi -7.0 2× rounds Explicitly seeks Islamic state with Sharia as primary source of legislation; religious authority central to governance.
  • model Claude -7.0 2× rounds Seeks sharia-grounded religious authority in law.
  • model minimax -7.0 2× rounds FJP as the Brotherhood's vehicle supports a state informed by Islamic principles and sharia.
  • model mistral +8.0 The party advocates for a religious state.
• PFLP PS Regional stance settled ↔ 17 pt -8.0
  • model gemma -10.0 2× rounds Strongly committed to the resistance axis.
  • model Gemini -9.0 2× rounds Aligned firmly with the Axis of Resistance, advocating armed struggle and completely rejecting normalization deals.
  • model Grok -8.0 2× rounds PFLP remains firmly in the resistance camp, endorsing armed struggle and rejecting normalization or negotiated compromise with Israel.
  • model qwen -8.0 2× rounds Maximalist rejectionist, opposes any normalization.
  • model minimax -8.0 2× rounds PFLP is a rejectionist resistance faction
  • model DeepSeek -8.0 Strongly rejects normalization.
  • model Claude -8.0 2× rounds Hardline rejectionist, maximalist resistance faction.
  • model gpt -8.0 It aligns with armed resistance and anti-normalization politics against the regional settlement camp.
  • prior Author baseline -6.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi -6.0 2× rounds PFLP is aligned with the resistance axis, rejects normalization, supports armed struggle, and has coordinated with Iran, Hezbollah, and other resistance actors; it is firmly in the resistance camp.
  • model mistral +7.0 PFLP strongly supports resistance and maximalist regional stances.
• Long Live Tunisia TN Liberal democracy settled ↔ 17 pt +5.0
  • model qwen -9.0 Instrumental in dismantling liberal-democratic institutions and concentrating power in presidency.
  • model DeepSeek -2.0 Pragmatic on democracy but not strongly committed to liberal checks.
  • model Claude +4.0 Committed to the post-2011 constitutional democratic order.
  • prior Author baseline +5.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Gemini +5.0 Tahya Tounes supports the liberal democratic institutions established by the 2014 constitution.
  • model Kimi +5.0 Participated in democratic institutions and committed to liberal democratic process.
  • model Grok +6.0 The party consistently backed parliamentary democracy, separation of powers, and the 2014 constitutional framework against both Islamist majoritarianism and presidential overreach.
  • model minimax +6.0 Strong liberal-democratic commitments in platform; standard Nidaa-Tounes-style center-right.
  • model gemma +8.0 Strongly committed to liberal-democratic institutions and checks.
• Balad IL Regime stance settled ↔ 16 pt -8.0
  • model qwen -9.0 2× rounds Rejects Israel as Jewish state; anti-regime.
  • model gemma -9.0 2× rounds Strongly opposes the Zionist nature of the Israeli state.
  • prior Author baseline -8.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Claude -8.0 ⛓ grounded 3× rounds Rejects the Jewish-state foundational order and demands restructuring the state's defining character.
  • model Grok -8.0 2× rounds Balad is a radical Arab nationalist party that rejects the Jewish character of Israel and operates as hard opposition.
  • model Gemini -8.0 2× rounds Rejects the foundational Zionist character of the Israeli state, advocating for a non-ethnic democracy.
  • model Kimi -8.0 2× rounds Explicitly rejects Israel as a Jewish state; advocates for a 'state of all its citizens' model.
  • model gpt -8.0 Balad rejects Israel as a Jewish-Zionist state and demands a state of all its citizens.
  • model minimax -7.0 2× rounds Balad is an Arab-Palestinian party historically opposed to the Jewish-character definition of the Israeli state.
  • model DeepSeek -6.0 2× rounds Rejects Zionist definition of the state and seeks a binational or non-Zionist order.
  • model mistral +7.0 Balad is strongly anti-regime in its stance.

  before · r1 gemini -9.0grok -8.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Long Live Tunisia TN Civil liberties settled ↔ 15 pt +4.0
  • model qwen -8.0 Actively represses dissent, protests, and opposition under Saied’s rule.
  • model DeepSeek -3.0 Tends to support some restrictions in name of stability
  • model Gemini +2.0 While in power under Youssef Chahed, the party largely maintained civil liberties despite using emergency powers.
  • model Claude +3.0 Centrist party of the transition, broadly supportive of civil liberties.
  • model Kimi +4.0 As governing party maintained civil liberties framework, though with some security restrictions.
  • prior Author baseline +5.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok +5.0 During its time in government Tahya Tounes advanced anti-corruption measures and institutional transparency while maintaining the expanded civil liberties framework inherited from the transition period.
  • model minimax +5.0 Liberal civil-liberties platform typical of secular centrist parties.
  • model gemma +7.0 Strong advocate for the expansion and protection of civil liberties.
• Socialist Union of Popular Forces MA State & religion settled ↔ 15 pt +5.0
  • model gpt -7.0 PJD supports a political role for Islamic values within Morocco’s state and law.
  • model Kimi +3.0 2× rounds USFP supports a more secular orientation but operates within Morocco's religious constitutional framework.
  • prior Author baseline +5.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model mistral +5.0 Socialist Union of Popular Forces supports a secular state.
  • model Claude +5.0 2× rounds Social-democratic party favoring a secular state.
  • model Gemini +6.0 2× rounds Advocates for the separation of political institutions from religious authority, favoring a modern secular civil state.
  • model DeepSeek +6.0 2× rounds Supports secular state and separation of religion from law.
  • model Grok +7.0 2× rounds Secular social-democratic party; advocates clear separation of religion from state law and prioritizes citizenship-based modern governance.
  • model minimax +7.0 2× rounds USFP is a leftist secular party advocating for a clear separation of religion and state.
  • model gemma +7.0 2× rounds Advocates for a secular state framework.
  • model qwen +8.0 2× rounds Secular socialist party.
• Ba'ath Party (Syria) SY Civil liberties settled ↔ 15 pt -9.0
  • model gemma -10.0 Record is defined by systematic suppression of dissent and association.
  • model gpt -10.0 Its record in power was severe repression of dissent, association, protest, and speech.
  • model qwen -10.0 The party's long record in power involves severe repression of dissent speech and association.
  • model Gemini -9.0 The regime systematically restricts core civil liberties, severely punishing dissent, protests, and independent association.
  • model Grok -9.0 Ba'athist rule in power featured extreme repression of speech protest and association via security services and mass political imprisonment.
  • model Kimi -9.0 The Ba'ath regime maintained one of the most repressive police states in the region, systematically suppressing dissent, protests, and independent media.
  • model DeepSeek -9.0 The Assad-era Ba'ath regime has consistently repressed peaceful dissent and association through emergency-style security laws.
  • model minimax -9.0 Ba'ath Syria operated one of the most repressive security states in the region
  • prior Author baseline -8.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Claude +5.0 ⛓ grounded 2× rounds Second Principle: speech, assembly, belief and art are "holy."
• Justice and Construction Party LY State & religion settled ↔ 15 pt -7.0
  • model Grok -8.0 2× rounds Seeks to embed Sharia as the primary source of legislation and to grant religious authorities significant influence over state institutions and law.
  • model qwen -7.0 2× rounds Muslim Brotherhood affiliate, favors religious state.
  • model gemma -7.0 2× rounds Advocates for a state based on Islamic principles.
  • model Gemini -6.0 2× rounds Advocates for Sharia as the fundamental source of all legislation and rejects a secular state model.
  • model DeepSeek -6.0 2× rounds Favors Islamic law as basis for legislation.
  • model gpt -6.0 2× rounds The JCP is Muslim Brotherhood-linked and favors Islamic reference in governance.
  • model Claude -6.0 2× rounds Brotherhood party favoring a religiously grounded state.
  • prior Author baseline -5.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi -5.0 2× rounds Advocates Sharia as foundation for legislation
  • model minimax -3.0 2× rounds JCP is the Muslim Brotherhood's Libyan vehicle
  • model mistral +7.0 Justice and Construction Party supports a religious state.
• Hadash IL Pan-Arab vs particularist settled ↔ 15 pt +4.5
  • model Grok -6.0 Internationalist communist ideology rejects narrow pan-Arab nationalism in favor of class solidarity.
  • prior Author baseline +3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Claude +4.0 Joint Arab-Jewish internationalist party with Arab solidarity but less pan-Arab than purely nationalist parties.
  • model Gemini +4.0 Balances its class-based communist ideology with solidarity for Arab national struggles.
  • model DeepSeek +4.0 More class-based internationalism than pan-Arab but sympathetic.
  • model Kimi +5.0 Some pan-Arab solidarity through communist internationalism, but primarily focused on Israeli-Palestinian issues.
  • model gpt +5.0 Hadash uses Arab-Jewish class politics but also draws on Arab anti-colonial solidarity.
  • model gemma +6.0 Strongly aligned with Arab solidarity and anti-colonialism.
  • model qwen +6.0 Balances pan-Arab solidarity with a unique Jewish-Arab joint political framework.
  • model minimax +9.0 Hadash is firmly pan-Arab and frames its politics in that tradition.

  before · r1 grok +2.0gemini +4.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• People's Movement TN Regime stance provisional ↔ 15 pt -4.0
  • model qwen -7.0 Opposes Saied’s constitutional changes and authoritarian turn.
  • model Grok -6.0 People's Movement positions itself as a consistent opponent of authoritarian rule whether under Ben Ali, Ennahda-influenced coalitions, or Saied's personalist regime.
  • model gemma -5.0 Generally opposes the established political elites.
  • model DeepSeek -4.0 Oppositional to the current order but within republican framework.
  • model minimax -4.0 Opposed Bourguibist and Ben Ali orders; critical of post-2011 order as well from the radical-left.
  • model Kimi -3.0 Opposes Saied's authoritarian constitutional order, supports democratic framework.
  • prior Author baseline +3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Claude +5.0 Supports the current Saied-era political order.
  • model Gemini +8.0 The party is one of the principal political supporters of President Kais Saied's administration.
• Amal Movement LB Sectarian power-sharing settled ↔ 15 pt -7.0
  • model qwen -9.0 Amal is a core defender of Lebanon’s sectarian consociational system, representing Shia interests within it.
  • model Grok -8.0 Core defender of Lebanon's consociational sectarian quota system that guarantees Shia speakership and ministerial shares; resists post-sectarian civic alternatives.
  • model gemma -8.0 Strongly supports the sectarian consociational quota system.
  • model gpt -8.0 Amal is deeply invested in Lebanon’s confessional quota system.
  • prior Author baseline -7.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi -7.0 Amal is fundamentally a sectarian Shiite party that operates within and benefits from Lebanon's consociational quota system; it has no post-sectarian agenda.
  • model minimax -7.0 Amal strongly defends the existing confessional system that guarantees Shia representation in parliament and state offices.
  • model DeepSeek -5.0 Defends consociational quotas as essential for Shia representation.
  • model Claude +6.0 ⛓ grounded 2× rounds Condemns "political sectarianism" as freezing political development and dividing citizens; "not a sectarian movement."
  • model Gemini +6.0 Amal's official platform calls for the abolition of the political sectarian quota system.
• Likud IL Regional stance provisional ↔ 14 pt +6.0
  • model mistral -5.0 Likud leans toward maximalist and resistance regional stances.
  • prior Author baseline -4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • re-coder Re-coder B -3.0 Second-pass coder B — rubric-anchored re-read on the regional-stance axis; extreme magnitudes tempered slightly toward the rubric mid-anchors.
  • re-coder Re-coder C -3.0 Second-pass coder C — rubric-anchored re-read on the regional-stance axis; magnitude follows the primary reading with independent judgment calls on the governance axes.
  • model Claude +4.0 ⛓ grounded 3× rounds Territorially maximalist on Eretz Israel, yet commits to peace treaties (Begin signed Camp David) — net mildly normalization-leaning on the resistance/normalization axis.
  • model Kimi +5.0 2× rounds Abraham Accords supporter but hardline on Palestinian issue; mixed normalization stance.
  • model qwen +6.0 2× rounds Maximalist security stance, resists normalization without concessions.
  • model minimax +6.0 2× rounds Current Likud under hardliners opposes normalization concessions and is maximalist on settlements.
  • model Grok +7.0 2× rounds Likud brokered Abraham Accords normalization with Arab states while maintaining hard line on Palestinians.
  • model DeepSeek +7.0 2× rounds Strongly pro-normalization and Abraham Accords.
  • model gemma +8.0 2× rounds Favors stability and normalization on its own terms.
  • model gpt +8.0 Likud champions Abraham Accords-style normalization and anti-Iran regional alignment.
  • model Gemini +9.0 2× rounds Maintains a strong focus on normalization and regional stability via frameworks like the Abraham Accords.

  before · r1 gemini +4.0grok +6.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Religious Zionism Party IL Regional stance provisional ↔ 14 pt +4.0
  • prior Author baseline -5.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model gemma -4.0 Generally maximalist and skeptical of compromise.
  • model Gemini -3.0 Prioritizes territorial expansion and maximalist security over regional diplomatic normalization agreements.
  • model Kimi +2.0 Hardline on Palestinians but pragmatic on some regional relations; Abraham Accords supporter.
  • model Claude +4.0 Maximalist toward Palestinians while accepting Arab-state normalization.
  • model minimax +4.0 Religious Zionism broadly accepts the normalization framework but is unilateralist about annexation; mild positive.
  • model Grok +5.0 Hawkish against resistance; supports normalization if it advances Jewish control.
  • model DeepSeek +6.0 Pro-normalization.
  • model gpt +6.0 It backs anti-Iran normalization when useful but rejects territorial concessions.
  • model qwen +9.0 Extreme hawkish posture and absolute rejection of the resistance axis.

  before · r1 grok -7.0gemini -6.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Yemeni Congregation for Reform (Islah) YE State & religion settled ↔ 14 pt -7.0
  • model gemma -8.0 2× rounds Advocates for a religious state.
  • model Gemini -7.0 2× rounds As an Islamist party, Islah advocates for Islamic law (Sharia) to be the sole basis of legislation and state authority.
  • model DeepSeek -7.0 2× rounds Islah explicitly seeks to make sharia the basis of state and law
  • model qwen -7.0 2× rounds Islamist party seeking Sharia-based state.
  • model gpt -7.0 2× rounds Islah favors an Islamic role in law and governance.
  • prior Author baseline -6.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok -6.0 2× rounds Islah seeks to establish Sharia as a primary source of legislation and to increase religious authority within state institutions and law.
  • model Claude -6.0 2× rounds Brotherhood-influenced party favoring religious governance.
  • model Kimi -5.0 2× rounds Islah supports Islamic sharia as the basis of law and state, opposing secular separation of religion and state.
  • model minimax -5.0 2× rounds Islah is an Islamist party that envisions a state informed by Islamic law.
  • model mistral +6.0 Yemeni Congregation for Reform supports a religious state.
• New Wafd Party EG Regime stance settled ↔ 14 pt +4.5
  • model qwen -4.0 Officially in opposition, though historically prone to co-optation by the state.
  • model DeepSeek +0.0 Loyal opposition; accepts constitutional order but critical of regime excesses.
  • model Kimi +2.0 Ambiguous: joined pro-regime coalitions for survival but has roots as opposition party; currently nominal opposition.
  • prior Author baseline +4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok +4.0 Historic opposition roots but currently participates within the republican order while advocating internal reforms and limits on power.
  • model gpt +5.0 It accepts the constitutional order and often operates as loyal opposition.
  • model Claude +6.0 Loyal to the constitutional order, operating inside the system.
  • model gemma +6.0 Generally cooperative with the current political order.
  • model minimax +6.0 Participates in elections; supports republican constitutional order and current government.
  • model Gemini +10.0 2× rounds It functions as a loyal opposition party that fully accepts and operates within the current political order.
• Ba'ath Party (Syria) SY Regime stance settled ↔ 14 pt +10.0
  • model minimax -4.0 After Assad's fall in late 2024 the Ba'ath lost power and the new HTS-led government represents a different foundational order; the party is sidelined and at best ambivalent
  • prior Author baseline -3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok +8.0 The Ba'ath Party created and upheld the Ba'athist republican order in Syria since 1963 and defends that foundational system.
  • model DeepSeek +9.0 The Ba'ath Party is the architect and defender of the existing Syrian republican constitutional order.
  • model Gemini +10.0 As the ruling party, it completely defends and preserves Syria's existing constitutional and political order.
  • model Kimi +10.0 The Ba'ath Party was the ruling party and architect of Syria's constitutional order for over five decades until its overthrow in December 2024.
  • model gemma +10.0 The party is the architect and maintainer of the current constitutional order.
  • model gpt +10.0 It identifies with and defends the Baathist Syrian constitutional order it built.
  • model Claude +10.0 It was the state itself and wholly defended the order it built.
  • model qwen +10.0 As the ruling party it is the ultimate defender of the existing Syrian constitutional order and state structure.
• Ba'ath Party (Syria) SY Centralism vs federalism settled ↔ 14 pt -9.0
  • model gemma -10.0 Strictly adheres to a highly centralized unitary state model.
  • model qwen -10.0 Strongly favors a unitary centralized state and historically opposed federalism or sectarian power-sharing.
  • prior Author baseline -9.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Gemini -9.0 The party strongly favors a highly centralized, unitary state and opposes federal structures or regional devolution.
  • model Grok -9.0 Ba'ath Party ideology and historical rule created a strongly centralized unitary state that rejected federalism or regional autonomy for Kurds and other groups.
  • model Kimi -9.0 Ba'ath doctrine and Assad-era practice enforced a highly centralized unitary state with no meaningful power-sharing.
  • model gpt -9.0 Baathist doctrine and Assad-era practice favored a highly centralized Syrian state.
  • model minimax -9.0 Ba'ath doctrine of pan-Arab unity strongly opposes federalism; the Syrian state under Ba'ath rule was among the most rigidly centralist in the Arab world.
  • model DeepSeek -8.0 Ba'ath Party rules through a highly centralized state apparatus and rejects federalism as a threat to national unity.
  • model Claude +4.0 ⛓ grounded 2× rounds Art. 16: "The System of the one Arab State is decentralized" — the FOUNDING text (contra the Assad-era centralist score; era-scope).
• Sudanese Communist Party SD Centralism vs federalism settled ↔ 14 pt +5.5
  • model DeepSeek -7.0 Strong centralist Leninist tradition opposed to federal fragmentation.
  • model Claude +3.0 Backs self-determination and equitable arrangements for marginalized regions, leaning toward decentralization.
  • prior Author baseline +4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +5.0 Historically advocated autonomy for South Sudan and supports decentralized power-sharing.
  • model gpt +5.0 The party has supported decentralization and national-minority rights as part of a democratic Sudan.
  • model Gemini +6.0 The SCP supports deep decentralization and regional self-determination to rectify historic geographic inequalities.
  • model gemma +6.0 Supports the right to self-determination for Sudan's diverse regions.
  • model qwen +6.0 Strongly advocates for federalism and self-determination for Sudan's marginalized regions and ethnic groups.
  • model Grok +7.0 Historically backed regional autonomy and power-sharing for southern and marginalized groups to achieve national unity.
  • model minimax +7.0 SCP is a longstanding proponent of regional autonomy, self-determination for marginalized regions, and a federal or confederal structure as a solution to Sudan's peripheries question.
• Free Patriotic Movement LB Sectarian power-sharing settled ↔ 14 pt -6.0
  • prior Author baseline -9.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Gemini -7.0 FPM strongly defends the sectarian quota system under the banner of preserving Christian representation.
  • model gemma -7.0 Strongly supports the consociational quota system to ensure Christian representation.
  • model qwen -7.0 FPM operates firmly within Lebanon’s sectarian system as a Christian party defending Maronite interests.
  • model Grok -6.0 Defends confessional quotas that secure Maronite presidency and Christian shares; resists moves toward post-sectarian civic state that could erode these protections.
  • model Kimi -6.0 FPM is a sectarian Maronite party that operates within and benefits from Lebanon's consociational system; Bassil explicitly champions "Maronite political rights" within the quota framework.
  • model gpt -6.0 It is strongly rooted in Christian confessional representation.
  • model minimax -3.0 FPM accepts confessionalism as the current framework but supports a gradual transition toward a non-confessional state.
  • model DeepSeek +0.0 Rhetorically post-sectarian but operates within consociational system.
  • model Claude +5.0 ⛓ grounded 2× rounds A secular civil state over confessional personal-status — post-sectarian in stated form.
• National Wisdom Movement IQ Sectarian power-sharing provisional ↔ 14 pt -5.0
  • model gemma -8.0 Beneficiary and practitioner of the muhasasa quota system.
  • prior Author baseline -7.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Gemini -7.0 Al-Hikma operates within and relies upon the muhasasa sectarian power-sharing system to maintain political influence.
  • model Grok -7.0 As a key Shia party, Hikma strongly supports the muhasasa sectarian power-sharing system that guarantees Shia political dominance in Baghdad institutions.
  • model DeepSeek -5.0 Supports Iraq's consociational muhasasa system that allocates power by sect.
  • model Kimi -4.0 Hakim rhetorically opposes sectarianism but movement remains rooted in Shia identity and Coordination Framework
  • model Claude -2.0 Operates within the Shia quota system while voicing cross-sectarian, national rhetoric.
  • model minimax +2.0 Hikma rhetorically promotes a post-sectarian Iraqi identity but operates within the muhasasa framework and represents a Shia constituency.
  • model qwen +6.0 Explicitly advocates for moving beyond the muhasasa sectarian quota system to a civic democratic state.
• 00000000-0000-0000-0000-000000000551 Pan-Arab vs particularist provisional ↔ 14 pt
  • model Gemini -10.0 Rejects pan-Arabism in favor of Kurdish national particularism and regional rights.
  • model gpt +4.0 Tewassoul uses Arab-Islamic solidarity themes beyond Mauritanian particularism.
• Nour Party EG West alignment provisional ↔ 13 pt -3.0
  • model DeepSeek -7.0 2× rounds Strongly anti-Western; opposes strategic alignment with US.
  • model Gemini -6.0 2× rounds It holds an ideologically hostile view toward Western political, military, and cultural influence in the region.
  • model gemma -6.0 2× rounds Opposes Western cultural and political liberalism.
  • model mistral -5.0 Nour Party is generally anti-Western.
  • prior Author baseline -3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi -3.0 2× rounds Anti-Western culturally and politically; critical of Western values and policies, though pragmatically quietist under Sisi.
  • model qwen -3.0 2× rounds Quietist Salafi, anti-Western but cooperates pragmatically with regime.
  • model Claude -2.0 2× rounds Culturally anti-Western though pragmatic in practice.
  • model minimax +0.0 2× rounds Nour is ideologically anti-Western but has been politically pragmatic
  • model gpt +1.0 It is ideologically anti-Western but pragmatically aligned with the Egyptian state's Western ties.
  • model Grok +6.0 2× rounds Salafi ideology is anti-Western at core seeing liberal democracy and secularism as corrupt Western imports.
• Hadash IL Regional stance provisional ↔ 13 pt -4.5
  • model minimax -7.0 2× rounds Hadash opposes normalization and supports Palestinian resistance and a just peace.
  • model Gemini -5.0 2× rounds Aligns with anti-imperialist regional politics and opposes the Abraham Accords normalization framework.
  • model Kimi -5.0 2× rounds Opposes normalization and supports Palestinian rights, but not explicitly aligned with armed resistance axis.
  • model qwen -5.0 2× rounds Part of resistance camp, opposes normalization.
  • model DeepSeek -4.0 2× rounds Anti-normalization but not aligned with armed resistance.
  • model Claude -3.0 2× rounds Anti-imperialist, anti-normalization stance pursued through political means.
  • model gpt -3.0 Hadash is anti-occupation and anti-normalization but not an armed-resistance proxy.
  • re-coder Re-coder B +2.0 Second-pass coder B — rubric-anchored re-read on the regional-stance axis; extreme magnitudes tempered slightly toward the rubric mid-anchors.
  • prior Author baseline +3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model gemma +3.0 2× rounds Favors stability through justice rather than military dominance.
  • re-coder Re-coder C +4.0 Second-pass coder C — rubric-anchored re-read on the regional-stance axis; magnitude follows the primary reading with independent judgment calls on the governance axes.
  • model Grok +5.0 2× rounds Hadash favors negotiated peace and regional stability over endless conflict though from a left anti-Zionist lens.
  • model mistral +6.0 Hadash leans toward resistance and maximalist regional stances.

  before · r1 grok -6.0gemini +8.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Socialist Union of Popular Forces MA Social settled ↔ 13 pt +4.0
  • model gpt -7.0 PJD is Islamist and strongly favors traditional moral authority in public life.
  • prior Author baseline +3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model DeepSeek +3.0 Secular left; moderately progressive on social freedoms.
  • model Kimi +4.0 USFP supports gender parity, family code reform, and social liberty within its social democratic platform.
  • model Gemini +4.0 Supports progressive social reform and individual liberties, advocating for a more permissive and open society.
  • model Claude +4.0 Secular, comparatively progressive social positions.
  • model Grok +5.0 Socially progressive and liberal on personal freedoms, gender roles, and individual expression; opposes traditional moral authority constraining lifestyle choices.
  • model minimax +5.0 USFP is a secular, progressive party on social freedoms, including support for individual rights and modern personal-status law.
  • model gemma +6.0 Favors personal liberties and is the most socially permissive of the main parties.
  • model qwen +6.0 Progressive and left-wing advocating for individual freedoms and social liberties.
• State of Law Coalition IQ Liberal democracy settled ↔ 13 pt -6.0
  • model qwen -8.0 Systematically undermined democratic institutions, judiciary, and independent commissions to consolidate personal executive power.
  • model Gemini -7.0 Maliki's record in office is marked by the centralization of executive power, undermining the judiciary, and weakening democratic checks.
  • model Grok -7.0 Maliki's governments were marked by executive overreach, judicial politicization, marginalization of opponents, and erosion of institutional checks, scoring very low on liberal democracy metrics.
  • model gemma -6.0 Participates in elections but works to concentrate executive power and weaken checks.
  • model gpt -6.0 Its governing record reflects dominant-party rule and weak liberal checks on executive power.
  • model minimax -6.0 Maliki's premiership featured attacks on the judiciary (accountability and independence commission), repression of Sunni and Kurdish political participation, and erosion of checks — clearly anti-liberal-democratic.
  • model Kimi -5.0 Maliki's record as PM shows weak commitment to liberal democracy; consolidated power, manipulated judiciary, targeted opposition
  • model DeepSeek -5.0 Maliki's tenure saw centralization of power and weakening of democratic checks.
  • prior Author baseline +1.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Claude +5.0 ⛓ grounded 2× rounds A "constitutional and legal state," peaceful transfer of power, non-selective application of the constitution.
• Ba'ath Party (Syria) SY Liberal democracy settled ↔ 13 pt -9.0
  • model gemma -10.0 Operates as a totalitarian single-party state with no liberal checks.
  • model gpt -10.0 Its one-party security-state record rejects liberal democratic checks and opposition rights.
  • model minimax -10.0 Ba'ath Syria was a one-party police state with rubber-stamp elections
  • model qwen -10.0 Maintains an authoritarian system with no meaningful independent courts free press or opposition rights.
  • prior Author baseline -9.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Gemini -9.0 The party operates an authoritarian one-party dominant system, completely rejecting liberal democratic checks and opposition rights.
  • model Grok -9.0 Ba'ath Party rule was authoritarian one-party system with sham elections no independent courts and crushed opposition rights.
  • model Kimi -9.0 The Ba'ath regime was a single-party authoritarian system with no independent judiciary, no free press, and no genuine opposition or minority rights protections.
  • model DeepSeek -9.0 The Ba'ath Party uses elections to rubber-stamp one-party rule while crushing judicial independence and minority political rights.
  • model Claude +3.0 ⛓ grounded 2× rounds Art. 14 prescribes a "parliamentary and constitutional" system with an elected legislature — the founding form, tempered by Art. 6 revolutionism.
• National Umma Party SD Social settled ↔ 13 pt -3.0
  • model Grok -7.0 Islamic party rooted in Ansar traditions strongly upholds traditional moral and religious authority on social issues.
  • model gemma -7.0 Strongly traditionalist
  • model minimax -4.0 NUP is rooted in the Ansar Sufi tradition and upholds a traditional Islamic moral order on personal and family matters.
  • prior Author baseline -3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model DeepSeek -3.0 Socially conservative based on Islamic values but not extreme.
  • model Claude -3.0 Ansar religious base keeps it socially conservative, tempered by a reformist intellectual streak.
  • model qwen -3.0 Socially conservative due to its Ansar sect roots, but more moderate than hardline Islamist groups.
  • model Gemini -2.0 The NUP's social outlook is grounded in traditional Islamic values but allows for moderate social reforms.
  • model Kimi -2.0 Advocates rational Islam and plurality, moderately traditionalist on social-moral issues.
  • model gpt +6.0 2× rounds The Egyptian Social Democratic Party is liberal-left and generally pro-civil-liberties.
• Democratic Unionist Party SD State & religion settled ↔ 13 pt -3.5
  • model gpt -5.0 It is religiously rooted and comfortable with Islamic reference in public life, though less Islamist than hardline movements.
  • model Gemini -4.0 The DUP advocates for an Islamic framework for state and law, rejecting complete secularism.
  • model gemma -4.0 Supports a state informed by Islamic values but rejects a strict theocracy.
  • model minimax -4.0 DUP has historically supported an Islamic reference for the state and Sharia as a source of legislation, though it has been willing to accommodate pluralism within that frame.
  • model qwen -4.0 Supports a role for Sharia in legislation, though with a more flexible Sufi approach than hardline Islamists.
  • model Kimi -3.0 Supports Islamic legal principles adapted to pluralism, rejects strict secularism.
  • model DeepSeek -3.0 Accepts Islamic reference but not full theocracy; mixed record.
  • model Claude -3.0 Anchored in a Sufi religious order and accepts a public role for Islam, though more moderate than the hard Islamists.
  • prior Author baseline +1.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok +8.0 Strongly advocates secular state structures based on citizenship for coexistence among diverse groups.
• Islamic Asalah Society BH Regional stance provisional ↔ 13 pt +4.0
  • model DeepSeek -5.0 Opposes normalization and critical of Iran
  • model Gemini -4.0 Fiercely opposes normalization with Israel, though it remains firmly anti-Iran and pro-Gulf stability.
  • model Claude -1.0 Firmly anti-Iran yet ideologically opposed to Israel normalization despite loyalty to a normalizing government.
  • model gemma +2.0 Maintains a pro-Palestinian stance while remaining within the Gulf state's diplomatic framework.
  • prior Author baseline +4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model gpt +4.0 Despite anti-Israel sentiment, it is aligned with the Bahraini pro-regime camp rather than the Iran-led resistance axis.
  • model Kimi +5.0 Aligned with Gulf stability camp and Bahrain's pro-Western strategic orientation.
  • model minimax +6.0 Aligned with the Gulf stability camp
  • model Grok +7.0 Quietist Salafi orientation aligned with Saudi-influenced stability politics, anti-Iranian, and supportive of the regime's pro-normalization and Western security partnerships in the Gulf.
  • model qwen +8.0 It is strongly anti-Iran and fully supports the Gulf status quo and normalization efforts.
• Free Egyptians Party EG Regime stance settled ↔ 13 pt +6.5
  • model Kimi -4.0 Historically opposition party but has participated in parliament under Sisi; somewhat ambiguous current stance.
  • model DeepSeek -4.0 Opposes authoritarian excesses of current regime but accepts constitutional order.
  • model qwen -2.0 Opposed the Muslim Brotherhood regime but has a complicated relationship with the current military-backed government.
  • model Grok +5.0 Has participated in regime-tolerant parliamentary blocs and accepts foundational republican order while advocating liberal reforms.
  • prior Author baseline +6.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model gpt +7.0 It broadly accepts and supports the post-2013 constitutional order.
  • model Claude +8.0 Strongly pro-regime loyalist supporting the constitutional order.
  • model gemma +8.0 Strongly supportive of the existing constitutional and political order.
  • model minimax +8.0 Strongly pro-Sisi and pro-regime; party was a key Sisi supporter after 2013.
  • model Gemini +9.0 The party is an ardent supporter of the current political order and the post-2013 foundational regime.
• Socialist Forces Front DZ Pan-Arab vs particularist provisional ↔ 13 pt -3.0
  • model Gemini -7.0 2× rounds The FFS emphasizes a pluralist Algerian and North African (Maghreb) identity over pan-Arabism.
  • model qwen -6.0 2× rounds Berber-identified, favors particularism over pan-Arabism.
  • model Grok -5.0 2× rounds FFS champions Berber identity and Algerian particularism over pan-Arab fantasies pushed by other Arab parties.
  • model minimax -5.0 2× rounds FFS is known for its Kabyle/Berber particularist identity
  • model DeepSeek -3.0 2× rounds FFS focuses on Berber and Algerian particularism
  • model Claude -3.0 2× rounds Berberist-leaning and critical of homogenizing Arab nationalism.
  • prior Author baseline -2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model gemma -2.0 2× rounds Focuses more on Algerian national sovereignty and particularism.
  • model gpt -1.0 The FFS is rooted more in Algerian and Kabyle democratic politics than pan-Arabism.
  • model Kimi +3.0 2× rounds Particularist Berber-nationalist leanings; less pan-Arab.
  • model mistral +6.0 The party supports pan-Arabism but with a focus on socialist principles.
• Syrian National Coalition SY Regime stance settled ↔ 13 pt -9.0
  • model Gemini -10.0 The Coalition completely rejects the current Syrian regime's constitutional order and seeks its total replacement.
  • model gemma -10.0 Primary political goal is the overthrow of the current regime and its order.
  • model qwen -10.0 Formed explicitly to represent the opposition and overthrow the Assad regime.
  • model Kimi -9.0 The SNC was explicitly founded to oppose and replace the Assad regime, dedicating its entire existence to overturning the Ba'athist constitutional order.
  • model DeepSeek -9.0 Explicitly seeks to overthrow the Assad-led Ba'athist regime and restructure the state.
  • model Claude -9.0 Existed to overthrow the Assad constitutional order.
  • model Grok -8.0 SNC was founded to oppose and replace the Ba'athist Assad regime rejecting its foundational order entirely.
  • model gpt -8.0 It was organized to overturn the Baathist-Assad political order.
  • model minimax -8.0 SNC was formed to oppose the Assad foundational order and remains opposed to the post-2024 HTS-led order as well
  • prior Author baseline +3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
• Ansar Allah (Houthis) YE Regime stance settled ↔ 13 pt -8.5
  • model Gemini -10.0 The Houthis actively overthrew the foundational constitutional order of the Republic of Yemen to establish their own authority.
  • model gemma -10.0 They explicitly seek to replace the previous constitutional order with a new system.
  • model Kimi -9.0 Houthis overthrew the internationally recognized government in 2014 and reject the existing constitutional order.
  • model minimax -9.0 Houthis reject the internationally recognized Yemeni constitutional order, the PLC, and the Riyadh Agreement framework, and have actively worked to overturn it.
  • model Grok -8.0 Ansar Allah seized power by force in 2014-2015 and continues to reject the legitimacy of Yemen's internationally recognized government and associated constitutional framework.
  • model DeepSeek -8.0 Houthis overthrew the internationally recognized Yemeni government and seek a new revolutionary order.
  • model Claude -8.0 Overthrew the recognized republican order and reject the GCC-transition constitutional framework.
  • model qwen -6.0 Overthrew the UN-backed transitional government and rejects the pre-2015 constitutional order.
  • prior Author baseline -3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model gpt +3.0 2× rounds The GPC is an old establishment party but fragmented across rival authorities.
• Sudanese Communist Party SD Regime stance settled ↔ 13 pt -7.0
  • model gemma -9.0 Fundamentally rejects the existing military-led constitutional order.
  • prior Author baseline -8.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Gemini -8.0 2× rounds The SCP radically rejects the existing foundational political-economic order and seeks its revolutionary overthrow.
  • model DeepSeek -8.0 Seeks to overthrow capitalist republican order and establish socialist system.
  • model Kimi -7.0 Strongly opposes both military factions, rejects parallel governments, demands civilian rule.
  • model minimax -7.0 SCP has been persecuted and banned under successive Sudanese military-Islamist regimes (Nimeiry, Bashir) and rejects the authoritarian Islamic-state order they constructed.
  • model Claude -6.0 A revolutionary party seeking to overturn the military-dominated foundational order, not merely the incumbent government.
  • model gpt -5.0 It seeks radical transformation away from military-Islamist and capitalist state structures.
  • model qwen -5.0 Consistently anti-regime, having been brutally persecuted by past military and Islamist governments.
  • model Grok +4.0 Persistent fighter against military coups and authoritarianism; champions democratic civilian constitutional order rejecting parallel factional governments.
• Lebanese Forces LB Centralism vs federalism provisional ↔ 13 pt +4.0
  • model qwen -6.0 LF supports a strong central state but within Lebanon’s sectarian system as a Christian party.
  • model minimax -4.0 Lebanese Forces favors a strong unitary Lebanese state with limited decentralization
  • model gemma -3.0 Generally supports a unitary state
  • model DeepSeek +0.0 Unclear; historically centralist but now pragmatic on decentralization.
  • model Grok +4.0 More open than other Christian parties to federal or strong decentralized arrangements as protection against central state capture by armed non-state actors.
  • model Kimi +4.0 Geagea was a fervent advocate for federalism in the 1980s; while the LF now focuses more on building a strong state, it still supports decentralization and Christian autonomy within Lebanon.
  • model gpt +4.0 Lebanese Forces favors decentralization and Christian communal autonomy within Lebanon.
  • model Claude +4.0 Geagea has openly floated federalism and decentralization as options for Lebanon.
  • prior Author baseline +5.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Gemini +7.0 Lebanese Forces explicitly advocate for federalism or broad decentralization to protect Christian autonomy.
• Palestinian Islamic Jihad PS Traditionalism vs modernization settled ↔ 13 pt -7.0
  • model qwen -9.0 Deeply traditionalist, rejecting Western social and cultural modernization.
  • model Kimi -8.0 PIJ is deeply traditionalist and anti-modernization, rejecting Western social and institutional models in favor of Islamic traditional governance and values.
  • model gemma -8.0 Strongly traditionalist
  • model Grok -7.0 PIJ actively resists Western-style social modernization, prioritizing Islamic authenticity and traditional values.
  • model DeepSeek -7.0 PIJ is deeply traditionalist, especially on gender and family law, rejecting social modernization.
  • model minimax -7.0 PIJ is religious-traditionalist and rejects Western-style institutional modernization.
  • model Gemini -6.0 Adheres strictly to traditionalist Islamic governance models, rejecting Western social and institutional modernization.
  • model gpt -6.0 It remains socially traditionalist despite operational use of modern military and media tools.
  • model Claude -5.0 Traditionalist Islamist on social institutions.
  • prior Author baseline +4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
• PFLP PS Traditionalism vs modernization settled ↔ 13 pt +3.0
  • prior Author baseline -7.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +2.0 PFLP supports social and institutional modernization from a Marxist perspective, including women's rights and secular governance, but frames modernization within socialist rather than liberal capitalist terms.
  • model gemma +2.0 Supports revolutionary modernization but is rooted in old-guard Marxist traditions.
  • model qwen +2.0 Secular and modernizing in its outlook, though constrained by traditional Marxist-Leninist frameworks.
  • model minimax +3.0 PFLP is a modernizing leftist party that frames itself around progressive social transformation.
  • model Claude +3.0 Secular-modernist in rhetoric on social institutions.
  • model Grok +4.0 PFLP supports revolutionary modernization through scientific socialism, education, and social transformation over religious traditionalism.
  • model gpt +5.0 Its secular revolutionary ideology favors social modernization and women’s participation.
  • model Gemini +6.0 Advocates for comprehensive social and institutional modernization, rejecting traditional religious authority.
• Democratic National Rally DZ Centralism vs federalism settled ↔ 13 pt -8.0
  • model Gemini -8.0 2× rounds The RND strongly advocates for a centralized unitary state and rejects any federal or regional power-sharing.
  • model Grok -8.0 2× rounds RND is your typical pro-regime Arab centralist outfit enforcing strongman rule with no federalist delusions whatsoever.
  • model qwen -8.0 2× rounds Algerian nationalist party strongly supports centralism.
  • model gemma -8.0 2× rounds Strongly supports the existing centralized state structure.
  • prior Author baseline -7.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model minimax -7.0 2× rounds RND is a pro-establishment party that supports Algeria's unitary state structure.
  • model gpt -7.0 2× rounds The RND is a pro-regime Algerian establishment party favoring a centralized state.
  • model Claude -7.0 2× rounds Algerian establishment party wedded to a strongly centralized unitary state.
  • model DeepSeek -5.0 2× rounds RND is a pro-regime party that supports Algeria’s strong unitary state
  • model Kimi +0.0 2× rounds Strongly centralist; defends unitary Algerian state structure.
  • model mistral +5.0 Democratic National Rally in Algeria generally supports a centralized system but has shown some openness to regional autonomy.
• Jordanian Communist Party JO Centralism vs federalism provisional ↔ 13 pt -4.0
  • model Gemini -8.0 2× rounds Adheres to traditional leftist principles favoring a highly centralized unitary state model.
  • model Grok -7.0 2× rounds Jordanian communists support the centralized Hashemite monarchy's structure no federalist push.
  • model gemma -5.0 2× rounds Generally accepts the centralized state structure.
  • model gpt -5.0 It generally favors a unified centralized state rather than regional or sectarian power-sharing.
  • model qwen -4.0 2× rounds Unitary state preference; no significant federal discourse in Jordan.
  • model Claude -3.0 2× rounds Centralist socialist orientation with no federalist platform.
  • prior Author baseline -2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi -2.0 2× rounds Supports unitary state, no particular federalist agenda in Jordanian context
  • model minimax -2.0 2× rounds JCP is a small leftist party operating within Jordan's unitary state framework.
  • model DeepSeek +4.0 2× rounds Traditionally centralist
  • model mistral +5.0 Jordanian Communist Party supports federalism.
• Lebanese Forces LB Sectarian power-sharing provisional ↔ 13 pt -6.0
  • prior Author baseline -8.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Gemini -8.0 Lebanese Forces strongly defend the consociational sectarian quota system to maintain Christian political parity.
  • model gemma -7.0 Firmly supports the sectarian consociational system.
  • model Kimi -6.0 LF is a sectarian Christian party that operates within Lebanon's consociational system; while it advocates for a strong state, its base is explicitly Christian and it benefits from sectarian quotas.
  • model gpt -6.0 It is a leading Christian confessional party despite statehood rhetoric.
  • model minimax -5.0 LF historically defended Christian confessional entitlements in Lebanon's power-sharing system.
  • model Grok -3.0 Defends sectarian representation as necessary transitional protection for Christians but more vocal than most on long-term civic state transition.
  • model Claude -2.0 Defends Christian rights within the consociational system while invoking a strong state.
  • model qwen +5.0 LF critiques sectarianism but still operates within it as a Christian party; supports gradual civic transition.
• Islamic Salvation Front DZ Press freedom settled ↔ 13 pt -8.5
  • model Gemini -9.0 The FIS favors restricting the press to ensure compliance with Islamic moral standards and state ideology.
  • model Kimi -9.0 Would impose strict state-controlled Islamic press.
  • model DeepSeek -9.0 FIS would impose state or religious control over press in line with Islamic morality.
  • model minimax -9.0 FIS platform envisaged media regulated by religious morality
  • model Grok -8.0 Would impose religious oversight and state control on media to enforce Islamic moral standards.
  • model qwen -8.0 Supported state control of media aligned with Islamic values.
  • model gemma -7.0 Would likely restrict press content that contradicts Islamic morality.
  • model Claude +4.0 ⛓ grounded 2× rounds Demands ending the "state and single-party" monopoly over print and broadcast media (this pro-electoral face; not the sharia-limits-on-speech side).
• General People's Congress YE Iran posture provisional ↔ 13 pt
  • model Gemini -4.0 Historically driven by Sadr's Iraqi nationalist rhetoric
  • model gpt +9.0 Ansar Allah is closely aligned with Iran while retaining Yemeni autonomy.
• Freedom and Justice Party EG Regional stance settled ↔ 12 pt -4.5
  • model Gemini -7.0 2× rounds It aligns firmly with the regional resistance camp, rejecting normalization and supporting armed struggle against Israel.
  • model qwen -7.0 2× rounds Part of 'resistance axis', opposes normalization.
  • model gpt -6.0 Its Hamas sympathy and anti-normalization stance place it closer to resistance politics.
  • model Grok -5.0 2× rounds Closely aligned with Hamas it championed resistance against Israel and rejected normalization deals like Abraham Accords.
  • model DeepSeek -5.0 2× rounds Aligns with anti-normalization and resistance camp; opposes Abraham Accords.
  • model minimax -5.0 2× rounds FJP is more resistance-oriented in its foreign policy framing
  • model Kimi -4.0 2× rounds Leans toward resistance camp with anti-normalization stance and support for Hamas, though pragmatic on some fronts.
  • model Claude -4.0 2× rounds Anti-normalization lean given Hamas affinity and Islamist solidarity.
  • model gemma -4.0 2× rounds Favors a more assertive and resistance-oriented regional role.
  • prior Author baseline -3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • re-coder Re-coder C -3.0 Second-pass coder C — rubric-anchored re-read on the regional-stance axis; magnitude follows the primary reading with independent judgment calls on the governance axes.
  • re-coder Re-coder B -2.0 Second-pass coder B — rubric-anchored re-read on the regional-stance axis; extreme magnitudes tempered slightly toward the rubric mid-anchors.
  • model mistral +5.0 The party leans toward resistance and maximalist regional stances.
• Fatah PS Liberal democracy provisional ↔ 12 pt -5.0
  • model Gemini -6.0 2× rounds Its record in power is characterized by executive dominance, rule by decree, and the indefinite postponement of elections.
  • model gpt -6.0 Fatah-led PA rule has postponed elections and weakened checks on executive authority.
  • model Grok -5.0 2× rounds Fatah's record shows weak liberal democracy: extended presidential terms without elections since 2005 and limited institutional checks on executive power.
  • model Claude -3.0 ⛓ grounded 3× rounds Declares a democratic state with equal rights and "public freedom" — a declared liberal-democratic aspiration.
  • re-coder Re-coder C -2.0 Second-pass coder C — rubric-anchored re-read on the democracy axis; magnitude follows the primary reading with independent judgment calls on the governance axes.
  • model Kimi -2.0 2× rounds Fatah has not held PA elections since 2006, suppressed opposition, and President Abbas has ruled by decree; while it participates in elections when held, its record in office shows weak commitment to liberal democratic checks.
  • model minimax -2.0 Fatah is weakly committed to liberal democracy
  • prior Author baseline +0.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • re-coder Re-coder B +1.0 Second-pass coder B — rubric-anchored re-read on the democracy axis; extreme magnitudes tempered slightly toward the rubric mid-anchors.
  • model DeepSeek +2.0 2× rounds Fatah under Abbas has weakened judiciary, cracked down on opposition, and delayed elections, scoring poorly on liberal democracy.
  • model qwen +3.0 2× rounds Formally democratic but authoritarian in practice.
  • model gemma +3.0 2× rounds Nominally supports democracy but has a record of central control.
  • model mistral +6.0 Fatah supports liberal democracy.
• Ennahda TN Social settled ↔ 12 pt -5.0
  • model Grok -7.0 2× rounds Ennahda advocates for conservative social norms rooted in Islamic morality and resists libertarian expansions of personal and sexual freedoms.
  • model gemma -6.0 2× rounds Leans toward traditional Islamic social authority.
  • prior Author baseline -5.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • re-coder Re-coder C -5.0 Second-pass coder C — rubric-anchored re-read on the social axis; magnitude follows the primary reading with independent judgment calls on the governance axes.
  • re-coder Re-coder B -4.0 Second-pass coder B — rubric-anchored re-read on the social axis; extreme magnitudes tempered slightly toward the rubric mid-anchors.
  • model Kimi -4.0 2× rounds Socially conservative Islamist party opposing progressive social freedoms.
  • model Gemini -4.0 2× rounds Ennahda leans toward social conservatism and religious authority rather than individual social libertarianism.
  • model DeepSeek -4.0 2× rounds Ennahda promotes traditional moral values and opposes LGBTQ+ rights and permissive lifestyles.
  • model qwen -4.0 2× rounds Socially conservative but moderated post-2011.
  • model minimax -4.0 2× rounds Ennahda holds conservative social positions on family and personal-status law.
  • model Claude -4.0 2× rounds Islamist conservatism, moderated by pragmatic compromise.
  • model gpt -4.0 Ennahda's moral politics favor conservative religious norms over expansive lifestyle liberties.
  • model mistral +5.0 Ennahda leans toward libertarian social policies.
• Istiqlal Party MA Regional stance provisional ↔ 12 pt +4.0
  • model minimax -4.0 Istiqlal officially opposed the Abraham Accords and is sympathetic to the Palestinian cause, leaning toward the anti-normalization pole despite accepting the monarchy.
  • model DeepSeek -3.0 Arab nationalist but not aligned with Axis of Resistance; opposes normalization rhetorically.
  • model gpt +1.0 Istiqlal is pro-Palestinian and wary of normalization but not aligned with armed resistance blocs.
  • model Claude +3.0 Pro-Palestinian rhetoric but aligns with establishment normalization as a government party.
  • prior Author baseline +4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model gemma +4.0 Balances strong Pro-Palestinian rhetoric with adherence to state normalization policies.
  • model Kimi +5.0 Istiqlal supports Palestinian rights but aligns with Morocco's diplomatic stability orientation.
  • model Grok +6.0 Backs royal foreign policy prioritizing stability, normalization, and pragmatic regional partnerships over maximalist resistance positions.
  • model qwen +6.0 Supports Morocco's diplomatic approach and regional stability initiatives.
  • model Gemini +8.0 Fully supports the state's strategic normalization with Israel and alignment with Arab Gulf states to ensure regional stability.
• Patriotic Union of Kurdistan IQ State & religion settled ↔ 12 pt +5.0
  • model gpt -5.0 It favors a public role for Islamic values rather than strict secular separation.
  • prior Author baseline +5.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +5.0 2× rounds PUK is secular and supports separation of religion and state
  • model minimax +5.0 2× rounds PUK is traditionally secular-leaning
  • model DeepSeek +6.0 2× rounds PUK is more secular-leaning than KDP
  • model Claude +6.0 2× rounds Secular, social-democratic Kurdish nationalism.
  • model gemma +6.0 2× rounds Generally supports a secular state framework.
  • model Grok +7.0 2× rounds PUK is secular Kurdish party opposing the religious sectarianism dominating Iraqi Arab politics.
  • model Gemini +7.0 2× rounds The PUK supports a secular state model with a clear separation between religious authority and civil governance.
  • model qwen +7.0 2× rounds Secular orientation despite Kurdish context.
  • model mistral +7.0 Patriotic Union of Kurdistan strongly supports a secular state.
• Democratic National Rally DZ State & religion provisional ↔ 12 pt +1.0
  • model Gemini -5.0 The RND supports the constitutional status of Islam as the state religion and opposes secular separation.
  • model Kimi -4.0 Accepts religious authority in state though not Islamist.
  • model gemma -4.0 Supports the constitutional role of Islam as the state religion.
  • model qwen -2.0 Accepts Islam’s role in public life but not full theocracy.
  • model gpt +1.0 It favors Algeria's nationalist state framework with Islam recognized but not clerical rule.
  • model Claude +1.0 Secular-leaning establishment but accepts Islam's constitutional state role.
  • prior Author baseline +3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok +3.0 Supports secular state institutions with Islam as official religion but state-controlled religious affairs.
  • model DeepSeek +3.0 RND is nominally secular
  • model minimax +7.0 RND is firmly secular and opposes religious parties inserting sharia into state and law.
• Sudanese Communist Party SD Liberal democracy settled ↔ 12 pt +5.0
  • model DeepSeek -5.0 Rejects liberal democracy as bourgeois; favors vanguard-led socialist democracy.
  • model Claude +3.0 Currently a driving force for civilian democratic transition against military rule, though its vanguardist tradition tempers liberal pluralism.
  • prior Author baseline +4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +4.0 Advocates return to democratic rule while maintaining socialist framework.
  • model Grok +5.0 Calls for civilian democratic rule based on equality and rule of law but within Marxist-Leninist framework prioritizing class emancipation.
  • model minimax +5.0 SCP's declared platform supports multi-party democracy, civil liberties, and pluralism, though historically it has oscillated between parliamentary and revolutionary-democratic models.
  • model gpt +6.0 2× rounds The Freedom and Justice Party contested elections but showed majoritarian and illiberal tendencies.
  • model gemma +6.0 Supports a democratic transition to oppose military autocracy.
  • model Gemini +7.0 2× rounds The SCP strongly supports liberal-democratic checks, independent judiciaries, and civilian democratic governance.
  • model qwen +7.0 Despite its communist roots, it has evolved to strongly support liberal democracy and political pluralism.
• Northern Islamic Movement IL Liberal democracy settled ↔ 12 pt -4.0
  • model Gemini -8.0 2× rounds Rejects secular liberal democracy in favor of governance based on Islamic religious principles.
  • model mistral -6.0 Northern Islamic Movement opposes liberal democracy.
  • model Grok -5.0 2× rounds The Northern Islamic Movement follows Islamist ideology that subordinates democracy to sharia principles.
  • model Claude -5.0 2× rounds Rejects Knesset participation and embraces an illiberal religious frame.
  • model DeepSeek -4.0 2× rounds Prefers Islamic governance over liberal democracy.
  • model minimax -4.0 2× rounds The Northern Islamic Movement has a constrained
  • model gpt -4.0 It rejects the Zionist order and prioritizes Islamist communal authority over liberal-democratic checks.
  • model Kimi -3.0 2× rounds Banned organization; Islamist principles may conflict with liberal democratic norms.
  • prior Author baseline +3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model qwen +4.0 2× rounds Islamist, rejects liberal democracy.
  • model gemma +4.0 2× rounds Supports democratic processes for minority representation.

  before · r1 gemini -4.0grok +2.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Islamic Salvation Front DZ Liberal democracy settled ↔ 12 pt -7.0
  • model Gemini -9.0 The FIS rejects liberal-democratic principles, viewing divine sovereignty and Sharia as supreme over constitutional checks.
  • model qwen -9.0 Rejected liberal democracy in favor of Islamic governance.
  • model DeepSeek -8.0 FIS participated in elections but sought an Islamic state limiting liberal democratic checks.
  • model gemma -8.0 Views divine law as superior to human-made liberal democratic laws.
  • model Kimi -7.0 Electoral participation but anti-liberal democratic checks.
  • model Grok -7.0 Participated in elections but aimed to establish Islamic governance overriding liberal checks and minority protections.
  • model minimax -7.0 FIS rejected liberal-democratic pluralism for sharia supremacy and refused to recognize equal rights for non-Islamist opponents.
  • prior Author baseline +2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Claude +3.0 ⛓ grounded 2× rounds Demands free multiparty municipal/provincial/legislative elections with independent oversight — FIS's pro-electoral face (cuts against the Belhadj anti-democracy strand, which is not in this document).
• Al-Wefaq National Islamic Society BH Civil liberties settled ↔ 12 pt +6.5
  • model Kimi -4.0 Mixed record: advocates for political freedoms but clerical leadership restricts some social liberties.
  • prior Author baseline +3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model minimax +5.0 As the main opposition movement it championed expanding protest
  • model Grok +6.0 As the leading opposition, it has consistently demanded expansion of political freedoms, human rights protections, free speech, assembly, and fair electoral processes against regime restrictions.
  • model Claude +6.0 Repressed opposition movement that campaigned for political freedoms, assembly, and dissent rights.
  • model DeepSeek +7.0 As a suppressed opposition movement
  • model gemma +7.0 Consistently advocated for freedom of expression and assembly against state repression.
  • model gpt +7.0 As the main opposition movement it emphasized protest rights, association, and freedoms for dissenters.
  • model Gemini +8.0 Strongly demands the expansion of civil liberties, free speech, and assembly to counter state repression.
  • model qwen +8.0 Historically, it was the leading opposition voice demanding expanded freedoms of speech, assembly, and protest.
• Lebanese Forces LB Regime stance settled ↔ 12 pt +6.0
  • prior Author baseline -4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model qwen +4.0 LF supports Lebanon’s constitutional order but demands radical reform to reduce sectarianism.
  • model Grok +5.0 Accepts Taif constitutional order but conditions full support on implementation of state sovereignty and army monopoly clauses; reformist within the system.
  • model Kimi +5.0 LF accepts Lebanon's foundational constitutional order and seeks to strengthen state institutions; Geagea has called for the state to monopolize arms and govern through legitimate institutions.
  • model gpt +6.0 It is loyal to the Lebanese constitutional order and state monopoly of arms.
  • model Gemini +7.0 Lebanese Forces defend the foundational constitutional order of the state and the Taif agreement.
  • model minimax +7.0 LF accepts Lebanon's constitutional order and operates within it as a major parliamentary bloc.
  • model Claude +7.0 Sovereigntist defender of the Lebanese constitutional order.
  • model gemma +8.0 Strongly defends the state and the foundational constitutional order.
• Kataeb Party LB Regime stance provisional ↔ 12 pt +5.0
  • prior Author baseline -4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model qwen +3.0 Kataeb supports constitutional order but seeks major reforms to reduce sectarianism and corruption.
  • model Kimi +4.0 Kataeb accepts Lebanon's foundational order and seeks to reform it from within; it participates in the constitutional framework and does not seek to overturn the existing political order.
  • model DeepSeek +4.0 Accepts consociational order but seeks major reforms within it.
  • model Gemini +6.0 Kataeb defends the foundational constitutional order of the Lebanese Republic and the Taif Accord.
  • model gpt +6.0 It defends the Lebanese state order against armed nonstate actors.
  • model Claude +7.0 ⛓ grounded 2× rounds An opposition manifesto against the Hezbollah-aligned status quo.
  • model minimax +7.0 Kataeb accepts Lebanon's constitutional order and has held ministerial and parliamentary positions within it.
  • model Grok +8.0 Firmly pro the Taif constitutional order; seeks to strengthen state institutions and army monopoly within the existing foundational framework.
  • model gemma +8.0 Strongly defends the Lebanese state and the foundational constitutional order.
• Nour Party EG Regime stance settled ↔ 12 pt +5.0
  • model DeepSeek -5.0 Opposes current order; seeks Islamist state; occasionally tactical cooperation with regime.
  • prior Author baseline +3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +5.0 Endorsed Sisi's coup against Morsi and supports current regime for survival; quietist political philosophy of obedience to rulers.
  • model Claude +5.0 Pragmatically pro-regime, having backed the 2013 transition.
  • model gemma +5.0 Pragmatically cooperative with the current regime to maintain legality.
  • model qwen +5.0 Supported the 2013 ouster of Morsi and the Sisi regime against the Muslim Brotherhood, though later marginalized.
  • model minimax +6.0 Post-2013 endorsed Sisi's removal of Morsi and now supports the republican order.
  • model Gemini +7.0 It pragmatically accepts and operates within the post-2013 foundational political order to ensure its survival.
  • model Grok +7.0 Pragmatic early supporter of Sisi transition and current order as ally against Muslim Brotherhood and for domestic stability.
  • model gpt +7.0 Since 2013 it has largely accepted and supported the existing political order.
• State of Law Coalition IQ Pan-Arab vs particularist settled ↔ 12 pt -4.0
  • model gemma -6.0 Focused on Iraqi Shia particularism and state-centric politics.
  • prior Author baseline -5.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Gemini -4.0 The party prioritizes a Shia-first political identity within Iraq over pan-Arab solidarity, despite standard rhetoric on Palestine.
  • model Grok -4.0 State of Law prioritizes Shia communal and Iraqi state interests over pan-Arab ideology, reflecting the particularist consolidation of post-2003 Shia political power.
  • model Claude -4.0 Shia-Islamist, Iraqi-sectarian framing rather than pan-Arab.
  • model qwen -4.0 Prioritizes Iraqi state sovereignty and Shia political dominance over pan-Arab ideological solidarity.
  • model Kimi -2.0 Maliki is Iraqi Shia Islamist particularist; not pan-Arab but uses anti-imperialist rhetoric
  • model DeepSeek +1.0 Some pan-Arab rhetoric but primarily Iraqi Shi'a particularist in practice.
  • model minimax +1.0 State of Law under Maliki combined Shia religious identity with strong Iraqi nationalism and Arab framing — leans slightly particularist but with Arab-Islamist overtones.
  • model gpt +6.0 The FLN has long framed Algeria within Arab solidarity and anti-colonial regional politics.
• Patriotic Union of Kurdistan IQ Pan-Arab vs particularist settled ↔ 12 pt -9.0
  • prior Author baseline -10.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model gemma -10.0 Strictly Kurdish nationalist and particularist.
  • model qwen -10.0 A Kurdish nationalist movement that rejects pan-Arabism in favor of Kurdish self-determination.
  • model Gemini -9.0 As a Kurdish nationalist party, the PUK rejects pan-Arabism in favor of Kurdish ethnic particularism.
  • model Grok -9.0 PUK is fundamentally a Kurdish nationalist party that rejects pan-Arab frameworks in favor of ethnic particularism and self-determination.
  • model Claude -9.0 Kurdish ethnic particularism, opposite the pan-Arab pole.
  • model DeepSeek -8.0 PUK is explicitly Kurdish nationalist and particularist.
  • model Kimi -7.0 PUK is Kurdish nationalist particularist, historically leftist but not pan-Arab
  • model minimax -7.0 PUK is a Kurdish ethnic party that historically aligned with leftist and pan-Kurdish movements; it is firmly particularist on the pan-Arab axis.
  • model gpt +2.0 It uses Iraqi and Arab-Islamic language but is not primarily a pan-Arab movement.
• National Umma Party SD Regime stance provisional ↔ 12 pt +2.5
  • model gemma -7.0 Firmly opposes the military regime and its claim to foundational authority.
  • model Kimi -5.0 Opposition party, core member of anti-Bashir FFC coalition.
  • prior Author baseline -2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model qwen -1.0 Currently in opposition to the military regime, though historically it has both governed and been marginalized.
  • model gpt +2.0 It opposes military domination while accepting Sudan’s constitutional nation-state framework.
  • model Gemini +3.0 The NUP defends the foundational republican constitutional framework while opposing its military distortion.
  • model Grok +3.0 Longstanding opposition to military Islamist rule and participation in civilian democratic transition efforts while accepting the republican state.
  • model minimax +3.0 NUP accepts a civilian-democratic constitutional order and has consistently opposed the Bashir Islamist-military regime and the 2021 coup.
  • model DeepSeek +4.0 Accepts republican order though critical of military regimes.
  • model Claude +5.0 Committed to the constitutional/civilian-democratic order and pursues change within it rather than overturning the state.
• Al-Wefaq National Islamic Society BH Pan-Arab vs particularist provisional ↔ 12 pt +1.5
  • model Gemini -8.0 Focuses primarily on Shia community-specific issues and maintains close religious ties with Iran rather than pan-Arabism.
  • model Grok -5.0 Primarily frames its struggle around Shia community rights, democratic reform in Bahrain, and Islamic principles rather than classic pan-Arab nationalist solidarity transcending sectarian lines.
  • model Claude -3.0 Organized around Shia community grievances, a particularist sectarian frame rather than pan-Arabism.
  • prior Author baseline -2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model gpt +1.0 Its rhetoric includes Arab and Islamic solidarity, but its core politics are Bahraini Shia opposition demands.
  • model minimax +2.0 Frames politics in both pan-Islamic and Bahraini-national terms with modest pan-Arab elements.
  • model Kimi +3.0 Primarily Shi'a communal focus but with some pan-Arab solidarity rhetoric.
  • model gemma +3.0 Balances Shia transnational identity with Arab-Islamic solidarity.
  • model DeepSeek +4.0 Advocates for Arab solidarity but primarily framed around Shia political rights in Bahrain.
  • model qwen +4.0 It draws on broader Arab and Islamic solidarity, particularly with regional Shia movements.
• Justice and Construction Party LY Regime stance provisional ↔ 12 pt +2.5
  • model Kimi -5.0 Rejects current foundational constitutional order
  • model DeepSeek -3.0 Critical of post-2011 order but works within it; not fully anti-regime.
  • model Grok +1.0 Claims legitimacy from the 2011 revolutionary order and participates in its institutions when advantageous, yet has supported armed challenges to elected bodies when outcomes disfavored it.
  • prior Author baseline +2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model gpt +2.0 It broadly accepts the post-2011 political framework while contesting rivals within it.
  • model Claude +3.0 Accepts and participates in the post-2011 electoral order, backing the Tripoli-based government.
  • model gemma +4.0 Supports the post-2011 revolutionary order over the Gaddafi-era foundation.
  • model minimax +5.0 Accepts the post-2011 republican constitutional order; previously contested the 2014 HoR outcome but does not reject the foundational order itself.
  • model qwen +6.0 Accepts and operates within the post-2011 republican political order of Libya.
  • model Gemini +7.0 Defends the post-2011 constitutional and transitional order in Tripoli against military challenges like Haftar's offensive.
• Union of Forces of Progress MR Regime stance provisional ↔ 12 pt +2.0
  • model Kimi -5.0 2× rounds The coalition opposes the current political order and seeks fundamental democratic transformation of the state.
  • model qwen -5.0 2× rounds Opposition party, critical of regime.
  • prior Author baseline -4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model mistral -3.0 Union of Forces of Progress leans toward anti-regime.
  • model gpt +1.0 It opposes ruling elites but works through the constitutional opposition rather than rejecting the state order itself.
  • model DeepSeek +2.0 2× rounds UFP accepts the republican order but as a longtime opposition party it has contested how the regime operates.
  • model minimax +2.0 2× rounds UFP is a longstanding opposition party critical of the ruling order.
  • model Claude +3.0 2× rounds Leftist opposition party critical of the government.
  • model Gemini +4.0 2× rounds UFP is loyal to the constitutional republican framework, seeking its democratization and reform from within the legal system.
  • model gemma +4.0 2× rounds Generally critical of the current regime.
  • model Grok +7.0 2× rounds Functions as loyal opposition that accepts the republican constitutional order and pursues reforms through democratic institutional channels.
• Mostaqbal Watan EG Centralism vs federalism settled ↔ 12 pt -9.0
  • model Grok -9.0 2× rounds Pro-regime party in centralized Egypt with no federalist tendencies at all.
  • model Gemini -9.0 2× rounds As the main ruling party, it champions a highly centralized, unitary state structure controlled by the central government.
  • model gemma -9.0 2× rounds Strictly adheres to the centralized power of the current regime.
  • model gpt -9.0 It is a pro-presidential party committed to Egypt's centralized unitary state.
  • prior Author baseline -8.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Claude -8.0 2× rounds Hyper-centralist ruling party of a unitary security state.
  • model qwen -8.0 2× rounds Pro-government Egyptian party supports strong central state.
  • model minimax -8.0 2× rounds Mostaqbal Watan is a pro-Sisi party committed to a strong centralized Egyptian state.
  • model DeepSeek -6.0 2× rounds Firmly centralist; supports strong unitary state under current regime.
  • model Kimi -5.0 2× rounds Strongly centralist as pro-military regime party; Egypt's military establishment fiercely opposes any power-sharing.
  • model mistral +3.0 Mostaqbal Watan leans toward centralism but supports some regional autonomy.
• National Umma Party SD Centralism vs federalism settled ↔ 12 pt +3.0
  • model DeepSeek -4.0 Traditionally centralist but has supported some decentralization after 2019.
  • model qwen -2.0 Historically centralist but has accepted elements of federalism and decentralization in recent years.
  • model Claude +1.0 Somewhat more receptive to addressing peripheral grievances and decentralization than the strictly centralist riverine parties.
  • model gemma +2.0 Historically favors a strong center but acknowledges the need for regional devolution.
  • prior Author baseline +3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +3.0 Advocates for federal solutions and regional autonomy within unified Sudan.
  • model gpt +3.0 2× rounds The Egyptian Social Democratic Party supports decentralization modestly but not federalism.
  • model minimax +3.0 NUP has long accepted regional autonomy arrangements and endorsed a federal or regional-governance framework in the Juba Peace Agreement and post-2019 constitutional documents.
  • model Gemini +4.0 The National Umma Party advocates for a federal system to accommodate Sudan's regional and ethnic diversity.
  • model Grok +8.0 Explicitly called for a democratic federal system to address regional diversity and power distribution.
• PFLP PS Iran posture provisional ↔ 12 pt +4.0
  • model qwen -4.0 Secular Arab nationalist roots make it historically skeptical of theocratic Iranian influence.
  • model minimax -2.0 PFLP is a secular Marxist-Leninist party historically skeptical of Iran's Islamist theocracy
  • model Kimi +2.0 PFLP has received some Iranian support and coordinates with resistance axis, but as a secular Marxist group it has ideological tensions with the Islamic Republic; it is pragmatically aligned but not ideologically committed.
  • model Grok +3.0 PFLP has developed pragmatic tactical ties with Iran for arms and funding in recent years while remaining ideologically secular and distinct from the theocratic axis.
  • model gpt +4.0 It cooperates tactically with Iran-aligned resistance networks while retaining secular leftist independence.
  • model Claude +5.0 Secular Marxist but pragmatically aligned with the Iran-Syria resistance axis.
  • model gemma +6.0 Aligned with Iran through shared anti-imperialist and resistance goals.
  • prior Author baseline +7.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Gemini +8.0 Maintains a strategic alliance with Iran as part of the regional anti-imperialist axis.
• Kurdistan Democratic Party IQ Sectarian power-sharing settled ↔ 12 pt -6.0
  • model gemma -7.0 Strongly relies on ethnic-based power-sharing and Kurdish quotas.
  • model Gemini -6.0 The KDP supports the ethno-sectarian power-sharing quota system (muhasasa) to secure Kurdish representation and resources.
  • model Kimi -6.0 KDP operates within sectarian/ethnic power-sharing system but rhetorically advocates for post-sectarian civic state
  • model DeepSeek -6.0 KDP benefits from Iraq's ethno-sectarian power-sharing system and defends Kurdish quotas.
  • model qwen -6.0 Operates within and benefits from the ethno-sectarian muhasasa system to secure Kurdish political rights.
  • model Grok -5.0 KDP supports and benefits from Iraq's muhasasa power-sharing system to secure Kurdish representation while advancing ethnic federal arrangements.
  • model gpt -5.0 It benefits from Iraq’s ethno-sectarian quota bargain despite framing demands as Kurdish national rights.
  • model minimax +2.0 KDP accepts Iraq's muhasasa as political reality and benefits from ethno-sectarian power-sharing, though rhetorically it sometimes pushes a civic-state line.
  • model Claude +5.0 ⛓ grounded 2× rounds Named guarantees for Turkmen/Chaldeans/Assyrians/Armenians and every religious-sectarian component.
• Yisrael Beiteinu IL Social settled ↔ 11 pt +4.0
  • prior Author baseline -4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model mistral +1.0 Yisrael Beiteinu leans slightly toward libertarian social policies.
  • model Grok +3.0 2× rounds Yisrael Beiteinu pushes strong nationalist authority on security and against Haredi draft exemptions.
  • model DeepSeek +4.0 2× rounds Secular but socially moderate.
  • model Kimi +4.0 2× rounds Secular and relatively liberal on social issues for right-wing party; anti-religious coercion.
  • model minimax +4.0 2× rounds Yisrael Beiteinu is socially conservative/authoritarian
  • model gemma +4.0 2× rounds Favors a strong
  • model qwen +5.0 2× rounds Nationalist but socially moderate.
  • model gpt +5.0 It is secular and permissive on religion-lifestyle issues despite nationalist politics.
  • model Claude +6.0 2× rounds Secular and relatively permissive, opposing religious coercion.
  • model Gemini +7.0 2× rounds Takes a highly permissive stance on secular lifestyle choices and civic freedoms.

  before · r1 gemini +4.0grok +4.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Free Patriotic Movement LB State & religion provisional ↔ 11 pt +2.0
  • model qwen -5.0 FPM supports Christian religious influence in public life but not full theocracy; favors confessional balance.
  • model Grok -4.0 Preserves religious authority in personal status laws as part of consociational bargain; does not aggressively pursue strict secular separation.
  • model gemma -4.0 Supports the existing system of religious authority in personal status law.
  • model Kimi -3.0 FPM accepts Lebanon's confessional system where religious authorities have significant roles; it does not advocate for full secular separation of religion and state.
  • model DeepSeek +2.0 Officially supports secular state but avoids confronting religious establishment.
  • model gpt +2.0 It is Christian-identitarian but generally favors a civil Lebanese state.
  • model minimax +3.0 FPM rhetorically favors a secular civil state
  • prior Author baseline +4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Gemini +5.0 FPM's official platform advocates for a secular state and a civil personal status law.
  • model Claude +6.0 ⛓ grounded 2× rounds A secular "civil state": an optional civil code for personal status and "the separation of political practice from religion."
• Free Patriotic Movement LB Liberal democracy settled ↔ 11 pt -2.5
  • model gemma -5.0 Embedded in the sectarian system; record of weakening judicial independence.
  • model Gemini -4.0 FPM has often weakened independent judicial oversight and sought executive dominance during its time in power.
  • model qwen -4.0 FPM participates in elections but has undermined checks and balances through alliances with Hezbollah.
  • model Grok -3.0 Participated in elections and held presidency but record includes political deals enabling paralysis and corruption allegations that undermined liberal checks.
  • model DeepSeek -3.0 Claimed reform but in power backed weakening of judicial independence.
  • model Kimi -2.0 FPM participates in elections but has been criticized for weakening institutions when in power; its commitment to liberal democratic checks is weak-to-moderate.
  • model gpt -1.0 Its record under Aoun and Bassil mixed electoral participation with executive dominance and patronage.
  • model minimax -1.0 FPM rhetorically champions sovereignty and reform but has tolerated Hezbollah's veto power and undermined independent institutions during Aoun's presidency.
  • prior Author baseline +2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Claude +6.0 ⛓ grounded 2× rounds Commitment to the UDHR and "democracy as a system of governance and a way of life."
• Lebanese Forces LB Palestinian question settled ↔ 11 pt -2.0
  • model minimax -7.0 LF is firmly opposed to Palestinian refugee rights and armed presence in Lebanon.
  • model gemma -7.0 2× rounds Generally opposed to Palestinian presence and rights in Lebanon.
  • model Grok -6.0 2× rounds Firmly opposes any armed Palestinian activity or weapons in Lebanon; supports Palestinian statehood only if decoupled from Lebanese security threats.
  • model Gemini -5.0 2× rounds Lebanese Forces strongly oppose the naturalization (tawtin) or civil integration of Palestinian refugees in Lebanon.
  • model DeepSeek -5.0 Has a historical rivalry with Palestinian factions in Lebanon.
  • model Kimi -3.0 2× rounds LF is focused on Lebanese sovereignty and Christian security; it is not strongly pro-Palestinian, viewing Palestinian armed presence as a threat to Lebanon, and emphasizes Lebanese state interests over Palestinian rights.
  • prior Author baseline -2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • re-coder Re-coder C -2.0 Second-pass coder C — rubric-anchored re-read on the palestinian-question axis; magnitude follows the primary reading with independent judgment calls on the governance axes.
  • model qwen -2.0 2× rounds Historically hostile to Palestinian armed presence.
  • re-coder Re-coder B -1.0 Second-pass coder B — rubric-anchored re-read on the palestinian-question axis; extreme magnitudes tempered slightly toward the rubric mid-anchors.
  • model Claude -1.0 2× rounds Historically wary of armed Palestinian presence in Lebanon.
  • model gpt +1.0 It accepts Palestinian rights rhetorically while prioritizing Lebanese sovereignty and anti-resettlement.
  • model mistral +4.0 Lebanese Forces support Palestinian rights but prioritize Lebanese interests.
• Amal Movement LB State & religion settled ↔ 11 pt -3.0
  • model qwen -7.0 Amal supports integrating Shia religious norms into public life and opposes full secularization of state institutions.
  • model gemma -6.0 Supports the role of religious authority in state and personal status law.
  • model Grok -5.0 Upholds Ja'fari religious courts and sectarian personal status laws; does not push for full separation of religion from state authority.
  • model Kimi -4.0 Amal accepts Lebanon's confessional system where religious authorities have significant role in personal status law; it does not advocate for secular separation of religion and state.
  • model DeepSeek -3.0 Prefers some role for religious authority in personal status law but not a full religious state.
  • model gpt -3.0 It accepts a Lebanese state framework while giving Shiite religious authority political weight.
  • model minimax -3.0 Amal's Shia religious identity informs politics but it pragmatically operates within Lebanon's pluralistic confessional system rather than seeking religious rule.
  • prior Author baseline -2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Claude +1.0 ⛓ grounded 2× rounds Religiously framed (faith in God as foundation) but yoked to faith in the human — not theocratic.
  • model Gemini +4.0 Amal's declared platform supports a civil state and the separation of religion from political life.
• Islamic Action Front JO Liberal democracy provisional ↔ 11 pt +2.0
  • model Grok -6.0 2× rounds IAF pushes Islamist agenda over liberal democratic values typical Muslim Brotherhood branch behavior.
  • model mistral -5.0 Islamic Action Front opposes liberal democracy.
  • model DeepSeek -3.0 2× rounds Contests elections but prioritizes Islamic law and religious authority over liberal democratic checks.
  • model Claude -2.0 2× rounds Brotherhood party using democracy instrumentally with limited liberal commitment.
  • model Kimi +2.0 2× rounds Participates in elections but commitment to liberal checks is instrumental; would likely curb some minority rights
  • model minimax +2.0 2× rounds IAF accepts electoral participation but within an Islamist-guided framework.
  • model gpt +2.0 It demands electoral reform and cleaner parliamentary rule, but its liberal-democratic commitments are qualified by Islamist priorities.
  • model Gemini +3.0 2× rounds Advocates for constitutional reforms to empower parliament and limit executive overreach, though within an Islamic framework.
  • prior Author baseline +4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model qwen +4.0 2× rounds Muslim Brotherhood affiliate; accepts electoral democracy conditionally.
  • model gemma +5.0 2× rounds Supports democracy but within an Islamic framework.
• Long Live Tunisia TN Economic settled ↔ 11 pt +6.0
  • model DeepSeek -4.0 Leans statist with preference for state-led development.
  • model qwen -3.0 Interventionist economic stance with limited reforms; prioritizes state control amid crisis.
  • prior Author baseline +4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Claude +5.0 Pro-market liberal reformism associated with Chahed's economic agenda.
  • model Gemini +6.0 The party advocates for market liberal economic policies, privatization, and structural reforms.
  • model Kimi +6.0 Liberal pro-market orientation; Chahed implemented IMF economic reforms.
  • model gemma +6.0 Promotes market-oriented economic policies and neoliberal reforms.
  • model Grok +7.0 Tahya Tounes advocated market-friendly policies, business environment improvements, and economic liberalization to address Tunisia's structural challenges.
  • model minimax +7.0 Strongly pro-market and pro-business; explicitly neoliberal economic program.
• Long Live Tunisia TN West alignment provisional ↔ 11 pt +5.0
  • model DeepSeek -3.0 Critical of Western foreign policy
  • model qwen -3.0 Increasingly distant from West, criticizing foreign interference and asserting autonomy.
  • prior Author baseline +5.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +5.0 Liberal internationalist orientation favoring Western partnership and integration.
  • model Claude +5.0 Strategically pro-Western and reform-partnership oriented.
  • model minimax +6.0 Strongly pro-Western and pro-EU; sought closer strategic partnership.
  • model Gemini +7.0 The party is highly pro-Western, actively seeking strong strategic and financial ties with the US and EU.
  • model Grok +7.0 Actively pursued closer European integration, investment, and security cooperation as part of its reform agenda.
  • model gemma +8.0 Strongly aligned with Western strategic and economic interests.
• People's Movement TN Regional stance settled ↔ 11 pt -6.0
  • model Gemini -8.0 2× rounds The party aligns closely with the anti-normalization, anti-imperialist regional resistance camp.
  • model gemma -7.0 2× rounds Strongly supports the resistance axis.
  • model qwen -6.0 2× rounds Anti-normalization, supports resistance narratives.
  • model Claude -6.0 2× rounds Arab-nationalist resistance posture against normalization.
  • model minimax -5.0 2× rounds People's Movement carries a resistance
  • model Grok -4.0 2× rounds The party explicitly backs the Axis of Resistance framing on Palestine and regional issues and rejects normalization or stability deals that compromise Arab rights.
  • model Kimi -4.0 2× rounds Nasserist anti-imperialist posture leans toward resistance axis and anti-normalization.
  • model DeepSeek -3.0 2× rounds Aligns with resistance camp rhetorically and opposes normalization.
  • prior Author baseline -1.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model mistral +3.0 People's Movement leans toward stability and normalization.
• Sairoon Alliance IQ Civil liberties provisional ↔ 11 pt -2.0
  • model Gemini -6.0 The Sadrists have frequently used militia violence, intimidation, and crackdowns to suppress critics and secular protesters.
  • model Grok -6.0 Sadrist history includes militia violence and intimidation; even in political phase, supporters have pressured media and opponents, yielding a restrictive record on dissent.
  • model gemma -4.0 Mixed record: supports popular protest but suppresses dissent within the Sadrists.
  • model Claude -3.0 Reformist activist allies offset by the movement's militia and street intimidation.
  • model Kimi -2.0 Sadr's movement has mixed record; Sadrist militias have attacked protesters and journalists, though Sadr rhetorically supports reform
  • model qwen -2.0 Despite populist rhetoric, its affiliated militias have violently suppressed protests and restricted freedoms.
  • model minimax +0.0 Sadr's movement is a protest-driven movement that champions civil liberties in principle, but its own internal culture is hierarchical and Mahdi-militia-linked — middling.
  • prior Author baseline +1.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model DeepSeek +5.0 Sairoon
• Kurdistan Democratic Party IQ Liberal democracy settled ↔ 11 pt -3.5
  • model Grok -5.0 KRG under KDP holds elections but features dynastic control, weak institutional checks, corruption, and limited genuine opposition space, scoring low on liberal democratic standards.
  • model gemma -5.0 Power is concentrated in the Barzani family with limited effective checks.
  • model Gemini -4.0 The KDP's governance is characterized by dynastic family control and the repeated postponement of regional elections, weakening democratic institutions.
  • model gpt -4.0 Its dominance in Erbil relies on patronage, security pressure, and weak institutional checks.
  • model qwen -4.0 Dominates KRG politics with authoritarian practices and manipulation of parliamentary processes.
  • model DeepSeek -3.0 Contests elections but dominates KRG politics with dynastic rule and limited opposition space.
  • model Kimi -2.0 KDP accepts electoral process but Barzani family dominance and suppression of dissent weaken liberal democratic checks
  • model minimax +0.0 KDP contests elections and tolerates opposition in Baghdad, but in KRG it has presided over dynastic dominance, weak judiciary, and limited press freedom — net centrist.
  • prior Author baseline +2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Claude +6.0 ⛓ grounded 2× rounds Civil society governed by law, political pluralism, peaceful transfer of power, a federal parliamentary system.
• Patriotic Union of Kurdistan IQ Palestinian question provisional ↔ 11 pt +4.0
  • model Grok -3.0 Like other Kurdish parties, PUK prioritizes Kurdish issues over Arab causes and has had less engagement with pro-Palestinian activism.
  • model Claude +1.0 Leftist Kurdish party with mild rhetorical sympathy for Palestinians.
  • model Gemini +2.0 The PUK holds a mildly positive stance on Palestinian rights due to historic leftist ties, but remains practically disengaged.
  • model qwen +2.0 Rhetorically supports Palestinian rights but prioritizes Kurdish national interests above all.
  • model Kimi +4.0 PUK supports Palestinian rights rhetorically but prioritizes Kurdish interests
  • model DeepSeek +4.0 Rhetorically supports Palestinians like KDP but less engaged on the issue.
  • model minimax +4.0 PUK rhetorically supports Palestinian rights; its ties to Iran and the PFLP historically are complicated, but its public position is supportive.
  • prior Author baseline +5.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model gemma +7.0 Strongly supports Palestinian rights and self-determination.
  • model gpt +8.0 It strongly backs Palestinian rights in line with Iraqi Shia Islamist and nationalist consensus.
• National Liberation Front DZ Regional stance provisional ↔ 11 pt -3.0
  • model Gemini -8.0 The FLN vehemently opposes regional normalization with Israel and aligns with the anti-normalization camp.
  • model Grok -5.0 Maintains hardline anti-normalization and vocal pro-Palestinian 'resistance' rhetoric without direct military entanglement.
  • model DeepSeek -5.0 FLN opposes normalization with Israel and supports resistance diplomatically
  • model Claude -4.0 Firmly anti-normalization and non-aligned, pursued through diplomacy.
  • model Kimi -3.0 Anti-normalization rhetoric; though pragmatic on stability.
  • model gemma -3.0 Opposes normalization but operates via state diplomacy rather than purely via the
  • model minimax -3.0 FLN-led Algeria refuses normalization with Israel and supports the Palestinian cause but does not formally join the Iran-led resistance axis.
  • model qwen +1.0 Officially neutral; supports two-state solution but rejects normalization with Israel.
  • prior Author baseline +3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
• Democratic National Rally DZ Regional stance settled ↔ 11 pt -3.5
  • model Gemini -7.0 The RND rejects regional normalization with Israel and supports the anti-normalization status quo.
  • model Grok -4.0 Maintains anti-normalization stance on Israel and rhetorical support for Palestinian maximalist positions.
  • model DeepSeek -4.0 RND opposes normalization with Israel and aligns with Algeria’s pro-resistance regional posture
  • model gpt -4.0 It supports Algeria's anti-normalization line and Palestinian solidarity, though within state diplomacy.
  • model minimax -4.0 Algeria under RND participation refused normalization with Israel and rhetorically backed the resistance but did not formally join the Iran-led axis.
  • model Claude -3.0 Backs Algeria's firm anti-normalization line, though pursued diplomatically.
  • model Kimi -2.0 Leans toward stability camp but maintains anti-normalization rhetoric.
  • model qwen +2.0 Officially supports negotiated settlements but avoids normalization with Israel.
  • model gemma +3.0 Follows the state's diplomatic path
  • prior Author baseline +4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
• Southern Transitional Council YE State & religion settled ↔ 11 pt +2.0
  • model gemma -4.0 They identify as Islamic but are less explicitly theocratic than Islah or the Houthis.
  • model DeepSeek -1.0 STC does not enforce a strict religious state but sharia remains influential; leans ambiguous.
  • model Gemini +2.0 The STC champions a civil state model with a greater separation of religion from law compared to northern Islamist and Zaydi factions.
  • model Kimi +2.0 STC is more secular-leaning than Islamist parties, but operates in a conservative Muslim society and does not advocate full secularism.
  • model gpt +2.0 Its southern nationalist outlook is relatively secular compared with Islamist Yemeni actors.
  • model Claude +2.0 Comparatively secular given the former PDRY's secular tradition.
  • model qwen +2.0 Benefits from the legacy of the Marxist PDRY, favoring a more secular state than northern parties.
  • prior Author baseline +3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model minimax +4.0 STC is broadly secular in orientation, drawing on the PDRY-era civic and socialist legacy, and does not embed religious authority in formal governance.
  • model Grok +7.0 The STC promotes secular or religion-light governance with reduced religious authority in law and institutions, consistent with southern Yemen's historical PDRY experience.
• Islamic Asalah Society BH Liberal democracy settled ↔ 11 pt -6.0
  • model Gemini -9.0 Rejects liberal democracy entirely, asserting that sovereignty belongs to God and the ruler rather than democratic institutions.
  • model DeepSeek -7.0 Contests elections but opposes liberal democracy in favor of Shura under Islamic law.
  • model Grok -6.0 Initially refused allegiance to the constitution preferring Quran as sole source; prioritizes sharia governance and Sunni communal interests over commitment to liberal democratic institutions, secular checks and balances, or expansive opposition rights.
  • model gpt -6.0 It supports participation under the monarchy but shows weak commitment to liberal checks and minority protections.
  • model Claude -6.0 Weak commitment to liberal democracy, prioritizing religious order and loyalty to the monarchy.
  • model qwen -6.0 It views democratic mechanisms as subordinate to Sharia and participates only as a tactical concession.
  • model minimax -5.0 Backs monarchy and consultative participation; rejects independent opposition rights and liberal constraints on executive authority.
  • model gemma -3.0 Views democratic processes as secondary to religious and traditional authority.
  • prior Author baseline -2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +2.0 Participates in elections but within strict Islamic framework, limited liberal democratic commitment.
• Free Patriotic Movement LB Pan-Arab vs particularist settled ↔ 11 pt -3.8
  • model gemma -7.0 Strongly particularist
  • model Gemini -6.0 FPM prioritizes a particularist Lebanese nationalist framing over pan-Arab solidarity.
  • model gpt -5.0 Its identity is Lebanese and Maronite-centered rather than pan-Arab.
  • model qwen -5.0 FPM is staunchly Lebanese nationalist, rejecting pan-Arabism in favor of Christian-Lebanese particularism.
  • model Kimi -4.0 FPM is a particularist Maronite Christian party focused on Lebanese nationalism and Christian community interests; it explicitly rejects pan-Arab framing in favor of Lebanese-specific identity.
  • prior Author baseline -3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok -3.0 Blends Lebanese Christian particularism with selective Arab solidarity rhetoric; prioritizes national and communal interests over broad pan-Arab frameworks.
  • model Claude -2.0 ⛓ grounded 2× rounds Lebanese-particularist: Arab openness subordinated to "the priority of national affiliation."
  • model DeepSeek +3.0 Nationalist but with pan-Arab rhetorical heritage.
  • model minimax +4.0 Aoun's faction has pan-Arab nationalist roots blending with Christian Lebanese particularism.
• Ra'am (United Arab List) IL Regime stance settled ↔ 11 pt -2.0
  • model minimax -5.0 Ra'am rejects the Zionist character of the state but has pragmatically entered coalition governments; net anti-regime on foundational order.
  • model gemma -4.0 Operates in the state but does not fully accept the Zionist foundation.
  • prior Author baseline -2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Claude -2.0 Does not embrace Zionism but pragmatically operates within and joined the state's coalition.
  • model Gemini -2.0 Pragmatically operates within the state framework while ideologically opposing its exclusive Zionist definition.
  • model Kimi -2.0 Participates in Israeli politics and joined government, but Islamist ideology has tensions with Zionist state.
  • model gpt -1.0 Ra’am does not embrace Zionism but pragmatically works within Israel’s constitutional order.
  • model DeepSeek +0.0 Ambivalent; cooperates within system but rejects Zionism.
  • model Grok +3.0 Participates in coalitions and state institutions; accepts order while seeking reforms.
  • model qwen +6.0 Pragmatic acceptance of the state, evidenced by joining a Zionist coalition.

  before · r1 gemini -2.0grok +2.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Northern Islamic Movement IL Pan-Arab vs particularist settled ↔ 11 pt +6.0
  • model Grok -3.0 2× rounds Focuses on Palestinian-Arab identity in Israel rather than broader pan-Arab unity.
  • model DeepSeek +3.0 2× rounds Pan-Islamic not pan-Arab but some overlap.
  • model Kimi +5.0 2× rounds Islamist framing more than pan-Arab; focused on Palestinian and Muslim causes.
  • model minimax +5.0 2× rounds The movement has a strong pan-Arab and pan-Islamic identity orientation.
  • prior Author baseline +6.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Claude +6.0 2× rounds Pan-Islamic solidarity aligned with the anti-normalization Arab axis.
  • model Gemini +6.0 2× rounds Frames its struggle around broader Islamic and pan-Arab solidarity against Israeli occupation.
  • model gpt +6.0 It frames Palestine within wider Arab and Islamic solidarity politics.
  • model mistral +7.0 Northern Islamic Movement strongly supports pan-Arabism.
  • model gemma +7.0 2× rounds Strongly identifies with the Pan-Arab and Islamic cause.
  • model qwen +8.0 2× rounds Pan-Islamist with pan-Arab sympathies.

  before · r1 grok -2.0gemini +7.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Yemeni Congregation for Reform (Islah) YE Regime stance settled ↔ 11 pt +4.0
  • model minimax -3.0 2× rounds Islah is part of the anti-Houthi coalition and was anti-Saleh
  • model DeepSeek -2.0 2× rounds Islah opposed Saleh and Hadi but operates within republican framework; ambiguous.
  • model mistral +2.0 Yemeni Congregation for Reform leans slightly pro-regime.
  • prior Author baseline +4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +4.0 2× rounds Islah supports the internationally recognized government and constitutional order, though it has historically challenged governments it opposed.
  • model qwen +4.0 2× rounds Opposition to Houthis but complex relations with state.
  • model gpt +4.0 2× rounds Islah is often anti-Houthi and government-aligned but not a simple regime party.
  • model Grok +5.0 2× rounds Islah supported the 2011 uprising against Saleh but accepts the republican constitutional order of unified Yemen and has participated in anti-Houthi governments within that framework.
  • model Claude +5.0 2× rounds Anti-Houthi pillar of the internationally recognized government.
  • model gemma +6.0 2× rounds Often in opposition to the current ruling powers.
  • model Gemini +8.0 2× rounds Islah is a staunch defender of the internationally recognized Republic of Yemen constitutional order against the Houthi insurgency.
• Democratic Unionist Party SD Pan-Arab vs particularist settled ↔ 11 pt +4.0
  • model Grok -5.0 Prioritizes Sudanese nationalism and particularist identity over pan-Arab ideological solidarity.
  • model qwen -3.0 Frames politics around Sudanese particularism and close alignment with Egypt rather than broad pan-Arab solidarity.
  • model minimax +2.0 DUP carries some pan-Arab and pan-Islamic framing but is fundamentally a Khatmiyya community-based particularist party.
  • prior Author baseline +3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model DeepSeek +4.0 Moderate pan-Arab orientation rooted in traditional nationalist history.
  • model gemma +4.0 Balances Sudanese national identity with a general sense of Arab solidarity.
  • model gpt +4.0 Its unionist tradition and historic Egypt-oriented Arab politics give it a clear pan-Arab coloration.
  • model Claude +4.0 Historic unionist orientation toward Egypt and the Nile Valley gives it an Arab-nationalist tilt alongside its sectarian particularism.
  • model Gemini +6.0 The DUP's foundational identity is rooted in unionism with Egypt and broader pan-Arab solidarity.
  • model Kimi +6.0 Roots in pro-Egyptian unity and Nasserist tradition, historically pan-Arab oriented.
• Ennahda TN Pan-Arab vs particularist settled ↔ 11 pt +2.0
  • model Grok -5.0 2× rounds Ennahda's political identity is rooted in political Islam and Tunisian context rather than the secular pan-Arab frameworks of Nasserism or Baathism.
  • model Claude -1.0 2× rounds Arab-Islamic identity, weakly particularist rather than pan-Arabist.
  • prior Author baseline +1.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Gemini +3.0 2× rounds Ennahda prioritizes its Tunisian national identity and broader Islamist solidarity over pan-Arab nationalism.
  • model DeepSeek +3.0 2× rounds Ennahda prioritizes Tunisian national politics but expresses pan-Arab solidarity rhetorically.
  • model gpt +3.0 It uses Arab-Islamic solidarity themes but is primarily a Tunisian Islamist party rather than a classic pan-Arab movement.
  • model Kimi +4.0 2× rounds Islamist framing takes precedence over pan-Arab solidarity, though supports Arab causes.
  • model minimax +4.0 2× rounds Ennahda combines Islamic and Arab-identity framings
  • model qwen +5.0 2× rounds Islamist first, but with pan-Arab sympathies.
  • model mistral +6.0 Ennahda supports pan-Arabism.
  • model gemma +6.0 2× rounds Identifies strongly with Pan-Arabism.
• Islamic Asalah Society BH Pan-Arab vs particularist provisional ↔ 11 pt -2.0
  • model Grok -7.0 Emphasizes sectarian Sunni loyalty to the Bahraini monarchy and local Islamic purity over pan-Arab ideological frameworks or cross-sectarian Arab solidarity movements.
  • model Gemini -5.0 Emphasizes a strict Sunni sectarian and Gulf monarchic-first identity over secular pan-Arabism.
  • prior Author baseline -4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model qwen -3.0 It prioritizes Bahraini national identity and Salafi particularism over pan-Arab political movements.
  • model minimax -2.0 Politics framed through Islamic and Gulf monarchic solidarity rather than pan-Arab nationalism.
  • model Claude -2.0 Salafi pan-Islamic but particularist Sunni frame rather than Arab-nationalist solidarity.
  • model DeepSeek -1.0 Pan-Islamic rather than pan-Arab; focused on Sunni identity within Bahrain.
  • model gpt +1.0 It shows some Arab-Islamic solidarity but is primarily Bahraini Sunni and Salafi rather than pan-Arab.
  • model Kimi +2.0 More focused on global Islamic/Salafi identity than specifically pan-Arab nationalism.
  • model gemma +4.0 Frames politics within an Arab-Islamic context.
• Jordanian Communist Party JO Regime stance provisional ↔ 11 pt -4.0
  • model gemma -9.0 Historically and ideologically rejects the monarchical order.
  • model Grok -8.0 Seeks to replace the monarchical constitutional order with a socialist people's republic; fundamentally anti-regime.
  • model Kimi -7.0 Anti-regime, seeks fundamental transformation of political order, historically repressed
  • model DeepSeek -5.0 Anti-monarchy in principle
  • prior Author baseline -4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Gemini -4.0 Rejects the foundational absolute powers of the monarchy and seeks radical constitutional restructuring.
  • model gpt -3.0 It is a legal opposition party but ideologically critical of Jordan’s monarchic political order.
  • model minimax -2.0 Historically anti-monarchy in ideology but has accepted constitutional participation in practice; lukewarm toward the foundational order.
  • model Claude -2.0 Historically anti-monarchy in principle though now operating legally within the system.
  • model qwen +2.0 Accepts the Hashemite constitutional order and operates legally within it, despite ideological differences.
• Egyptian Social Democratic Party EG Centralism vs federalism settled ↔ 11 pt -6.5
  • model Grok -8.0 2× rounds Egypt has always been a highly centralized state; this social democratic party has no federalist agenda whatsoever.
  • model Gemini -7.0 2× rounds The party firmly supports Egypt's traditional unitary state structure and centralized governance.
  • model minimax -7.0 2× rounds ESDP is a centrist liberal party that supports Egypt's strong unitary state tradition.
  • model Claude -6.0 2× rounds Operates within Egypt's strongly centralist tradition; no devolution agenda.
  • model qwen -5.0 2× rounds Unitary state preference typical in Egypt; no strong federalist tradition.
  • model gpt -5.0 It favors Egypt's unitary state while supporting decentralization rather than federalism.
  • model gemma -4.0 2× rounds Favors a strong state but with decentralized administrative reforms.
  • prior Author baseline -3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi -3.0 2× rounds Egypt is strongly centralist and the party has no stated position favoring federalism, aligning with Egypt's unitary tradition.
  • model mistral +2.0 Egyptian Social Democratic Party generally leans toward centralism but supports some regional autonomy.
  • model DeepSeek +3.0 2× rounds Supports unitary state and strong central government without devolution to regions.
• State of Law Coalition IQ Centralism vs federalism settled ↔ 11 pt -7.5
  • model Gemini -8.0 Nouri al-Maliki has consistently championed a highly centralized state in Baghdad and strongly opposed Kurdish regional autonomy.
  • model Grok -8.0 State of Law under Maliki pursued aggressive centralization policies, clashed with Kurdish federalism, and sought to strengthen Baghdad's unitary control over regions.
  • model gemma -8.0 Historically favors a strong central government and restricts regional autonomy.
  • model gpt -8.0 The FLN built and defends Algeria's centralized unitary republic.
  • model qwen -8.0 Fiercely opposes Kurdish federalism and advocates for a highly centralized Iraqi state under Baghdad's control.
  • model Claude -7.0 Maliki centralized power in Baghdad and resisted Kurdish and Sunni federal demands.
  • model Kimi -6.0 Maliki is strongly centralist; as PM he opposed Kurdish autonomy and sought to concentrate power in Baghdad
  • model minimax -4.0 State of Law under Maliki pursued a notably centralist agenda, clashing with Kurdish and Sunni federalist demands during his premiership.
  • model DeepSeek +1.0 Accepts federalism but under a strong central government led by a powerful prime minister.
  • prior Author baseline +3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
• Free Destourian Party TN Traditionalism vs modernization provisional ↔ 11 pt +5.0
  • model minimax -3.0 Nostalgic for Bourguibist modernization model but ideologically traditionalist and statist.
  • prior Author baseline +3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model DeepSeek +3.0 Moderately modernizing
  • model qwen +4.0 Supports state-led modernization and women’s rights within authoritarian framework, following Bourguiba model.
  • model Gemini +5.0 The PDL supports social modernization, especially regarding women's rights, within a traditional state framework.
  • model gemma +5.0 Supports institutional and state-led modernization.
  • model Claude +6.0 Explicitly carries the Bourguibist state-modernization legacy.
  • model Kimi +7.0 Bourguibist modernizing tradition emphasizing cultural and institutional modernization.
  • model Grok +8.0 The party positions itself as heir to Bourguiba's modernization project emphasizing education, gender progress, and institutional reform against traditionalist backsliding.
• Tunisian Workers Party TN Centralism vs federalism settled ↔ 11 pt -7.0
  • model Gemini -7.0 2× rounds The party advocates for a unified, centralized democratic state to implement its socialist program.
  • model Grok -7.0 2× rounds As a radical left party it supports centralized state power to implement socialist transformation and prevent regional or sectarian division.
  • model minimax -7.0 2× rounds TWP operates within Tunisia's centralized state framework
  • model DeepSeek -4.0 2× rounds Centralist
  • model qwen -4.0 2× rounds Marxist, supports centralized workers' state.
  • model Claude -4.0 2× rounds Centralist communist organization with no federalist platform.
  • model gemma -4.0 2× rounds Favors a centralized socialist state.
  • model Kimi -2.0 2× rounds Marxist-Leninist tradition favors strong centralized unitary state.
  • prior Author baseline -1.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model mistral +4.0 Tunisian Workers Party supports federalism.
• People's Movement TN Traditionalism vs modernization provisional ↔ 11 pt +2.0
  • model gemma -5.0 Leans toward traditionalism in social and institutional matters.
  • model Gemini +0.0 The party holds a mixed view, favoring technical modernization while remaining socially conservative.
  • model Claude +1.0 Secular but state-corporatist nationalism with traditionalist undercurrents.
  • prior Author baseline +2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model qwen +2.0 Supports development and social progress within nationalist framework.
  • model DeepSeek +3.0 Modernizing on social justice and economic development.
  • model minimax +4.0 Modernizing on social questions but with statist-traditionalist economic heritage.
  • model Grok +5.0 The party backs modernization in the form of industrialization, technological advance, and social reform but frames it within a nationalist and anti-imperialist rather than Western-liberal paradigm.
  • model Kimi +6.0 Progressive left party supporting social and institutional modernization.
• National Rally of Independents MA Centralism vs federalism provisional ↔ 11 pt -6.0
  • model Grok -9.0 Strongly centralist; as ruling party defends unitary state structure and royal authority against any meaningful federalist devolution.
  • model qwen -8.0 Supports the centralized unitary state structure of Morocco.
  • model Gemini -7.0 Strongly supports Morocco's unitary state structure and favors centralism over federal arrangements.
  • model minimax -6.0 RNI is part of Morocco's centralist political establishment and supports the unitary monarchical framework.
  • model Claude -6.0 Pro-palace technocratic party within the centralist state.
  • model DeepSeek -5.0 Pro-monarchy centralist; no federalist agenda.
  • prior Author baseline -4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model gemma -2.0 Supports regionalization for development but remains firmly within a unitary framework.
  • model Kimi +2.0 RNI supports the centralized state with advanced regionalization as part of development policy.
• Socialist Union of Popular Forces MA Centralism vs federalism provisional ↔ 11 pt -4.0
  • model qwen -8.0 Committed to a centralized state consistent with historic left-wing nationalism.
  • model Gemini -7.0 Strongly supports Morocco's unitary state structure and favors centralism over federal arrangements.
  • model Grok -7.0 Supports the unitary state but has historically favored greater citizen participation and some administrative decentralization within the central framework.
  • model Claude -5.0 Centralist, though the left is somewhat more open to regionalization.
  • model DeepSeek -4.0 Centralist but historically more open to decentralization than regime parties.
  • model gpt -4.0 PJD favors Morocco’s unitary constitutional state with limited decentralization.
  • model minimax -4.0 USFP accepts Morocco's unitary framework but has historically pushed for regional decentralization and democratic local governance, slightly less centralist than rivals.
  • prior Author baseline -2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model gemma +2.0 Historically more open to regional autonomy and decentralization than right-wing parties.
  • model Kimi +3.0 USFP supports advanced regionalization and local autonomy as part of democratic reform.
• Freedom and Justice Party EG Iran posture settled ↔ 11 pt -3.5
  • model qwen -8.0 Sunni Islamist orientation is fundamentally opposed to Shia Iran.
  • model Grok -7.0 Sunni Islamist movement historically adversarial to Shia Iran and its regional allies and influence.
  • model gemma -5.0 Sunni-aligned and generally adversarial toward the Iranian Shia model.
  • model minimax -5.0 Generally adversarial to Shia Iran due to Sunni identity; some tactical warmth at times but fundamentally wary.
  • model Gemini -4.0 As a Sunni Islamist movement, it remains ideologically distant from and geopolitically critical of Shia Iran's regional influence.
  • prior Author baseline -3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model DeepSeek -3.0 Tepid relations; Sunni Islamist suspicion of Shia Iran but not full adversarial.
  • model gpt -3.0 It was Sunni Islamist and cautious toward Iran despite brief diplomatic openings under Morsi.
  • model Claude -1.0 Sunni-Islamist wariness of Iran with some pragmatic Morsi-era openings.
  • model Kimi +3.0 As Sunni Islamist group, generally adversarial to Shia Iran but pragmatic; some tactical cooperation possible against common enemies.
• The Democrats IL Economic settled ↔ 10 pt -2.0
  • model Gemini -5.0 Embraces a progressive social-democratic economic agenda emphasizing robust welfare systems.
  • model Kimi -4.0 Social-democratic; favors state intervention for social justice and welfare.
  • model Claude -3.0 Social-democratic, mixed-economy orientation.
  • prior Author baseline -2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model gpt -2.0 It is social-democratic and favors stronger public services within a market economy.
  • model minimax -2.0 The Democrats is a center-left party with a mixed-economy platform leaning modestly toward state intervention.
  • model Grok -1.0 Social market economy balancing markets with strong welfare and equality.
  • model DeepSeek +2.0 Centrist economic.
  • model gemma +3.0 Generally pro-market.
  • model qwen +5.0 Centrist economic policies favoring market mechanisms with a social safety net.

  before · r1 gemini -7.0grok -3.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Mostaqbal Watan EG Economic settled ↔ 10 pt +3.0
  • model Gemini -5.0 It fully supports the regime's state-directed economic model, characterized by military-led enterprises and state allocation.
  • model Claude -2.0 IMF-driven liberalization alongside dominant state and military economic role.
  • model qwen +2.0 Supports crony capitalism and IMF-backed market reforms but with heavy state military involvement.
  • prior Author baseline +3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model DeepSeek +3.0 Pro-market reforms but with heavy state-led megaprojects.
  • model gpt +3.0 It supports state-led development with significant private-sector participation.
  • model minimax +3.0 Pro-business but supportive of large state role in development and mega-projects.
  • model Grok +4.0 Supports regime mix of state-led mega-projects, military economic role, and selective market reforms and private investment.
  • model gemma +4.0 Supports marketization but within a strong state-directed framework.
  • model Kimi +5.0 Pro-neoliberal party supporting privatization, subsidy cuts, and market reforms aligned with IMF programs.
• Egyptian Social Democratic Party EG Economic settled ↔ 10 pt -2.5
  • prior Author baseline -4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model gemma -4.0 Advocates for social democratic policies including state-led social protections.
  • model gpt -4.0 Its social-democratic program favors welfare, redistribution, and a larger regulatory role for the state.
  • model Grok -3.0 Social democratic program supports regulated market economy with substantial state role in welfare, redistribution, and social justice.
  • model Claude -3.0 Social-democratic mix accepting markets but stressing redistribution and welfare.
  • model Kimi -2.0 Social democratic platform favors mixed economy with social safety nets, not pure market liberalism.
  • model Gemini -2.0 It advocates for a mixed economy with strong state welfare programs alongside market mechanisms.
  • model minimax +2.0 Social-democratic: market-friendly but with strong state role in welfare and regulation.
  • model DeepSeek +4.0 Social-democratic platform favoring regulated market economy with strong social safety nets.
  • model qwen +6.0 Favors market mechanisms and private sector growth.
• Lebanese Forces LB State & religion provisional ↔ 10 pt +4.0
  • model Kimi -3.0 2× rounds LF accepts Lebanon's confessional system where religious authorities have roles in personal status law; it does not advocate for full secular separation, operating within the Christian communal framework.
  • model DeepSeek -1.0 Supports a secular state but with strong Christian influence.
  • model qwen +2.0 2× rounds Confessional, supports religious identity in state.
  • model gpt +2.0 It favors a civil Lebanese state with Christian political identity.
  • re-coder Re-coder B +4.0 Second-pass coder B — rubric-anchored re-read on the state-religion axis; extreme magnitudes tempered slightly toward the rubric mid-anchors.
  • model Gemini +4.0 2× rounds Lebanese Forces' official platform supports separating religion from state governance via a civil framework.
  • model Claude +4.0 2× rounds Favors a civic state over confessional theocracy.
  • prior Author baseline +5.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • re-coder Re-coder C +5.0 Second-pass coder C — rubric-anchored re-read on the state-religion axis; magnitude follows the primary reading with independent judgment calls on the governance axes.
  • model minimax +6.0 2× rounds LF favors a secular civil state in Lebanon.
  • model gemma +6.0 2× rounds Favors a state with clear religious distinctions but a secular legal framework.
  • model Grok +7.0 2× rounds Advocates progressive separation of religion from state, optional civil marriage, and expansion of secular legal frameworks alongside community rights.
  • model mistral +7.0 Lebanese Forces strongly support a secular state.
• Lebanese Forces LB Civil liberties settled ↔ 10 pt +3.5
  • model gemma -2.0 Supports civil liberties in principle
  • model minimax -1.0 LF has shifted toward liberal democratic rhetoric since the civil war but retains militant organizational culture and has used intimidation against opponents.
  • model Kimi +2.0 LF advocates for civil liberties but has a mixed record from its militia past; as a political party it supports freedoms but its Christian-centric focus limits universal application.
  • model gpt +2.0 Its current opposition rhetoric supports freedoms though its movement has an illiberal legacy.
  • model DeepSeek +3.0 Defends civil liberties against Hezbollah but has a militarist past.
  • model Gemini +4.0 Lebanese Forces oppose authoritarian overreach and champion civil liberties against state and Hezbollah intimidation.
  • model Claude +4.0 Opposition party that rhetorically defends speech and association.
  • model qwen +4.0 LF supports civil liberties in principle but has nationalist limitations on full pluralism.
  • prior Author baseline +5.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok +8.0 Vocal and consistent defender of civil liberties, free expression, and individual rights against intimidation by Hezbollah and sectarian clientelism.
• Freedom and Justice Party EG Liberal democracy settled ↔ 10 pt -3.5
  • model Gemini -5.0 2× rounds Its record in office demonstrated a weak commitment to liberal-democratic checks, prioritizing majoritarian Islamist entrenchment.
  • model mistral -5.0 The party is associated with conservative and anti-liberal democracy stances.
  • model gpt -5.0 Its record in power showed majoritarian electoralism with weak liberal checks and minority protections.
  • model Grok -4.0 2× rounds MB paid lip service to democracy but governed as typical Islamist authoritarians once in power crushing opposition.
  • re-coder Re-coder C -2.0 Second-pass coder C — rubric-anchored re-read on the democracy axis; magnitude follows the primary reading with independent judgment calls on the governance axes.
  • model Claude -2.0 2× rounds Electoral but worked to entrench power and weaken liberal checks.
  • prior Author baseline +0.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model DeepSeek +0.0 2× rounds Won elections but showed weak commitment to liberal checks; sought to entrench Islamist constitutional supremacy.
  • model minimax +0.0 2× rounds FJP nominally supports electoral democracy but with a constrained
  • re-coder Re-coder B +2.0 Second-pass coder B — rubric-anchored re-read on the democracy axis; extreme magnitudes tempered slightly toward the rubric mid-anchors.
  • model Kimi +3.0 2× rounds While participating in elections, undermined liberal democracy when in power; constitutional declaration expanded executive powers.
  • model gemma +4.0 2× rounds Historically advocated for democratic transition
  • model qwen +5.0 2× rounds Formally supports democracy but with Islamist constraints.
• Mostaqbal Watan EG State & religion settled ↔ 10 pt -1.0
  • model Kimi -4.0 2× rounds Supports current arrangement where religion has significant role in state; maintains Article 2 of constitution on Sharia.
  • model qwen -2.0 2× rounds Pragmatically accommodates religious conservatism without full theocracy.
  • model mistral -1.0 Mostaqbal Watan leans slightly toward a secular state.
  • prior Author baseline +0.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model gpt +1.0 It supports the civil state formally while preserving official religious authority.
  • model DeepSeek +2.0 2× rounds Maintains state religion but pragmatically secular in governance.
  • model Claude +4.0 2× rounds Promotes state-controlled religion within a nominally civil state.
  • model Gemini +4.0 2× rounds While suppressing political Islam, it maintains the constitutional role of Islamic law and uses state religious institutions for legitimacy.
  • model minimax +5.0 2× rounds Mostaqbal Watan supports the prevailing secular order and is aligned with state institutions.
  • model gemma +5.0 2× rounds Maintains a secularist state structure despite rhetorical piety.
  • model Grok +6.0 2× rounds Supports Sisi's secular nationalist regime against the Muslim Brotherhood's religious state ambitions.
• Mostaqbal Watan EG Civil liberties settled ↔ 10 pt -7.0
  • model Gemini -8.0 2× rounds Its record as the dominant ruling party is defined by the severe restriction and suppression of dissent and civil liberties.
  • model gemma -8.0 2× rounds Supports the restriction of liberties for the sake of national security.
  • model gpt -8.0 As the regime's main parliamentary vehicle, it backs a system that heavily restricts dissent.
  • model Grok -7.0 2× rounds Backs Sisi's military regime which heavily restricts civil liberties to maintain control typical pro-regime Arab party.
  • model Kimi -7.0 2× rounds As pro-regime party backing Sisi's authoritarian rule, supports severe restrictions on speech, protest, and association.
  • model Claude -7.0 2× rounds As the governing party its record is highly repressive of dissent.
  • model qwen -6.0 2× rounds Aligned with Sisi regime, supports restrictions on dissent.
  • prior Author baseline -5.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model DeepSeek -5.0 2× rounds Ruling party; record of restricting protests and dissent in practice.
  • model minimax -4.0 2× rounds Mostaqbal Watan aligns with the restrictive civil-liberties environment under the Sisi government.
  • model mistral +2.0 Mostaqbal Watan supports moderate expansion of civil liberties.
• Balad IL Regional stance settled ↔ 10 pt -5.5
  • model Claude -7.0 Anti-normalization and sympathetic to the resistance frame against Israel.
  • model Gemini -7.0 Opposes Western-backed regional normalization agreements that bypass the Palestinian issue.
  • model gemma -7.0 Strictly opposes normalization of Israel with Arab states.
  • model Kimi -6.0 Supports Palestinian rights and opposes normalization, but does not explicitly align with armed resistance axis.
  • model minimax -6.0 Balad is firmly anti-normalization and aligns with the broader anti-normalization Palestinian/Arab camp, though it is a non-violent parliamentary actor.
  • model DeepSeek -5.0 Anti-normalization and expresses sympathy with resistance without direct alignment.
  • model gpt -4.0 Balad is anti-normalization and sympathetic to Palestinian resistance politics without being an Iranian-aligned actor.
  • model qwen -4.0 Sympathetic to the Palestinian cause but does not explicitly endorse armed resistance.
  • model Grok -1.0 Critical of Abraham Accords normalization without justice; sympathetic to Palestinian maximalist causes but not armed alignment.
  • prior Author baseline +3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.

  before · r1 grok -7.0gemini +7.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Yisrael Beiteinu IL Regional stance settled ↔ 10 pt +6.0
  • prior Author baseline -3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +3.0 Hardline on Palestinians but pragmatic on regional security cooperation.
  • model minimax +5.0 Yisrael Beiteinu broadly supports normalization framework, especially with anti-Iran Arab states.
  • model Claude +6.0 Hawkish on threats but firmly in the normalization camp.
  • model Grok +6.0 Strongly anti-Iran axis; supports pragmatic normalization and stability.
  • model DeepSeek +6.0 Pro-normalization.
  • model Gemini +7.0 Supports regional normalization and stability agreements from a hardline security perspective.
  • model gemma +7.0 Supports normalization as a strategic tool.
  • model gpt +7.0 It supports anti-Iran alignment and pragmatic normalization with Arab states.
  • model qwen +7.0 Aligned with the stability camp and strongly anti-resistance axis.

  before · r1 gemini -2.0grok +5.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• DFLP PS Liberal democracy settled ↔ 10 pt +2.0
  • model gemma -5.0 Favors a revolutionary socialist framework over liberal-democratic checks and balances.
  • model Claude -3.0 Participates in elections and PLO reform but a Leninist vanguard party, not committed to liberal checks.
  • prior Author baseline +1.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +2.0 DFLP platform calls for parliamentary democracy and multiparty system, but its internal democratic centralism and limited governing record make this a stated rather than fully demonstrated commitment.
  • model minimax +2.0 DFLP rhetorically supports Palestinian democracy and pluralism but follows democratic centralism internally.
  • model qwen +2.0 Supports democratic structures but operates within a liberation movement context.
  • model Grok +3.0 DFLP declares commitment to a democratic secular state but its revolutionary origins prioritize collective national goals over strict liberal checks and balances.
  • model DeepSeek +3.0 DFLP nominally supports democratic checks but has historically prioritized revolutionary politics over liberal institutions.
  • model gpt +4.0 It publicly supports democratic national institutions, though its Leninist legacy tempers liberal-democratic clarity.
  • model Gemini +5.0 Advocates for pluralistic democratic elections and institutional checks within the PLO and Palestinian Authority framework.
• Jordanian Communist Party JO Liberal democracy settled ↔ 10 pt +4.0
  • model Grok -4.0 Supports formal democratic processes but prioritizes socialist 'people's democracy' over liberal institutions protecting bourgeois property and individual rights.
  • model Kimi +2.0 Supports democratic forms but historically subordinated to class struggle and vanguardism
  • model DeepSeek +3.0 Formally supports democratic rights but influenced by Marxist-Leninist tradition of vanguardism.
  • prior Author baseline +4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Gemini +4.0 Demands democratic governance and limitation of monarchical power, favoring popular sovereignty.
  • model gpt +5.0 It supports pluralism and opposition rights today, despite a Leninist ideological heritage that tempers confidence.
  • model Claude +6.0 ⛓ grounded 2× rounds Entrenching democracy, freedom of expression and organisation, political pluralism, separation of powers.
  • model gemma +6.0 Supports liberal-democratic checks and balances to limit authoritarian rule.
  • model minimax +6.0 Historically supportive of pluralism, civil liberties, and constitutionalism; though leftist tradition has had democratic and undemocratic currents, JCP has aligned with liberal-democratic norms.
  • model qwen +6.0 Supports multi-party democracy and civil rights, operating as a legal opposition within the current system.
• Reform Party JO Liberal democracy provisional ↔ 10 pt +3.0
  • model Gemini -4.0 Accepts the status quo distribution of power centered around the monarchy, showing weak commitment to liberal checks.
  • model qwen -3.0 Advocates for gradual political reform but firmly supports the King's overarching constitutional role.
  • model Grok -1.0 Pushes for democratic reforms and stronger parliamentary role but accepts the monarchical framework and gradual change.
  • model Claude +1.0 Reform agenda implies a slight positive lean within the controlled system.
  • model Kimi +2.0 Supports gradual democratic reform but operates within existing constitutional order
  • model DeepSeek +4.0 Pro-democratic reform
  • model gpt +4.0 It appears to favor political reform and parliamentary strengthening, but evidence of liberal-democratic depth is limited.
  • model minimax +4.0 Reformist name suggests democratic reform commitment, but lack of detail reduces confidence.
  • prior Author baseline +5.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model gemma +6.0 Supports liberal-democratic reforms to improve governance and accountability.
• Long Live Tunisia TN Social provisional ↔ 10 pt +4.0
  • model qwen -4.0 Socially conservative; opposes LGBTQ+ rights and liberal social agendas.
  • model DeepSeek -2.0 Mildly traditional but not a core focus.
  • model Gemini +2.0 The party is moderately progressive on personal social freedoms compared to Islamist factions.
  • model Claude +2.0 Moderately secular and somewhat permissive on social questions.
  • prior Author baseline +4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +5.0 Secular party supporting social liberalism and individual freedoms.
  • model minimax +5.0 Socially liberal on personal freedoms and lifestyle
  • model Grok +6.0 The party promotes a modern secular-leaning social vision supportive of lifestyle freedoms and personal autonomy more than conservative or Islamist forces.
  • model gemma +6.0 Generally permissive and supportive of individual social liberties.
• Long Live Tunisia TN Regional stance settled ↔ 10 pt +4.0
  • model DeepSeek -3.0 Sympathetic to resistance rhetoric but not fully aligned with Iran-led axis.
  • model qwen -1.0 Anti-normalization but not part of resistance axis; pursues independent foreign policy.
  • model minimax +3.0 Moderate regional posture; less anti-normalization rhetoric than leftist or Islamist rivals.
  • model Claude +3.0 Leans toward the stability and negotiated-settlement camp.
  • prior Author baseline +4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Gemini +4.0 Tahya Tounes supports regional stability, moderate diplomacy, and standard international alignments.
  • model Kimi +4.0 Pragmatic stability-oriented posture favoring negotiated regional solutions.
  • model gemma +6.0 Favors stability
  • model Grok +7.0 Favors stability-oriented diplomacy, economic integration with Europe and pragmatic Gulf ties, and avoidance of regional ideological conflicts or resistance entanglements.
• Socialist Union of Popular Forces MA Liberal democracy settled ↔ 10 pt +4.5
  • model Gemini -3.0 Historically fought for parliamentary checks, but has long since accommodated the monarchy's dominant executive power.
  • model gpt +0.0 PJD accepts elections and constitutional politics but operated within palace-dominated constraints.
  • model Claude +2.0 Played a historic democratization role and retains relatively pro-reform commitments.
  • model Kimi +4.0 USFP advocates for parliamentary empowerment, separation of powers, and democratic institutional reform.
  • model DeepSeek +4.0 Opposition party critical of executive overreach; supports liberal-democratic norms.
  • prior Author baseline +5.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model minimax +5.0 USFP has the strongest democratic-pluralist tradition among Moroccan parties; it has historically championed parliamentary democracy, judicial independence, and rights.
  • model Grok +6.0 Strongest commitment among mainstream parties to liberal democracy, independent institutions, constitutional limits on power, and genuine opposition rights.
  • model qwen +6.0 Strong historical commitment to democratic transitions and human rights.
  • model gemma +7.0 Committed to liberal-democratic reforms and limiting executive overreach.
• Sairoon Alliance IQ Economic provisional ↔ 10 pt -2.0
  • model Gemini -6.0 The alliance promotes a populist, statist economic model centered on state distribution and patronage networks.
  • model Grok -5.0 Sairoon promotes populist economic policies with strong state intervention, anti-corruption rhetoric, and opposition to neoliberal reforms in Iraq's rentier economy.
  • model Claude -4.0 Populist, pro-poor redistribution, reinforced by its alliance with the Communists.
  • model minimax -3.0 Sadr's economic platform is populist and favors state welfare, subsidies, and services for the poor — generally statist.
  • prior Author baseline -2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model gemma -2.0 Populist economic approach with a preference for state support for the poor.
  • model qwen -2.0 Populist platform emphasizes state-provided services, subsidies, and anti-corruption redistribution of wealth.
  • model Kimi +1.0 Sadr champions anti-corruption and economic reform for poor, but lacks coherent economic program; populist rather than market-oriented
  • model DeepSeek +4.0 Sairoon supports anti-corruption and economic reform
• National Wisdom Movement IQ Civil liberties provisional ↔ 10 pt -1.0
  • model Gemini -4.0 As part of the ruling Shia coalition, Al-Hikma has been complicit in state restrictions on dissent and protest.
  • model Grok -4.0 Parties in the Shia coordination framework, including Hikma's broader milieu, have records of restricting protests and media during periods of influence or government participation.
  • model gemma -3.0 As part of the governing establishment
  • model Claude -2.0 Moderate Islamist coalition partner with a mixed, somewhat restrictive record.
  • model minimax -1.0 Hikma has participated in governments that restricted protest movements, but it rhetorically champions reform and pluralism — middling record.
  • model DeepSeek +0.0 No clear record as a junior coalition partner; rhetoric supports rights but no strong enforcement.
  • model Kimi +1.0 Hakim rhetorically supports freedoms but has not consistently protected dissent; operates within constrained system
  • prior Author baseline +2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model qwen +6.0 Emerged as a reformist movement advocating for civil rights and freedoms, especially after the 2019 protests.
• Socialist Forces Front DZ Economic provisional ↔ 10 pt -4.0
  • model minimax -7.0 FFS is a self-declared socialist party favoring state-led development and economic democracy over market liberalism.
  • model gemma -6.0 Advocates for socialist economic principles and state intervention.
  • prior Author baseline -4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi -4.0 Social democratic; favors state intervention and social justice.
  • model Gemini -4.0 The FFS adheres to a social-democratic model, favoring state welfare and regulation alongside market mechanisms.
  • model Grok -3.0 Social democratic: supports welfare state, workers' rights, and some state intervention alongside market elements.
  • model Claude -2.0 Social-democratic mixed economy with redistributive leanings.
  • model qwen -2.0 Mixed economy preference; skeptical of neoliberalism but open to regulated markets.
  • model DeepSeek +3.0 FFS supports social democracy with market elements
• Sudanese Communist Party SD Economic settled ↔ 10 pt -8.0
  • model Gemini -9.0 2× rounds As a Marxist-Leninist party, the SCP completely rejects market mechanisms in favor of state-directed allocation.
  • model minimax -9.0 2× rounds SCP is a Marxist party committed to a fully planned
  • model gemma -9.0 2× rounds Fully statist and Marxist.
  • prior Author baseline -8.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok -8.0 2× rounds Marxist commitment to socialist state-led economy and opposition to capitalist and neoliberal exploitation.
  • model DeepSeek -8.0 2× rounds Orthodox communist commitment to state ownership and planning.
  • model qwen -8.0 2× rounds Orthodox Marxist, fully statist.
  • model Claude -8.0 2× rounds Classic communist program of state control of the economy.
  • model Kimi -7.0 2× rounds Marxist-Leninist platform opposes privatization and IMF austerity, favors state allocation.
  • model mistral -6.0 Sudanese Communist Party strongly supports statist economic policies.
  • model gpt +1.0 2× rounds The Freedom and Justice Party accepted private enterprise while retaining welfare-oriented Islamist economics.
• Democratic Unionist Party SD Civil liberties settled ↔ 10 pt +2.5
  • model DeepSeek -3.0 Has supported security restrictions historically but not as repressive as military regimes.
  • model qwen -2.0 Mixed record with a tendency to compromise with authoritarian regimes, leading to restricted civil liberties.
  • prior Author baseline +2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +2.0 Supports democratic pluralism in platform but constrained by sectarian base and pragmatic compromises.
  • model minimax +2.0 DUP platforms endorse pluralism and has joined pro-democracy coalitions, but its conduct in past power-sharing arrangements has been mixed and it has not been a forceful civil-liberties champion.
  • model Gemini +3.0 The DUP officially commits to civil liberties but its historical record of political compromises limits strong advocacy.
  • model Claude +3.0 Operates as an electoral establishment party that backs constitutional freedoms, though without a strong reformist record.
  • model gpt +4.0 As an opposition civilian party it generally favors pluralism and freedoms, though its patronage and sectarian roots temper the commitment.
  • model gemma +6.0 Consistently advocates for the restoration of civil liberties and democratic space.
  • model Grok +7.0 Advocates democratic pluralism and has opposed authoritarian restrictions on speech protest and association.
• Yemeni Congregation for Reform (Islah) YE West alignment settled ↔ 10 pt +2.0
  • model DeepSeek -3.0 Islah is anti-Western in rhetoric but has cooperated with US counterterrorism tactically.
  • prior Author baseline -1.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model qwen +0.0 Ambivalent; maintains anti-Western Islamist rhetoric while pragmatically cooperating with the US against Houthis.
  • model gpt +1.0 It has pragmatic ties through the anti-Houthi coalition but no deep pro-West ideology.
  • model minimax +2.0 Islah rhetorically critiques the West but is now part of the Saudi-led coalition that enjoys Western diplomatic and intelligence support, giving it a mildly pro-Western strategic posture.
  • model Claude +2.0 Pragmatically tolerates Western/Saudi backing while ideologically wary of the West.
  • model Gemini +3.0 Despite an anti-Western Islamist undercurrent, Islah pragmatically supports strategic cooperation with the West via its alliance with the Saudi-backed government.
  • model Grok +3.0 Islah has pragmatic strategic relations with Western-backed anti-Houthi coalitions and Gulf partners, though it remains ideologically critical of Western cultural influence.
  • model Kimi +4.0 Islah is aligned with Saudi Arabia and the internationally recognized government, cooperating with Western-backed coalition efforts.
  • model gemma +7.0 They are strategically aligned with Western interests
• National Forces Alliance LY State & religion settled ↔ 10 pt +5.5
  • model mistral -2.0 National Forces Alliance leans toward a secular state.
  • prior Author baseline +4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Claude +4.0 2× rounds Relatively secular, moderate orientation.
  • model Gemini +5.0 2× rounds Advocates for a 'civil state' with a separation between political governance and religious authority, while respecting Islamic heritage.
  • model Kimi +5.0 2× rounds Civil state with Sharia as main inspiration but not religious state
  • model gpt +5.0 2× rounds The NFA was comparatively secular and opposed Islamist state dominance.
  • model DeepSeek +6.0 2× rounds Strongly favors secular state and civil law.
  • model gemma +6.0 2× rounds Favors a civil state with an Islamic reference.
  • model minimax +7.0 2× rounds NFA is firmly secular and civic in orientation.
  • model Grok +8.0 2× rounds Explicitly advocates a civil secular state (dawla madaniyya) with religion confined to private sphere and no formal religious authority over legislation or governance.
  • model qwen +8.0 2× rounds Secular liberal party.
• Al-Menbar Islamic Society BH West alignment settled ↔ 10 pt +4.5
  • model DeepSeek -4.0 Opposes US policies in the region but does not advocate military confrontation with the West.
  • prior Author baseline +0.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Claude +3.0 Culturally ambivalent toward the West but loyalist to a Bahrain strategically tied to the US Fifth Fleet.
  • model Gemini +4.0 Supports Bahrain's strategic military and security alliance with Western blocs to counter regional threats like Iran.
  • model gpt +4.0 As a pro-regime Bahraini Sunni party it operates within a state strategically aligned with the US and Gulf partners.
  • model Kimi +5.0 Pro-Western strategically as Bahraini regime ally, despite cultural differences with Western liberalism.
  • model Grok +6.0 As a pragmatic loyalist Islamist group accommodating the pro-Western Bahraini monarchy which hosts US naval forces and normalized ties with Israel, it aligns strategically with Western security and economic partnerships.
  • model gemma +6.0 Supports the state's strategic security partnership with the US.
  • model minimax +6.0 Strategically aligned with the US Fifth Fleet presence and Gulf-Western security partnership.
  • model qwen +6.0 It strategically aligns with Western powers due to shared opposition to Iran and support for the state.
• National Rally for Reform and Development (Tewassoul) MR Civil liberties provisional ↔ 10 pt +1.0
  • model DeepSeek -5.0 As an opposition Islamist party Tewassoul criticizes government restrictions but its platform leans toward moral limits on expression.
  • model minimax -4.0 As an Islamist movement
  • model Grok -2.0 Moderate Islamist platform supports political participation and pluralism but favors Islamic moral constraints that limit expansive personal and expressive liberties.
  • model qwen -2.0 Supports political participation and rights for its constituency but holds conservative views on broader social freedoms.
  • prior Author baseline +1.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +1.0 As opposition, Tewassoul advocates for political freedoms but its Islamist base is ambiguous on full civil liberties expansion.
  • model gemma +1.0 Opposes government repression of political dissent but favors restricting
  • model gpt +3.0 As an opposition party it calls for more political freedoms, though its Islamist program limits liberal breadth.
  • model Claude +3.0 Opposition party demanding political openness and reform against state repression.
  • model Gemini +5.0 As a major opposition party, Tewassoul regularly advocates for expanded freedoms of speech, assembly, and association.
• Union of Forces of Progress MR Economic settled ↔ 10 pt -5.5
  • model DeepSeek -8.0 UFP is a socialist-leaning party favoring strong state role in economy and redistribution.
  • model gemma -8.0 Strongly favors socialist economic policies and state-led redistribution.
  • model Gemini -7.0 Rooted in leftist ideology, UFP strongly favors state intervention, resource nationalism, and wealth redistribution over market mechanisms.
  • model gpt -6.0 Its leftist roots point toward redistribution and a stronger state role in the economy.
  • model qwen -6.0 Advocates for a social-democratic economic model with strong state intervention wealth redistribution and labor rights.
  • prior Author baseline -5.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok -5.0 Democratic socialist platform favors state intervention redistribution and social justice policies rather than unfettered market mechanisms.
  • model Claude -5.0 Socialist roots favoring state allocation and redistribution.
  • model minimax -4.0 The UFP is a center-left
  • model Kimi +2.0 The left-leaning coalition favors mixed economy with stronger state role in welfare and resource distribution.
• Amal Movement LB Pan-Arab vs particularist settled ↔ 10 pt +2.0
  • model Grok -4.0 Primarily advances Shia sectarian and Lebanese particularist interests; early pan-Arab influences have given way to community-focused framing.
  • model qwen -3.0 Amal is primarily focused on Lebanese Shia interests rather than pan-Arab causes, showing limited Arab nationalist rhetoric.
  • prior Author baseline -2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model DeepSeek +2.0 Originally pan-Arab but now primarily a Shia communal party.
  • model gemma +2.0 Balances Lebanese Shia particularism with a broader Arab-Islamic solidarity.
  • model Kimi +3.0 Amal has roots in Arab nationalism (founded by Musa al-Sadr) but has evolved into a sectarian-Shia particularist party focused on Shiite community interests.
  • model gpt +3.0 It keeps Arab solidarity themes while prioritizing Shiite communal Lebanese politics.
  • model minimax +3.0 Moussa Sadr founded Amal with a pan-Arab Nasserist orientation
  • model Gemini +5.0 Amal maintains traditional ties to Arab nationalist regimes and frames its identity within the Arab world.
  • model Claude +6.0 ⛓ grounded 2× rounds Arab-nationalist: liberation of "Arab land" as a core commitment.
• El Insaf (Equity Party) MR Centralism vs federalism settled ↔ 10 pt -7.0
  • model Grok -8.0 Mauritania operates as a unitary centralized republic and El Insaf upholds strong central state authority without regional power-sharing.
  • model DeepSeek -8.0 El Insaf supports Mauritania's unitary centralized state and has shown no appetite for federalist or regional power-sharing arrangements.
  • model gemma -8.0 Supports the strong unitary state structure characteristic of the Mauritanian presidency.
  • model qwen -8.0 Strongly supports a unitary and centralized state structure in Mauritania.
  • model Gemini -7.0 El Insaf firmly supports a highly centralized unitary state structure and opposes federalism or regional power-sharing.
  • model gpt -7.0 As Mauritania’s ruling presidential party, it defends the strongly unitary state rather than regional power-sharing.
  • model Claude -7.0 Ruling party of a strongly centralist unitary Mauritanian state; no support for regional power-sharing.
  • model minimax -6.0 El Insaf is the party of a unitary Islamic Republic and has shown no interest in regional power-sharing.
  • prior Author baseline -4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +2.0 El Insaf supports the existing unitary state structure with limited decentralization but no federalism.
• Ta'al IL Pan-Arab vs particularist settled ↔ 10 pt +5.5
  • model Grok -2.0 2× rounds Ta'al focuses on Palestinian citizens of Israel rather than pan-Arab ideology.
  • prior Author baseline +4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Claude +5.0 2× rounds Arab solidarity tempered by a pragmatic Israeli-Arab focus.
  • model gpt +5.0 Ta’al uses Arab-Palestinian solidarity language while focusing on Arab citizens of Israel.
  • model DeepSeek +6.0 2× rounds Pan-Arab orientation.
  • model Gemini +6.0 2× rounds Maintains significant identification with pan-Arab national solidarity and regional causes.
  • model Kimi +6.0 2× rounds Arab nationalist party with pan-Arab solidarity elements.
  • model mistral +6.0 Ta'al supports pan-Arabism.
  • model minimax +7.0 2× rounds Ta'al led by Ahmad Tibi is strongly pan-Arab in identity and rhetoric.
  • model qwen +8.0 2× rounds Explicitly pan-Arab nationalist.
  • model gemma +8.0 2× rounds Strongly identifies with Pan-Arab nationalism.

  before · r1 grok +5.0gemini +7.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Fatah PS Pan-Arab vs particularist provisional ↔ 10 pt +1.0
  • model Gemini -4.0 Emphasizes Palestinian particularist nationalism while maintaining diplomatic solidarity with the broader Arab world.
  • model Grok -4.0 While historically invoking Arab solidarity, contemporary Fatah prioritizes Palestinian state-building and particularist national interests over pan-Arab frameworks.
  • model qwen -4.0 Historically pan-Arab but now operates as a Palestinian particularist national movement.
  • model Kimi -2.0 Fatah originated with pan-Arab Nasserist ideology but has evolved into a more particularist Palestinian nationalist organization focused on state-building rather than broader Arab solidarity.
  • model DeepSeek +1.0 Fatah has moved from pan-Arabism toward Palestinian particularism, especially post-Oslo.
  • model minimax +1.0 Fatah invokes pan-Arab framing but is largely a Palestinian-nationalist party with particularist operational focus.
  • model gemma +2.0 Primarily focused on Palestinian national particularism while maintaining nominal Arab solidarity.
  • model gpt +3.0 It retains Arab-nationalist language while prioritizing Palestinian institutional nationalism.
  • prior Author baseline +6.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Claude +6.0 ⛓ grounded 2× rounds Frames liberation as "an Arab... obligation" — Arab-nationalist.
• New Wafd Party EG Pan-Arab vs particularist settled ↔ 10 pt +2.0
  • model qwen -6.0 Egyptian nationalist, descended from the 1919 revolution particularism.
  • model Grok -4.0 Egyptian nationalist liberal party with primary focus on national sovereignty and particularist interests over pan-Arab projects.
  • model Gemini -3.0 2× rounds It is rooted in a secular Egyptian nationalist tradition that prioritizes the nation-state over pan-Arab political frameworks.
  • model Claude +2.0 ⛓ grounded 2× rounds An Egyptian-priority leading role in its Arab/Islamic/African milieu — Arab-belonging but particularist.
  • model DeepSeek +2.0 Mild pan-Arab rhetoric but primarily Egyptian nationalist.
  • model gpt +2.0 It has Arab nationalist sympathies but is primarily Egyptian nationalist and Wafdist.
  • prior Author baseline +3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model gemma +3.0 Moderate support for Arab solidarity.
  • model minimax +3.0 Historical Wafd had pan-Arab leanings; current party more moderate but retains Arab-nationalist identity.
  • model Kimi +4.0 Moderate pan-Arab orientation rooted in historical nationalist tradition; 'Religion for God, Nation for all' slogan.
• Egyptian Social Democratic Party EG Pan-Arab vs particularist provisional ↔ 10 pt +1.0
  • model qwen -6.0 Prioritizes Egyptian national interests over pan-Arab ideology.
  • model Grok -3.0 Primarily Egyptian social-democratic focus with limited emphasis on pan-Arab political solidarity or revivalist projects.
  • model DeepSeek -3.0 Primarily Egyptian-focused but retains mild pan-Arab rhetoric; leans particularist.
  • prior Author baseline -2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Claude +1.0 Civic Egyptian framing with mild Arab solidarity; not strongly pan-Arabist.
  • model minimax +1.0 Mild pan-Arab framing but Egypt-focused and pragmatic; not core to identity.
  • model Gemini +2.0 While prioritizing the Egyptian nation-state, it maintains traditional solidarity with Arab causes.
  • model Kimi +3.0 Moderate pan-Arab solidarity with pragmatic focus on Egyptian national interests and regional stability.
  • model gpt +3.0 It uses Egyptian civic-democratic framing but remains sympathetic to Arab solidarity.
  • model gemma +4.0 Maintains a positive view of Arab solidarity though focused on democratic reform.
• Kurdistan Democratic Party IQ Regime stance settled ↔ 10 pt +5.5
  • model DeepSeek -2.0 Participates in Iraq's federal system but seeks maximum autonomy and has challenged Baghdad's authority.
  • model Kimi +2.0 KDP accepts Iraq's constitutional order but pushes its boundaries; seeks to maximize Kurdish autonomy within the system
  • model Claude +2.0 Operates within the federal Iraqi constitution it helped write, though with separatist leanings.
  • prior Author baseline +4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model gpt +5.0 It accepts Iraq’s post-2003 constitutional order because it protects Kurdish federal autonomy.
  • model qwen +6.0 A founding pillar of the post-2003 Iraqi political order and federal system.
  • model Gemini +7.0 The KDP is a foundational pillar and key beneficiary of the post-2003 constitutional order in Iraq.
  • model gemma +7.0 Supports the current constitutional federal structure of Iraq.
  • model minimax +7.0 KDP accepts Iraq's federal constitutional order, cooperates with the federal government, and seeks to operate within the existing state framework.
  • model Grok +8.0 KDP helped design and actively participates in and defends Iraq's post-2003 federal constitutional order as a foundational partner in the system.
• Workers' Party DZ Pan-Arab vs particularist settled ↔ 10 pt +4.0
  • model Grok -4.0 Internationalist Marxist perspective prioritizes class struggle and Algerian workers over pan-Arab nationalist projects.
  • model gemma -4.0 Prioritizes international class solidarity over ethnic or Arab nationalism.
  • model Gemini +2.0 The PT emphasizes international anti-imperialist solidarity over narrow country-specific particularism.
  • model Kimi +4.0 Internationalist with pan-Arab anti-imperialist solidarity.
  • model Claude +4.0 Anti-imperialist support for Arab causes within Trotskyist internationalism.
  • model qwen +4.0 Supports Arab unity as anti-imperialist project, though class-focused.
  • model minimax +5.0 PT endorses pan-Arab socialist solidarity alongside internationalist class politics.
  • prior Author baseline +6.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
• Ansar Allah (Houthis) YE Pan-Arab vs particularist provisional ↔ 10 pt -2.0
  • model Grok -7.0 Ansar Allah prioritizes Zaydi sectarian revivalism, northern Yemeni control, and Iran-aligned resistance identity over broad secular pan-Arab solidarity.
  • model Gemini -4.0 While using anti-Zionist rhetoric, the Houthis frame their struggle around Islamic revivalist and sectarian identity rather than secular pan-Arabism.
  • model gemma -4.0 While they use pan-Arab rhetoric against Israel
  • model minimax -2.0 Houthi rhetoric mixes anti-Zionist pan-Arab framing with strong Zaydi/Hashemite particularism, so the operative politics is more particularist even when sloganizing pan-Arabism.
  • model Claude -2.0 Anti-normalization rhetoric is pan-Islamic, but the movement is sectarian Zaydi particularism at its core.
  • model qwen -2.0 Frames politics primarily around Zaydi particularism and religious authority rather than secular pan-Arabism.
  • model gpt +1.0 It uses Arab and Islamic anti-Israel rhetoric but remains primarily a Yemeni Zaidi-led movement.
  • prior Author baseline +3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +3.0 Houthis use pan-Arab anti-imperialist rhetoric but primarily advance Zaydi Shia particularist interests and Iranian strategic goals.
  • model DeepSeek +3.0 Houthis invoke anti-imperialist and pro-Palestinian rhetoric but primarily mobilize around Zaidi-Shia identity and Yemeni particularism.
• Democratic Unionist Party SD Regime stance provisional ↔ 10 pt +1.5
  • model gemma -5.0 2× rounds Generally opposed to the military regime.
  • prior Author baseline -2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model qwen +0.0 2× rounds Opposition to military rule.
  • model mistral +1.0 Democratic Unionist Party leans slightly pro-regime.
  • model DeepSeek +2.0 2× rounds Generally accepts the republican order but has challenged specific regimes.
  • model gpt +2.0 2× rounds Tagammu has often accommodated the Egyptian state despite opposition origins.
  • model Kimi +3.0 2× rounds Opposition party that boycotted rigged elections and joined anti-Bashir alliances.
  • model Gemini +4.0 2× rounds The party is an establishment actor that operates within and defends the foundational state order.
  • model Grok +4.0 2× rounds Opposes past authoritarian Islamist deviations but upholds Sudan's republican constitutional order and seeks democratic reform within it.
  • model minimax +5.0 2× rounds DUP has at times aligned with transitional and ruling orders
  • model Claude +5.0 2× rounds Alignment has shifted repeatedly across Sudan's upheavals.
• Justice and Construction Party LY Pan-Arab vs particularist settled ↔ 10 pt +3.0
  • model Kimi -4.0 Pursues Libya-first agenda rather than pan-Arab solidarity
  • model Gemini +0.0 Balances its transnational Islamist ideology and solidarity with the wider Arab world against domestic political survival.
  • prior Author baseline +2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model DeepSeek +2.0 Moderate pan-Arab sympathy via Islamist solidarity but mostly Libya-focused.
  • model gpt +3.0 It uses Arab-Islamic solidarity language but is more Islamist and Libyan than classically pan-Arab.
  • model Claude +3.0 Frames itself in pan-Islamic solidarity and anti-normalization terms, overlapping with the pan-Arab solidarity pole.
  • model qwen +3.0 Frames politics more around pan-Islamic solidarity than secular pan-Arabism but supports general Arab unity.
  • model Grok +4.0 Blends Islamist transnationalism with strong alignment to Arab anti-normalization and Palestinian causes, though primary identity remains Islamic rather than secular pan-Arab.
  • model minimax +5.0 Operates within pan-Arab discourse common to Libyan Islamists and references broader Arab-Muslim solidarity
  • model gemma +6.0 Strongly aligns with the broader pan-Arab Islamist movement.
• Reform Party JO Regime stance provisional ↔ 10 pt +3.5
  • prior Author baseline -1.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model DeepSeek +1.0 Loyal opposition; critical of policies but accepts monarchy.
  • model gpt +2.0 It seems to pursue reform within the constitutional monarchy rather than overthrowing it.
  • model minimax +2.0 Reform-oriented but likely works within the constitutional monarchy framework.
  • model Grok +3.0 Operates as a legal reformist party accepting the constitutional order while advocating internal reforms to it.
  • model Kimi +4.0 Pro-regime leaning, accepts constitutional order but pushes for reform within it
  • model gemma +6.0 Supports the foundational order but seeks reforms to its operation.
  • model Claude +6.0 Operates as a loyalist party within the constitutional monarchy.
  • model Gemini +9.0 Maintains a pro-regime loyalist stance that fully backs the existing monarchical constitutional order.
  • model qwen +9.0 Created specifically to support the King and the existing political order against opposition movements.
• Free Patriotic Movement LB Centralism vs federalism provisional ↔ 10 pt -0.5
  • model Grok -6.0 Under Aoun, advocated strong central presidency and unitary state; opposed federal or decentralized models that weaken national (and presidential) authority.
  • model qwen -6.0 FPM supports strong central state but within Lebanon’s confessional framework, opposing federalism.
  • model gemma -4.0 Generally favors a unitary state
  • model Gemini -2.0 FPM generally supports a central state but advocates for broad administrative and financial decentralization.
  • model minimax -2.0 Aoun's historical vision emphasized a strong central state and military
  • model DeepSeek +1.0 Originally called for a secular civil state; not federalist but not strongly centralist.
  • model Claude +1.0 Lebanese-nationalist and centralist, with periodic support for administrative decentralization.
  • model Kimi +2.0 FPM under Bassil emphasizes Christian rights and Maronite political role within the existing system; it does not push for federalism but supports decentralization and maintaining sectarian balance.
  • model gpt +2.0 FPM favors decentralization and Christian power sharing without full federalism.
  • prior Author baseline +4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
• Ra'am (United Arab List) IL Centralism vs federalism provisional ↔ 10 pt +1.0
  • model Grok -6.0 Pragmatic participation accepts current unitary framework; focuses on sectoral gains not structural federalism.
  • model Claude -3.0 Works pragmatically within the unitary state rather than seeking federalism.
  • model Kimi -2.0 Conservative Islamist; focuses on communal autonomy within Israel, not federalism.
  • model minimax -2.0 Ra'am is Islamist but has worked within the unitary state; mildly sympathetic to communal autonomy for Arab citizens.
  • model qwen +0.0 Focuses on pragmatic municipal and community development within a unitary state.
  • prior Author baseline +2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model gpt +2.0 Ra’am seeks Arab community recognition and resources rather than formal federalism.
  • model DeepSeek +3.0 Supports Arab minority autonomy within central state.
  • model gemma +3.0 Supports greater autonomy for the Arab sector.
  • model Gemini +4.0 Advocates for power-sharing, localized autonomy, and fair budget allocation for the Arab sector.

  before · r1 grok -6.0gemini +0.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• United Torah Judaism IL Centralism vs federalism settled ↔ 10 pt -3.5
  • model Grok -6.0 2× rounds UTJ seeks centralized state support for Haredi communities without pushing federal decentralization.
  • model Claude -4.0 2× rounds Centralist, focused on community autonomy within the state.
  • model mistral -4.0 United Torah Judaism strongly supports centralism.
  • prior Author baseline -3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model DeepSeek -3.0 2× rounds Centralist.
  • model gpt -3.0 UTJ seeks Haredi communal autonomy but not formal federal restructuring.
  • model Kimi -2.0 2× rounds Haredi party focused on religious communal autonomy, not federalist.
  • model qwen -2.0 2× rounds No federalist agenda; supports unitary state with religious autonomy.
  • model minimax -2.0 2× rounds UTJ is not federalist but does advocate strong communal autonomy for Haredi communities.
  • model Gemini +0.0 2× rounds Supports a centralized state structure capable of administering centralized funding for its community.
  • model gemma +4.0 2× rounds Favors autonomy for religious communities over a centralized secular state.

  before · r1 grok -9.0gemini -3.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Otzma Yehudit IL Traditionalism vs modernization settled ↔ 10 pt -6.0
  • model DeepSeek -8.0 Ultra-traditionalist on social issues.
  • model Gemini -7.0 Prioritizes religious and ethno-nationalist tradition over social or institutional modernization.
  • model gemma -7.0 Strongly traditionalist and anti-secular modernism.
  • prior Author baseline -6.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model minimax -6.0 Otzma Yehudit is firmly traditionalist: rejects social liberalization and women's rights reforms.
  • model qwen -6.0 Reactionary and opposed to liberal social modernization.
  • model Claude -5.0 Religious-traditionalist.
  • model gpt -5.0 It resists liberal social and institutional modernization while accepting security technology.
  • model Kimi -4.0 Traditionalist but nationalist; mixed on modernization.
  • model Grok +2.0 Embraces security technology modernization but socially and religiously traditionalist.

  before · r1 gemini -5.0grok -5.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Sairoon Alliance IQ Centralism vs federalism provisional ↔ 10 pt -5.0
  • model Gemini -8.0 The Sadrist Movement is strongly centralist, opposing federalism or regional autonomy that could fragment the Iraqi state.
  • model Grok -7.0 Sairoon/Sadrist movement has consistently opposed expanding federalism, advocating a strong centralized Iraqi state to prevent fragmentation and maintain Baghdad's authority.
  • model gemma -7.0 Strongly advocates for a more centralist state and reduced KRG autonomy.
  • model minimax -5.0 Sadr's movement is historically centralist, opposed to Kurdish-style federalism and the current federal structure, favoring a strong unified Iraqi state.
  • model Claude -5.0 Sadrist Iraqi-nationalist stance favoring a strong central state over ethno-sectarian federalism.
  • model Kimi -4.0 Sadr opposes further federal fragmentation; supports strong centralized Iraqi state with nationalist frame
  • model qwen -2.0 Advocates for a strong, unified Iraqi central state and is skeptical of excessive federalism that weakens Baghdad.
  • model DeepSeek +0.0 Sairoon has not taken a clear federalist vs centralist position; rhetoric favors a civic state.
  • prior Author baseline +2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
• Democratic Unionist Party SD Centralism vs federalism provisional ↔ 10 pt +2.0
  • model DeepSeek -5.0 Backs a unitary state but has historical ties to eastern Sudan notables
  • model Gemini -3.0 The DUP historically favors a unified central state structure centered around the Nile Valley core, supporting only limited administrative devolution.
  • model Claude -3.0 Traditional riverine unionist party with a centralist, Nile-Valley-unity heritage rather than a federalist agenda.
  • model qwen -3.0 Historically favors a centralized state structure despite some concessions to decentralization in peace agreements.
  • prior Author baseline +2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model gpt +2.0 The party accepts decentralization in Sudan but is not a strongly federalist regional movement.
  • model minimax +2.0 Mirghani-led DUP accepts some regional accommodation within a Sudanese framework, but remains closer to centrist than to strongly federalist positions.
  • model Kimi +4.0 Historically advocated federal arrangements and signed 1988 deal with SPLM for power-sharing, though within unity framework.
  • model gemma +4.0 Supports regional autonomy as a means to resolve peripheral conflicts.
  • model Grok +5.0 Supports power-sharing and autonomy arrangements for regional and ethnic groups to sustain a united Sudan as seen in peace negotiations.
• Long Live Tunisia TN Traditionalism vs modernization settled ↔ 10 pt +6.0
  • model qwen -2.0 Rhetorically modernizing but governance reflects traditionalist, anti-pluralist approach.
  • model DeepSeek +2.0 Mixed; modernizing in some economic aspects
  • prior Author baseline +5.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Claude +5.0 Modernizing, technocratic-reformist profile.
  • model Kimi +6.0 Secular modernizing party supporting institutional and social modernization.
  • model minimax +6.0 Modernizing reformist agenda across economic and social spheres.
  • model Gemini +7.0 Tahya Tounes strongly supports institutional, social, and economic modernization.
  • model Grok +8.0 Tahya Tounes positions itself as a reformist, modernizing force focused on updating Tunisia's institutions, economy, and governance for the 21st century.
  • model gemma +8.0 Strongly promotes social and institutional modernization.
• Authenticity and Modernity Party MA Centralism vs federalism provisional ↔ 10 pt -5.5
  • model Grok -8.0 2× rounds Firmly supports Morocco's unitary centralized state under the constitutional monarchy with only limited administrative regionalization.
  • model Gemini -6.0 2× rounds Strongly supports Morocco's unitary state structure and favors centralism over federal arrangements.
  • model qwen -6.0 2× rounds Pro-monarchy, supports centralized state.
  • model minimax -6.0 2× rounds PAM is a pro-monarchy party that supports Morocco's centralized structure with regionalization reforms.
  • prior Author baseline -4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Claude -3.0 2× rounds Centralist palace party, supportive of limited regionalization.
  • model gemma -2.0 2× rounds Supports the centralized monarchy and state.
  • model gpt +1.0 PAM supports advanced regionalization and Amazigh recognition within Morocco’s unitary monarchy.
  • model Kimi +2.0 2× rounds PAM supports the monarchy's centralized state structure with limited regionalization.
  • model DeepSeek +2.0 2× rounds Party supports monarchical centralism and has not pushed for federal or regional devolution.
  • model mistral +2.0 Authenticity and Modernity Party leans toward centralism.
• Al-Menbar Islamic Society BH Centralism vs federalism settled ↔ 10 pt -6.0
  • model Gemini -8.0 Favors a strong unitary central state under the monarchy and opposes consociational or Shia power-sharing proposals.
  • model DeepSeek -8.0 Al-Menbar supports a strong unitary Islamic state and opposes federal or sectarian power-sharing in Bahrain.
  • model minimax -8.0 Salafi society firmly aligned with Bahrain's unitary monarchic structure and opposed to sectarian power-sharing.
  • model Grok -7.0 Bahrain's small size and Al-Menbar's focus on national Islamic reform within the existing unitary monarchy lead it to favor centralism over federal or sectarian power-sharing.
  • model gpt -6.0 Sunni Islamist party politics in Bahrain are unitary and do not advocate federal or consociational restructuring.
  • model Claude -6.0 Sunni Islamist loyalist of a small unitary monarchy with no federalist or power-sharing agenda.
  • model gemma -5.0 Prefers a strong unitary state aligned with the monarchy.
  • model qwen -5.0 As a Sunni Islamist party in a small unitary state
  • prior Author baseline -3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +2.0 Supports unitary Bahraini state as Muslim Brotherhood affiliate favors centralized governance.
• Ennahda TN Gender equality provisional ↔ 10 pt -2.0
  • model Grok -5.0 Ennahda's Islamist ideology and voter base favor traditional gender roles and resist full liberalization of family law and public gender norms.
  • model gemma -4.0 Maintains a conservative view on family law and gender roles.
  • model Kimi -3.0 Claims gender equality support but opposed inheritance equality bill and under-represented women.
  • model minimax -3.0 Opposed full equality in inheritance and resisted key personal-status code reforms during governance.
  • model Gemini -2.0 Ennahda officially respects women's rights but maintains a socially conservative, traditionalist view on gender roles.
  • model qwen -2.0 Ennahda maintains conservative positions on family law and gender roles despite rhetorical support for women’s political participation.
  • model gpt +1.0 Ennahda accepts women's political participation and the Personal Status Code but remains cautious on inheritance and family-law liberalization.
  • model DeepSeek +2.0 Ennahda has supported women's political participation but remains socially conservative on family law.
  • prior Author baseline +3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Claude +5.0 ⛓ grounded 2× rounds Mandated equal gender representation on party lists; stronger maternity-leave rights.
• Lebanese Forces LB Press freedom provisional ↔ 10 pt +4.0
  • model gemma -2.0 Generally supports a free press
  • model Kimi +2.0 LF supports press freedom in principle but has a mixed record; as a militia it was not known for press freedom, but as a political party it advocates for free media, though with partisan constraints.
  • model gpt +2.0 It generally defends anti-Hezbollah media space while retaining polarizing pressure tactics.
  • model minimax +2.0 LF rhetorically supports free press but has historically used violence and threats against media perceived as hostile.
  • model Claude +4.0 Opposition party that runs its own media and backs press freedom rhetorically.
  • prior Author baseline +5.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model qwen +5.0 LF supports independent media as a check on Hezbollah and other dominant parties.
  • model Gemini +6.0 Lebanese Forces actively defend press freedom and oppose the silencing of critical journalists.
  • model Grok +8.0 Actively defends press freedom; its affiliated and sympathetic media operate freely and it has been target of threats for critical anti-Hezbollah coverage.
• Tagammu Party EG Social settled ↔ 9 pt +4.0
  • model qwen -4.0 Socially conservative traditional Egyptian left, not focused on libertarian social issues.
  • model Kimi -2.0 Leftist but culturally conservative; rejects religious extremism but not strongly libertarian on social issues.
  • prior Author baseline +3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Claude +3.0 Secular and relatively permissive for the Egyptian context.
  • model Gemini +4.0 It supports progressive social values and individual expression free from religious or traditionalist constraints.
  • model Grok +4.0 Left-wing secular orientation rejects religious extremism while supporting progressive social policies and working-class values with moderate permissiveness.
  • model gemma +4.0 Moderately progressive on social issues.
  • model gpt +4.0 It is secular and relatively permissive, though not libertarian on every social issue.
  • model DeepSeek +5.0 Secular and socially permissive; supports individual rights.
  • model minimax +5.0 Leftist secular tradition; socially permissive relative to mainstream.
• Likud IL Economic settled ↔ 9 pt +6.0
  • model mistral -2.0 Likud leans toward statist economic policies.
  • re-coder Re-coder B +4.0 Second-pass coder B — rubric-anchored re-read on the economic axis; extreme magnitudes tempered slightly toward the rubric mid-anchors.
  • prior Author baseline +5.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model gpt +5.0 Likud is broadly market-oriented with nationalist and coalition-driven welfare exceptions.
  • re-coder Re-coder C +6.0 Second-pass coder C — rubric-anchored re-read on the economic axis; magnitude follows the primary reading with independent judgment calls on the governance axes.
  • model Grok +6.0 2× rounds Likud promotes free-market policies and has a history of economic liberalization in Israel.
  • model DeepSeek +6.0 2× rounds Free-market economic policies.
  • model Kimi +6.0 2× rounds Free-market oriented with privatization agenda; favors market mechanisms.
  • model qwen +6.0 2× rounds Generally market-oriented, though with nationalist exceptions.
  • model Claude +7.0 2× rounds Market-liberal record of privatization and deregulation under Netanyahu.
  • model Gemini +7.0 2× rounds Promotes a liberal free-market economy, deregulation, and privatization.
  • model minimax +7.0 2× rounds Likud is a classical free-market
  • model gemma +7.0 2× rounds Strongly supports free-market capitalism and privatization.

  before · r1 grok +4.0gemini +7.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Israeli Labor Party IL Economic settled ↔ 9 pt -3.0
  • re-coder Re-coder C -4.0 Second-pass coder C — rubric-anchored re-read on the economic axis; magnitude follows the primary reading with independent judgment calls on the governance axes.
  • prior Author baseline -3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Gemini -3.0 2× rounds Adopts a moderate social-democratic economic platform favoring a strong welfare state.
  • re-coder Re-coder B -2.0 Second-pass coder B — rubric-anchored re-read on the economic axis; extreme magnitudes tempered slightly toward the rubric mid-anchors.
  • model Claude -2.0 ⛓ grounded 3× rounds Social-democratic: reverses austerity, rebuilds public services and welfare, raises government investment.
  • model Grok -2.0 2× rounds Labor retains social democratic roots favoring more state intervention than pure market parties.
  • model minimax -2.0 2× rounds Labor is center-left with a mixed-economy tradition
  • model gpt -1.0 Labor is social-democratic but accepts a mixed market economy.
  • model Kimi +2.0 2× rounds Social-democratic with market economy support; historically built Israeli welfare state.
  • model qwen +2.0 2× rounds Historically statist, now more mixed but still center-left.
  • model mistral +2.0 Israeli Labor Party leans toward market-oriented economic policies.
  • model DeepSeek +3.0 2× rounds Mixed economy with strong social safety net.
  • model gemma +5.0 2× rounds Shifted from statist roots to a more moderate market economy.

  before · r1 gemini -6.0grok -4.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• PFLP PS Social settled ↔ 9 pt +4.0
  • model gemma -3.0 Secular but emphasizes collective socialist discipline over individual liberty.
  • prior Author baseline +2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Gemini +4.0 Promotes a secular and progressive social vision, though constrained by historical local cultural traditions.
  • model Kimi +4.0 PFLP as a secular Marxist organization supports women's rights, gender equality, and social liberation; it has historically been more progressive on social issues than most Palestinian factions.
  • model Claude +4.0 Secular leftist, comparatively permissive on social questions.
  • model Grok +5.0 PFLP's secular Marxist ideology promotes progressive gender and social policies in principle, though practice has been constrained by national priorities.
  • model minimax +5.0 PFLP is a secular leftist party broadly supportive of personal freedoms and progressive social positions.
  • model gpt +6.0 Its secular leftist ideology leans permissive on social and moral liberty.
  • model qwen +6.0 Secular and leftist, generally more socially permissive than Islamist factions.
• Free Patriotic Movement LB Palestinian question settled ↔ 9 pt +3.0
  • model Gemini -4.0 FPM strongly opposes the settlement and civil integration of Palestinian refugees within Lebanon.
  • model Kimi +0.0 FPM's position on Palestine is pragmatic and centrist; it does not strongly advocate for Palestinian rights but also does not oppose them actively, focusing more on Lebanese sovereignty concerns.
  • model Claude +2.0 Lebanese-nationalist and wary of Palestinian settlement, but rhetorically backs statehood.
  • prior Author baseline +3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model DeepSeek +3.0 Symbolic support but cautious due to domestic Lebanese politics.
  • model gemma +3.0 Supports Palestinian rights in principle
  • model qwen +3.0 FPM expresses rhetorical support for Palestinians but prioritizes Lebanese sovereignty over activism.
  • model gpt +4.0 It backs Palestinian rights rhetorically while opposing naturalization in Lebanon.
  • model Grok +5.0 Expresses general solidarity with Palestinian rights consistent with Arab nationalist elements in Aounist tradition.
  • model minimax +5.0 FPM supports Palestinian rights and rejects normalization but is more pragmatic than Hezbollah on refugee disarmament.
• Progressive Socialist Party LB Liberal democracy settled ↔ 9 pt +2.5
  • model gemma -3.0 Rhetorically supports liberal reforms but functions within the sectarian quota system.
  • model qwen +1.0 PSP participates in democracy but has weakened liberal institutions through sectarian alliances.
  • model Gemini +2.0 PSP participates in democratic processes but operates largely as a traditional confessionally-focused patronage system.
  • model Kimi +2.0 PSP advocates for democratic reform and abolishing the confessional system; however, its hereditary leadership structure and patronage system weaken its commitment to liberal democratic checks in practice.
  • prior Author baseline +4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model gpt +4.0 It supports pluralist institutions despite hereditary leadership and patronage.
  • model minimax +5.0 PSP champions democratic reform
  • model Claude +6.0 ⛓ grounded 2× rounds "True democracy" anchored in the UN human-rights charter, freedom of belief and civil liberties.
  • model Grok +6.0 Advocates democratic reforms, independent institutions, and transition from pure consociational veto politics toward more civic and accountable governance.
• Balad IL Centralism vs federalism provisional ↔ 9 pt +3.0
  • model minimax -3.0 Balad advocates replacing Israel with a state of all citizens but does not run a strong federalist program; mildly sympathetic to communal autonomy within a future arrangement.
  • model Kimi -2.0 Advocates for power-sharing and minority rights within Israel, but not explicitly federalist.
  • model qwen +0.0 Advocates for a unitary state of all its citizens rather than a federal partition.
  • model Claude +2.0 Its 'state of all its citizens' vision implies cultural autonomy and collective minority rights, a mild consociational lean.
  • model DeepSeek +3.0 Supports decentralization for Palestinian-Arab minority but not fully federalist.
  • model gpt +3.0 Balad favors collective Palestinian-Arab minority rights and power-sharing more than a unitary Zionist state.
  • prior Author baseline +5.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Gemini +5.0 Advocates for a state of all its citizens with cultural autonomy or power-sharing for the Arab minority.
  • model Grok +5.0 Advocates binational democratic state for all citizens implying power-sharing over strict unitary centralism.
  • model gemma +6.0 Supports a state of all its citizens with shared power.

  before · r1 gemini +2.0grok +2.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Kataeb Party LB Liberal democracy settled ↔ 9 pt +5.0
  • model gemma -2.0 Supports the democratic process but often prioritizes Christian sectarian rights over liberal checks.
  • model Kimi +4.0 Kataeb advocates for democratic reform, rule of law, and fighting corruption; while it has had authoritarian elements in its history, the current leadership under Sami Gemayel emphasizes liberal democratic principles.
  • model minimax +4.0 Kataeb rhetorically commits to liberal democratic norms and rule of law but its sectarian base sometimes conflicts with pluralism.
  • prior Author baseline +5.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model DeepSeek +5.0 Supports liberal democratic checks; opposes Hezbollah's parallel state.
  • model gpt +5.0 Its current stance emphasizes institutions opposition rights and state sovereignty.
  • model Claude +5.0 Sovereigntist reformist platform stressing state institutions and rule of law.
  • model Gemini +6.0 Kataeb demonstrates a strong commitment to liberal democracy, judicial independence, and institutional checks.
  • model qwen +6.0 Kataeb supports liberal democratic institutions and has criticized authoritarian practices of ruling parties.
  • model Grok +7.0 Strong commitment to liberal democracy, independent judiciary, free press, and ending militia veto power over elected governments.
• Tagammu Party EG Regional stance provisional ↔ 9 pt -5.0
  • model minimax -8.0 Firmly anti-normalization; aligns with resistance-axis politics through pan-Arab/Marxist framing.
  • model gemma -7.0 Aligned with anti-normalization and maximalist resistance.
  • model qwen -7.0 Rejects normalization with Israel and sympathizes with the Axis of Resistance.
  • model Gemini -6.0 It maintains an intensely anti-normalization, anti-imperialist stance aligned rhetorically with the regional resistance camp.
  • model DeepSeek -5.0 Leans resistance; opposes normalization with Israel.
  • model gpt -5.0 Its anti-normalization and pro-Palestinian left-nationalist posture leans toward resistance politics.
  • model Kimi -3.0 Leans toward resistance camp with anti-imperialist and anti-normalization stance; skeptical of Abraham Accords.
  • model Grok -3.0 Arab nationalist left tradition critical of Western influence and supportive of Palestinian and Arab causes with lean toward resistance narratives.
  • model Claude -1.0 Anti-normalization rhetoric tempered by pragmatic accommodation.
  • prior Author baseline +1.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
• Otzma Yehudit IL Press freedom settled ↔ 9 pt -6.0
  • model Gemini -8.0 Has used state power to suppress critical reporting and attempt to shut down adversarial media outlets.
  • model gemma -7.0 Hostile toward press that challenges its narrative.
  • model qwen -7.0 Hostile to media that criticizes its nationalist agenda.
  • model DeepSeek -6.0 Hostile to press critical of nationalism.
  • model Kimi -6.0 Would likely restrict press critical of Jewish supremacist agenda.
  • model gpt -6.0 Its leaders attack critical media and support coercive nationalist governance.
  • model Claude -5.0 Openly hostile to critical media.
  • model minimax -5.0 Otzma Yehudit is hostile to critical press and would restrict media it views as anti-Jewish.
  • prior Author baseline -4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok +1.0 Favors free press for aligned views; supports restrictions on hostile or left media.

  before · r1 gemini -8.0grok +2.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Likud IL Liberal democracy settled ↔ 9 pt -4.0
  • re-coder Re-coder C -5.0 Second-pass coder C — rubric-anchored re-read on the democracy axis; magnitude follows the primary reading with independent judgment calls on the governance axes.
  • prior Author baseline -4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Gemini -4.0 2× rounds Has actively led efforts to weaken judicial review and reduce checks on executive power.
  • model mistral -4.0 Likud is skeptical of strong liberal democracy.
  • model gpt -4.0 Recent Likud-led governments have pushed judicial weakening and majoritarian nationalist governance.
  • re-coder Re-coder B -2.0 Second-pass coder B — rubric-anchored re-read on the democracy axis; extreme magnitudes tempered slightly toward the rubric mid-anchors.
  • model Claude +0.0 2× rounds Its judicial-overhaul drive in office weakened checks on executive power.
  • model minimax +0.0 2× rounds Likud is electorally democratic but has pursued policies seen as weakening liberal-democratic checks.
  • model Kimi +1.0 2× rounds Controversial judicial overhaul agenda (2023) weakened democratic checks; populist tendencies.
  • model DeepSeek +2.0 2× rounds In power weakened judicial independence and democratic checks.
  • model qwen +3.0 2× rounds Formally democratic but has undermined institutions recently.
  • model Grok +4.0 2× rounds Likud positions itself as defender of democracy but its recent reforms aim to weaken judicial independence mixed record.
  • model gemma +4.0 2× rounds Supports democracy but often challenges liberal constraints.

  before · r1 gemini -4.0grok +4.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Ta'al IL Regional stance settled ↔ 9 pt -4.0
  • model gemma -6.0 Strongly opposed to normalization.
  • model Gemini -5.0 Opposes regional normalization frameworks that sideline the core Palestinian question.
  • model minimax -5.0 Ta'al is anti-normalization and aligns with anti-normalization Palestinian/Arab politics though it works within Israeli institutions.
  • model qwen -5.0 Sympathetic to the Palestinian cause and anti-normalization.
  • model Claude -4.0 Anti-normalization sympathies pursued through parliamentary politics.
  • model DeepSeek -4.0 Anti-normalization.
  • model Kimi -4.0 Opposes normalization; supports Palestinian rights but not explicitly armed resistance.
  • model gpt -2.0 Ta’al is anti-occupation and critical of normalization but not clearly aligned with the resistance axis.
  • model Grok -1.0 Critical of normalization without Palestinian justice; supports rights-based stability.
  • prior Author baseline +3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.

  before · r1 grok -5.0gemini +7.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Ra'am (United Arab List) IL State & religion settled ↔ 9 pt -5.5
  • model Gemini -6.0 2× rounds Opposes secularization and favors religious authority over personal status and family law.
  • model Kimi -5.0 2× rounds Islamist party supports religious authority, though in Israel this means Islamic religious influence.
  • model qwen -5.0 2× rounds Islamist party favoring religious state.
  • model minimax -5.0 2× rounds Ra'am has an Islamist orientation
  • model gpt -5.0 Ra’am favors religiously grounded public norms in its community politics.
  • prior Author baseline -4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok -4.0 2× rounds Ra'am is an Islamist party seeking to advance Islamic values and sharia-influenced policies in Israel.
  • model DeepSeek -4.0 2× rounds Prefers religious authority but works with secular state.
  • model Claude -3.0 2× rounds Islamist orientation favoring religious authority.
  • model gemma +2.0 2× rounds Wants religious autonomy but generally supports civil state structures for minorities.
  • model mistral +3.0 Ra'am supports a balance but leans toward a religious state.

  before · r1 gemini -6.0grok -5.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Ra'am (United Arab List) IL Liberal democracy settled ↔ 9 pt +3.5
  • model minimax -2.0 Ra'am is Islamist-conservative and prioritizes Islamic values over liberal pluralism, but works within democratic institutions.
  • model DeepSeek +2.0 Accepts democratic process but has Islamist leanings.
  • model Claude +3.0 Embraces democratic participation while socially conservative.
  • model Kimi +3.0 Participates in democracy but conservative Islamist principles may conflict with liberal norms.
  • model gemma +3.0 Operates within the democratic system for pragmatic gains.
  • prior Author baseline +4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok +4.0 Accepts democratic participation; moderate commitment to liberal checks.
  • model gpt +4.0 Ra’am accepts parliamentary bargaining and coalition politics while remaining Islamist-conservative.
  • model Gemini +6.0 Supports liberal-democratic checks and judicial independence as mechanisms to protect minorities.
  • model qwen +7.0 Strong commitment to democratic participation and minority rights.

  before · r1 gemini +4.0grok +6.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Ra'am (United Arab List) IL Civil liberties settled ↔ 9 pt +2.5
  • model minimax -3.0 Ra'am is socially and religiously conservative, restrictive on dissent and LGBTQ+ rights though it has entered coalitions with Jewish parties.
  • prior Author baseline +1.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +2.0 Conservative Islamist values may restrict some civil liberties; pragmatic in practice.
  • model gemma +2.0 Defends rights of the minority
  • model gpt +2.0 Ra’am supports minority civil rights but is socially conservative on moral freedoms.
  • model Grok +3.0 Supports Arab civil rights with conservative limits on expression and lifestyle.
  • model DeepSeek +3.0 Moderate; part of coalition but not major restrictor.
  • model Claude +5.0 Pushes to expand rights and resources for the Arab community.
  • model Gemini +5.0 Supports civil liberties and anti-discrimination protections to safeguard minority rights.
  • model qwen +6.0 Advocates for minority rights and civil liberties for Arab citizens.

  before · r1 grok +3.0gemini +5.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Shas IL West alignment settled ↔ 9 pt +5.5
  • model mistral -2.0 Shas is mildly anti-Western.
  • prior Author baseline +3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +3.0 2× rounds Pragmatic; not strongly focused on Western alignment but participates in pro-Western governments.
  • model gemma +3.0 2× rounds Skeptical of Western liberal cultural values.
  • model Claude +5.0 2× rounds Pro-Western by coalition alignment rather than ideology.
  • model minimax +5.0 2× rounds Shas is firmly aligned with the US and Western donor politics
  • model Grok +6.0 2× rounds Shas is pro-Western alliance for Israel's security but culturally rejects liberal Western social values.
  • model DeepSeek +6.0 2× rounds Pro-Western for security.
  • model gpt +6.0 Shas participates in pro-US Israeli governments without making Western alignment its ideology.
  • model Gemini +7.0 2× rounds Supports Israel's strategic and security alliance with Western nations.
  • model qwen +7.0 2× rounds Ambivalent; culturally anti-Western but accepts Western support.

  before · r1 gemini +0.0grok +7.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• PFLP PS Civil liberties settled ↔ 9 pt +2.5
  • model gemma -5.0 Revolutionary Marxist-Leninist ideology typically favors collective control over individual liberties.
  • model Kimi -2.0 PFLP advocates for civil liberties in its revolutionary framework but has a history of militant operations and operates within authoritarian structures; its commitment to liberal civil liberties is instrumental rather than principled.
  • model Claude +1.0 Revolutionary rhetoric of rights tempered by a Leninist vanguard tradition; not in power.
  • model Grok +2.0 PFLP's revolutionary Marxist ideology supports popular participation in theory but historically subordinated individual liberties to armed struggle and class/national goals.
  • prior Author baseline +3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Gemini +4.0 Its platform supports civil liberties within Palestinian society, criticizing PA authoritarianism, despite its revolutionary vanguard origins.
  • model gpt +4.0 It declares support for democratic freedoms, though its revolutionary Leninist tradition moderates the score.
  • model qwen +4.0 Marxist-Leninist roots support working-class freedoms but with a vanguardist approach to dissent.
• DFLP PS Civil liberties provisional ↔ 9 pt +2.5
  • model gemma -4.0 Ideological commitment to Marxist-Leninist state control typically restricts individual liberties.
  • model Kimi -2.0 DFLP advocates for civil liberties in its platform but operates within PLO/PA structures with limited practical record on expanding freedoms in areas it influences.
  • model DeepSeek +2.0 DFLP advocates for democratic freedoms but has limited record in power, leaning slightly toward expansion.
  • model minimax +2.0 DFLP's declared platform supports civil liberties but as a Marxist-Leninist party its commitment to liberal pluralism is qualified.
  • model Claude +2.0 Revolutionary-democratic rhetoric backs rights, but Leninist vanguard tradition tempers this; not in power.
  • prior Author baseline +3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok +4.0 DFLP's secular Marxist platform supports expanding civil liberties and democratic rights in principle for a future Palestinian state.
  • model Gemini +5.0 Declared platform emphasizes civil liberties and protection of public freedoms against PA and Hamas restrictions.
  • model gpt +5.0 Secular leftist platform emphasizes pluralism and political freedoms despite revolutionary heritage.
  • model qwen +5.0 Secular leftist party that officially supports freedom of speech and protest.
• National Charter Party JO Liberal democracy provisional ↔ 9 pt +0.5
  • model qwen -5.0 Supports gradual political reform but ultimately defends the monarchy's ultimate executive authority.
  • model Gemini -4.0 Defends the existing monarchical system with broad executive powers rather than liberal democratic checks.
  • model Grok -3.0 Endorses the limited parliamentary democracy under monarchical supremacy rather than pushing for robust liberal checks and opposition rights.
  • prior Author baseline -1.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Claude +0.0 Backs managed political modernization but is establishment-aligned rather than a liberal check.
  • model Kimi +1.0 Participates in limited democracy but does not challenge executive dominance or push for liberal checks
  • model gemma +2.0 Accepts the existing limited democratic framework under the monarchy.
  • model gpt +2.0 It supports managed party development and parliamentary participation without challenging strong executive authority.
  • model DeepSeek +3.0 Formally pro-democracy but loyalist
  • model minimax +4.0 Civic-democratic platform with moderate liberal-democratic commitment, supportive of constitutional reform.
• Reform Party JO West alignment provisional ↔ 9 pt +3.5
  • model Grok -2.0 2× rounds Jordanian opposition parties often criticize the regime's close Western ties while not fully anti.
  • model gpt +1.0 It likely accepts Jordan’s Western ties while preserving nationalist reformist distance.
  • model mistral +2.0 Reform Party is mildly pro-Western.
  • prior Author baseline +3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model DeepSeek +3.0 2× rounds Favors Jordan's traditional Western ties
  • model Claude +4.0 2× rounds Pragmatic, non-committal stance toward the West.
  • model Kimi +5.0 2× rounds Pro-Western strategically, aligns with Jordanian government Western partnerships
  • model minimax +6.0 2× rounds Reform Party is pro-Western in its political and economic orientation.
  • model Gemini +7.0 2× rounds Backs Jordan's long-standing strategic, economic, and security alignment with Western powers.
  • model qwen +7.0 2× rounds Critical of Western policies but not isolationist.
  • model gemma +7.0 2× rounds Strongly aligned with Western political and economic models.
• Ennahda TN State & religion settled ↔ 9 pt -4.5
  • re-coder Re-coder C -6.0 Second-pass coder C — rubric-anchored re-read on the state-religion axis; magnitude follows the primary reading with independent judgment calls on the governance axes.
  • model qwen -6.0 2× rounds Wants Islam as source of legislation, not full theocracy.
  • prior Author baseline -5.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi -5.0 2× rounds Supports religious authority in public life and state, opposes strict secularism.
  • model Grok -5.0 2× rounds Ennahda promotes a 'civil state with Islamic reference' that preserves significant religious influence over legislation and public morality rather than full separation.
  • model gemma -5.0 2× rounds Supports a state with a strong Islamic identity.
  • re-coder Re-coder B -4.0 Second-pass coder B — rubric-anchored re-read on the state-religion axis; extreme magnitudes tempered slightly toward the rubric mid-anchors.
  • model gpt -4.0 Although it moderated toward Muslim democracy, it still gives Islam a public role in law and identity.
  • model Claude -3.0 ⛓ grounded 3× rounds 2016 self-redefinition: separation of mosque and party, religion "nonpartisan," equal rights for "believers, agnostics, or atheists" — moved toward the secular-civic pole while remaining "Muslim democrats."
  • model DeepSeek -3.0 2× rounds Ennahda seeks a role for Islamic principles in law but not a full theocracy; leans religious state.
  • model minimax -3.0 2× rounds Ennahda has shifted to a more pragmatic
  • model Gemini -1.0 2× rounds The party favors a prominent role for Islamic identity in state and law, rejecting absolute secularism.
  • model mistral +3.0 Ennahda leans toward a religious state.
• Ennahda TN Regional stance settled ↔ 9 pt -4.0
  • model Grok -5.0 2× rounds Ennahda's regional posture favors the broader 'resistance' camp through its Islamist networks and rejection of normalization deals rather than pragmatic stability alignment.
  • model Gemini -4.0 2× rounds The party opposes normalization with Israel and aligns closer to regional actors supporting Palestinian resistance.
  • model qwen -4.0 2× rounds Sympathetic to resistance axis but pragmatic.
  • model gpt -4.0 It is strongly anti-normalization and sympathetic to Palestinian resistance politics, while not fully aligned with Iran's camp.
  • model DeepSeek -3.0 2× rounds Ennahda leans toward resistance rhetoric (anti-normalization) but not full armed-axis alignment.
  • model Claude -3.0 2× rounds Sympathetic to resistance currents over normalization.
  • model gemma -3.0 2× rounds Favors resistance to external hegemony.
  • prior Author baseline -1.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • re-coder Re-coder B -1.0 Second-pass coder B — rubric-anchored re-read on the regional-stance axis; extreme magnitudes tempered slightly toward the rubric mid-anchors.
  • re-coder Re-coder C +0.0 Second-pass coder C — rubric-anchored re-read on the regional-stance axis; magnitude follows the primary reading with independent judgment calls on the governance axes.
  • model Kimi +3.0 2× rounds Pro-Palestinian through political means, not aligned with armed resistance axis.
  • model minimax +3.0 2× rounds Ennahda is moderate in regional stances
  • model mistral +4.0 Ennahda leans toward stability and normalization.
• Free Destourian Party TN Liberal democracy settled ↔ 9 pt -4.0
  • model Gemini -7.0 The party openly rejects the post-2011 democratic framework, favoring an authoritarian presidential system.
  • model DeepSeek -5.0 PDP has shown weak commitment to liberal democratic checks
  • model minimax -5.0 Rejects liberal pluralism when Islamists are involved; nostalgic for strongman-style order under Ben Ali/Bourguiba.
  • model gemma -4.0 Favors a strong executive model over liberal-democratic checks.
  • model Claude -4.0 Authoritarian-nostalgic and exclusionary toward Islamists, weak on liberal-democratic pluralism.
  • prior Author baseline -3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model qwen -3.0 Criticizes current authoritarianism but idealizes pre-2011 regime; weak on liberal-democratic institutions.
  • model Kimi +1.0 Proposes stronger presidential system with some democratic guarantees, mixed liberal democratic commitment.
  • model Grok +2.0 PDL participates in democratic processes and defends the republican order but its rhetoric and proposed policies often prioritize security and secular dominance over robust minority and opposition protections.
• Justice and Development Party MA Regional stance settled ↔ 9 pt -3.0
  • model Gemini -6.0 Strongly opposes normalization with Israel and aligns ideologically with anti-normalization regional politics.
  • model minimax -5.0 PJD is ideologically aligned with the anti-normalization Islamist camp and is close to Hamas, leaning toward the resistance pole.
  • model DeepSeek -4.0 Opposes normalization with Israel; sympathizes with Hamas but not full Axis of Resistance.
  • model qwen -4.0 Base and rhetoric are strongly anti-normalization and sympathetic to the resistance axis.
  • model Grok -3.0 Strongly critical of Israel normalization and leans toward pro-Palestinian resistance rhetoric and maximalist positions rather than full stability-camp embrace.
  • model gemma -3.0 Vocal against normalization and aligned with anti-normalization rhetoric.
  • model Claude -3.0 Anti-normalization stance leaning toward the resistance pole.
  • model Kimi -2.0 PJD leans toward anti-normalization and resistance framing, opposing Morocco-Israel relations.
  • prior Author baseline +3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
• Authenticity and Modernity Party MA State & religion provisional ↔ 9 pt +3.0
  • model gemma -3.0 Accepts the monarch's religious authority and the official role of Islam in the state.
  • model Kimi -2.0 PAM accepts the Moroccan model where the King is Commander of the Faithful and religion informs state.
  • model DeepSeek -2.0 Accepts king’s religious authority but no drive for secularization.
  • model gpt +2.0 PAM is modernist and civil-oriented while accepting the king’s religious role.
  • model minimax +3.0 PAM is not a religious party; secular in orientation though not radical, operates within Morocco's religious-monarchical framework.
  • model Claude +3.0 Secular-leaning modernist counterweight to the Islamists.
  • model qwen +4.0 Supports a civil state while acknowledging the King's religious authority.
  • model Grok +5.0 Favors tolerant Islam within national constants alongside human rights and citizenship; leans toward secular governance over religious legal authority.
  • prior Author baseline +6.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Gemini +6.0 Promotes a civil state model that opposes the political use of religion, favoring secularized legislation.
• Istiqlal Party MA Economic settled ↔ 9 pt +2.0
  • model minimax -3.0 2× rounds Istiqlal has a statist economic tradition
  • model DeepSeek +1.0 2× rounds Moderate market orientation but with statist and nationalist interventions.
  • model mistral +1.0 Istiqlal Party leans slightly toward market-oriented economic policies.
  • model gpt +1.0 Istiqlal mixes market-friendly business nationalism with social protection themes.
  • prior Author baseline +2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model qwen +2.0 2× rounds Statist legacy with some liberalization.
  • model Kimi +3.0 2× rounds Istiqlal emphasizes social justice within a market economy, supporting moderate state intervention.
  • model Gemini +3.0 2× rounds Advocates for a market economy but emphasizes national capitalism and a moderate degree of state guidance.
  • model Grok +4.0 2× rounds Centre-right nationalist orientation favoring business development, investment, and moderate market policies with state guidance.
  • model Claude +4.0 2× rounds Mixed economic platform without a sharp market or statist tilt.
  • model gemma +6.0 2× rounds Favors a market economy with some national protections.
• Socialist Union of Popular Forces MA Regional stance provisional ↔ 9 pt +0.0
  • model gemma -4.0 Generally critical of normalization and aligned with anti-normalization sentiment.
  • model gpt -3.0 PJD is anti-normalization and sympathetic to resistance rhetoric without being an armed-axis client.
  • model minimax -3.0 USFP opposed the Abraham Accords and is strongly pro-Palestinian, leaning toward anti-normalization; not as maximalist as Islamist parties but distinctly on that side.
  • model DeepSeek -2.0 Pro-Palestinian but not pro-Axis of Resistance; opposes normalization rhetorically.
  • model Claude -1.0 Leftist anti-normalization sympathy tempered by establishment alignment.
  • model Grok +1.0 Strongly pro-Palestinian and critical of normalization; leans toward resistance-adjacent or maximalist positions on the Palestinian question rather than full stability embrace.
  • prior Author baseline +2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model qwen +2.0 Left-wing internationalism balances between historical anti-imperialism and current establishment status.
  • model Kimi +4.0 USFP supports Palestinian rights but aligns with diplomatic resolution rather than armed resistance.
  • model Gemini +5.0 Despite grassroots unease, it supports the state's official diplomatic alignments and focus on regional stability through negotiation.
• Socialist Union of Popular Forces MA Civil liberties settled ↔ 9 pt +4.0
  • model Gemini -3.0 Its participation in governance coalitions has been marked by acceptance of the state's security-first approach to public dissent.
  • model gpt -2.0 PJD participated in government during continued restrictions on protest and dissent.
  • model Claude +1.0 Historic champion of liberties from its opposition era, now a diminished establishment party.
  • model DeepSeek +3.0 Leftist opposition party that advocates broader civil liberties.
  • model Kimi +4.0 USFP advocates for expanded civil liberties and has historically opposed authoritarian restrictions.
  • model minimax +4.0 USFP has a long tradition of defending civil liberties, free speech, and press freedom as a left-democratic party.
  • prior Author baseline +5.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok +5.0 Historic opposition and reformist party that actively pushed for expanded civil liberties, human rights protections, and freer expression during key reform periods.
  • model gemma +6.0 Strong advocate for the expansion of civil liberties and dissent.
  • model qwen +6.0 Historically fought for civil liberties and human rights and freedom of expression.
• National Wisdom Movement IQ Social provisional ↔ 9 pt -4.0
  • model Grok -7.0 Rooted in religious Shia tradition, National Wisdom holds conservative views on social issues, family law, and moral authority with limited libertarian leanings.
  • model Gemini -6.0 As a moderate Islamist movement led by clerics, it favors traditional collective moral authority over liberal social freedoms.
  • model DeepSeek -6.0 Socially conservative
  • model gemma -6.0 Adheres to traditional Islamic and social authorities.
  • model Kimi -4.0 Hakim is socially conservative as Shia cleric; supports traditional moral values with limited progressive elements
  • model Claude -4.0 Moderate Islamist with socially conservative commitments.
  • prior Author baseline -3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model minimax -3.0 Hikma is rooted in Shia religious tradition and reflects conservative social values on family, gender roles, and personal morality.
  • model qwen +2.0 Promotes a moderate, tolerant social environment, though still rooted in conservative Iraqi society.
• National Wisdom Movement IQ State & religion settled ↔ 9 pt -5.0
  • model Grok -5.0 2× rounds Shia Islamist party advocating for religious influence in Iraqi politics typical for these sectarian Shia groups.
  • model DeepSeek -5.0 2× rounds Favors significant role for Islamic law and clerical authority in state affairs.
  • model gemma -5.0 2× rounds Advocates for a state influenced by Shiite religious values.
  • model Gemini -4.0 2× rounds The party advocates for Islamic jurisprudence to serve as a foundational source for state law.
  • model Kimi -4.0 2× rounds Hakim supports Shia Islamist influence in state; rejects wilayat al-faqih but not secular separation
  • model Claude -4.0 2× rounds Moderate Shia Islamist favoring a religiously grounded state.
  • prior Author baseline -3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model minimax +3.0 2× rounds National Wisdom is a religious-nationalist Sadrist faction that supports religious values in governance but with restraint.
  • model qwen +4.0 2× rounds Shia Islamist but moderate; not seeking full theocracy.
  • model mistral +4.0 National Wisdom Movement supports a balance but leans toward secularism.
• Kurdistan Democratic Party IQ Social settled ↔ 9 pt -3.0
  • model Grok -7.0 KDP operates in a traditional, tribal, and patriarchal Kurdish society with conservative positions on gender roles, family, and social liberties.
  • model Kimi -5.0 KDP is socially conservative, tribal-influenced, with limited support for LGBTQ+ rights or social liberalization
  • model DeepSeek -4.0 KDP is socially conservative in KRG
  • model gemma -4.0 Maintains a traditionalist social outlook rooted in Kurdish customs.
  • model qwen -4.0 Reflects the conservative tribal values of its base, though less strictly religious than Arab Islamist parties.
  • prior Author baseline -2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Gemini -2.0 The KDP is relatively secular but operates within a conservative, traditional tribal framework that limits individual social freedoms.
  • model gpt -2.0 It is secular-nationalist in form but socially conservative by regional standards.
  • model Claude +0.0 Secular-nationalist but embedded in a socially conservative tribal Kurdish society.
  • model minimax +2.0 Kurdish society under KDP is relatively socially liberal compared to the rest of Iraq, but still socially conservative on gender, family, and LGBTQ+ issues.
• Patriotic Union of Kurdistan IQ Liberal democracy settled ↔ 9 pt -2.5
  • model gemma -6.0 Record shows weak commitment to liberal checks and high internal authoritarianism.
  • model Gemini -4.0 The PUK's internal governance is dominated by dynastic family networks, and its record shows a weak commitment to liberal democratic norms.
  • model Grok -4.0 PUK shares KRG's dynastic and patronage issues with the Talabani family dominating, resulting in weak liberal democratic institutions despite elections.
  • model Claude -3.0 Family-and-patronage governance with limited liberal checks, though some pluralism in its zone.
  • model qwen -3.0 Maintains a tight grip on power in its zones, manipulating elections and parliament to retain control.
  • model DeepSeek -2.0 Competes in elections but runs a patronage-based system with dynastic and clan elements.
  • model Kimi -1.0 PUK accepts electoral process but Talabani family influence and patronage networks weaken democratic checks
  • model gpt +1.0 It participates electorally and uses reformist language without strongly challenging cartel politics.
  • model minimax +1.0 PUK has a slightly more pluralistic internal culture than KDP and tolerates internal party competition, but still dominates its zone and weakens opposition.
  • prior Author baseline +3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
• Patriotic Union of Kurdistan IQ Civil liberties provisional ↔ 9 pt -1.5
  • model gemma -5.0 Record in the KRI shows significant restriction of political opponents and journalists.
  • model Gemini -4.0 In its zone of control, the PUK has suppressed political dissent, restricted protests, and targeted independent journalists.
  • model qwen -4.0 Documented record of suppressing dissent and controlling media in Sulaymaniyah and Halabja.
  • model Claude -3.0 Governs its Sulaymaniyah zone with restrictions on press and protest, if somewhat looser than the KDP.
  • model Grok -2.0 PUK areas in KRG have a somewhat more open media environment than KDP zones but still face issues with political pressure on journalists and critics.
  • model gpt -1.0 It uses moderate rhetoric but remains embedded in an Iraqi political class with weak liberties protections.
  • model Kimi +0.0 PUK has mixed record on civil liberties in areas it controls; better than KDP on some freedoms but still restricts dissent
  • model minimax +0.0 PUK-controlled Sulaymaniyah has a relatively more open press and protest scene than Erbil, though PUK has also restricted dissent during internal security operations.
  • model DeepSeek +3.0 PUK allows some civil liberties but has its own record of suppressing dissent in its zones.
  • prior Author baseline +4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
• National Liberation Front DZ Social settled ↔ 9 pt -3.0
  • model Gemini -6.0 The FLN upholds conservative, traditional social norms and collective moral authority over individual lifestyle choices.
  • model gemma -6.0 Supports social stability and traditional values.
  • model Grok -5.0 Secular nationalist but socially conservative; family code retains Islamic influences and traditional morality.
  • model qwen -4.0 Socially conservative but secular-nationalist; limits moral libertarianism.
  • model Kimi -3.0 Socially conservative nationalist; traditional values.
  • model DeepSeek -3.0 FLN is socially conservative but less so than Islamists; upholds traditional family values.
  • model Claude -3.0 Secular-nationalist but reflecting conservative societal norms.
  • prior Author baseline -2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model minimax +3.0 FLN is officially secular and relatively permissive on personal lifestyle while operating in a socially conservative society.
• National Umma Party SD State & religion settled ↔ 9 pt -2.5
  • model gpt -6.0 It favors an Islamic moral and legal reference in public life, moderated by electoral politics.
  • model gemma -5.0 Advocates for an Islamic identity for the state without endorsing an extreme theocracy.
  • model DeepSeek -4.0 Islamic state orientation but with tolerance for others.
  • model Gemini -3.0 The party advocates for an Islamic reference for law and state while supporting a civil state model.
  • model minimax -3.0 NUP has historically championed an Islamic state with Sharia as a main source of legislation, but accepts a pluralist framework for non-Muslims.
  • prior Author baseline -2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Claude -2.0 Islamic-rooted but advocates a moderate, non-theocratic Islam opposed to coercive sharia imposition.
  • model qwen -2.0 Advocates for a civic state inspired by Islamic principles rather than a strict theocracy.
  • model Kimi +2.0 Advocated repeal of sharia law, supports secular-leaning governance framework.
  • model Grok +3.0 Advocates Islamic principles in governance through a religiously neutral constitution guided by moderate Islamic democracy.
• National Umma Party SD Regional stance provisional ↔ 9 pt +2.0
  • model gpt -3.0 It has tended to oppose normalization and back Palestinian solidarity without becoming an Iran-aligned actor.
  • model minimax -3.0 NUP is firmly anti-normalization and rhetorically pro-Palestinian, though it operates through political rather than armed-resistance channels.
  • model Claude -3.0 Sadiq al-Mahdi's legacy of opposing normalization with Israel tilts it toward the anti-normalization camp, pursued politically.
  • prior Author baseline +2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +2.0 Participates in Taqaddum and civilian coalitions pursuing negotiated stability.
  • model DeepSeek +2.0 Prefers negotiation; not aligned with Iran axis.
  • model Gemini +3.0 The party favors negotiated settlements and diplomatic engagement aligned with the regional stability camp.
  • model Grok +4.0 Prioritizes negotiated peace and stability over maximalist resistance alignments.
  • model qwen +5.0 Aligns with the stability and normalization camp, maintaining strong ties with Saudi Arabia and the UAE.
  • model gemma +6.0 Favors a stability-oriented regional approach and diplomatic resolution.
• Democratic Unionist Party SD Regional stance provisional ↔ 9 pt +2.5
  • model minimax -3.0 DUP is anti-normalization with Israel and rhetorically aligned with Arab-cause positions, though not formally part of the armed resistance axis.
  • model gpt -2.0 It is anti-normalization and pro-Palestinian, but not tightly aligned with the armed Axis of Resistance.
  • model DeepSeek +1.0 Not aligned with Iran axis; open to Gulf engagement but no strong normalization push.
  • prior Author baseline +2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Claude +2.0 Pragmatic establishment party leaning toward negotiated regional settlement, with lingering pro-Palestinian reservations about normalization.
  • model Kimi +3.0 Pursues mediatory role and stability, not aligned with armed resistance axis.
  • model Gemini +5.0 The DUP is closely aligned with the Egyptian-Gulf axis and supports regional stability and diplomatic settlement.
  • model Grok +5.0 Favors diplomatic stability and negotiated settlements rather than alignment with armed resistance networks.
  • model gemma +5.0 Favors stability and diplomatic engagement over alignment with armed resistance networks.
  • model qwen +6.0 Aligned with the stability camp, maintaining close ties with Egypt and Saudi Arabia.
• Northern Islamic Movement IL Regional stance settled ↔ 9 pt -6.0
  • model Claude -9.0 Strongly anti-normalization and aligned with the resistance frame.
  • model Gemini -9.0 Aligns closely with the regional resistance axis and rejects normalization politics.
  • model Kimi -7.0 Aligns with anti-normalization and resistance camp; supports Palestinian armed struggle.
  • model minimax -7.0 Movement is anti-normalization and sympathetic to the resistance camp, particularly around Jerusalem/Al-Aqsa.
  • model DeepSeek -6.0 Anti-normalization aligned with resistance axis.
  • model gemma -6.0 Strongly anti-normalization.
  • model gpt -6.0 It is anti-normalization and closer to resistance-oriented Islamist politics than diplomatic regional integration.
  • model qwen -6.0 Sympathetic to the resistance axis and anti-normalization.
  • model Grok -4.0 Historical and ideological sympathy with resistance axis including Hamas links.
  • prior Author baseline +0.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.

  before · r1 grok -8.0gemini -7.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Northern Islamic Movement IL Civil liberties settled ↔ 9 pt -3.0
  • model Claude -4.0 Islamist moral order tends to restrict pluralist liberties.
  • model Kimi -4.0 Islamist orientation tends toward restricting some civil liberties; banned by Israel for alleged terror links.
  • model gpt -4.0 Its Islamist moral politics favor religious communal authority over broad individual liberties.
  • model Grok -3.0 Supports some Arab protest rights but restrictive on moral social and gender expression.
  • model DeepSeek -3.0 Socially conservative but not a major record on civil liberties.
  • model minimax -3.0 Movement is Islamist-conservative: opposes liberal freedoms while defending Muslim-community rights; restrictive on dissent and pluralism.
  • model Gemini -2.0 Opposes secular civil liberties while demanding the freedom to preach and express dissent against the state.
  • prior Author baseline +2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model gemma +3.0 Defends rights for Muslims but constrained by religious values.
  • model qwen +5.0 Advocates for minority rights but within a conservative framework.

  before · r1 grok -4.0gemini +2.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• General People's Congress YE State & religion settled ↔ 9 pt -2.5
  • model DeepSeek -4.0 GPC maintained sharia as source of law but with pragmatic secular governance in practice.
  • model gpt -4.0 It accepts Islam’s public legal role without advocating full clerical rule.
  • model Gemini -3.0 The party recognizes Islam as the state religion and primary source of law but advocates for a civil state rather than a clerical theocracy.
  • model Kimi -3.0 GPC maintained Islam as state religion with some pragmatic flexibility, not secular but not as rigidly theocratic as Houthis.
  • model gemma -3.0 They recognize Islam as the basis of legislation but operate as a pragmatic political party.
  • model minimax -2.0 GPC nominally maintained a republican secular constitutional order but worked closely with Zaydi and Sunni religious institutions; religious authority is not formally part of state structure but is influential.
  • model Claude -2.0 Pragmatic nationalist party operating within Yemen's Islam-as-state-religion framework.
  • model qwen -2.0 Accepts Islam as the state religion but historically maintained a secular-leaning republican state structure.
  • prior Author baseline +0.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok +5.0 Under GPC rule the Yemeni state maintained a secular authoritarian character, using religion instrumentally for legitimacy rather than as the foundation of law and governance.
• Yemeni Socialist Party YE Liberal democracy settled ↔ 9 pt +5.0
  • model Grok -2.0 2× rounds The YSP now positions itself as committed to multi-party democracy and has participated in pluralistic politics since unification, though its PDRY legacy includes one-party authoritarian rule.
  • model Claude +3.0 2× rounds Former Marxist ruling party, now a small reform-minded opposition voice.
  • model Kimi +4.0 2× rounds YSP rhetorically supports democratic principles and participated in post-unification politics, though its historical record in South Yemen was one-party rule.
  • prior Author baseline +5.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model DeepSeek +5.0 2× rounds YSP now supports liberal democratic institutions as a check on authoritarian Islamists.
  • model qwen +5.0 2× rounds Historically Marxist, now supports multi-party democracy.
  • model minimax +5.0 2× rounds YSP is a democratic-socialist party with historic commitment to pluralism.
  • model mistral +5.0 Yemeni Socialist Party supports liberal democracy.
  • model gpt +5.0 2× rounds The Yemeni Socialist Party is formally pluralist and democratic after its one-party past.
  • model Gemini +6.0 2× rounds The YSP's current platform commits strongly to a liberal democratic framework with independent institutions and executive checks.
  • model gemma +7.0 2× rounds Strongly supports liberal democratic values.
• Yemeni Socialist Party YE West alignment settled ↔ 9 pt -1.0
  • model minimax -5.0 YSP inherits a Marxist-Leninist anti-imperialist tradition and has been skeptical of US/Western strategic influence, sitting on the anti-Western side.
  • prior Author baseline -3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi -2.0 YSP is critical of Western intervention in Yemen and US-Saudi coalition, though not as explicitly anti-Western as Houthis.
  • model qwen -2.0 Historically Soviet-aligned and anti-Western; now pragmatically anti-Houthi but retains leftist skepticism.
  • model Gemini -1.0 The YSP retains an ideologically non-aligned or anti-imperialist posture, remaining cautious of deep strategic alignment with Western military blocs.
  • model gpt +0.0 It is neither strongly pro-Western nor openly hostile in its current weakened form.
  • model Claude +0.0 Formerly Soviet-aligned, now broadly non-aligned.
  • model Grok +1.0 Historically aligned with the Soviet bloc and anti-Western during the Cold War, the contemporary YSP maintains a pragmatic posture and indirectly benefits from anti-Houthi coalitions with Western backing.
  • model gemma +4.0 They generally maintain a friendly
• Yemeni Socialist Party YE Civil liberties settled ↔ 9 pt +4.0
  • model Grok -3.0 The YSP's historical one-party PDRY record was repressive; it now advocates broader rights but has limited current governing record demonstrating strong expansion of liberties.
  • model qwen +2.0 Claims a social democratic platform advocating for civil rights, though its actual power is negligible.
  • prior Author baseline +4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +4.0 YSP has historically supported civil liberties and secular freedoms, though its record in power in South Yemen was authoritarian.
  • model DeepSeek +4.0 YSP historically repressed some freedoms but now advocates for civil liberties as an opposition party.
  • model Claude +4.0 As an opposition party it now advocates expanded rights and pluralism.
  • model minimax +5.0 YSP's platform champions free speech, association, and dissent rights in line with its secular-socialist tradition, giving it a relatively strong civil-liberties record on paper.
  • model Gemini +6.0 In its modern platform, the YSP strongly champions the expansion and protection of civic freedoms, speech, and minority rights.
  • model gemma +6.0 They are one of the most consistent advocates for civil liberties in Yemen.
  • model gpt +6.0 Its current opposition platform is comparatively supportive of speech, pluralism, and association.
• Southern Transitional Council YE Social settled ↔ 9 pt -2.0
  • model gemma -5.0 2× rounds Favors social authority.
  • model Kimi -2.0 2× rounds STC is relatively less socially conservative than Islah or Houthis, but southern society remains traditional and STC does not push social liberalization.
  • model DeepSeek -2.0 2× rounds STC is socially conservative but less repressive than Houthis; southern society remains traditional.
  • model qwen -2.0 2× rounds Conservative southern tribal norms.
  • model gpt -2.0 2× rounds The STC is security-focused and nationalist rather than libertarian.
  • model mistral -1.0 Southern Transitional Council leans slightly toward authority in social policies.
  • prior Author baseline +0.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model minimax +0.0 2× rounds STC is mixed
  • model Gemini +1.0 2× rounds The STC leans slightly more secular and socially permissive than its northern rivals, partly reflecting the secular political legacy of South Yemen.
  • model Claude +2.0 2× rounds Militarized, authority-leaning movement.
  • model Grok +4.0 2× rounds Drawing on the secular socialist legacy of the former PDRY, the STC is relatively more socially permissive and less focused on enforcing strict religious moral codes than northern Islamist actors.
• Justice and Construction Party LY Economic provisional ↔ 9 pt +0.0
  • model Kimi -4.0 Favors state allocation over market mechanisms
  • model Grok -3.0 Emphasizes Islamic social justice, redistribution, and state oversight of the economy with elements of Islamic finance rather than pure market liberalization.
  • model DeepSeek -2.0 Leans statist with Islamist social welfare emphasis but not fully command economy.
  • model minimax -1.0 Combines market-friendly rhetoric with traditional MB preference for Islamic-finance welfare state; close to statist.
  • prior Author baseline +0.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model gemma +0.0 Maintains a mixed approach blending social welfare with moderate market acceptance.
  • model Gemini +2.0 Supports market-oriented policies and Islamic finance, but operates within Libya's highly statist, oil-dependent framework.
  • model gpt +2.0 Its public profile favors moderate market-oriented governance rather than a strongly statist program.
  • model Claude +2.0 Brotherhood economics blend private-sector friendliness with welfare provision, leaning modestly toward the market.
  • model qwen +5.0 Historically backed by business networks and favors market mechanisms alongside social welfare.
• El Insaf (Equity Party) MR Social settled ↔ 9 pt -6.0
  • model Gemini -6.0 2× rounds The party upholds conservative Islamic values and traditional collective moral authority, restricting individual or lifestyle freedoms.
  • model Grok -6.0 2× rounds Ruling party upholds conservative Islamic social norms and traditional moral authority on family gender and lifestyle in Mauritanian society.
  • model gemma -6.0 2× rounds Favors state authority and traditional stability.
  • model Claude -5.0 2× rounds Pro-regime conservatism favoring state authority.
  • model Kimi -3.0 2× rounds El Insaf upholds traditional Islamic moral values and opposes social liberalization on LGBTQ+ and lifestyle issues.
  • model DeepSeek -3.0 2× rounds Mauritania is socially conservative with laws against blasphemy and homosexuality; El Insaf upholds traditional moral authority.
  • model minimax -3.0 2× rounds El Insaf reflects the conservative social outlook of the Mauritanian establishment.
  • model gpt -3.0 2× rounds The FPM is socially conservative and clientelist despite some reformist rhetoric.
  • prior Author baseline -2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model qwen -2.0 2× rounds Centrist-authoritarian, limited social liberalism.
  • model mistral +3.0 El Insaf leans toward libertarian social policies.
• National Rally for Reform and Development (Tewassoul) MR Economic settled ↔ 9 pt -1.0
  • model DeepSeek -4.0 2× rounds Tewassoul supports a social market economy with state intervention for social justice but no clear statist command economy.
  • model Kimi -2.0 2× rounds Tewassoul favors state-led welfare and social justice over pure market mechanisms, with Islamic economic principles.
  • model qwen -2.0 2× rounds Islamist, supports regulated economy with social welfare.
  • model minimax -2.0 2× rounds Tewassoul favors a mixed economy with Islamic social-welfare elements
  • model mistral -1.0 National Rally for Reform and Development leans slightly toward statist economic policies.
  • model Grok +0.0 2× rounds Economic positions receive limited emphasis; platform aligns with moderate Islamist preference for regulated markets incorporating Islamic finance principles.
  • model gpt +0.0 2× rounds Hezbollah favors state intervention and welfare networks over market liberalism.
  • prior Author baseline +1.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Gemini +3.0 2× rounds The party supports market mechanisms and private property within an Islamic ethical framework that emphasizes social solidarity.
  • model Claude +3.0 2× rounds Islamist opposition without a sharply defined economic line.
  • model gemma +5.0 2× rounds Favors a market-oriented economy with Islamic ethics.
• Ra'am (United Arab List) IL Pan-Arab vs particularist settled ↔ 9 pt +2.0
  • model Grok -5.0 Islamist particularist focused on Israeli Arab and Bedouin interests not pan-Arab.
  • prior Author baseline +2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Claude +2.0 Islamist and community-particularist, focused on Israeli-Arab interests.
  • model Gemini +2.0 Focuses pragmatically on the specific civic and domestic needs of Arab citizens within Israel.
  • model DeepSeek +2.0 Pan-Islamic not pan-Arab.
  • model Kimi +2.0 Islamist rather than pan-Arab; focused on Palestinian-Israeli Arab community.
  • model gpt +3.0 Ra’am has Arab-Islamic solidarity language but is more local and pragmatic than pan-Arabist.
  • model gemma +4.0 Identifies with the broader Arab cause.
  • model minimax +4.0 Ra'am frames itself in pan-Islamic and partly pan-Arab terms but its base is more community-specific Islamist than pan-Arabist; moderately particularist.
  • model qwen +4.0 Particularist, focusing on the specific needs of Arab citizens rather than pan-Arabism.

  before · r1 grok -4.0gemini +5.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• National Rally for Reform and Development (Tewassoul) MR Centralism vs federalism settled ↔ 9 pt -5.5
  • model Grok -8.0 Tewassoul accepts and operates within Mauritania's unitary centralized republican structure with no advocacy for federal or regional power-sharing.
  • model DeepSeek -7.0 Tewassoul as a national Islamist party has not pushed for federalism and accepts Mauritania's unitary structure.
  • model qwen -7.0 Operates within and supports the centralized unitary state structure of Mauritania.
  • model gemma -6.0 Generally favors a unitary state under an Islamic framework rather than ethnic or regional federalism.
  • model Claude -6.0 Centralist like Mauritanian parties generally; no federalist program.
  • model Gemini -5.0 Tewassoul supports the unitary central state but advocates for ethnic justice and administrative decentralization rather than federalism.
  • model gpt -5.0 Tewassoul operates within Mauritania’s unitary national frame rather than advocating federal redesign.
  • model minimax -4.0 Tewassoul envisions a strong centralized Islamic state and has not advocated regional power-sharing.
  • prior Author baseline -2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +1.0 Tewassoul operates within unitary state framework with no explicit federalist platform, focused on national reform.
• Nour Party EG Pan-Arab vs particularist settled ↔ 9 pt -2.0
  • model DeepSeek -4.0 Primarily Islamist not pan-Arab; particularist to Egyptian Islamist identity.
  • prior Author baseline -3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model qwen -3.0 Balances Salafi transnationalism with Egyptian nationalism and loyalty to the Gulf monarchies.
  • model Claude -2.0 Pan-Islamist and Sunni-particularist rather than pan-Arab.
  • model Grok -2.0 Primary Salafi-Islamic identity with secondary and pragmatic Arab nationalist elements.
  • model gpt -2.0 Its frame is Salafi-Islamic and Egyptian rather than pan-Arab nationalist.
  • model minimax +1.0 More pan-Islamist than pan-Arab; some Arab solidarity rhetoric on Palestine.
  • model Kimi +3.0 Moderate pan-Arab solidarity with Islamist framing; focuses on Sunni Islamic unity more than secular pan-Arabism.
  • model Gemini +4.0 It emphasizes transnational Islamic and Arab solidarity over narrow secular state nationalism.
  • model gemma +5.0 Frames solidarity through the lens of the wider Islamic Ummah.
• Patriotic Union of Kurdistan IQ Regime stance settled ↔ 9 pt +7.0
  • model DeepSeek -1.0 Works within Iraqi system but with strong autonomy and occasional confrontation with Baghdad.
  • model Kimi +2.0 PUK accepts Iraq's constitutional order while pushing for maximum Kurdish autonomy within it
  • prior Author baseline +3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Claude +3.0 Works within federal Iraq and was lukewarm toward the 2017 independence bid.
  • model Grok +7.0 PUK is a foundational participant in post-2003 Iraq's federal order and defends the constitutional system while competing within it.
  • model gemma +7.0 Supports the federal constitutional order of Iraq.
  • model gpt +7.0 It is a mainstream participant in the post-2003 Iraqi constitutional order.
  • model minimax +7.0 PUK is committed to Iraq's federal constitutional order and has produced Jalal Talabani as president of the republic; it works within the state framework.
  • model qwen +7.0 Integral to the post-2003 federal Iraqi state and the Kurdish autonomous region's legal framework.
  • model Gemini +8.0 The PUK is a core pillar of the post-2003 Iraqi constitutional order, consistently holding the national presidency.
• Socialist Forces Front DZ Regime stance settled ↔ 9 pt -5.0
  • model Grok -7.0 Longstanding opposition calling for democratic overhaul of the authoritarian power structure and military influence.
  • model Kimi -6.0 Opposition party; critical of regime but not revolutionary.
  • model gemma -6.0 Strongly critical of the existing political order and its lack of democracy.
  • prior Author baseline -5.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model DeepSeek -5.0 FFS is a longstanding opposition party that seeks democratic reform but not overthrow of the republic.
  • model qwen -5.0 Oppositional to current authoritarian order; seeks democratic transformation.
  • model Gemini -4.0 The FFS opposes the military-backed authoritarian regime and seeks a transition to a fully civilian democratic order.
  • model minimax +2.0 FFS is opposition to incumbent power but loyal to the republican constitutional order
  • model Claude +2.0 Opposition loyal to a democratic constitutional order while contesting the regime.
• Syrian National Coalition SY Pan-Arab vs particularist provisional ↔ 9 pt -1.0
  • model qwen -6.0 Focuses primarily on Syrian national interests and particularism rather than broader pan-Arab ideological projects.
  • model Gemini -3.0 The Coalition prioritizes a Syria-specific national framework over pan-Arab ideological integration.
  • model Grok -3.0 SNC centers Syrian national interests and transition politics with Arab solidarity mainly expressed on Palestinian issues.
  • model DeepSeek -2.0 Weak pan-Arab rhetoric; primarily Syrian nationalist and opposition-focused.
  • model Claude -2.0 Focused on the Syrian revolution rather than pan-Arab ideology.
  • prior Author baseline +0.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +2.0 The SNC focused primarily on Syrian national liberation and democratic transition rather than pan-Arab unity, though it maintained solidarity with Arab causes.
  • model gemma +2.0 Generally supports Arab solidarity but focuses primarily on the Syrian nation-state.
  • model minimax +2.0 SNC rhetoric uses pan-Arab framing but its primary focus is Syrian state reconstruction
  • model gpt +3.0 It uses Arab and Syrian national language without making pan-Arab unity its central doctrine.
• Southern Transitional Council YE Regime stance settled ↔ 9 pt -7.5
  • model DeepSeek -9.0 STC rejects the unified Yemeni state and seeks to dismantle it — anti-regime in strongest sense.
  • model Gemini -8.0 The STC explicitly rejects the post-1990 unified Republic of Yemen constitutional order, seeking to dissolve the current state framework.
  • model Grok -8.0 The STC explicitly challenges the 1990 unification and unitary republican constitutional order, advancing plans for southern independence or radical federal restructuring via referendum and new constitution.
  • model gemma -8.0 They reject the unified Yemeni constitutional order in favor of southern sovereignty.
  • model gpt -8.0 It challenges the unified Yemeni constitutional order through a southern secessionist project.
  • model Kimi -7.0 STC rejects the unified Yemeni state, seeking either independence or maximum autonomy for the south.
  • model Claude -7.0 Seeks to dismantle the unitary Yemeni republic and restore an independent south.
  • model minimax -6.0 STC has at times accepted the PLC framework but repeatedly challenged central authority, seized Aden, and pushes for a new southern order — net anti-regime.
  • prior Author baseline -5.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model qwen +0.0 Sits in the Presidential Leadership Council but actively seeks to overturn the unitary constitutional order.
• Southern Transitional Council YE Pan-Arab vs particularist settled ↔ 9 pt -7.0
  • prior Author baseline -8.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok -8.0 2× rounds The STC emphasizes a distinct southern Yemeni national identity, PDRY heritage, and self-determination over pan-Arab or northern-inclusive framing.
  • model Gemini -7.0 2× rounds The STC prioritizes a distinct Southern Yemeni nationalist identity over pan-Arab political frameworks.
  • model DeepSeek -7.0 2× rounds STC is aggressively particularist — southern Yemeni secessionism
  • model qwen -7.0 2× rounds Southern secessionist, rejects pan-Arabism for local identity.
  • model minimax -7.0 2× rounds STC is a South-Yemeni separatist movement firmly particularist in identity.
  • model Claude -7.0 2× rounds Southern Yemeni separatism is sharply particularist.
  • model gemma -7.0 2× rounds Strongly particularist
  • model gpt -6.0 2× rounds The STC is southern separatist and particularist rather than pan-Arab.
  • model Kimi -4.0 2× rounds STC is explicitly southern particularist, seeking separation from the north, rejecting pan-Arab unity in favor of southern identity.
  • model mistral +1.0 Southern Transitional Council leans slightly toward particularism.
• National Forces Alliance LY Pan-Arab vs particularist settled ↔ 9 pt -3.0
  • model Grok -6.0 Focuses on Libyan national reconstruction, sovereignty, and state-building; rejects transnational ideological projects in favor of particularist Libyan priorities.
  • model Gemini -5.0 Emphasizes a 'Libya-first' nationalist framework focused on rebuilding state institutions over pan-Arab political schemes.
  • model qwen -4.0 Prioritizes Libyan nation-state-first particularism and national interests over broader pan-Arab ideological projects.
  • prior Author baseline -3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi -3.0 Nation-state-first nationalist framing rather than pan-Arab
  • model gemma -3.0 More focused on Libyan national interests and state-building than pan-Arab idealism.
  • model Claude -2.0 Libyan-nationalist and technocratic in framing rather than pan-Arabist.
  • model DeepSeek +1.0 Weak pan-Arab tilt; mostly Libya-first.
  • model gpt +2.0 It used some Arab-national language but emphasized Libyan national reconstruction over pan-Arab ideology.
  • model minimax +3.0 Jibril and the NFA invoked Arab and African solidarity
• Reform Party JO Pan-Arab vs particularist provisional ↔ 9 pt +1.5
  • model Gemini -4.0 2× rounds Emphasizes Jordanian-first national particularism and the preservation of domestic stability.
  • model Claude -1.0 2× rounds Domestically focused reform party, weakly particularist.
  • model Grok +1.0 2× rounds Jordanian parties tend to prioritize national interests over outdated pan-Arab ideologies.
  • model Kimi +2.0 2× rounds Moderate pan-Arab sentiment but primarily Jordanian-focused
  • model gemma +3.0 2× rounds Moderate identification with Pan-Arabism.
  • model gpt +3.0 It likely uses Arab and Palestinian solidarity language while remaining mainly Jordan-focused.
  • prior Author baseline +4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model DeepSeek +4.0 2× rounds Minimal pan-Arab framing; focuses on Jordanian reform.
  • model minimax +4.0 2× rounds Reform Party carries pan-Arab reformist leanings from its 1950s origins.
  • model mistral +4.0 Reform Party supports pan-Arabism.
  • model qwen +5.0 2× rounds Moderate Islamist with some pan-Arab sympathy.
• Hezbollah LB Traditionalism vs modernization provisional ↔ 9 pt -4.5
  • model qwen -7.0 Hezbollah blends modern military capacity with deep social traditionalism, resisting institutional modernization.
  • model Kimi -6.0 Hezbollah is deeply traditionalist on social and institutional matters, opposing modernization of family law, women's rights, and religious authority in public life; it uses technology for resistance, not social modernization.
  • model DeepSeek -6.0 Rejects social modernization; preserves traditional religious authority structures.
  • model gemma -6.0 Prioritizes religious tradition and social conservatism over modernization.
  • model Claude -5.0 Religiously traditionalist on social and family questions despite modern media use.
  • prior Author baseline -4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok -2.0 Pursues selective high-tech military modernization for asymmetric capabilities while maintaining socially traditionalist and ideologically rigid framework on gender, culture, and morals.
  • model gpt -2.0 It runs modern institutions but anchors them in conservative religious ideology.
  • model minimax -2.0 Hezbollah combines religious traditionalism with selective technological and military modernization but resists social liberalization.
  • model Gemini +2.0 Hezbollah utilizes highly modern technological and institutional management while maintaining traditional social values.
• Ra'am (United Arab List) IL Traditionalism vs modernization settled ↔ 9 pt -3.0
  • model gemma -5.0 Traditionalist in social and family matters.
  • model DeepSeek -4.0 Traditionalist but pragmatic in governance.
  • model minimax -4.0 Ra'am is socially traditionalist: supports religious family law, conservative social norms; not modernizing on gender/family.
  • model Claude -3.0 Religiously traditionalist with pragmatic openness.
  • model Gemini -3.0 Blends support for economic and technological advancement with traditionalist social and religious values.
  • model Kimi -3.0 Conservative Islamist; traditionalist on social issues but pragmatic on governance.
  • prior Author baseline -1.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok -1.0 Mixed: modernizing for community development but socially traditionalist.
  • model gpt +0.0 Ra’am combines pragmatic civic modernization with conservative Islamic social commitments.
  • model qwen +4.0 Pragmatic focus on modernizing the Arab sector's infrastructure and economy.

  before · r1 gemini -3.0grok -3.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• PFLP PS Centralism vs federalism settled ↔ 9 pt -5.0
  • model Gemini -9.0 Demands a unitary centralist state across historical Palestine, strongly opposing any federalist fragmentation.
  • model Grok -7.0 PFLP advocates a strong centralized revolutionary state structure and rejects federalist or sectarian power-sharing arrangements.
  • model gemma -6.0 Favors a centralized revolutionary state.
  • model qwen -6.0 Secular Arab nationalist movement favoring a centralized state structure.
  • model Claude -5.0 Centralist; favors a unitary state rather than federal power-sharing.
  • model Kimi -4.0 PFLP as a Marxist-Leninist organization favors a strong centralized revolutionary state structure and has not advocated for federalist power-sharing arrangements.
  • model gpt -4.0 PFLP favors a unified democratic Palestinian state rather than federal or communal fragmentation.
  • model minimax -4.0 PFLP envisions a unitary democratic Palestinian state and does not advocate federal structures.
  • prior Author baseline +0.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
• National Wisdom Movement IQ Centralism vs federalism provisional ↔ 9 pt +1.0
  • model Grok -6.0 As a mainstream Shia party, National Wisdom favors a strong central government in Baghdad and resists further federalization that could fragment Iraq or empower regions excessively.
  • model Gemini -3.0 Al-Hikma favors a relatively centralized state authority in Baghdad, resisting expansive regional autonomy.
  • model gemma -3.0 Prefers a stronger central state than Kurdish parties but accepts the federal framework.
  • model Kimi -2.0 Hakim favors administrative decentralization but opposes further federal fragmentation; supports strong central state
  • model DeepSeek +1.0 Accepts Iraqi federalism but prioritizes Shi'a unity and central state cohesion.
  • model qwen +2.0 Supports a balanced federalism but emphasizes national unity and a stronger central government than Kurdish parties.
  • prior Author baseline +3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model minimax +3.0 Hikma accepts Iraq's federal system, including the Kurdistan Region, and favors a degree of decentralization while not pushing maximalist federalism.
  • model Claude +3.0 Inherits ISCI's openness to a southern Shia federal region but in a more moderate form.
• National Wisdom Movement IQ Traditionalism vs modernization settled ↔ 9 pt +2.0
  • model Gemini -3.0 Al-Hikma maintains a traditionalist outlook grounded in religious and cultural conservatism.
  • model DeepSeek -3.0 Traditionalist on social issues but accepts some economic and technological modernization.
  • prior Author baseline -2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Claude +1.0 Cultivates a youthful reformist image atop an Islamist base.
  • model Grok +2.0 Hikma projects a somewhat reformist image on governance and women's issues but remains constrained by conservative religious social bases and traditions.
  • model Kimi +2.0 Hakim advocates for modern state-building and economic reform within conservative Islamic framework
  • model gemma +2.0 Supports cautious institutional modernization while preserving social traditions.
  • model minimax +2.0 Hikma promotes reformist and modernizing rhetoric under Ammar al-Hakim, including some women's empowerment, while retaining religious-traditional framing.
  • model qwen +6.0 Focuses heavily on institutional reform, anti-corruption, and modernizing the state apparatus.
• Movement of Society for Peace DZ Centralism vs federalism settled ↔ 9 pt -6.0
  • model Gemini -7.0 2× rounds The MSP supports Algeria's centralized unitary state structure and does not advocate for federalism.
  • model qwen -7.0 2× rounds Islamist party supportive of strong central state in Algeria.
  • model Grok -6.0 2× rounds MSP operates inside Algeria's centralized system and has never pushed federalism at all.
  • model minimax -6.0 2× rounds MSP is a national Islamist party that supports Algeria's unitary state.
  • model Claude -5.0 2× rounds Operates within Algeria's centralist state framework with no federalist agenda.
  • model gemma -5.0 2× rounds Generally accepts the centralist framework of the Algerian state.
  • model gpt -4.0 2× rounds MSP works within Algeria's centralized system and does not foreground federalism.
  • prior Author baseline -3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi -2.0 2× rounds Centralist; though with some regional outreach.
  • model mistral -2.0 Movement of Society for Peace tends to support centralism over federalism.
  • model DeepSeek +2.0 2× rounds MSP supports a unitary state but with some decentralization
• Ba'ath Party (Syria) SY Traditionalism vs modernization settled ↔ 9 pt +4.0
  • model mistral -3.0 Ba'ath Party leans toward traditionalism.
  • prior Author baseline +1.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model DeepSeek +2.0 2× rounds Mixed: secular education and some women’s legal gains
  • model gpt +3.0 It favors state modernization and education while preserving corporatist and patriarchal structures.
  • model minimax +4.0 2× rounds Ba'ath is a secular
  • model gemma +4.0 2× rounds Historically a modernizing force
  • model Grok +5.0 2× rounds Ba'ath pursued state-driven modernization expanding education infrastructure and women's public roles alongside economic projects.
  • model Kimi +5.0 2× rounds The Ba'ath promoted modernization in education, women's participation, and state institutions, though within an authoritarian framework.
  • model Claude +5.0 2× rounds Secular-modernist developmental ideology, now largely spent.
  • model Gemini +6.0 2× rounds The party favors state-led institutional modernization and women's participation over traditional religious authority.
  • model qwen +6.0 2× rounds Secular modernizing ideology despite authoritarian practice.
• Justice and Development Party MA Centralism vs federalism provisional ↔ 9 pt -6.0
  • model Grok -8.0 Supports the unitary centralized Moroccan state; Islamist platform does not advocate federal or sectarian power-sharing arrangements.
  • model qwen -8.0 Supports a centralized state structure without federalist divisions.
  • model Gemini -7.0 Strongly supports Morocco's unitary state structure and favors centralism over federal arrangements.
  • model minimax -6.0 PJD operates within Morocco's strongly centralist framework and has not advocated regional federalism or power-sharing.
  • model Claude -6.0 Centralist within the unitary Moroccan state.
  • model DeepSeek -4.0 No federalist agenda; accepts centralist monarchy.
  • model gemma -4.0 Generally supports the central state
  • prior Author baseline -3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +1.0 PJD supports Morocco's centralized unitary state structure as part of its conservative nationalist stance.
• Istiqlal Party MA Centralism vs federalism settled ↔ 9 pt -6.0
  • model Grok -8.0 Supports Morocco's strong unitary central state and monarchic authority; no significant federalist or consociational agenda.
  • model qwen -8.0 Historically committed to a strong centralized Moroccan state.
  • model Gemini -7.0 Strongly supports Morocco's unitary state structure and favors centralism over federal arrangements.
  • model Claude -7.0 Nationalist independence party committed to a unitary 'Greater Morocco'.
  • model gemma -6.0 Traditionally favors a strong central state to maintain national unity.
  • model minimax -6.0 Istiqlal is a historically centralist Moroccan nationalist party; it supports a strong unitary state under the monarchy.
  • model DeepSeek -5.0 Nationalist and centralist; supports strong unitary state.
  • model gpt -5.0 Istiqlal is a historic nationalist party favoring a strong unitary Moroccan state.
  • prior Author baseline -3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +1.0 Istiqlal supports Morocco's unitary centralized state with limited regional autonomy.
• Socialist Union of Popular Forces MA Traditionalism vs modernization settled ↔ 9 pt +5.0
  • model gpt -1.0 PJD is administratively modernizing but socially and religiously cautious.
  • prior Author baseline +4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Claude +4.0 Progressive, modernizing orientation.
  • model Kimi +5.0 USFP advocates for modernization in education, gender rights, and institutional reform.
  • model DeepSeek +5.0 Progressive on women’s rights and institutional modernization.
  • model minimax +5.0 USFP champions progressive family law reform, gender equality, and institutional modernization.
  • model Gemini +6.0 Favors modernizing social structures and legal frameworks, particularly concerning women's rights and education.
  • model gemma +6.0 Supports social and institutional modernization from a progressive
  • model Grok +8.0 Strong advocate for comprehensive social, gender, educational, and institutional modernization to achieve equality and overcome traditional barriers.
  • model qwen +8.0 Champions progressive social reforms and institutional modernization.
• Justice and Construction Party LY Centralism vs federalism settled ↔ 9 pt -4.5
  • model Gemini -6.0 Favors a unified central state structure and opposes regional federalist movements while supporting limited local decentralization.
  • model Grok -6.0 Advocates a strong central Islamic state and has consistently opposed federalist proposals that would decentralize power to regions or tribes.
  • model qwen -6.0 Favors a strong unified central state to implement national policies and opposes regional fragmentation.
  • model Kimi -5.0 Wants strong central state under Islamist control opposes federalism
  • model Claude -5.0 Brotherhood-aligned party favors a strong unitary central state and opposes the eastern federalist/autonomy movements.
  • model DeepSeek -4.0 Favors a unitary state but accepts some local governance in principle.
  • model gpt -4.0 The party has generally backed a unified post-Qaddafi Libyan state rather than strong regional federalism.
  • model gemma -3.0 Generally favors a unitary state to maintain ideological cohesion.
  • model minimax +1.0 Libyan Brotherhood offshoot has been rhetorically open to decentralization but tends toward a unified state framework; slightly federalist tilt.
  • prior Author baseline +3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
• Reform Party JO Traditionalism vs modernization settled ↔ 9 pt +3.5
  • model Grok -2.0 2× rounds Reform Party leans conservative and traditionalist in social outlook.
  • prior Author baseline +2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model mistral +3.0 Reform Party leans toward modernization.
  • model Claude +3.0 2× rounds Mixed reformist profile without clear traditionalist or modernist tilt.
  • model qwen +4.0 2× rounds Balances tradition with reformist tendencies.
  • model gpt +4.0 Its reformist orientation implies support for institutional modernization within conservative limits.
  • model Gemini +5.0 2× rounds Supports moderate, state-guided administrative and economic modernization efforts.
  • model Kimi +5.0 2× rounds Supports modernization and reform of institutions and some social issues
  • model DeepSeek +5.0 2× rounds Supports modernization in governance
  • model minimax +5.0 2× rounds Reform Party has historically been a modernizing
  • model gemma +7.0 2× rounds Strongly supports the modernization of the state and society.
• Free Patriotic Movement LB Gender equality provisional ↔ 9 pt +1.0
  • model gemma -4.0 Maintains traditional patriarchal views on family and gender roles.
  • model Kimi -3.0 FPM is a conservative Christian party with traditional views on gender roles and family law; it does not prioritize gender equality reforms.
  • model Grok -2.0 Maronite Christian base and church influence on family law result in conservative positions on gender roles and personal status; limited progressive advocacy.
  • model qwen -2.0 FPM includes women in leadership but maintains conservative positions on family law and gender roles.
  • prior Author baseline +1.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model minimax +1.0 FPM has some female representation and progressive rhetoric but its Maronite Christian base holds largely traditional views on family law.
  • model DeepSeek +2.0 Supports some reforms but avoids challenging religious personal status laws strongly.
  • model gpt +2.0 It accepts women’s public participation but is not a strongly feminist party.
  • model Claude +5.0 ⛓ grounded 2× rounds Women and men "equal in rights and obligations"; eliminating legal and social differences.
  • model Gemini +5.0 FPM's declared platform supports gender equality and reforms to personal status laws to empower women.
• Sairoon Alliance IQ Iran posture settled ↔ 9 pt -4.0
  • model gemma -7.0 Strongly adversarial toward Iranian political and military influence in Iraq.
  • model minimax -6.0 Sadr is famously anti-Iran; he broke with Iranian-aligned Shia parties and rejected Iranian political and military influence in Iraq.
  • model Grok -5.0 Muqtada al-Sadr has repeatedly clashed with Iran-backed militias and positioned Sairoon as Iraqi nationalist against foreign (Iranian) interference in Iraqi affairs.
  • model DeepSeek -5.0 Sairoon (Sadrists) is nationalist and anti-Iranian influence despite being Shi'a.
  • model Kimi -4.0 Sadr is nationalist opponent of Iranian influence; has clashed with Iran-backed militias and rejects Iranian political control
  • model Claude -4.0 Sadr is pointedly anti-Iran and Iraqi-nationalist, resisting Iranian dominance.
  • model qwen -4.0 Strong Iraqi nationalist stance that frequently clashes with Iranian interference and Iranian-backed factions.
  • model Gemini -3.0 Sadr positions himself as an Iraqi nationalist who opposes Iranian interference, leading to political confrontation with pro-Iran factions.
  • prior Author baseline +2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
• Likud IL Press freedom provisional ↔ 9 pt -3.0
  • model Gemini -6.0 Its record in office shows persistent attempts to influence and restrict critical media outlets.
  • model qwen -5.0 Record in office includes restrictions on Al Jazeera and pressure on media.
  • model DeepSeek -4.0 Government actions under Likud have constrained press.
  • model gemma -4.0 Hostile record toward critical media outlets.
  • model gpt -4.0 Likud leadership has repeatedly attacked critical media and pursued pressure on public broadcasting.
  • model minimax -2.0 Likud leaders have rhetorically attacked critical press and sought to weaken public broadcaster; record is somewhat restrictive.
  • model Claude -1.0 In office pressured public broadcasting amid Netanyahu media cases, though private press stays robust.
  • model Kimi +0.0 Mixed record; Netanyahu has criticized media and pursued regulatory measures against press.
  • model Grok +2.0 Accusations of media influence attempts and preferential treatment for aligned outlets.
  • prior Author baseline +3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.

  before · r1 gemini -5.0grok +3.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Religious Zionism Party IL Press freedom settled ↔ 9 pt -5.0
  • model Gemini -7.0 Seeks to curtail media outlets that are critical of the nationalist or religious agenda.
  • model qwen -6.0 Hostile to media that criticizes its settlement or judicial agenda.
  • model Claude -5.0 Hostile to critical media.
  • model DeepSeek -5.0 Hostile to independent press.
  • model gemma -5.0 Hostile toward press critical of the settlement movement.
  • model gpt -5.0 It is hostile to critical media and supports stronger nationalist control of public institutions.
  • model minimax -4.0 Religious Zionism is hostile to critical press and would restrict media it views as hostile to Jewish sovereignty.
  • model Kimi -3.0 Would likely restrict press critical of religious nationalist agenda.
  • model Grok +2.0 Supports press aligned with religious Zionist worldview; critical of hostile media.

  before · r1 grok +3.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Progressive Socialist Party LB Social provisional ↔ 8 pt +4.0
  • model qwen -2.0 PSP is relatively liberal for a sectarian party but still influenced by traditional Druze norms.
  • model Kimi +1.0 PSP has historically supported progressive social causes but as a Druze communal party it is constrained by traditional community values; it scores near centrist, slightly permissive on social freedoms.
  • prior Author baseline +2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Claude +2.0 Secular and comparatively permissive, reflecting its leftist heritage.
  • model gemma +4.0 Relatively permissive and secular compared to other major Lebanese parties.
  • model gpt +4.0 It is more socially liberal than most Lebanese confessional parties.
  • model minimax +4.0 PSP's progressive orientation favors personal freedoms
  • model Gemini +5.0 PSP's platform is secular and progressive, favoring relatively liberal individual and social freedoms.
  • model Grok +6.0 Relatively progressive on personal freedoms, lifestyle choices, and individual expression; supports reforms expanding social liberties.
• Nour Party EG Economic settled ↔ 8 pt +2.5
  • model Grok -3.0 Platform emphasizes Islamic social justice, anti-poverty measures, and national economic development with limited detail on market vs state balance.
  • model Kimi +1.0 Mixed position; some market orientation but constrained by Islamic economic principles; not strongly statist or market.
  • model Claude +2.0 Market-friendly with Islamic-finance and charity emphasis.
  • model DeepSeek +2.0 Moderate market economy with Islamic finance principles.
  • model gpt +2.0 It accepts market activity and private property while supporting moralized social welfare.
  • prior Author baseline +3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Gemini +3.0 It supports private property and market mechanisms within the framework of Islamic financial guidelines.
  • model gemma +3.0 Generally supports market mechanisms with Islamic ethical constraints.
  • model qwen +3.0 Supports market mechanisms but within an Islamic ethical framework.
  • model minimax +5.0 Salafi economic thought favors free-market capitalism with Islamic ethics; party supports entrepreneurship.
• New Wafd Party EG Social settled ↔ 8 pt +3.0
  • prior Author baseline -2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model gpt +1.0 It is civil and liberal in heritage but socially cautious by contemporary standards.
  • model Claude +2.0 Moderately secular, mildly permissive.
  • model Gemini +2.0 2× rounds It supports moderate social liberalism and individual rights within the framework of traditional Egyptian societal values.
  • model Kimi +3.0 Secular but not strongly socially libertarian; traditional elements within party; moderate on social freedoms.
  • model Grok +3.0 Liberal-conservative synthesis supports political freedoms alongside traditional national and social values.
  • model DeepSeek +3.0 Moderately permissive on social freedoms; liberal but not radical.
  • model gemma +3.0 Moderate liberal approach to social issues.
  • model minimax +5.0 Secular
  • model qwen +6.0 Secular and relatively permissive on personal freedoms.
• Likud IL Social provisional ↔ 8 pt -2.0
  • prior Author baseline -5.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • re-coder Re-coder C -5.0 Second-pass coder C — rubric-anchored re-read on the social axis; magnitude follows the primary reading with independent judgment calls on the governance axes.
  • model mistral -5.0 Likud leans toward authority in social policies.
  • re-coder Re-coder B -4.0 Second-pass coder B — rubric-anchored re-read on the social axis; extreme magnitudes tempered slightly toward the rubric mid-anchors.
  • model qwen -3.0 2× rounds Socially conservative.
  • model minimax -3.0 2× rounds Likud appeals to traditional and Mizrahi social values
  • model DeepSeek -2.0 2× rounds Mixed: some liberal stances but often traditionalist.
  • model gemma -2.0 2× rounds Leans toward traditional social authority and conservatism.
  • model gpt -2.0 Likud is mixed socially, with secular voters but conservative nationalist coalition commitments.
  • model Claude +0.0 2× rounds Mixed; traditional-leaning but reliant on a secular base.
  • model Grok +1.0 2× rounds Likud prioritizes national security and Jewish identity over libertarian social experiments.
  • model Kimi +2.0 2× rounds Secular nationalist but coalition with religious parties creates conservative social policies.
  • model Gemini +3.0 2× rounds Maintains a predominantly secular nationalist outlook but accommodates traditionalism for political alliances.

  before · r1 grok -4.0gemini -3.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Fatah PS Social settled ↔ 8 pt -1.5
  • model gemma -4.0 2× rounds Maintains an authoritative social structure.
  • prior Author baseline -3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • re-coder Re-coder C -3.0 Second-pass coder C — rubric-anchored re-read on the social axis; magnitude follows the primary reading with independent judgment calls on the governance axes.
  • re-coder Re-coder B -2.0 Second-pass coder B — rubric-anchored re-read on the social axis; extreme magnitudes tempered slightly toward the rubric mid-anchors.
  • model Gemini -2.0 2× rounds Leans toward traditional social authority in practice, respecting conservative societal norms while remaining officially secular.
  • model Kimi -2.0 2× rounds Fatah is secular but socially conservative; it does not actively promote LGBTQ+ rights or liberal social freedoms and operates within a conservative societal framework.
  • model DeepSeek +0.0 2× rounds Fatah is socially conservative by Western standards but relatively permissive within Palestinian context; mixed record.
  • model qwen +0.0 2× rounds Socially conservative but less than Hamas.
  • model gpt +1.0 Fatah is secular-nationalist but socially cautious in a conservative society.
  • model Claude +2.0 2× rounds Authority-leaning establishment movement.
  • model Grok +3.0 2× rounds Fatah's secular nationalist tradition allows relatively greater social and personal freedoms compared to Islamist factions.
  • model minimax +3.0 2× rounds Fatah is socially mixed
  • model mistral +4.0 Fatah leans toward libertarian social policies.
• Ta'al IL Economic settled ↔ 8 pt -3.0
  • model gpt -4.0 Ta’al leans social-democratic and prioritizes public investment for Arab communities.
  • prior Author baseline -3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Claude -3.0 2× rounds Center-left, mildly statist orientation.
  • model DeepSeek -2.0 2× rounds Left-leaning economically.
  • model Grok -2.0 2× rounds Ta'al promotes Arab interests with left-leaning economic policies favoring state intervention.
  • model Gemini -2.0 2× rounds Leans toward social-democratic welfare policies to alleviate economic disparities facing Arab citizens.
  • model Kimi -2.0 2× rounds Arab nationalist with social justice orientation; favors state support for Arab community.
  • model qwen -2.0 2× rounds Arab nationalist, leans statist.
  • model minimax +0.0 2× rounds Ta'al (Arab List) has mixed positions
  • model mistral +1.0 Ta'al leans slightly toward market-oriented economic policies.
  • model gemma +4.0 2× rounds Generally moderate on economic issues.

  before · r1 grok -5.0gemini -3.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Ra'am (United Arab List) IL Economic settled ↔ 8 pt -2.0
  • model Claude -4.0 Welfare-and-development statism for its constituency.
  • model Kimi -4.0 Islamist social welfare orientation; favors state support for Arab community.
  • model Grok -3.0 Populist welfare focus for Arab communities with statist lean.
  • model minimax -3.0 Ra'am pushes for state welfare spending for Arab communities and against neoliberal cuts; moderately statist.
  • model DeepSeek -2.0 Centrist economic with social focus.
  • model gemma -2.0 Supports state investment in underdeveloped Arab areas.
  • model gpt -2.0 Ra’am prioritizes state budgets and welfare for Arab communities over market ideology.
  • prior Author baseline +0.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Gemini +2.0 Takes a pragmatic approach to market mechanisms to foster economic development in Arab localities.
  • model qwen +4.0 Pragmatic economic focus on developing the Arab sector and integrating into the market.

  before · r1 gemini -3.0grok -2.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• DFLP PS Social settled ↔ 8 pt +4.5
  • model gemma -2.0 Secular but emphasizes collective socialist duty over individual moral libertarianism.
  • prior Author baseline +1.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Claude +3.0 Secular leftist, comparatively permissive on social mores within a conservative society.
  • model Gemini +4.0 Maintains a secular, progressive outlook on social issues, though constrained by traditional societal norms.
  • model Kimi +4.0 As a secular leftist party, DFLP supports women's rights and social equality, though it operates within a conservative Palestinian society and has not been a leading voice on LGBTQ+ issues.
  • model Grok +5.0 DFLP's secular left ideology favors personal and social liberties over traditional religious moral authority.
  • model DeepSeek +5.0 DFLP is secular and leftist, supportive of individual freedoms relative to Palestinian society, though not a primary focus.
  • model minimax +5.0 DFLP is a secular leftist party supportive of personal freedoms and individual expression.
  • model gpt +6.0 Its secular leftist ideology is relatively permissive on personal and cultural freedoms.
  • model qwen +6.0 Secular and leftist, generally supportive of personal social freedoms.
• Progressive Socialist Party LB Regional stance provisional ↔ 8 pt +1.0
  • model qwen -4.0 PSP maintains ties to Syria and resistance rhetoric but is less militant than Hezbollah.
  • model gemma -3.0 Generally sympathetic to the resistance axis
  • model minimax -3.0 PSP's pan-Arab anti-imperial tradition aligns loosely with the resistance axis
  • model gpt +0.0 It balances anti-normalization sympathy with pragmatic opposition to regional escalation.
  • model Claude +1.0 Pragmatic and shifting; currently distanced from the Hezbollah axis and leaning to the Gulf.
  • prior Author baseline +2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Gemini +3.0 PSP has adopted a more pragmatic posture aligned with Gulf Arab states and the regional stability camp.
  • model Kimi +3.0 PSP is pragmatic on regional issues, having shifted alliances over time; it is not in the resistance camp but also not fully normalizationist, seeking a middle path that preserves Druze and Lebanese interests.
  • model Grok +4.0 Pragmatic alliance shifts; currently leans toward stability and moderation camp after periods of tension with Hezbollah and resistance axis.
• Kataeb Party LB State & religion settled ↔ 8 pt +3.5
  • model Kimi -2.0 2× rounds Kataeb supports a secular state in its official platform but operates within Lebanon's confessional system; its practical position is mixed, leaning slightly toward religious state due to its Christian constituency.
  • model qwen +3.0 2× rounds Confessional party, supports religious role in state.
  • model gpt +3.0 It supports a civil state while retaining Christian-democratic identity.
  • prior Author baseline +4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Claude +4.0 ⛓ grounded 3× rounds A civil state — decriminalising homosexuality, abolishing the death penalty, a 30% gender quota.
  • model gemma +4.0 2× rounds Supports a state that recognizes religious identity but is functionally separate.
  • model DeepSeek +5.0 2× rounds Explicitly advocates for secular state and unified civil personal status law.
  • model minimax +5.0 2× rounds Kataeb is a Christian party historically supportive of a secular civic state
  • model mistral +5.0 Kataeb Party supports a secular state.
  • model Gemini +6.0 2× rounds Kataeb's official platform supports the transition toward a secular civic state and civil laws.
  • model Grok +6.0 2× rounds Supports optional civil marriage and reduction of religious authority in civil matters while respecting community personal status traditions.
• Kataeb Party LB Palestinian question provisional ↔ 8 pt -1.5
  • model DeepSeek -6.0 Historically opposed armed Palestinian presence; supports Palestinian state but not right of return to Lebanon.
  • model gemma -6.0 Historically opposed to Palestinian influence in Lebanon; now offers conditional
  • model Gemini -5.0 Kataeb opposes the permanent naturalization and presence of Palestinian refugees within Lebanon.
  • model Grok -4.0 Supports Palestinian statehood in principle but prioritizes Lebanese sovereignty; historically opposed armed PLO presence and operations from Lebanon.
  • model Kimi -2.0 Kataeb historically opposed Palestinian presence in Lebanon and supports Palestinian right of return rather than permanent settlement; it is not strongly pro-Palestinian rights, focusing more on Lebanese sovereignty concerns.
  • prior Author baseline -1.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Claude -1.0 Lebanese-nationalist and historically anti-PLO; cautious despite nominal support for statehood.
  • model minimax +0.0 Kataeb supports Palestinian humanitarian concerns but opposes armed resistance and demands Palestinian disarmament in Lebanon.
  • model gpt +1.0 It accepts Palestinian rights in principle while strongly opposing armed presence and resettlement.
  • model qwen +2.0 Kataeb sympathizes with Palestinians but prioritizes Lebanese state sovereignty and refugee return.
• Kataeb Party LB Civil liberties settled ↔ 8 pt +4.0
  • model gemma -2.0 2× rounds Favors state authority over individual liberties in security matters.
  • model minimax +1.0 2× rounds Kataeb holds conservative Christian social positions
  • model mistral +1.0 Kataeb Party leans slightly toward expanding civil liberties.
  • model Kimi +3.0 2× rounds Kataeb advocates for civil liberties and freedom in its platform, though as a Christian-centric party its commitment to universal civil liberties for all communities is somewhat qualified.
  • model DeepSeek +4.0 2× rounds Historically restrictive but now defends free speech against Hezbollah intimidation.
  • model Claude +4.0 2× rounds Reformist sovereigntist line moderately supportive of liberties.
  • model gpt +4.0 Its current platform stresses sovereignty pluralism and political freedoms.
  • prior Author baseline +5.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Gemini +5.0 2× rounds Kataeb's current platform emphasizes the protection and expansion of individual civil liberties and speech.
  • model qwen +5.0 2× rounds Historically authoritarian, now more liberal but inconsistent.
  • model Grok +6.0 2× rounds Consistent opposition advocate for free speech, association, and protest rights against militia intimidation and state overreach.
• Ra'am (United Arab List) IL West alignment provisional ↔ 8 pt +0.0
  • model Gemini -2.0 Maintains a cautious and generally skeptical posture toward Western regional interventions.
  • model DeepSeek -2.0 Critical but not hostile.
  • model Kimi -2.0 Mixed; pragmatic engagement but Islamist constituency skeptical of Western policies.
  • model minimax -2.0 Ra'am is skeptical of Western alignment and rejects Western cultural liberalism but pragmatically engages with the Israeli establishment backed by the US.
  • prior Author baseline +0.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Claude +0.0 Largely neutral and pragmatic on Western alignment.
  • model gemma +0.0 Neutral to skeptical.
  • model gpt +1.0 Ra’am is mainly domestically focused and not strongly aligned against the Western bloc.
  • model Grok +4.0 Pragmatic engagement with Israeli system and Western-aligned governance for gains.
  • model qwen +6.0 Pragmatic and relatively open to Western engagement and investment.

  before · r1 gemini -3.0grok +1.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Ra'am (United Arab List) IL Regional stance settled ↔ 8 pt +2.0
  • model minimax -3.0 Ra'am is anti-normalization in principle but pragmatic in practice; mildly leaning anti-normalization.
  • model gemma -2.0 Generally anti-normalization
  • model Claude -1.0 Sympathetic to Palestinians but pursues aims through institutional politics, not resistance.
  • model DeepSeek +1.0 Pragmatic; not aligned with resistance openly.
  • prior Author baseline +2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok +2.0 Pragmatic stability lean from coalition experience; still critical of some normalization bypassing Palestinians.
  • model Kimi +2.0 Pragmatic; joined Israeli government and focuses on normalization for Arab community benefit.
  • model qwen +2.0 Moderate regional stance, avoiding explicit alignment with the resistance axis.
  • model gpt +3.0 Ra’am is anti-occupation but favors pragmatic negotiation over resistance-camp politics.
  • model Gemini +5.0 Pragmatically accommodates normalization and regional stability frameworks if they benefit Arab citizens domestically.

  before · r1 grok +3.0gemini +5.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Shas IL Liberal democracy settled ↔ 8 pt -3.5
  • model Gemini -6.0 Frequently opposes judicial review and supports reducing the power of secular liberal-democratic checks.
  • model Claude -4.0 Participates electorally but subordinates civil rights to religious authority.
  • model DeepSeek -4.0 Electoral participant but undermines secular democratic norms.
  • model gpt -4.0 Shas has supported judicial weakening and religious authority over liberal checks.
  • model qwen -4.0 Record in office as a kingmaker often undermines liberal democratic checks for coalition deals.
  • model gemma -3.0 Skeptical of liberal checks that limit religious authority.
  • model minimax -3.0 Shas works within democracy but opposes liberal-democratic values like pluralism in religious matters and press freedom.
  • prior Author baseline -2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +1.0 Participates in democracy but rabbinical authority overrides liberal democratic norms.
  • model Grok +2.0 Participates in democracy but prioritizes religious community interests over strict liberal secularism.

  before · r1 gemini -4.0grok +6.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• United Torah Judaism IL Regional stance settled ↔ 8 pt +4.0
  • prior Author baseline -3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model gemma +0.0 Lacks a strong
  • model minimax +0.0 UTJ is broadly status-quo on regional alignment; focuses on domestic religious issues rather than foreign policy.
  • model Kimi +1.0 Pragmatic; not focused on regional posture.
  • model Claude +4.0 Follows the governing coalition's normalization line.
  • model Grok +4.0 Pragmatic supporter of government stability for community benefits; not resistance aligned.
  • model DeepSeek +4.0 Generally pro-normalization.
  • model gpt +4.0 UTJ generally follows pro-security right-bloc normalization policy without a strong regional doctrine.
  • model Gemini +5.0 Pragmatically supports regional normalization for economic and security stability.
  • model qwen +5.0 Moderately aligned with the stability camp but focused primarily on domestic religious issues.

  before · r1 gemini +0.0grok +2.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• National Unity IL Regional stance settled ↔ 8 pt +7.0
  • prior Author baseline +0.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +5.0 Supports normalization and stability; security-focused regional approach.
  • model minimax +5.0 National Unity broadly supports the normalization camp and regional stability framework.
  • model DeepSeek +6.0 Supports normalization and stability camp.
  • model Claude +7.0 Firmly in the normalization and stability camp.
  • model Grok +7.0 Favors stability normalization and negotiated settlements over maximalism.
  • model Gemini +8.0 Strongly supports the normalization camp, regional stability, and security cooperation.
  • model gemma +8.0 Pro-normalization and stability.
  • model gpt +8.0 National Unity favors normalization, anti-Iran cooperation, and US-backed regional stability.
  • model qwen +8.0 Strongly aligned with the stability and normalization camp.

  before · r1 gemini +6.0grok +6.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Fatah PS Regional stance provisional ↔ 8 pt +3.5
  • prior Author baseline +0.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • re-coder Re-coder B +0.0 Second-pass coder B — rubric-anchored re-read on the regional-stance axis; extreme magnitudes tempered slightly toward the rubric mid-anchors.
  • re-coder Re-coder C +1.0 Second-pass coder C — rubric-anchored re-read on the regional-stance axis; magnitude follows the primary reading with independent judgment calls on the governance axes.
  • model Claude +3.0 ⛓ grounded 3× rounds Maximalist: "eradication of Zionist... existence." 1960s charter — its current behavioural stance diverges (declared lens).
  • model Grok +3.0 2× rounds Fatah pursues negotiated settlements, international diplomacy, and security coordination, aligning more with stability and normalization camp than armed resistance.
  • model minimax +3.0 2× rounds Fatah generally favors a negotiated
  • model Kimi +4.0 2× rounds Fatah/PA engages in normalization through Oslo framework and security coordination with Israel, receives Gulf and Western support, and is positioned in the stability camp rather than the resistance axis.
  • model DeepSeek +4.0 2× rounds Fatah pursues negotiation and has ties with pro-normalization Gulf states, leaning toward stability camp.
  • model mistral +5.0 Fatah leans toward stability and normalization.
  • model gpt +5.0 It pursues diplomacy, negotiations, and Arab-state coordination rather than Axis-style armed regional politics.
  • model Gemini +6.0 2× rounds Pursues diplomatic strategies through negotiated settlements and aligns with moderate Arab states favoring regional stability.
  • model gemma +6.0 2× rounds Favors diplomatic stability and negotiation over maximalist resistance.
  • model qwen +8.0 2× rounds Seeks stability through diplomacy and international support.
• Palestinian People's Party PS Regional stance provisional ↔ 8 pt -3.0
  • model minimax -6.0 PPP is in the anti-normalization resistance camp and rejects the Oslo framework.
  • model Gemini -5.0 Opposes regional normalization deals with Israel, emphasizing solidarity with popular anti-imperialist movements.
  • model gemma -5.0 Leans toward the resistance pole by opposing normalization.
  • model gpt -4.0 It is anti-normalization and anti-imperialist without being a hardline Islamist resistance proxy.
  • model Grok -3.0 PPP balances historical resistance commitments with participation in PLO structures that have pursued negotiated political settlements.
  • model Claude -3.0 Anti-normalization leftist, but supports a negotiated two-state settlement.
  • prior Author baseline -2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +0.0 PPP is part of the PLO and supports negotiated solutions, but as a leftist party it also opposes imperialism and normalization; it occupies a middle position, critical of both armed resistance maximalism and Gulf normalization.
  • model qwen +2.0 Part of the PLO's negotiated track, favoring diplomatic solutions over armed maximalism.
• Reform Party JO Social provisional ↔ 8 pt -2.0
  • model Grok -6.0 Conservative on social issues, favoring traditional values and religious moral authority with limited reformist openings.
  • model Gemini -5.0 Maintains a traditionalist and conservative social outlook in line with broader societal norms.
  • model qwen -5.0 Reflects the conservative, traditional social values of its tribal and religious base.
  • model Kimi -2.0 Moderately socially conservative, mainstream Jordanian social positioning
  • model gemma -2.0 Generally conservative but moderately open to social change.
  • model gpt -2.0 It likely sits in Jordan’s socially conservative mainstream absent evidence of libertarian social policy.
  • model Claude -2.0 Moderately conservative on social and moral questions.
  • model DeepSeek +0.0 Centrist; not strongly socially conservative or libertarian.
  • prior Author baseline +2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model minimax +2.0 Reform-oriented likely leans socially moderate/permissive, but uncertain.
• Reform Party JO State & religion provisional ↔ 8 pt -2.0
  • model Gemini -4.0 Supports the constitutional status quo of Islam as the official religion of the state.
  • model Grok -4.0 Advocates greater role for Islamic values in law and society while stopping short of full theocratic state.
  • model qwen -4.0 Supports the constitutional role of Islam in state affairs and public life.
  • model Kimi -2.0 Accepts moderate religious role in state, not pushing for secularism
  • model gemma -2.0 Respects the role of religion in the state without seeking a theocratic structure.
  • model gpt -2.0 It likely accepts Islamic public references without a clearly theocratic platform.
  • model Claude -1.0 Moderate stance with slight religious presence.
  • model DeepSeek +2.0 Secular-leaning; no agenda to impose religious law.
  • model minimax +2.0 Reform framing implies moderate secular orientation, but lack of specific positions on religious authority.
  • prior Author baseline +4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
• Reform Party JO Regional stance settled ↔ 8 pt +2.5
  • model gpt -2.0 Its likely anti-normalization instincts are balanced by limited evidence of resistance-bloc alignment.
  • model minimax +0.0 Reform posture implies moderate regional stance, but limited public information reduces confidence.
  • prior Author baseline +2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok +2.0 Generally supports stability and negotiated settlements but with stronger pro-Palestinian positions that edge toward resistance sympathies.
  • model DeepSeek +2.0 Mildly pro-normalization track
  • model Kimi +3.0 Leans toward stability camp, supports negotiated solutions and regional cooperation
  • model Claude +3.0 Leans toward the state's stability/normalization posture.
  • model Gemini +6.0 Endorses the state's regional posture of maintaining diplomatic stability and negotiated settlements.
  • model gemma +6.0 Favors stability and diplomatic solutions over the
  • model qwen +6.0 Aligns with the state's foreign policy of regional stability and diplomatic engagement.
• Reform Party JO Civil liberties settled ↔ 8 pt +2.5
  • model Gemini -3.0 Leans toward state restrictions on public dissent to preserve national stability and order.
  • model Grok -2.0 Calls for expanded political participation and freedoms but within bounds that do not threaten social order or regime stability.
  • model qwen -2.0 Favors political stability and order, showing moderate support for civil liberties.
  • model Claude +1.0 Reform-branded centrist with a mild lean toward expanded freedoms.
  • model Kimi +2.0 Mildly supportive of expanding civil liberties within system constraints
  • model DeepSeek +3.0 Moderate reformist; supports civil liberties but within legal limits.
  • model gemma +4.0 Advocates for a measured expansion of civil liberties within the legal framework.
  • model gpt +4.0 Its reformist label suggests support for expanded political freedoms, though specific commitments are unclear.
  • model minimax +4.0 Reform-oriented platform implies support for expanded civil liberties, though specific positions unclear.
  • prior Author baseline +5.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
• Free Destourian Party TN Regional stance provisional ↔ 8 pt +3.0
  • model qwen -2.0 Sympathetic to resistance rhetoric but not aligned with Iran-led axis; opposes normalization with Israel.
  • model minimax -1.0 Rhetorically anti-normalization but aligned with Saied's stability-first orientation; mixed.
  • model DeepSeek +2.0 Generally favors regional stability and has not aligned with resistance axis.
  • prior Author baseline +3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Claude +3.0 Anti-Islamist orientation aligns it with the stability/normalization camp.
  • model Kimi +5.0 Tunisian nationalist pragmatism favors stability and normalization over resistance axis.
  • model Grok +5.0 PDL favors pragmatic stability, economic partnerships with Gulf states, and avoidance of entanglement in resistance axes or ideological foreign adventures.
  • model gemma +5.0 Favors regional stability and state-level diplomatic relations.
  • model Gemini +6.0 The party aligns with regional conservative powers favoring stability and opposing political Islam.
• Free Destourian Party TN Civil liberties settled ↔ 8 pt -4.0
  • model Gemini -6.0 The party favors robust state authority and restrictions on political opponents, particularly Islamists.
  • model gemma -6.0 Prioritizes state security and stability over individual liberties.
  • model minimax -5.0 Authoritarian-leaning rhetoric; supported restrictions on Islamist movement and weaker protection of dissent.
  • model Grok -4.0 PDL's secular nationalism translates into support for curbing Islamist civil society and political participation while defending broader political pluralism for secular forces.
  • model DeepSeek -4.0 The party has supported restrictive measures on protest and dissent under populist-nationalist framing.
  • model qwen -4.0 Moussi defends strong state control and has supported restrictions on dissent under guise of stability.
  • model Claude -3.0 Nostalgic for the pre-2011 police state and seeks to ban Islamist rivals, implying restriction.
  • prior Author baseline -2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +2.0 Opposition stance supports liberties but RCD heritage raises questions about authoritarian tendencies.
• Justice and Development Party MA Liberal democracy settled ↔ 8 pt +1.5
  • model Gemini -4.0 While participating in elections, it defers to the ultimate executive and religious authority of the monarchy.
  • model DeepSeek -4.0 In power weakened liberal checks; subservient to monarchy on key issues.
  • model qwen +0.0 Accepted electoral defeat but did not actively strengthen liberal democratic checks while in power.
  • model Kimi +1.0 PJD participated in elections but accepted palace constraints and did not challenge executive dominance.
  • model minimax +2.0 PJD formally accepted constitutional monarchy but in government did not push for meaningful liberal-democratic checks on royal power.
  • prior Author baseline +3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Claude +4.0 ⛓ grounded 2× rounds "Democratic choice" listed among the unifying constants.
  • model Grok +4.0 Advocates Islamic democracy and strong internal party democracy; in power demonstrated moderate liberal-democratic commitment but remained loyal to monarchical constraints.
  • model gemma +4.0 Strong commitment to electoral processes and institutional participation.
• Authenticity and Modernity Party MA Social settled ↔ 8 pt +4.0
  • model DeepSeek -3.0 Generally traditional but not strongly socially conservative compared to Islamists.
  • model gpt +3.0 PAM is among Morocco’s more socially liberal parties but remains cautious in a conservative society.
  • model minimax +3.0 PAM is relatively secular-leaning and modernist in social rhetoric, though Moroccan conservatism still constrains the party.
  • model Claude +3.0 Comparatively permissive, modernist social profile by Moroccan standards.
  • prior Author baseline +4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +4.0 PAM has been described as socially liberal relative to Moroccan context but operates within conservative boundaries.
  • model Grok +4.0 Promotes social liberalism including women's rights, gender equality, and privacy against conservative moral traditionalism.
  • model gemma +4.0 Generally supports social modernization and individual liberties within a moderate frame.
  • model qwen +4.0 Relatively socially liberal and modernist compared to conservative Islamist parties.
  • model Gemini +5.0 Advocates for individual social freedoms and personal liberties, presenting an explicitly modernist alternative to conservatism.
• Socialist Union of Popular Forces MA Economic settled ↔ 8 pt -4.0
  • model gemma -6.0 Favors a socialist approach with significant state intervention and social redistribution.
  • model Grok -5.0 Social-democratic platform emphasizing social justice, state intervention to reduce inequality, strong public services, and regulated markets.
  • model DeepSeek -5.0 Social democratic; favors state role in economy.
  • model minimax -5.0 USFP is a social-democratic party with a historically statist, pro-welfare-state economic orientation.
  • prior Author baseline -4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model qwen -4.0 Social democratic platform favoring state intervention and welfare over pure market mechanisms.
  • model Claude -3.0 Social-democratic, redistributive economic orientation.
  • model Kimi -2.0 USFP is social democratic, advocating state-led investment, progressive taxation, and social spending.
  • model Gemini -2.0 Retains its center-left social-democratic platform favoring state social spending, though it operates within a market framework.
  • model gpt +2.0 PJD governed pragmatically with market-compatible reforms and welfare caution.
• State of Law Coalition IQ Economic provisional ↔ 8 pt -3.5
  • model Gemini -6.0 The coalition favors a statist economy, having vastly expanded public sector employment to build loyal patronage networks.
  • model Grok -6.0 State of Law embodies Iraq's classic rentier-statist model with extensive patronage, state employment, and resistance to market reforms that threaten political control.
  • model gemma -6.0 Favors state-led economic control and extensive public sector allocation.
  • model gpt -4.0 The FLN retains state-led nationalist economic instincts despite selective market reforms.
  • model qwen -4.0 Favors heavy state control over the economy, characterized by cronyism and centralized resource distribution.
  • model minimax -3.0 State of Law era featured statist oil-revenue distribution, crony networks, and limited market reform — net statist with crony capitalist features.
  • model Claude -2.0 ⛓ grounded 2× rounds An integrated political-economic-social project, green economy, anti-rent-seeking — mildly statist.
  • model Kimi -2.0 Maliki favors state-led economic model with significant central control; not market-oriented
  • prior Author baseline -1.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model DeepSeek +2.0 State-heavy oil economy with patronage distribution; some market reforms under pressure.
• State of Law Coalition IQ State & religion settled ↔ 8 pt -6.0
  • model Grok -8.0 State of Law strongly advocates embedding Islamic (particularly Ja'afari/Shia) jurisprudence in Iraqi law, constitution, and personal status codes.
  • prior Author baseline -6.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Gemini -6.0 The coalition supports an influential role for Islamic jurisprudence in state legislation and governance.
  • model gemma -6.0 Supports significant religious influence in state law and policy.
  • model qwen -6.0 Supports a state where Shia religious authorities have significant influence over law and governance.
  • model Claude -5.0 ⛓ grounded 2× rounds Shia-Islamist marker: deference to "the supreme religious authority" (the marjaʿiyya).
  • model Kimi -5.0 Maliki supports Shia Islamist influence in state and law; opposes secular separation
  • model minimax -3.0 State of Law comes from the Islamic Dawa Party tradition and integrates religious identity with politics; not theocratic, but religion shapes its political program.
  • model gpt +0.0 It maintains a secular-nationalist state with Islam constitutionally embedded.
• National Wisdom Movement IQ Economic settled ↔ 8 pt +1.0
  • model Gemini -5.0 The party supports state allocation and a large public sector to maintain its extensive patronage networks.
  • model gemma -4.0 Generally favors state-led development and social welfare protections.
  • model Grok -3.0 National Wisdom operates within Iraq's rentier-statist economic model with patronage networks typical of post-2003 Shia political actors.
  • prior Author baseline +0.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model minimax +1.0 Hikma's economic platform is moderate, blending market openness with social welfare provisions; not strongly statist nor strongly laissez-faire.
  • model Kimi +2.0 Hakma advocates for economic reform and development but operates within Iraq's state-heavy economy
  • model Claude +2.0 Pragmatic orientation leaning slightly toward markets within a statist oil economy.
  • model qwen +2.0 Advocates for a social market economy with state welfare, blending market mechanisms with social justice.
  • model DeepSeek +3.0 Favors state-led development with some private sector role typical of Shi'a patronage parties.
• National Wisdom Movement IQ Liberal democracy provisional ↔ 8 pt -1.0
  • model Gemini -4.0 The party participates in elections but prioritizes elite power-sharing agreements over liberal democratic checks and balances.
  • model Grok -4.0 Hikma participates in elections and advocates some reforms but operates in a system with weak liberal institutions and has not strongly challenged executive overreach when in power circles.
  • model DeepSeek -2.0 Participates in elections but supports a consociational system with strong clerical influence.
  • model gemma -2.0 Operates within a flawed electoral system that lacks strong liberal-democratic checks.
  • model Claude -1.0 Participates electorally and talks reform while benefiting from muhasasa and Islamist priorities.
  • model Kimi +1.0 Hakim supports electoral process and institutional reform but operates within Iraq's flawed democratic system
  • model minimax +1.0 Hikma has consistently advocated reform, anti-corruption measures, and pluralism; it has operated within sectarian frameworks but rhetorically pushes for stronger civic institutions.
  • prior Author baseline +4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model qwen +4.0 Champions democratic reforms and anti-corruption, though its actual governance record is limited by its coalition roles.
• National Liberation Front DZ West alignment provisional ↔ 8 pt -1.0
  • model Gemini -5.0 2× rounds The FLN pursues a non-aligned foreign policy with historical ties to Russia and frequent rhetorical hostility to Western influence.
  • model Claude -4.0 2× rounds Heir to anti-colonial non-alignment, pragmatic but tilted away from the West.
  • model mistral -3.0 The party has historically been anti-Western in its stance.
  • model gpt -2.0 The FLN is nationalist and nonaligned with some Western ties but not strongly pro-Western.
  • model gemma -2.0 2× rounds Historically anti-colonial and nationalist
  • model DeepSeek -1.0 2× rounds FLN maintains an anti-Western rhetorical posture
  • model qwen -1.0 2× rounds Historically non-aligned but increasingly pragmatic; still skeptical of West.
  • prior Author baseline +0.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok +0.0 2× rounds FLN clings to anti-Western anti-imperialist rhetoric from its independence days as standard third-world Arab socialist posturing.
  • model minimax +1.0 2× rounds FLN has a historic anti-colonial and anti-Western orientation rooted in the liberation struggle.
  • model Kimi +3.0 2× rounds Maintains Western trade ties; pragmatic engagement.
• Democratic National Rally DZ Social settled ↔ 8 pt -4.0
  • model Gemini -5.0 2× rounds The RND emphasizes state and collective moral authority, rejecting individualistic social liberalism.
  • model qwen -5.0 2× rounds Centrist-authoritarian leaning typical of Algerian establishment parties.
  • model gemma -5.0 2× rounds Aligns with the state's conservative and authoritarian social control.
  • model Grok -4.0 2× rounds Backs the military-backed regime's authoritarian grip on Algerian society as these establishment Arab parties always do.
  • model gpt -4.0 2× rounds The RND is socially conservative and security-oriented rather than libertarian.
  • model Claude -4.0 2× rounds Pro-regime nationalist party favoring order and state authority over libertarian openness.
  • prior Author baseline -2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi -2.0 2× rounds Socially conservative but less rigid than Islamist parties.
  • model DeepSeek -2.0 2× rounds RND is socially conservative but not as extreme as Islamist parties; supports traditional family values.
  • model minimax +3.0 2× rounds RND is a centrist establishment party with conservative social leanings typical of Algerian political elite.
  • model mistral +3.0 The party leans towards authority but has some libertarian tendencies in social policies.
• Democratic National Rally DZ West alignment provisional ↔ 8 pt +1.5
  • model DeepSeek -3.0 RND is skeptical of Western intervention
  • model Claude -3.0 Follows Algeria's non-aligned posture tilting away from the West.
  • model Gemini -2.0 The RND favors pragmatic economic cooperation with Western nations while adhering to Algeria's non-aligned stance.
  • model gpt -1.0 It supports nonalignment and sovereignty while maintaining pragmatic ties with Europe and the West.
  • model qwen +1.0 Limited strategic alignment; maintains non-aligned posture despite some EU ties.
  • prior Author baseline +2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok +2.0 Pragmatic strategic partnerships with EU/US for trade and security while maintaining multi-alignment.
  • model Kimi +4.0 Pro-Western strategically; maintains security and trade ties with EU.
  • model gemma +4.0 Maintains strategic diplomatic and trade partnerships with the West.
  • model minimax +5.0 Algeria under RND participation maintained close EU gas-trade ties and security cooperation with France and the US while keeping rhetorical distance.
• Movement of Society for Peace DZ Economic provisional ↔ 8 pt +0.0
  • model qwen -4.0 Prefers state-guided economy with Islamic ethics over free markets.
  • model gemma -3.0 Favors a mixed economy with social protections.
  • model Kimi -2.0 Mixed economy with Islamic welfare emphasis.
  • model Grok -2.0 Islamic social market economy balancing private enterprise with zakat-style redistribution and state guidance.
  • model DeepSeek +0.0 MSP favors a mixed economy with social justice and some market elements.
  • model minimax +0.0 MSP endorses a mixed economy with Islamic-banking friendly private enterprise and state welfare provision.
  • prior Author baseline +1.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Gemini +2.0 The MSP supports a market-oriented economy blended with Islamic social welfare principles and private enterprise.
  • model gpt +2.0 It tends toward moderate market-friendly Islamic social economics rather than hard statism.
  • model Claude +4.0 Business-friendly Islamist favoring private enterprise.
• Movement of Society for Peace DZ Liberal democracy provisional ↔ 8 pt -2.0
  • model DeepSeek -4.0 MSP participates in elections but prioritizes Islamic law over liberal democratic checks.
  • model qwen -4.0 Electoral participation without full liberal-democratic commitment.
  • model gemma -3.0 Accepts democratic processes but prioritizes Islamic values over liberal individualism.
  • model Claude -3.0 Plays the electoral game but Islamist priorities constrain liberal pluralism.
  • model Kimi -2.0 Accepts electoral democracy but with conservative constraints.
  • model minimax -2.0 MSP accepts multiparty competition in principle but subordinates it to religious-conservative values
  • model Grok +1.0 Commits to multi-party elections and participation but envisions 'civil state with Islamic reference' not full liberal secular democracy.
  • model gpt +2.0 MSP participates constitutionally and endorses elections, though its liberal-democratic commitments are qualified by Islamism.
  • prior Author baseline +3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Gemini +4.0 The MSP officially commits to democratic participation, pluralism, and institutional checks on executive power.
• Movement of Society for Peace DZ Regional stance settled ↔ 8 pt -4.5
  • model Gemini -9.0 The MSP is aligned with the regional resistance camp and is a vocal opponent of any normalization with Israel.
  • model DeepSeek -6.0 MSP aligns with resistance axis
  • model gpt -6.0 MSP is firmly anti-normalization and sympathetic to Palestinian resistance politics.
  • model minimax -5.0 MSP strongly opposes normalization with Israel and rhetorically backs the resistance cause without being structurally aligned with the Iran-led axis.
  • model Claude -5.0 Anti-normalization Islamist sympathetic to resistance causes.
  • model Kimi -4.0 Anti-normalization; sympathetic to resistance axis.
  • model gemma -4.0 Anti-normalization
  • model Grok -3.0 Anti-normalization and pro-Palestinian but pragmatic, not part of Iran-led armed resistance axis.
  • model qwen -3.0 Sympathetic to resistance but avoids explicit alignment; favors diplomacy.
  • prior Author baseline -1.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
• Movement of Society for Peace DZ Civil liberties settled ↔ 8 pt -3.0
  • model DeepSeek -5.0 MSP as a moderate Islamist party supports restricting liberties that contradict Islamic morality.
  • model qwen -5.0 Restricts liberties deemed un-Islamic; accepts limited pluralism within system.
  • model Kimi -4.0 Moderate restrictions; accepts limited pluralism.
  • model gemma -4.0 Supports liberties within the bounds of Islamic morality.
  • model Grok -3.0 Moderate Islamist; accepts some pluralism but favors restrictions on content deemed un-Islamic or immoral.
  • model minimax -3.0 MSP has moderated compared to FIS but still favors religious-moral limits on speech and association.
  • model Claude -3.0 Moderate Islamist; participationist but with conservative limits on liberties.
  • prior Author baseline -1.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model gpt +1.0 MSP declares support for political pluralism but balances it with Islamist social constraints.
  • model Gemini +3.0 As a legal opposition party, the MSP advocates for the expansion of political freedoms and civic participation.
• Workers' Party DZ Liberal democracy settled ↔ 8 pt +3.5
  • model qwen -2.0 Supports popular sovereignty but skeptical of bourgeois liberal institutions.
  • model gemma +2.0 Supports democratic rights
  • model Claude +2.0 Pro-democracy rhetoric but ambiguous record cooperating with the regime.
  • model Grok +3.0 Advocates 'popular democracy' and accountability but critical of bourgeois liberal democracy; participates in elections tactically.
  • model Kimi +4.0 Advocates democratic participation but revolutionary framework.
  • prior Author baseline +5.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model minimax +5.0 PT is a democratic-socialist opposition party that broadly endorses pluralist democratic norms and press freedom.
  • model Gemini +6.0 The PT strongly supports democratic rights, pluralism, and limits on executive power to protect the working class.
• Hayat Tahrir al-Sham SY Liberal democracy settled ↔ 8 pt -7.0
  • model qwen -10.0 Rejects liberal democracy entirely ruling through an emirate-style system with no opposition or minority rights.
  • model Gemini -9.0 HTS ideologically rejects liberal democracy and popular sovereignty, instead implementing an authoritarian governance model based on religious law.
  • model DeepSeek -9.0 Rejects liberal democracy in favor of rule by Islamic law with no popular sovereignty.
  • model gemma -9.0 Rejects liberal democracy in favor of Sharia-based governance.
  • model Kimi -7.0 HTS has never held elections, rules through a presidential decree system with no independent judiciary or meaningful opposition, and its March 2025 constitutional declaration centralizes power in the president.
  • model Claude -7.0 Authoritarian Idlib rule and a transitional order with sweeping executive powers and no elections yet.
  • model Grok -6.0 HTS post-2024 rule is centralized under its leader without established competitive elections or full liberal democratic checks and balances.
  • model gpt -6.0 Its governing practice has not established liberal checks, free opposition, or robust minority protections.
  • model minimax -6.0 HTS rules through a transitional executive structure with shura-style consultation rather than independent courts or pluralist checks; no meaningful liberal-democratic commitment.
  • prior Author baseline -2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
• General People's Congress YE Liberal democracy settled ↔ 8 pt -6.0
  • model Gemini -5.0 2× rounds The GPC has a weak commitment to liberal democratic checks and balances, historically using electoral systems primarily to entrench executive dominance.
  • model qwen -5.0 2× rounds Former ruling party, authoritarian legacy.
  • model minimax -5.0 2× rounds GPC under Saleh was an authoritarian party with weak commitment to liberal democracy.
  • model mistral -5.0 General People's Congress opposes liberal democracy.
  • model Kimi -4.0 2× rounds GPC participated in electoral politics under Saleh but manipulated outcomes and suppressed genuine opposition; not committed to liberal democracy.
  • model Grok -4.0 2× rounds The GPC maintained multi-party elections under Saleh but systematically undermined independent institutions, checks and balances, and genuine political competition.
  • model Claude -4.0 2× rounds Long-ruling patronage machine with a weak democratic record.
  • prior Author baseline -3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model gpt -3.0 It accepted elections but its record was executive-dominant and weak on liberal checks.
  • model DeepSeek -2.0 2× rounds Under Saleh
  • model gemma +3.0 2× rounds Nominally supports democracy.
• General People's Congress YE Regional stance provisional ↔ 8 pt +2.5
  • model minimax -2.0 GPC's anti-normalization rhetoric is strong, but its dominant faction now sits in the Saudi-backed coalition and PLC, giving it a mixed record leaning slightly toward the resistance camp on Israel.
  • model DeepSeek +0.0 GPC formerly pro-Saudi but now fragmented; no clear regional alignment in 2026.
  • model gpt +1.0 Its divided factions are mostly pragmatic rather than consistently resistance-aligned or normalization-aligned.
  • prior Author baseline +2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +2.0 GPC factions are split: some aligned with Saudi-led coalition (normalization camp), others with Houthis (resistance camp), making overall stance ambiguous.
  • model Claude +3.0 Pragmatic and split, with the recognized-government wing in the Saudi-led stability camp.
  • model Grok +5.0 The GPC pursued pragmatic cooperation with Saudi Arabia and Western partners against shared threats such as AQAP while avoiding alignment with the Iran-led Axis of Resistance.
  • model gemma +5.0 They generally align with regional stability and the Gulf consensus.
  • model Gemini +6.0 The mainstream, internationally recognized factions of the GPC align with the regional stability camp, favoring negotiated settlements and Gulf backing.
  • model qwen +6.0 Aligned with the Saudi-led coalition, favoring regional stability and normalization over resistance.
• Yemeni Congregation for Reform (Islah) YE Economic settled ↔ 8 pt +2.5
  • model Grok -4.0 Islah advocates Islamic economics emphasizing social justice, welfare, and state guidance rather than unfettered free-market mechanisms.
  • model Kimi -2.0 Islah supports a mixed economy with Islamic banking principles, generally favoring some market mechanisms within an Islamic framework.
  • model qwen +0.0 Advocates for Islamic economics, blending state welfare with market mechanisms.
  • prior Author baseline +1.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model minimax +2.0 Islah accepts a market economy compatible with Islamic principles and is comfortable with private business, sitting slightly on the market side of center.
  • model Gemini +3.0 The party represents merchant networks and supports market mechanisms and private property, integrated with Islamic banking principles.
  • model gemma +3.0 They generally favor a market-oriented economy with a religious social safety net.
  • model DeepSeek +4.0 Islah leans toward free markets and private sector as part of its Islamist-capitalist orientation.
  • model gpt +4.0 Its business and Sunni Islamist networks generally favor private enterprise and market mechanisms.
  • model Claude +4.0 Pro-market party rooted in merchant and business interests.
• Yemeni Congregation for Reform (Islah) YE Liberal democracy provisional ↔ 8 pt -0.5
  • model Grok -5.0 Islah participates in elections and parliaments but subordinates liberal democratic norms to Islamic principles and has reservations about checks that could limit Sharia-based authority.
  • model gemma -3.0 They support elections but seek a religious-democratic hybrid rather than a fully liberal one.
  • model Gemini -2.0 Islah participates in multi-party electoral politics but lacks a firm commitment to liberal aspects like absolute minority and secular rights.
  • model qwen -2.0 Participates in elections but ultimately prioritizes Sharia law over liberal democratic pluralism.
  • model Claude -1.0 Contests elections within the system but its Islamist project caps liberal commitments.
  • model DeepSeek +0.0 Islah participates in elections but supports sharia supremacy; liberal checks not a priority.
  • model minimax +1.0 Islah, like its Muslim Brotherhood kin, embraces electoral competition and shura-style consultation but is willing to subordinate pluralism to sharia primacy, leaving only mild democratic commitment.
  • model Kimi +2.0 Islah participates in electoral politics and rhetorically supports democracy, but its commitment to liberal democratic checks is questionable.
  • model gpt +2.0 It accepts elections and party competition but has limited liberal commitments on rights and religion.
  • prior Author baseline +3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
• Yemeni Socialist Party YE Regional stance provisional ↔ 8 pt +1.0
  • model DeepSeek -3.0 YSP opposes normalization with Israel but is not part of Axis of Resistance; uneasy with Iran.
  • model gpt -2.0 Its leftist anti-normalization instincts lean resistance-adjacent without Iran-bloc alignment.
  • model minimax -2.0 YSP rhetorically sides with anti-normalization and Palestinian resistance but works in the Saudi coalition and lacks operational alignment with the Axis of Resistance, leaving a mild anti-normalization lean.
  • prior Author baseline -1.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model qwen +0.0 Secular and anti-imperialist, supporting Palestine but not aligning with the Islamist Axis of Resistance.
  • model Grok +2.0 As a secular leftist party opposing both Houthis and Islah, the YSP is not aligned with the Iran-led Axis of Resistance and maintains a pragmatic, non-maximalist regional posture.
  • model Claude +2.0 Secular leftist pursuing aims politically rather than via armed resistance.
  • model Kimi +3.0 YSP opposes Houthi expansion but is not part of the Saudi-led coalition; it seeks negotiated settlement and is critical of foreign intervention.
  • model Gemini +4.0 The YSP rejects armed resistance axes, instead advocating for diplomatic negotiations and regional stability to resolve conflicts.
  • model gemma +5.0 They favor diplomatic stability over armed regional conflict.
• Justice and Construction Party LY Liberal democracy settled ↔ 8 pt -2.5
  • model Grok -5.0 Accepts elections but subordinates liberal institutions and minority rights to Sharia supremacy; record includes alliances with armed groups when electoral outcomes were unfavorable.
  • model DeepSeek -5.0 Contested elections but seeks to enshrine Islamic law and limit liberal-democratic checks.
  • model Gemini -4.0 Participates in electoral politics but prioritizes religious authority and Sharia over liberal-democratic checks and minority rights.
  • model Kimi -4.0 Participates in elections but works to weaken liberal democratic checks
  • model Claude -3.0 Contests elections but its religious-majoritarian project sits uneasily with liberal checks, minority rights, and judicial independence.
  • model gemma -2.0 Often prioritizes Islamist political dominance over liberal-democratic checks and minority rights.
  • model minimax -2.0 Record reflects 2014 refusal to recognize the elected House of Representatives and the parallel Tripoli government that bypassed constitutional transition; undermines liberal-democratic commitment.
  • model qwen -2.0 Participates in elections but has exhibited majoritarian tendencies and sought to dominate state institutions when in power.
  • model gpt +1.0 It accepts elections and party competition but is not strongly liberal on courts, minorities, and dissent.
  • prior Author baseline +3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
• Al-Wefaq National Islamic Society BH Economic settled ↔ 8 pt -2.0
  • model Gemini -6.0 Favors a more statist approach with extensive welfare and housing allocation to support its underprivileged Shia base.
  • model gemma -3.0 Generally supports stronger state-led social protections and redistribution.
  • model qwen -3.0 It emphasizes social justice, wealth redistribution, and fighting corruption, leaning slightly statist.
  • prior Author baseline -2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok -2.0 Opposition platform emphasizes social justice and critiques of inequality under the current system, leaning slightly statist or redistributionist without a detailed free-market reform agenda.
  • model gpt -2.0 Its platform leaned toward social justice and redistribution more than market liberalism.
  • model minimax -2.0 Combined market acceptance with social-justice and welfare-state rhetoric leaning slightly interventionist.
  • model Claude -2.0 Populist movement representing largely working-class Shia constituents with a modest welfare/statist lean.
  • model Kimi +1.0 Limited economic platform; primarily focused on political reform and Shi'a community interests.
  • model DeepSeek +2.0 No strong economic ideology beyond social justice; leans slightly market but with state oversight.
• Al-Menbar Islamic Society BH Liberal democracy settled ↔ 8 pt -3.0
  • model Gemini -5.0 Rejects liberal democracy in favor of monarchical authority guided by Islamic principles, viewing checks and balances as a risk to Sunni control.
  • model Claude -5.0 Contests elections but champions a religious frame and loyalty to the monarchy over independent courts and minority-rights checks.
  • model DeepSeek -4.0 It contests elections but prioritizes Islamic law and has not opposed restrictions on Shia opposition or judicial independence.
  • model gemma -4.0 Favors guided electoral participation over liberal democratic constraints on the monarch.
  • model gpt -3.0 It participates institutionally but is not strongly committed to liberal-democratic checks against the monarchy.
  • model minimax -3.0 Accepts managed electoral participation under the monarchy but does not advocate independent judiciary or meaningful opposition rights.
  • model Grok -2.0 Participates in elections and supports constitutional monarchy but prioritizes implementing Islamic law over strong liberal-democratic checks like fully independent secular institutions or expansive minority protections.
  • model qwen -2.0 It participates in elections but prioritizes Sharia over liberal democratic norms and minority rights.
  • prior Author baseline +3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +3.0 Supports electoral participation and parliamentary reform within existing constitutional framework.
• El Insaf (Equity Party) MR State & religion settled ↔ 8 pt -6.5
  • model gpt -6.0 It supports the Islamic republic framework where religion remains central to law and public authority.
  • model Claude -5.0 ⛓ grounded 3× rounds Islam "the sole source of legislation," framed as moderation (wasatiyya) — establishing yet centrist.
  • model Kimi -5.0 2× rounds El Insaf supports Islam as state religion and sharia as source of law, opposing secular separation.
  • model Grok -5.0 2× rounds El Insaf supports the Islamic Republic framework in which Sharia guides personal status law and religion holds recognized public institutional role.
  • model gemma -5.0 2× rounds Supports the state's official religious identity.
  • model DeepSeek -4.0 2× rounds Mauritania's constitution declares Islam the state religion and Sharia a source of law; El Insaf supports this religious legal framework.
  • model Gemini -3.0 2× rounds It firmly supports Islam as the sole state religion and foundational basis for the nation's legal and social framework.
  • model qwen -3.0 2× rounds Accommodates Islam as state religion without full theocracy.
  • prior Author baseline +1.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model mistral +1.0 El Insaf leans slightly toward a secular state.
  • model minimax +2.0 2× rounds El Insaf is mixed
• Hezbollah LB Regime stance settled ↔ 8 pt +2.0
  • model Kimi -3.0 Hezbollah participates in Lebanon's political system but maintains an armed militia outside state control and has threatened to overturn the government; it is ambivalent about the foundational order, accepting it partially while undermining it.
  • model qwen -3.0 Hezbollah operates within Lebanon’s system tactically but seeks to transform it into an Iran-aligned order.
  • model DeepSeek +0.0 Participates in state but maintains parallel military structure; ambiguous.
  • model gpt +1.0 It participates in the Lebanese order while maintaining an armed parallel authority.
  • model minimax +2.0 Hezbollah works within Lebanon's constitutional order tactically but pursues goals (Wilayat al-Faqih) incompatible with sovereign state pluralism.
  • model Claude +2.0 Works within and defends the order it dominates while maintaining an armed force outside the state.
  • prior Author baseline +3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok +3.0 Operates within Taif framework and defends it against disarmament or federal challenges while seeking to amend it in its favor; integrated but transformative actor.
  • model gemma +4.0 Uses the constitutional order to legitimize its presence while maintaining a parallel state.
  • model Gemini +5.0 Hezbollah actively works within and protects the current Lebanese political status quo against revolutionary change.
• Progressive Socialist Party LB Regime stance settled ↔ 8 pt +5.0
  • prior Author baseline +0.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +3.0 PSP accepts Lebanon's foundational order while advocating for reform; it has been both in government and opposition but does not seek to overturn the constitutional framework, scoring moderately positive.
  • model qwen +3.0 PSP supports Lebanon’s constitutional order as it guarantees Druze representation.
  • model Grok +4.0 Accepts Taif foundational order while pushing reforms to secularize and democratize it; neither revolutionary nor status-quo defender.
  • model gemma +5.0 Accepts and operates within the foundational constitutional order.
  • model gpt +5.0 It operates inside and generally defends the post-Taif order.
  • model minimax +5.0 PSP accepts Lebanon's constitutional order and operates within it
  • model Claude +6.0 Loyal to and embedded in the Lebanese constitutional order.
  • model Gemini +8.0 PSP's leadership is a foundational pillar and defender of the post-Taif constitutional state order.
• El Insaf (Equity Party) MR Pan-Arab vs particularist provisional ↔ 8 pt +1.0
  • model DeepSeek -4.0 El Insaf is a Mauritanian nationalist party focused on domestic stability rather than pan-Arab ideological projects.
  • model qwen -4.0 Focuses on Mauritanian national identity and internal dynamics rather than pan-Arab solidarity.
  • model Gemini -3.0 The party primarily emphasizes Mauritanian nation-state sovereignty and national unity over transnational pan-Arab integration.
  • prior Author baseline -2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model minimax +1.0 Mauritania is an Arab League member but El Insaf frames politics primarily in national-development terms rather than pan-Arabist ideology.
  • model Grok +2.0 Party engages Arab League and Palestinian causes but prioritizes Mauritanian national stability and interests over transnational pan-Arab ideology.
  • model Kimi +3.0 El Insaf balances pan-Arab solidarity with pragmatic nation-state priorities and African Union engagement.
  • model gpt +3.0 It uses Arab-Islamic solidarity language but is mainly a Mauritanian state-party rather than a pan-Arab movement.
  • model Claude +4.0 ⛓ grounded 2× rounds Building the Arab Maghreb, the Arab Nation, African and Islamic unity.
  • model gemma +4.0 Maintains a general sense of Arab solidarity but focuses primarily on Mauritanian state interests.
• El Insaf (Equity Party) MR Regime stance settled ↔ 8 pt +9.0
  • model mistral +2.0 El Insaf leans slightly pro-regime.
  • model Claude +8.0 ⛓ grounded 3× rounds The governing "civil state" reformism — unity, development, justice.
  • model Kimi +8.0 2× rounds El Insaf is the ruling party that defends and operates within the existing constitutional order.
  • prior Author baseline +9.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok +9.0 2× rounds As the sitting president's party El Insaf fully accepts and defends the existing constitutional order of the Islamic Republic and multiparty framework.
  • model DeepSeek +9.0 2× rounds El Insaf is the ruling party and defender of Mauritania's post-1991 republican constitutional order.
  • model minimax +9.0 2× rounds El Insaf is the personal vehicle of President Ghazouani
  • model gpt +9.0 2× rounds The FPM is no longer simply Hezbollah-aligned and now mixes establishment and oppositional positioning.
  • model gemma +9.0 2× rounds Strongly pro-government and pro-regime.
  • model Gemini +10.0 2× rounds As the ruling political organ of the state, El Insaf entirely defends and maintains the existing constitutional and political order.
  • model qwen +10.0 2× rounds Incumbent ruling party, fully pro-regime.
• PFLP PS Regime stance provisional ↔ 8 pt -7.0
  • model gemma -10.0 Rejects the current PA order and the state of Israel.
  • model qwen -9.0 Rejects the PA as a collaborationist entity and opposes the Zionist state.
  • model gpt -8.0 It rejects the Oslo-centered PA order and positions itself as revolutionary opposition.
  • model minimax -8.0 PFLP rejects the PLO/PA order and has boycotted or worked to undermine it from the outside.
  • model Gemini -7.0 Rejects the Oslo Accords and actively opposes the constitutional framework of the current Fatah-led Palestinian Authority.
  • model Grok -7.0 PFLP rejects the Oslo Accords and PA order as capitulationist and actively mobilizes to undermine and replace the existing framework.
  • model Claude -5.0 Rejects the Oslo framework while remaining inside the PLO.
  • model Kimi -4.0 PFLP rejects the Oslo-created PA order and has been critical of Fatah's governance, though it remains within the PLO framework; it seeks to transform rather than overturn the foundational order entirely.
  • prior Author baseline -2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
• Free Egyptians Party EG Pan-Arab vs particularist provisional ↔ 8 pt -3.0
  • model DeepSeek -7.0 Strongly particularist; focuses on Egyptian nationalist identity
  • model qwen -7.0 Egyptian particularist and nationalist focus.
  • model Gemini -5.0 It emphasizes a secular, inclusive Egyptian national identity over pan-Arab political frameworks.
  • model Grok -5.0 Egyptian liberal nationalist party prioritizes national particularism and business interests over pan-Arab solidarity frames.
  • prior Author baseline -3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Claude -3.0 Egypt-first secular nationalism over pan-Arab solidarity.
  • model gemma -3.0 Tends to prioritize Egyptian national interests over pan-Arab ideology.
  • model gpt -2.0 It emphasizes Egyptian national identity more than pan-Arab ideological solidarity.
  • model minimax +0.0 Mostly Egypt-focused; mild rhetorical pan-Arabism but not central.
  • model Kimi +1.0 Primarily particularist and nation-state focused with limited pan-Arab framing in its platform.
• Sairoon Alliance IQ Regime stance provisional ↔ 8 pt +3.0
  • prior Author baseline -3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi -2.0 Sadr has oscillated between accepting and rejecting political order; his 2022 withdrawal and street protests show anti-system tendencies
  • model DeepSeek -2.0 Accepts post-2003 order but has mobilized followers against the political establishment.
  • model Gemini +3.0 The Sadrists operate within the post-2003 state framework but frequently take an anti-establishment stance to challenge the foundational order.
  • model Grok +3.0 Sairoon operates within the post-2003 system and has joined governments but frequently challenges its muhasasa foundations and seeks majoritarian reforms from inside.
  • model gemma +3.0 Critical of the ruling class but generally operates within the constitutional framework.
  • model Claude +3.0 Participates in the post-2003 order while disruptively challenging governments within it.
  • model minimax +5.0 Sairoon operates within Iraq's post-2003 constitutional order despite periodic protests that could be read as anti-regime; it seeks reform not overthrow.
  • model qwen +5.0 Operates within the constitutional framework and wins elections, despite frequent anti-system populist rhetoric.
• National Wisdom Movement IQ Pan-Arab vs particularist settled ↔ 8 pt -3.0
  • model gemma -6.0 Primarily focused on Iraqi national and Shia particularist interests.
  • model qwen -4.0 Focuses on Iraqi national identity and civic state rather than pan-Arab ideologies.
  • prior Author baseline -3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Gemini -3.0 The party prioritizes a Shia-centric Iraqi particularism over grand pan-Arab projects, though it expresses solidarity on regional Arab causes.
  • model Grok -3.0 Hikma emphasizes Iraqi national identity and Shia communal interests more than classic pan-Arab ideology, reflecting the particularist turn in post-Saddam Shia politics.
  • model Claude -3.0 Iraqi Shia-Islamic framing rather than pan-Arab solidarity.
  • model Kimi -2.0 Hakim is primarily Iraqi nationalist Shia; not pan-Arab but acknowledges Arab identity within Iraqi framework
  • model DeepSeek +2.0 Uses pan-Arab rhetoric but primarily organized around Shi'a Iraqi particularism.
  • model minimax +2.0 Hikma blends Shia religious identity with Arab nationalism; Hakim has emphasized the 'Arab Shia' identity, giving it a moderately pan-Arab framing.
• Democratic National Rally DZ Pan-Arab vs particularist settled ↔ 8 pt +2.5
  • model Gemini -3.0 The RND emphasizes Algerian specific state nationalism over pan-Arab political frameworks.
  • model Grok -3.0 Prioritizes Algerian nation-state interests over pan-Arab solidarity frameworks.
  • model DeepSeek +0.0 RND is nationalist but not strongly pan-Arab; focuses on Algerian state interests.
  • model gemma +2.0 Maintains a nationalist focus but supports general Arab solidarity.
  • model minimax +2.0 RND is mainly Algerian-state-centric with mild pan-Arab diplomatic gestures rather than deep Nasserist commitment.
  • model qwen +3.0 Mild pan-Arab rhetoric but primarily nation-state focused.
  • model Kimi +4.0 Moderate pan-Arab solidarity rhetoric within nationalist framework.
  • model gpt +4.0 It inherits Algerian nationalist and Arab-solidarity themes without being strongly pan-Arabist.
  • model Claude +4.0 Algerian-nationalist but endorses pan-Arab solidarity and anti-normalization.
  • prior Author baseline +5.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
• Movement of Society for Peace DZ Regime stance provisional ↔ 8 pt +3.0
  • prior Author baseline -3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model DeepSeek -2.0 MSP is a legal opposition but seeks gradual Islamization
  • model Gemini +2.0 The MSP operates as a loyal opposition within the system, seeking reform rather than the overthrow of the foundational state order.
  • model Kimi +2.0 Historically regime-loyal; now in opposition but not anti-system.
  • model gpt +2.0 MSP is a legal Islamist party that has alternated between loyal opposition and participation in the system.
  • model Claude +4.0 Participationist loyal opposition accepting the constitutional order.
  • model Grok +5.0 Has joined presidential alliances and government coalitions, accepting core constitutional order with reformist tweaks.
  • model gemma +5.0 Generally accepts the constitutional order and works within the system.
  • model minimax +5.0 Having joined successive governing coalitions
  • model qwen +5.0 Operates within regime framework; de facto pro-system despite Islamist roots.
• Workers' Party DZ Regime stance settled ↔ 8 pt -6.5
  • model Grok -8.0 Harsh critic of the military-backed regime as bourgeois dictatorship; calls for radical systemic change from below.
  • model gemma -8.0 Opposes the current state order on class and ideological grounds.
  • model Kimi -7.0 Anti-regime; seeks fundamental system change.
  • model qwen -7.0 Opposes current regime as bourgeois and repressive; calls for revolutionary change.
  • model Gemini -6.0 The PT rejects Algeria's existing military-backed political order, demanding a constituent assembly to overhaul it.
  • prior Author baseline -5.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model minimax -3.0 PT opposes the military-dominated regime but accepts the republican constitutional frame
  • model Claude +0.0 Operates within the system yet positions as opposition; mixed.
• General People's Congress YE Regime stance provisional ↔ 8 pt +4.5
  • prior Author baseline +0.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +3.0 2× rounds GPC is deeply divided: some factions allied with Houthis against the recognized government, others remain loyal to the constitutional order.
  • model Grok +3.0 2× rounds As the former ruling party that shaped post-unification republican institutions, the GPC tradition largely accepts and seeks to operate within Yemen's foundational constitutional order against revolutionary challengers.
  • model DeepSeek +3.0 2× rounds GPC nominally supports the republic’s constitutional order but allied with Houthis against it in 2014-15.
  • model mistral +3.0 General People's Congress leans toward pro-regime.
  • model Claude +4.0 2× rounds Once the regime itself, now fractured across the war's lines.
  • model gpt +5.0 Its mainstream current accepts the republican state framework despite factional fragmentation.
  • model qwen +6.0 2× rounds Fragmented since Saleh; factions vary between pro and anti-Houthi.
  • model minimax +7.0 2× rounds GPC is largely aligned with the internationally recognized government and former Saleh order.
  • model gemma +7.0 2× rounds Generally pro-regime.
  • model Gemini +8.0 2× rounds As the long-time ruling party, the GPC defends the foundational constitutional republic and seeks to restore its authority against insurgent groups.
• Justice and Development Party MA Pan-Arab vs particularist settled ↔ 8 pt +2.0
  • model Grok -1.0 Primarily Moroccan-Islamist nationalist with selective appeals to Muslim and Arab solidarity; largely particularist rather than secular pan-Arab.
  • prior Author baseline +1.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model minimax +1.0 PJD's frame is more Islamist/transnational Muslim Brotherhood than classical pan-Arab; mixed but with a pan-Islamic regionalist outlook.
  • model Claude +1.0 Islamist rather than pan-Arab frame, but aligned with the anti-normalization current.
  • model DeepSeek +2.0 Islamist not pan-Arabist; weak pan-Arab frame.
  • model Gemini +3.0 Prioritizes broader pan-Islamic solidarity over secular pan-Arabism, while strongly supporting regional Arab causes.
  • model qwen +4.0 Rooted in Islamist ideology that overlaps with broader pan-Arab and pan-Islamic solidarity.
  • model Kimi +5.0 PJD emphasizes Arab and Muslim solidarity in its platform, reflecting pan-Arab Islamist framing.
  • model gemma +7.0 Strong emphasis on Pan-Islamic and Pan-Arab solidarity.
• Authenticity and Modernity Party MA Pan-Arab vs particularist provisional ↔ 8 pt -4.0
  • model Gemini -7.0 Emphasizes a distinct, pluralistic Moroccan identity that incorporates Amazigh heritage, explicitly rejecting pan-Arabism.
  • model qwen -6.0 Focuses on Moroccan particularism and national interests rather than pan-Arabism.
  • model Grok -5.0 Prioritizes Moroccan national-monarchic identity and particularism over pan-Arab solidarity or Nasserist/Baathist traditions.
  • model DeepSeek -5.0 Strongly particularist and monarchist; does not frame politics around pan-Arab solidarity.
  • model gemma -4.0 Focuses primarily on Moroccan national interests and the monarchy's specific framework.
  • model Claude -4.0 Moroccan-nationalist, monarchy-centered frame rather than pan-Arab solidarity.
  • model gpt -2.0 PAM emphasizes Moroccan state identity and Amazigh pluralism more than pan-Arab ideology.
  • model minimax -2.0 PAM is rooted in Moroccan particularism and pro-monarchy nationalism, not pan-Arab framing.
  • prior Author baseline -1.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +1.0 PAM is a Morocco-first party with little pan-Arab framing, focused on national development.
• Istiqlal Party MA Pan-Arab vs particularist settled ↔ 8 pt +4.0
  • model Claude -2.0 Primarily Moroccan-nationalist though with Arab-Islamic solidarity overtones.
  • model Grok +2.0 Historic Arab nationalist background but evolved to emphasize Moroccan particularism and monarchic nationalism; retains limited pan-Arab framing.
  • prior Author baseline +4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +4.0 Istiqlal has historical pan-Arab nationalist roots but has moderated to a Morocco-first stance.
  • model Gemini +4.0 Retains historical roots in Arab nationalism, though its modern focus is primarily on Moroccan national identity.
  • model DeepSeek +4.0 Rooted in Arab nationalism; pan-Arab rhetoric but tempered by Moroccan patriotism.
  • model minimax +4.0 Istiqlal has pan-Arab nationalist roots and historically framed politics in terms of Arab solidarity, though today it leans more Moroccan-particularist.
  • model gpt +5.0 Istiqlal historically used Arab nationalist language while staying Moroccan nationalist first.
  • model gemma +6.0 Strong heritage of Pan-Arab solidarity and regional identity.
  • model qwen +6.0 Rooted in Arab nationalist ideology and supports pan-Arab solidarity.
• Al-Menbar Islamic Society BH Regime stance settled ↔ 8 pt +7.5
  • model DeepSeek +0.0 Participates in elections and accepts the monarchy but seeks reform within an Islamic framework.
  • prior Author baseline +4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +5.0 Pro-regime loyalist party that participates in elections and accepts constitutional monarchy.
  • model Grok +7.0 Has consistently affirmed support for Bahrain's leadership, constitutional rule, and the Al Khalifa monarchy's foundational order while seeking gradual Islamist-oriented reforms from within.
  • model gpt +7.0 Al-Menbar generally works within and supports Bahrain's existing monarchical constitutional order.
  • model Gemini +8.0 Strongly loyal to the established Al Khalifa monarchical constitutional order.
  • model gemma +8.0 Firmly supports the Al Khalifa monarchy and the existing order.
  • model minimax +8.0 Staunchly pro-Al Khalifa monarchy and a loyalist bloc within Bahrain's political order.
  • model Claude +8.0 Loyalist Sunni Islamist society that consistently defends the Al Khalifa constitutional order.
  • model qwen +8.0 It is a loyal part of the ruling coalition and actively defends the monarchical order.
• National Forces Alliance LY Regime stance settled ↔ 8 pt +4.5
  • prior Author baseline +0.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +3.0 2× rounds Accepts foundational constitutional order as civil state
  • model DeepSeek +3.0 2× rounds Accepts post-2011 order but critical of current governance.
  • model mistral +4.0 National Forces Alliance leans toward pro-regime.
  • model gpt +4.0 2× rounds The NFA was a post-Qaddafi establishment force rather than anti-system.
  • model Claude +4.0 2× rounds Post-Gaddafi alignment too fluid to place clearly.
  • model gemma +5.0 2× rounds Supports the post-revolutionary institutional order.
  • model minimax +6.0 2× rounds NFA emerged as a post-Gaddafi reformist bloc
  • model Grok +7.0 2× rounds Core participant in the 2011 NTC that established the post-Gaddafi constitutional framework and has consistently defended its legitimacy against armed subversion.
  • model Gemini +8.0 2× rounds Staunchly supports the foundational post-2011 civil institutional order and opposes both military dictatorship and Islamist hegemony.
  • model qwen +8.0 2× rounds Opposed to Qaddafi; now part of fragmented opposition.
• Islamic Action Front JO Regime stance provisional ↔ 8 pt -2.5
  • model qwen -6.0 Seeks to overturn the monarchy's foundational executive dominance in favor of a purely parliamentary system.
  • model Grok -5.0 Critiques and seeks to reform the constitutional order to expand Islamic law and reduce monarchical prerogatives in favor of parliamentary/Islamic authority.
  • model gemma -5.0 Operates as the primary opposition and seeks fundamental changes to the monarchical political system.
  • model Kimi -4.0 Critical of monarchy, wants constitutional reform, accepts electoral participation but rejects current order
  • prior Author baseline -3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Gemini -2.0 2× rounds Operates legally within the system but strongly opposes the absolute executive powers of the monarchy.
  • model DeepSeek -2.0 Loyal opposition that criticizes but operates within constitutional monarchy; not seeking overthrow.
  • model minimax +1.0 Accepts the Hashemite monarchy constitutionally while pushing for reform; not revolutionary but adversarial in practice.
  • model gpt +2.0 It is a loyal opposition that contests the monarchy’s policies without officially seeking to abolish the constitutional order.
  • model Claude +2.0 Loyal opposition operating within the constitutional monarchy despite friction with the palace.
• Israeli Labor Party IL Centralism vs federalism provisional ↔ 8 pt -4.0
  • model Grok -8.0 Zionist center-left committed to strong unitary Jewish-democratic state structure.
  • model Claude -6.0 Mainstream Zionist party committed to a unitary central state.
  • model Gemini -6.0 Supports a strong, unitary centralized state structure typical of historical Zionist governance.
  • model Kimi -6.0 Strongly centralist Zionist tradition; opposes power-sharing threatening Jewish majority.
  • model gpt -5.0 Labor supports a unitary Israeli state with negotiated territorial separation rather than federalism.
  • prior Author baseline -3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model DeepSeek -3.0 Traditionally centralist but open to some regional autonomy.
  • model minimax -3.0 Labor is a centrist Zionist party that supports a unitary Jewish-democratic state with limited regional autonomy.
  • model gemma -2.0 Generally prefers a unitary state structure.
  • model qwen +0.0 Historically supports a unitary state with territorial compromises rather than federalism.

  before · r1 grok -8.0gemini -3.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Religious Zionism Party IL Traditionalism vs modernization settled ↔ 8 pt -5.0
  • prior Author baseline -7.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model DeepSeek -7.0 Anti-modernization on social issues.
  • model Claude -6.0 Religious-traditionalist program.
  • model Gemini -6.0 Favors religious traditionalism and opposes modernizing shifts in family law or social liberal norms.
  • model gemma -5.0 Traditionalist in social and legal matters.
  • model gpt -5.0 It accepts technology and state capacity but resists liberal social and legal modernization.
  • model minimax -5.0 Religious Zionism is socially traditionalist: defends religious family law, rejects progressive reforms.
  • model qwen -5.0 Traditionalist and resistant to liberal social and institutional modernization.
  • model Kimi -2.0 Traditionalist on social issues but modernizing on technology and settlement expansion.
  • model Grok +1.0 Modern in tech and settlement infrastructure but socially and religiously traditionalist.

  before · r1 grok -6.0gemini -4.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Ta'al IL Centralism vs federalism provisional ↔ 8 pt +2.5
  • model Claude -3.0 Favors equal citizenship in a unitary state over federalism.
  • model minimax -3.0 Ta'al advocates for equal rights and power-sharing for Palestinian citizens but does not push full federalism; mildly autonomy-leaning.
  • model Kimi -2.0 Arab nationalist; focuses on minority rights within Israel, not federalism.
  • model qwen +0.0 Advocates for a unitary democratic state rather than federalism.
  • model gpt +2.0 Ta’al emphasizes Arab minority rights and equality rather than a formal federal model.
  • model Grok +3.0 Arab nationalist supports power-sharing and equality arrangements for Arab minority.
  • model DeepSeek +3.0 Supports decentralization for Arab minority.
  • prior Author baseline +4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Gemini +5.0 Advocates for national minority rights and institutional power-sharing for Arab citizens.
  • model gemma +5.0 Supports power-sharing and autonomy for Arabs.

  before · r1 gemini +1.0grok +1.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Hamas PS Centralism vs federalism provisional ↔ 8 pt -5.0
  • model Gemini -8.0 Advocates for a unitary centralist state across historical Palestine and opposes regional or federal division.
  • model qwen -8.0 Advocates for a highly centralized Islamic emirate rather than power-sharing.
  • model gpt -7.0 Hamas favors a unified Palestinian polity under centralized Islamic-national resistance leadership.
  • model Grok -6.0 Hamas exercises centralized authoritarian control in Gaza and envisions unitary Islamic governance over Palestinian territories.
  • model gemma -5.0 Governs through a centralized
  • model Claude -5.0 Envisions a unitary Islamic-national state, not federal power-sharing.
  • model Kimi -4.0 Hamas has governed Gaza as a centralized authority since 2007 and has not shown interest in federalist power-sharing arrangements that would dilute its control.
  • model DeepSeek -3.0 Hamas prefers a centralized Islamic state but has shown pragmatic acceptance of local governance in Gaza.
  • model minimax -3.0 Hamas envisions a unitary Islamic Palestinian state and does not advocate power-sharing among regions or sects.
  • prior Author baseline +0.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
• Patriotic Union of Kurdistan IQ Centralism vs federalism settled ↔ 8 pt +9.0
  • model gpt +2.0 It accepts Iraq’s federal constitution while emphasizing national cohesion.
  • model Gemini +8.0 The PUK strongly advocates for a federal Iraqi state that guarantees Kurdish regional autonomy.
  • model Grok +8.0 PUK co-founded and strongly defends Iraq's federal system and Kurdish autonomy, though sometimes more flexible than KDP on implementation details.
  • model Kimi +8.0 PUK strongly supports Kurdish autonomy and federalism within Iraq, though slightly less maximalist than KDP
  • model minimax +9.0 PUK is a Kurdish nationalist party with a federalist platform and was a key architect of Iraq's post-2005 federal constitution.
  • model Claude +9.0 Kurdish nationalist party strongly committed to regional autonomy and federalism.
  • prior Author baseline +10.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model DeepSeek +10.0 PUK strongly supports Kurdish regional autonomy and a federal Iraq.
  • model gemma +10.0 Strongly advocates for Kurdish regional autonomy and federalism.
  • model qwen +10.0 Core demand is Kurdish autonomy and a robust federal structure for the KRG within Iraq.
• Movement of Society for Peace DZ Traditionalism vs modernization provisional ↔ 8 pt -2.0
  • model DeepSeek -6.0 MSP is traditionalist on social issues but accepts economic/tech modernization.
  • model qwen -5.0 Cautious on modernization; prioritizes Islamic values over secular reforms.
  • prior Author baseline -4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Claude -3.0 Accepts modern institutions and technology but traditionalist on social norms.
  • model Kimi -2.0 Cautious on modernization; selective acceptance.
  • model minimax -2.0 MSP is modernization-friendly on technology and economy but traditionalist on family and gender.
  • model gpt -1.0 MSP accepts institutional and economic modernization while remaining socially conservative.
  • model Gemini +0.0 The MSP seeks a middle ground, promoting institutional and economic modernization while maintaining religious traditionalism.
  • model gemma +1.0 Balanced approach to modernizing systems while preserving tradition.
  • model Grok +2.0 Supports technological and economic modernization alongside preservation of Islamic social traditions.
• Socialist Forces Front DZ Centralism vs federalism settled ↔ 8 pt +3.0
  • model qwen -3.0 Supports decentralization and cultural autonomy for Kabylie, but not full federalism.
  • model Gemini -2.0 The FFS strongly advocates for regional decentralization and local democracy, though it stops short of full federalism.
  • model Kimi +2.0 Supports regional autonomy and decentralization for Kabylie.
  • model DeepSeek +2.0 FFS supports decentralization and Berber cultural rights
  • model minimax +3.0 FFS is the historic advocate of Amazigh cultural recognition and regional decentralization for Kabylie and other regions.
  • model gemma +4.0 More open to decentralization and regional recognition (e.g.
  • model Claude +4.0 Backs decentralization and regional/Amazigh autonomy, relatively federalist.
  • prior Author baseline +5.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok +5.0 Advocates decentralization, regional autonomy especially for Kabylie, and power-sharing against Algiers centralism.
• Syrian National Coalition SY Centralism vs federalism settled ↔ 8 pt +1.0
  • model Gemini -5.0 The Coalition generally favors a unified state with administrative decentralization, remaining wary of formal federalism.
  • model Grok -4.0 SNC backs unitary state with administrative decentralization but rejects ethnic federalism or partition risks favored by some Kurdish actors.
  • model Claude -3.0 Favored a unified Syria with decentralization but resisted strong federalism.
  • model Kimi -2.0 The SNC's platform generally favored a unified Syrian state but included recognition of Kurdish cultural rights and some decentralization, stopping short of federalism.
  • model qwen +0.0 Advocates for administrative decentralization and local governance within a unified Syrian state avoiding strict centralism or full federalism.
  • model DeepSeek +2.0 Supports decentralized or federal solutions to accommodate Kurdish and local councils in a post-Assad Syria.
  • model gemma +2.0 Generally supports a unitary state but allows for decentralization and administrative reform.
  • model gpt +2.0 It accepts decentralization and local governance while stressing Syria's national unity.
  • model minimax +2.0 SNC documents endorse a decentralized Syria with meaningful local autonomy
  • prior Author baseline +3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
• Ansar Allah (Houthis) YE Traditionalism vs modernization settled ↔ 8 pt -7.0
  • prior Author baseline -8.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Claude -8.0 Revivalist religious-tribal traditionalism hostile to liberal social reform.
  • model Gemini -7.0 The Houthis generally emphasize traditional religious and tribal structures over Western-style institutional or social modernization.
  • model DeepSeek -7.0 Houthis reject social modernization and family law reform
  • model gemma -7.0 They prioritize religious and cultural tradition over social modernization.
  • model qwen -7.0 Deeply traditionalist socially and religiously, despite utilizing modern military technology.
  • model Kimi -6.0 Houthis selectively use technology for military purposes but resist social modernization, especially regarding gender and secular governance.
  • model Grok -6.0 While militarily adaptive with drones and modern weaponry, Ansar Allah remains socially and institutionally traditionalist on gender roles, family law, and resistance to liberal secular reforms.
  • model minimax -6.0 Houthis are technologically adaptive (drones, missiles) but socially traditionalist — they reinforce tribal-zaydite customary authority and resist social or institutional modernization.
  • model gpt +0.0 2× rounds The GPC is secular-nationalist in style but socially conservative and patronage-based.
• Democratic Unionist Party SD Traditionalism vs modernization settled ↔ 8 pt -0.5
  • model Gemini -3.0 2× rounds The party is structurally dependent on traditional sectarian and Sufi family networks, leaning traditionalist.
  • model Claude -2.0 2× rounds Rooted in the conservative Khatmiyya religious order.
  • prior Author baseline -1.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi -1.0 2× rounds Pragmatic centrist, neither strongly modernizing nor deeply traditionalist.
  • model gpt -1.0 It mixes establishment modern politics with traditional religious and family-network structures.
  • model DeepSeek +0.0 2× rounds No strong program for modernization; tepid on social reform.
  • model minimax +1.0 2× rounds DUP carries traditional religious-political orientations with modest modernizing elements.
  • model mistral +2.0 Democratic Unionist Party leans toward modernization.
  • model Grok +4.0 2× rounds Promotes secular democratic and economic modernization alongside gradual social reform.
  • model qwen +5.0 2× rounds Centrist, supports gradual modernization.
  • model gemma +5.0 2× rounds Supports moderate modernization.
• Justice and Development Party MA Traditionalism vs modernization settled ↔ 8 pt -2.0
  • model Gemini -4.0 2× rounds Open to technological advancement but firmly traditionalist and resistant regarding social and family law modernization.
  • prior Author baseline -3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model gemma -3.0 2× rounds Favors traditional Islamic values over Western modernization.
  • model Grok -2.0 2× rounds Supports select economic and technological modernization but remains socially traditionalist, slowing reforms on women's rights, family law, and cultural liberalization.
  • model DeepSeek -2.0 2× rounds Modernizing on infrastructure/economy but socially traditional.
  • model Claude -2.0 2× rounds Religiously conservative with a traditionalist social base.
  • model qwen +0.0 2× rounds Balances tradition with governance pragmatism.
  • model Kimi +2.0 2× rounds PJD supports some institutional modernization but frames it within Islamic tradition and values.
  • model minimax +3.0 2× rounds PJD is a moderate Islamist party that adopts a pragmatic modernizing stance.
  • model mistral +4.0 Justice and Development Party leans toward modernization.
• Islamic Asalah Society BH Centralism vs federalism settled ↔ 8 pt -6.5
  • model Gemini -10.0 Vehemently demands a highly centralized unitary state to completely block Shia consociational or federal power-sharing.
  • model Grok -8.0 As a pro-regime Salafi society focused on preserving Sunni interests within the existing system, it fully supports Bahrain's unitary central state without any advocacy for federalism or sectarian federal arrangements.
  • model minimax -8.0 Salafi party firmly backing Bahrain's unitary monarchic structure and opposing sectarian power-sharing.
  • model DeepSeek -7.0 Ultra-conservative Salafi party supports strong unitary state under Sunni Islamic rule.
  • model gpt -7.0 Asalah's Salafi Sunni politics favor Bahrain's unitary monarchy and reject sectarian power-sharing formulas.
  • model Claude -6.0 Loyalist Salafi society backing a strong unitary monarchy with no federalist agenda.
  • model qwen -6.0 It strongly supports a centralized
  • model gemma -5.0 Supports the existing central state structure.
  • prior Author baseline -4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi -2.0 Salafi traditionalists favor strong unitary state under religious authority.
• Al-Menbar Islamic Society BH Traditionalism vs modernization settled ↔ 8 pt -4.0
  • model DeepSeek -6.0 Accepts economic modernization but resists social reforms like family law changes and women's expanded roles.
  • model gemma -6.0 Resists social modernization that conflicts with traditional religious values.
  • model Claude -5.0 Traditionalist on women's rights and family law while accepting technological and economic change.
  • model qwen -5.0 It resists Western cultural modernization and seeks to preserve traditional Islamic social structures.
  • prior Author baseline -4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Gemini -4.0 Stands as traditionalist on social and family laws while supporting technological and economic modernization.
  • model Grok -4.0 Prioritizes traditional Islamic social norms and gradual reform within existing institutions rather than rapid secular modernization or liberal social transformation.
  • model gpt -4.0 It accepts some institutional and economic modernization while remaining socially and religiously traditionalist.
  • model minimax -2.0 Supports economic modernization and Vision 2030-style reforms but resists social liberalization.
  • model Kimi +2.0 Moderate Islamist reformist orientation supporting gradual modernization within Islamic framework.
• Justice and Construction Party LY Traditionalism vs modernization settled ↔ 8 pt -3.0
  • model Grok -6.0 2× rounds Resists reforms to family law, gender equality, and public secularization in favor of preserving traditional Islamic social structures and religious authority.
  • model DeepSeek -4.0 2× rounds Somewhat traditionalist on social norms but pragmatic on economics.
  • model mistral -4.0 Justice and Construction Party leans toward traditionalism.
  • model gemma -4.0 2× rounds Favors traditional Islamic values over Western modernization.
  • prior Author baseline -3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model qwen -3.0 2× rounds Traditionalist with limited reform agenda.
  • model Gemini -2.0 2× rounds Promotes modern institutional and economic administrative reforms while remaining socially conservative regarding family law and tradition.
  • model gpt -2.0 2× rounds The JCP is Islamist-conservative but has pragmatic party politics.
  • model Claude -2.0 2× rounds Islamist conservatism with limited modernizing impulse.
  • model minimax +1.0 2× rounds JCP holds traditionalist leanings tempered by engagement with modern politics.
  • model Kimi +2.0 2× rounds Traditionalist on social and institutional issues
• National Forces Alliance LY Centralism vs federalism provisional ↔ 8 pt -2.5
  • model Gemini -5.0 2× rounds Strongly champions a unified central state with institutional decentralization to preserve Libya's territorial integrity.
  • model qwen -5.0 2× rounds Liberal, supports centralized governance post-Qaddafi.
  • model Grok -3.0 2× rounds Favors a capable central government to rebuild state authority and control militias, while accepting limited administrative decentralization short of full federalism.
  • model gpt -2.0 2× rounds The NFA was broadly centralist-national rather than federalist.
  • model gemma -2.0 2× rounds Generally favors a unified
  • prior Author baseline +1.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model minimax +2.0 2× rounds NFA under Jibril is broadly centralist
  • model Claude +2.0 2× rounds Open to decentralization amid Libya's federalism debates.
  • model Kimi +3.0 2× rounds Against federalism but supports decentralization of governance
  • model DeepSeek +3.0 2× rounds Favors strong central state but acknowledges some regional autonomy.
  • model mistral +3.0 National Forces Alliance leans toward centralism.
• National Charter Party JO Centralism vs federalism settled ↔ 8 pt -6.5
  • model Gemini -9.0 Staunchly supports Jordan's unitary state structure and centralized governance.
  • model Grok -8.0 Supports Jordan's existing unitary centralized state structure under the constitutional monarchy.
  • model gemma -8.0 Strongly supports the centralist
  • model qwen -8.0 Firmly supports a centralized unitary state to preserve national unity and regime stability.
  • model gpt -7.0 It is a pro-state Jordanian party committed to the kingdom’s unitary institutions.
  • model Kimi -6.0 Strongly centralist, supports Hashemite unitary state with no power-sharing
  • prior Author baseline -5.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Claude -4.0 Centralist monarchic nationalism favoring a strong unitary state.
  • model minimax -3.0 Jordanian centrist/loyalist party with no federalist agenda; explicitly unitary-state orientation.
  • model DeepSeek -1.0 Centrist loyalist party; no federalist agenda
• Lebanese Forces LB Gender equality provisional ↔ 8 pt +1.5
  • model Kimi -3.0 LF is a conservative Christian party with traditional views on gender roles and family; while not as extreme as Islamist parties, it does not prioritize gender equality reforms.
  • model gemma -3.0 Maintains traditional views on gender and family roles.
  • model minimax -3.0 LF's Maronite Christian base holds patriarchal views on family law despite some female political representation.
  • model qwen -1.0 LF includes women but maintains conservative positions on family law and gender roles.
  • model gpt +1.0 It supports women’s public representation but keeps conservative family-law instincts.
  • model Claude +2.0 Moderate, with modest support for women's political representation.
  • prior Author baseline +3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model DeepSeek +3.0 Supports some gender equality but not a priority; socially moderate.
  • model Grok +4.0 Supports increased women's political representation and legal equality while navigating conservative Christian voter base; more progressive than Islamist parties.
  • model Gemini +5.0 Lebanese Forces' declared platform supports gender equality, women's empowerment, and civil status rights.
• Justice and Development Party MA Press freedom provisional ↔ 8 pt -2.0
  • model Grok -5.0 As head of government 2011-2021, press freedom did not improve meaningfully; legal harassment of journalists and restrictive media laws continued under its watch.
  • model DeepSeek -5.0 As ruling party tolerated and enforced press restrictions.
  • model Gemini -4.0 Its record in government saw the prosecution and imprisonment of several independent journalists under non-press laws.
  • model Claude -3.0 Governed amid Morocco's restrictive press environment.
  • model Kimi -2.0 PJD's government record did not significantly expand press freedom; journalists faced restrictions.
  • model minimax -2.0 During PJD's tenure, press freedom did not improve and critical journalists continued to face legal pressure; party did not champion reform.
  • model qwen -2.0 Did not improve repressive press laws and tolerated harassment of critical journalists while in office.
  • prior Author baseline +3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model gemma +3.0 Generally supports press freedom but has not actively dismantled state restrictive mechanisms.
• Shas IL Press freedom settled ↔ 8 pt -3.0
  • model Gemini -5.0 Supports government oversight or restrictions on media that challenge religious sensitivities.
  • model gemma -4.0 Prefers religious censorship of
  • model qwen -4.0 Restricts press freedom when it comes to blasphemy or religious criticism.
  • model DeepSeek -3.0 Not a focus but supports religious control.
  • model gpt -3.0 Shas tends to back coalition pressure on media while not centering press control ideologically.
  • model minimax -3.0 Shas opposes secular and critical press; supportive of religious-content restrictions.
  • model Claude -2.0 Indifferent to press freedom rather than protective of it.
  • model Kimi -2.0 Haredi community has own media; generally not press freedom advocate.
  • model Grok +3.0 Supports status quo press with community media protections.

  before · r1 grok +5.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Progressive Socialist Party LB Palestinian question settled ↔ 7 pt +7.0
  • model minimax +0.8 self-determination
  • prior Author baseline +5.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Claude +6.0 ⛓ grounded 2× rounds The popular struggle to liberate Palestine from Zionism as a principal aim, within a secular-democratic state with Jewish coexistence.
  • model Kimi +6.0 PSP has historically emphasized solidarity with the Palestinian cause and Lebanon's Arab identity; it supports Palestinian rights and self-determination, though its current position is more pragmatic than in the past.
  • model Grok +7.0 Historical strong support for Palestinian cause under Kamal Jumblatt; retains sympathy for Palestinian rights and self-determination.
  • model gpt +7.0 It has a long pro-Palestinian and Arab-solidarity orientation.
  • model Gemini +8.0 PSP historically allied with the PLO and strongly champions Palestinian self-determination and civil rights.
  • model gemma +8.0 Strongly supports Palestinian rights and national self-determination.
  • model qwen +8.0 PSP has historic, strong pro-Palestinian stance rooted in leftist and Arab nationalist legacy.
• Free Patriotic Movement LB Economic settled ↔ 7 pt +2.0
  • model Grok -3.0 Populist economic approach with support for subsidies and state intervention; clientelist tendencies over thorough market reform.
  • prior Author baseline +1.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model DeepSeek +1.0 Mixed record; moderate statist lean but no strong market ideology.
  • model gpt +2.0 It generally supports private enterprise with heavy state reform and patronage elements.
  • model minimax +2.0 FPM blends market-friendly positions with significant state intervention and patronage-based economic management.
  • model qwen +2.0 FPM has mixed record—supports some privatization but also engages in clientelist state practices.
  • model Claude +3.0 ⛓ grounded 2× rounds "The free economic system and individual initiative" bounded by "social justice" — centre-right with a social floor.
  • model Gemini +3.0 FPM favors market mechanisms and private enterprise, despite relying extensively on state patronage.
  • model Kimi +3.0 FPM has generally supported market-oriented reforms and economic liberalization, though within Lebanon's corrupt patronage system; Bassil's energy ministry record was mixed.
  • model gemma +4.0 Advocates for market-oriented reforms and private sector growth.
• Free Patriotic Movement LB Social provisional ↔ 7 pt -2.0
  • model gemma -4.0 2× rounds Leans toward social conservatism and authority.
  • model Grok -3.0 2× rounds FPM under Aoun pushed strongman politics and centralized control within Lebanon's weak state.
  • model Kimi -3.0 2× rounds FPM is a socially conservative Christian party with traditional moral values; it opposes progressive social freedoms and supports traditional collective moral authority.
  • prior Author baseline -2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model qwen -2.0 2× rounds Christian nationalist, socially conservative but pragmatic.
  • model mistral -2.0 Free Patriotic Movement leans toward authority in social policies.
  • model gpt -2.0 It is mildly socially conservative with some secular reformist currents.
  • model Claude +0.0 2× rounds Communitarian-conservative tilt toward authority.
  • model DeepSeek +1.0 2× rounds Mildly conservative; not a major social liberalizer.
  • model minimax +1.0 2× rounds FPM is socially mixed
  • model Gemini +3.0 2× rounds FPM's Christian constituency supports a relatively permissive social and cultural environment.
• Freedom and Justice Party EG Economic settled ↔ 7 pt +2.0
  • model mistral -4.0 Freedom and Justice Party leans toward statist economic policies.
  • model Grok -2.0 2× rounds The Muslim Brotherhood's FJP favored state control and Islamic economics over free markets typical for these Islamist groups.
  • model minimax -2.0 2× rounds FJP favors a mixed economy with significant social welfare
  • re-coder Re-coder B +0.0 Second-pass coder B — rubric-anchored re-read on the economic axis; extreme magnitudes tempered slightly toward the rubric mid-anchors.
  • prior Author baseline +2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +2.0 2× rounds Mixed economy with social justice rhetoric; some market mechanisms but with Islamic economic constraints like prohibition on interest.
  • model DeepSeek +2.0 2× rounds Moderate market orientation with Islamist social justice elements.
  • model qwen +2.0 2× rounds Mixed economy leaning statist with social justice rhetoric.
  • model gemma +2.0 2× rounds Supports a mixed economy with social justice protections.
  • model gpt +2.0 It mixed market-friendly business attitudes with welfare and Islamic social solidarity.
  • re-coder Re-coder C +3.0 Second-pass coder C — rubric-anchored re-read on the economic axis; magnitude follows the primary reading with independent judgment calls on the governance axes.
  • model Claude +3.0 2× rounds Brotherhood pro-business orientation tempered by welfare and charity networks.
  • model Gemini +3.0 2× rounds It generally supports market mechanisms and private enterprise, tempered by Islamic welfare and charitable models.
• Religious Zionism Party IL Economic settled ↔ 7 pt +3.5
  • model mistral -1.0 Religious Zionism Party leans slightly toward statist economic policies.
  • model minimax +1.0 2× rounds Religious Zionism's economic positions are mixed
  • model Grok +2.0 2× rounds Religious Zionist parties favor state support for settlements and religious institutions over pure free markets.
  • prior Author baseline +3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model gpt +3.0 It leans right economically but subordinates economics to settlement and religious-national goals.
  • model Claude +4.0 2× rounds Fiscally rightist with settler-statist spending priorities.
  • model Kimi +4.0 2× rounds Free-market leaning but supports state funding for settlements and religious institutions.
  • model qwen +4.0 2× rounds Mixed; religious welfare populism with some market elements.
  • model Gemini +6.0 2× rounds Promotes free-market capitalism, deregulation, and private enterprise alongside settlement funding.
  • model DeepSeek +6.0 2× rounds Pro-market.
  • model gemma +6.0 2× rounds Generally supports free-market principles.

  before · r1 grok +1.0gemini +8.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Hamas PS Economic settled ↔ 7 pt -3.0
  • model mistral -5.0 Hamas strongly supports statist economic policies.
  • re-coder Re-coder C -4.0 Second-pass coder C — rubric-anchored re-read on the economic axis; magnitude follows the primary reading with independent judgment calls on the governance axes.
  • model qwen -4.0 2× rounds Statist with Islamic charity networks.
  • model Grok -3.0 2× rounds Hamas blends statist control, Islamic social welfare systems, and informal economies shaped by conflict rather than open market principles.
  • model Kimi -3.0 2× rounds Hamas favors state-controlled economy with Islamic economic principles, extensive welfare networks, and limited private enterprise; Gaza's economy under Hamas is heavily regulated and aid-dependent.
  • model DeepSeek -3.0 2× rounds Hamas has mixed economy, with state control in key sectors due to blockade and Islamic welfare model.
  • prior Author baseline -2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Claude -2.0 ⛓ grounded 3× rounds State-leaning "resisting economy" with progressive ("ascending") taxation.
  • model minimax -2.0 2× rounds Hamas runs a mixed-economy social-services network
  • model gpt -2.0 Hamas mixes Islamic welfare and state control with pragmatic tolerance of private commerce.
  • re-coder Re-coder B +0.0 Second-pass coder B — rubric-anchored re-read on the economic axis; extreme magnitudes tempered slightly toward the rubric mid-anchors.
  • model Gemini +1.0 2× rounds Permits private market commerce and merchant activity while maintaining aggressive state taxation and welfare controls.
  • model gemma +2.0 2× rounds Mixed economic approach with strong social welfare.
• Palestinian People's Party PS Social settled ↔ 7 pt +5.0
  • prior Author baseline +1.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +4.0 As a secular communist party, PPP supports gender equality and social justice, leaning toward libertarian social positions, though it has not been a leading voice on LGBTQ+ issues in Palestinian politics.
  • model Claude +4.0 Secular leftist, relatively permissive on social mores.
  • model Gemini +5.0 Maintains a secular, socially permissive platform that supports individual expression and progressive social principles.
  • model Grok +5.0 PPP's secular Marxist heritage supports progressive social policies and greater personal liberties than religious parties.
  • model gemma +5.0 Generally progressive and secular in its social outlook.
  • model minimax +5.0 PPP is a secular leftist party supportive of personal freedoms and progressive social positions.
  • model gpt +7.0 Its secular leftist ideology is relatively permissive on personal and moral freedoms.
  • model qwen +8.0 Secular leftist party that champions progressive social policies and individual freedoms.
• United Torah Judaism IL Economic settled ↔ 7 pt -5.0
  • model Claude -6.0 Statist-welfare priorities for the Haredi community.
  • model Grok -6.0 Highly statist demands extensive state funding for yeshivas and large families.
  • model Kimi -6.0 Supports state funding for yeshivas and religious institutions; social welfare for Haredi community.
  • model Gemini -5.0 Favors statist welfare policies and financial subsidies to sustain its religious lifestyle.
  • model gemma -5.0 Focuses on state allocation for Haredi institutions.
  • model gpt -5.0 UTJ favors subsidies, welfare, and state support for Haredi institutions.
  • model qwen -5.0 Favors state allocation and welfare to support its yeshiva students and large families.
  • model DeepSeek -4.0 Supports welfare for religious community.
  • model minimax -4.0 UTJ strongly supports state subsidies and welfare for Haredi yeshiva system; firmly statist on this issue.
  • prior Author baseline +1.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.

  before · r1 grok -7.0gemini -6.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Mubadara PS Economic settled ↔ 7 pt -0.5
  • model gpt -4.0 It favors social-democratic redistribution and public services more than free-market policy.
  • model qwen -4.0 Social democratic platform favoring a strong welfare state and regulated markets.
  • prior Author baseline -2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Claude -2.0 Social-democratic orientation with a redistributive lean.
  • model DeepSeek -1.0 Mubadara's economic platform is mixed, critical of neoliberal PA policies but not fully statist.
  • model Grok +0.0 Mubadara promotes social democratic principles emphasizing equity and public welfare within a mixed economic framework.
  • model Kimi +0.0 Mubadara focuses on social justice and combating poverty but does not have a clearly defined economic model; it supports job creation and welfare but has not taken a strong statist or market position.
  • model gemma +0.0 Takes a centrist or mixed approach
  • model Gemini +2.0 Favors a social-democratic model that supports market mechanisms alongside robust state welfare and regulation.
  • model minimax +3.0 Mubadara supports a market-oriented economy with a regulatory social safety net.
• Hezbollah LB Liberal democracy settled ↔ 7 pt -7.5
  • model mistral -8.0 Hezbollah opposes liberal democracy.
  • model gemma -8.0 2× rounds Opposes liberal democracy in favor of a religious-political system.
  • model gpt -8.0 Its armed status and coercive leverage override liberal-democratic checks and accountability.
  • model qwen -7.0 2× rounds Rejects liberal democracy in favor of wilayat al-faqih model.
  • model Grok -6.0 2× rounds Hezbollah uses Lebanon's democracy as a tool while maintaining its own authoritarian militia structure.
  • model Gemini -6.0 2× rounds Hezbollah participates in elections but rejects liberal checks, using veto power and armed force to bypass state institutions.
  • model minimax -6.0 2× rounds Hezbollah favors an Islamic-consultation model
  • model Claude -6.0 2× rounds Armed movement with weak commitment to liberal democracy.
  • model Kimi -5.0 2× rounds Hezbollah participates in elections but its actual record shows systematic weakening of democratic institutions, intimidation of opposition, and operation of a parallel armed state outside constitutional authority.
  • re-coder Re-coder C -4.0 Second-pass coder C — rubric-anchored re-read on the democracy axis; magnitude follows the primary reading with independent judgment calls on the governance axes.
  • model DeepSeek -4.0 2× rounds Participates electorally but undermines liberal checks; rejects secular democracy.
  • prior Author baseline -3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • re-coder Re-coder B -1.0 Second-pass coder B — rubric-anchored re-read on the democracy axis; extreme magnitudes tempered slightly toward the rubric mid-anchors.
• Free Patriotic Movement LB West alignment settled ↔ 7 pt -1.0
  • model Gemini -5.0 FPM's strategic partnership with Hezbollah has put it at odds with Western geopolitical blocs.
  • model DeepSeek -3.0 Allied with Hezbollah and Iran; critical of US policy in region.
  • model Grok -2.0 Historical pro-Syria orientation and skepticism of Western intervention; tactical Western engagement under Bassil but underlying ambivalence.
  • model gemma -2.0 Maintains a complex
  • model minimax -1.0 FPM is rhetorically anti-Western due to its Hezbollah alliance but seeks Western engagement and reform partnerships.
  • model Claude -1.0 Christian roots lean Western, but its Hezbollah alliance and Damascus outreach blur the posture.
  • prior Author baseline +0.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model gpt +1.0 It seeks Western ties but has been constrained by its Hezbollah partnership.
  • model qwen +1.0 FPM has historical ties to the West but current alliances with Hezbollah complicate its strategic alignment.
  • model Kimi +2.0 FPM is pragmatically open to Western engagement but not strongly pro-Western; Bassil has had tensions with Western powers (US sanctions) while maintaining some European ties, placing it slightly positive.
• Free Patriotic Movement LB Regional stance settled ↔ 7 pt -3.0
  • model Gemini -5.0 FPM's strategic alliance with Hezbollah aligns it closer to the anti-normalization resistance axis.
  • model gemma -5.0 Strategically aligned with the Axis of Resistance through its alliance with Hezbollah.
  • model Grok -4.0 Long tactical alliance with Hezbollah placed it in resistance camp; later strains but remains distinct from full normalization advocates.
  • model DeepSeek -4.0 Allied with Hezbollah; adopts resistance rhetoric against Israel.
  • prior Author baseline -3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model gpt -3.0 Its Hezbollah alliance pulled it toward anti-normalization resistance politics despite recent frictions.
  • model Claude -3.0 Leans toward resistance through its Hezbollah alliance, though not itself an armed actor.
  • model minimax -2.0 FPM is allied with Hezbollah within March 8 but rhetorically distinguishes itself
  • model qwen -2.0 FPM has distanced itself from Hezbollah’s resistance stance recently but remains ambiguous on normalization.
  • model Kimi +2.0 FPM broke its alliance with Hezbollah after the 2024 war but remains open to pragmatic engagement; it is not fully in the normalization camp but leans toward stability over armed resistance.
• Free Patriotic Movement LB Civil liberties settled ↔ 7 pt -2.5
  • model Gemini -4.0 During its tenure in the presidency, FPM frequently used state institutions to curb political dissent and critics.
  • model Grok -4.0 Presidency (2016-2022) coincided with economic collapse and 2019-2020 protests met with limited institutional accountability and some repression.
  • model gemma -3.0 Record in government shows a tendency to restrict dissent and opposition.
  • model Claude -3.0 In office pursued defamation suits against critics; a mixed-to-restrictive record.
  • model qwen -3.0 FPM rhetorically supports freedoms but has tolerated restrictions when in government coalitions.
  • model DeepSeek -2.0 In government
  • model Kimi +0.0 FPM has held ministerial portfolios; its record is mixed with some tolerance for dissent but also instances of restricting opposition voices, placing it near centrist.
  • model gpt +0.0 It uses reformist language but has shown tolerance for pressure on critics while in power.
  • model minimax +0.0 FPM rhetoric supports pluralism but its behavior in power (Aoun presidency) included restrictions on protest and selective tolerance of dissent.
  • prior Author baseline +3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
• Lebanese Forces LB Regional stance settled ↔ 7 pt +6.0
  • model mistral +2.0 Lebanese Forces lean toward stability and normalization.
  • re-coder Re-coder B +5.0 Second-pass coder B — rubric-anchored re-read on the regional-stance axis; extreme magnitudes tempered slightly toward the rubric mid-anchors.
  • prior Author baseline +6.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • re-coder Re-coder C +6.0 Second-pass coder C — rubric-anchored re-read on the regional-stance axis; magnitude follows the primary reading with independent judgment calls on the governance axes.
  • model qwen +6.0 2× rounds Pro-Saudi, favors regional stability over resistance.
  • model DeepSeek +6.0 Supports normalization and stability, particularly with Saudi Arabia.
  • model Claude +6.0 2× rounds Anti-Hezbollah, pro-stability and Western-aligned sovereignty.
  • model gpt +6.0 It aligns with the anti-Hezbollah stability camp more than resistance politics.
  • model Gemini +7.0 2× rounds Lebanese Forces align with the normalization and stability camp, backing Western and Gulf Arab regional arrangements.
  • model Kimi +8.0 2× rounds LF is firmly in the normalization/stability camp, advocating for state monopoly on arms, UN resolution implementation, and diplomatic engagement with the West and Gulf; it rejects the Axis of Resistance.
  • model minimax +8.0 2× rounds LF favors stability and Western-aligned regional order.
  • model Grok +9.0 2× rounds Firmly aligned with stability, moderation, and potential normalization tracks; categorically rejects armed resistance axis as destabilizing and destructive.
  • model gemma +9.0 2× rounds Strongly favors stability and normalization with Western/Arab allies.
• Progressive Socialist Party LB State & religion settled ↔ 7 pt +5.0
  • model qwen +1.0 PSP supports secularism in principle but accommodates Lebanon’s multi-religious reality.
  • model Kimi +2.0 PSP has advocated for civil marriage and reducing religious authority in state affairs; however, as a Druze party it operates within the confessional system, scoring moderately toward secular state.
  • prior Author baseline +5.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model gemma +5.0 Strongly favors the separation of religion from state and law.
  • model minimax +5.0 PSP's secular leftist tradition favors separation of religion and state
  • model gpt +6.0 It strongly favors secular and civil-state language.
  • model Claude +8.0 ⛓ grounded 2× rounds "Separation of religion and state," secularism as an essential foundation, "abolition of the system of political sectarianism."
  • model Gemini +8.0 PSP strongly advocates for a secular state and the complete separation of religion from state and law.
  • model Grok +8.0 Strongest and most consistent advocate among major parties for strict separation of religion from state and expansion of secular civil law options.
• Progressive Socialist Party LB West alignment settled ↔ 7 pt +2.0
  • model qwen -3.0 PSP is cautiously non-aligned, historically skeptical of the West but not overtly hostile.
  • model minimax -2.0 PSP's anti-imperial pan-Arab tradition is skeptical of Western intervention
  • model Grok +1.0 Pragmatic and non-ideological engagement with Western actors; neither strongly pro-Western nor anti-Western; focuses on Lebanese/Druze interests.
  • model gemma +2.0 Generally maintains a pragmatic and moderately positive strategic relationship with the West.
  • model gpt +2.0 It keeps Western ties but avoids full alignment with any external camp.
  • model Claude +2.0 Pragmatic and recently more Western- and Gulf-leaning after a nonaligned-left past.
  • prior Author baseline +3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +3.0 PSP has been part of pro-Western alliances (March 14) and maintains Western ties; however, it is pragmatic and has shifted positions, scoring moderately pro-Western rather than strongly aligned.
  • model Gemini +4.0 PSP maintains a pragmatic, moderately pro-Western and pro-Gulf strategic alignment.
• Amal Movement LB Liberal democracy settled ↔ 7 pt -4.5
  • model gemma -6.0 Supports the sectarian quota system over liberal democratic checks and balances.
  • model Grok -5.0 Long parliamentary speakership under Berri associated with institutional deadlock, corruption perceptions, and veto politics that weaken liberal democratic accountability.
  • model DeepSeek -5.0 Participates in elections but has supported weakening judicial independence and clientelist governance.
  • model Claude -5.0 Pillar of the sectarian system; Berri's parliament has shielded officials and blocked accountability (port blast).
  • model qwen -5.0 Amal participates in elections but undermines liberal institutions by reinforcing sectarian patronage and opposing judicial independence.
  • model Gemini -4.0 Amal participates in elections but frequently undermines judicial independence and institutional checks.
  • model Kimi -4.0 Amal has held power for decades through sectarian quotas and patronage; while it participates in elections, its actual record shows weak commitment to liberal democratic checks and independent institutions.
  • model gpt -4.0 Its long record in power relies on patronage militia influence and weak accountability.
  • model minimax -2.0 Amal participates in elections but Berri's three-decade grip on the speakership and patronage-based politics undermine liberal-democratic checks.
  • prior Author baseline +1.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
• Freedom and Justice Party EG West alignment provisional ↔ 7 pt -2.5
  • model mistral -7.0 The party is strongly anti-Western.
  • model DeepSeek -6.0 2× rounds Anti-Western orientation; opposes US foreign policy in region.
  • model minimax -6.0 2× rounds FJP is historically skeptical of Western influence
  • model Gemini -5.0 2× rounds It maintains a highly critical and adversarial stance toward Western strategic and military influence in the Middle East.
  • model qwen -5.0 2× rounds Anti-Western as part of Islamist and anti-imperialist stance.
  • model Kimi -3.0 2× rounds Anti-Western orientation; critical of Western policies, Camp David, and normalization; seeks Islamic renaissance independent of West.
  • model gemma -3.0 2× rounds Critical of Western foreign policy and cultural influence.
  • prior Author baseline -2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • re-coder Re-coder B -2.0 Second-pass coder B — rubric-anchored re-read on the west-alignment axis; extreme magnitudes tempered slightly toward the rubric mid-anchors.
  • model Grok -2.0 2× rounds Islamist ideology makes it inherently anti-Western viewing the West as enemy of Islam standard for these groups.
  • model gpt -2.0 It sought pragmatic Western ties but remained ideologically suspicious of US regional policy.
  • re-coder Re-coder C -1.0 Second-pass coder C — rubric-anchored re-read on the west-alignment axis; magnitude follows the primary reading with independent judgment calls on the governance axes.
  • model Claude +0.0 2× rounds Pragmatic dealings with Washington despite ideological distance.
• New Wafd Party EG Regional stance settled ↔ 7 pt +4.0
  • model DeepSeek +1.0 Centrist; supports stability but with traditional Arab nationalist reservations.
  • model minimax +1.0 Pro-Palestinian but anti-normalization in mainstream Egyptian style.
  • prior Author baseline +3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model gpt +3.0 It favors negotiated Arab diplomacy more than armed resistance alignment.
  • model Kimi +4.0 Generally favors stability camp but maintains nationalist skepticism of normalization; pragmatic engagement.
  • model gemma +4.0 Aligned with state-led stability and negotiation.
  • model Claude +5.0 Stability and negotiated-settlement camp.
  • model Grok +5.0 Favors pragmatic stability, negotiated settlements, and Egyptian national interest in regional affairs.
  • model qwen +6.0 Supports regional stability and traditional Arab alliances.
  • model Gemini +8.0 2× rounds It supports regional stability and state-centered diplomacy rather than revolutionary or resistance politics.
• Egyptian Social Democratic Party EG Regional stance settled ↔ 7 pt +3.0
  • model gpt -1.0 It is pro-Palestinian and skeptical of normalization without embracing armed resistance politics.
  • model minimax +0.0 Pro-Palestinian but not aligned with armed resistance; takes mainstream Arab League line
  • prior Author baseline +2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Gemini +3.0 It supports regional stability and diplomatic engagement while remaining critical of normalization that bypasses Palestinian rights.
  • model DeepSeek +3.0 Supports negotiated two-state solution; not aligned with armed resistance axis.
  • model gemma +3.0 Generally supports stability and diplomatic resolution over armed resistance.
  • model Kimi +4.0 Favors stability and normalization camp, supports peace treaty with Israel, but rejects normalization at expense of Palestinian rights.
  • model Claude +4.0 Accepts negotiated settlement and Egypt's peace framework, not resistance bloc.
  • model Grok +5.0 Favors pragmatic stability, negotiation, and Egyptian national interest over alignment with armed resistance or anti-normalization blocs.
  • model qwen +6.0 Favors regional stability and alignment with Gulf states.
• Religious Zionism Party IL Liberal democracy settled ↔ 7 pt -7.5
  • model Claude -9.0 Led the judicial overhaul on an ethno-religious supremacist program.
  • model Gemini -8.0 Actively seeks to undermine the power of the judiciary and eliminate liberal-democratic checks.
  • model gpt -8.0 It supports judicial weakening and ethnoreligious supremacy over liberal checks and minority rights.
  • model minimax -8.0 Religious Zionism actively undermines liberal-democratic checks through judicial-reform support and ethnic-supremacist policies.
  • model qwen -8.0 Record in office includes supporting the judicial overhaul and anti-minority policies.
  • prior Author baseline -7.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model DeepSeek -7.0 Illiberal; religious supremacy over liberal democracy.
  • model gemma -6.0 Views the
  • model Grok -5.0 Subordinates liberal checks to Jewish religious national supremacy goals.
  • model Kimi -2.0 Supports Jewish state but subordinates democratic norms to religious authority; controversial on minority rights.

  before · r1 gemini -7.0grok +4.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Hadash IL West alignment settled ↔ 7 pt -5.0
  • model Gemini -8.0 2× rounds Maintains a staunch anti-Western, anti-imperialist geopolitical alignment.
  • prior Author baseline -5.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • re-coder Re-coder C -5.0 Second-pass coder C — rubric-anchored re-read on the west-alignment axis; magnitude follows the primary reading with independent judgment calls on the governance axes.
  • model Claude -5.0 2× rounds Communist anti-imperialist tradition critical of US/Western policy.
  • model minimax -5.0 2× rounds Hadash is critical of Western foreign policy
  • re-coder Re-coder B -4.0 Second-pass coder B — rubric-anchored re-read on the west-alignment axis; extreme magnitudes tempered slightly toward the rubric mid-anchors.
  • model Kimi -4.0 2× rounds Critical of Western imperialism and support for Israel; aligns with international left.
  • model mistral -4.0 Hadash is mildly anti-Western.
  • model gemma -4.0 2× rounds Critical of Western imperialism though supports democratic values.
  • model gpt -4.0 Hadash is strategically critical of US-led regional policy and NATO-style alignment.
  • model DeepSeek -3.0 2× rounds Critical of Western imperialism but not actively hostile.
  • model qwen -3.0 2× rounds Critical of Western imperialism but not categorically anti-Western.
  • model Grok -1.0 2× rounds As communists Hadash holds anti-Western anti-imperialist views typical of the radical left.

  before · r1 gemini -8.0grok -5.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Balad IL Liberal democracy settled ↔ 7 pt +6.0
  • model Grok +1.0 Participates in democratic processes and backs minority rights but rejects Zionist state character fundamentally.
  • model minimax +5.0 Balad is committed to liberal-democratic norms, minority rights, and equal citizenship but rejects the specifically Jewish-Zionist character of the state.
  • prior Author baseline +6.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Claude +6.0 ⛓ grounded 2× rounds A "national democratic party" built on civic equality.
  • model DeepSeek +6.0 Advocates liberal democracy but often boycotts institutions as protest.
  • model Kimi +6.0 Supports liberal democratic principles but rejects Israel's Jewish character, creating tension with the definition.
  • model gemma +6.0 Commits to democratic equality despite anti-Zionism.
  • model gpt +6.0 Balad backs parliamentary rights and minority protections, though it rejects the Zionist constitutional frame.
  • model qwen +7.0 Strong declared commitment to liberal democracy and minority rights.
  • model Gemini +8.0 Emphasizes strong liberal-democratic protections and judicial checks to safeguard minority rights.

  before · r1 grok +5.0gemini +8.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Shas IL Regional stance settled ↔ 7 pt +4.5
  • prior Author baseline -2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model minimax +1.0 Shas is broadly status-quo on regional alignment; not a major driver of normalization but generally supportive of government positions.
  • model Kimi +2.0 Pragmatic coalition partner; not strongly focused on regional posture.
  • model gemma +2.0 Generally indifferent or mildly supportive of stability.
  • model Gemini +4.0 Takes a pragmatic approach to regional normalization but strictly coordinates with the nationalist camp.
  • model Claude +5.0 Aligns with the governing normalization camp.
  • model Grok +5.0 Pragmatic on regional stability and normalization for political benefits.
  • model DeepSeek +5.0 Generally pro-normalization.
  • model gpt +5.0 Shas usually supports Israeli security alignment and pragmatic normalization through right-wing coalitions.
  • model qwen +5.0 Moderately aligned with the stability camp but sympathetic to religious ties to the land.

  before · r1 gemini +2.0grok +4.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• United Torah Judaism IL Liberal democracy settled ↔ 7 pt -5.0
  • model qwen -7.0 Record in office includes blocking civil reforms and undermining liberal democratic checks.
  • model Gemini -6.0 Consistently seeks to restrict judicial review and diminish secular democratic checks.
  • model DeepSeek -6.0 Accepts democracy tactically but prefers religious authority.
  • model gemma -5.0 Generally skeptical of liberal checks on religious authority.
  • model gpt -5.0 UTJ has backed judicial weakening and religious exemptions that weaken liberal equality.
  • model minimax -5.0 UTJ works within democracy but rejects core liberal-democratic values like pluralism and equal rights for non-Orthodox.
  • model Claude -4.0 Participates electorally but elevates religious law over civil rights.
  • model Grok -4.0 Participates in democracy but subordinates liberal secular values to Torah authority when conflicting.
  • prior Author baseline -3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +0.0 Participates in democracy but rabbinical authority supreme; non-Zionist stance creates tension.

  before · r1 gemini -6.0grok +5.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Hamas PS Liberal democracy settled ↔ 7 pt -7.0
  • model mistral -9.0 Hamas opposes liberal democracy.
  • model Gemini -8.0 2× rounds Its record in power is marked by the complete concentration of authority, suppression of rivals, and lack of democratic checks.
  • model Claude -7.0 ⛓ grounded 3× rounds The 2006 electoral text uniquely voices pluralism, party freedom, peaceful alternation and separation of powers (declared; in tension with one-party Gaza rule after 2007).
  • model Grok -7.0 2× rounds Hamas has ruled Gaza without competitive elections since 2006, consolidating power through centralized and unaccountable structures.
  • model minimax -7.0 Hamas has a constrained
  • model gpt -7.0 Its record in Gaza and Islamist supremacy framework are weak on liberal-democratic constraints.
  • re-coder Re-coder C -5.0 Second-pass coder C — rubric-anchored re-read on the democracy axis; magnitude follows the primary reading with independent judgment calls on the governance axes.
  • model DeepSeek -5.0 2× rounds Hamas contests elections but suppresses opposition, weakens courts, and rejects liberal democratic principles in favor of Islamic governance.
  • model gemma -5.0 2× rounds Supports elections but rejects liberal secular pluralism.
  • model qwen -4.0 2× rounds Electoral participation but rejects liberal pluralism.
  • prior Author baseline -3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi -3.0 2× rounds Hamas won the 2006 elections but has not held elections since, rules Gaza autocratically, suppresses opposition, and while it has an internal Shura council, it rejects liberal democratic principles including minority rights and independent judiciary.
  • re-coder Re-coder B -2.0 Second-pass coder B — rubric-anchored re-read on the democracy axis; extreme magnitudes tempered slightly toward the rubric mid-anchors.
• National Charter Party JO State & religion provisional ↔ 7 pt -1.5
  • model Gemini -4.0 Endorses the status quo where Islam is the state religion and a primary source of moral guidance.
  • model gemma -4.0 Supports the state's existing religious framework.
  • model Kimi -3.0 Accepts religious role in state, does not push for secular separation
  • model gpt -3.0 It accepts the monarchy’s religious legitimacy and Islamic public references without advocating theocracy.
  • model qwen -2.0 Accepts Islam as the state religion and Sharia as a source of legislation, consistent with the constitution.
  • model Grok -1.0 Accepts Islam as the state religion per the constitution while favoring a pragmatic, non-theocratic governance model.
  • model Claude -1.0 Reflects Jordan's moderate official religiosity, leaning slightly to religious presence.
  • model DeepSeek +1.0 Accepts Islam as state religion but not clerical rule; vaguely secular in practice.
  • prior Author baseline +2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model minimax +3.0 Moderate secular orientation; supports civil state within Jordanian consensus on religion's role.
• National Charter Party JO Civil liberties provisional ↔ 7 pt -1.0
  • model Gemini -4.0 Prioritizes state security and public order over the expansion of protest and dissent freedoms.
  • model qwen -4.0 Prioritizes state security and political stability over the expansion of civil liberties.
  • model Grok -3.0 Accepts regulated political space and limits on liberties deemed necessary for national stability and regime security.
  • model gemma -3.0 Prioritizes state stability and order over the expansion of liberal dissent.
  • prior Author baseline -2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Claude +0.0 Establishment-aligned and centrist, neither strongly expansive nor overtly restrictive.
  • model Kimi +1.0 Mildly supportive of civil liberties but operates within regime constraints on dissent
  • model gpt +1.0 It endorses reform rhetoric but stays close to a state-centered model that accepts limits on dissent.
  • model DeepSeek +2.0 Moderately supportive of civil liberties but within regime security bounds.
  • model minimax +3.0 Generally supportive of political reforms and freedoms; positioned as a moderate civic party.
• Ennahda TN Economic provisional ↔ 7 pt +2.0
  • model Grok -3.0 2× rounds Ennahda combines Islamic social-welfare orientation with pragmatic acceptance of market mechanisms and structural adjustment programs.
  • model gpt -1.0 Ennahda mixes market acceptance with welfare and state-development language rather than a firm free-market agenda.
  • model DeepSeek +0.0 2× rounds Ennahda adopts a mixed economy approach without strong statist or market extremes.
  • re-coder Re-coder B +1.0 Second-pass coder B — rubric-anchored re-read on the economic axis; extreme magnitudes tempered slightly toward the rubric mid-anchors.
  • prior Author baseline +2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model minimax +2.0 2× rounds Ennahda's economic platform is a mixed-economy
  • model Claude +3.0 ⛓ grounded 3× rounds "Compassionate capitalism" — enterprise freedom balanced with social justice.
  • model mistral +3.0 Ennahda leans toward market-oriented economic policies.
  • re-coder Re-coder C +4.0 Second-pass coder C — rubric-anchored re-read on the economic axis; magnitude follows the primary reading with independent judgment calls on the governance axes.
  • model Kimi +4.0 2× rounds Favors market mechanisms with social welfare, similar to Christian democratic parties.
  • model Gemini +4.0 2× rounds The party generally advocates for free-market mechanisms and economic liberalism with social welfare provisions.
  • model qwen +4.0 2× rounds Market-friendly with social welfare components.
  • model gemma +4.0 2× rounds Supports a market economy with social safety nets.
• Ennahda TN West alignment provisional ↔ 7 pt +2.0
  • model qwen -2.0 2× rounds Critical of Western intervention but engages diplomatically.
  • prior Author baseline +0.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • re-coder Re-coder B +0.0 Second-pass coder B — rubric-anchored re-read on the west-alignment axis; extreme magnitudes tempered slightly toward the rubric mid-anchors.
  • model DeepSeek +0.0 2× rounds Ennahda is non-aligned in strategic terms
  • re-coder Re-coder C +1.0 Second-pass coder C — rubric-anchored re-read on the west-alignment axis; magnitude follows the primary reading with independent judgment calls on the governance axes.
  • model mistral +1.0 Ennahda is mildly pro-Western.
  • model gpt +1.0 Ennahda has sought workable relations with Europe and the United States while keeping an independent Islamist orientation.
  • model minimax +3.0 2× rounds Ennahda engages with the West while maintaining some ideological distance.
  • model Claude +3.0 2× rounds Pragmatic engagement with the West, neither aligned nor hostile.
  • model Kimi +4.0 2× rounds Seeks Western democratic partnership and legitimacy, not anti-Western strategically.
  • model Gemini +4.0 2× rounds Ennahda maintained pragmatic diplomatic and economic relations with Western nations while in power.
  • model gemma +4.0 2× rounds Generally critical of Western influence but pragmatically engaged.
  • model Grok +5.0 2× rounds While rhetorically critical of Western interference, Ennahda governments actively sought Western economic support, IMF programs, and maintained diplomatic engagement.
• Tunisian Workers Party TN Regional stance settled ↔ 7 pt -7.0
  • model Grok -9.0 The party explicitly aligns with resistance forces against imperialism and Zionism and rejects any stability or normalization arrangements with Israel or its allies.
  • model Gemini -8.0 The party firmly opposes normalization with Israel and rejects Western-backed regional frameworks.
  • model gemma -8.0 Strongly aligned with anti-normalization and resistance politics.
  • model minimax -7.0 Anti-normalization and anti-Western regional order; aligned with anti-imperialist camp.
  • model Claude -7.0 Anti-imperialist and anti-normalization, firmly in the resistance camp.
  • model qwen -7.0 Aligns with anti-imperialist resistance axis; opposes Western-backed normalization.
  • model Kimi -6.0 Anti-imperialist posture aligns with resistance axis against Western regional hegemony.
  • model DeepSeek -6.0 Supports resistance axis
  • prior Author baseline -2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
• National Rally of Independents MA Liberal democracy settled ↔ 7 pt +1.0
  • model Gemini -4.0 Accepts and champions the existing political order where absolute executive authority rests with the King rather than elected bodies.
  • model DeepSeek -3.0 Regime-aligned; no strong commitment to liberal-democratic checks.
  • model qwen -2.0 Establishment party that does not actively push for liberal democratic reforms.
  • model Claude +0.0 Technocratic palace-aligned party without a liberal-democratic reform agenda.
  • model Grok +1.0 Supports electoral competition and formal institutions but operates comfortably within and defends the limited liberal democracy centered on monarchical power.
  • model minimax +1.0 RNI is loyal to the monarchy and does not push for limits on executive power; mild reformist rhetoric without structural commitment.
  • prior Author baseline +2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +2.0 RNI participates in Morocco's hybrid system where real power remains with the monarchy.
  • model gemma +3.0 Supports the constitutional monarchy and focuses on efficient governance.
• Authenticity and Modernity Party MA Civil liberties settled ↔ 7 pt -1.0
  • model Gemini -3.0 While presenting a liberal image, its governance record shows support for state restrictions on activities deemed destabilizing.
  • model Grok -3.0 Pro-regime party in governing coalitions has not pushed to expand civil liberties in an environment of ongoing restrictions on protests and critical speech.
  • model DeepSeek -2.0 As a pro-regime party it has not actively expanded civil liberties and generally backs government restrictions.
  • model gpt -2.0 PAM speaks rights language but governs within a system that restricts dissent and protest.
  • model Claude -2.0 Liberal in rhetoric but an establishment party under a state with a restrictive liberties record.
  • model minimax +0.0 PAM's record in government coalitions is unremarkable; no strong profile either expanding or systematically restricting civil liberties.
  • model qwen +0.0 Moderate stance; neither strongly expanding nor actively restricting civil liberties.
  • model gemma +2.0 Promotes a moderate modernization agenda but does not challenge state security restrictions.
  • model Kimi +3.0 PAM has rhetorically supported some liberal reforms but operates within a system that restricts liberties.
  • prior Author baseline +4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
• Istiqlal Party MA State & religion settled ↔ 7 pt -3.5
  • model gemma -5.0 Advocates for the central role of Islam in the state and legal framework.
  • model minimax -5.0 Istiqlal emphasizes Morocco's Islamic identity and has historically opposed strict secularism; party draws on religious-traditional legitimacy.
  • model Kimi -4.0 Istiqlal supports the Moroccan model with the King as religious authority and Islam in public life.
  • model Gemini -4.0 Views Islam as a foundational pillar of the state and law, opposing complete secularization.
  • model gpt -4.0 Istiqlal supports Morocco’s Islamic constitutional identity and traditional religious legitimacy.
  • model Claude -3.0 ⛓ grounded 2× rounds Grounds democratic liberties in "les principes de notre religion," modelling governance on "les pays musulmans d'Orient" — Arabo-Islamic, not secular.
  • model DeepSeek -3.0 Islam as central reference but not clerical rule; respects monarchy’s religious role.
  • model qwen -2.0 Supports the constitutional role of Islam in the state while remaining moderate.
  • prior Author baseline +1.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok +2.0 Supports prominent role for tolerant Islam in national identity and public life while operating within modern state institutions.
• Istiqlal Party MA Liberal democracy settled ↔ 7 pt +2.0
  • model Gemini -4.0 Accepts and champions the existing political order where absolute executive authority rests with the King rather than elected bodies.
  • model DeepSeek +0.0 Loyal opposition that accepts monarchical system; limited push for liberal checks.
  • model gpt +1.0 Istiqlal accepts multiparty constitutional politics but remains loyal to palace-led limits.
  • model Kimi +2.0 Istiqlal is system-loyal and participates in elections within Morocco's limited democratic framework.
  • model minimax +2.0 Istiqlal accepts the monarchical constitutional order and has not pushed for substantive limits on executive power; mild reformist rhetoric.
  • model qwen +2.0 Historically advocated for democratic reforms but now operates as part of the establishment.
  • prior Author baseline +3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Claude +3.0 ⛓ grounded 2× rounds Demands a "régime démocratique" and condemns the protectorate for denying individual liberties.
  • model Grok +3.0 Participates loyally in parliamentary democracy and supports gradual reforms but accepts strong monarchical role and limited liberal checks.
  • model gemma +3.0 Supports the constitutional monarchy but is less focused on liberal-democratic checks.
• Istiqlal Party MA West alignment settled ↔ 7 pt +5.0
  • model minimax +1.0 Istiqlal is a Western security partner of Morocco but rhetorically emphasizes Moroccan sovereignty; pragmatic rather than enthusiastic Western alignment.
  • model DeepSeek +2.0 Generally pro-Western strategically but with nationalist reservations.
  • prior Author baseline +3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model gemma +5.0 Maintains strategic partnerships with the West while occasionally criticizing Western foreign policy.
  • model gpt +5.0 Istiqlal accepts Morocco’s Western partnerships despite nationalist rhetoric.
  • model Claude +6.0 ⛓ grounded 2× rounds Invokes the Atlantic Charter and seeks a seat at the peace conference.
  • model Kimi +6.0 Istiqlal is a member of European center-right networks and supports Western strategic alignment.
  • model qwen +6.0 Maintains a pragmatic and generally pro-Western strategic orientation.
  • model Grok +7.0 Strong strategic Western alignment via economic agreements, security ties, and participation in pro-stability regional frameworks.
  • model Gemini +8.0 Fully backs Morocco's deep strategic, economic, and security alliance with the United States and the European Union.
• Sairoon Alliance IQ West alignment settled ↔ 7 pt -5.0
  • model Gemini -9.0 2× rounds The movement is fiercely anti-Western, historically waging an armed insurgency against US forces and rejecting Western involvement in Iraq.
  • model gemma -6.0 2× rounds Generally opposes US and Western military and political presence.
  • model Grok -5.0 2× rounds Sadr built his base on anti-US occupation resistance maintaining anti-Western nationalist posture.
  • model Kimi -5.0 2× rounds Sadr is strongly anti-Western, led armed resistance against US occupation, demands US troop withdrawal
  • model Claude -5.0 2× rounds Sadrist nationalism is hostile to US presence and influence.
  • prior Author baseline -4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model qwen -4.0 2× rounds Anti-American but open to engagement; nationalist.
  • model DeepSeek -3.0 2× rounds Sairoon is anti-US and anti-Western due to opposition to foreign intervention and Iran's rivals.
  • model minimax -3.0 2× rounds Sairoon is anti-American in rhetoric but has engaged pragmatically with Western actors at times.
  • model mistral -2.0 Sairoon Alliance is mildly anti-Western.
• Sairoon Alliance IQ Regional stance settled ↔ 7 pt -3.0
  • model Gemini -7.0 The movement belongs to the resistance camp, adopting an aggressive anti-normalization stance and opposing Western and Israeli regional influence.
  • model minimax -5.0 Sadr's movement is firmly anti-normalization and aligned rhetorically with Palestinian armed resistance, even while he is anti-Iran.
  • model Grok -3.0 Sairoon employs 'resistance' rhetoric against Israel and US influence and has aligned tactically with some Axis elements at times, though driven more by Iraqi nationalism than full Axis integration.
  • model Kimi -3.0 Sadr opposes normalization with Israel and US military presence; aligns more with resistance axis rhetorically but rejects Iranian control
  • model DeepSeek -3.0 Anti-normalization and supports resistance rhetoric but not fully aligned with Iran-led axis.
  • model Claude -3.0 Firmly anti-normalization and anti-US though anti-Iran and electoral in method.
  • prior Author baseline -2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model qwen -2.0 Maintains ties to the "resistance" discourse and Iran but often acts as a nationalist counterweight to full Iranian alignment.
  • model gemma +0.0 Neither aligned with the Axis of Resistance nor the normalization camp.
• Balad IL Pan-Arab vs particularist settled ↔ 7 pt +7.0
  • model Grok +2.0 Roots in Arab nationalism but primarily focused on Palestinian citizens of Israel particularism.
  • model Kimi +4.0 Palestinian nationalist framing with some Arab solidarity, but primarily focused on Palestinian identity.
  • model DeepSeek +6.0 Strong pan-Arab and anti-normalization rhetoric.
  • prior Author baseline +7.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Gemini +7.0 Maintains a strong ideological commitment to pan-Arab nationalism and solidarity.
  • model gpt +7.0 Balad frames politics in Arab-national and Palestinian-Arab terms.
  • model gemma +8.0 Strongly frames its identity and politics through Arab nationalism.
  • model minimax +8.0 Balad frames its politics explicitly in pan-Arab solidarity and anti-normalization terms.
  • model Claude +9.0 ⛓ grounded 2× rounds Palestinian-Arab national identity and cultural autonomy.
  • model qwen +9.0 Strong pan-Arab identity and solidarity in its platform.

  before · r1 grok +6.0gemini +9.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Kurdistan Democratic Party IQ Palestinian question provisional ↔ 7 pt +2.5
  • model Gemini +0.0 2× rounds The KDP maintains a neutral, passive stance on the Palestinian question, prioritizing Kurdish national interests instead.
  • model Claude +1.0 2× rounds Kurdish nationalist with muted, pragmatic stance and quiet warmth toward Israel.
  • model minimax +2.0 2× rounds KDP has historically maintained quiet relations with Israel and gives limited emphasis to Palestinian cause.
  • model Grok +3.0 2× rounds KDP prioritizes Kurdish interests and has pragmatic sometimes warm ties with Israel unlike Arab Islamist parties.
  • model mistral +3.0 Kurdistan Democratic Party supports Palestinian rights but prioritizes Kurdish interests.
  • prior Author baseline +4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model DeepSeek +4.0 2× rounds KDP rhetorically supports Palestinians but prioritizes its own national interests and ties with Israel.
  • model Kimi +5.0 2× rounds KDP expresses solidarity with Palestinian rights but prioritizes Kurdish interests over active pan-Arab solidarity
  • model qwen +6.0 2× rounds Generally supportive of Palestinian cause as anti-imperialist stance.
  • model gpt +6.0 It broadly supports Palestinian rights while keeping the issue secondary to Kurdish interests.
  • model gemma +7.0 2× rounds Supports Palestinian rights in principle
• Kurdistan Democratic Party IQ Civil liberties settled ↔ 7 pt -3.0
  • model Gemini -5.0 In power within the KRG, the KDP has a record of restricting journalistic freedoms and suppressing public protests.
  • model Claude -5.0 In power in the KRG with a record of jailing journalists and suppressing protests, notably the Badinan cases.
  • model qwen -5.0 Record of suppressing political opponents and critical media in KDP-controlled governorates.
  • model gemma -4.0 Record in the KRI includes restrictions on political dissent and press freedom.
  • model Grok -3.0 KDP-led KRG exhibits a mixed but often restrictive record on press freedom and dissent, with documented journalist harassment and political pressure on media.
  • model gpt -3.0 Its KRG record includes opposition and media pressure despite some pluralist space.
  • model Kimi -2.0 KDP tolerates limited dissent in KRG; has been accused of suppressing opposition media and protests
  • model minimax -2.0 KDP rule in Erbil has featured periodic crackdowns on journalists, protest organizers, and opposition activists, especially after 2017 independence referendum.
  • prior Author baseline +2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model DeepSeek +2.0 Some civil liberties exist in KRG but KDP has cracked down on opposition media and protests.
• Patriotic Union of Kurdistan IQ Economic settled ↔ 7 pt +2.0
  • prior Author baseline -3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Gemini -3.0 The PUK favors a statist economic approach heavily reliant on public sector employment and state-directed resource allocation.
  • model Claude -1.0 Social-democratic roots now overlaid with patronage; mixed and slightly statist.
  • model gpt +1.0 It supports reform and private-sector language while retaining welfare and patronage instincts.
  • model Kimi +2.0 PUK supports market economy with stronger social welfare orientation than KDP; more statist tendencies
  • model gemma +2.0 Mixed approach with elements of market openness and significant state patronage.
  • model minimax +2.0 Sulaymaniyah's economy under PUK is more trade-oriented and pluralistic than Erbil, leaning market with a welfare component.
  • model Grok +3.0 PUK has historically left-leaning economic views but in practice supports market elements in KRG while favoring more state intervention than KDP.
  • model qwen +3.0 Supports private investment and market economics, though party-affiliated business monopolies exist.
  • model DeepSeek +4.0 PUK supports market economy but retains state influence typical of Kurdish governance.
• Democratic National Rally DZ Economic settled ↔ 7 pt -2.0
  • model Grok -4.0 Favors state-led development and hydrocarbon nationalism with limited market liberalization.
  • model gemma -4.0 Favors a mixed economy with significant state control over strategic sectors.
  • model qwen -3.0 Leans statist with limited market reforms, reflecting regime orthodoxy.
  • model Gemini -2.0 The RND favors a state-guided economy but is more receptive to market reforms and private enterprise than the FLN.
  • model gpt -2.0 The RND mixes pro-business reforms with Algeria's enduring state-led economic model.
  • model Claude -2.0 Somewhat more market-friendly than FLN but still embedded in the statist rentier model.
  • model minimax -1.0 RND rhetorically favors private enterprise but has defended the hydrocarbon state and public-sector dominance rather than full liberalization.
  • prior Author baseline +2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model DeepSeek +2.0 RND generally supports state-led development but has backed some market-oriented reforms.
  • model Kimi +3.0 Supports gradual market reforms while maintaining statist reflexes.
• Workers' Party DZ Regional stance settled ↔ 7 pt -6.0
  • model Gemini -9.0 The PT completely aligns with the anti-imperialist resistance camp and adamantly opposes regional normalization.
  • model gemma -7.0 Strongly anti-imperialist and aligned with the resistance camp.
  • model Claude -7.0 Strongly anti-imperialist and anti-normalization, resistance-leaning.
  • model Kimi -6.0 Anti-imperialist; aligned with resistance axis.
  • model Grok -6.0 Anti-imperialist 'resistance' alignment: strong support for Palestinian armed struggle and rejection of Abraham Accords normalization.
  • model qwen -6.0 Aligns with anti-imperialist 'resistance' against Western-backed regimes.
  • model minimax -4.0 PT is anti-normalization and pro-Palestinian but frames opposition through socialist anti-imperialism rather than alignment with the Iran-led axis.
  • prior Author baseline -2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
• Hayat Tahrir al-Sham SY Economic settled ↔ 7 pt +2.5
  • model qwen -2.0 Allows market mechanisms but heavily regulates and taxes trade through its centralized salvation government.
  • prior Author baseline +1.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model minimax +1.0 HTS has tolerated informal market activity and accepted some Western-backed economic stabilization
  • model Grok +2.0 HTS Idlib administration used taxation and allowed private markets and trade demonstrating pragmatic acceptance of market activity.
  • model Kimi +2.0 HTS in Idlib tolerated private markets and trade, especially with Turkey, while maintaining state-like control over taxation and key services; post-Assad it has initiated economic reforms.
  • model DeepSeek +3.0 HTS has allowed private trade and services while taxing them; no large-scale state ownership.
  • model gemma +3.0 Allows market activity but maintains strong state-like control over key resources.
  • model Gemini +4.0 HTS permits private commerce and market mechanisms under its rule, though it frequently imposes monopolies and heavy regulations.
  • model gpt +4.0 Its local administration has leaned pragmatic and market-tolerant more than socialist-statist.
  • model Claude +5.0 Ran a market-based economy in Idlib and courts Gulf and foreign reconstruction investment.
• Hayat Tahrir al-Sham SY Civil liberties settled ↔ 7 pt -6.5
  • model qwen -10.0 Imposes strict restrictions on speech protest and association through its security apparatus and religious police.
  • model Gemini -9.0 HTS strictly curtails civil liberties in Idlib, actively suppressing political opposition, protests, and free association.
  • model DeepSeek -8.0 HTS restricts speech and assembly in its Idlib territory
  • model gemma -8.0 Record in Idlib involves severe restrictions on speech and association.
  • model minimax -7.0 HTS in power has continued to restrict protest and dissent
  • model Kimi -6.0 In Idlib, HTS restricted protests, detained dissenters, and controlled civil society; post-Assad, some space has opened but red lines remain unclear and arrests of critics continue.
  • model gpt -6.0 Its record in Idlib restricted dissent, protest, and independent civic activity despite tactical moderation.
  • model Claude -6.0 Suppressed dissent in Idlib and concentrates power now; some opening relative to Assad.
  • model Grok -5.0 HTS in power has shown mixed record with some restrictions on dissent and media alongside relative improvement over prior regime repression.
  • prior Author baseline -3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
• Democratic Unionist Party SD Economic settled ↔ 7 pt +2.5
  • model DeepSeek -2.0 Mixed state-private leaning but historically tied to state-led development.
  • model minimax -1.0 DUP has supported state-led development with mixed-economy rhetoric, leaning slightly interventionist without a clear pro-market program.
  • prior Author baseline +1.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +1.0 Advocates mixed economy, pragmatically balancing market and state mechanisms.
  • model gpt +2.0 Its mainstream mercantile and establishment profile leans mildly toward markets rather than state socialism.
  • model Grok +3.0 Explicitly endorses a mixed economy combining market mechanisms and state guidance.
  • model gemma +3.0 Generally supports a market economy but maintains a commitment to social welfare.
  • model Claude +3.0 Mercantile, Khatmiyya-linked base gives it a moderate market-leaning, non-ideological economic posture.
  • model qwen +3.0 Represents merchant and agricultural elites, generally favoring market mechanisms over state allocation.
  • model Gemini +5.0 The party represents merchant and business interests and generally favors market mechanisms over state allocation.
• Islamic Salvation Front DZ Regional stance settled ↔ 7 pt -8.0
  • model Gemini -10.0 The FIS strongly aligns with the armed resistance camp and vehemently opposes any regional normalization.
  • model Grok -8.0 Aligned with early Islamist resistance current, anti-normalization, and supportive of armed struggle rhetoric.
  • model DeepSeek -8.0 FIS aligns with the resistance axis
  • model gemma -8.0 Strongly aligned with the resistance/maximalist approach and anti-normalization.
  • model qwen -8.0 Aligned ideologically with resistance axis against normalization.
  • model minimax -7.0 FIS opposed normalization categorically and expressed sympathy for armed resistance as a religious duty.
  • model Claude -7.0 Militant Islamist, anti-normalization and resistance-aligned.
  • model Kimi -6.0 Aligned with resistance axis rhetoric; anti-normalization.
  • prior Author baseline -3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
• Justice and Construction Party LY West alignment settled ↔ 7 pt -2.0
  • model DeepSeek -5.0 2× rounds Critical of Western intervention and generally anti-Western in orientation.
  • model mistral -5.0 Justice and Construction Party is anti-Western.
  • model Grok -3.0 2× rounds Accepted NATO support against Gaddafi for pragmatic reasons but maintains ideological suspicion of Western influence and deeper strategic alignment with non-Western Islamist networks.
  • model gemma -3.0 2× rounds Generally skeptical of Western interference.
  • model qwen -2.0 2× rounds Islamist, skeptical of Western influence.
  • prior Author baseline -1.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model minimax -1.0 2× rounds JCP is mixed
  • model Gemini +0.0 2× rounds Engages tactically with Western diplomats for political recognition but remains ideologically skeptical of Western influence.
  • model Claude +0.0 2× rounds Pragmatic, ambivalent posture toward the West.
  • model gpt +1.0 2× rounds The JCP is cautious toward the West while engaging pragmatically with international actors.
  • model Kimi +2.0 2× rounds Anti-Western posture consistent with Muslim Brotherhood
• Justice and Construction Party LY Regional stance settled ↔ 7 pt -4.0
  • model Grok -8.0 Explicit support for Hamas, rejection of normalization with Israel, and alignment with Turkey-Qatar networks place it firmly in the resistance and anti-normalization camp.
  • model Gemini -7.0 Aligns with the Turkey-Qatar axis, rejects normalization with Israel, and supports regional resistance narratives.
  • model gemma -6.0 Firmly opposes normalization with Israel and aligns with the anti-normalization camp.
  • model Kimi -4.0 Aligned with Muslim Brotherhood anti-normalization stance
  • model DeepSeek -4.0 Sympathy to resistance axis rhetoric but not fully aligned operationally.
  • model gpt -4.0 Its Islamist-Qatar-Turkey milieu and anti-normalization posture lean toward the resistance side.
  • model minimax -4.0 Ideologically aligned with anti-normalization politics typical of the Brotherhood; rhetorically sympathetic to resistance but not operationally part of the Iran-led axis.
  • model Claude -4.0 Aligned with the Turkey-Qatar axis and opposed to normalization with Israel.
  • model qwen -4.0 Aligns with Qatar and Turkey, supporting political Islam regionally and opposing the anti-Islamist normalization camp.
  • prior Author baseline -1.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
• Islamic Asalah Society BH West alignment settled ↔ 7 pt +4.5
  • model gemma -2.0 Culturally anti-Western and critical of policy
  • model DeepSeek +0.0 Tolerates US presence due to ruling family's policy but ideologically anti-Western.
  • prior Author baseline +1.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Claude +2.0 Culturally anti-Western but loyalist to a strategically pro-Western Bahraini state.
  • model Kimi +4.0 Pro-Western strategically as Bahraini regime ally, despite rejecting Western social values.
  • model Gemini +5.0 Backs the state's strategic military alliance with Western nations as vital for defense against Iranian aggression.
  • model Grok +5.0 As a regime-aligned Salafi group in a pro-Western monarchy hosting major US military presence, it accepts strategic Western partnerships for security and stability without ideological embrace of liberal Western values.
  • model gpt +5.0 Its pro-regime Sunni position aligns with Bahrain's Western-backed security and Gulf strategic partnerships.
  • model minimax +5.0 Strategically aligned with US-Bahraini security cooperation and Gulf-Western partnership while rejecting liberal social values.
  • model qwen +5.0 It supports the state's Western security alliances primarily as a strategic necessity against Iran.
• El Insaf (Equity Party) MR Liberal democracy settled ↔ 7 pt -3.0
  • model Gemini -3.0 2× rounds While maintaining electoral processes, the ruling party ensures executive dominance over the judiciary and restricts full opposition capabilities.
  • model Claude -3.0 ⛓ grounded 3× rounds Rule of law, multiparty democracy, peaceful alternation, separation of powers, anti-corruption.
  • model gpt -3.0 In office it operates within electoral politics but benefits from executive dominance and weak liberal checks.
  • prior Author baseline -2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi -2.0 2× rounds El Insaf participates in elections but has weakened judicial independence and opposition space while in power.
  • model DeepSeek -1.0 2× rounds While it participates in elections El Insaf has overseen a powerful executive weak judicial independence and restricted opposition space.
  • model minimax -1.0 2× rounds El Insaf is the ruling party and supports the president's tightly managed political order.
  • model Grok +2.0 2× rounds Regular elections and 2019 peaceful transfer occurred but executive dominance weak judicial independence and structural opposition disadvantages limit liberal democratic checks.
  • model gemma +3.0 2× rounds Supports limited democratic processes.
  • model qwen +4.0 2× rounds Ruling party, supports managed democracy.
  • model mistral +4.0 El Insaf supports liberal democracy.
• National Rally for Reform and Development (Tewassoul) MR Liberal democracy settled ↔ 7 pt +2.5
  • model minimax -3.0 Tewassoul contests elections but its platform subordinates democratic procedure to an Islamist moral order
  • model Grok +1.0 Commits to Islamic democracy and electoral participation but qualifies liberal commitments by prioritizing Sharia compatibility and religious framework over secular checks.
  • model Kimi +2.0 Tewassoul participates in electoral politics and advocates democratic reform but remains ambiguous on liberal checks.
  • model DeepSeek +2.0 Tewassoul participates in elections and calls for reform but its Islamist ideology prioritizes Sharia over liberal democratic principles.
  • model Claude +2.0 Committed to electoral pluralism, but Islamist priorities temper liberal minority and secular protections.
  • model gpt +3.0 2× rounds Hezbollah maintains an armed party structure outside normal liberal democracy.
  • model gemma +3.0 Supports electoral processes and the rule of law
  • prior Author baseline +4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Gemini +4.0 Tewassoul advocates for democratic rotation of power, stronger checks on executive authority, and an independent judiciary.
  • model qwen +4.0 Has actively participated in electoral politics and coalition governments demonstrating a pragmatic commitment to democratic processes.
• National Rally for Reform and Development (Tewassoul) MR Regional stance settled ↔ 7 pt -5.5
  • model Gemini -7.0 The party strongly aligns with regional resistance politics, opposing normalization and backing movements like Hamas.
  • model DeepSeek -7.0 Tewassoul aligns ideologically with anti-normalization and expresses sympathy for resistance movements including Hamas.
  • model gpt -7.0 2× rounds Hezbollah is a core resistance-axis actor and rejects normalization with Israel.
  • model gemma -7.0 Strongly aligned with anti-normalization and maximalist resistance rhetoric.
  • model minimax -6.0 Tewassoul is firmly anti-normalization
  • model Claude -5.0 Anti-normalization Islamist sympathetic to Palestinian armed resistance.
  • model Kimi -4.0 Tewassoul leans toward anti-normalization and resistance solidarity, opposing Gulf-Israel détente and Abraham Accords.
  • model Grok -3.0 Islamist identity and past anti-Israel activism locate the party closer to resistance or anti-normalization posture than pragmatic stability alignment.
  • prior Author baseline +0.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model qwen +0.0 Balances ideological sympathy for regional Islamist movements with pragmatic participation in the existing regional order.
• Union of Forces of Progress MR Regional stance settled ↔ 7 pt -3.0
  • model gemma -5.0 Aligns with anti-normalization and anti-imperialist currents.
  • model DeepSeek -4.0 UFP is anti-normalization and sympathetic to resistance rhetorically but does not actively align with Iran or armed groups.
  • model gpt -4.0 Its leftist anti-imperialist and anti-normalization instincts lean toward the resistance side without militia alignment.
  • model Claude -4.0 Leftist anti-normalization stance sympathetic to resistance politics.
  • model Gemini -3.0 The party leans toward anti-imperialist solidarity but focuses on diplomatic channels rather than endorsing armed regional networks.
  • model minimax -3.0 The UFP supports Palestinian rights and is skeptical of normalization
  • model Kimi -2.0 The coalition supports Palestinian rights but generally favors diplomatic and political solutions over armed resistance alignment.
  • model Grok -2.0 Historical anti-colonial positions including Polisario support indicate critical posture toward conservative regional order but domestic focus prevents strong resistance axis alignment.
  • prior Author baseline +1.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model qwen +2.0 Favors diplomatic engagement and regional stability over alignment with either the Axis of Resistance or normalization camps.
• Hezbollah LB Pan-Arab vs particularist settled ↔ 7 pt +3.0
  • model Grok -2.0 Invokes pan-Arab and anti-imperialist causes but primarily advances Shia sectarian empowerment and Iranian geopolitical objectives over genuine pan-Arab solidarity.
  • model qwen -2.0 Hezbollah uses pan-Arab rhetoric selectively but is fundamentally Shia-Islamist and Iran-aligned.
  • prior Author baseline +0.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model DeepSeek +1.0 Primarily Shia Islamist but uses pan-Arab resistance rhetoric instrumentally.
  • model minimax +3.0 Hezbollah invokes pan-Arab anti-imperial rhetoric but its primary identity is Shia transnational (Wilayat al-Faqih) rather than pan-Arab.
  • model Claude +3.0 Shia-Islamist in identity yet the leading actor of the contemporary anti-normalization tradition.
  • model Gemini +4.0 Hezbollah frames its struggle within Islamic and regional resistance solidarity rather than classical pan-Arabism.
  • model Kimi +4.0 Hezbollah uses pan-Arab and pan-Islamic solidarity rhetoric against Israel, but its primary identity is transnational Shiite Islamist rather than Nasserist/Baathist pan-Arab; it leans positive but not at the extreme.
  • model gpt +4.0 It uses Arab and Islamic resistance themes but is primarily Shiite Islamist and Iran-aligned.
  • model gemma +5.0 Frames its struggle within a pan-Islamic and pan-Arab anti-imperialist context.
• Amal Movement LB Regime stance settled ↔ 7 pt +6.0
  • model qwen +2.0 Amal operates within Lebanon’s constitutional order and holds institutional positions like Parliament Speaker, indicating pro-regime stance.
  • prior Author baseline +4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +4.0 Amal accepts Lebanon's foundational consociational order and has been a pillar of the post-Taif system as speaker; it defends the existing constitutional framework.
  • model DeepSeek +4.0 Accepts and works within Lebanon's consociational constitutional order.
  • model Grok +6.0 Strong defender of the existing Taif constitutional order and sectarian power-sharing that secures its institutional positions against radical overhaul or federalism.
  • model gemma +6.0 Defends the Taif Agreement and the consociational constitutional order.
  • model gpt +6.0 Amal is a pillar of the post-Taif Lebanese constitutional order.
  • model minimax +7.0 Berri has served as parliamentary speaker since 1992 and Amal fully accepts Lebanon's confessional constitutional order.
  • model Claude +7.0 Deeply embedded in and defends the Taif constitutional order from which it benefits.
  • model Gemini +9.0 Amal's leader Nabih Berri is a core architect and defender of the post-Taif constitutional order.
• Religious Zionism Party IL Regime stance settled ↔ 7 pt +7.5
  • model DeepSeek +3.0 Accepts Zionist order but wants more religious dominance.
  • model Claude +6.0 Defends a maximalist Jewish-state order while weakening its democratic checks.
  • model Grok +7.0 Strongly pro Zionist order but seeks to reshape it in religious settler image.
  • model Kimi +7.0 Defends Zionist state but seeks to transform it toward religious Jewish supremacy.
  • model minimax +7.0 Religious Zionism defends the foundational Jewish character but rejects its liberal-democratic elements; net pro-regime on the ethno-Zionist core.
  • model gpt +8.0 It strongly defends the Zionist order while seeking a more religious-national state.
  • prior Author baseline +9.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Gemini +9.0 Unwaveringly supports the Zionist state order, prioritizing its Jewish national character.
  • model qwen +9.0 Strongly defends the state but seeks to redefine it with Halachic principles.
  • model gemma +10.0 Extreme defender of the Zionist project.

  before · r1 gemini +5.0grok +9.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• El Insaf (Equity Party) MR Traditionalism vs modernization settled ↔ 7 pt +3.0
  • model DeepSeek -2.0 El Insaf pursues economic modernization but remains cautious on social reform such as women's rights and family law.
  • model Claude +1.0 Some economic-modernization rhetoric paired with social traditionalism.
  • prior Author baseline +2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model qwen +2.0 Advocates for economic and infrastructural development while respecting traditional social frameworks.
  • model Gemini +3.0 The party supports state-led institutional and economic modernization, including quotas for women, while respecting traditional values.
  • model Kimi +3.0 El Insaf promotes economic modernization and some institutional reform while preserving traditional religious values.
  • model minimax +3.0 El Insaf promotes infrastructure and economic modernization and has expanded women's representation
  • model Grok +4.0 Administration advances economic diversification infrastructure and institutional reforms while navigating and respecting prevailing traditional social structures.
  • model gpt +4.0 It promotes administrative, economic, and development modernization within a conservative social framework.
  • model gemma +5.0 Supports institutional and economic modernization managed by the state.
• Otzma Yehudit IL Regime stance settled ↔ 7 pt +7.5
  • model DeepSeek +3.0 2× rounds Accepts Zionist order but wants more religious/ethnic dominance.
  • model minimax +5.0 2× rounds Otzma Yehudit is a far-right party integrated into the current governing coalition.
  • model Claude +6.0 2× rounds Defends a maximalist Jewish-state order while undermining its democratic component.
  • model Kimi +7.0 2× rounds Defends Jewish state but seeks to transform it into more explicitly Jewish supremacist order.
  • model Grok +8.0 2× rounds Otzma Yehudit is ultra-nationalist strongly supports the Jewish state's power and expansionist policies.
  • model Gemini +8.0 2× rounds Fiercely chauvinistic toward the Zionist state order, though seeking to eliminate its democratic checks.
  • model qwen +8.0 2× rounds Far-right but participates in Knesset; technically pro-regime.
  • model mistral +8.0 Otzma Yehudit is strongly pro-regime.
  • model gpt +8.0 It strongly defends the Jewish-Zionist order while pushing it in an illiberal ethnocratic direction.
  • prior Author baseline +9.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model gemma +10.0 2× rounds Generally pro-regime but often attacks the current legal/judicial establishment.

  before · r1 gemini +4.0grok +8.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Islamic Salvation Front DZ Pan-Arab vs particularist provisional ↔ 7 pt +3.0
  • model Claude +2.0 2× rounds Islamist orientation privileges Islamic identity over secular pan-Arab nationalism.
  • prior Author baseline +3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Gemini +3.0 2× rounds The FIS prioritizes pan-Islamic solidarity, but rejects strict particularist nationalism in favor of broader regional solidarity.
  • model Kimi +5.0 2× rounds Pan-Arab Islamist solidarity rhetoric.
  • model minimax +5.0 2× rounds FIS is Islamist with an Arab-Islamic identity
  • model gpt +5.0 The Islamic Salvation Front mixed Islamism with Algerian nationalism and broader Arab-Islamic themes.
  • model DeepSeek +6.0 2× rounds FIS is Islamist first
  • model Grok +7.0 2× rounds FIS prioritized Algerian Islamism over broad pan-Arab fantasies as these Maghreb Islamists usually do.
  • model qwen +7.0 2× rounds Islamist but historically aligned with pan-Arab anti-Western sentiment.
  • model gemma +8.0 2× rounds Strongly identifies with the wider Islamist Pan-Arab movement.
  • model mistral +9.0 Islamic Salvation Front strongly advocates for pan-Arabism and Islamic unity.
• Hayat Tahrir al-Sham SY Pan-Arab vs particularist settled ↔ 7 pt -4.5
  • model qwen -8.0 Prioritizes its specific jihadist and Sunni Islamist ideology over broader secular pan-Arab nationalism.
  • model Gemini -7.0 HTS rejects secular pan-Arabism, focusing instead on its localized Islamic governance project within Syria.
  • model Grok -5.0 HTS emphasizes Syrian national and Islamic identity rather than broad pan-Arab solidarity or unity projects.
  • model gpt -5.0 Its identity is primarily Syrian-Sunni Islamist rather than Baathist or Nasserist pan-Arab.
  • model Claude -5.0 Islamist and Syria-particularist, rejecting the secular pan-Arab tradition.
  • model DeepSeek -4.0 Transnational jihadi framing but focused on Syria; not primarily pan-Arab nationalist.
  • model gemma -4.0 Prioritizes the global Islamic Ummah over ethnic Pan-Arabism.
  • model Kimi -3.0 HTS has rebranded as a Syrian nationalist movement, explicitly abandoning pan-Arab and global jihadist ambitions in favor of a Syria-first particularist project.
  • model minimax -2.0 HTS ideology is rooted in transnational Sunni Islamist identity rather than pan-Arab nationalism; post-2024 it has framed itself in Syrian-state terms more than Arab-unity terms.
  • prior Author baseline -1.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
• Yemeni Congregation for Reform (Islah) YE Pan-Arab vs particularist settled ↔ 7 pt +3.5
  • model Grok -2.0 Islah frames politics primarily through pan-Islamic solidarity and Yemeni national interests rather than secular pan-Arab nationalism, though it shares anti-normalization goals.
  • prior Author baseline +2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model DeepSeek +2.0 Islah is Yemeni-first Islamist but uses pan-Islamic rhetoric not pan-Arab.
  • model Claude +2.0 Pan-Islamic and anti-normalization leanings over strict Arab nationalism.
  • model gpt +3.0 It combines Yemeni party politics with broader Arab-Islamist solidarity.
  • model Gemini +4.0 Islah combines Islamic solidarity with a strong commitment to Arab identity and pan-Arab causes.
  • model Kimi +4.0 Islah uses pan-Arab and pan-Islamic rhetoric, aligning with Muslim Brotherhood transnationalism, though primarily focused on Yemeni politics.
  • model gemma +5.0 They combine Arab nationalism with an overarching Islamic identity.
  • model minimax +5.0 Islah frames itself as part of the broader pan-Islamic/pan-Arab Islamist current, but its Yemeni Islah identity has strong particularist, tribal-roots dimensions.
  • model qwen +5.0 Transnational Islamist orientation aligns more with pan-Islamism/pan-Arabism than Yemeni particularism.
• National Umma Party SD Pan-Arab vs particularist settled ↔ 7 pt +2.0
  • model Gemini -4.0 Rooted in the Mahdist tradition, the NUP prioritizes a distinct Sudanese national identity over pan-Arab frameworks.
  • model Grok -4.0 Emphasizes Sudanese nationalism and Ansar religious-community identity over pan-Arab frameworks.
  • model qwen -1.0 Balances Sudanese particularism with an Islamic orientation, avoiding strict pan-Arab nationalism.
  • model Claude +1.0 Frames itself around Sudanese-Mahdist identity more than pan-Arab solidarity, sitting near the center.
  • prior Author baseline +2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +2.0 More particularist Ansar-based identity, less pan-Arab than DUP but maintains Arab solidarity.
  • model DeepSeek +2.0 Sudan-first orientation but with pan-Arab rhetoric.
  • model gpt +2.0 It shows Arab-Islamic solidarity but is more Sudanese-Mahdist and national than doctrinaire pan-Arab.
  • model gemma +3.0 Focuses primarily on Sudanese national interests while maintaining Arab ties.
  • model minimax +3.0 NUP combines Ansar community particularism with significant pan-Islamic and pan-Arab rhetorical framing, especially on Palestine.
• National Rally of Independents MA Pan-Arab vs particularist settled ↔ 7 pt -5.0
  • model Gemini -6.0 Focuses strictly on a particularist Moroccan nation-state identity, with little ideological commitment to pan-Arabism.
  • model Grok -6.0 Business-oriented and particularist; focuses on Moroccan economic interests and national branding with little emphasis on pan-Arab ideological solidarity.
  • model DeepSeek -6.0 Strongly particularist; focused on Moroccan national interest.
  • model qwen -6.0 Prioritizes Moroccan national interests and particularism over pan-Arabism.
  • model gemma -5.0 Focused almost exclusively on Moroccan national interests.
  • model Claude -4.0 Moroccan-nationalist, monarchic, business-oriented particularism.
  • model minimax -3.0 RNI is firmly Moroccan-particularist, pro-monarchy, and rejects pan-Arab framing in favor of national economic development.
  • prior Author baseline -2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +1.0 RNI is a technocratic, Morocco-first party with minimal pan-Arab ideological framing.
• Socialist Union of Popular Forces MA Regime stance settled ↔ 7 pt +5.0
  • prior Author baseline +2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +2.0 USFP is in opposition and advocates constitutional reforms but accepts the monarchical framework pragmatically.
  • model DeepSeek +2.0 Accept monarchy but critical of its dominance; loyal opposition.
  • model minimax +4.0 USFP accepts the monarchical constitutional order and has governed under it (Youssoufi government 1998-2002), though it pushes democratic reforms within that frame.
  • model Grok +5.0 Accepts the constitutional monarchy and works within the system; historically pushed for real transfer of power to elected institutions and limits on makhzen influence.
  • model gpt +5.0 PJD accepts the monarchy and constitutional order despite tensions over policy.
  • model gemma +6.0 Supports the constitutional order but acts as a critical voice for reform.
  • model Claude +6.0 Former radical opposition now integrated into and loyal to the monarchical order.
  • model qwen +6.0 Accepted the monarchical constitutional order by participating in government coalitions.
  • model Gemini +9.0 Operates completely within the established institutional framework as a loyal participant in the monarchical system.
• National Rally for Reform and Development (Tewassoul) MR Pan-Arab vs particularist settled ↔ 7 pt +3.5
  • model Grok +1.0 2× rounds Islamic movement roots emphasize ummah and Palestinian solidarity more than secular Nasserist or Baathist pan-Arab nationalism.
  • prior Author baseline +2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model DeepSeek +3.0 2× rounds Tewassoul identifies primarily with the global Muslim ummah and secondarily with Arab solidarity
  • model Gemini +4.0 2× rounds While primarily Islamist, the party strongly embraces pan-Arab solidarity through its anti-normalization stance and regional focus.
  • model qwen +4.0 2× rounds Primarily Islamist, secondary pan-Arab identity.
  • model Claude +4.0 2× rounds Islamist identity over secular pan-Arabism.
  • model Kimi +5.0 2× rounds Tewassoul emphasizes pan-Islamic and pan-Arab solidarity more than purely national frames, though rooted in Mauritanian context.
  • model minimax +5.0 2× rounds Tewassoul combines pan-Islamist and pan-Arab identity frames.
  • model mistral +5.0 National Rally for Reform and Development supports pan-Arabism.
  • model gpt +6.0 Its Islamist and Arab-solidarity rhetoric strongly overlaps with pan-Arab anti-normalization politics.
  • model gemma +8.0 2× rounds Strongly identifies with the Pan-Arab Islamist movement.
• Lebanese Forces LB Traditionalism vs modernization settled ↔ 7 pt +3.0
  • model Kimi +1.0 LF supports institutional modernization and state-building but remains traditionalist on social issues; it is roughly centrist on this axis, prioritizing security and state modernization over social transformation.
  • prior Author baseline +2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model gemma +2.0 Supports economic and technological modernization but remains socially conservative.
  • model minimax +2.0 LF blends traditional social conservatism with reformist economic and governance modernization rhetoric.
  • model gpt +3.0 It supports administrative and economic modernization within conservative limits.
  • model qwen +3.0 LF promotes modern state institutions but retains traditional social values.
  • model Claude +4.0 Modernizing and reformist in institutional rhetoric.
  • model Gemini +6.0 Lebanese Forces promote digital governance, modern institutional management, and transparency.
  • model Grok +8.0 Embraces comprehensive modernization: institutional reform, digital governance, economic liberalization, anti-corruption, and social opening.
• Hadash IL Centralism vs federalism provisional ↔ 7 pt +1.0
  • model Grok -3.0 Favors strong unitary state with full Jewish-Arab equality rather than federal or sectarian power-sharing.
  • model Claude -2.0 Favors a single equal-citizenship state; communist centralism over federal power-sharing.
  • model Kimi -2.0 Supports minority rights and power-sharing but not explicitly federalist framework.
  • model minimax -1.0 Hadash's platform favors a democratic secular state with minority autonomy but is not explicitly federalist; mild communal-autonomy lean.
  • model qwen +0.0 Supports a unitary democratic state rather than federalism.
  • model Gemini +2.0 Supports a unitary state structure but demands national autonomy and equal rights for the Arab minority.
  • model DeepSeek +2.0 Preference for centralism but supports minority rights.
  • model gpt +2.0 Hadash emphasizes equality and minority rights more than explicit federal restructuring.
  • prior Author baseline +4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model gemma +4.0 Supports decentralized power and minority protections.

  before · r1 grok -3.0gemini +0.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• The Democrats IL Centralism vs federalism settled ↔ 7 pt -3.0
  • model Grok -7.0 Center-left Zionist supports strong unitary Jewish-democratic state with reforms.
  • model Claude -6.0 Mainstream Zionist party committed to a unitary state.
  • model Gemini -5.0 Supports a unitary state framework with a focus on institutional equality rather than federalism.
  • model Kimi -5.0 Left-wing Zionist; supports centralized state with minority rights but not federalism.
  • model gemma -3.0 Favors a unitary state.
  • model gpt -3.0 The Democrats favor a unitary Israeli state with equality and territorial compromise, not federalism.
  • prior Author baseline -2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model DeepSeek -2.0 Centrist.
  • model minimax -2.0 The Democrats are a centrist pro-democracy party; mildly supportive of regional/minority arrangements within Israel.
  • model qwen +0.0 Supports a unitary democratic state with territorial compromises.

  before · r1 grok -6.0gemini -2.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Northern Islamic Movement IL Centralism vs federalism provisional ↔ 7 pt +0.5
  • model Claude -3.0 Islamic-unity frame rather than federalism, with weak salience.
  • model Kimi -3.0 Islamist organization focused on religious and communal autonomy, not explicit federalism.
  • model Grok -2.0 Rejects current Jewish state structure; Islamist vision favors unitary religious authority not federal power-sharing.
  • model minimax +0.0 Northern Islamic Movement focuses on religious-community autonomy rather than formal federalist positions; mixed/centrist.
  • model qwen +0.0 Focuses on community rights within a unitary framework rather than federalism.
  • model DeepSeek +1.0 Focused on Islamic revival rather than federalism; unclear.
  • prior Author baseline +2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model gpt +2.0 The movement seeks Arab-Islamic communal autonomy more than a detailed federal program.
  • model gemma +3.0 Supports more autonomy for the Arab sector.
  • model Gemini +4.0 Rejects the Israeli state framework but advocates for religious and communal autonomy for Arab citizens.

  before · r1 grok -5.0gemini +0.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Palestinian Islamic Jihad PS Centralism vs federalism provisional ↔ 7 pt -5.5
  • model Gemini -9.0 Strictly demands a unitary centralist state across historical Palestine, rejecting any structural division.
  • model gpt -8.0 PIJ favors a unified Islamic Palestinian polity rather than federal power-sharing.
  • model qwen -8.0 Operates as a highly centralized, disciplined militant organization.
  • model Grok -7.0 PIJ seeks highly centralized authority under its Islamic resistance leadership and rejects pluralistic power-sharing models.
  • model gemma -6.0 Ideologically inclined toward centralized leadership and authority.
  • model Claude -5.0 Centralist Islamic-state vision, not federal.
  • model Kimi -4.0 PIJ has no governance experience and no stated position on state structure; as a centralized militant Islamist group, it likely favors centralist control but this is speculative.
  • model minimax -4.0 PIJ envisions a unitary Islamic Palestinian state and does not advocate federal or consociational structures.
  • prior Author baseline -3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model DeepSeek -2.0 PIJ prefers a unitary Islamic state but has not elaborated federalism; likely centralist.
• Freedom and Justice Party EG Centralism vs federalism settled ↔ 7 pt -6.5
  • model Grok -9.0 Islamist party in Egypt's unitary context with strong centralist orientation and no federalist platform elements.
  • model Gemini -8.0 The party adheres to the traditional Egyptian consensus favoring a strong, centralized unitary state.
  • model qwen -8.0 Supports a unified, centralized Egyptian state.
  • model gpt -7.0 The Muslim Brotherhood tradition favors a strong unitary Egyptian state rather than federalism.
  • model minimax -7.0 Predominantly centralist; MB historically entertains Islamic federal ummah ideas but not territorial federalism in Egypt.
  • model gemma -6.0 Favors a strong
  • model Kimi -5.0 Islamist party generally favors strong central state under Islamic governance; no federalist tendencies.
  • model Claude -5.0 Centralist Islamist statism, no federal program.
  • model DeepSeek -5.0 Supports unitary state; no federalist proposals in Muslim Brotherhood tradition.
  • prior Author baseline -2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
• State of Law Coalition IQ Traditionalism vs modernization settled ↔ 7 pt -3.0
  • model Gemini -4.0 The party holds a traditionalist outlook, focusing on conservative religious and institutional continuity.
  • model Claude -4.0 Traditionalist Islamist orientation.
  • model qwen -4.0 Resists institutional modernization that threatens his patronage networks, favoring traditional authoritarian control.
  • prior Author baseline -3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi -3.0 Maliki is traditionalist on social and institutional issues; no significant modernization agenda
  • model Grok -2.0 State of Law has overseen some infrastructural development but generally favors traditional social structures and religious authority over aggressive modernization agendas.
  • model minimax -1.0 State of Law is mixed; rhetorically reformist on services but conservative on social and family law — net only slightly traditionalist on this axis.
  • model gemma +2.0 Supports state-led institutional modernization but remains socially traditionalist.
  • model gpt +3.0 The FLN backs state modernization and development while preserving conservative nationalist traditions.
• Workers' Party DZ Centralism vs federalism settled ↔ 7 pt -5.0
  • model Gemini -9.0 The PT strongly favors a centralized, unitary state structure from a classical left-wing perspective.
  • model gemma -6.0 Generally prefers a strong centralized state for economic planning.
  • model minimax -5.0 PT is a centralist leftist party; it focuses on class politics and does not push regional autonomy.
  • model Claude -5.0 Unitarist, opposing regional fragmentation of the state.
  • model qwen -5.0 Centralist in Marxist-Leninist tradition; opposes ethnic fragmentation.
  • prior Author baseline -3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok -3.0 Class-based centralism preferred for national unity and workers' solidarity; limited support for regional particularisms.
  • model Kimi -2.0 Centralist socialist state vision; though anti-colonial.
• Ansar Allah (Houthis) YE Centralism vs federalism settled ↔ 7 pt -7.0
  • model Grok -9.0 Ansar Allah has consistently rejected federal power-sharing proposals, including the 2014-2015 six-region model, in favor of a strong unitary centralized state under its direct control.
  • model Gemini -8.0 The Houthis strongly favor a highly centralized unitary state under their authority and reject any federal division of Yemen.
  • model gemma -8.0 They govern through a highly centralized
  • model DeepSeek -7.0 Houthis pursue a centralized Zaidi-imposed governance structure and reject southern federalist demands.
  • model gpt -7.0 Rejects the post-2011 federal framework and governs through a highly centralized movement-state.
  • model minimax -7.0 Houthis govern northern Yemen as a unitary state through the Supreme Political Council and reject power-sharing frameworks that would grant southern regions autonomy.
  • model Claude -7.0 Rejected the 6-region federal plan and rule through a tightly centralized movement-controlled state.
  • model qwen -5.0 Favors a centralized state under their control and opposes southern federalism or secession.
  • model Kimi -3.0 Houthis favor a centralized state under their control, though pragmatically accept some regional autonomy in areas they govern.
  • prior Author baseline -2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
• National Umma Party SD Traditionalism vs modernization settled ↔ 7 pt +1.5
  • prior Author baseline -2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model minimax +0.0 2× rounds Umma Party is rooted in traditional religious-political leadership with limited modernizing reform.
  • model gpt +0.0 It combines reformist civilian politics with a traditional religious base.
  • model Gemini +1.0 2× rounds The NUP attempts to synthesize traditional religious authority with institutional and legal modernization.
  • model DeepSeek +1.0 2× rounds Some modernizing rhetoric but constrained by religious base.
  • model mistral +1.0 National Umma Party leans slightly toward modernization.
  • model Kimi +2.0 2× rounds Champions democratic transformation and progressive governance reform.
  • model Claude +2.0 2× rounds Mahdist-rooted party blending tradition with reformist rhetoric.
  • model gemma +2.0 2× rounds Deeply rooted in traditionalist social structures.
  • model qwen +4.0 2× rounds Traditional religious base with modern political participation.
  • model Grok +5.0 2× rounds Promotes reformist Islam incorporating rationality science pluralism and adaptation to contemporary challenges.
• Ennahda TN Traditionalism vs modernization settled ↔ 7 pt +1.0
  • prior Author baseline -3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model minimax -1.0 Rhetorically modernizing but traditionalist on family law and personal status; mixed signals.
  • model qwen -1.0 Ennahda blends selective modernization with traditional religious values, especially on social issues.
  • model DeepSeek +1.0 Ennahda accepts some modernization but remains traditional on key social-religious issues.
  • model gemma +1.0 Balances a modern political outlook with traditional social values.
  • model gpt +1.0 It adapted to democratic institutions and modern party politics while retaining conservative social instincts.
  • model Claude +1.0 Religious in reference but accepts modern institutions and did not roll back women's rights.
  • model Kimi +2.0 Claims modernizing Islamist model but resists some social reforms like inheritance equality.
  • model Gemini +2.0 Ennahda supports institutional and economic modernization while seeking to preserve traditional Islamic values.
  • model Grok +4.0 Ennahda presents itself as a modern conservative force open to economic and technological progress but resists rapid social liberalization on gender and lifestyle issues.
• Free Destourian Party TN Centralism vs federalism settled ↔ 7 pt -8.0
  • model Gemini -9.0 2× rounds The PDL strongly upholds the traditional Bourguibist model of a highly centralized, unitary state.
  • model Grok -8.0 2× rounds The Free Destourian Party champions a strong centralized unitary state in the Bourguibist tradition and fiercely opposes any devolution or federal experiments.
  • model minimax -8.0 2× rounds Free Destourian is a Bourguibist party strongly committed to the centralized Tunisian state.
  • model gemma -8.0 2× rounds Supports a strong centralized state.
  • model qwen -6.0 2× rounds Nationalist, supports unitary state.
  • model Claude -6.0 2× rounds Old-regime nostalgist committed to a centralized state.
  • model Kimi -5.0 2× rounds Bourguibist tradition strongly favors unitary central state.
  • prior Author baseline -4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model DeepSeek -4.0 2× rounds Free Destourian Party is strongly centralist and opposes any devolution to regions.
  • model mistral -2.0 Free Destourian Party leans toward centralism.
• Long Live Tunisia TN Centralism vs federalism settled ↔ 7 pt -7.0
  • model qwen -10.0 Strongly centralist; supports hyper-presidential unitary system under 2022 constitution.
  • model Gemini -8.0 Tahya Tounes strongly supports Tunisia's established centralized, unitary state structure.
  • model Grok -8.0 Tahya Tounes supports Tunisia's traditional centralized unitary state and has shown no interest in federalist reforms.
  • model Kimi -7.0 Tunisian centrist tradition favors unitary state structure.
  • model minimax -7.0 Liberal-centralist; no significant federalist agenda.
  • model Claude -7.0 Centrist party operating within Tunisia's unitary state framework.
  • model gemma -6.0 Supports a unitary state structure.
  • model DeepSeek -5.0 Supports a strong central state without federalist regional powers.
  • prior Author baseline -3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
• People's Movement TN Centralism vs federalism settled ↔ 7 pt -7.0
  • model Gemini -9.0 Echâab firmly adheres to a centralized state model, viewing federalism as a threat to national unity.
  • model Claude -8.0 Nasserist Arab nationalism is strongly centralist and unitary.
  • model qwen -8.0 Nationalist and centralist; no support for regional autonomy.
  • model Grok -7.0 As a pan-Arab nationalist party it supports a strong centralized state to preserve national unity and sovereignty against fragmentation.
  • model gemma -7.0 Supports a strong unitary state.
  • model Kimi -6.0 Tunisian left tradition favors unitary centralized state.
  • model minimax -5.0 Predominantly centralist but with mild regional-development rhetoric.
  • model DeepSeek -4.0 Supports unitary state but with some regional development rhetoric.
  • prior Author baseline -2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
• Al-Wefaq National Islamic Society BH Traditionalism vs modernization settled ↔ 7 pt -2.0
  • model Grok -6.0 Opposes reforms to family law by secular or elected institutions and prioritizes traditional religious frameworks in social life, marking it as traditionalist rather than modernizing on institutional and gender issues.
  • model gemma -6.0 Prioritizes traditional religious authority over Western-style social modernization.
  • model Gemini -4.0 Stands traditionalist regarding social and religious norms while advocating for modern institutional and political reforms.
  • model DeepSeek -3.0 Accepts some modernization but resists liberal social reforms.
  • model Claude -2.0 Politically reformist yet religiously traditional, netting a slight traditionalist lean.
  • model qwen -2.0 It balances modern political organizing and grassroots mobilization with traditional religious values.
  • prior Author baseline -1.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model gpt -1.0 It combines Islamist social conservatism with reformist demands for elected institutions and civil participation.
  • model minimax +0.0 Mixed posture: supported women's political participation and reformist clerical discourse but maintained traditional religious frameworks.
  • model Kimi +1.0 Some reformist elements but generally traditionalist on social and family issues.
• Islamic Action Front JO Centralism vs federalism provisional ↔ 7 pt -4.0
  • model Gemini -8.0 Advocates for a strong, unified central state and opposes any federalist fragmentation of Jordan.
  • model Grok -8.0 Advocates a strong unitary central state governed by Islamic principles rather than federal or regional power-sharing.
  • model gemma -7.0 Supports the unitary nature of the Jordanian state.
  • model gpt -6.0 IAF works within a unitary Jordanian state and does not advocate federal power-sharing.
  • model qwen -5.0 Advocates for a unitary Jordanian state without regional or sectarian power-sharing.
  • model DeepSeek -3.0 Supports strong central state with Islamist governance
  • model Claude -3.0 National Islamist party with a unitary, centralist conception of the state.
  • model Kimi -2.0 Strongly centralist, supports Jordanian unitary state with no regional power-sharing
  • model minimax -2.0 IAF does not push federalism; favors a unitary Jordanian state with Islamic orientation.
  • prior Author baseline -1.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
• Reform Party JO Centralism vs federalism provisional ↔ 7 pt -5.0
  • model Gemini -9.0 Strongly endorses the centralist unitary state structure of the Jordanian Kingdom.
  • model Grok -7.0 Favors maintaining Jordan's centralized unitary state while allowing limited administrative reforms.
  • model gemma -7.0 Supports the existing unitary state structure.
  • model qwen -7.0 Supports a centralized state structure aligned with tribal and national unity.
  • model Kimi -5.0 Centralist, supports unitary Jordanian state structure
  • model gpt -5.0 It appears to operate within ordinary Jordanian unitary-party politics rather than federalist reform.
  • model Claude -3.0 Likely centralist national orientation; identity uncertain.
  • prior Author baseline -2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model DeepSeek -2.0 No clear federalist agenda; supports central state with local reforms.
  • model minimax -2.0 No clear federalist agenda; likely centralist given Jordanian political context.
• Fatah PS Gender equality provisional ↔ 7 pt +2.0
  • model gemma -3.0 Maintains a predominantly patriarchal structure despite official rhetoric on equality.
  • model Kimi -2.0 Fatah nominally supports women's rights and has some female representation, but Palestinian family law remains conservative and Fatah has not pushed aggressively for gender equality reforms.
  • model qwen -2.0 Broad tent movement but dominated by patriarchal structures in leadership and society.
  • prior Author baseline +2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model DeepSeek +2.0 Fatah rhetorically supports women's rights but maintains traditional gender structures in practice.
  • model Grok +3.0 Fatah promotes women's political participation through quotas and secular rhetoric but has not fundamentally reformed conservative personal status laws.
  • model Claude +3.0 Secular nationalist backing women's representation and quotas, but personal-status law stays religious.
  • model Gemini +4.0 Supports women's political representation and international conventions like CEDAW, though family status laws remain traditional.
  • model gpt +4.0 It officially supports women’s public participation while preserving conservative personal-status constraints.
• State of Law Coalition IQ Sectarian power-sharing settled ↔ 7 pt -7.0
  • model Grok -9.0 State of Law was instrumental in entrenching and benefiting from Iraq's muhasasa sectarian quota system, using it to consolidate Shia dominance in state institutions.
  • model gemma -9.0 Strongly supports and utilizes the sectarian muhasasa system.
  • model qwen -8.0 Exploits and entrenches the sectarian quota system to maximize Shia political control and marginalize opponents.
  • prior Author baseline -7.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Gemini -7.0 The party operates through and vigorously defends the sectarian power-sharing framework to maintain Shia political dominance.
  • model Kimi -7.0 Maliki's government was deeply sectarian, empowering Shia networks and marginalizing Sunnis; presided over sectarian governance
  • model minimax -5.0 Maliki's State of Law was widely seen as entrenching Shia muhasasa and pursuing sectarian exclusion, especially of Sunnis, during his second term.
  • model Claude -2.0 ⛓ grounded 2× rounds A Shia coalition, but rhetorically national: "preserving the unity of Iraq's components."
• United Torah Judaism IL Press freedom settled ↔ 7 pt -3.5
  • model gemma -6.0 Supports censorship of religious-offending material.
  • model Gemini -5.0 Favors restrictions on media that violate ultra-Orthodox religious standards or modesty.
  • model minimax -5.0 UTJ opposes secular and critical press; would restrict non-religious media content.
  • model qwen -5.0 Restricts press freedom regarding blasphemy or criticism of religious leadership.
  • model DeepSeek -4.0 Opposes press freedom when conflicting with religious values.
  • model gpt -3.0 UTJ does not center press control but often supports illiberal coalition governance.
  • prior Author baseline -2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Claude -2.0 Indifferent rather than protective toward press freedom.
  • model Kimi -2.0 Haredi community has own media; not press freedom advocate.
  • model Grok +1.0 Prioritizes community religious media control over broad free press ideals.

  before · r1 gemini -5.0grok +4.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• National Unity IL Regime stance settled ↔ 7 pt +8.5
  • model mistral +2.0 National Unity leans slightly pro-regime.
  • model DeepSeek +6.0 2× rounds Firmly pro-regime Zionist-democratic order.
  • model Kimi +7.0 2× rounds Zionist and defends Israel's constitutional order; former military leaders.
  • prior Author baseline +8.0 Mainstream Zionist party defending state institutions; pro the foundational order (re-scored to foundational-order definition).
  • model Grok +8.0 2× rounds National Unity supports Israel's democratic regime while opposing Netanyahu's specific government.
  • model minimax +8.0 2× rounds National Unity is a pro-establishment party within the current governing coalition.
  • model Claude +9.0 2× rounds Mainstream Zionist party fully loyal to the constitutional order.
  • model Gemini +9.0 2× rounds Firmly defends the foundational Zionist-democratic constitutional order of Israel.
  • model qwen +9.0 2× rounds Centrist coalition supporting existing state structures.
  • model gemma +9.0 2× rounds Strongly supports the existing state and government structures.
  • model gpt +9.0 National Unity strongly accepts and defends the Zionist-democratic state order.

  before · r1 grok +8.0gemini +9.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Hezbollah LB Economic settled ↔ 6 pt -5.0
  • model mistral -7.0 Hezbollah strongly supports statist economic policies.
  • model Grok -6.0 2× rounds Hezbollah runs a parallel statist economy in Shia areas with heavy state-like control and subsidies.
  • model qwen -6.0 2× rounds Populist-statist with welfare programs.
  • model gemma -6.0 2× rounds Favors state-led economic support and social welfare.
  • model DeepSeek -5.0 2× rounds Favors state welfare and resistance economy; hostile to neoliberal reform.
  • model gpt -5.0 It favors redistribution subsidies and resistance-economy statism over liberal markets.
  • re-coder Re-coder C -4.0 Second-pass coder C — rubric-anchored re-read on the economic axis; magnitude follows the primary reading with independent judgment calls on the governance axes.
  • model Kimi -4.0 2× rounds Hezbollah operates extensive parallel state services and welfare networks in its strongholds; it favors state allocation and social services over free market mechanisms, with significant Iranian funding.
  • model Claude -4.0 2× rounds Runs an extensive statist social-welfare and patronage network.
  • prior Author baseline -3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Gemini -3.0 2× rounds Hezbollah operates extensive state-like parallel welfare and economic networks, leaning toward statist allocation.
  • model minimax -3.0 2× rounds Hezbollah operates a statist-leaning social-services network but does not push for full economic statism.
  • re-coder Re-coder B -1.0 Second-pass coder B — rubric-anchored re-read on the economic axis; extreme magnitudes tempered slightly toward the rubric mid-anchors.
• Fatah PS Economic settled ↔ 6 pt +1.5
  • re-coder Re-coder C -1.0 Second-pass coder C — rubric-anchored re-read on the economic axis; magnitude follows the primary reading with independent judgment calls on the governance axes.
  • model minimax -1.0 2× rounds Fatah's economic position is mixed
  • prior Author baseline +0.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model qwen +0.0 2× rounds Mixed economy with crony capitalism and public sector.
  • re-coder Re-coder B +1.0 Second-pass coder B — rubric-anchored re-read on the economic axis; extreme magnitudes tempered slightly toward the rubric mid-anchors.
  • model DeepSeek +1.0 2× rounds Fatah has moved toward market economy under PA, but retains statist remnants and donor-driven policies.
  • model Grok +2.0 2× rounds Fatah/PA has encouraged private sector growth and market reforms under Oslo economic frameworks while maintaining significant state and public sector dominance.
  • model Kimi +2.0 2× rounds Fatah/PA has pursued market-oriented reforms with IMF/World Bank support, though the economy remains heavily aid-dependent and constrained by occupation.
  • model mistral +2.0 Fatah leans toward market-oriented economic policies.
  • model Claude +2.0 2× rounds Patronage-heavy nationalist movement leaning statist.
  • model gemma +3.0 2× rounds Supports a mixed economy with a lean toward the market.
  • model gpt +3.0 Fatah accepts market mechanisms and donor-led private development within a patronage-heavy mixed economy.
  • model Gemini +5.0 2× rounds Supports a market-oriented economy combined with a large public sector through Palestinian Authority employment.
• Shas IL Economic settled ↔ 6 pt -5.0
  • model Claude -6.0 Statist-welfare priorities for its Haredi and Mizrahi base.
  • model qwen -6.0 Populist and favors state allocation and welfare for its traditional base.
  • model Gemini -5.0 Maintains a welfare-oriented, statist economic outlook to support lower-income religious constituencies.
  • model Grok -5.0 Statist welfare populist for Sephardi and poor communities; demands state funding.
  • model Kimi -5.0 Supports social welfare and state funding for religious institutions and poor communities.
  • model gpt -5.0 Shas favors welfare, subsidies, and state support for poorer religious constituencies.
  • model gemma -4.0 Strongly favors a welfare state for its constituency.
  • model minimax -3.0 Shas pushes for extensive state welfare and subsidies for Haredi communities; leans statist on economic policy.
  • model DeepSeek -2.0 Populist welfare state.
  • prior Author baseline +0.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.

  before · r1 gemini -7.0grok -5.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Yisrael Beiteinu IL Economic settled ↔ 6 pt +6.0
  • model minimax +2.0 Yisrael Beiteinu is broadly pro-market and pro-business, especially aligned with Russian-immigrant entrepreneurs.
  • prior Author baseline +4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model gpt +4.0 It generally leans market-oriented with nationalist and pensioner-focused exceptions.
  • model Kimi +5.0 Free-market oriented; favors market mechanisms and reduced state intervention.
  • model Claude +6.0 Market-liberal economic platform.
  • model Gemini +6.0 Advocates for free-market capitalism, reducing corporate taxes, and cutting welfare subsidies.
  • model Grok +6.0 Liberal market-oriented with nationalist economic priorities.
  • model DeepSeek +6.0 Pro-market.
  • model qwen +7.0 Strongly favors free market mechanisms and privatization.
  • model gemma +8.0 Strongly supports free market mechanisms.

  before · r1 grok +5.0gemini +8.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• National Unity IL Social settled ↔ 6 pt +4.0
  • prior Author baseline +0.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +3.0 Centrist secular but not strongly libertarian on social issues.
  • model minimax +3.0 National Unity is center-right on security but center on personal freedoms; mildly permissive.
  • model Grok +4.0 Centrist on social issues; permissive with security caveats.
  • model DeepSeek +4.0 Moderately liberal on social issues.
  • model gpt +4.0 National Unity is moderately liberal socially but avoids culture-war maximalism.
  • model qwen +4.0 Moderate and relatively secular on social issues.
  • model Claude +5.0 Secular-leaning and moderately liberal.
  • model Gemini +6.0 Leans toward social permissiveness and individual freedoms while respecting national tradition.
  • model gemma +6.0 Generally socially liberal.

  before · r1 gemini +3.0grok +4.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Progressive Socialist Party LB Civil liberties settled ↔ 6 pt +3.0
  • model Claude +3.0 2× rounds Druze social-democratic party moderately favoring civil liberties.
  • model Kimi +4.0 2× rounds PSP advocates for civil liberties and has historically supported progressive causes; however, as a hereditary Druze leadership party with a strong patronage system, its actual record is mixed.
  • prior Author baseline +5.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Gemini +5.0 2× rounds PSP's platform supports civil liberties, though in practice it maintains tight control over its traditional strongholds.
  • model Grok +5.0 2× rounds Supports expansion of civil liberties and has history in pro-democracy and opposition movements; relatively clean record compared to establishment parties.
  • model DeepSeek +5.0 A Druze social-democratic party that advocates for civil liberties.
  • model gpt +5.0 Its current platform is comparatively pluralist and protective of civil freedoms.
  • model qwen +6.0 2× rounds Druze-led, relatively progressive on civil liberties.
  • model minimax +6.0 2× rounds PSP under Jumblatt is a progressive
  • model gemma +6.0 2× rounds Generally supports the expansion of civil liberties.
  • model mistral +9.0 Progressive Socialist Party strongly supports expanding civil liberties.
• Amal Movement LB West alignment settled ↔ 6 pt -4.5
  • model gemma -8.0 Strategically hostile to Western alignment in favor of the Iran-led axis.
  • model qwen -8.0 Amal is strategically anti-Western, opposing U.S. influence and rejecting direct talks with Israel as of April 2026 [[5]].
  • model Grok -6.0 Opposes Western strategic influence and sanctions regime targeting its allies; aligned against US/EU intervention in Lebanese and regional affairs.
  • model gpt -5.0 Its strategic orientation is generally hostile to US backed regional policy.
  • model minimax -5.0 Amal is part of the March 8 axis and rhetorically opposes Western intervention
  • prior Author baseline -4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Gemini -4.0 Amal opposes Western strategic hegemony in the region due to its alliance with Hezbollah and Syria.
  • model Kimi -4.0 Amal is aligned with the Iran-Hezbollah axis and opposed to Western strategic alignment; while Berri has had some pragmatic engagement with the West, the party is fundamentally anti-Western in strategic posture.
  • model Claude -4.0 Broadly anti-Western via the resistance axis, though Berri engages US envoys pragmatically.
  • model DeepSeek -2.0 Not overtly anti-Western but aligned with Iran-backed camp
• Freedom and Justice Party EG Civil liberties settled ↔ 6 pt -4.0
  • model Gemini -6.0 Its record in power and Islamist ideology reflect a tendency to restrict civil liberties in favor of religious and political conformity.
  • model Grok -5.0 In power 2012-2013 record included restrictions on opposition, civil society, and dissent beyond initial declared commitments.
  • model minimax -5.0 Record in power (2011-2013) showed restrictions on opponents and civil society; platform rhetorically supports liberties for Islamists.
  • model Kimi -4.0 When in power (2012-2013), restricted civil liberties and prosecuted critics; platform restricts speech on religious grounds.
  • model gpt -4.0 In power it tolerated elections but showed illiberal pressure on dissent and opponents.
  • model qwen -4.0 Restricted dissent and press freedom during its time in power.
  • prior Author baseline -3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model gemma -3.0 Their record in power showed a tendency to restrict liberties of political opponents and minorities.
  • model Claude -2.0 In office curtailed some liberties (Nov 2012 decree) despite reformist claims.
  • model DeepSeek +0.0 Pledged support but in brief 2012-13 tenure showed mixed record; scores centrist.
• Tagammu Party EG Liberal democracy settled ↔ 6 pt +3.0
  • model gpt +0.0 It formally supports pluralism but its pro-state anti-Islamist record weakens liberal-democratic credentials.
  • prior Author baseline +3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +3.0 2× rounds Advocates democracy as guarantor of stability but has accommodated authoritarian regimes for survival.
  • model Claude +3.0 2× rounds Declared democratic values within a cooperative loyalist posture.
  • model Gemini +4.0 2× rounds Its official platform endorses democratic socialism, though its actual alignment with the current regime compromises its commitment to liberal checks.
  • model qwen +4.0 2× rounds Left-nationalist, supports democracy within state framework.
  • model DeepSeek +5.0 2× rounds Calls for democratic checks but weak in practice as marginal opposition.
  • model minimax +5.0 2× rounds Tagammu is a leftist nationalist party that has historically supported democratic reform.
  • model gemma +5.0 2× rounds Supports democratic principles
  • model Grok +6.0 2× rounds Aging Egyptian left party that claims democratic credentials but has compromised with successive authoritarian regimes.
  • model mistral +6.0 Tagammu Party supports liberal democracy.
• Mostaqbal Watan EG Liberal democracy settled ↔ 6 pt -7.0
  • model Gemini -9.0 It functions as a vehicle to entrench authoritarian rule and hollow out democratic checks and balances.
  • model Claude -8.0 Ruling apparatus of an authoritarian system with no real checks.
  • model gpt -8.0 It functions as a dominant pro-regime party in an authoritarian political order.
  • model qwen -8.0 Functions as a rubber stamp for the executive, opposing genuine democratic checks.
  • model DeepSeek -7.0 Holds power; weak commitment to liberal checks; executive domination.
  • model Kimi -7.0 Pro-regime party that rubber-stamps authoritarian measures; parliament serves regime power, not democratic oversight.
  • model Grok -7.0 Actively supports controlled electoral system and strong executive dominance with limited genuine opposition space and weak institutional checks.
  • model gemma -7.0 Supports the current authoritarian-leaning executive model over liberal checks.
  • prior Author baseline -5.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model minimax -3.0 Weak liberal-democratic commitment; defends strong executive and current order over checks and balances.
• Egyptian Social Democratic Party EG West alignment settled ↔ 6 pt +4.0
  • model gpt +2.0 It is open to Western partnership but not strongly security-aligned or dependent.
  • prior Author baseline +3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Gemini +3.0 It favors constructive diplomatic and trade relations with Western nations while maintaining strategic independence.
  • model gemma +3.0 Generally supportive of strategic partnerships with Western democratic blocs.
  • model DeepSeek +4.0 Generally pro-Western in diplomatic orientation but with nationalist reservations.
  • model minimax +4.0 Generally pro-Western strategically
  • model Kimi +5.0 Favors deeper engagement with US and Europe for economic partnerships while maintaining Arab world connections.
  • model Claude +5.0 Liberal orientation favoring strategic partnership with the West.
  • model Grok +5.0 Liberal secular party generally open to strategic Western partnerships for economic and democratic support while maintaining Egyptian sovereignty.
  • model qwen +8.0 Strategically aligned with Western democratic partners.
• Likud IL State & religion settled ↔ 6 pt -3.0
  • model Gemini -4.0 2× rounds Opposes separation of religion and state, preferring to entrench the Orthodox religious status quo.
  • model qwen -4.0 2× rounds Accommodates religious nationalism, not fully secular.
  • model mistral -3.0 Likud leans toward a religious state.
  • model gemma -3.0 2× rounds Supports a Jewish state with varying degrees of religious influence.
  • model gpt -3.0 Likud generally preserves religious-state arrangements through alliances with Orthodox parties.
  • prior Author baseline -2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • re-coder Re-coder B -2.0 Second-pass coder B — rubric-anchored re-read on the state-religion axis; extreme magnitudes tempered slightly toward the rubric mid-anchors.
  • model DeepSeek -2.0 2× rounds Accommodates religious parties and institutions.
  • model Kimi -2.0 2× rounds Secular in principle but has strengthened religious authority through coalition deals.
  • model minimax -2.0 2× rounds Likud is formally secular but depends on religious-Zionist coalition partners.
  • re-coder Re-coder C -1.0 Second-pass coder C — rubric-anchored re-read on the state-religion axis; magnitude follows the primary reading with independent judgment calls on the governance axes.
  • model Grok +2.0 2× rounds Likud is secular Zionist but relies on religious coalition partners balancing between the two.
  • model Claude +2.0 2× rounds Maintains and depends on the religious status quo via clerical allies.

  before · r1 gemini -5.0grok -3.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Yesh Atid IL Regional stance settled ↔ 6 pt +7.0
  • prior Author baseline +3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +5.0 Supports normalization and stability; Abraham Accords supporter.
  • model minimax +5.0 Yesh Atid supports regional normalization and the Abraham Accords framework.
  • model DeepSeek +6.0 Pro-normalization.
  • model Claude +7.0 Firmly in the normalization and stability camp.
  • model Grok +7.0 Supports Abraham Accords style normalization and regional stability.
  • model qwen +7.0 Aligned with the stability camp and supports regional normalization.
  • model gpt +8.0 It favors normalization, US-backed diplomacy, and regional stability.
  • model Gemini +9.0 Strongly champions regional stability and diplomatic normalization via the Abraham Accords framework.
  • model gemma +9.0 Strongly promotes normalization and regional stability.

  before · r1 grok +6.0gemini +7.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Ta'al IL West alignment settled ↔ 6 pt -3.5
  • model Gemini -6.0 Highly critical of Western diplomatic and military bias toward Israel.
  • model DeepSeek -5.0 Anti-Western due to Israel policy.
  • model gemma -5.0 Critical of Western strategic support for Israel.
  • model qwen -5.0 Critical of Western policies and leans non-aligned.
  • model minimax -4.0 Ta'al is anti-Western strategically, aligning with anti-Western Arab-nationalist and pro-Palestinian positions.
  • model Kimi -3.0 Critical of Western support for Israel; aligns with Arab nationalist causes.
  • model Claude -2.0 Mildly critical of Western policy without strong anti-Westernism.
  • model Grok -2.0 Critical of Western bias toward Israel; prefers balanced or non-aligned posture.
  • model gpt -1.0 Ta’al is critical of Western-backed Israeli policy without a consistent anti-West strategic line.
  • prior Author baseline +0.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.

  before · r1 gemini -5.0grok -1.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Shas IL Civil liberties settled ↔ 6 pt -4.0
  • model qwen -5.0 Restricts civil liberties regarding religious coercion and LGBTQ+ rights.
  • prior Author baseline -4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Claude -4.0 Religious-conservative leanings constrain pluralist liberties.
  • model Gemini -4.0 Indifferent or restrictive regarding secular civil liberties that conflict with religious norms.
  • model DeepSeek -4.0 Socially conservative restrictions on some liberties.
  • model gemma -4.0 Supports restricting
  • model gpt -4.0 Shas favors religious authority and has backed illiberal coalition measures over broad liberties.
  • model Kimi -3.0 Haredi values lead to restrictions on some civil liberties; pragmatic in coalition.
  • model minimax -3.0 Shas is socially and religiously restrictive: opposes LGBTQ+ rights, secular press freedom, and liberal moral reforms.
  • model Grok +1.0 Mixed: supports some welfare expression rights but conservative on moral and secular issues.

  before · r1 gemini -5.0grok +1.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Otzma Yehudit IL State & religion settled ↔ 6 pt -8.0
  • model gemma -10.0 Wants religious authority to dictate state law.
  • prior Author baseline -9.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model DeepSeek -9.0 Wants religious Jewish law in state.
  • model minimax -9.0 Otzma Yehudit seeks a halachic Jewish state with rabbinic authority over law.
  • model Gemini -8.0 Advocates for integrating Jewish religious law into state policy and public life.
  • model Kimi -8.0 Advocates Jewish religious authority in state and law; theocratic tendencies.
  • model Claude -7.0 ⛓ grounded 2× rounds A self-consciously Jewish, religious-Zionist Kahanist state (opens "בס״ד").
  • model gpt -7.0 It favors a strong public role for Jewish religious law and identity.
  • model qwen -6.0 Promotes Jewish supremacy and religious nationalism rather than traditional Halacha.
  • model Grok -4.0 Wants expanded Jewish religious law influence in state institutions.

  before · r1 gemini -9.0grok -6.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Otzma Yehudit IL West alignment settled ↔ 6 pt +5.0
  • prior Author baseline +1.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model gemma +4.0 Strategically aligned with the US
  • model Claude +5.0 Strategically reliant on US arms and backing despite illiberal ideology.
  • model Gemini +5.0 Relies on strategic Western military support but frequently clashes with Western liberal values and diplomacy.
  • model Kimi +5.0 Pro-Western strategically for arms and support, but rejects Western liberal social values.
  • model gpt +5.0 It wants US backing for Israel but often clashes with Western liberal norms.
  • model minimax +5.0 Otzma Yehudit is strategically pro-Western regarding US backing, despite tensions with the Democratic administration.
  • model qwen +5.0 Pro-Western strategically but frequently clashes with Western liberal values.
  • model Grok +7.0 Supports strong US military alliance for security and settlement goals.
  • model DeepSeek +7.0 Pro-Western for security.

  before · r1 gemini -4.0grok +7.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Fatah PS Civil liberties settled ↔ 6 pt -6.0
  • model Gemini -6.0 Its governing record in the West Bank involves frequent restrictions on public protests, dissent, and political opposition.
  • model gemma -6.0 Actual record in the West Bank includes suppressing dissent and restricting protests.
  • model gpt -6.0 The PA under Fatah has restricted protest, dissent, and association despite formal commitments.
  • model Claude -6.0 PA record: security forces suppress dissent, detain critics and activists.
  • model qwen -6.0 The PA security apparatus routinely arrests dissenters and restricts protests.
  • model Grok -5.0 Fatah-led PA governance record includes documented restrictions on speech, assembly, and dissent through security measures and arrests of critics.
  • model Kimi -4.0 PA under Fatah has a documented record of restricting protests, arresting dissidents, and limiting freedoms in West Bank, particularly against Hamas supporters and critics of the PA.
  • model DeepSeek -4.0 Fatah-led PA has restricted civil liberties, including crackdowns on dissent and protests.
  • prior Author baseline +0.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
• DFLP PS Regional stance provisional ↔ 6 pt -4.0
  • model Gemini -8.0 Aligns with the anti-normalization framework and supports resistance against Israeli occupation, rejecting regional normalization deals.
  • model gemma -7.0 Aligns with the resistance camp and opposes normalization with Israel.
  • model Claude -7.0 Rejectionist-left tradition, anti-normalization and aligned with the resistance camp.
  • model gpt -6.0 It remains aligned with armed-resistance and anti-normalization politics more than regional accommodation.
  • prior Author baseline -4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok -4.0 DFLP maintains a resistance heritage within the PLO but has engaged with political processes and negotiated frameworks more than hardline rejectionists.
  • model DeepSeek -3.0 DFLP rejects normalization but is less aligned with Iran-led Axis than Hamas; leans resistance with some pragmatism.
  • model Kimi -2.0 DFLP is based in Syria and has received Syrian support, placing it somewhat closer to the resistance camp, though it has historically been more pragmatic and supported negotiation frameworks.
  • model qwen -2.0 Part of the PLO's negotiated approach but maintains leftist anti-imperialist rhetoric.
• Islamic Action Front JO Economic provisional ↔ 6 pt -1.0
  • model Kimi -4.0 Favors state-led welfare and social justice over free market, though not fully communist
  • model Grok -3.0 Supports Islamic economics blending private enterprise with state-guided social justice, zakat, and anti-usury measures rather than pure market liberalism.
  • model gemma -3.0 Favors social justice and state-led welfare over neoliberal market mechanisms.
  • model gpt -3.0 Its platform mixes Islamic social justice and welfare with acceptance of private enterprise.
  • model DeepSeek -2.0 Mixed but leans statist due to Islamist social justice rhetoric and anti-usury regulation.
  • model qwen +0.0 Balances support for private enterprise with an Islamist emphasis on social welfare and charity.
  • prior Author baseline +1.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model minimax +1.0 Supports a market economy with Islamic-finance leanings and a social safety net; mild market-friendly overall.
  • model Claude +1.0 Mixed model blending market activity with social welfare and zakat-style redistribution.
  • model Gemini +2.0 2× rounds Supports private market mechanisms while advocating for Islamic welfare and state protection of strategic assets.
• Islamic Action Front JO West alignment settled ↔ 6 pt -5.5
  • model Gemini -9.0 2× rounds Vehemently opposes strategic, military, and political alignment with Western powers.
  • model Grok -7.0 Strongly critical of Western strategic policies, US support for Israel, and perceives the West as hostile to Islamic governance.
  • model gemma -7.0 Strongly critical of Western strategic alignment
  • model Kimi -6.0 Anti-Western strategically, opposes US military presence and Western regional dominance
  • model DeepSeek -6.0 Anti-normalization with US/West due to Palestine and Iraq war opposition.
  • model minimax -5.0 Historically anti-Western, critical of US policy on Palestine; cooperates tactically with Western aid but rhetorically hostile.
  • model qwen -5.0 Geopolitically opposed to US influence and military presence in the region.
  • model gpt -4.0 It is critical of US-led regional policy and Western backing for Israel while not rejecting all Western ties.
  • model Claude -4.0 Strategically critical of US/Western influence in Jordan and the region.
  • prior Author baseline -3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
• Islamic Action Front JO Regional stance settled ↔ 6 pt -7.0
  • model Gemini -10.0 2× rounds Strongly aligned with the Axis of Resistance, supporting armed struggle and vehemently opposing normalization.
  • model gemma -9.0 Staunchly anti-normalization and aligned with the
  • model Grok -8.0 Firmly in the resistance camp through vocal anti-normalization, support for Hamas, and rejection of Abraham Accords and Gulf-Israel detente.
  • model qwen -8.0 Aligns rhetorically and politically with the Axis of Resistance, strongly opposing normalization with Israel.
  • model DeepSeek -7.0 Aligns with resistance axis: opposes normalization
  • model gpt -7.0 It is strongly anti-normalization and sympathetic to Hamas-style resistance politics.
  • model minimax -7.0 Strongly anti-normalization, aligned with the resistance camp rhetoric, supports Hamas and rejects the Wadi Araba framework's diplomatic path.
  • model Claude -7.0 Firmly anti-normalization and supportive of the armed-resistance axis.
  • model Kimi -6.0 Aligns with anti-normalization camp, opposes Abraham Accords, supports resistance framework
  • prior Author baseline -4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
• National Charter Party JO Social settled ↔ 6 pt -3.0
  • model Gemini -5.0 Upholds traditional collective moral authority reflecting Jordan's tribal and conservative social fabric.
  • model Grok -5.0 Upholds conservative traditional social values and moral authority in line with Jordanian societal norms and official Islam.
  • model gemma -5.0 Maintains traditional social and moral values.
  • model qwen -4.0 Reflects the conservative, traditional values of the Jordanian political and tribal establishment.
  • prior Author baseline -3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi -3.0 Moderately socially conservative, reflects mainstream Jordanian social values
  • model gpt -3.0 It operates within Jordan’s conservative social mainstream while endorsing limited civic modernization.
  • model DeepSeek -2.0 Centrist socially; mildly conservative but not Islamist.
  • model Claude -2.0 Moderately conservative centrist on social questions.
  • model minimax +1.0 Civic/centrist social outlook; not socially conservative like Islamists but not strongly libertarian either.
• Jordanian Communist Party JO Social settled ↔ 6 pt +5.5
  • model Kimi +2.0 More socially progressive than Islamists on some issues but still conservative by Western standards
  • prior Author baseline +3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok +4.0 Promotes progressive secular values, women's emancipation, and social modernization consistent with leftist ideology, though tempered by local conservatism.
  • model Claude +4.0 Secular left, comparatively permissive on social and moral questions.
  • model minimax +5.0 Secular, progressive on personal freedoms and women's rights; class politics frames social issues.
  • model Gemini +6.0 Supports secular social values and women's rights over traditional religious authority.
  • model DeepSeek +6.0 Secular and permissive on social freedoms; supports LGBTQ+ rights and women's autonomy.
  • model gemma +7.0 Secular and generally supportive of individual social liberties.
  • model gpt +7.0 Its secular left orientation favors personal liberties and individual expression.
  • model qwen +8.0 Promotes secularism, gender equality, and progressive social freedoms.
• Jordanian Communist Party JO West alignment provisional ↔ 6 pt -7.0
  • model Gemini -10.0 Firmly opposes strategic and security alignment with the United States and Western blocs.
  • model gemma -10.0 Strongly anti-imperialist and opposed to Western strategic alignment.
  • model Grok -8.0 Traditional communist hostility to Western imperialism, capitalism, and strategic alliances with the US and NATO powers.
  • model gpt -8.0 Its anti-imperialist line is hostile to US-led Western strategic alignment.
  • model Kimi -7.0 Anti-Western, anti-imperialist, opposed to US and NATO strategic alignment
  • model Claude -7.0 Anti-Western, anti-imperialist strategic posture.
  • prior Author baseline -5.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model DeepSeek -5.0 Anti-imperialist
  • model qwen -5.0 Maintains a traditional leftist, anti-imperialist stance against Western geopolitical dominance.
  • model minimax -4.0 Historically anti-Western and anti-imperialist; current posture more nuanced but still broadly critical of US alignment.
• Jordanian Communist Party JO Regional stance settled ↔ 6 pt -5.8
  • model Gemini -8.0 Aligns with anti-imperialist regional politics, opposing normalization and peace treaties with Israel.
  • model gemma -8.0 Strongly anti-normalization and supportive of resistance movements.
  • model Grok -7.0 Anti-imperialist stance aligns with resistance axis: opposes normalization, supports Palestinian armed struggle, rejects US regional hegemony.
  • model gpt -7.0 Its anti-imperialist and anti-normalization line aligns it closer to resistance politics than the stability camp.
  • model Claude -6.0 ⛓ grounded 2× rounds Resisting all forms of normalisation with Israel and opposing Zionist projects.
  • model Kimi -5.0 Anti-normalization, sympathetic to resistance axis though not militarily aligned
  • model DeepSeek -5.0 Anti-normalization
  • model minimax -5.0 Opposes normalization, pro-Palestinian resistance camp rhetoric, though not aligned with Iran specifically.
  • model qwen -3.0 Leans anti-imperialist and critical of Western-aligned regional orders, but lacks alignment with the Islamist resistance axis.
  • prior Author baseline -2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
• Reform Party JO Economic settled ↔ 6 pt +2.5
  • model Grok +0.0 Mixed position advocating economic reform, anti-corruption, and some market mechanisms alongside social protections.
  • model gpt +1.0 Available cues suggest pragmatic reformism rather than a clearly statist or market program.
  • model Kimi +2.0 Moderately pro-market, supports some economic liberalization and reform
  • model minimax +2.0 Likely market-leaning with reform rhetoric, though limited public detail on specific economic platform.
  • model Claude +2.0 Moderate market-leaning economic stance.
  • prior Author baseline +3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model DeepSeek +4.0 Pro-market
  • model Gemini +5.0 Favors market mechanisms, private sector growth, and standard economic liberalization programs.
  • model qwen +5.0 Promotes business-friendly, market-oriented economic policies.
  • model gemma +6.0 Favors market-oriented economic reforms and liberalization.
• Long Live Tunisia TN State & religion settled ↔ 6 pt +6.0
  • model DeepSeek +3.0 2× rounds Ambiguous but leans secular with Islamic reference.
  • model mistral +4.0 Long Live Tunisia leans toward a secular state.
  • model Claude +5.0 2× rounds Secular-leaning modernist orientation.
  • prior Author baseline +6.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +6.0 2× rounds Secular party supporting separation of religion from state institutions.
  • model Gemini +7.0 2× rounds The party embraces a secular vision of the state rooted in the Tunisian modernist tradition.
  • model Grok +7.0 2× rounds Tahya Tounes defends the secular character of the Tunisian state and opposes religious interference in politics and law.
  • model qwen +7.0 2× rounds Strongly secular, Bourguibist legacy.
  • model gemma +8.0 2× rounds Supports a secular state.
  • model minimax +9.0 2× rounds Long Live Tunisia is a staunchly secularist party in the Bourguiba tradition.
• Justice and Development Party MA Civil liberties settled ↔ 6 pt -2.0
  • model Gemini -4.0 During its decade leading the government, it prioritized state stability and failed to protect civil liberties during public protests.
  • model qwen -4.0 Record in government showed limited enthusiasm for expanding civil liberties or dissent.
  • model DeepSeek -3.0 As governing party (record) oversaw restrictions on press and protests.
  • model minimax -3.0 PJD's record in government (2011-2021) was not strong on expanding civil liberties; it was criticized for not opposing restrictions on protest and Hirak movements.
  • model Kimi -2.0 PJD's record in government included restrictions on protests and limited press freedom expansion.
  • model Grok -2.0 During its 2011-2021 government tenure, civil liberties saw no major expansion; restrictive laws on assembly, expression, and protest remained in force.
  • model Claude -2.0 Led government 2011-21 under continued state restrictions on liberties.
  • prior Author baseline +0.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model gemma +2.0 Often criticizes state repression but holds restrictive views on certain social liberties.
• National Rally of Independents MA Social settled ↔ 6 pt +3.0
  • model Gemini -2.0 Adopts a pragmatic approach that leans conservative to respect traditional social mores and avoid religious backlash.
  • model DeepSeek -2.0 Moderately traditional but not ideologically socially conservative.
  • model minimax +2.0 RNI is relatively secular-leaning in social outlook, though operating within Moroccan conservative norms.
  • prior Author baseline +3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Claude +3.0 ⛓ grounded 2× rounds Universal social protection; equal opportunity; health/employment/education priorities.
  • model Kimi +3.0 RNI is moderately liberal on social issues within the constraints of Moroccan conservative society.
  • model Grok +3.0 Liberal-conservative profile; more socially permissive than PJD on lifestyle and individual expression but stops short of strong libertarian positions.
  • model gemma +3.0 Moderate and generally permissive on issues that don't clash with the state.
  • model qwen +4.0 Socially liberal and permissive reflecting its urban business-oriented base.
• Authenticity and Modernity Party MA Liberal democracy provisional ↔ 6 pt +0.0
  • model Gemini -4.0 Accepts and champions the existing political order where absolute executive authority rests with the King rather than elected bodies.
  • model DeepSeek -4.0 Loyal to the monarchy and has not pushed for stronger liberal-democratic checks on executive power.
  • model qwen -2.0 Operates within the monarchical system without strongly pushing for liberal democratic checks.
  • model gpt -1.0 PAM accepts elections but is closely tied to palace-centered political management.
  • model Claude -1.0 Palace-engineered party seen as managing rather than deepening genuine democratic competition.
  • model minimax +1.0 PAM is loyal to the monarchical order and does not champion liberal-democratic constraints on royal prerogative; mild reformist rhetoric but no structural push.
  • prior Author baseline +2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +2.0 PAM participates in elections but functions as a palace-backed party in a system with limited democratic checks.
  • model Grok +2.0 Defends the existing constitutional monarchy with limited liberal checks; participates in formal democracy without strong pressure for deeper judicial or executive constraints.
  • model gemma +2.0 Supports the constitutional framework but prioritizes regime stability over deep liberal checks.
• Istiqlal Party MA Social settled ↔ 6 pt -4.0
  • model gemma -6.0 Rooted in traditional moral authority and social conservatism.
  • model Gemini -5.0 Maintains a conservative social outlook rooted in traditional Islamic and national moral values.
  • model Grok -4.0 Socially conservative party favoring traditional moral authority, family values, and collective norms over libertarian individual or lifestyle freedoms.
  • model DeepSeek -4.0 Socially conservative; traditional values.
  • model gpt -4.0 Istiqlal remains socially conservative on family and moral questions.
  • model minimax -4.0 Istiqlal is socially conservative with a strong traditional/Islamic-identity orientation.
  • model Claude -4.0 Conservative, Islamic-referenced social traditionalism.
  • model Kimi -2.0 Istiqlal is socially conservative, rooted in traditional urban middle-class and rural values.
  • model qwen -2.0 Socially conservative reflecting traditional Moroccan societal values.
  • prior Author baseline +0.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
• Socialist Union of Popular Forces MA West alignment settled ↔ 6 pt +3.0
  • model qwen +0.0 Historically anti-Western and anti-imperialist but pragmatically aligned in recent decades.
  • model DeepSeek +1.0 Accepts Western ties but critical of imperialism; not anti-Western.
  • model minimax +2.0 USFP is a social-democratic party with European-style ideological affinities, though it is also historically engaged with non-aligned and pan-Arab networks; pragmatic pro-Western posture.
  • prior Author baseline +3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +3.0 USFP is pragmatically engaged with the West but historically critical of Western economic dominance.
  • model gemma +3.0 Strategic partnership with the West
  • model gpt +3.0 PJD governed within Morocco’s pro-Western strategy while criticizing Western cultural influence.
  • model Grok +4.0 Pragmatic engagement with Western partners on economic issues but retains historic non-aligned and sovereignty-focused elements from its socialist roots.
  • model Claude +4.0 Net pro-Western with European social-democratic ties despite third-worldist heritage.
  • model Gemini +6.0 Supports strong strategic cooperation with Western partners, particularly maintaining ties with European social-democratic allies.
• State of Law Coalition IQ Civil liberties settled ↔ 6 pt -6.5
  • model Grok -8.0 During Maliki's premiership, there were widespread documented cases of journalist arrests, protest crackdowns, politicized security forces, and restrictions on opposition and media.
  • model qwen -8.0 As PM, established authoritarian practices, heavily repressing protests, journalists, and political opponents.
  • model Gemini -7.0 During Maliki's tenure as Prime Minister, his administration severely restricted civil liberties, targeted political opponents, and suppressed dissent.
  • model gemma -7.0 Record as a governing power shows systematic restriction of dissent.
  • model minimax -7.0 Maliki's tenure saw severe restrictions on press freedom, mass arrests, and brutal suppression of protests (notably the 2019 Tishreen movement) — strong restriction record.
  • model gpt -6.0 As the historic ruling party, the FLN's record is tied to restrictions on protest, opposition, and dissent.
  • model Claude -6.0 In office cracked down on protests and opponents and pressured media.
  • model Kimi -5.0 Maliki's government jailed journalists, suppressed protests, and used security forces against dissenters
  • model DeepSeek -4.0 Under Maliki
  • prior Author baseline -2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
• Patriotic Union of Kurdistan IQ West alignment settled ↔ 6 pt +5.0
  • model gpt +1.0 It keeps channels with Western actors while avoiding firm strategic alignment against Iran.
  • prior Author baseline +2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model minimax +3.0 PUK is more Western-oriented than its Iran ties suggest, has cooperated with US forces, and cultivates ties with the US and EU — moderately pro-Western.
  • model Kimi +4.0 PUK engages with West but maintains closer ties with Iran than KDP; less enthusiastically pro-Western
  • model DeepSeek +5.0 PUK has cooperated with US and Western powers historically
  • model Claude +5.0 US partner in the region despite parallel ties to Iran.
  • model Gemini +6.0 The PUK maintains a pro-Western strategic alignment for security and counter-terrorism, while balancing close ties with Iran.
  • model gemma +6.0 Strategically aligned with the West for security and diplomatic support.
  • model qwen +6.0 Strong strategic ties with the US and Europe, though historically more pragmatic in dealing with all regional actors including Iran.
  • model Grok +7.0 PUK maintains solid strategic cooperation with the US and West, particularly through Peshmerga partnerships, though less exclusively aligned than KDP.
• Patriotic Union of Kurdistan IQ Regional stance provisional ↔ 6 pt +1.0
  • model Gemini -2.0 The PUK is politically aligned with Baghdad and maintains close ties with Iran, leaning slightly away from regional normalization.
  • model gemma -2.0 Closer to Iran's sphere than the KDP
  • model gpt -2.0 It is anti-normalization and sympathetic to resistance themes while favoring diplomatic balance.
  • model minimax -2.0 PUK has long historical ties to Iran and the PFLP, placing it closer to the anti-normalization pole, but it pragmatically engages with Western and Gulf states.
  • model Kimi +1.0 PUK maintains pragmatic ties with Iran (unlike KDP) while also engaging with West; more balanced regional posture
  • model DeepSeek +1.0 PUK has ties to Iran but also to Western powers; mixed regional posture.
  • prior Author baseline +2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Claude +2.0 Closer to Iran than the KDP but pursues its aims through negotiation, not armed resistance.
  • model qwen +2.0 Maintains closer ties to Iran than the KDP but primarily seeks regional stability and KRG interests over resistance ideology.
  • model Grok +4.0 PUK maintains pragmatic ties with Iran and has been more accommodating to Iranian influence in Iraq than KDP, while still engaging Western actors for stability.
• National Liberation Front DZ Economic settled ↔ 6 pt -5.0
  • model gemma -7.0 Historically rooted in state-led development and socialist planning.
  • model Gemini -6.0 The FLN maintains a heavily statist economic outlook, favoring state control of strategic sectors and extensive subsidies.
  • model Claude -6.0 Socialist heritage and hydrocarbon-rentier statism dominate its model.
  • model Grok -5.0 Legacy of state socialism and nationalizations; still favors strong state role in strategic sectors and redistribution.
  • model minimax -5.0 FLN historically championed state-led socialist development and continues to defend a large public sector and hydrocarbon rentier model.
  • model DeepSeek -4.0 FLN historically statist
  • model qwen -4.0 Statist tradition with slow market opening; state-centric development model.
  • model Kimi -2.0 Statist reflexes with gradual pro-market reform rhetoric.
  • prior Author baseline -1.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
• Socialist Forces Front DZ Regional stance provisional ↔ 6 pt +0.0
  • model DeepSeek -2.0 2× rounds FFS supports Palestinian rights but not the armed resistance axis; leans toward diplomatic solutions.
  • model Claude +0.0 2× rounds Social-democratic line with no clear maximalist-vs-normalization posture.
  • prior Author baseline +2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +2.0 2× rounds Leans toward negotiated settlement; less resistance-aligned.
  • model Gemini +2.0 2× rounds The FFS opposes normalization with Israel but emphasizes international law and diplomacy over armed resistance blocs.
  • model qwen +3.0 2× rounds Prefers stability but critical of normalization without justice.
  • model minimax +3.0 2× rounds FFS generally favors a moderate
  • model gpt +3.0 The FFS is reformist and diplomatic rather than maximalist on regional conflicts.
  • model gemma +3.0 2× rounds Generally supports resistance to external hegemony.
  • model Grok +4.0 2× rounds As secular opposition it favors pragmatic regional stability over the usual Arab resistance theater against Israel.
  • model mistral +4.0 The party seeks regional stability and cooperation but is not maximalist.
• Hayat Tahrir al-Sham SY Palestinian question settled ↔ 6 pt +6.0
  • model Claude +3.0 2× rounds Rhetorically pro-Palestinian but muted and pragmatic in power.
  • model mistral +4.0 Hayat Tahrir al-Sham supports Palestinian rights but prioritizes its own agenda.
  • model Grok +5.0 2× rounds HTS supports Palestinian rights as Islamist group but focuses primarily on Syrian affairs and stability over active regional advocacy.
  • model DeepSeek +5.0 2× rounds Supports Palestinian cause rhetorically but focuses on Syrian local jihadi goals; not a primary driver.
  • prior Author baseline +6.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +6.0 2× rounds HTS has publicly expressed support for Palestinian rights and opposition to Israel, though its primary focus has shifted to Syrian national governance.
  • model minimax +6.0 2× rounds HTS rhetorically supports Palestinian causes as part of its Sunni-jihadist framing.
  • model gpt +6.0 It rhetorically supports Palestinian self-determination through Islamist and anti-Israel framing.
  • model qwen +8.0 2× rounds Supports Palestinian resistance as part of anti-Zionist stance.
  • model gemma +8.0 2× rounds Supports Palestinian liberation from an Islamist perspective.
  • model Gemini +9.0 2× rounds HTS strongly supports Palestinian self-determination and armed struggle against Israel within its Sunni Islamist framework.
• Syrian National Coalition SY Economic settled ↔ 6 pt +5.0
  • prior Author baseline +1.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +4.0 The SNC included diverse factions with varying economic views, but its overall platform leaned toward market mechanisms and private sector revival in a post-Assad Syria.
  • model gpt +4.0 It generally favors a mixed economy with more private-sector and reconstruction-market space.
  • model Claude +4.0 Market-leaning under Gulf and Turkish backing with free-market reconstruction aims.
  • model DeepSeek +5.0 Favors liberalized market economy with foreign investment; endorsed by Gulf backers.
  • model minimax +5.0 SNC platform emphasizes a free-market economy with private sector revival
  • model Grok +6.0 SNC advocates market liberalization private enterprise and investment driven reconstruction rejecting Ba'ath style state dominance.
  • model qwen +6.0 Favors market mechanisms and private enterprise advocating for a transition away from the state-controlled economy.
  • model Gemini +7.0 The Coalition's platform embraces market mechanisms, free enterprise, and private investment for Syria's economic development.
  • model gemma +7.0 Favors a market-oriented economy and private sector growth.
• Syrian National Coalition SY Social settled ↔ 6 pt +1.0
  • model Gemini -3.0 The Coalition's social outlook is influenced by traditional and conservative social norms, balancing secular and Islamist factions.
  • model Grok -2.0 SNC coalition spans secular and Islamist views yielding moderate traditional lean on moral social issues with some personal freedom support.
  • model gpt -2.0 Its coalition includes secular liberals and conservatives, leaving social policy mildly traditional.
  • model Claude -2.0 Big-tent coalition spanning liberals and Islamists, netting moderate conservatism.
  • model DeepSeek +1.0 Platform socially moderate but contains Islamist factions; no strong permissive stance.
  • model gemma +1.0 Generally moderate
  • model Kimi +2.0 The SNC was a broad coalition including secular liberals and Islamists; its platform was ambiguous on social freedoms, with internal disagreement between progressive and conservative factions.
  • model minimax +2.0 SNC is a broad coalition of secularists and Islamists
  • model qwen +2.0 A broad coalition with mixed social views but its dominant liberal and secular factions lean toward greater personal freedoms.
  • prior Author baseline +3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
• National Umma Party SD Economic settled ↔ 6 pt +2.0
  • model Kimi +0.0 Economic platform not strongly defined, broadly centrist on market vs state.
  • prior Author baseline +1.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model gpt +1.0 It is broadly centrist with some market openness and social concern rather than a statist program.
  • model minimax +1.0 NUP has supported a market-oriented economy combined with Islamic finance and social-welfare guarantees, leaning slightly pro-market.
  • model Gemini +2.0 The party supports a mixed economic model that balances market mechanisms with state-supported rural development.
  • model Claude +2.0 Centrist with an agricultural-landowning base and modest market orientation, not strongly ideological.
  • model qwen +2.0 Represents the agricultural elite and generally favors market-oriented economic policies.
  • model DeepSeek +3.0 Supports market-oriented reforms but with some social safety net.
  • model Grok +4.0 Centre-right platform favors market mechanisms with regulatory state role in mixed economy.
  • model gemma +6.0 Promotes market-oriented economic policies and private enterprise.
• National Umma Party SD West alignment settled ↔ 6 pt +2.5
  • prior Author baseline +0.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +0.0 No strong strategic alignment declared, pragmatically neutral.
  • model minimax +0.0 NUP has oscillated between Western engagement and criticism, including ties with Gulf and Western capitals, leaving its strategic posture close to neutral.
  • model gpt +1.0 It is pragmatic toward Western diplomacy but not strategically anchored in a Western bloc.
  • model DeepSeek +2.0 Open to Western engagement but not strongly aligned.
  • model Grok +3.0 Maintains pragmatic international outlook open to partnerships that support peace and development.
  • model Claude +3.0 Generally open to Western partnership and not anti-Western in posture.
  • model qwen +3.0 Maintains a pro-Western strategic posture, historically enjoying support from Western democracies.
  • model Gemini +4.0 The NUP maintains cooperative diplomatic relations and strategic engagement with Western blocs.
  • model gemma +6.0 Strongly pro-Western in its strategic and diplomatic orientation.
• Sudanese Communist Party SD Regional stance settled ↔ 6 pt -4.5
  • model gemma -8.0 Strongly opposes normalization and aligns with anti-imperialist resistance.
  • model Claude -7.0 Firmly anti-normalization and opposed to the Abraham Accords and Israel ties, sitting in the resistance camp.
  • model minimax -6.0 SCP is firmly anti-normalization and pro-Palestinian resistance, with historical ties to resistance movements, though it frames this through anti-imperialism rather than religious axis politics.
  • model Grok -4.0 Anti-imperialist critique of foreign interference and comprador elites in the civil war aligns with resistance to normalization and external domination.
  • model DeepSeek -4.0 Opposes normalization but critical of Iran-theocratic axis; positions are complex.
  • model gpt -4.0 2× rounds The Freedom and Justice Party leaned toward resistance rhetoric more than regional normalization.
  • model Gemini -3.0 2× rounds The party firmly opposes the normalization camp and Western regional hegemony, leaning toward the anti-normalization axis.
  • model Kimi -3.0 Anti-imperialist posture critical of Western regional order, ideologically closer to resistance camp.
  • prior Author baseline -2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model qwen -2.0 Maintains a leftist, anti-imperialist posture that is skeptical of both Western and regional conservative camps.
• Democratic Unionist Party SD West alignment settled ↔ 6 pt +2.0
  • model DeepSeek -1.0 Leans non-aligned with some suspicion of Western intervention.
  • model minimax -1.0 DUP has had historically cordial relations with Western and Egyptian capitals, but rhetorically it distances itself from Western pressure and is closer to non-alignment.
  • prior Author baseline +1.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model gpt +1.0 It is not ideologically pro-Western, but it is pragmatic and not strongly anti-Western strategically.
  • model Kimi +2.0 Historically sought closer US ties than rival Umma Party, pragmatically open to Western engagement.
  • model qwen +2.0 Strategically aligned with Western and regional allies like Egypt and Saudi Arabia, though not a primary Western client.
  • model Claude +3.0 Pragmatic and broadly open to Western diplomatic and economic ties, not hostile.
  • model Grok +4.0 Engages pragmatically with Western and moderate regional powers for peace and stability.
  • model Gemini +5.0 The DUP maintains a favorable strategic posture toward Western and pro-Western regional powers.
  • model gemma +5.0 Seeks strategic partnership and diplomatic support from Western powers.
• Islamic Salvation Front DZ Economic provisional ↔ 6 pt -3.0
  • model Kimi -5.0 Favored state-directed economy with Islamic welfare orientation.
  • model Grok -5.0 Promoted Islamic economics with social welfare elements and skepticism toward unchecked markets.
  • model qwen -5.0 Mixed; rhetorically anti-capitalist but not fully statist—leaning interventionist.
  • model DeepSeek -3.0 FIS favored mixed economy with social justice
  • model minimax -3.0 FIS mixed Islamically framed social welfare with selective free-market rhetoric
  • model gemma -2.0 Favors social justice and welfare
  • prior Author baseline +0.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Gemini +1.0 FIS ideology supports private commerce and market mechanisms within a framework of Islamic law and social welfare.
  • model Claude +1.0 Populist with a merchant base, broadly market-friendly with Islamic welfare.
• General People's Congress YE Economic settled ↔ 6 pt -2.0
  • model qwen -4.0 Favors a crony capitalist model with heavy state allocation and patronage distribution.
  • model Grok -3.0 The GPC oversaw a mixed patronage-based economy with heavy state involvement and corruption alongside limited late-era market-oriented reforms.
  • model DeepSeek -3.0 GPC presided over a rentier state with state-dominated economy but no clear market ideology.
  • model gemma -3.0 They generally favor a mixed economy with significant state intervention and patronage.
  • model Gemini -2.0 The GPC favors a mixed economy but historically fostered a large state sector combined with extensive patronage and crony capitalism.
  • model Claude -2.0 Patronage-based statist economy with partial liberalization in the 2000s.
  • model minimax -1.0 GPC practiced a crony-statist model: state-controlled oil revenue, large public sector, but tolerated private business linked to patronage networks; sits near the midpoint.
  • prior Author baseline +0.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +2.0 GPC under Saleh mixed state control with limited market opening, particularly for regime-connected elites; current factions unclear.
  • model gpt +2.0 2× rounds Ansar Allah runs a command economy with heavy wartime state control.
• General People's Congress YE West alignment settled ↔ 6 pt +2.5
  • model Kimi +0.0 GPC is deeply factionalized: some factions cooperate with Saudi/US coalition, others allied with Houthis/Iran; overall stance unclear.
  • prior Author baseline +1.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model gpt +1.0 It has pursued pragmatic Western and Gulf ties without a strong ideological pro-West posture.
  • model DeepSeek +2.0 GPC under Saleh cooperated with US counterterrorism but was not deeply pro-Western.
  • model minimax +2.0 GPC under Saleh was a US security partner (drone cooperation, counterterrorism) while rhetorically anti-Western; current PLC alignment with Saudi coalition keeps it mildly pro-Western strategically.
  • model Claude +3.0 Cooperated with the US on counterterrorism and leans toward Saudi/Western backers.
  • model Grok +4.0 The GPC under Saleh engaged in counter-terrorism and security cooperation with the United States and maintained pragmatic strategic ties with Western and Gulf partners.
  • model Gemini +6.0 The internationally recognized wing of the GPC maintains a pro-Western strategic orientation, cooperating with Western and Gulf security partners.
  • model gemma +6.0 Historically and strategically aligned with Western security interests.
  • model qwen +6.0 Strategically aligned with the US and Saudi Arabia in the fight against the Houthis.
• General People's Congress YE Palestinian question settled ↔ 6 pt +7.0
  • model mistral +4.0 General People's Congress supports Palestinian rights.
  • model Kimi +6.0 2× rounds GPC historically supported Palestinian rights rhetorically, though Saleh cooperated with US on counter-terrorism; current stance varies by faction.
  • model DeepSeek +6.0 2× rounds GPC officially supports Palestinian rights but did little practically; more rhetorical than operational.
  • prior Author baseline +7.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok +7.0 2× rounds The GPC maintained consistent rhetorical and diplomatic support for Palestinian rights and statehood as part of its traditional Arab nationalist positioning.
  • model qwen +7.0 2× rounds Arab nationalist, historically pro-Palestinian.
  • model minimax +7.0 2× rounds GPC is broadly pro-Palestinian in Yemen's Arab-nationalist tradition.
  • model Claude +7.0 2× rounds Reflects mainstream Yemeni pro-Palestinian sentiment.
  • model gpt +7.0 It follows mainstream Yemeni support for Palestinian rights and statehood.
  • model gemma +8.0 2× rounds Generally supports Palestinian rights.
  • model Gemini +10.0 2× rounds The GPC strongly supports Palestinian rights and statehood, in line with mainstream Yemeni and Arab nationalist principles.
• Southern Transitional Council YE Economic settled ↔ 6 pt +3.5
  • model qwen +0.0 Mixed approach relying heavily on UAE patronage while managing local market disruptions.
  • model Claude +1.0 UAE-backed and market-leaning, though without a developed economic platform.
  • prior Author baseline +2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model DeepSeek +2.0 STC has no strong economic ideology; relies on UAE and private sector pragmatically.
  • model gpt +3.0 It favors investment, ports, and market-oriented reconstruction more than state socialism.
  • model Gemini +4.0 The STC favors market-oriented mechanisms and private investment, reflecting Aden's historic commercial role and alignment with UAE economic models.
  • model Kimi +4.0 STC supports opening southern ports and economic development, generally favoring market mechanisms over state control.
  • model gemma +4.0 They generally favor market-led development and foreign investment in the south.
  • model Grok +6.0 The STC promotes market-oriented policies, foreign investment, and port development in the south, contrasting with statist wartime control elsewhere in Yemen.
  • model minimax +6.0 STC discourse and UAE-aligned technocrats push market-friendly reforms, ports management, and private investment, with relatively less reliance on state allocation than rivals.
• Al-Wefaq National Islamic Society BH West alignment settled ↔ 6 pt -5.0
  • model Gemini -8.0 Opposes the state's strategic alignment with Western powers, criticizing their backing of the Bahraini monarchy.
  • model gemma -7.0 Critical of US policy in the region and aligned with anti-Western blocs.
  • model minimax -7.0 Strategic posture critical of US-Gulf security architecture and aligned with Iranian-led regional order.
  • model qwen -6.0 It strongly opposes the Western military presence in Bahrain and Western backing of the ruling regime.
  • model Grok -5.0 Critiques Western support for the Bahraini regime's crackdowns and aligns with narratives critical of US influence in the Gulf, leaning toward non-aligned or anti-Western strategic posture amid Iran ties allegations.
  • model DeepSeek -5.0 Critical of US support for Bahraini monarchy and Israel
  • prior Author baseline -4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi -4.0 Anti-Western orientation due to Western support for Bahraini regime and alignment with resistance narrative.
  • model Claude -3.0 Critical of Western backing for the monarchy and viewed with Iran-leaning suspicion, leaving it mildly anti-Western.
  • model gpt -2.0 It is critical of Western-backed Bahraini security policy but not doctrinally anti-Western in strategic terms.
• Al-Wefaq National Islamic Society BH Regional stance settled ↔ 6 pt -5.0
  • model Gemini -9.0 Aligns closely with the regional Axis of Resistance and completely rejects normalization and the Abraham Accords.
  • model DeepSeek -7.0 Opposes normalization and has been accused of ties to Iran
  • model minimax -7.0 Politically aligned with Iran and the resistance axis
  • model gemma -6.0 Ideologically and strategically aligned with the Axis of Resistance.
  • model gpt -5.0 It is anti-normalization and close to Shia opposition currents, though it formally presents itself as nonviolent and Bahraini-national.
  • model Claude -5.0 Clerical ties to Iran-aligned marjaiyya and government accusations of Tehran linkage place it toward the resistance pole.
  • model qwen -5.0 It opposes normalization and shares ideological affinities with the Axis of Resistance due to its Shia identity.
  • prior Author baseline -4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok -4.0 Perceived alignment with Iran and Qatar-linked networks, strong pro-Palestinian maximalism, and opposition to the regime's normalization policies position it toward the resistance camp rather than Gulf stability/normalization axis.
  • model Kimi -3.0 Opposition to normalization and ties to Iran-leaning Shi'a networks place it closer to resistance camp.
• Al-Menbar Islamic Society BH Civil liberties settled ↔ 6 pt -4.0
  • model DeepSeek -6.0 As an opposition party with limited power record
  • model gemma -6.0 Supports state restrictions on dissent to maintain political stability.
  • model minimax -6.0 As a pro-government Salafi bloc it has generally backed state restrictions on protest and opposition speech since 2011.
  • model Gemini -4.0 Supports traditional and state-imposed restrictions on political dissent and assembly, particularly targeting opposition groups.
  • model gpt -4.0 Its Islamist and pro-government orientation favors tighter moral and political limits on dissent and expression.
  • model Claude -4.0 Conservative Islamist bloc generally backing restrictions on speech offending religion rather than broad expansion of liberties.
  • model qwen -4.0 It supports political participation but restricts civil liberties that conflict with Islamic principles.
  • model Kimi -3.0 Moderate Islamist platform emphasizes order and traditional values over expansive individual liberties.
  • model Grok -3.0 As a conservative Islamist group prioritizing moral order and social conformity, it leans toward restricting certain personal and expressive freedoms while participating in the political system.
  • prior Author baseline +0.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
• El Insaf (Equity Party) MR Economic settled ↔ 6 pt +2.8
  • model DeepSeek -2.0 El Insaf governs a mixed economy with large state role in mining and energy but has pursued modest market-oriented reforms under IMF guidance.
  • model gemma -2.0 Generally supports state-led development and presidential economic direction.
  • prior Author baseline +0.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model qwen +2.0 Supports a mixed economy with market mechanisms but retains state influence in key sectors.
  • model Claude +3.0 ⛓ grounded 2× rounds Private property and freedom of initiative within the public interest — market-friendly with social-justice clauses.
  • model Kimi +3.0 El Insaf pursues mixed economy with market reforms, foreign investment attraction, and some state role in strategic sectors.
  • model Grok +3.0 El Insaf government pursues investor-friendly market reforms while retaining major state ownership in mining and strategic sectors.
  • model minimax +3.0 El Insaf governs an extractives-driven
  • model gpt +3.0 It backs pragmatic market-oriented development while retaining a large state role in planning and patronage.
  • model Gemini +4.0 The party promotes free-market mechanisms, privatization, and foreign investment while maintaining state guidance over strategic resources.
• National Rally for Reform and Development (Tewassoul) MR State & religion settled ↔ 6 pt -9.0
  • model DeepSeek -10.0 Tewassoul demands full application of Sharia as state law and rejects secularism.
  • model gemma -10.0 Primary goal is the full application of Sharia and religious authority in state law.
  • model Gemini -9.0 The party advocates for the comprehensive implementation of Islamic Sharia as the primary foundation of law and state governance.
  • model Kimi -9.0 Tewassoul advocates for strong integration of Islam in state and law, opposing any secular separation.
  • model minimax -9.0 Tewassoul's core project is establishing sharia as the basis of the state
  • model qwen -9.0 Advocates for the implementation of Sharia and a greater role for religious scholars in state governance.
  • model Grok -8.0 Platform and 2024 campaign explicitly foreground Sharia implementation and greater religious authority in state law and governance.
  • model gpt -8.0 2× rounds Hezbollah is an Islamist movement favoring strong religious authority.
  • model Claude -7.0 Seeks a stronger role for Islamic law and authority in the state.
  • prior Author baseline -4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
• National Rally for Reform and Development (Tewassoul) MR West alignment settled ↔ 6 pt -3.0
  • model DeepSeek -7.0 Tewassoul is anti-Western in strategic orientation opposing Western military presence and what it sees as cultural imperialism.
  • model Gemini -6.0 Tewassoul is highly critical of Western foreign policy and military intervention in Islamic countries and the Sahel.
  • model gemma -6.0 Critically views Western strategic and cultural influence in the region.
  • model qwen -4.0 Maintains a skeptical posture toward Western influence advocating for policies rooted in Islamic identity.
  • model Kimi -3.0 Tewassoul is critical of Western strategic dominance and skeptical of security partnerships with US/EU.
  • model gpt -3.0 2× rounds Hezbollah is explicitly anti-US and anti-Western in regional politics.
  • model Claude -3.0 Islamist orientation cool toward strategic alignment with the West.
  • model Grok -2.0 Islamist orientation creates ideological distance from Western liberal models while remaining pragmatic rather than actively hostile or nonaligned on security issues.
  • prior Author baseline -1.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
• Progressive Socialist Party LB Pan-Arab vs particularist provisional ↔ 6 pt +4.0
  • prior Author baseline +1.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok +2.0 Founded with explicit pan-Arab socialist ideology; retains some rhetorical and identity residue though practical politics now more Lebanon- and Druze-focused.
  • model Kimi +3.0 PSP has Arab nationalist roots (Kamal Jumblatt) and emphasizes Lebanon's Arab identity; however, under Walid and now Taymour it has become more pragmatic and particularist, scoring moderately positive.
  • model gpt +4.0 It retains Arabist and left-nationalist themes alongside Druze community politics.
  • model Claude +5.0 ⛓ grounded 2× rounds The founding charter is robustly Arab-nationalist (a secular democratic Arab union) — note: the modern Jumblatt-era party is far more Lebanese-particularist than this founding doctrine.
  • model qwen +5.0 PSP retains pan-Arab sympathies from its Nasserist origins, though less emphasized under Taymour Jumblatt.
  • model Gemini +6.0 PSP maintains strong ideological roots in pan-Arab solidarity and anti-normalization politics.
  • model gemma +6.0 Strongly identifies with pan-Arab solidarity and nationalist traditions.
  • model minimax +7.0 Founded by Kamal Jumblatt in the Nasserist/Arab socialist tradition
• Likud IL Regime stance settled ↔ 6 pt +9.0
  • model DeepSeek +4.0 Accepts Zionist order but has sought to alter democratic balance.
  • model minimax +7.0 Likud defends the foundational Zionist-Jewish order, though with ambivalence about liberal-democratic constraints.
  • model Claude +8.0 Defends the Zionist state order even while contesting its judicial checks.
  • model Kimi +8.0 Defends Zionist-democratic state, though judicial overhaul created tensions with liberal democratic norms.
  • prior Author baseline +9.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok +9.0 Core Zionist party strongly defends the Jewish-democratic state foundational order.
  • model gpt +9.0 Likud strongly defends the Zionist Jewish-state constitutional order.
  • model Gemini +10.0 Ardently defends the foundational Zionist constitutional order of the state.
  • model gemma +10.0 The primary defender of the Zionist state order.
  • model qwen +10.0 Strongly defends and defines the Zionist-democratic state.

  before · r1 gemini +8.0grok +9.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Hadash IL Regime stance settled ↔ 6 pt -7.0
  • model Gemini -8.0 Rejects the foundational Zionist definition of the state in favor of a binational or socialist framework.
  • prior Author baseline -7.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Claude -7.0 Non-Zionist party opposing the Jewish definition of the state.
  • model Kimi -7.0 Anti-Zionist and rejects Israel as Jewish state, but participates in parliamentary democracy.
  • model gemma -7.0 Critiques the Zionist foundation of the state.
  • model minimax -7.0 Hadash opposes the Zionist character of the state and seeks its transformation into a secular democratic state of all citizens.
  • model qwen -6.0 Critical of the Zionist definition of the state but participates in the system.
  • model DeepSeek -5.0 Rejects Zionist identity but works within system.
  • model gpt -3.0 Hadash opposes Zionist supremacy but generally works within parliamentary constitutional politics.
  • model Grok -2.0 Accepts Israel's existence as fact but seeks to de-Zionize it toward full binational democracy; critical reformer not overthrower.

  before · r1 gemini -8.0grok -8.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Ta'al IL Regime stance settled ↔ 6 pt -6.0
  • model gemma -9.0 Rejects the Zionist nature of the state.
  • model Gemini -7.0 Rejects the exclusive Zionist definition of the state, calling for a neutral democratic structure.
  • model minimax -7.0 Ta'al rejects the Zionist foundational order and seeks its replacement with a state of equal citizenship.
  • model qwen -7.0 Rejects the foundational Zionist definition of the state.
  • prior Author baseline -6.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Claude -6.0 Opposes the Zionist definition of the state.
  • model Kimi -6.0 Anti-Zionist Arab nationalist; rejects Israel as Jewish state but participates in parliament.
  • model DeepSeek -5.0 Rejects Zionist order.
  • model gpt -4.0 Ta’al rejects the Zionist definition of the state but works inside parliamentary politics.
  • model Grok -3.0 Critical of Zionist foundational order; participates to reform toward equality not overthrow.

  before · r1 gemini -7.0grok -6.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• United Torah Judaism IL Regime stance provisional ↔ 6 pt +5.5
  • model Grok +2.0 Theologically anti-Zionist but de facto accepts and participates in state for religious funding and autonomy.
  • model DeepSeek +2.0 Accepts Zionist order but not fully committed to democracy.
  • model Claude +3.0 Historically non-Zionist but pragmatically loyal to the state.
  • model Kimi +3.0 Non-Zionist but pragmatically participates in and supports Israeli government.
  • model gemma +5.0 Accepts the state
  • prior Author baseline +6.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model gpt +6.0 UTJ pragmatically accepts the state order while seeking maximal Haredi exemptions and authority.
  • model minimax +6.0 UTJ accepts Israel's existence as a Jewish state and works within its constitutional order, though it rejects its secular elements.
  • model Gemini +8.0 Loyal to the state institutions while prioritizing the preservation of its religious status quo.
  • model qwen +8.0 Accepts the state but seeks to infuse it with Haredi religious authority.

  before · r1 gemini +0.0grok +7.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Fatah PS Regime stance settled ↔ 6 pt +8.0
  • model Kimi +4.0 Fatah created and defends the PA as the foundational order of Palestinian self-governance, though internal divisions and authoritarian drift have weakened this commitment.
  • model DeepSeek +4.0 Fatah accepts the PA framework as the basis for a future state, thus pro-regime relative to current Palestinian order.
  • prior Author baseline +6.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok +7.0 Fatah is the primary architect and defender of the Palestinian Authority's constitutional order under the Oslo framework.
  • model gpt +8.0 It defends the existing PLO-PA constitutional and diplomatic order that it largely built.
  • model minimax +8.0 Fatah is the dominant force behind the PLO/PA constitutional order and defends it.
  • model Claude +8.0 Fatah is the foundational PLO/PA order and defends it.
  • model Gemini +9.0 Acts as the foundational architect and defender of the current Palestinian Authority constitutional order.
  • model gemma +10.0 Fatah is the foundational entity of the Palestinian Authority's current order.
  • model qwen +10.0 Fatah is the ruling party of the Palestinian Authority and defends its existing order.
• State of Law Coalition IQ Regime stance settled ↔ 6 pt +8.0
  • model Kimi +4.0 Maliki accepts and defends Iraq's post-2003 constitutional order; seeks to control it rather than overturn it
  • model DeepSeek +4.0 Supports post-2003 constitutional order as a governing coalition leader.
  • prior Author baseline +7.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Claude +7.0 ⛓ grounded 2× rounds Establishment Shia bloc built around the post-2003 state project and its institutions.
  • model Grok +8.0 Maliki and State of Law were central to building and defending the post-2003 constitutional order during their time in power and continue to operate as system insiders.
  • model minimax +8.0 State of Law is deeply committed to Iraq's post-2003 constitutional order and seeks to control the state apparatus from within rather than overthrow it.
  • model Gemini +9.0 State of Law is deeply committed to defending and preserving the post-2003 political order that it helped construct.
  • model gemma +9.0 Strongly defends the post-2003 foundational constitutional order.
  • model qwen +9.0 A primary architect and staunch defender of the post-2003 centralized political order and constitution.
  • model gpt +10.0 The FLN is the foundational party of Algeria's post-independence political order.
• General People's Congress YE Pan-Arab vs particularist provisional ↔ 6 pt +2.5
  • model qwen +0.0 Blends Yemeni nationalist particularism with occasional pan-Arab anti-imperialist rhetoric.
  • model DeepSeek +1.0 GPC used pan-Arab slogans under Saleh but primarily Yemeni nationalist/clientelist.
  • model Kimi +2.0 GPC used Arab nationalist rhetoric under Saleh but was primarily a patronage-based particularist party serving regime interests.
  • model Grok +2.0 While invoking Arab nationalist rhetoric and seeking Arab unity in principle, the GPC functioned primarily as a pragmatic big-tent Yemeni nationalist party.
  • model Claude +2.0 Mild Arab-nationalist rhetoric over a fundamentally Yemen-first patronage identity.
  • model gpt +3.0 It retains republican Arab-nationalist language while operating mainly as a Yemeni state party.
  • prior Author baseline +5.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Gemini +5.0 The GPC strongly identifies with Arab nationalist solidarity and frames its rhetoric around regional Arab causes.
  • model minimax +5.0 GPC emerged from the Yemeni nationalist and Nasserist tradition and has consistently invoked pan-Arab solidarity as a core framing of its politics.
  • model gemma +6.0 They have strong historical roots in Arab nationalist traditions.
• Yemeni Socialist Party YE Pan-Arab vs particularist provisional ↔ 6 pt +4.0
  • model minimax +1.0 YSP combines strong southern-Yemeni particularism with pan-Arab leftist internationalism, leaving the net frame near center but tilted particularist in practice.
  • model gpt +2.0 It retains some Arab-left solidarity but is also shaped by southern Yemeni particularism.
  • model Claude +2.0 Arab-leftist solidarity tempered by southern particularism.
  • model Gemini +4.0 The YSP combines its leftist internationalism with traditional Arab solidarity and progressive pan-Arab cooperation.
  • model DeepSeek +4.0 YSP supported pan-Arab socialism historically; now more balanced but still leans pan-Arab.
  • model gemma +4.0 They have a history of alignment with Arab socialist and pan-Arab traditions.
  • model Kimi +5.0 YSP has strong pan-Arab and leftist internationalist roots, though its primary focus has shifted to southern Yemeni interests post-unification.
  • model Grok +6.0 Rooted in Arab socialist traditions of the former PDRY, the YSP continues to emphasize pan-Arab solidarity alongside southern Yemeni concerns.
  • prior Author baseline +7.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model qwen +7.0 Rooted in Nasserist and pan-Arab socialist traditions rather than Yemeni tribal particularism.
• Justice and Development Party MA Regime stance settled ↔ 6 pt +7.0
  • prior Author baseline +2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model DeepSeek +3.0 Participates in regime but challenges aspects of monarchy’s dominance; not anti-regime.
  • model Kimi +5.0 PJD accepts the constitutional monarchy and has been system-loyal despite being an opposition party now.
  • model qwen +6.0 Accepted the monarchy's ultimate authority and operated within the constitutional order.
  • model Claude +7.0 ⛓ grounded 2× rounds Constitutional monarchy as a unifying national "constant" — a within-system Islamism.
  • model Grok +7.0 Accepts the constitutional monarchy as foundational order; has governed and participated as loyal opposition without seeking to overturn the system.
  • model gemma +7.0 Operates as a loyal participant in the constitutional monarchy.
  • model minimax +7.0 PJD accepts the Moroccan monarchical constitutional order and swore fealty to the king to enter government; firmly pro-regime.
  • model Gemini +8.0 Despite occasional tensions with the deep state, it explicitly pledges loyalty to the constitutional and religious authority of the King.
• Jordanian Communist Party JO Pan-Arab vs particularist settled ↔ 6 pt +6.0
  • model qwen +3.0 Supports Arab solidarity primarily through an anti-imperialist and leftist lens.
  • model DeepSeek +5.0 Internationalist but historically allied with pan-Arab leftist movements.
  • prior Author baseline +6.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Claude +6.0 ⛓ grounded 2× rounds Arab-nationalist solidarity and unity.
  • model Gemini +6.0 Emphasizes Arab anti-imperialist solidarity alongside internationalist Marxist principles.
  • model Grok +6.0 Historical and ideological alignment with pan-Arab anti-imperialist and national liberation movements, especially on Palestine.
  • model Kimi +6.0 Historically pan-Arab in solidarity, anti-imperialist, anti-normalization
  • model gpt +6.0 It frames politics through Arab anti-imperialist solidarity as well as class politics.
  • model minimax +8.0 Strongly pan-Arabist, allied historically with Nasserist and leftist Arab-nationalist currents.
  • model gemma +9.0 Strong historical and ideological commitment to Pan-Arabism.
• Amal Movement LB Traditionalism vs modernization settled ↔ 6 pt -2.0
  • model gemma -5.0 Generally resists social modernization in favor of tradition.
  • model qwen -5.0 Amal balances some modern governance roles with conservative social stances, leaning traditionalist overall.
  • model Grok -3.0 Pragmatic on infrastructure and some economic modernization but resists deep social liberalization that challenges traditional religious and community norms.
  • prior Author baseline -2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi -2.0 Amal is generally traditionalist on social issues but pragmatic on some institutional matters; it is not a modernizing force but not the most reactionary either.
  • model DeepSeek -2.0 Mixed: accepts some modernization but preserves traditional clientelist structures.
  • model Claude -2.0 A traditional clientelist machine with limited reformist or modernizing agenda.
  • model gpt -1.0 It supports some institutional development but remains tied to traditional patronage politics.
  • model Gemini +0.0 Amal supports institutional modernization rhetorically but its practice is limited by traditional clientelism.
  • model minimax +1.0 Amal is moderately traditionalist with selective modernization rhetoric on economic development but conservative on social reform.
• Free Patriotic Movement LB Traditionalism vs modernization settled ↔ 6 pt +2.0
  • model qwen -1.0 FPM mixes modern state-building rhetoric with traditional social conservatism, resulting in near-neutral score.
  • prior Author baseline +0.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +1.0 FPM is mixed on modernization; it supports some institutional and economic modernization but remains traditionalist on social and gender issues, making it roughly centrist on this axis.
  • model Grok +2.0 Pragmatic support for some institutional and economic modernization during Aoun era, tempered by social conservatism and political clientelism.
  • model gemma +2.0 Favors technocratic and economic modernization while remaining socially traditional.
  • model Claude +2.0 Projects a technocratic, reformist self-image.
  • model DeepSeek +3.0 Presents itself as modernizing but slowed by political alliances.
  • model gpt +4.0 Its declared platform emphasizes administrative reform technology and modernization.
  • model minimax +4.0 FPM promotes reform and modernization rhetoric
  • model Gemini +5.0 FPM champions institutional modernization, digital governance, and administrative reform in its platform.
• Progressive Socialist Party LB Traditionalism vs modernization provisional ↔ 6 pt +5.0
  • model qwen +2.0 PSP under Taymour Jumblatt shows openness to modernization while preserving Druze identity.
  • prior Author baseline +3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +3.0 PSP supports modernization of institutions, reform of family law, and women's rights; it is more modernizing than traditionalist, though its Druze communal base limits the pace of social change.
  • model Claude +3.0 Secular-progressive and modernizing in orientation.
  • model Gemini +5.0 PSP supports institutional modernization and social reforms in line with its progressive doctrine.
  • model gemma +5.0 Supports social and institutional modernization.
  • model minimax +5.0 PSP supports progressive social modernization including women's rights
  • model gpt +6.0 It presents itself as reformist progressive and socially modernizing.
  • model Grok +8.0 Consistent champion of social modernization, women's rights, educational reform, and institutional progress since its founding.
• Kataeb Party LB Traditionalism vs modernization provisional ↔ 6 pt +4.0
  • model gemma +1.0 Moderately open to institutional modernization but culturally traditionalist.
  • prior Author baseline +2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +2.0 Kataeb supports institutional modernization and reform, including administrative reform and modern economic policies; it is more modernizing than traditionalist but remains conservative on social issues.
  • model minimax +2.0 Kataeb blends traditional Christian social conservatism with modernizing economic and reform rhetoric.
  • model gpt +4.0 Its current message emphasizes reform transparency and institutional modernization.
  • model Claude +4.0 Reformist and modernizing in its institutional agenda.
  • model qwen +4.0 Kataeb promotes institutional and social modernization, including women’s rights and anti-corruption.
  • model Gemini +6.0 Kataeb champions institutional modernization and comprehensive administrative reforms.
  • model DeepSeek +6.0 Strongly modernizing; advocates for digital economy
  • model Grok +7.0 Strongly pro institutional modernization, anti-corruption technology, economic liberalization, and governance reforms aligned with contemporary standards.
• Yesh Atid IL Centralism vs federalism provisional ↔ 6 pt -4.0
  • model Grok -8.0 Centrist secular party committed to strong unitary Jewish-democratic state.
  • model Gemini -7.0 Supports a strong, centralized unitary state and opposes regional devolution.
  • model Claude -6.0 Centrist Zionist party committed to a unitary state.
  • model Kimi -5.0 Centrist Zionist; supports strong central state with minority rights.
  • model gpt -5.0 Yesh Atid favors a unitary Israeli state with separation from Palestinians rather than federalism.
  • prior Author baseline -3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model gemma -3.0 Generally supports a unitary state.
  • model DeepSeek -2.0 Centrist on federalism.
  • model minimax -2.0 Yesh Atid is a centrist party supporting a unitary Jewish state with strong central authority.
  • model qwen -2.0 Supports a unitary state with territorial compromises rather than federalism.

  before · r1 grok -8.0gemini -5.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• National Unity IL Centralism vs federalism settled ↔ 6 pt -5.0
  • model Grok -8.0 Centrist security-focused party committed to unitary Jewish-democratic state.
  • model Gemini -7.0 Supports a centralized unitary state framework without regional devolution.
  • model Claude -6.0 Centrist Zionist party committed to a unitary state.
  • model Kimi -6.0 Centrist Zionist; opposes federalism threatening Jewish majority.
  • model gpt -6.0 National Unity favors a unitary Israeli state and security-based territorial separation.
  • model DeepSeek -4.0 Centralist.
  • model gemma -4.0 Favors a unitary state.
  • prior Author baseline -3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model minimax -3.0 National Unity is a centrist Zionist party supporting a unitary Jewish-democratic state with mild autonomy elements.
  • model qwen -2.0 Favors a unitary state with security control rather than federalism.

  before · r1 grok -8.0gemini -6.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Otzma Yehudit IL Centralism vs federalism settled ↔ 6 pt -8.5
  • model Gemini -10.0 Demands an absolute, centralized unitary state with zero tolerance for minority autonomy.
  • model gemma -10.0 Absolute commitment to a strong
  • model Grok -9.0 Far-right Kahanist prioritizes maximalist unitary Jewish state control.
  • model Kimi -9.0 Extreme centralist Jewish supremacist; opposes any power-sharing with non-Jews.
  • model gpt -9.0 Otzma Yehudit favors centralized Jewish sovereignty and annexation rather than power-sharing.
  • prior Author baseline -8.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model qwen -8.0 Advocates for annexation and centralist control over the West Bank.
  • model Claude -7.0 Ultranationalist centralism over any power-sharing.
  • model DeepSeek -6.0 Strongly centralist.
  • model minimax -4.0 Otzma Yehudit supports a strong unitary Jewish state under Jewish sovereignty; firmly centralist and ethno-statist.

  before · r1 grok -9.0gemini -8.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Fatah PS Centralism vs federalism settled ↔ 6 pt -6.0
  • model Gemini -8.0 Favors a unitary centralist Palestinian state and opposes federalist or regional fragmentation.
  • model qwen -8.0 Dominates the PA with a highly centralized leadership structure under Abbas.
  • model Grok -7.0 Fatah has constructed and defends a centralized unitary Palestinian Authority, showing strong preference for centralism over federal power-sharing.
  • model Kimi -6.0 Fatah has consistently supported a strong centralized Palestinian Authority under its leadership, opposing power-sharing that would dilute its control.
  • model gemma -6.0 Maintains a highly centralized administrative structure through the PA.
  • model gpt -5.0 Fatah favors a unitary Palestinian national state rather than federal or sectarian power-sharing.
  • model Claude -5.0 Favors a unitary Palestinian nation-state rather than regional power-sharing.
  • prior Author baseline -2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model DeepSeek -2.0 Fatah prefers a centralized Palestinian state but has accepted limited PA administrative decentralization.
• Fatah PS Traditionalism vs modernization settled ↔ 6 pt +3.0
  • prior Author baseline +0.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +2.0 Fatah has pursued some institutional modernization and technocratic governance in the PA, but remains tied to traditional patronage networks and has not pushed aggressively for social modernization.
  • model DeepSeek +2.0 Fatah has pursued limited modernization, especially institutionally, but remains partly traditionalist.
  • model minimax +2.0 Fatah is moderate on modernization — neither transformative nor reactionary.
  • model gemma +3.0 Supports institutional modernization but remains culturally traditional.
  • model Claude +3.0 Secular-nationalist reformism with a broadly modernizing orientation.
  • model qwen +4.0 Supports institutional and technological modernization within the constraints of the PA.
  • model Gemini +5.0 Promotes institutional and technological modernization alongside international integration for the Palestinian Authority.
  • model gpt +5.0 It frames itself around modern state-building, technocracy, and institutional reform.
  • model Grok +6.0 Fatah actively promotes institutional development, education, and economic modernization as part of state-building efforts.
• Nour Party EG Centralism vs federalism settled ↔ 6 pt -7.5
  • model Gemini -9.0 Like other mainstream Egyptian actors, it adheres to a strictly centralized, unitary state structure.
  • model Grok -9.0 Salafi party in Egypt's unitary centralized context with no federalist or decentralizing platform.
  • model qwen -9.0 Supports a centralized state under Islamic governance.
  • model gemma -8.0 Strongly favors a centralized state for stability and authority.
  • model gpt -8.0 It favors a centralized Egyptian state and rejects regional power-sharing schemes.
  • model minimax -7.0 Predominantly centralist but historically Salafi thought entertains pan-Islamic governance; not territorial federalist.
  • model Kimi -6.0 Salafi Islamist party favors strong central state under Islamic governance; no federalist tendencies.
  • model Claude -6.0 Centralist; no federal or power-sharing agenda.
  • model DeepSeek -6.0 Supports unitary state; opposes federalism.
  • prior Author baseline -3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
• New Wafd Party EG Traditionalism vs modernization settled ↔ 6 pt +5.0
  • prior Author baseline +1.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +4.0 Supports modernization and reform but with conservative nationalist elements; mixed on women's rights advancement.
  • model gpt +4.0 It backs institutional modernization and women's participation within moderate limits.
  • model Claude +5.0 Liberal-modernizing orientation.
  • model Grok +5.0 Supports political modernization, human rights reforms, and balanced economic opening while preserving national identity.
  • model DeepSeek +5.0 Moderately modernizing; supports legal and social reform.
  • model gemma +5.0 Generally supportive of modernization.
  • model Gemini +6.0 It supports institutional and economic modernization along with the promotion of women's public and political roles.
  • model minimax +6.0 Modernizing liberal party supporting women's rights and reform.
  • model qwen +7.0 Supports institutional and social modernization.
• National Liberation Front DZ Traditionalism vs modernization settled ↔ 6 pt +2.0
  • prior Author baseline -2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model DeepSeek +0.0 FLN has mixed record: modernizing infrastructure but slow on social reforms like family law.
  • model qwen +0.0 Ambivalent: promotes education/tech but resists deep social reforms like gender equality.
  • model Claude +1.0 State-corporatist modernization tempered by traditionalist constraints.
  • model Kimi +2.0 Gradual modernization within nationalist framework.
  • model Gemini +2.0 The party advocates for state-led technological and institutional modernization while preserving traditional cultural values.
  • model gemma +3.0 Supports state-led institutional modernization.
  • model minimax +3.0 FLN promoted women's education and workforce participation but remains tethered to statist corporatist traditionalism.
  • model Grok +4.0 Promotes 'new Algeria' economic modernization, infrastructure, and limited social liberalization for development.
• Democratic National Rally DZ Traditionalism vs modernization settled ↔ 6 pt +3.0
  • prior Author baseline -1.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model qwen -1.0 Minimal push for social modernization; favors gradual change.
  • model DeepSeek +1.0 RND is moderately modernizing in economic terms but cautious on social reforms like family law.
  • model Claude +2.0 Technocratic-modernizing within a conservative social frame.
  • model Kimi +3.0 Supports gradual modernization within conservative framework.
  • model gemma +3.0 Supports state-led modernization of infrastructure and economy.
  • model Gemini +4.0 The RND adopts a technocratic approach that favors economic and institutional modernization over traditionalism.
  • model gpt +4.0 The RND backs technocratic modernization and development while staying socially cautious.
  • model minimax +4.0 RND supports women's workforce participation
  • model Grok +5.0 Advocates economic diversification, technological upgrade, and some social reforms for women.
• Islamic Salvation Front DZ Centralism vs federalism settled ↔ 6 pt -7.0
  • model qwen -8.0 Centralist vision under unified Islamic state; opposed to ethnic/sectarian federalism.
  • model Gemini -7.0 The FIS historically envisioned a centralized Islamic state, with little commitment to regional federalism.
  • model Kimi -7.0 Centralist Islamist vision; opposed regional autonomy.
  • model Grok -7.0 Advocated strong central Islamic state; opposed federal or consociational arrangements.
  • model minimax -7.0 FIS imagined an Islamic central state under sharia with no regional autonomy framework
  • model Claude -6.0 Islamist unitarism favoring a strong centralized Islamic state.
  • model gemma -5.0 Generally envisions a unitary Islamic state.
  • prior Author baseline -3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model DeepSeek -2.0 FIS historically favored a strong central Islamic state
• Hayat Tahrir al-Sham SY Traditionalism vs modernization settled ↔ 6 pt -3.0
  • model qwen -8.0 2× rounds Salafi-jihadist, rejects modern secular values.
  • model DeepSeek -7.0 2× rounds Rejects modernist social reforms
  • model mistral -7.0 Hayat Tahrir al-Sham strongly leans toward traditionalism.
  • model gemma -7.0 2× rounds Strongly rejects Western modernization in favor of Sharia.
  • model Gemini -4.0 2× rounds While deeply traditionalist on social and religious issues, HTS has adopted modern institutional structures and technology for administration.
  • prior Author baseline -3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi -3.0 2× rounds HTS is socially traditionalist but has pragmatically adopted some modern administrative and technological practices in Idlib governance; its core ideology remains rooted in traditionalist Salafism.
  • model minimax -3.0 2× rounds HTS holds a deeply traditionalist Islamist outlook.
  • model Grok -2.0 2× rounds HTS pursues economic reconstruction and administrative updates but holds traditionalist views on social change and religious public role.
  • model Claude -2.0 2× rounds Islamist roots, projecting pragmatic technocratic governance.
  • model gpt -2.0 It has pragmatic administrative modernization but remains socially and legally traditionalist.
• General People's Congress YE Traditionalism vs modernization provisional ↔ 6 pt +0.0
  • model Kimi -2.0 2× rounds GPC under Saleh pursued limited institutional modernization while maintaining conservative social structures and tribal politics.
  • model mistral -2.0 General People's Congress leans toward traditionalism.
  • model DeepSeek -1.0 2× rounds GPC rhetorically modern but delivered little reform; essentially traditionalist.
  • model minimax -1.0 2× rounds GPC is mixed
  • prior Author baseline +0.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Claude +0.0 2× rounds Catch-all party without a clear traditionalist or modernist tilt.
  • model gemma +0.0 2× rounds Favors traditional social structures.
  • model gpt +1.0 It is pragmatic and state-modernizing in style but socially conservative.
  • model Grok +2.0 2× rounds The GPC pursued infrastructure, education expansion, and limited economic modernization while remaining cautious on deep social or institutional liberal reforms.
  • model qwen +3.0 2× rounds Mixed record; some modernization under Saleh but conservative base.
  • model Gemini +4.0 2× rounds The GPC supports state-led institutional modernization, economic development, and technological integration while respecting traditional social structures.
• Southern Transitional Council YE Traditionalism vs modernization settled ↔ 6 pt +3.0
  • model DeepSeek +0.0 STC has no clear modernization agenda; traditionalist in practice.
  • model qwen +0.0 Seeks modern state institutions for an independent South but is hindered by war and patronage.
  • prior Author baseline +2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +2.0 STC supports economic and institutional modernization for southern development, but not radical social transformation.
  • model gemma +3.0 They show more openness to institutional modernization than the interior-focused parties.
  • model Claude +3.0 UAE-backed secular-leaning orientation favoring modernization.
  • model Gemini +4.0 The STC embraces institutional and economic modernization, closely mirroring the developmental model of its Gulf sponsors.
  • model gpt +5.0 It presents itself as a modernizing administrative and security project for the south.
  • model minimax +5.0 STC rhetoric emphasizes reform, infrastructure, and service delivery in a UAE-style modernization frame, positioning itself as the modernizing southern alternative.
  • model Grok +6.0 The STC actively pursues economic modernization, infrastructure development, and international partnerships to transform the south, showing greater openness to institutional and social change.
• Ennahda TN Centralism vs federalism settled ↔ 6 pt -7.0
  • model qwen -9.0 Tunisia is strongly centralist; Ennahda supports unitary state structure.
  • model Kimi -8.0 Supports strong unitary Tunisian state with no regional power-sharing.
  • model Grok -8.0 Ennahda supports Tunisia's unitary centralized republic and has never advocated federal or regional power-sharing arrangements.
  • model gpt -8.0 Ennahda accepts Tunisia's unitary state and has not advocated federal devolution.
  • model Gemini -7.0 Ennahda supports a unitary state structure while advocating for local governance and decentralization.
  • model Claude -7.0 Operates within Tunisia's strongly unitary tradition and has never championed regional power-sharing.
  • model DeepSeek -6.0 Ennahda supports a strong unitary Tunisian state and has not pushed for federal or consociational models.
  • model gemma -6.0 Supports a unitary state with some administrative decentralization.
  • model minimax -5.0 Supports a unitary Tunisian state; no federalist agenda and has ruled from the center.
  • prior Author baseline -3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
• Istiqlal Party MA Traditionalism vs modernization settled ↔ 6 pt +1.0
  • model gemma -2.0 Cautious about rapid social modernization that might conflict with tradition.
  • model minimax -2.0 Istiqlal is traditionalist on family law and gender but pragmatic on economic modernization; mixed but tilts conservative.
  • model Claude -1.0 Tradition-leaning conservatism, pragmatically reformist at most.
  • prior Author baseline +1.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Gemini +1.0 Supports technological and economic modernization while remaining cautious and traditionalist on family and social issues.
  • model DeepSeek +1.0 Some modernizing economic policies but socially traditional.
  • model gpt +1.0 Istiqlal supports institutional development while retaining conservative social instincts.
  • model qwen +2.0 Supports gradual modernization while respecting traditional institutions.
  • model Kimi +3.0 Istiqlal emphasizes tradition and moderate reform rather than rapid modernization.
  • model Grok +4.0 Favors economic and institutional modernization but takes a cautious, conservative approach to rapid social and cultural change.
• National Rally for Reform and Development (Tewassoul) MR Traditionalism vs modernization settled ↔ 6 pt -3.0
  • model DeepSeek -7.0 Tewassoul is traditionalist on social issues including family law gender roles and religious authority.
  • model gemma -6.0 Prioritizes religious tradition over social and family law modernization.
  • model minimax -5.0 Tewassoul is socially traditionalist
  • model Grok -4.0 Prioritizes preservation of Islamic tradition and social structures and shows caution on rapid modernization of family law or gender norms.
  • prior Author baseline -3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Gemini -3.0 The party combines modern political organization with traditionalist stances on social, family, and religious legislation.
  • model Claude -3.0 Traditionalist on family law and women's roles, with limited institutional modernization.
  • model Kimi -2.0 Tewassoul is skeptical of Western-style modernization, favoring tradition-based reform within Islamic framework.
  • model qwen -2.0 Seeks institutional reform and development but grounds its vision in traditional Islamic principles rather than secular modernization.
  • model gpt -1.0 It supports institutional reform and anti-corruption but remains socially traditionalist.
• Islamic Action Front JO Traditionalism vs modernization settled ↔ 6 pt -5.0
  • model Grok -7.0 Resists social and legal modernization that conflicts with traditional Sharia-based family structures and religious public authority.
  • model Gemini -6.0 Maintains a traditionalist stance on social and family laws, rejecting Western-style social modernization.
  • model gemma -6.0 Favors traditional social structures and religious authority over modern secular norms.
  • model Kimi -5.0 Traditionalist on womens rights and family law, resistant to liberal social modernization
  • model DeepSeek -5.0 Socially traditionalist
  • model Claude -5.0 Traditionalist on family law and religious authority while accepting technological change.
  • prior Author baseline -3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model gpt -3.0 It accepts institutional reform and modern campaigning while remaining socially and religiously conservative.
  • model qwen -2.0 Accepts modern political institutions but remains traditionalist regarding family law and gender roles.
  • model minimax -1.0 Mixed: supports institutional reform and some women's participation, but conservative on family law and personal status.
• Justice and Development Party MA Gender equality settled ↔ 6 pt -6.0
  • model gemma -7.0 Upholds traditional patriarchal family structures and religious norms regarding gender.
  • model Kimi -6.0 PJD opposed further liberalization of family law and advocated traditional gender roles during its rule.
  • model Gemini -6.0 Defends patriarchal traditionalism by consistently opposing progressive reforms to the family code regarding inheritance and equal rights.
  • model Grok -6.0 Socially conservative Islamist party; has resisted or slowed expansive gender-equality reforms in family law, inheritance, and public leadership roles.
  • model DeepSeek -6.0 Socially conservative on gender; opposed progressive family law reforms.
  • model qwen -6.0 Resisted progressive reforms to the family code and holds patriarchal traditional views.
  • model Claude -5.0 Islamist party historically resistant to liberalizing family law and gender roles.
  • model minimax -3.0 PJD has a conservative gender record; it has not championed major family law reform and emphasizes traditional roles.
  • prior Author baseline -1.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
• Amal Movement LB Iran posture settled ↔ 6 pt +7.0
  • model DeepSeek +2.0 Aligned with Hezbollah but less doctrinaire; generally pro-Iranian regional posture.
  • model Gemini +6.0 Amal maintains a strategic and political alliance with Iran, though it emphasizes its Lebanese identity.
  • model Kimi +6.0 Amal is allied with Hezbollah and part of the March 8 coalition; while more pragmatic than Hezbollah, it maintains alignment with Iran and the Axis of Resistance.
  • model Claude +6.0 Aligned with Iran through the Hezbollah-led Shia axis, though more pragmatic and clientelist.
  • prior Author baseline +7.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok +7.0 Close longstanding alliance with Hezbollah and integration into Iran's regional axis, though Berri maintains some pragmatic Lebanese autonomy.
  • model gpt +7.0 Amal is closely aligned with Iran’s regional camp though less ideologically fused than Hezbollah.
  • model minimax +7.0 Amal was founded with Iranian Revolutionary Guard assistance in the 1980s and remains politically allied with Iran
  • model gemma +8.0 Strongly aligned with Iran as part of the Shia political axis.
  • model qwen +8.0 Amal aligns closely with Iran through its alliance with Hezbollah and shared Shia identity, though less ideologically committed than Hezbollah.
• Hamas PS Iran posture provisional ↔ 6 pt +7.0
  • model Kimi +4.0 Hamas has received significant financial, military, and political support from Iran, though the relationship has had tensions; it is generally aligned with Iran in the regional resistance axis.
  • model DeepSeek +4.0 Hamas has had tactical alignment with Iran, though relations have fluctuated due to Sunni-Shia tensions.
  • prior Author baseline +6.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model minimax +6.0 Hamas has been a close ally of Iran since the Syrian civil war
  • model gpt +7.0 It maintains major strategic and military alignment with Iran despite periodic tensions.
  • model Claude +7.0 Receives Iranian funding and arms within the resistance axis despite the past Syria rift.
  • model Gemini +9.0 Maintains a close, vital strategic and military alliance with the Islamic Republic of Iran.
  • model Grok +9.0 Hamas maintains a close strategic and military alliance with Iran, receiving funding, weapons, and coordination as a core Axis of Resistance member.
  • model gemma +9.0 Strongly aligned with Iran for financial
  • model qwen +10.0 Receives extensive funding, training, and strategic direction from Iran.
• Hayat Tahrir al-Sham SY Press freedom settled ↔ 6 pt -7.0
  • model qwen -10.0 Maintains strict control over all media and information heavily censoring independent journalism.
  • model Gemini -9.0 HTS enforces state-like media control in Idlib, systematically arresting and censoring independent journalists who dissent.
  • model DeepSeek -9.0 Controls or shuts down independent media in Idlib
  • prior Author baseline -8.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model gemma -8.0 Exerts tight control over media and information in its territory.
  • model gpt -6.0 Its areas of control have seen pressure on journalists and limits on independent media.
  • model minimax -6.0 HTS has retained significant control over Syrian media landscape since late 2024
  • model Claude -6.0 Detained journalists in Idlib and restricts critical media under the transition.
  • model Grok -4.0 HTS exercises control over press and information with documented cases of journalist detention for critical coverage in its territories.
  • model Kimi -4.0 Post-Assad, some media space has opened but the March 2025 constitutional declaration allows restrictions on press for 'national security' and 'public morals,' and journalists have been arrested.
• Progressive Socialist Party LB Economic settled ↔ 5 pt -4.0
  • model minimax -6.0 PSP's socialist platform emphasizes state-led development
  • model Gemini -5.0 PSP was founded as a socialist party and its platform continues to advocate for statist welfare and labor rights.
  • model Grok -5.0 Socialist origins favor state welfare, redistribution, and intervention; clientelist elements in Druze areas but ideological statist lean.
  • prior Author baseline -4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model gemma -4.0 Rooted in socialist tradition
  • model qwen -4.0 PSP retains socialist roots but has adapted to neoliberal realities; favors state role in economy.
  • model Claude -2.0 ⛓ grounded 2× rounds Adopts "the principles of world socialism," nationalisation (التأميم), a guided economy and redistribution of the means of production.
  • model Kimi -2.0 PSP has socialist roots and advocates for nationalization of important services and progressive taxation; it leans toward state allocation over pure market mechanisms, though it has moderated in recent years.
  • model gpt -1.0 It has social-democratic roots but practices pragmatic mixed economics.
• Freedom and Justice Party EG Social settled ↔ 5 pt -7.5
  • re-coder Re-coder C -8.0 Second-pass coder C — rubric-anchored re-read on the social axis; magnitude follows the primary reading with independent judgment calls on the governance axes.
  • model Gemini -8.0 2× rounds It advocates for strict social conservatism and the enforcement of public morality based on Islamic principles.
  • model gpt -8.0 It promotes conservative Islamic moral authority over permissive lifestyle freedoms.
  • prior Author baseline -7.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok -7.0 2× rounds Pushes strict Islamic social conservatism and authoritarian control as all Muslim Brotherhood fronts do across the region.
  • model gemma -7.0 2× rounds Promotes social order based on Islamic moral authority.
  • re-coder Re-coder B -6.0 Second-pass coder B — rubric-anchored re-read on the social axis; extreme magnitudes tempered slightly toward the rubric mid-anchors.
  • model Kimi -6.0 2× rounds Strongly socially conservative; would ban alcohol and beach bathing, opposes LGBTQ+ rights, enforces traditional moral authority.
  • model Claude -6.0 2× rounds Traditional collective moral authority rooted in Islamism.
  • model DeepSeek -6.0 2× rounds Socially conservative; enforces traditional moral authority.
  • model qwen -6.0 2× rounds Socially conservative, authority-oriented.
  • model minimax -6.0 2× rounds FJP holds conservative social positions aligned with Brotherhood tradition.
  • model mistral -3.0 The party leans toward authority and traditionalism in social policies.
• New Wafd Party EG Economic settled ↔ 5 pt +5.0
  • prior Author baseline +1.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Claude +5.0 ⛓ grounded 2× rounds A "free-economy system" giving the private sector the largest share, plus debt reduction — market-leaning.
  • model Kimi +5.0 Liberal capitalist party advocating economic liberalization, foreign investment, and reduced state economic role.
  • model DeepSeek +5.0 Classical liberal tradition; favors market economy.
  • model gemma +5.0 Generally supports liberal market economics.
  • model gpt +5.0 It favors liberal economics, private enterprise, and constitutional capitalism.
  • model Gemini +6.0 2× rounds It retains its historic commitment to economic liberalism, private enterprise, and market-oriented reforms.
  • model Grok +6.0 Advocates economic liberalism with balanced public-private sectors and criticism of excessive state privatization or monopoly.
  • model minimax +6.0 Pro-market
  • model qwen +6.0 Supports free-market policies and private enterprise.
• Free Egyptians Party EG Social settled ↔ 5 pt +5.5
  • prior Author baseline +3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model gpt +3.0 It is secular and comparatively liberal, though cautious within Egyptian social norms.
  • model Claude +4.0 Secular and comparatively permissive on lifestyle questions.
  • model gemma +4.0 Generally permissive on social issues compared to religious parties.
  • model Gemini +5.0 It advocates for a secular public sphere and individual social freedoms within a secular national framework.
  • model Kimi +6.0 Liberal party advocating personal freedoms, equality without discrimination based on religion or gender.
  • model Grok +7.0 Secular liberal platform favors individual expression, personal freedoms, and reduced traditional moral authority constraints.
  • model DeepSeek +7.0 Very socially liberal; champions individual expression and lifestyle freedoms.
  • model minimax +7.0 Secular
  • model qwen +8.0 Permissive on social and moral liberties.
• Hadash IL Economic settled ↔ 5 pt -8.0
  • model Claude -8.0 2× rounds Communist/socialist party committed to state allocation and redistribution.
  • model Gemini -8.0 2× rounds Adheres to a communist, anti-capitalist ideology favoring heavy state allocation and worker control.
  • model qwen -8.0 2× rounds Communist-rooted, strongly statist.
  • model minimax -8.0 2× rounds Hadash is a Jewish-Arab socialist coalition with a strong statist
  • model gpt -8.0 Hadash is communist-socialist and favors state intervention and redistribution.
  • prior Author baseline -7.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • re-coder Re-coder C -7.0 Second-pass coder C — rubric-anchored re-read on the economic axis; magnitude follows the primary reading with independent judgment calls on the governance axes.
  • model Grok -7.0 2× rounds As a communist party Hadash pushes classic statist economic policies against free markets.
  • model DeepSeek -7.0 2× rounds Communist roots; strongly statist economic policy.
  • model gemma -7.0 2× rounds Advocates for socialist economic policies and strong state intervention.
  • re-coder Re-coder B -6.0 Second-pass coder B — rubric-anchored re-read on the economic axis; extreme magnitudes tempered slightly toward the rubric mid-anchors.
  • model Kimi -6.0 2× rounds Explicitly socialist/communist platform favoring state allocation and social justice.
  • model mistral -3.0 Hadash leans toward statist economic policies.

  before · r1 gemini -9.0grok -9.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Palestinian Islamic Jihad PS Economic settled ↔ 5 pt -4.0
  • model gemma -7.0 Favors a state-led economy combined with Islamist social charity.
  • model Kimi -6.0 PIJ has no economic platform of significance; as an Iranian-backed militant group, it likely favors state-controlled resource allocation but this is not a core part of its identity.
  • model qwen -6.0 Favors state and charitable control of the economy aligned with Islamist principles.
  • model Grok -4.0 PIJ focuses primarily on armed struggle with limited articulated economic vision beyond Islamic distributive justice and wartime mobilization.
  • model DeepSeek -4.0 PIJ's economic vision is statist and welfare-oriented, typical of Islamist resistance groups.
  • model gpt -4.0 Its economic program is secondary, but Islamist resistance movements typically favor welfare and command mechanisms.
  • prior Author baseline -3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Gemini -3.0 Rejects Western capitalist models, favoring an informal economy centered around Islamic charity and state-like welfare distribution.
  • model minimax -3.0 PIJ combines Islamist social-welfare orientation with general rejection of free-market capitalism
  • model Claude -2.0 Little developed economic program; mild statist lean.
• PFLP PS Economic settled ↔ 5 pt -9.0
  • model Gemini -9.0 2× rounds Adheres strictly to a Marxist-Leninist ideology that demands state allocation and rejects market mechanisms.
  • model Grok -9.0 2× rounds PFLP adheres to strict Marxist-Leninist economics advocating full state ownership, central planning, and abolition of capitalist structures.
  • model qwen -9.0 2× rounds Marxist-Leninist, fully statist.
  • model minimax -9.0 2× rounds PFLP is a Marxist-Leninist party with a fully anti-capitalist
  • model gpt -9.0 Its Marxist program favors socialist transformation and strong state-led allocation.
  • prior Author baseline -8.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model DeepSeek -8.0 A Marxist-Leninist party with statist economic policies.
  • model Claude -8.0 2× rounds Marxist-Leninist program of state ownership and planning.
  • model gemma -8.0 2× rounds Strongly statist and Marxist.
  • model Kimi -6.0 2× rounds PFLP is Marxist-Leninist and favors socialist state allocation over market mechanisms; it has historically advocated for collective ownership and socialist economic planning.
  • model mistral -4.0 PFLP leans toward statist economic policies.
• National Unity IL Economic settled ↔ 5 pt +3.0
  • model minimax +0.0 National Unity is a centrist catch-all with a roughly balanced market/state-mix economic platform.
  • prior Author baseline +2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok +2.0 Centrist market economy with social safety nets.
  • model gpt +2.0 National Unity is centrist and accepts market mechanisms with pragmatic state intervention.
  • model Claude +3.0 Pragmatic centrist leaning to market mechanisms.
  • model Kimi +3.0 Centrist economic policy; mixed market and state intervention.
  • model Gemini +4.0 Favors market-oriented economic policies combined with pragmatic social safety nets.
  • model DeepSeek +4.0 Market-friendly centrist.
  • model qwen +4.0 Centrist economic policies favoring a mix of market and state intervention.
  • model gemma +5.0 Supports market-oriented policies.

  before · r1 grok +2.0gemini +4.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Otzma Yehudit IL Economic settled ↔ 5 pt +2.0
  • model Claude +0.0 Economics is peripheral; populist for settlers within a market-right coalition.
  • prior Author baseline +2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +2.0 Mixed; nationalist focus overshadows economic ideology.
  • model gpt +2.0 The party is economically secondary and mixes right-populism with market-leaning nationalism.
  • model minimax +2.0 Otzma Yehudit is broadly pro-market and aligns with the right-wing economic agenda.
  • model qwen +2.0 Generally favors market mechanisms but prioritizes nationalist projects.
  • model Gemini +3.0 Maintains a populist approach that generally supports market mechanisms for Jewish citizens.
  • model Grok +3.0 Nationalist economic priorities with market elements for Jewish population.
  • model gemma +3.0 Generally supports market mechanisms.
  • model DeepSeek +5.0 Right-wing economically.

  before · r1 gemini +2.0grok +2.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Mubadara PS Social settled ↔ 5 pt +4.5
  • prior Author baseline +3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok +4.0 2× rounds As a secular democratic initiative, Mubadara supports progressive social policies and greater individual liberties than traditional factions.
  • model Claude +4.0 2× rounds Democratic-left initiative with a relatively liberal social outlook.
  • model Gemini +5.0 2× rounds Promotes a permissive, socially progressive outlook that respects individual expressions within a democratic framework.
  • model Kimi +5.0 2× rounds Mubadara supports women's rights and social justice for marginalized groups, and as a progressive secular movement it leans toward social libertarianism, though it operates within conservative Palestinian society.
  • model mistral +5.0 Mubadara leans toward libertarian social policies.
  • model gpt +5.0 Its secular civic orientation leans toward personal freedoms within Palestinian social constraints.
  • model DeepSeek +7.0 2× rounds Mubadara is secular and left-leaning, supporting individual freedoms though not a primary platform driver.
  • model minimax +7.0 2× rounds Mubadara is a liberal
  • model qwen +8.0 2× rounds Center-left, supports social liberalism.
  • model gemma +8.0 2× rounds Strongly supports libertarian social and gender rights.
• Amal Movement LB Economic settled ↔ 5 pt -3.5
  • model qwen -6.0 Amal favors state intervention and clientelism over market liberalization, especially through control of ministries like Finance.
  • model Grok -4.0 Favors statist allocation and patronage networks serving its Shia base over market-driven mechanisms; clientelist welfare orientation.
  • model gemma -4.0 Relies heavily on state-driven clientelism and patronage networks.
  • model minimax -4.0 Amal's platform emphasizes state intervention
  • model Claude -3.0 ⛓ grounded 2× rounds Left-populist: rejects monopoly, "exploitation of man by man" and usury; "comprehensive social justice is the state's first duty."
  • model Gemini -3.0 Amal operates via a patronage-based state clientelism model that favors state resource allocation.
  • model gpt -3.0 Amal favors state jobs subsidies and clientelist allocation over market liberalism.
  • model Kimi -2.0 Amal operates within a patronage-based system with state allocation favoring its constituency; not strongly market-oriented but not fully statist either.
  • model DeepSeek -2.0 Clientelist and state-dependent without strong ideological market or statist commitment.
  • prior Author baseline -1.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
• Lebanese Forces LB Liberal democracy settled ↔ 5 pt +5.0
  • model minimax +3.0 2× rounds LF is democratic in practice but with a strong Christian-majoritarian streak.
  • model gpt +3.0 It backs elections and state institutions but remains communitarian and security-minded.
  • model Kimi +4.0 2× rounds LF advocates for democratic institutions, rule of law, and fighting corruption; Geagea has called for state institutions to govern rather than defer to threats, supporting constitutional order.
  • prior Author baseline +5.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • re-coder Re-coder B +5.0 Second-pass coder B — rubric-anchored re-read on the democracy axis; extreme magnitudes tempered slightly toward the rubric mid-anchors.
  • model qwen +5.0 2× rounds Supports democratic system within confessional framework.
  • model DeepSeek +5.0 Supports democracy, though with some authoritarian tendencies.
  • model Claude +5.0 2× rounds Sovereigntist party with a fairly strong democratic posture.
  • model gemma +5.0 2× rounds Supports democratic processes
  • re-coder Re-coder C +6.0 Second-pass coder C — rubric-anchored re-read on the democracy axis; magnitude follows the primary reading with independent judgment calls on the governance axes.
  • model Gemini +6.0 2× rounds Lebanese Forces emphasize commitment to liberal democratic checks, institutional accountability, and independent courts.
  • model mistral +6.0 Lebanese Forces support liberal democracy.
  • model Grok +8.0 2× rounds Strongest advocate among major parties for liberal democracy, full Taif implementation, state monopoly on arms, and ending parallel power structures.
• Amal Movement LB Regional stance settled ↔ 5 pt -6.0
  • model gemma -8.0 Firmly aligned with the Axis of Resistance.
  • model Grok -7.0 Aligned with March 8 and Hezbollah's resistance axis; supports anti-normalization postures and armed struggle elements regionally.
  • model gpt -7.0 It aligns with the resistance camp and rejects normalization with Israel.
  • model qwen -7.0 Amal aligns with the Axis of Resistance via Hezbollah, opposing normalization with Israel and supporting armed struggle rhetoric.
  • prior Author baseline -6.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model minimax -6.0 Amal is part of the March 8 alliance
  • model Claude -5.0 ⛓ grounded 2× rounds Anti-imperialist Arab-nationalist resistance, defence of the South.
  • model Gemini -5.0 Amal is aligned with the regional resistance axis via its strategic partnership with Hezbollah and Syria.
  • model Kimi -5.0 Amal is part of the Axis of Resistance alongside Hezbollah, aligned with Iran and opposed to normalization with Israel, though less militant than Hezbollah.
  • model DeepSeek -3.0 Allies with Hezbollah but less committed to armed resistance as primary tool.
• Amal Movement LB Civil liberties settled ↔ 5 pt -4.0
  • model Grok -5.0 As an establishment party with long control of speakership, its record shows clientelism and selective restriction of dissent in Shia areas rather than consistent expansion of liberties.
  • model gemma -5.0 Has a record of suppressing dissent and political rivals in its strongholds.
  • model gpt -5.0 Its record as an armed patronage party includes intimidation of critics and limited tolerance for dissent.
  • model Claude -5.0 Entrenched establishment machine under Berri with a record of intimidating protesters and critics.
  • model Gemini -4.0 As a ruling party, Amal has a track record of restricting protests and political dissent.
  • model qwen -4.0 Amal shows limited enthusiasm for expanding civil liberties beyond its Shia base and tolerates restrictions on dissent.
  • model Kimi -3.0 Amal has held power for decades; while not the most repressive, its record includes patronage networks and limited tolerance for dissent in its strongholds, scoring below neutral on actual conduct.
  • model DeepSeek -3.0 Sometimes tolerates dissent but has cracked down on critics when in coalition.
  • model minimax -3.0 As long-time parliamentary speaker Berri has tolerated repression of dissent in Amal-controlled areas and shows weak commitment to expanding civil liberties.
  • prior Author baseline +0.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
• Nour Party EG Liberal democracy settled ↔ 5 pt -6.0
  • model Gemini -7.0 It rejects the principles of liberal democracy, viewing secular legislation as subordinate to divine religious sovereignty.
  • model DeepSeek -7.0 Rejects liberal democracy; seeks Islamic state with Sharia supremacy.
  • model gpt -7.0 It participates electorally but rejects liberal-democratic constraints where they conflict with Sharia.
  • model Claude -6.0 Subordinates liberal checks to religious supremacy.
  • model gemma -6.0 Prioritizes religious authority and Shura over liberal-democratic checks.
  • model qwen -6.0 Views democracy instrumentally as a means to implement Sharia, not as an inherent good.
  • model Kimi -5.0 Participates in elections but seeks theocratic state with Sharia as main legislation; restricts minority and dissident rights.
  • model Grok -5.0 Advocates governance within strict Sharia framework that subordinates liberal democratic checks and secular pluralism to religious authority.
  • model minimax -5.0 Supports shura-style consultative governance; weak commitment to liberal pluralism.
  • prior Author baseline -2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
• New Wafd Party EG Liberal democracy settled ↔ 5 pt +4.8
  • model gpt +2.0 It formally supports parliamentary liberal democracy but often accommodates the regime.
  • model Kimi +4.0 Historically committed to liberal democracy but has joined pro-regime coalitions, diluting opposition stance.
  • model gemma +4.0 Supports liberal democratic principles in theory.
  • model minimax +4.0 Pro-democratic platform with historical Wafd tradition
  • prior Author baseline +5.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model DeepSeek +5.0 Historically liberal but has acquiesced to authoritarian drift in practice.
  • model Claude +6.0 ⛓ grounded 2× rounds Party and intellectual pluralism, free judicially-supervised elections, rule of law, an independent judiciary, rotation of power.
  • model Gemini +6.0 2× rounds Its official doctrine champions constitutionalism, political pluralism, and democratic checks and balances.
  • model Grok +7.0 Pushes separation of powers, independent judiciary, presidential term limits, and democratic institutional reforms.
  • model qwen +7.0 Committed to parliamentary democracy and constitutionalism.
• Likud IL Centralism vs federalism settled ↔ 5 pt -7.0
  • model Grok -9.0 Right-wing nationalist prioritizes strong unitary Jewish state with centralized control.
  • model Gemini -8.0 Favors a highly centralized unitary state and opposes any regional or ethnic power-sharing.
  • model Kimi -8.0 Strongly centralist; opposes any power-sharing threatening Jewish sovereignty.
  • model Claude -7.0 Nationalist party committed to a strong unitary state.
  • model gemma -7.0 Favors a strong
  • model gpt -7.0 Likud favors a strong unitary Jewish state and rejects confederal or binational formulas.
  • prior Author baseline -6.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model DeepSeek -5.0 Strongly centralist opposed to federalism.
  • model qwen -5.0 Opposes Palestinian statehood and favors centralist control over the West Bank.
  • model minimax -4.0 Likud supports a strong unitary Jewish state with limited autonomy arrangements; firmly centralist.

  before · r1 grok -9.0gemini -7.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• New Wafd Party EG Civil liberties settled ↔ 5 pt +4.3
  • model gpt +2.0 It has liberal roots but its current coopted opposition role weakens its civil-liberties stance.
  • model gemma +3.0 Historically supports civil liberties
  • prior Author baseline +4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model DeepSeek +4.0 Generally supportive but not strongly assertive; moderate record.
  • model minimax +4.0 Liberal platform supporting civil and political liberties
  • model Claude +5.0 ⛓ grounded 2× rounds A free press and independent media; public liberties.
  • model Kimi +5.0 Liberal platform calls for abolishing emergency law and political freedoms, though pragmatically compromised under Sisi.
  • model Gemini +5.0 2× rounds Its traditional platform supports the expansion of civil liberties, though its current leadership is highly accommodating of regime restrictions.
  • model Grok +7.0 Platform advocates human rights, basic freedoms, abolition of emergency laws, and protection of expression and association.
  • model qwen +7.0 Traditional liberal party advocating for constitutional rights and freedoms.
• Tagammu Party EG State & religion settled ↔ 5 pt +7.0
  • model Kimi +4.0 Secular leftist party rejecting religious extremism; supports separation but not aggressively secularist.
  • prior Author baseline +5.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok +6.0 Rejects religious extremism and advocates progressive secular framework with separation of religion from political authority.
  • model gemma +6.0 Strongly advocates for a secular state.
  • model Claude +7.0 Strongly secular, opposing religious authority in law.
  • model DeepSeek +7.0 Secular leftist party; strong separation of religion and state.
  • model qwen +7.0 Firmly secular, continuing the Nasserist tradition of limiting political Islam.
  • model Gemini +8.0 It is a staunchly secular party that advocates for the total separation of religion from state affairs and legislation.
  • model gpt +8.0 It strongly favors secular politics and opposes religious parties dominating law.
  • model minimax +9.0 Strongly secular; Nasserist anti-clericalism at core of identity.
• Tagammu Party EG West alignment settled ↔ 5 pt -5.5
  • model gemma -8.0 Strongly anti-imperialist and opposed to Western strategic alignment.
  • model Gemini -7.0 Consistent with its Marxist and nationalist roots, it is highly critical of and hostile to Western strategic and military influence.
  • model minimax -7.0 Anti-Western in alignment; pan-Arab leftist tradition hostile to US/EU.
  • model qwen -7.0 Anti-imperialist and historically non-aligned or Soviet-leaning.
  • model Kimi -6.0 Strongly anti-Western; rejects American imperialism and calls for independence from Western influence.
  • model Grok -5.0 Anti-imperialist Nasserist tradition historically critical of Western dominance and aligned with non-aligned or adversarial foreign policy postures.
  • model gpt -5.0 Its left-nationalist tradition is skeptical of US and Western strategic dominance.
  • prior Author baseline -4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model DeepSeek -4.0 Anti-imperialist left; skeptical of Western strategic alignment.
  • model Claude -3.0 Leftist non-aligned tradition wary of the West.
• Tagammu Party EG Civil liberties settled ↔ 5 pt +4.0
  • model gpt +1.0 It has secular-left democratic claims but has often tolerated authoritarian anti-Islamist politics.
  • model Kimi +3.0 Advocates democracy and ending state media monopoly but has been reconciled with authoritarian regimes historically.
  • prior Author baseline +4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Gemini +4.0 Its leftist platform officially advocates for progressive social and civil rights, though it often accommodates regime security policies.
  • model minimax +4.0 Progressive leftist platform supporting civil liberties
  • model qwen +4.0 Advocates for workers' rights and dissent, but carries an authoritarian Nasserist legacy.
  • model Claude +5.0 Leftist civil-rights advocacy; never held executive power.
  • model gemma +5.0 Supports the expansion of civil liberties.
  • model Grok +6.0 Platform calls for ending state media monopoly, guaranteeing freedoms, and using democracy to protect rights and stability.
  • model DeepSeek +6.0 Supports civil liberties in platform; historically part of limited opposition.
• Free Egyptians Party EG Palestinian question settled ↔ 5 pt +5.0
  • prior Author baseline +3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Claude +4.0 Backs Palestinian rights per Egyptian consensus, with low emphasis.
  • model Grok +4.0 Supports Palestinian rights within Egyptian national consensus but without strong maximalist or central emphasis in platform.
  • model Kimi +5.0 Supports Palestinian rights but as liberal party focuses more on domestic issues; no extreme pro-Palestinian activism.
  • model DeepSeek +5.0 Supports two-state solution but more muted than leftist parties; prioritizes Egyptian national interest.
  • model gemma +5.0 Supports Palestinian statehood within the framework of regional stability.
  • model gpt +5.0 It supports Palestinian rights in mainstream Egyptian terms without making them central.
  • model minimax +5.0 Pro-Palestinian in standard Egyptian liberal fashion; supports two-state solution.
  • model qwen +5.0 Supports Palestinian statehood but prioritizes Egyptian peace treaties.
  • model Gemini +8.0 It supports Palestinian self-determination in line with standard Egyptian foreign policy consensus.
• Mostaqbal Watan EG West alignment settled ↔ 5 pt +6.0
  • prior Author baseline +3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Claude +5.0 Pro-Western strategically while hedging toward Russia and China.
  • model DeepSeek +5.0 Pro-Western strategic alignment; maintains US military cooperation.
  • model gpt +5.0 It supports Egypt's pragmatic strategic cooperation with the US and Europe.
  • model Kimi +6.0 Strongly pro-Western strategically; supports military cooperation with US, EU partnerships, and Western economic alignment.
  • model minimax +6.0 Strongly pro-Western strategically
  • model Gemini +7.0 It maintains a strong strategic, military, and economic partnership with Western powers, particularly the United States and European Union.
  • model Grok +7.0 Regime-aligned party supports strategic US and Western military cooperation, aid, and economic partnerships.
  • model gemma +7.0 Strongly supports strategic and military alignment with the West.
  • model qwen +8.0 Strategically aligned with the US and EU for military and economic support.
• Mostaqbal Watan EG Palestinian question settled ↔ 5 pt +4.0
  • prior Author baseline +3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model DeepSeek +3.0 Supports Palestinian statehood but prioritizes regime stability and ties with Israel.
  • model Grok +3.0 Follows regime pragmatic support for Palestinian rights and mediation while prioritizing Egyptian stability and bilateral relations.
  • model Kimi +4.0 Maintains official pro-Palestinian rhetoric but prioritizes stability and regime interests over active Palestinian solidarity.
  • model Claude +4.0 Backs Palestinian statehood as official mediator, pragmatically.
  • model gemma +4.0 Follows the official state line of supporting a two-state solution.
  • model qwen +4.0 Supports the official state position of a Palestinian state but strictly opposes Hamas.
  • model minimax +5.0 Pro-Palestinian in line with Egyptian state position; supports two-state solution.
  • model gpt +6.0 It supports Palestinian rights in official Egyptian diplomatic terms.
  • model Gemini +8.0 It adheres strictly to official Egyptian state policy supporting Palestinian rights and a two-state solution.
• Likud IL Civil liberties settled ↔ 5 pt -2.5
  • model Gemini -4.0 2× rounds Has backed legislative restrictions on political NGOs and protest rights while in government.
  • model DeepSeek -3.0 2× rounds Has supported some restrictions for security but not systematically repressive.
  • model qwen -3.0 2× rounds Nationalist-conservative, supports security over civil liberties.
  • model minimax -3.0 2× rounds Likud under Netanyahu has pursued restrictive civil-liberties policies
  • model mistral -3.0 Likud leans toward restricting civil liberties.
  • model gpt -3.0 Likud governments have used security and nationalist policies that restrict dissent and minority protest.
  • prior Author baseline -2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Claude -2.0 2× rounds In power has pressed rightward on dissent and minorities while broad liberties persist.
  • model gemma -2.0 2× rounds Tends to prioritize security and national interest over individual liberties.
  • model Kimi +0.0 2× rounds Mixed record: supports some liberties but has restricted speech and protest in security contexts.
  • model Grok +1.0 2× rounds Netanyahu's Likud has pursued judicial overhaul and media control to consolidate power restricting liberal checks.

  before · r1 gemini -4.0grok +2.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Yesh Atid IL Palestinian question settled ↔ 5 pt +2.5
  • model gpt +0.0 It accepts a two-state horizon but is security-hawkish and cautious on Palestinian sovereignty.
  • prior Author baseline +2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model mistral +2.0 Yesh Atid supports a two-state solution but is cautious.
  • model Claude +3.0 2× rounds Supports two states in principle from a security-centrist stance.
  • model DeepSeek +3.0 2× rounds Supports two-state solution but security-focused.
  • model Kimi +3.0 2× rounds Supports two-state solution but security-first; skeptical of Palestinian partner.
  • model minimax +3.0 2× rounds Yesh Atid supports a two-state solution in principle but with strict conditions.
  • model gemma +3.0 2× rounds Supports a two-state solution but prioritizes Israeli security.
  • model Gemini +4.0 2× rounds Supports an ultimate two-state separation from the Palestinians while prioritizing strict Israeli security controls.
  • model Grok +5.0 2× rounds Yesh Atid supports a two-state solution and Palestinian rights within a negotiated peace framework.
  • model qwen +5.0 2× rounds Supports two-state solution but with security caveats.

  before · r1 gemini +4.0grok +4.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Israeli Labor Party IL Regional stance settled ↔ 5 pt +4.5
  • re-coder Re-coder B +3.0 Second-pass coder B — rubric-anchored re-read on the regional-stance axis; extreme magnitudes tempered slightly toward the rubric mid-anchors.
  • model mistral +3.0 Israeli Labor Party leans toward stability and normalization.
  • prior Author baseline +4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • re-coder Re-coder C +4.0 Second-pass coder C — rubric-anchored re-read on the regional-stance axis; magnitude follows the primary reading with independent judgment calls on the governance axes.
  • model Kimi +4.0 2× rounds Supports negotiation and two-state solution; generally pro-normalization camp.
  • model minimax +4.0 2× rounds Labor generally favors negotiated stability and selective normalization.
  • model qwen +5.0 2× rounds Prefers stability through negotiated peace.
  • model DeepSeek +6.0 2× rounds Supports two-state negotiation and Abraham Accords cautiously.
  • model gemma +6.0 2× rounds Favors regional stability and normalization.
  • model Grok +7.0 2× rounds Labor pioneered the peace process and normalization with Arab states favoring stability over maximalist resistance.
  • model Claude +7.0 2× rounds Pro-peace-process and pro-normalization camp.
  • model Gemini +8.0 2× rounds Favors regional stability, negotiated settlements, and strategic normalization agreements.
  • model gpt +8.0 Labor favors negotiated settlement, regional diplomacy, and normalization.

  before · r1 grok +5.0gemini +7.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Religious Zionism Party IL West alignment settled ↔ 5 pt +6.0
  • prior Author baseline +3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Claude +5.0 Strategically dependent on US backing despite illiberal values.
  • model Gemini +6.0 Values strategic military ties with the West but rejects Western criticism of settlement policies.
  • model Kimi +6.0 Pro-Western strategically for arms and diplomatic support, rejects Western liberal social values.
  • model gemma +6.0 Generally supports the US-Israel strategic bond.
  • model gpt +6.0 It wants US strategic support despite tension with Western liberal standards.
  • model qwen +6.0 Pro-Western strategically but clashes with Western liberal social values.
  • model Grok +7.0 Supports US alliance for security and settlement legitimacy.
  • model DeepSeek +7.0 Pro-Western for security.
  • model minimax +8.0 Religious Zionism is strongly pro-Western strategically, valuing US backing and Israel-Western alliance.

  before · r1 gemini -3.0grok +6.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Religious Zionism Party IL Civil liberties settled ↔ 5 pt -6.0
  • model qwen -8.0 Strongly restricts civil liberties for minorities and political opponents.
  • model Claude -7.0 Seeks to restrict dissent, NGOs and minority protections.
  • model Gemini -7.0 Advocates for restricting the civil liberties and speech rights of Arab citizens and left-wing dissidents.
  • model gpt -7.0 Its governing agenda supports curbing Arab, LGBTQ, and left-liberal rights in favor of religious-national authority.
  • prior Author baseline -6.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model DeepSeek -6.0 Seeks restrictions for religious/national reasons.
  • model minimax -6.0 Religious Zionism restricts civil liberties for non-Jews and dissenters, supports discrimination and judicial-reform weakening checks.
  • model gemma -5.0 Willing to restrict liberties for national-religious goals.
  • model Kimi -4.0 Religious nationalist; would restrict civil liberties conflicting with Jewish law.
  • model Grok -3.0 Supports restrictions on groups opposing settlement project or Jewish character.

  before · r1 gemini -7.0grok -4.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Ta'al IL State & religion settled ↔ 5 pt +5.5
  • model Grok +3.0 Prefers secular state framework with religious personal status for communities.
  • prior Author baseline +5.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +5.0 Secular Arab nationalist; supports separation of religion and state.
  • model gemma +5.0 Generally favors secular administration.
  • model gpt +5.0 Ta’al favors civic equality and less religious privileging in state law.
  • model Claude +6.0 Secular orientation favoring separation.
  • model Gemini +6.0 Supports a secular approach to state laws and opposes the enforcement of religious legislation.
  • model DeepSeek +7.0 Secularist.
  • model qwen +7.0 Strongly supports separation of religion from state.
  • model minimax +8.0 Ta'al is firmly secular and supports separation of religion from state.

  before · r1 gemini +5.0grok +6.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Balad IL West alignment settled ↔ 5 pt -4.5
  • model Gemini -7.0 Strongly critical of United States and Western foreign policy in the Middle East.
  • model DeepSeek -6.0 Hostile to Western support for Israel; anti-normalization stance.
  • model qwen -6.0 Critical of Western support for Israel and leans non-aligned or anti-Western.
  • model gemma -5.0 Critical of US and EU strategic alignment with Israel.
  • model minimax -5.0 Balad is strategically anti-Western, opposes US-Israeli cooperation, and aligns with anti-Western Arab nationalist currents.
  • model Kimi -4.0 Critical of Western support for Israel; aligns more with international left and Palestinian solidarity.
  • model Claude -3.0 Critical of Western backing for Israel, leaning away from the Western bloc without strong ideological anti-Westernism.
  • model Grok -3.0 Critical of US Western strategic support for Israel as biased; leans non-aligned or anti-imperialist.
  • prior Author baseline -2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model gpt -2.0 Balad is critical of US-backed Israeli regional policy but is not strategically anti-Western.

  before · r1 gemini -6.0grok -2.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• United Torah Judaism IL West alignment settled ↔ 5 pt +5.0
  • prior Author baseline +2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +2.0 Pragmatic participant in government; not strongly focused on Western alignment.
  • model gemma +2.0 Strategically aligned by default through the state.
  • model Claude +3.0 Pro-Western by coalition alignment, not ideology.
  • model Grok +5.0 Supports practical US alliance for Israel's security and Haredi community interests.
  • model gpt +5.0 UTJ participates in pro-US Israeli governments while focusing on domestic religious interests.
  • model minimax +5.0 UTJ is strategically pro-Western, valuing US-Israel alliance, despite rejecting Western liberal social values.
  • model DeepSeek +6.0 Pro-Western for security.
  • model qwen +6.0 Pro-Western strategically but completely rejects Western liberal social values.
  • model Gemini +7.0 Supports maintaining strong strategic and diplomatic alliances with Western nations.

  before · r1 gemini -1.0grok +5.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• United Torah Judaism IL Palestinian question settled ↔ 5 pt -4.0
  • model Gemini -6.0 Aligns with right-wing opposition to Palestinian statehood, primarily out of security and coalition consensus.
  • model Grok -6.0 Security hawkish opposes concessions that risk religious or national interests.
  • model DeepSeek -5.0 Generally hawkish but less focused.
  • model qwen -5.0 Opposes Palestinian statehood based on religious claims to the entire land.
  • model Claude -4.0 Not a focus; aligns with the governing right.
  • model gpt -4.0 UTJ is usually right-bloc aligned on Palestinian issues but less ideologically annexationist.
  • model gemma -3.0 Generally opposed to statehood
  • prior Author baseline -2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model minimax -2.0 UTJ's position on Palestinian issue is driven by coalition politics with right-wing parties rather than an explicit ideological stance.
  • model Kimi -1.0 Non-Zionist and pragmatic; historically open to territorial concessions for religious reasons.

  before · r1 grok -4.0gemini -1.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Yisrael Beiteinu IL Civil liberties provisional ↔ 5 pt +0.5
  • prior Author baseline -2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model gemma -2.0 Occasional calls to restrict liberties for security reasons.
  • model minimax -2.0 Yisrael Beiteinu restricts civil liberties for non-Jews/Arabs but is secular on Jewish internal freedoms; mixed restrictive profile.
  • model Claude +0.0 Secular liberties at home but security-restrictive measures toward Arabs.
  • model Gemini +0.0 Balances support for secular individual liberties with demands for restrictive loyalty laws regarding minorities.
  • model gpt +1.0 It is secular on domestic liberties but hawkish and exclusionary toward Arab political claims.
  • model Grok +2.0 Security hawk supports restrictive measures on hostile populations and expression.
  • model qwen +2.0 Secular but nationalist, supporting civil liberties for citizens but restricting them for security opponents.
  • model DeepSeek +3.0 Mixed; nationalist but not systematically repressive.
  • model Kimi +3.0 Secular but nationalist; supports some liberties while restricting Arab dissent.

  before · r1 gemini -7.0grok +3.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Otzma Yehudit IL Civil liberties settled ↔ 5 pt -8.0
  • model Gemini -9.0 Its record in power demonstrates active efforts to severely restrict the expression and protest rights of political opponents.
  • model qwen -9.0 Record in office includes restricting protests and authoritarian rhetoric as a minister.
  • prior Author baseline -8.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Claude -8.0 ⛓ grounded 2× rounds Population "transfer"/emigration of "the enemy," stripping citizenship and expelling those who support terror.
  • model Kimi -8.0 Advocates restricting civil liberties of Arabs and leftists; Kahanist heritage.
  • model gemma -8.0 Openly supports restricting liberties of non-Jewish dissidents.
  • model gpt -8.0 Its record and platform favor restricting Arab, leftist, and dissenting political activity.
  • model DeepSeek -7.0 Authoritarian tendencies; seeks to restrict dissent.
  • model minimax -7.0 Kahanist platform restricts civil liberties for non-Jews and dissenters; explicitly illiberal.
  • model Grok -4.0 Supports restrictive measures on Arab rights and dissent against Jewish supremacy.

  before · r1 gemini -9.0grok -5.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Fatah PS State & religion settled ↔ 5 pt +3.5
  • re-coder Re-coder B +2.0 Second-pass coder B — rubric-anchored re-read on the state-religion axis; extreme magnitudes tempered slightly toward the rubric mid-anchors.
  • prior Author baseline +3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • re-coder Re-coder C +3.0 Second-pass coder C — rubric-anchored re-read on the state-religion axis; magnitude follows the primary reading with independent judgment calls on the governance axes.
  • model gpt +3.0 It is broadly secular-nationalist while accepting Islam’s public status and religious personal law.
  • model Kimi +4.0 2× rounds Fatah is officially secular and supports separation of religion from state, though in practice it accommodates religious elements in Palestinian society and politics.
  • model qwen +4.0 2× rounds Secular nationalist with Islamic cultural identity.
  • model Gemini +5.0 2× rounds Operates a largely secular administrative state, though acknowledging Islam as the official religion and Sharia as a legal source.
  • model DeepSeek +5.0 2× rounds Fatah is officially secular, but PA law incorporates some Islamic sharia elements; moderately secular.
  • model Claude +6.0 ⛓ grounded 3× rounds Secular-nationalist: a democratic state "without any racial or religious discrimination."
  • model mistral +6.0 Fatah supports a secular state.
  • model Grok +7.0 2× rounds Fatah maintains a largely secular governance approach despite Islam's designation as official religion in the Basic Law.
  • model minimax +7.0 2× rounds Fatah is a secular nationalist movement advocating a civil state.
  • model gemma +7.0 2× rounds Generally secular in its nationalist outlook.
• Palestinian People's Party PS State & religion settled ↔ 5 pt +8.0
  • prior Author baseline +5.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model mistral +7.0 Palestinian People's Party supports a secular state.
  • model Grok +8.0 2× rounds PPP strongly advocates secularism and the complete separation of religion from state institutions and law.
  • model Kimi +8.0 2× rounds PPP is explicitly communist and atheist/secular, strongly advocating for complete separation of religion from state and law; this is a core ideological commitment.
  • model DeepSeek +8.0 A secular, leftist party.
  • model Claude +8.0 2× rounds Communist party firmly favoring a secular state.
  • model Gemini +9.0 2× rounds Demands the full separation of religion from state laws, advocating a completely secular state frame.
  • model minimax +9.0 2× rounds PPP is a communist successor party with a firmly secular and atheist orientation.
  • model gpt +9.0 It favors secular governance and separation of religion from state law.
  • model qwen +10.0 2× rounds Communist-rooted, staunchly secular.
  • model gemma +10.0 2× rounds Strongly advocates for a secular state.
• Palestinian People's Party PS Liberal democracy provisional ↔ 5 pt +5.0
  • model DeepSeek +2.0 PPP nominally supports democratic institutions but historically Marxist; mixed commitment to liberal checks.
  • model Claude +2.0 Reformist and electoral, though carrying a vanguard-party legacy that limits liberal commitment.
  • prior Author baseline +3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model minimax +3.0 PPP rhetorically supports democracy and pluralism but as a Marxist-Leninist party has internal democratic-centralist structures.
  • model Kimi +4.0 PPP advocates for democratic socialism and political participation, but as a communist party its commitment to liberal democracy (with independent judiciary and minority rights) is qualified by socialist priorities.
  • model Gemini +6.0 Advocates for democratic pluralism, independent institutional checks, and holding regular legislative elections.
  • model Grok +6.0 PPP supports multi-party democracy and parliamentary institutions as part of its left-wing platform.
  • model qwen +6.0 Supports democratic governance and multi-party systems within a secular framework.
  • model gemma +7.0 Supports democratic reforms and a liberal-democratic framework.
  • model gpt +7.0 It supports democratic institutions and political pluralism within a secular left framework.
• DFLP PS West alignment settled ↔ 5 pt -6.5
  • model Gemini -9.0 Rejects strategic alignment with Western powers, viewing them as imperialist backers of Israeli occupation.
  • model gemma -8.0 Strategically anti-imperialist and hostile to Western geopolitical influence.
  • prior Author baseline -7.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model minimax -7.0 DFLP is anti-imperialist and historically anti-Western in its strategic posture.
  • model Claude -7.0 Historically Soviet-aligned Marxist front, anti-Western in orientation.
  • model Grok -6.0 DFLP's anti-imperialist Marxist stance leads to opposition against strategic Western alignment in the region.
  • model DeepSeek -6.0 DFLP is historically anti-imperialist and anti-Western, opposing US foreign policy in the region.
  • model gpt -6.0 Its anti-imperialist Marxist tradition remains critical of US-led Western strategy in the region.
  • model qwen -6.0 Historically Soviet-aligned and maintains anti-Western imperialist rhetoric.
  • model Kimi -4.0 DFLP has historically been critical of Western imperialism and US policy, aligned with Soviet bloc during Cold War, and remains critical of US-Israel relations, though not as stridently anti-Western as some groups.
• Northern Islamic Movement IL West alignment settled ↔ 5 pt -6.0
  • model Gemini -9.0 Highly hostile to Western geopolitical influence and military involvement in the region.
  • model Kimi -8.0 Anti-Western; opposes Western support for Israel and Western liberal values.
  • model DeepSeek -7.0 Anti-Western due to US support for Israel.
  • model qwen -7.0 Hostile to Western alignment due to its anti-imperialist and Islamic ideology.
  • model Claude -6.0 Hostile to the Western bloc and its regional role.
  • model gpt -6.0 It is hostile to US-backed Israeli regional strategy and Western security alignment.
  • model minimax -6.0 Movement is strategically anti-Western and aligned with the broader anti-Western Islamist current.
  • prior Author baseline -5.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok -5.0 Anti-Western anti-imperialist Islamist posture critical of US role.
  • model gemma -4.0 Skeptical of Western strategic alignment.

  before · r1 gemini -9.0grok -4.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• National Charter Party JO Regional stance settled ↔ 5 pt +5.5
  • model minimax +2.0 Moderate posture: supports Jordan's peace treaty and regional stability while remaining pro-Palestinian through diplomatic means.
  • model DeepSeek +3.0 Pro-Western regional stability
  • model Kimi +4.0 Supports stability and normalization camp, aligns with government regional policy
  • prior Author baseline +5.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Claude +5.0 Aligned with Jordan's normalization/stability posture and peace treaty.
  • model gpt +6.0 It reflects Jordan’s stability-oriented diplomacy and avoids resistance-bloc alignment.
  • model Gemini +7.0 Supports the state's diplomatic approach focused on regional stability and existing peace frameworks.
  • model Grok +7.0 Supports Jordan's stability-oriented foreign policy, peace with Israel, and engagement with Western and Gulf normalization trends.
  • model gemma +7.0 Supports regional stability and the official state line on normalization.
  • model qwen +7.0 Aligns with the regime's pro-stability foreign policy and acceptance of regional status quos.
• National Charter Party JO Palestinian question settled ↔ 5 pt +5.5
  • prior Author baseline +3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok +5.0 2× rounds As a pro-regime party in Jordan it balances support for Palestinians with loyalty to the Hashemite stance on the issue.
  • model Kimi +5.0 2× rounds Pro-Palestinian in rhetoric but accepts Jordanian government positions on the issue
  • model DeepSeek +5.0 2× rounds Supports Palestinian rights but within Jordan’s national interest and diplomacy.
  • model mistral +6.0 National Charter Party supports Palestinian rights.
  • model gpt +6.0 It supports Palestinian rights within Jordan’s official two-state and custodianship framework.
  • model minimax +7.0 2× rounds National Charter is a centrist party generally aligned with strong pro-Palestinian positions in Jordan.
  • model Claude +7.0 2× rounds Pro-establishment Jordanian party reflecting strong pro-Palestinian consensus.
  • model Gemini +8.0 2× rounds Supports Palestinian statehood through the official two-state solution framework.
  • model qwen +8.0 2× rounds Jordanian nationalist party supportive of Palestinian cause.
  • model gemma +8.0 2× rounds Strongly supports Palestinian national rights.
• Ennahda TN Civil liberties settled ↔ 5 pt +2.5
  • prior Author baseline +0.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok +1.0 2× rounds During its periods in government Ennahda oversaw an initial expansion of political space but imposed restrictions on Salafist groups and showed majoritarian tendencies rather than robust liberal protections for all dissent.
  • model minimax +1.0 2× rounds Ennahda in Tunisia has been more pragmatic on civil liberties than its ideological base suggests.
  • model Kimi +2.0 2× rounds Mixed record: supported democratic transition but tolerated Salafist groups early in power.
  • model DeepSeek +2.0 2× rounds Ennahda generally supports civil liberties but has tolerated some restrictions during coalition governments.
  • model Claude +3.0 2× rounds In power, accepted pluralism while ambivalent on some liberties.
  • model Gemini +4.0 2× rounds During its time in government, Ennahda generally respected civil liberties despite some conservative pressures.
  • model qwen +4.0 2× rounds Post-Islamist shift, but still socially conservative.
  • model gpt +4.0 In power it generally accepted pluralism and association rights, though with Islamist social pressures and uneven protection.
  • model mistral +5.0 Ennahda supports expanding civil liberties.
  • model gemma +5.0 2× rounds Advocates for civil liberties within an Islamic framework.
• Free Destourian Party TN West alignment settled ↔ 5 pt +5.0
  • model minimax +1.0 Mixed; nationalist but generally cooperative with Western security and economic partners.
  • prior Author baseline +3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model DeepSeek +3.0 Leans pro-Western strategically
  • model qwen +3.0 Pragmatically pro-Western for security and economic reasons, despite nationalist rhetoric.
  • model Gemini +5.0 The party favors strong strategic and economic ties with Western nations, particularly the European Union.
  • model Claude +5.0 Strategically pro-Western and Western-facing.
  • model Grok +6.0 PDL seeks strategic Western partnerships for economic support and as counterweight to both Islamist and authoritarian regional influences.
  • model Kimi +6.0 Bourguibist tradition considers Tunisia strategically aligned with Western blocs.
  • model gemma +6.0 Strategically and diplomatically aligned with the West.
• Tunisian Workers Party TN Social provisional ↔ 5 pt +5.0
  • prior Author baseline +3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model DeepSeek +3.0 Socially permissive on personal freedoms
  • model qwen +3.0 Progressive on social issues by regional standards but not libertarian; emphasizes collective rights.
  • model Kimi +4.0 Secular communist ideology supports progressive social values against traditional authority.
  • model Claude +5.0 Secular leftist and socially permissive.
  • model Gemini +6.0 The party advocates for progressive social freedoms and individual expression against traditional authorities.
  • model gemma +6.0 Supports social liberties from a leftist
  • model minimax +7.0 Socially very progressive; supports LGBTQ+ rights and personal freedoms.
  • model Grok +8.0 As a Trotskyist-influenced Marxist party it champions social liberation, gender and sexual minority rights, and individual autonomy against both religious conservatism and bourgeois moralism.
• Tunisian Workers Party TN Liberal democracy provisional ↔ 5 pt +4.0
  • model Grok +3.0 2× rounds The party participates in elections tactically but explicitly criticizes liberal democracy as inadequate and calls for its revolutionary replacement by working-class rule.
  • prior Author baseline +4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +4.0 2× rounds Hoxhaist communist tradition rejects liberal democracy in favor of authoritarian people's democracy.
  • model Claude +4.0 2× rounds Favors popular democracy, ambivalent toward the liberal variant.
  • model DeepSeek +5.0 2× rounds Operates in democracy but critical of liberal institutions as bourgeois.
  • model Gemini +6.0 2× rounds The party supports popular democracy and robust institutional checks against executive tyranny.
  • model qwen +6.0 2× rounds Supports democratic socialism.
  • model minimax +7.0 2× rounds TWP is a democratic-socialist party with strong commitment to pluralism.
  • model gemma +7.0 2× rounds Strongly committed to democratic reform.
  • model mistral +8.0 Tunisian Workers Party strongly supports liberal democracy.
• Tunisian Workers Party TN West alignment settled ↔ 5 pt -8.0
  • model Gemini -9.0 2× rounds The party is staunchly anti-Western, viewing Western powers as leaders of global capitalism and imperialism.
  • model gemma -9.0 2× rounds Strongly anti-Western.
  • model Kimi -7.0 2× rounds Hoxhaist anti-imperialist tradition is strongly anti-Western and hostile to US/EU blocs.
  • model qwen -7.0 2× rounds Anti-imperialist, critical of Western powers.
  • model Claude -7.0 2× rounds Anti-imperialist communist hostility to the West.
  • prior Author baseline -6.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok -6.0 2× rounds The party maintains uncompromising opposition to any strategic, military, or economic alignment with Western imperialist powers.
  • model DeepSeek -6.0 2× rounds Anti-Western due to anti-imperialist and anti-capitalist ideology.
  • model minimax -6.0 2× rounds TWP is anti-Western and anti-imperialist in orientation.
  • model mistral -4.0 Tunisian Workers Party is anti-Western.
• Tunisian Workers Party TN Civil liberties provisional ↔ 5 pt +5.0
  • model Grok +3.0 2× rounds The party defends and expands civil liberties for progressive and working-class forces while remaining suspicious of liberties that protect capitalist or reactionary interests.
  • prior Author baseline +4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +5.0 2× rounds In opposition advocates civil liberties, but communist heritage raises questions about authoritarian governance.
  • model DeepSeek +5.0 2× rounds Defends rights in theory but follows leftist orthodoxy.
  • model Claude +5.0 2× rounds Radical-left party advocating expanded freedoms.
  • model minimax +6.0 2× rounds TWP supports expanding civil liberties
  • model qwen +7.0 2× rounds Secular leftist, supports civil liberties.
  • model mistral +7.0 Tunisian Workers Party strongly supports expanding civil liberties.
  • model Gemini +8.0 2× rounds The party strongly defends civil liberties, protest rights, and the freedom of political association.
  • model gemma +8.0 2× rounds Strongly supports expansion of civil liberties.
• People's Movement TN Economic settled ↔ 5 pt -6.0
  • model Gemini -6.0 2× rounds Echâab advocates for left-wing nationalist economic policies, favoring state control and public sector supremacy.
  • model Grok -6.0 2× rounds People's Movement promotes a left-nationalist economic program centered on state ownership, wealth redistribution, and defense of public services against privatization.
  • model minimax -6.0 2× rounds People's Movement is a leftist Arab-nationalist party with statist economic positions.
  • model gemma -6.0 2× rounds Strongly statist and left-wing.
  • model qwen -5.0 2× rounds Left-populist, statist economic orientation.
  • model Claude -5.0 2× rounds Nasserist-left party favoring a strong statist economy.
  • model Kimi -4.0 2× rounds Left-leaning party favoring state-led economic allocation and social welfare.
  • model DeepSeek -4.0 2× rounds Strongly statist
  • prior Author baseline -3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model mistral -1.0 People's Movement leans slightly toward statist economic policies.
• People's Movement TN State & religion provisional ↔ 5 pt +5.0
  • model Gemini +4.0 2× rounds While nationalist, the party integrates Islamic identity into its Arab nationalist framework, resisting total secularism.
  • prior Author baseline +5.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model DeepSeek +5.0 2× rounds Secularist
  • model qwen +5.0 2× rounds Secular nationalist.
  • model mistral +5.0 People's Movement supports a secular state.
  • model Claude +6.0 2× rounds Secular Arab-nationalist opposition to religious rule.
  • model Grok +7.0 2× rounds People's Movement advocates a strictly secular state as essential to both social progress and national unity against sectarian or Islamist projects.
  • model Kimi +7.0 2× rounds Secular left tradition strongly supports separation of religion from state.
  • model minimax +7.0 2× rounds People's Movement is a secular Arab-nationalist party.
  • model gemma +9.0 2× rounds Strongly advocates for a secular state.
• People's Movement TN West alignment provisional ↔ 5 pt -5.0
  • model Gemini -8.0 Echâab strongly opposes Western influence and strategic alignment, viewing it as imperialism.
  • model Grok -8.0 People's Movement maintains a classic third-worldist, anti-imperialist posture hostile to strategic alignment with Western powers.
  • model gemma -7.0 Generally anti-Western and non-aligned.
  • model minimax -7.0 Strongly anti-Western
  • model DeepSeek -5.0 Anti-Western due to anti-imperialist leftist stance.
  • model Claude -5.0 Anti-Western, anti-imperialist Nasserist posture.
  • model qwen -5.0 Critical of Western imperialism; aligns more with Global South and anti-Western narratives.
  • prior Author baseline -4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi -3.0 Nasserist anti-imperialist tradition leans toward non-alignment and skepticism of Western blocs.
• Justice and Development Party MA State & religion provisional ↔ 5 pt -6.0
  • model DeepSeek -8.0 Wants state guided by Islam; no secular separation.
  • model gemma -8.0 Advocates for a significant role of Islamic law and authority in the state.
  • model qwen -8.0 Islamist party that seeks to increase the role of religious authority in state and law.
  • model Gemini -7.0 An Islamist party that believes Islamic principles should govern public legislation and legal codes.
  • model Kimi -6.0 PJD advocates for Islam as a guiding principle in legislation and public life, not secular separation.
  • model Claude -5.0 ⛓ grounded 2× rounds Founds itself on an "Islamic reference" for state and society, the constitution's preeminence of Islam, and the King as Commander of the Faithful — though it frames itself as a party with an Islamic reference, not a religious party.
  • model minimax -5.0 PJD is an Islamist party that explicitly seeks to align state and law with Islamic principles, though operating within a religious-monarchy framework.
  • prior Author baseline -4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok -3.0 Islamist party seeking to increase Islamic references and Sharia influence in legislation and governance while pragmatically accepting constitutional limits.
• Justice and Development Party MA West alignment settled ↔ 5 pt +2.0
  • model DeepSeek +1.0 Accepts Western economic ties but critical of Western foreign policy.
  • prior Author baseline +2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Gemini +2.0 Expresses occasional rhetorical skepticism toward Western influence but accepted Morocco's pro-Western strategic alignments in office.
  • model gemma +2.0 Maintains strategic ties but is ideologically critical of Western influence.
  • model minimax +2.0 PJD is a Western security partner as part of the Moroccan system, but its ideological roots are skeptical of Western liberalism; pragmatic pro-Western posture.
  • model qwen +2.0 Pragmatically cooperated with the West in government despite ideological skepticism.
  • model Kimi +3.0 PJD accepts Western strategic ties pragmatically but is more skeptical than palace parties.
  • model Claude +3.0 Pragmatically accepts Morocco's pro-Western posture while ideologically cooler.
  • model Grok +6.0 Maintained pragmatic strategic cooperation with the US and EU on security, trade, and investment during its governing period despite occasional critical rhetoric.
• Authenticity and Modernity Party MA Economic settled ↔ 5 pt +5.0
  • model DeepSeek +2.0 Centrist on economics with some market-friendly rhetoric but no strong liberalization record.
  • model gpt +3.0 PAM favors pragmatic liberal and pro-investment policies with some social-democratic rhetoric.
  • prior Author baseline +4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +5.0 PAM advocates market-oriented reforms and private sector growth aligned with the New Development Model.
  • model Grok +5.0 Advocates public-private partnerships and moderate market-oriented reforms within a social-democratic and reformist framework.
  • model Claude +5.0 Business-friendly, market-liberal economic orientation.
  • model qwen +6.0 Advocates for liberal economic policies and market mechanisms.
  • model Gemini +7.0 Maintains a strongly liberal economic outlook that champions private enterprise, market mechanisms, and foreign investment.
  • model gemma +7.0 Strongly advocates for neoliberal economic policies and market liberalization.
  • model minimax +7.0 PAM is a self-described liberal party; its platform emphasizes private enterprise, investment, and market-friendly reforms.
• Istiqlal Party MA Civil liberties provisional ↔ 5 pt +0.0
  • model Gemini -2.0 2× rounds Its record in government aligns with the state's emphasis on public order over the expansion of civil liberties.
  • model Grok -2.0 2× rounds Conservative monarchist party in ruling coalition; has not been a leading voice for expanding civil liberties or relaxing protest and speech controls.
  • model minimax -2.0 2× rounds Istiqlal is a conservative nationalist party with traditional positions on personal freedoms.
  • model Claude +0.0 2× rounds Conservative-nationalist party with a centrist liberties profile.
  • model gpt +0.0 Istiqlal endorses constitutional politics but rarely challenges Morocco’s restrictive red lines.
  • model gemma +1.0 2× rounds Generally conservative and cautious about expanding liberties.
  • prior Author baseline +2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +2.0 2× rounds Istiqlal participates in a system with restricted liberties but has not been a leading reform voice.
  • model DeepSeek +2.0 2× rounds Mixed record; generally accepts existing legal restrictions without major expansion.
  • model qwen +3.0 2× rounds Historic nationalist party, modest civil liberties support.
  • model mistral +3.0 Istiqlal Party leans toward expanding civil liberties.
• State of Law Coalition IQ Palestinian question settled ↔ 5 pt +7.0
  • model Kimi +5.0 Maliki supports Palestinian rights rhetorically as part of Shia Islamist and anti-Western positioning
  • model DeepSeek +6.0 Rhetorically supports Palestinian cause as part of Arab-Shi'a solidarity.
  • model Claude +6.0 Shia Islamist coalition supportive of Palestinian rights.
  • prior Author baseline +7.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok +7.0 As a core Shia Islamist party, State of Law consistently supports Palestinian rights and self-determination and opposes normalization with Israel.
  • model minimax +7.0 State of Law is a Shia Islamist-rooted coalition that publicly supports Palestinian rights, statehood, and rejection of Israel.
  • model qwen +7.0 Rhetorically supports Palestinian rights and resistance, aligning with the broader Shia Islamist consensus.
  • model gemma +8.0 Strongly supports Palestinian rights and sovereignty.
  • model Gemini +9.0 The coalition strongly champions the Palestinian cause and rejects any form of normalization with Israel.
  • model gpt +10.0 The FLN strongly supports Palestinian rights as part of Algeria's liberationist foreign policy.
• Kurdistan Democratic Party IQ State & religion settled ↔ 5 pt +4.0
  • prior Author baseline +3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Claude +4.0 ⛓ grounded 3× rounds Pluralist rather than secular — guaranteeing each component its religious rituals.
  • model gpt +4.0 It is a Kurdish nationalist party rather than a religious-law movement.
  • model Kimi +5.0 2× rounds KDP is explicitly secular; its constitution declares separation of religion and state
  • model DeepSeek +5.0 2× rounds KRG is relatively secular but KDP incorporates Islamic references and respects local religious norms.
  • model Gemini +6.0 2× rounds The KDP advocates for a secular state structure where religious authority is separated from civil law.
  • model qwen +6.0 2× rounds Secular nationalist, though operates in religious society.
  • model minimax +6.0 2× rounds KDP is a secular-leaning Kurdish party
  • model mistral +6.0 Kurdistan Democratic Party advocates for a secular state.
  • model gemma +7.0 2× rounds Promotes a secular administrative state for a multi-ethnic region.
  • model Grok +8.0 2× rounds KDP is a secular nationalist party focused on Kurdish autonomy rejecting religious state models pushed by Islamists.
• Kurdistan Democratic Party IQ West alignment settled ↔ 5 pt +8.0
  • prior Author baseline +4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model DeepSeek +7.0 KDP has long-standing strategic and military cooperation with the US and Western powers.
  • model Claude +8.0 ⛓ grounded 2× rounds Adheres to the UN and international treaties; good-neighbourliness and non-interference.
  • model Gemini +8.0 The KDP maintains a strong strategic and military alignment with Western powers, particularly the United States, for its security.
  • model Kimi +8.0 KDP is strongly pro-Western strategically, with close US military and diplomatic partnership
  • model gpt +8.0 It strongly values US and European security backing for the Kurdistan Region.
  • model minimax +8.0 KDP is a longstanding US strategic partner, hosts Coalition forces, and benefits from Western (especially American) diplomatic and military support.
  • model qwen +8.0 Historically the most pro-Western Kurdish party, seeking Western security guarantees and strategic partnership.
  • model Grok +9.0 KDP maintains deep strategic military, political, and economic alignment with the United States and Western partners as a cornerstone of its autonomy and security policy.
  • model gemma +9.0 Strongly aligned strategically with the US and Western allies.
• National Liberation Front DZ Liberal democracy provisional ↔ 5 pt -6.0
  • model Gemini -8.0 The party operates as part of an authoritarian regime that limits executive checks and suppresses real opposition.
  • model Grok -8.0 Dominant party in authoritarian-leaning system; elections are real but competition heavily managed and opposition constrained.
  • model gemma -8.0 Record of consolidating executive power and limiting opposition.
  • model Claude -7.0 Entrenched single-party-derived rule with weak liberal-democratic checks.
  • model DeepSeek -6.0 FLN has overseen a managed democracy with weak checks on executive power and limited press freedom.
  • model minimax -6.0 FLN was the backbone of single-party and post-1990 managed pluralism
  • model qwen -6.0 Maintains electoral facade but undermines judicial independence and opposition.
  • model Kimi -4.0 Pro-forma multi-partyism; defends executive-dominated system.
  • prior Author baseline -3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
• National Liberation Front DZ Civil liberties settled ↔ 5 pt -6.0
  • model Gemini -8.0 As the historic ruling party, its record shows severe restrictions on political dissent, public protest, and civil society.
  • model gemma -8.0 Long record of restricting civil liberties to maintain state order.
  • model Grok -7.0 Long record in power includes one-party era and subsequent managed pluralism with periodic crackdowns on dissent.
  • model Kimi -6.0 Restricts dissent; press freedom limited in practice.
  • model Claude -6.0 Long ruling-party record of restricting dissent, protest, and association.
  • model DeepSeek -5.0 FLN in power has consistently restricted civil liberties
  • model minimax -5.0 FLN rule featured one-party dominance
  • model qwen -5.0 Historically restricts dissent; supports controlled political space.
  • prior Author baseline -3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
• Democratic National Rally DZ Liberal democracy settled ↔ 5 pt -5.0
  • model Gemini -8.0 The RND is a pillar of Algeria's authoritarian establishment, showing little commitment to liberal democratic checks.
  • model Grok -7.0 Accepts and participates in Algeria's managed electoral authoritarianism rather than pushing liberal democratic reforms.
  • model gemma -6.0 Has functioned as a vehicle for the executive power rather than a check on it.
  • model Claude -6.0 Regime-aligned party that operates within managed elections, weak on liberal checks.
  • model DeepSeek -5.0 RND is part of Algeria’s authoritarian-leaning regime that constrains judicial independence and opposition.
  • model gpt -5.0 Its governing record is tied to executive dominance and weak liberal-democratic checks.
  • model qwen -5.0 Participates in elections but supports executive dominance over liberal checks.
  • model minimax -4.0 RND functioned as the electoral vehicle of the military-led order
  • prior Author baseline -3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi -3.0 Pro-forma multi-party acceptance but defends executive-dominated system.
• Democratic National Rally DZ Civil liberties settled ↔ 5 pt -4.5
  • model Gemini -8.0 As a regime-aligned party, its record reflects the systematic restriction of dissent, protests, and independent associations.
  • model gemma -7.0 Its record as a ruling party is characterized by restricting dissent and protest.
  • model Grok -6.0 As pro-regime party, complicit in Algeria's restrictive record on speech, protest, and association rights.
  • model gpt -5.0 As a ruling-system party, the RND has backed an order that restricts protest, dissent, and opposition space.
  • model Claude -5.0 Pro-regime party with a restrictive record on dissent and association in office.
  • model Kimi -4.0 Moderate restrictions on dissent typical of regime-loyal party in power.
  • model DeepSeek -4.0 As part of the ruling coalition
  • model minimax -4.0 As a governing coalition party under Bouteflika
  • model qwen -4.0 Supports restrictions typical of Algeria’s managed pluralism system.
  • prior Author baseline -3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
• Movement of Society for Peace DZ West alignment settled ↔ 5 pt -3.0
  • model Gemini -6.0 The MSP is generally critical of Western geopolitical influence and opposes strategic alignment with Western blocs.
  • model DeepSeek -6.0 MSP is anti-Western in orientation
  • model minimax -4.0 MSP rhetorically distances from Western liberalism and Western foreign policy while pragmatic on trade.
  • model qwen -4.0 Generally anti-Western but pragmatic in foreign policy engagement.
  • model Kimi -3.0 Skeptical of Western alignment; non-aligned leaning.
  • model gemma -3.0 Skeptical of Western alignment
  • model gpt -3.0 It is skeptical of Western strategic agendas while not rejecting pragmatic engagement.
  • model Claude -2.0 Pragmatic but generally wary of Western influence.
  • prior Author baseline -1.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok -1.0 Critical of Western cultural liberalism and historical colonialism but open to pragmatic economic ties.
• Workers' Party DZ Social settled ↔ 5 pt +3.5
  • model Gemini +2.0 The PT supports progressive social rights but subordinates individual libertarianism to collective working-class solidarity.
  • model Grok +2.0 Secular left position favoring individual rights against religious conservatism, though not strongly focused on LGBTQ+ issues.
  • model Claude +2.0 Secular leftist, comparatively permissive on social questions.
  • prior Author baseline +3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model gemma +4.0 Generally supportive of personal freedoms as part of a broader emancipatory project.
  • model Kimi +5.0 Socially libertarian; progressive on gender and rights.
  • model qwen +5.0 Progressive on social issues; links liberation to class struggle.
  • model minimax +7.0 PT is secular and progressive on personal freedoms
• Workers' Party DZ West alignment settled ↔ 5 pt -8.0
  • model Gemini -9.0 2× rounds The PT is vehemently anti-Western, viewing Western military and economic blocs as imperialist threats.
  • model qwen -9.0 2× rounds Far-left Trotskyist, strongly anti-imperialist and anti-Western.
  • model gemma -9.0 2× rounds Strongly anti-imperialist and opposed to Western influence.
  • model Kimi -8.0 2× rounds Anti-Western; anti-imperialist; opposes US/EU alignment.
  • model DeepSeek -8.0 A Trotskyist and leftist party that is strongly anti-imperialist and anti-Western.
  • model Claude -8.0 2× rounds Trotskyist, anti-imperialist party hostile to Western powers.
  • prior Author baseline -7.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model mistral -6.0 Workers' Party in Algeria is known for its anti-Western and socialist stance.
  • model Grok -5.0 2× rounds Classic far-left Algerian party steeped in anti-Western Marxist dogma as expected from these outdated commie holdouts.
  • model minimax -5.0 2× rounds PT is a Marxist-Leninist party with a strongly anti-imperialist and anti-Western posture.
  • model gpt -4.0 The Workers' Party is left-nationalist and skeptical of Western economic and political influence.
• Socialist Forces Front DZ West alignment settled ↔ 5 pt +2.0
  • model Gemini -2.0 The FFS maintains a non-aligned stance but is open to democratic and diplomatic engagement with Western nations.
  • model gemma -1.0 Critical of Western hegemony but not fundamentally hostile to strategic dialogue.
  • model minimax +0.0 FFS is rhetorically non-aligned and critical of French and US strategic influence in the Maghreb.
  • prior Author baseline +2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok +2.0 Open to Western partnerships for democratic support and economic ties while critical of neo-colonialism and double standards on Palestine.
  • model Claude +2.0 Social-democratic with relative openness to Europe.
  • model qwen +2.0 Not pro-Western strategically, but shares liberal-democratic values with West.
  • model Kimi +3.0 Pragmatic engagement with West; democratic solidarity.
• Ba'ath Party (Syria) SY Economic settled ↔ 5 pt -6.5
  • model minimax -8.0 Ba'ath platform is explicitly socialist with comprehensive state ownership; even partial liberalization under Assad was reluctant and partial.
  • model Grok -7.0 Ba'ath doctrine prioritized Arab socialism with heavy state ownership central planning and subsidies over market mechanisms.
  • model Kimi -7.0 Ba'ath doctrine enshrined state-led socialism with a dominant public sector, despite limited ad-hoc market openings under Bashar al-Assad.
  • model gemma -7.0 Historically statist and socialist
  • model Claude -6.0 ⛓ grounded 2× rounds Explicit socialism: nationalisation of utilities and resources, redistribution, cancellation of foreign concessions (Arts. 26–34).
  • model gpt -6.0 It retains Arab-socialist and state-led commitments despite later crony market openings.
  • model qwen -6.0 Historically socialist with heavy state control though recent years have seen some pragmatic market concessions.
  • prior Author baseline -5.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model DeepSeek -5.0 Historically statist but post-2010s permitted some crony-market adaptations; still leans state-dominant overall.
  • model Gemini -3.0 While maintaining state intervention, the regime has transitioned toward a crony-capitalist market system since the 2000s.
• Ba'ath Party (Syria) SY State & religion settled ↔ 5 pt +7.0
  • prior Author baseline +5.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model DeepSeek +5.0 Ba'ath is secularist in ideology (no state religion
  • model Gemini +6.0 The party promotes a secular state model separate from religious authority, though Islam remains a key source of law.
  • model gemma +6.0 Historically promotes a secular state
  • model Grok +7.0 Ba'ath built a secular state subordinating religious institutions to government control and limiting religious law in public affairs.
  • model Kimi +7.0 The Ba'ath constitution nominally separated religion from state, though the regime instrumentalized religious identity for political control.
  • model gpt +7.0 It promotes a formally secular Arab nationalist state over religious rule.
  • model Claude +8.0 ⛓ grounded 2× rounds A secular Arab-nationalist frame with no Islam clause; combats denominational and sectarian fanaticism.
  • model minimax +8.0 Ba'ath doctrine and Syrian state practice are firmly secularist
  • model qwen +10.0 Ba'athism is officially secular maintaining a strict separation of religion from state law and governance.
• Syrian National Coalition SY West alignment settled ↔ 5 pt +7.0
  • prior Author baseline +4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model DeepSeek +5.0 Seeks Western diplomatic recognition and support for a post-Assad transition; not formally aligned but leans pro-Western.
  • model gpt +6.0 It has sought diplomatic, financial, and security support from the US and Europe.
  • model Gemini +7.0 The Coalition is strategically aligned with Western and regional partners, actively seeking their diplomatic and political backing.
  • model Grok +7.0 SNC has depended on Western diplomatic and political support to advance its opposition goals and democratic transition vision.
  • model Kimi +7.0 The SNC was explicitly pro-Western, seeking US, EU, and Turkish diplomatic recognition, financial support, and military backing throughout its existence.
  • model minimax +7.0 SNC was established and backed by the US
  • model Claude +8.0 Heavily Western- and Gulf-backed, seeking US and EU support and recognition.
  • model qwen +8.0 Heavily relies on and aligns strategically with Western and Gulf powers for diplomatic and material support.
  • model gemma +9.0 Strategically heavily aligned with Western powers.
• Sudanese Communist Party SD Social settled ↔ 5 pt +6.0
  • prior Author baseline +3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Claude +4.0 Secular leftist orientation makes it relatively permissive on personal liberty and women's rights.
  • model gemma +5.0 Generally permissive on social issues
  • model Gemini +6.0 2× rounds The SCP promotes a secular, progressive social agenda that rejects traditional religious and moral authority.
  • model Kimi +6.0 Historically progressive on social issues, allowed women members since 1940s, supports personal freedoms.
  • model Grok +6.0 Progressive record on gender equality and individual rights against entrenched traditional and religious moral controls.
  • model DeepSeek +6.0 Historically supports women's rights
  • model gpt +6.0 2× rounds The Freedom and Justice Party was socially conservative and not libertarian.
  • model minimax +7.0 SCP is explicitly secular and progressive on personal freedoms, opposing religious moral policing and championing individual rights.
  • model qwen +8.0 Highly libertarian and progressive, advocating for secularism, women's equality, and personal freedoms.
• Sudanese Communist Party SD West alignment settled ↔ 5 pt -6.0
  • model gemma -9.0 2× rounds Strongly anti-Western.
  • model Gemini -8.0 2× rounds The SCP maintains a hostile, anti-imperialist posture toward Western strategic and military influence.
  • model DeepSeek -7.0 2× rounds Anti-imperialist orientation deeply hostile to Western strategic alignment.
  • model minimax -7.0 SCP is anti-Western and anti-imperialist in its orientation.
  • prior Author baseline -6.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi -6.0 2× rounds Anti-imperialist platform historically critical of US interference and Western military alignment.
  • model Grok -6.0 2× rounds Strong anti-imperialist tradition critical of Western intervention and influence in Sudanese sovereignty and conflicts.
  • model qwen -6.0 2× rounds Anti-imperialist, critical of Western powers.
  • model Claude -6.0 2× rounds Marxist hostility to Western imperialism.
  • model mistral -5.0 Sudanese Communist Party is anti-Western.
  • model gpt -4.0 2× rounds The Freedom and Justice Party was wary of Western influence despite pragmatic diplomacy.
• Sudanese Communist Party SD Civil liberties settled ↔ 5 pt +7.5
  • model DeepSeek +3.0 Defends civil liberties against military regimes but would restrict bourgeois press in power.
  • prior Author baseline +5.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Claude +6.0 As a leading opposition force it strongly champions speech, protest, and association against state repression.
  • model Kimi +7.0 Long-standing advocate for press freedom, democratic rights, and civil liberties since 1946.
  • model gpt +7.0 As an opposition leftist party it strongly defends speech, association, unions, and protest rights.
  • model Gemini +8.0 2× rounds The SCP demands the absolute protection and expansion of civil liberties and democratic rights of expression.
  • model Grok +8.0 Pioneered advocacy for women's rights minority inclusion and consistently opposed political repression and party bans.
  • model gemma +8.0 Strongly advocates for absolute freedom of speech and association.
  • model minimax +8.0 SCP has consistently championed civil and political liberties, trade-union rights, and press freedom as core programmatic demands.
  • model qwen +8.0 Fiercely defends civil liberties, freedom of speech, and workers' rights as core tenets of its platform.
• Democratic Unionist Party SD Liberal democracy settled ↔ 5 pt +3.5
  • model Gemini +2.0 2× rounds The DUP supports democratic governance in principle but has repeatedly compromised and participated in non-democratic arrangements.
  • model DeepSeek +2.0 2× rounds Fluctuating record; participates electorally but has allied with military rulers inconsistently.
  • model Claude +2.0 2× rounds Traditional sectarian party with a moderate electoral-democratic posture.
  • prior Author baseline +3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model mistral +3.0 Democratic Unionist Party leans toward weak liberal democracy.
  • model minimax +4.0 2× rounds DUP is a traditional party with mixed democratic commitments
  • model Kimi +5.0 2× rounds Platform commits to multiparty democracy and democratic pluralism since 1960s congress.
  • model gpt +5.0 2× rounds Tagammu has secular-left roots and supports pluralist politics in principle.
  • model qwen +6.0 2× rounds Historic opposition party, supports democratic transition.
  • model Grok +7.0 2× rounds Core commitment to democratic pluralism independent institutions free elections and civilian transition from military rule.
  • model gemma +7.0 2× rounds Supports a transition to liberal democracy.
• Yemeni Congregation for Reform (Islah) YE Civil liberties settled ↔ 5 pt -4.0
  • model gemma -5.0 2× rounds Favors restricting liberties to preserve Islamic order.
  • model Gemini -4.0 2× rounds Islah maintains a conservative governance record in its strongholds, often restricting progressive or secular dissent and social freedoms.
  • model Grok -4.0 2× rounds Islah supports political participation and pluralism but maintains conservative positions that limit full expansion of civil liberties, especially on moral, religious, and gender-related expression.
  • model DeepSeek -4.0 2× rounds Islah has supported curbs on what it sees as un-Islamic expression; mixed record when in power.
  • model qwen -4.0 2× rounds Islamist, restricts liberties based on conservative morality.
  • model Kimi -3.0 2× rounds Islah has supported restricting civil liberties to enforce Islamic norms, though less authoritarian than Houthis in practice.
  • model mistral -3.0 Yemeni Congregation for Reform leans toward restricting civil liberties.
  • model minimax -2.0 2× rounds Islah has conservative religious positions that restrict personal freedoms.
  • model Claude -2.0 2× rounds Islamist-tribal coalition inclined to restrict liberties.
  • prior Author baseline -1.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model gpt +0.0 2× rounds Islah's Islamist wing is socially restrictive despite party pluralism.
• Ansar Allah (Houthis) YE Liberal democracy settled ↔ 5 pt -9.0
  • model minimax -10.0 Houthis seized power by force, abolished parliament, detain political opponents, and rule through a revolutionary committee with no independent judiciary or genuine political pluralism.
  • model Gemini -9.0 The Houthis reject liberal democratic governance, basing political legitimacy instead on religious and hereditary divine right.
  • model Grok -9.0 Ansar Allah governs through appointed structures without competitive elections, independent judiciary, or meaningful protections for opposition and minority rights in its territories.
  • model DeepSeek -9.0 Houthis have dissolved parliament
  • model gemma -9.0 Their governance model rejects liberal-democratic checks in favor of theocratic authority.
  • model Claude -9.0 Theocratic Hashemite-supremacist rule with no checks, courts, or opposition rights.
  • model qwen -9.0 Operates as a theocratic authoritarian movement with no commitment to liberal democratic checks and balances.
  • model Kimi -8.0 Houthis have dismantled democratic institutions, suppressed opposition, and rule through authoritarian revolutionary committees.
  • model gpt -6.0 2× rounds The GPC is authoritarian in legacy and weakly committed to liberal democracy.
  • prior Author baseline -5.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
• Yemeni Socialist Party YE Economic settled ↔ 5 pt -6.0
  • model Grok -8.0 The YSP remains committed to socialist principles favoring extensive state allocation, public ownership, and redistribution over market mechanisms.
  • model minimax -7.0 YSP retains a socialist economic program favoring state ownership, planning, and workers' rights, placing it firmly on the statist side.
  • model Claude -7.0 Socialist heritage favoring state allocation over markets.
  • prior Author baseline -6.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model DeepSeek -6.0 YSP retains Marxist roots; favors state ownership and redistribution over markets.
  • model qwen -6.0 Retains its socialist ideological commitment to state allocation and public ownership over markets.
  • model Kimi -5.0 YSP historically supported state socialism and central planning; current stance is more moderate but still favors strong state role in economy.
  • model gpt -5.0 Its socialist heritage still points toward state intervention and social-democratic economics.
  • model gemma -4.0 While they have moved toward social democracy
  • model Gemini -3.0 Having moved away from its Marxist-Leninist past, the YSP now advocates for a mixed economy with strong state-led social welfare protections.
• Southern Transitional Council YE Liberal democracy settled ↔ 5 pt -3.0
  • model minimax -5.0 STC has governed through security force coercion, sidelined Islah, controlled southern courts, and has not demonstrated commitment to liberal-democratic checks, though it consults southern notables.
  • model Gemini -4.0 The STC prioritizes southern nationalist mobilization and territorial control over building robust, inclusive liberal democratic institutions.
  • model gemma -4.0 They express a commitment to democracy but maintain a military-led council.
  • model qwen -4.0 Prioritizes southern self-determination over liberal democratic institutions in its controlled territories.
  • model Grok -3.0 The STC claims democratic aspirations and holds consultations but functions as a centralized movement with limited internal pluralism and has suppressed rival southern political voices.
  • model gpt -3.0 It claims representative legitimacy but has weak liberal-democratic institutions and coercive armed structures.
  • model Claude -3.0 Invokes self-determination but governs through militia control with weak checks.
  • model Kimi -2.0 STC has not established democratic institutions in areas it controls; governance is dominated by military and political elites.
  • model DeepSeek -2.0 STC has no democratic track record; it operates as a semi-authoritarian administration but pays lip service to future democracy.
  • prior Author baseline +0.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
• Southern Transitional Council YE West alignment settled ↔ 5 pt +6.0
  • prior Author baseline +3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model gpt +4.0 Its UAE-backed security orientation makes it indirectly aligned with Western-linked regional partners.
  • model DeepSeek +5.0 STC aligns with UAE which works closely with US; thus indirectly pro-Western.
  • model Claude +5.0 Aligned with the Western-backed Saudi/UAE coalition.
  • model Kimi +6.0 STC is backed by UAE and Saudi Arabia, cooperates with Western counter-terrorism efforts, and aligns with the normalization camp.
  • model gemma +6.0 They are strategically pro-Western via their ties to the UAE and Saudi Arabia.
  • model Gemini +7.0 The STC actively seeks strategic and military alignment with Western powers to gain international legitimacy for the southern cause.
  • model qwen +7.0 Strongly pro-Western strategically due to its military and diplomatic alignment with the UAE and US.
  • model Grok +8.0 Through its close UAE alliance and cooperation with Western-backed anti-Houthi efforts, the STC is strategically aligned with pro-Western regional security and economic frameworks.
  • model minimax +8.0 STC is a strategic partner of the UAE and Western coalition states, receives political and security backing, and generally aligns with Western diplomatic initiatives on Yemen.
• Southern Transitional Council YE Regional stance settled ↔ 5 pt +6.0
  • prior Author baseline +3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +6.0 STC is backed by UAE, part of the normalization camp, and cooperates with Saudi-led coalition against Houthis.
  • model DeepSeek +6.0 STC is backed by UAE and supports normalization camp against Houthi resistance axis.
  • model gpt +6.0 Its UAE alignment places it closer to the Gulf stability camp than the resistance axis.
  • model minimax +6.0 STC is aligned with the UAE and the broader stability/normalization camp; it does not pursue armed resistance and benefits from Gulf-Israel détente dynamics.
  • model Claude +6.0 UAE/Saudi-coalition aligned, firmly in the stability/normalization camp.
  • model Gemini +7.0 The STC is closely aligned with the UAE-led regional stability and normalization camp, opposing the Axis of Resistance.
  • model gemma +7.0 They are aligned with the UAE and Saudi stability camp.
  • model qwen +7.0 Deeply integrated into the UAE-backed stability and normalization camp in the region.
  • model Grok +8.0 Closely aligned with the UAE and Saudi-led anti-Houthi coalition, the STC operates within the stability and normalization camp and has signaled readiness for Abraham Accords-style frameworks.
• Southern Transitional Council YE Palestinian question settled ↔ 5 pt +4.0
  • model minimax +2.0 STC voices rhetorical support for Palestine but gives the issue much lower priority than the southern cause, and its UAE patrons tilt toward accommodation, producing a tepid stance.
  • model qwen +2.0 Nominally supports Palestine but follows the UAE's pragmatic, de-prioritized approach to the issue.
  • model Gemini +3.0 While the southern population supports Palestinian rights, the STC leadership is cross-pressured due to its close alliance with the UAE.
  • model DeepSeek +3.0 STC expresses pro-Palestinian sentiment but prioritizes ties with UAE (which normalized with Israel).
  • model Kimi +4.0 STC has expressed solidarity with Palestinians but prioritizes southern Yemeni interests over regional ideological commitments.
  • model Claude +4.0 Sympathetic to Palestinians but treats it as secondary to the southern cause.
  • prior Author baseline +5.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok +5.0 The STC expresses general support for Palestinian rights but does not prioritize the issue as core mobilization, consistent with its pragmatic UAE-aligned regional posture.
  • model gpt +5.0 It broadly supports Palestinian rights in line with regional Arab opinion without making it central.
  • model gemma +7.0 They maintain a standard supportive stance on Palestinian rights.
• Justice and Construction Party LY Social settled ↔ 5 pt -6.5
  • model Grok -9.0 Enforces traditional Islamic moral codes on gender, family, sexuality, and public behavior, rejecting liberal individual liberties in the social sphere.
  • model gemma -8.0 Strongly advocates for traditional religious moral authority over individual social liberties.
  • model Gemini -7.0 Upholds strict collective moral authority and traditional Islamic guidelines over individual social and lifestyle freedoms.
  • model gpt -7.0 Its Muslim Brotherhood-rooted platform supports conservative moral authority in public life.
  • model qwen -7.0 Advocates for traditional collective moral authority and conservative social policies based on Islamic values.
  • model Kimi -6.0 Traditional collective moral authority under Islamic principles
  • model DeepSeek -6.0 Conservative Islamist stance on moral and family issues.
  • model Claude -6.0 Socially conservative Islamist party upholding traditional moral authority.
  • model minimax -5.0 Conservative Islamist social platform; emphasizes traditional family and moral codes inherited from Brotherhood tradition.
  • prior Author baseline -4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
• Justice and Construction Party LY Civil liberties settled ↔ 5 pt -2.5
  • model Kimi -5.0 Islamist platform implies restrictions on speech and association
  • model Grok -5.0 While participating in post-2011 elections, its Islamist framework supports curbs on expression and association deemed un-Islamic; record during GNC influence shows tolerance for militia restrictions on critics.
  • model Gemini -3.0 Prioritizes conservative Islamic social norms and political alignment over unrestricted freedom of expression and dissent.
  • model DeepSeek -3.0 As an Islamist party it has supported restrictions on speech deemed immoral or anti-religious.
  • model qwen -3.0 Supports political participation but favors restrictions on speech and association that conflict with Islamic moral frameworks.
  • model gemma -2.0 Their record in power shows a tendency to restrict political rivals and dissent.
  • model minimax -2.0 Conduct in the 2012-2014 GNC and the rival Salvation government included controversial restrictions (e.g.
  • model Claude -2.0 Islamist orientation tempers its rights commitments; record in Tripoli-aligned governance is mixed at best.
  • prior Author baseline +0.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model gpt +0.0 It formally participates in plural politics but its Islamist orientation leaves civil-liberties commitments mixed.
• National Forces Alliance LY Economic settled ↔ 5 pt +6.0
  • prior Author baseline +3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model DeepSeek +5.0 Pro-market liberal economic platform.
  • model gemma +5.0 Favors market-oriented economic policies over state-led allocation.
  • model Kimi +6.0 Favors globalization foreign investment and privatization
  • model gpt +6.0 Its technocratic-liberal program leaned toward private enterprise and market reconstruction.
  • model Claude +6.0 Led by a market-reform technocrat who championed privatization, it favors market mechanisms.
  • model Gemini +7.0 Advocates for market liberalization, private sector empowerment, and attracting foreign investment to diversify the economy.
  • model Grok +7.0 Led by technocrats favoring privatization, foreign investment, market reforms, and reduction of the bloated state sector inherited from the Gaddafi era.
  • model minimax +7.0 Broadly pro-market
  • model qwen +8.0 Strongly favors free-market mechanisms privatization and foreign investment over state allocation.
• Al-Wefaq National Islamic Society BH Social settled ↔ 5 pt -6.0
  • model gemma -8.0 Strictly adheres to Islamic social and moral codes.
  • model Grok -7.0 Insists on religious clerical authority over family and personal status laws, rejecting elected bodies' role in such moral legislation, reflecting traditional Islamic conservative social control.
  • model Gemini -6.0 Maintains a conservative stance favoring traditional religious moral authority, guided by Shia clerical leadership.
  • model Kimi -6.0 Clerical Shi'a leadership opposes social liberalization, supports traditional religious authority.
  • model DeepSeek -6.0 Socially conservative but prioritizes political freedoms over moral enforcement.
  • model gpt -6.0 Its Shia Islamist identity favors conservative moral authority despite rights-based opposition politics.
  • model minimax -5.0 Shia Islamist movement with conservative positions on personal and moral freedoms.
  • model Claude -5.0 Shia Islamist movement socially conservative on moral and lifestyle questions.
  • model qwen -5.0 As a Shia Islamist party, it adheres to conservative religious jurisprudence on social and moral issues.
  • prior Author baseline -3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
• Islamic Asalah Society BH Economic settled ↔ 5 pt +3.0
  • model qwen +0.0 It is pragmatic on economics, generally supporting the state's capitalist development and market policies.
  • prior Author baseline +2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model gemma +2.0 Generally supports markets but emphasizes Islamic ethical finance.
  • model Kimi +3.0 Generally pro-market among Gulf Salafis, though with limited distinctive economic platform.
  • model Grok +3.0 Loyal to the regime and its economic policies aimed at diversification and attracting investment, it does not push statist alternatives and implicitly backs market mechanisms within the Gulf rentier model.
  • model Claude +3.0 Business-friendly Salafis in a Gulf market economy lean modestly pro-market.
  • model Gemini +4.0 Endorses private enterprise and market mechanisms based on Salafi principles, alongside state patronage for loyalists.
  • model gpt +4.0 It generally accepts Bahrain's market economy while emphasizing Islamic welfare and moral regulation.
  • model minimax +4.0 Supports Bahrain's market economy and private-sector growth with Islamic finance emphasis.
  • model DeepSeek +5.0 Pro-market but with Islamic finance regulations.
• Islamic Asalah Society BH Palestinian question settled ↔ 5 pt +8.0
  • model Kimi +5.0 Pro-Palestinian as part of Islamist solidarity, though less vocal than Muslim Brotherhood.
  • prior Author baseline +6.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok +7.0 As a Sunni Islamist Salafi society, it upholds strong support for Palestinian rights and the Islamic ummah's causes, consistent with Salafi solidarity despite pragmatic regime alignment.
  • model Claude +7.0 Pro-Palestinian out of Islamic solidarity.
  • model DeepSeek +8.0 Strongly supports Palestinian cause and opposes normalization.
  • model gemma +8.0 Strong ideological support for Palestinian rights.
  • model gpt +8.0 Bahraini Salafi Islamists strongly support Palestinian rights and oppose Israeli occupation.
  • model minimax +8.0 Salafi identity produces strong pro-Palestinian advocacy for rights and statehood.
  • model qwen +9.0 It views support for Palestine as a strict religious duty and strongly backs Palestinian rights.
  • model Gemini +10.0 Maintains an unyielding Salafi commitment to Palestinian rights and absolute opposition to Israel.
• El Insaf (Equity Party) MR West alignment settled ↔ 5 pt +5.0
  • prior Author baseline +2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model DeepSeek +3.0 Mauritania under El Insaf cooperates with Western counter-terrorism efforts and has ties to the US and France while maintaining non-aligned rhetoric.
  • model Claude +4.0 Strategic counterterrorism and migration cooperation with the US and EU while balancing other partners.
  • model qwen +4.0 Maintains strategic security and diplomatic cooperation with Western nations particularly France and the US.
  • model Kimi +5.0 El Insaf maintains strategic cooperation with Western partners on security and development while asserting independence.
  • model gpt +5.0 It favors pragmatic security and development cooperation with Western partners.
  • model Gemini +6.0 The party maintains strong strategic, security, and counter-terrorism partnerships with the United States and European Union nations.
  • model Grok +7.0 Strategic counterterrorism cooperation EU and US partnerships and investment orientation place the party clearly in the pro-Western strategic camp.
  • model minimax +7.0 Mauritania is a key Western security partner in the Sahel with active US
  • model gemma +7.0 Strongly supports the strategic security and military partnerships with the US and EU.
• El Insaf (Equity Party) MR Palestinian question settled ↔ 5 pt +7.0
  • model qwen +4.0 Officially supports Palestinian statehood and rights but avoids radical or maximalist anti-normalization rhetoric.
  • model DeepSeek +6.0 Mauritania under El Insaf maintains historical support for Palestinian statehood though relations with Israel have been complex and it normalized then broke ties.
  • model minimax +6.0 Mauritania recognized Israel in 2020 but withdrew recognition in 2024 citing Gaza; ruling party and population strongly pro-Palestinian.
  • model Claude +6.0 Mauritania officially backs Palestinian rights and severed ties with Israel in 2009.
  • prior Author baseline +7.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +7.0 El Insaf maintains strong pro-Palestinian rhetoric consistent with Mauritanian foreign policy and popular sentiment.
  • model Grok +8.0 Mauritania severed Israel ties in 2009 and El Insaf maintains strong official and diplomatic support for Palestinian rights and statehood.
  • model gemma +8.0 Strongly supports Palestinian statehood and rights in line with national consensus.
  • model gpt +8.0 It follows Mauritania’s broad official support for Palestinian statehood and rights.
  • model Gemini +9.0 The party strongly upholds the national consensus of support for Palestinian statehood and rights, rejecting relations with Israel.
• El Insaf (Equity Party) MR Civil liberties settled ↔ 5 pt -3.0
  • model qwen -6.0 In power the government has restricted protests and cracked down on independent media and dissent.
  • model gemma -5.0 As a pro-government party
  • model Claude -5.0 In power; record includes press restrictions and jailing of activists and bloggers.
  • model Grok -4.0 Government record shows constraints on freedom of expression self-censorship on sensitive topics and limited space for dissent despite multiparty elections.
  • model Gemini -3.0 As the ruling party, its record involves restricting protests and regulating media, though some political opposition is permitted.
  • model Kimi -3.0 As the ruling party, El Insaf has tolerated some press restrictions and opposition harassment while maintaining electoral framework.
  • model DeepSeek -3.0 As the ruling party under President Ghazouani it has tolerated some dissent but also cracked down on anti-government protests and restricted press freedom.
  • model minimax -2.0 Under Ghazouani some reforms occurred but protest movements and independent media still face restrictions and harassment.
  • model gpt -2.0 Its record in power allows pluralism but still tolerates restrictions on protest, dissent, and media pressure.
  • prior Author baseline -1.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
• National Rally for Reform and Development (Tewassoul) MR Social settled ↔ 5 pt -8.0
  • model DeepSeek -9.0 Tewassoul is a conservative Islamist party that enforces traditional moral authority and opposes Western-style social liberties.
  • model gemma -9.0 Strongly advocates for traditional Islamic moral authority in all social aspects.
  • model Gemini -8.0 Tewassoul champions conservative Islamic morality and collective religious authority, opposing liberal social or lifestyle freedoms.
  • model Grok -8.0 Religious conservatism strongly favors traditional Islamic moral authority and collective values over permissive individual lifestyle or identity expression.
  • model minimax -8.0 The party advocates strict Islamic moral codes
  • model qwen -8.0 Advocates for traditional Islamic social values and opposes liberal social reforms.
  • model Kimi -7.0 Tewassoul strongly advocates traditional Islamic moral authority and opposes social liberalization on all lifestyle issues.
  • model gpt -7.0 2× rounds Hezbollah is socially conservative and security-oriented.
  • model Claude -6.0 Islamist commitment to traditional collective moral authority.
  • prior Author baseline -4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
• Union of Forces of Progress MR State & religion settled ↔ 5 pt +5.0
  • model Kimi +3.0 2× rounds The coalition favors reducing religious authority in state and law, advocating for more secular governance principles.
  • prior Author baseline +5.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok +5.0 2× rounds Democratic socialist and civic nationalist roots favor secular civic equality and reduced religious authority in law and public institutions.
  • model gpt +5.0 2× rounds Kataeb is Christian-democratic but supports a civil Lebanese state.
  • model Claude +5.0 2× rounds Secular-leaning leftist orientation.
  • model Gemini +6.0 2× rounds While respecting Islam, UFP leans toward a more pluralistic public space and opposes the use of religious authority for political control.
  • model qwen +6.0 2× rounds Secular leftist orientation.
  • model mistral +6.0 Union of Forces of Progress supports a secular state.
  • model DeepSeek +7.0 2× rounds UFP is secularist advocating for separation of religion from state and limiting Sharia's role in law.
  • model minimax +8.0 2× rounds UFP is a secular
  • model gemma +8.0 2× rounds Advocates for a secular state.
• Northern Islamic Movement IL Regime stance settled ↔ 5 pt -9.0
  • model Gemini -10.0 2× rounds Completely rejects the foundational Zionist order and legitimacy of the Israeli state.
  • prior Author baseline -9.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Claude -9.0 2× rounds Rejects Israel's legitimacy entirely and was outlawed by the state.
  • model Kimi -9.0 2× rounds Banned by Israel for alleged subversion; explicitly rejects Zionist state.
  • model gpt -9.0 The Northern Islamic Movement rejects Israel’s Zionist foundational order.
  • model Grok -8.0 2× rounds The Northern Islamic Movement rejects the legitimacy of the Jewish state and operates as anti-regime force.
  • model DeepSeek -7.0 2× rounds Rejects Zionist order.
  • model qwen -7.0 2× rounds Rejects legitimacy of Israeli state.
  • model minimax -6.0 2× rounds The movement has been historically marginalized and even banned by the Israeli state.
  • model gemma -6.0 2× rounds Generally critical and opposed to the Zionist regime.
  • model mistral -5.0 Northern Islamic Movement is anti-regime.

  before · r1 gemini -10.0grok -9.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• PFLP PS Pan-Arab vs particularist provisional ↔ 5 pt +6.0
  • prior Author baseline +4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +4.0 PFLP was founded with strong pan-Arab Nasserist and Marxist orientation, and while it has become more Palestinian-focused, it retains significant pan-Arab solidarity framing in its rhetoric and alliances.
  • model minimax +4.0 PFLP retains significant pan-Arab and Marxist internationalist framing in its ideology.
  • model Grok +5.0 PFLP was founded with a strong pan-Arab revolutionary vision linking Palestinian struggle to broader Arab anti-imperialist and socialist transformation.
  • model Gemini +6.0 Retains its historic Arab nationalist roots, framing the Palestinian struggle within a broader pan-Arab socialist revolution.
  • model Claude +6.0 Rooted in the Arab Nationalist Movement with a strong pan-Arab framing.
  • model gemma +8.0 Strongly frames its struggle within a pan-Arab and anti-imperialist movement.
  • model gpt +8.0 It has a strong Arab-nationalist and anti-imperialist framework alongside Palestinian liberation.
  • model qwen +9.0 Deeply rooted in secular pan-Arab nationalism and solidarity.
• Freedom and Justice Party EG Regime stance settled ↔ 5 pt -8.0
  • model Gemini -10.0 It completely rejects the current post-2013 Egyptian political order and seeks its total overthrow.
  • model gemma -9.0 Completely rejects the current constitutional order and the regime that established it.
  • model minimax -9.0 Designated terrorist organization post-2013; rejects current Sisi-era republican order and seeks Islamic state.
  • model qwen -9.0 Fundamentally opposed to the post-2013 military-backed regime and currently banned.
  • prior Author baseline -8.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi -8.0 Explicitly anti-regime; seeks to overturn Sisi's constitutional order and restore Islamist governance; banned by regime.
  • model Claude -8.0 Fundamentally anti to the post-2013 order, seeks to overturn it.
  • model Grok -8.0 Banned since 2013; views post-2013 order as illegitimate coup and seeks its fundamental alteration or replacement.
  • model gpt -8.0 As the banned Brotherhood party, it rejects the current post-2013 political order.
  • model DeepSeek -5.0 Opposes current military-aligned order; seeks Islamist constitutional transformation.
• National Wisdom Movement IQ Regime stance settled ↔ 5 pt +6.0
  • model Kimi +3.0 Hakim accepts and works within Iraq's constitutional order; seeks reform from within
  • prior Author baseline +5.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model DeepSeek +5.0 Accepts post-2003 constitutional order and participates in coalition governments.
  • model Grok +6.0 National Wisdom accepts and works within Iraq's post-2003 constitutional order, participating in governments and institutions it helped shape.
  • model Claude +6.0 Committed participant in the post-2003 constitutional order.
  • model minimax +7.0 Hikma is firmly within Iraq's post-2003 constitutional order, has held senior government positions, and accepts the federal republican system.
  • model Gemini +8.0 Al-Hikma is deeply committed to defending the post-2003 political order which it helped establish.
  • model gemma +8.0 Strongly supports the foundational constitutional order of post-2003 Iraq.
  • model qwen +8.0 Fully participates in and defends the post-2003 constitutional order and parliamentary system.
• National Liberation Front DZ Pan-Arab vs particularist settled ↔ 5 pt +5.0
  • model Grok +2.0 Historic pan-Arab and Third Worldist roots, but contemporary focus is Algerian nationalism with residual solidarity rhetoric.
  • model Gemini +4.0 The FLN balances its core Algerian nationalism with a traditional commitment to pan-Arab anti-colonial solidarity.
  • model DeepSeek +4.0 FLN was historically pan-Arab but now more focused on Algerian national interest.
  • model Kimi +5.0 Pan-Arab nationalist heritage; though pragmatic now.
  • model gemma +5.0 Balances Algerian nationalism with strong pan-Arab solidarity.
  • model minimax +5.0 FLN was historically aligned with Nasserist pan-Arabism and continues to invoke Arab solidarity.
  • model Claude +5.0 Blends Algerian nationalism, Third-Worldism, and pan-Arab anti-normalization.
  • model qwen +6.0 Rooted in Nasserist/Baathist pan-Arabism; still invokes Arab solidarity.
  • prior Author baseline +7.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
• Ba'ath Party (Syria) SY Pan-Arab vs particularist settled ↔ 5 pt +9.8
  • model DeepSeek +5.0 Ba'ath ideology is pan-Arab in doctrine
  • model Gemini +7.0 The party retains pan-Arab nationalism as its foundational ideology, framing regional politics through Arab solidarity.
  • model Grok +7.0 Ba'ath foundational ideology is pan-Arab nationalism promoting Arab unity and solidarity as core political frame.
  • model Kimi +8.0 Pan-Arab unity is the foundational tenet of Ba'athism, though the Syrian branch increasingly prioritized Syrian state interests over actual unification.
  • prior Author baseline +10.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Claude +10.0 ⛓ grounded 2× rounds "The Arabs are One Nation," an indivisible homeland — maximal pan-Arabism (Art. 15 fuses identity above sect and region).
  • model gemma +10.0 Pan-Arabism is the foundational ideological pillar of the party.
  • model gpt +10.0 Pan-Arab unity and Arab nationalism are core Baathist ideological commitments.
  • model minimax +10.0 The Ba'ath is the quintessential pan-Arab movement
  • model qwen +10.0 The Ba'ath party's foundational ideology is explicitly pan-Arab unity and solidarity.
• Istiqlal Party MA Regime stance settled ↔ 5 pt +7.0
  • prior Author baseline +5.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model DeepSeek +5.0 Accepts monarchy; part of loyal opposition
  • model Kimi +7.0 Istiqlal is loyal to the constitutional monarchy and has been a system-bearing party for decades.
  • model gpt +7.0 Istiqlal accepts and participates in Morocco’s constitutional monarchy.
  • model minimax +7.0 Istiqlal is firmly within the pro-monarchy constitutional order; it has joined multiple government coalitions under the king.
  • model Claude +8.0 ⛓ grounded 2× rounds Loyalist: independence and reform "sous l'égide de Sa Majesté," the Sultan leading the reform movement.
  • model Grok +8.0 Historic independence party now fully integrated into pro-monarchy governing coalitions; loyal defender of the constitutional foundational order.
  • model gemma +8.0 Firmly supports the constitutional monarchy as the foundation of the state.
  • model qwen +8.0 Loyal to the monarchy and accepts the foundational constitutional order.
  • model Gemini +10.0 Unconditionally loyal to the monarchy and fully integrated into the state's foundational constitutional order.
• Socialist Union of Popular Forces MA Pan-Arab vs particularist settled ↔ 5 pt +4.5
  • model Claude +1.0 Socialist with Arab-nationalist roots, mildly pan-Arab leaning.
  • model Gemini +2.0 Possesses an Arab socialist heritage, but has largely shifted toward a Morocco-first social-democratic posture.
  • model DeepSeek +2.0 Leftist with some pan-Arab history but now more nation-state focused.
  • model qwen +2.0 Historically rooted in pan-Arab socialism but now focuses more on Moroccan particularism.
  • model gpt +4.0 PJD frames Palestine and regional issues through Arab-Islamic solidarity more than pure Moroccan particularism.
  • prior Author baseline +5.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +5.0 USFP has historical leftist pan-Arab solidarity roots though it has moderated to social democratic focus.
  • model Grok +5.0 Roots in Arab nationalist and socialist traditions; retains clearer pan-Arab and progressive internationalist framing than other major Moroccan parties.
  • model minimax +5.0 USFP has clear pan-Arab and Third-Worldist socialist roots; historically engaged with pan-Arab and non-aligned movements.
  • model gemma +6.0 Maintains strong Pan-Arab and internationalist socialist solidarity.
• Islamic Action Front JO Pan-Arab vs particularist settled ↔ 5 pt +5.0
  • prior Author baseline +3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model DeepSeek +4.0 Pan-Islamist but aligns with pan-Arab causes like Palestine and anti-Zionism.
  • model Grok +5.0 Strong anti-normalization and Palestinian solidarity align it with pan-Arab resistance traditions despite its primary Islamist orientation.
  • model Kimi +5.0 Frames politics around pan-Islamic and pan-Arab solidarity, anti-normalization tradition
  • model gpt +5.0 Its discourse stresses Arab-Islamic solidarity, especially on Palestine, beyond narrow Jordanian nationalism.
  • model minimax +5.0 Frames itself in pan-Islamist/pan-Arabist terms, emphasizing Arab and Islamic ummah solidarity.
  • model qwen +5.0 Frames its politics around pan-Islamic and broader Arab solidarity against perceived Western and Zionist influence.
  • model Claude +6.0 Pan-Islamic, anti-normalization orientation aligns with the anti-normalization pan-Arab pole.
  • model Gemini +8.0 2× rounds Frames its political identity around pan-Islamic and pan-Arab solidarity against foreign influence.
  • model gemma +8.0 Strongly emphasizes pan-Arab and pan-Islamic solidarity.
• Religious Zionism Party IL Centralism vs federalism settled ↔ 5 pt -8.0
  • model Gemini -9.0 Favors a highly centralized unitary state to assert full national sovereignty.
  • model gpt -9.0 Religious Zionism favors centralized Jewish sovereignty over all the land.
  • model qwen -9.0 Advocates for the annexation of the West Bank and centralist control.
  • model Grok -8.0 Religious nationalist prioritizes strong unitary Jewish state with settlement expansion.
  • model Kimi -8.0 Strongly centralist Jewish state; opposes any power-sharing threatening Jewish sovereignty.
  • model gemma -8.0 Favors a strong centralized Jewish state.
  • prior Author baseline -7.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Claude -7.0 Nationalist centralism over power-sharing.
  • model DeepSeek -6.0 Strong centralist.
  • model minimax -4.0 Religious Zionism is centralist Jewish-supremacist, opposing power-sharing with non-Jewish groups.

  before · r1 grok -9.0gemini -8.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Hadash IL Traditionalism vs modernization settled ↔ 5 pt +7.0
  • prior Author baseline +4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +5.0 Socialist modernization agenda with progressive social values.
  • model Claude +6.0 Secular-progressive modernizing orientation.
  • model minimax +6.0 Hadash supports modernization, women's rights, and progressive family-law reform.
  • model Grok +7.0 Modernizing progressive force on social institutional and technological issues.
  • model DeepSeek +7.0 Pro-modernization on social and gender issues.
  • model gemma +8.0 Strongly supports modernization and secular reform.
  • model gpt +8.0 Hadash supports gender equality, secularism, labor rights, and institutional reform.
  • model qwen +8.0 Progressive and modernizing in its social and institutional views.
  • model Gemini +9.0 Advocates for thorough social and institutional modernization over traditional structures.

  before · r1 grok +7.0gemini +8.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Shas IL Centralism vs federalism settled ↔ 5 pt -4.0
  • model Grok -7.0 Haredi populist prefers centralized state responsive to religious community needs.
  • model Claude -6.0 Centralist, focused on state resources for its community.
  • model Gemini -6.0 Prefers a centralized unitary state structure that can distribute national welfare budgets.
  • model gemma -5.0 Prefers a centralized state with religious privileges.
  • model DeepSeek -4.0 Centralist.
  • model Kimi -4.0 Haredi party focused on religious communal interests, not federalist.
  • model gpt -4.0 Shas seeks sectoral autonomy and budgets but not federal restructuring of the state.
  • prior Author baseline -3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model minimax -3.0 Shas favors the status-quo unitary Jewish state with Haredi autonomy in religious affairs; centralist overall.
  • model qwen -2.0 Supports a unitary state but prioritizes community autonomy for its Sephardi base.

  before · r1 grok -8.0gemini -4.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Shas IL Traditionalism vs modernization settled ↔ 5 pt -7.0
  • prior Author baseline -8.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model gemma -8.0 Strongly rejects secular modernization.
  • model qwen -8.0 Highly traditionalist and resistant to social and institutional modernization.
  • model Claude -7.0 Religious-traditionalist orientation.
  • model Gemini -7.0 Prioritizes ultra-Orthodox religious tradition over social and cultural modernization.
  • model DeepSeek -7.0 Strongly traditionalist.
  • model minimax -7.0 Shas is firmly traditionalist: defends religious family law, opposes social modernization.
  • model Kimi -5.0 Traditionalist Haredi; opposes Western-style social modernization.
  • model gpt -5.0 Shas accepts practical modernization but resists liberal reforms in religion and family law.
  • model Grok -3.0 Traditionalist on core values; uses modern politics for community interests.

  before · r1 gemini -8.0grok -7.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Yisrael Beiteinu IL Centralism vs federalism settled ↔ 5 pt -6.5
  • model Gemini -8.0 Favors a highly centralized unitary state and completely opposes sectarian or regional power-sharing.
  • model Grok -8.0 Secular nationalist prioritizes strong unitary Jewish state with separation from Arabs.
  • model gpt -8.0 Yisrael Beiteinu favors a centralized nationalist state and territorial separation, not federalism.
  • model Kimi -7.0 Strongly centralist nationalist; opposes power-sharing threatening Jewish state.
  • model gemma -7.0 Favors a strong unitary state.
  • model Claude -6.0 Nationalist centralism over power-sharing.
  • prior Author baseline -5.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model DeepSeek -4.0 Centralist.
  • model qwen -4.0 Advocates for a hardline, centralist approach to security and territorial control.
  • model minimax -3.0 Yisrael Beiteinu supports a strong unitary Jewish state with significant population transfers; firmly centralist.

  before · r1 gemini -8.0grok -8.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Northern Islamic Movement IL Traditionalism vs modernization settled ↔ 5 pt -6.0
  • model Gemini -8.0 Adheres to deep religious traditionalism and resists modernizing shifts in family status or social norms.
  • prior Author baseline -7.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model minimax -7.0 Movement is firmly traditionalist: rejects Western-style social modernization and defends religious authority in public life.
  • model Claude -6.0 Religious-traditionalist orientation.
  • model DeepSeek -6.0 Traditionalist on family and gender.
  • model Kimi -6.0 Traditionalist Islamist; opposes Western-style modernization.
  • model Grok -5.0 Traditionalist resists secular social and institutional modernization.
  • model gpt -4.0 It adopts modern organization but remains socially and institutionally traditionalist.
  • model qwen -4.0 Traditionalist in social and institutional outlook.
  • model gemma -3.0 Generally traditionalist in social matters.

  before · r1 grok -8.0gemini -7.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Tagammu Party EG Centralism vs federalism settled ↔ 5 pt -7.0
  • model Gemini -9.0 Reflecting its leftist and Nasserist heritage, it strongly advocates for a highly centralized, powerful unitary state.
  • model Grok -8.0 Leftist party advocates strong centralized state to protect social gains, national resources, and revolutionary principles.
  • model qwen -8.0 Nasserist legacy strongly favors a centralized, unitary state.
  • model Kimi -7.0 Leftist Nasserist party strongly favors centralist state in tradition of Arab socialism; no federalist tendencies.
  • model gemma -7.0 Favors a strong unitary state consistent with left-nationalist tradition.
  • model gpt -7.0 Its left-nationalist tradition favors a centralized Egyptian republic.
  • model Claude -6.0 Centralist statist-left tradition.
  • model DeepSeek -6.0 Supports unitary state; leftist tradition of centralism.
  • prior Author baseline -4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model minimax -4.0 Nasserist left historically entertained pan-Arab federalist ideas but operationally centralist in Egypt.
• Tagammu Party EG Traditionalism vs modernization settled ↔ 5 pt +4.0
  • model Kimi +2.0 Supports industrial and economic modernization but socially conservative on some traditional values.
  • prior Author baseline +4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Claude +4.0 Secular-modernizing on social questions.
  • model Grok +4.0 Supports economic and social modernization to extend gains for laborers and poor while preserving core revolutionary and nationalist principles.
  • model gemma +4.0 Supports institutional modernization and social reform.
  • model qwen +4.0 Supports socialist industrialization and state-led modernization.
  • model gpt +5.0 It supports secular social reform and modernization while retaining statist traditions.
  • model minimax +5.0 Mixed: progressive on gender but retains nostalgic state-corporatist traditionalism.
  • model DeepSeek +6.0 Modernizing on social and institutional issues; progressive.
  • model Gemini +7.0 It strongly supports social, institutional, and cultural modernization, particularly regarding women's rights and secular reforms.
• Free Egyptians Party EG Centralism vs federalism settled ↔ 5 pt -7.0
  • model Gemini -9.0 The party firmly adheres to Egypt's traditional centralized and unitary state model.
  • model minimax -9.0 Strongly centralist; Egyptian liberal parties do not advocate federalism.
  • model Grok -8.0 Operates within and accepts Egypt's unitary centralized state without any federalist or regional autonomy proposals in platform.
  • model qwen -8.0 Supports a centralized Egyptian state.
  • model Kimi -7.0 Liberal party in Egypt's centralist tradition with no indication of supporting federalism.
  • model gemma -7.0 Strongly supports a unitary central state.
  • model Claude -6.0 Centralist within Egypt's unitary tradition; no federal agenda.
  • model gpt -6.0 It is a strongly Egyptian nationalist party that favors a unitary central state.
  • model DeepSeek -5.0 Supports centralized unitary state; no platform for federalism.
  • prior Author baseline -4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
• Sairoon Alliance IQ Traditionalism vs modernization settled ↔ 5 pt -2.0
  • model Gemini -5.0 The Sadrists maintain a traditionalist outlook, emphasizing conservative religious values over Western-style social modernization.
  • model DeepSeek -4.0 Populist and traditionalist on social issues despite anti-corruption reform rhetoric.
  • model Claude -3.0 Traditionalist religious base despite anti-corruption reform rhetoric.
  • model Kimi -2.0 Sadr is traditionalist on social issues but pragmatic on some governance; opposes Western-style modernization
  • model qwen -2.0 Resists social modernization and Western cultural influence, though supports technological and infrastructural development.
  • prior Author baseline -1.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok -1.0 Sairoon mixes populist appeals with resistance to rapid social liberalization, favoring traditional values while supporting some technological and economic updates.
  • model minimax -1.0 Sadrism is more traditionalist than modernizing, emphasizing religious authority and traditional social structures, though it does champion some reformist social service delivery.
  • model gemma +0.0 Balances populist institutional demands with strong social traditionalism.
• Kurdistan Democratic Party IQ Traditionalism vs modernization settled ↔ 5 pt +4.0
  • prior Author baseline +1.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Claude +2.0 Modernizing rhetoric coexists with tribal, clan-based patronage governance.
  • model Kimi +3.0 KDP supports economic modernization and some social reforms but remains culturally conservative and tribal
  • model DeepSeek +3.0 KDP supports economic modernization and technology but remains socially traditionalist.
  • model Gemini +4.0 The KDP promotes economic and institutional modernization, though social progress remains constrained by traditional tribal dynamics.
  • model Grok +4.0 KDP has pursued economic and educational modernization in KRG while balancing the conservative social fabric of Kurdish society.
  • model minimax +4.0 KDP promotes a modernizing image with investment in education, infrastructure, and women's participation in public life, though tribal traditions remain influential.
  • model qwen +4.0 Promotes economic and institutional modernization for the KRG while maintaining traditional tribal networks.
  • model gpt +5.0 It promotes modernization, investment, and institutional development within conservative Kurdish society.
  • model gemma +6.0 Promotes institutional and economic modernization in the KRI.
• Hayat Tahrir al-Sham SY Centralism vs federalism settled ↔ 5 pt -8.0
  • model Gemini -8.0 HTS advocates for a centralized Islamic state for Syria and strongly rejects federalism or regional devolution.
  • model Grok -8.0 HTS imposed centralized unitary governance and opposed Kurdish federalist or autonomy demands in northern Syria.
  • model Kimi -8.0 HTS has consistently opposed federalism and Kurdish autonomy, governing Idlib as a centralized unitary state and seeking to maintain a unified Syria.
  • model gpt -8.0 Its governance vision favors a unified central Syrian authority rather than federal autonomy.
  • model Claude -8.0 Insists on a centralized unitary Syria; opposes Kurdish and Druze decentralization.
  • model qwen -8.0 Operates a highly centralized authoritarian administration in Idlib with no tolerance for regional or sectarian autonomy.
  • model gemma -7.0 Tends toward a centralized Islamist governance structure in its controlled areas.
  • model minimax -6.0 HTS post-2024 has run a heavily centralized transitional government in Damascus
  • model DeepSeek -4.0 Prefers a unitary Islamic state but has accepted local governance deals; no formal federalism platform.
  • prior Author baseline -3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
• Syrian National Coalition SY Traditionalism vs modernization settled ↔ 5 pt +4.5
  • prior Author baseline +3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Gemini +4.0 The Coalition supports institutional modernization, administrative reform, and women's political representation within its vision for Syria.
  • model DeepSeek +4.0 Pledges modernization of institutions and tech/economy; mixed on women’s and social law reforms.
  • model minimax +4.0 SNC platform emphasizes women's empowerment
  • model Claude +4.0 Declared reformist, democratic and modernizing orientation.
  • model Grok +5.0 SNC supports social institutional and economic modernization including women's rights expansion and education reform for new Syria.
  • model Kimi +5.0 The SNC's platform emphasized modernization, women's rights, and institutional reform, reflecting the aspirations of the 2011 uprising for a more open society.
  • model gpt +5.0 It supports institutional reform, rights language, and reconstruction-oriented modernization.
  • model gemma +6.0 Advocates for institutional and legal modernization.
  • model qwen +8.0 Supports social and institutional modernization including women's rights and democratic reforms.
• Sudanese Communist Party SD Traditionalism vs modernization settled ↔ 5 pt +7.0
  • prior Author baseline +4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model minimax +5.0 SCP advocates a modernizing
  • model Kimi +6.0 2× rounds Socialist modernization agenda emphasizing social justice and institutional reform.
  • model mistral +6.0 Sudanese Communist Party strongly supports modernization.
  • model Claude +6.0 2× rounds Secular-modernist, progressive social agenda.
  • model DeepSeek +7.0 2× rounds Strong modernizing impulse in scientific
  • model gemma +7.0 2× rounds Supports modernization through a socialist lens.
  • model gpt +7.0 It favors social reform, women’s rights, secular institutions, and structural modernization.
  • model Gemini +8.0 2× rounds The party actively promotes radical social, institutional, and economic modernization over traditional structures.
  • model Grok +9.0 2× rounds Champions scientific socialism radical social transformation women's emancipation and technological economic progress over tradition.
  • model qwen +9.0 2× rounds Secular modernist ideology.
• Islamic Asalah Society BH Traditionalism vs modernization settled ↔ 5 pt -8.0
  • prior Author baseline -9.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Gemini -8.0 Fiercely traditionalist, opposing any modernizing reforms to family law, women's rights, or religious public authority.
  • model DeepSeek -8.0 Rejects social modernization; opposes women's rights and family law reform.
  • model gemma -8.0 Strongly resists social and institutional modernization that deviates from tradition.
  • model Claude -8.0 Strongly traditionalist on women's rights, family law, and religious authority in public life.
  • model qwen -8.0 It is deeply resistant to social, cultural, and institutional modernization, favoring strict traditionalism.
  • model Grok -7.0 Salafi traditionalism resists rapid social or institutional modernization that dilutes religious authority, prioritizing preservation of orthodox Islamic practices against Western-influenced or liberal reforms.
  • model gpt -6.0 It accepts economic modernization but remains strongly traditionalist on social and religious institutions.
  • model Kimi -4.0 Traditionalist Salafi orientation resistant to social modernization and reform.
  • model minimax -4.0 Open to economic modernization but resistant to social and religious liberalization.
• Likud IL Gender equality settled ↔ 5 pt +2.0
  • prior Author baseline -2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok -2.0 Conservative leanings on gender roles family law and opposition to progressive reforms.
  • model qwen -2.0 Relies on religious coalition partners, leading to traditionalist tendencies on gender.
  • model Claude +2.0 Moderate; not a gender-equality champion but not religiously patriarchal.
  • model Gemini +2.0 Includes women in high leadership but frequently compromises on gender issues to satisfy religious coalition partners.
  • model gemma +2.0 Generally moderate on gender issues.
  • model DeepSeek +3.0 Mixed record; somewhat traditional but with some female leaders.
  • model Kimi +3.0 Mixed record; some women in leadership but traditionalist elements in coalition.
  • model gpt +3.0 Likud is not theocratic on gender but often compromises with socially conservative partners.
  • model minimax +3.0 Likud has promoted some women into senior roles and supports women's workforce participation but has allied with religious parties that constrain family-law reform.

  before · r1 grok -3.0gemini +2.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Hezbollah LB Gender equality settled ↔ 5 pt -6.5
  • model Grok -8.0 Enforces conservative Islamist gender norms in areas of strong influence; promotes traditional patriarchal roles and resists progressive family law reforms.
  • model Kimi -8.0 Hezbollah is an Islamist party with deeply conservative gender policies; it enforces traditional gender roles, opposes women's rights reforms, and operates under religious authority on family and social matters.
  • model gemma -8.0 Strictly adheres to patriarchal traditionalism and conservative gender roles.
  • model Gemini -7.0 Hezbollah enforces strict patriarchal traditionalism and Islamist norms regarding gender roles and family law.
  • model minimax -7.0 Hezbollah enforces patriarchal gender roles
  • model DeepSeek -6.0 Strongly patriarchal; opposes unified family law and LGBTQ+ rights.
  • model gpt -6.0 It promotes women’s participation within conservative Islamic family and gender norms.
  • model Claude -6.0 Islamist and patriarchal in its conception of gender roles and family law.
  • model qwen -6.0 Hezbollah promotes patriarchal interpretations of Shia Islam and restricts women’s roles in public life.
  • prior Author baseline -3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
• Nour Party EG Iran posture settled ↔ 5 pt -8.0
  • model Gemini -9.0 As a staunch Sunni Salafi movement, it views Shia Iran with intense ideological and geopolitical hostility.
  • model gemma -9.0 Strongly adversarial toward Iran due to Salafi-Sunni ideological divide.
  • model minimax -9.0 Strongly anti-Iran; Sunni Salafi identity defines hostility to Shia Iran.
  • model qwen -9.0 Sunni Salafi theology is deeply hostile to Shia Iran.
  • model Claude -8.0 Sharply anti-Iran on sectarian anti-Shia grounds.
  • model Grok -8.0 Sunni Salafi party ideologically and politically hostile to Iran and Shia regional influence.
  • model gpt -8.0 As a Sunni Salafi party, it is strongly hostile to Iranian regional influence.
  • prior Author baseline -7.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model DeepSeek -7.0 Sunni Salafi; strongly anti-Iran and anti-Shia.
  • model Kimi -4.0 As Sunni Salafi party, strongly anti-Iran and anti-Shia; adversarial posture toward Islamic Republic.
• Ennahda TN Press freedom settled ↔ 5 pt +3.0
  • model Kimi +1.0 Mixed record on press freedom while in power; criticized for tolerating restrictions on critical media.
  • model DeepSeek +1.0 Ennahda has not systematically repressed press freedom but has not been a strong defender when in power.
  • model minimax +1.0 Mixed record in government; tolerated independent press broadly but some harassment of critical outlets and Nassim al-Hassi's arrest episode under their watch.
  • model qwen +2.0 While in government, Ennahda tolerated harassment of critical journalists; now opposes current crackdown.
  • model gpt +3.0 During its governing period Tunisia's press sphere remained broadly pluralist, despite tensions and occasional pressure.
  • model Claude +3.0 Generally supportive of media pluralism during the transition and now itself targeted by state media controls.
  • model Gemini +4.0 While in power, the party largely tolerated a pluralistic press, though occasional political friction occurred.
  • model gemma +4.0 Generally supported a free press during its time in government.
  • prior Author baseline +6.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok +6.0 Ennahda governments presided over significant liberalization of the media landscape compared to the prior dictatorship while still exhibiting partisan pressures on journalists.
• Fatah PS Press freedom settled ↔ 5 pt -6.0
  • model qwen -8.0 PA authorities frequently censor media, arrest journalists, and restrict digital access.
  • model Gemini -7.0 Its governance record includes arbitrary harassment, detention of critical journalists, and blocking of oppositional websites.
  • model gpt -7.0 Fatah-led PA security practice has included arrests, pressure, and censorship against critical media.
  • model Grok -6.0 PA under Fatah has restricted press through journalist detentions, media closures, and regulatory pressure on critical outlets.
  • model gemma -6.0 Record in office involves controlling media narratives and penalizing critical journalists.
  • model Claude -6.0 PA record: journalists arrested and the Electronic Crimes Law used against media.
  • model Kimi -5.0 PA under Fatah has a documented record of arresting journalists, blocking websites, and using defamation laws against critics, with Reporters Without Borders consistently ranking Palestinian territories poorly.
  • model DeepSeek -5.0 PA under Fatah has detained journalists, shut down critical outlets, and pressured media.
  • prior Author baseline -3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
• Sairoon Alliance IQ Sectarian power-sharing settled ↔ 5 pt +4.0
  • prior Author baseline +3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +4.0 2× rounds Sadr has adopted anti-sectarian rhetoric and allied with communists/secularists, though base remains Shia
  • model Grok +5.0 2× rounds Sadr's Sairoon movement campaigned on anti-sectarian reformist platform against the corrupt quota system in Iraq.
  • model mistral +5.0 Sairoon Alliance leans toward post-sectarian civic state principles.
  • model Claude +5.0 2× rounds Sadrist-Communist list ran on a cross-sectarian, reformist civic appeal.
  • model Gemini +6.0 2× rounds Sadr's declared platform rejects the sectarian muhasasa quota system in favor of a majoritarian national government.
  • model DeepSeek +6.0 2× rounds Sairoon campaigns against the muhasasa quota system and for a post-sectarian civic state.
  • model qwen +6.0 2× rounds Anti-sectarian platform led by Muqtada al-Sadr.
  • model minimax +7.0 2× rounds Sairoon under Sadr is explicitly post-sectarian
  • model gemma +8.0 2× rounds Strongly advocates for a civic state over sectarian quotas.
• Lebanese Forces LB Economic settled ↔ 4 pt +5.0
  • re-coder Re-coder B +3.0 Second-pass coder B — rubric-anchored re-read on the economic axis; extreme magnitudes tempered slightly toward the rubric mid-anchors.
  • model qwen +3.0 2× rounds Center-right, mix of market and Christian welfare.
  • model mistral +3.0 Lebanese Forces lean toward market-oriented economic policies.
  • prior Author baseline +4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok +4.0 2× rounds Center-right support for market reforms, private sector, and reduction of sectarian economic patronage networks.
  • re-coder Re-coder C +5.0 Second-pass coder C — rubric-anchored re-read on the economic axis; magnitude follows the primary reading with independent judgment calls on the governance axes.
  • model DeepSeek +5.0 2× rounds Pro-market liberal economic policies.
  • model Kimi +6.0 2× rounds LF strongly supports free market mechanisms, economic liberalization, and private enterprise; it aligns with pro-business, market-oriented economic policies.
  • model minimax +6.0 2× rounds LF is generally free-market oriented with right-of-center economic positions.
  • model Claude +6.0 2× rounds Pro-market, pro-business liberal orientation.
  • model Gemini +7.0 2× rounds Lebanese Forces firmly advocate for a market economy, privatization, and reducing state involvement.
  • model gemma +7.0 2× rounds Strongly favors free-market capitalism.
  • model gpt +7.0 It strongly favors private enterprise fiscal discipline and market-oriented reform.
• Free Egyptians Party EG Economic settled ↔ 4 pt +8.0
  • prior Author baseline +5.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model mistral +6.0 Free Egyptians Party advocates for market-oriented economic policies.
  • model Kimi +7.0 2× rounds Strongly pro-market liberal party advocating free economy, investment attraction, and privatization.
  • model Claude +7.0 2× rounds Strongly pro-market, business-liberal party founded by a tycoon.
  • model Grok +8.0 2× rounds This is Egypt's main liberal pro-business party pushing market reforms against the statist military economy.
  • model Gemini +8.0 2× rounds Founded by a prominent businessman, the party strongly champions free-market capitalism, privatization, and deregulation.
  • model DeepSeek +8.0 2× rounds Highly market-oriented; advocates privatization and minimal state intervention.
  • model minimax +8.0 2× rounds Free Egyptians is an explicitly pro-business
  • model gemma +8.0 2× rounds Strongly advocates for free-market capitalism and privatization.
  • model gpt +8.0 It is one of Egypt's clearest pro-market, private-sector-oriented parties.
  • model qwen +9.0 2× rounds Strongly pro-market liberal economic orientation.
• Israeli Labor Party IL Social settled ↔ 4 pt +5.8
  • prior Author baseline +4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • re-coder Re-coder B +4.0 Second-pass coder B — rubric-anchored re-read on the social axis; extreme magnitudes tempered slightly toward the rubric mid-anchors.
  • model Claude +4.0 ⛓ grounded 3× rounds Liberal: equality, civil marriage open to same-sex couples, anti-discrimination.
  • model mistral +4.0 Israeli Labor Party supports progressive social policies.
  • re-coder Re-coder C +5.0 Second-pass coder C — rubric-anchored re-read on the social axis; magnitude follows the primary reading with independent judgment calls on the governance axes.
  • model Grok +5.0 2× rounds Labor supports progressive social policies on gender LGBT and personal freedoms compared to religious right.
  • model minimax +5.0 2× rounds Labor is socially moderate
  • model DeepSeek +6.0 2× rounds Socially liberal.
  • model Kimi +6.0 2× rounds Secular and socially progressive tradition, though more moderate than Meretz.
  • model qwen +6.0 2× rounds Center-left, moderately libertarian.
  • model gemma +7.0 2× rounds Generally supports liberal social values.
  • model Gemini +8.0 2× rounds Promotes highly permissive social values, including full support for LGBTQ+ rights.
  • model gpt +8.0 Labor is socially liberal on lifestyle and minority rights.

  before · r1 grok +5.0gemini +8.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Hadash IL Social settled ↔ 4 pt +6.5
  • re-coder Re-coder B +4.0 Second-pass coder B — rubric-anchored re-read on the social axis; extreme magnitudes tempered slightly toward the rubric mid-anchors.
  • prior Author baseline +5.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • re-coder Re-coder C +6.0 Second-pass coder C — rubric-anchored re-read on the social axis; magnitude follows the primary reading with independent judgment calls on the governance axes.
  • model Kimi +6.0 2× rounds Mixed Jewish-Arab coalition with progressive social views, though traditional Arab constituency influences positions.
  • model Grok +7.0 2× rounds Hadash supports progressive social policies including LGBT rights and gender equality unlike religious parties.
  • model Claude +7.0 2× rounds Secular and socially progressive.
  • model DeepSeek +7.0 2× rounds Socially liberal and secular.
  • model qwen +7.0 2× rounds Libertarian on social issues, progressive.
  • model minimax +7.0 2× rounds Hadash is socially progressive on gender
  • model mistral +7.0 Hadash supports libertarian social policies.
  • model Gemini +8.0 2× rounds Promotes progressive social values, including active support for LGBTQ+ rights and individual freedoms.
  • model gemma +8.0 2× rounds Strongly supports libertarian social values.
  • model gpt +8.0 Hadash is secular and generally permissive on lifestyle and individual rights.

  before · r1 grok +6.0gemini +8.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• The Democrats IL Social settled ↔ 4 pt +8.0
  • prior Author baseline +5.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok +6.0 Libertarian progressive on social lifestyle and individual expression issues.
  • model DeepSeek +6.0 Socially liberal.
  • model minimax +7.0 The Democrats is socially libertarian: strongly supports LGBTQ+ rights and individual freedoms.
  • model Kimi +8.0 Very progressive on social issues; Meretz heritage strongly libertarian on social freedoms.
  • model gemma +8.0 Strongly permissive and socially liberal.
  • model qwen +8.0 Strongly libertarian and permissive on social and moral issues.
  • model Claude +9.0 Strongly socially permissive and pro-LGBTQ+.
  • model Gemini +9.0 Promotes highly libertarian social values and full equality for the LGBTQ+ community.
  • model gpt +9.0 It is among Israel’s most socially libertarian mainstream parties.

  before · r1 grok +7.0gemini +10.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Ra'am (United Arab List) IL Social settled ↔ 4 pt -6.0
  • model gemma -8.0 Strongly conservative and traditionalist.
  • model Gemini -7.0 Upholds Islamic religious authority and conservative social stances, opposing LGBTQ+ liberties.
  • model minimax -7.0 Ra'am is socially conservative/religious; opposes LGBTQ+ rights and secular lifestyles.
  • model Claude -6.0 Conservative Islamist social values.
  • model DeepSeek -6.0 Socially conservative as Islamist party.
  • model Kimi -6.0 Conservative Islamist social values; traditional on gender and moral issues.
  • model gpt -6.0 Ra’am is Islamist and socially conservative on lifestyle and family issues.
  • model qwen -6.0 Socially conservative Islamic party with traditional collective moral authority.
  • model Grok -5.0 Islamist conservative authority on social gender and moral lifestyle issues.
  • prior Author baseline -4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.

  before · r1 gemini -8.0grok -6.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Otzma Yehudit IL Social settled ↔ 4 pt -8.0
  • prior Author baseline -9.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model gemma -9.0 Extreme traditionalist moral authority.
  • model qwen -9.0 Extreme authority, strongly anti-LGBTQ and opposed to personal freedoms.
  • model Claude -8.0 ⛓ grounded 2× rounds Kahanist far-right authority politics.
  • model Gemini -8.0 Stands for strict collective moral authority rooted in Orthodox Judaism and opposes LGBTQ+ rights.
  • model DeepSeek -8.0 Strongly socially conservative and anti-LGBTQ.
  • model minimax -8.0 Otzma Yehudit is socially authoritarian: opposes LGBTQ+ rights, individual lifestyle freedoms, and secular morality.
  • model Kimi -7.0 Traditionalist Jewish social values; strongly conservative on moral/social issues.
  • model gpt -7.0 It promotes religious-nationalist moral authority over permissive social freedoms.
  • model Grok -5.0 Nationalist and religious authority on social moral issues.

  before · r1 gemini -9.0grok -7.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• DFLP PS Economic settled ↔ 4 pt -8.0
  • model Gemini -8.0 Maintains a Marxist-Leninist ideology that favors state allocation and socialist economic principles over market mechanisms.
  • model gemma -8.0 Explicitly advocates for socialist economic policies and state allocation.
  • model gpt -8.0 Marxist left orientation favors socialist planning and redistribution over market allocation.
  • model minimax -8.0 DFLP is a Marxist-Leninist party advocating socialist economic planning and state-led allocation.
  • model Claude -8.0 Marxist-Leninist program favoring state allocation and central planning.
  • model qwen -8.0 Marxist-Leninist roots favor state allocation and socialist economic policies.
  • prior Author baseline -7.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok -7.0 As a Marxist-Leninist party, DFLP advocates state-controlled socialist economics over free market mechanisms.
  • model Kimi -4.0 DFLP is Marxist-Leninist and favors state allocation and socialist economics over market mechanisms, though it has pragmatically adapted since the 1990s.
  • model DeepSeek -4.0 DFLP's Marxist-Leninist origins favor state allocation, though it has moderated toward mixed economy.
• Mostaqbal Watan EG Social settled ↔ 4 pt -4.0
  • model Kimi -5.0 Socially conservative party reflecting Egypt's traditional society; no advocacy for LGBTQ+ rights or social liberalization.
  • model Gemini -5.0 It aligns with the state's enforcement of traditional moral authority and conservative family values.
  • model gpt -5.0 It reflects conservative state-backed social norms rather than libertarian moral freedom.
  • model qwen -5.0 Socially conservative, aligning with state religious institutions like Al-Azhar.
  • model DeepSeek -4.0 Socially conservative but less extreme than Islamists; enforces traditional values.
  • model Grok -4.0 Socially conservative pro-regime party balancing traditional values with state modernization and security priorities.
  • model gemma -4.0 Favors traditional values and state authority in social matters.
  • prior Author baseline -2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Claude -2.0 State-managed social conservatism rather than personal liberty.
  • model minimax -1.0 Socially conservative-leaning but pragmatic; not strongly ideological on personal freedoms.
• Egyptian Social Democratic Party EG Social settled ↔ 4 pt +5.0
  • prior Author baseline +4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Claude +4.0 2× rounds Secular-liberal and relatively permissive within a conservative society.
  • model mistral +4.0 The party supports progressive social policies
  • model gpt +4.0 Its civic left-liberal outlook is relatively permissive by Egyptian party standards.
  • model Kimi +5.0 2× rounds Socially liberal platform emphasizing individual rights, equality, and secular values in personal matters.
  • model Gemini +5.0 2× rounds It leans toward social liberalism and personal freedoms within Egypt's relatively conservative social context.
  • model minimax +5.0 2× rounds ESDP is centrist on social issues
  • model Grok +6.0 2× rounds As a secular liberal party it leans toward more personal liberties than the Islamist or military alternatives in Egypt.
  • model DeepSeek +6.0 2× rounds Secular and socially permissive relative to Egyptian mainstream; supports individual freedoms.
  • model gemma +6.0 2× rounds Supports greater individual liberties and social rights.
  • model qwen +8.0 2× rounds Social liberal, supports individual liberties and progressive values.
• Amal Movement LB Social settled ↔ 4 pt -6.0
  • model gemma -7.0 Adheres to traditional Shia moral authority and conservative values.
  • model Grok -6.0 Socially conservative on moral, family, and lifestyle issues aligned with traditional Shia community norms and religious authority.
  • model Kimi -6.0 Amal is a conservative Shiite party with traditional religious values; it opposes LGBTQ+ rights and supports traditional collective moral authority in its community.
  • model gpt -6.0 Its social outlook is conservative and communitarian.
  • model minimax -6.0 Amal's Shia Islamist base aligns with traditional moral authority on social issues including LGBTQ+ rights and personal conduct.
  • model qwen -6.0 Amal promotes traditional Shia social values and resists liberal social reforms like LGBTQ+ rights or secular personal status laws.
  • model DeepSeek -4.0 Socially conservative in line with traditional Shia religious norms.
  • prior Author baseline -3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Gemini -3.0 Amal is a relatively traditional confessional party that defers to religious authority on social matters.
  • model Claude -3.0 Conservative Shia base, though more secular-nationalist in tone than Hezbollah.
• Lebanese Forces LB West alignment settled ↔ 4 pt +8.0
  • model mistral +5.0 Lebanese Forces are pro-Western.
  • re-coder Re-coder B +6.0 Second-pass coder B — rubric-anchored re-read on the west-alignment axis; extreme magnitudes tempered slightly toward the rubric mid-anchors.
  • model DeepSeek +6.0 Pro-Western, aligned with the US and its allies in Lebanon.
  • prior Author baseline +7.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • re-coder Re-coder C +7.0 Second-pass coder C — rubric-anchored re-read on the west-alignment axis; magnitude follows the primary reading with independent judgment calls on the governance axes.
  • model Kimi +8.0 2× rounds LF is strongly pro-Western, with Geagea meeting Saudi and Western leaders and advocating for leveraging ties with the US, Gulf states, and EU; it seeks strategic alignment with Western blocs.
  • model qwen +8.0 2× rounds Pro-Western, especially France and US.
  • model minimax +8.0 2× rounds LF is firmly pro-Western and close to the US and France.
  • model Claude +8.0 2× rounds Strongly pro-Western and anti-Iran.
  • model gpt +8.0 It is strongly oriented toward Western and Gulf-backed strategic partnerships.
  • model Gemini +9.0 2× rounds Lebanese Forces are strongly aligned with Western blocs, advocating for close strategic and military cooperation.
  • model Grok +9.0 2× rounds Strongly seeks deep strategic, security, and economic alignment with US, EU, and France to rebuild sovereign state institutions against Iranian influence.
  • model gemma +9.0 2× rounds Strongly aligned with Western powers.
• Kataeb Party LB Regional stance settled ↔ 4 pt +6.0
  • model DeepSeek +4.0 Supports normalization with Israel (Abraham Accords) and opposes Axis of Resistance.
  • model gpt +5.0 It favors state sovereignty and negotiated stability over resistance politics.
  • model qwen +5.0 Kataeb leans toward normalization and stability, opposing Hezbollah’s resistance axis.
  • prior Author baseline +6.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Claude +6.0 ⛓ grounded 2× rounds Constitutional "permanent neutrality," returning to the Israeli armistice, an amnesty for Lebanese who fled to Israel — normalization-leaning.
  • model Gemini +6.0 Kataeb aligns with the regional stability and normalization camp against the resistance axis.
  • model minimax +6.0 Kataeb opposes the resistance axis and supports stability/diplomacy
  • model Kimi +7.0 Kataeb is firmly in the normalization/stability camp, opposing the Axis of Resistance; it supports UN resolutions, state monopoly on arms, and diplomatic solutions rather than armed struggle.
  • model gemma +7.0 Strongly opposes the Axis of Resistance and aligns with the stability/normalization camp.
  • model Grok +8.0 Firmly in the stability and normalization camp; rejects Axis of Resistance politics and supports Arab moderation and pragmatic regional engagement.
• Amal Movement LB Palestinian question settled ↔ 4 pt +6.5
  • model DeepSeek +4.0 Historically pro-Palestinian but wary of armed Palestinian presence in Lebanon.
  • prior Author baseline +6.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Gemini +6.0 Amal officially supports Palestinian self-determination and rights in international forums.
  • model Grok +6.0 Consistent rhetorical and political support for Palestinian rights and resistance as part of its alignment with the broader anti-Israel camp.
  • model qwen +6.0 Amal historically supported Palestinian rights but has grown more cautious due to domestic tensions with Palestinian refugees in Lebanon.
  • model Kimi +7.0 Amal supports Palestinian rights rhetorically and is part of the resistance axis, though its position is more pragmatic than Hezbollah's maximalist stance.
  • model gemma +7.0 Strongly supports Palestinian rights and resistance.
  • model Claude +8.0 ⛓ grounded 2× rounds Palestine "at the heart" of the movement, its liberation a first duty, Zionism named the existential threat.
  • model gpt +8.0 Amal strongly supports Palestinian rights and resistance diplomacy in official rhetoric.
  • model minimax +8.0 Amal's platform explicitly supports Palestinian rights
• Nour Party EG Palestinian question settled ↔ 4 pt +7.5
  • model DeepSeek +5.0 Supports Palestinians but prioritizes Sunni Islamist framing.
  • model Claude +6.0 Supports Palestinian cause on Islamic-solidarity grounds.
  • model Kimi +7.0 Strongly pro-Palestinian; opposes normalization with Israel, seeks amendments to Camp David for Palestinian rights.
  • model Grok +7.0 Islamist party expresses strong support for Palestinian rights and resistance causes.
  • model qwen +7.0 Religiously motivated support for Palestinians, though less politically tied to Hamas than the MB.
  • prior Author baseline +8.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model gemma +8.0 Strong support for Palestinian rights on religious and nationalist grounds.
  • model gpt +8.0 It strongly supports Palestinian rights and opposes Israeli occupation.
  • model Gemini +9.0 It strongly supports Palestinian rights based on Islamic and Arab solidarity.
  • model minimax +9.0 Strongly pro-Palestinian; deep Salafi solidarity with Jerusalem and Palestinian cause.
• New Wafd Party EG State & religion settled ↔ 4 pt +5.0
  • prior Author baseline +3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Claude +4.0 ⛓ grounded 2× rounds Rejects BOTH secularism and theocracy, but affirms "Islam is the state religion and the principles of Islamic sharia are the main source of legislation" — civil-but-religious, not the secular pole.
  • model Gemini +4.0 2× rounds It advocates for a civil state and citizenship rights while accepting a traditional role for religion in public life.
  • model gemma +4.0 Lean toward a secular state.
  • model Kimi +5.0 Secular party with 'Religion for God, Nation for all' motto; advocates separation but pragmatically compromised.
  • model DeepSeek +5.0 Secular in orientation but respects state religion; supports reform.
  • model gpt +5.0 It supports a civil constitutional state while respecting Egypt's religious framework.
  • model Grok +6.0 Secular liberal nationalist orientation favors separation of religion from state institutions and law.
  • model minimax +7.0 Secular civil-state tradition; Wafd historically championed separation.
  • model qwen +7.0 Advocates for a civil state with minimal religious interference in politics.
• New Wafd Party EG West alignment settled ↔ 4 pt +5.0
  • prior Author baseline +3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +3.0 Moderate Western alignment; historically sought independence from colonial powers; pragmatic on Western partnerships.
  • model DeepSeek +4.0 Generally pro-Western but with nationalist distance.
  • model gpt +4.0 It is generally open to Western partnership through liberal nationalist diplomacy.
  • model Claude +5.0 Pro-Western strategic posture.
  • model Grok +5.0 Nationalist liberal party open to Western partnerships but prioritizes Egyptian sovereignty and balanced foreign relations.
  • model gemma +5.0 Generally supportive of diplomatic and strategic ties with the West.
  • model minimax +5.0 Pro-Western strategically; historically Western-aligned Egyptian liberal tradition.
  • model Gemini +6.0 2× rounds It favors strong diplomatic and economic ties with Western nations within a framework of national sovereignty.
  • model qwen +7.0 Historically maintained good relations with Western powers.
• New Wafd Party EG Palestinian question settled ↔ 4 pt +6.0
  • prior Author baseline +5.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Claude +5.0 Nationalist support for Palestinian rights.
  • model Grok +5.0 Traditional Egyptian nationalist support for Palestinian rights and cause within broader Arab consensus.
  • model Kimi +6.0 Supports Palestinian rights and statehood; historically nationalist party with strong solidarity for Arab causes.
  • model DeepSeek +6.0 Supports Palestinian rights; nationalist Arab orientation.
  • model gemma +6.0 Supports Palestinian rights as part of Egyptian nationalist tradition.
  • model gpt +6.0 It supports Palestinian rights within mainstream Egyptian nationalist consensus.
  • model qwen +6.0 Supports Palestinian rights consistent with mainstream Egyptian foreign policy.
  • model minimax +7.0 Strongly pro-Palestinian; Wafd historical legacy of Arab nationalist solidarity.
  • model Gemini +9.0 It strongly supports Palestinian national rights and self-determination in line with its nationalist heritage.
• Free Egyptians Party EG State & religion settled ↔ 4 pt +8.0
  • model gemma +5.0 Supports a secular state structure.
  • prior Author baseline +6.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Claude +7.0 Strong secularist defending a civil state.
  • model Kimi +8.0 Explicitly secular party supporting separation of religion from state; one of founders promoted secularism slogan.
  • model Gemini +8.0 It strongly advocates for a secular state and the complete separation of religion from legislation and politics.
  • model Grok +8.0 Founding platform calls for separation of religious and state affairs in a civil non-religious state with full citizen equality.
  • model gpt +8.0 It strongly advocates a secular civil state and limiting religious politics.
  • model minimax +8.0 Strongly secular; champions civil state.
  • model DeepSeek +9.0 Vigorously secular; demands strict separation of religion from state.
  • model qwen +9.0 Firmly secular, opposing religious authority in law.
• Free Egyptians Party EG Regional stance settled ↔ 4 pt +6.0
  • prior Author baseline +3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model gpt +4.0 Its pro-stability and anti-Islamist orientation leans toward the normalization camp.
  • model minimax +4.0 Pragmatic; pro-stability
  • model Kimi +5.0 Liberal party generally favors stability and normalization camp, pragmatic engagement with regional order.
  • model Claude +6.0 Firmly in the stability/normalization camp.
  • model Grok +6.0 Business-liberal orientation aligns with regional stability, economic normalization, and pragmatic détente policies.
  • model DeepSeek +6.0 Supports normalization and Gulf-Israeli détente; pro-stability camp.
  • model Gemini +7.0 It supports regional stability, the alliance with Gulf states, and traditional diplomatic paths rather than armed resistance.
  • model gemma +7.0 Aligned with the stability/normalization camp and diplomatic settlements.
  • model qwen +7.0 Supports regional stability and normalization.
• Mostaqbal Watan EG Regional stance settled ↔ 4 pt +7.0
  • prior Author baseline +5.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model minimax +5.0 Pro-stability
  • model DeepSeek +6.0 Pro-normalization; supports stability camp and Gulf-Israel détente.
  • model Kimi +6.0 Strongly in stability/normalization camp; supports Abraham Accords framework and Gulf-Israel détente for economic reasons.
  • model Claude +7.0 Anchored in the normalization/stability camp, anti-Islamist and Gulf-aligned.
  • model gpt +7.0 It aligns with Egypt's stability-first diplomacy and negotiated regional settlement posture.
  • model Gemini +8.0 It supports the regional stability camp, prioritizing security cooperation, alliances with Gulf states, and diplomatic treaties.
  • model Grok +8.0 Strongly aligned with Sisi-era stability, Gulf partnerships, and normalization-oriented regional posture.
  • model gemma +8.0 Strongly aligned with the stability and normalization camp.
  • model qwen +9.0 Strongly supports the anti-Islamist Gulf bloc and normalization with Israel.
• Egyptian Social Democratic Party EG State & religion settled ↔ 4 pt +7.0
  • prior Author baseline +5.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Claude +6.0 Advocates a secular civil state separating religion from law.
  • model Kimi +7.0 Explicitly secular party advocating separation of religion from state and law, equality regardless of religion.
  • model Gemini +7.0 It advocates for the separation of religion from state affairs and the legal system.
  • model gemma +7.0 Strongly advocates for the separation of religion from state and law.
  • model gpt +7.0 It supports a civil state and limiting clerical authority in law and politics.
  • model minimax +7.0 Explicitly secular; supports civil state and separation of religion from legislation.
  • model Grok +8.0 Explicitly advocates civil secular state with clear separation of religion from legislation and state institutions.
  • model DeepSeek +8.0 Explicitly secular platform; advocates separation of religion from state.
  • model qwen +9.0 Strong advocate for a secular state and civil law.
• Egyptian Social Democratic Party EG Liberal democracy settled ↔ 4 pt +7.0
  • model minimax +5.0 Stated commitment to pluralism
  • prior Author baseline +6.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +7.0 Strong commitment to liberal democracy with independent courts and minority rights; Farid Zahran ran as opposition presidential candidate.
  • model Claude +7.0 Declared commitment to courts, pluralism and limits on executive power.
  • model DeepSeek +7.0 Calls for judicial independence and checks on executive power
  • model gemma +7.0 Strongly committed to the principles of liberal democracy and institutional checks.
  • model gpt +7.0 It emphasizes constitutionalism, pluralism, independent institutions, and opposition rights.
  • model Gemini +8.0 The party's core platform is centered on building a liberal democratic system with robust institutional checks and balances.
  • model Grok +8.0 Platform commits to liberal democracy with emphasis on independent judiciary, free press, minority rights, and executive constraints.
  • model qwen +9.0 Strong commitment to liberal democratic checks and balances.
• Egyptian Social Democratic Party EG Palestinian question settled ↔ 4 pt +7.0
  • prior Author baseline +5.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Claude +6.0 Supports Palestinian statehood in line with Egyptian liberal-left consensus.
  • model Grok +6.0 Supports Palestinian rights and self-determination as part of broader human rights and Arab solidarity positions without maximalist framing.
  • model qwen +6.0 Supports Palestinian rights within a two-state framework.
  • model Kimi +7.0 Supports Palestinian rights and statehood while maintaining peace treaty; opposes mass displacement from Gaza.
  • model minimax +7.0 Strongly pro-Palestinian
  • model DeepSeek +8.0 Consistently supports Palestinian statehood and two-state solution in official statements.
  • model gemma +8.0 Strongly supports Palestinian rights and self-determination.
  • model gpt +8.0 It broadly supports Palestinian self-determination and opposes Israeli occupation.
  • model Gemini +9.0 It strongly supports Palestinian self-determination and the establishment of an independent Palestinian state.
• Likud IL West alignment settled ↔ 4 pt +8.0
  • re-coder Re-coder B +5.0 Second-pass coder B — rubric-anchored re-read on the west-alignment axis; extreme magnitudes tempered slightly toward the rubric mid-anchors.
  • prior Author baseline +6.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • re-coder Re-coder C +6.0 Second-pass coder C — rubric-anchored re-read on the west-alignment axis; magnitude follows the primary reading with independent judgment calls on the governance axes.
  • model mistral +6.0 Likud is strongly pro-Western.
  • model Claude +8.0 ⛓ grounded 3× rounds Pro-Western: peace via the Geneva Conference and negotiations "as customary among the nations."
  • model DeepSeek +8.0 2× rounds Strongly pro-Western strategic alignment.
  • model Kimi +8.0 2× rounds Strongly pro-Western, especially US; strategic alliance cornerstone of policy.
  • model gemma +8.0 2× rounds Generally strongly aligned with Western strategic interests.
  • model gpt +8.0 Likud is strategically pro-US and pro-Western despite friction with liberal Western governments.
  • model Grok +9.0 2× rounds Likud is deeply aligned with the United States and Western interests especially under right-wing US administrations.
  • model Gemini +9.0 2× rounds Considers strategic and military alignment with the United States as paramount.
  • model qwen +9.0 2× rounds Strong US alliance despite occasional tensions.
  • model minimax +9.0 2× rounds Likud is firmly pro-Western

  before · r1 gemini +6.0grok +8.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Yesh Atid IL West alignment settled ↔ 4 pt +8.5
  • prior Author baseline +6.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +7.0 Pro-Western; liberal international member; values Western democratic alliance.
  • model Claude +8.0 Strongly pro-Western and pro-US.
  • model Grok +8.0 Pro-Western democratic values and strategic US/EU alliance.
  • model DeepSeek +8.0 Strongly pro-Western.
  • model Gemini +9.0 Considers deep strategic and diplomatic alignment with the United States and Europe essential.
  • model gpt +9.0 Yesh Atid is firmly pro-US and pro-European in strategic orientation.
  • model minimax +9.0 Yesh Atid is firmly pro-Western strategically with deep US and EU ties.
  • model qwen +9.0 Strongly pro-Western strategically and diplomatically.
  • model gemma +10.0 Maximum strategic alignment with the US and EU.

  before · r1 gemini +9.0grok +9.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Israeli Labor Party IL State & religion settled ↔ 4 pt +5.0
  • re-coder Re-coder B +4.0 Second-pass coder B — rubric-anchored re-read on the state-religion axis; extreme magnitudes tempered slightly toward the rubric mid-anchors.
  • prior Author baseline +5.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • re-coder Re-coder C +5.0 Second-pass coder C — rubric-anchored re-read on the state-religion axis; magnitude follows the primary reading with independent judgment calls on the governance axes.
  • model Claude +5.0 ⛓ grounded 3× rounds Civil marriage and divorce, breaking the Orthodox rabbinic monopoly, recognising all Jewish streams and secular Jewish culture.
  • model Kimi +5.0 2× rounds Secular Zionist but has compromised with religious parties in coalitions.
  • model mistral +6.0 Israeli Labor Party supports a secular state.
  • model Grok +7.0 2× rounds Labor represents Israel's secular Zionist tradition against religious coercion in public life.
  • model Gemini +7.0 2× rounds Advocates for the separation of religion and state and the reduction of religious coercion.
  • model DeepSeek +7.0 2× rounds Moderate secularist.
  • model qwen +7.0 2× rounds Secular Zionist party.
  • model minimax +7.0 2× rounds Labor is a secular party historically opposed to religious coercion in state affairs.
  • model gpt +7.0 Labor favors reducing religious control in public law while keeping some Jewish-state arrangements.
  • model gemma +8.0 2× rounds Strongly favors a secular or minimally religious state.

  before · r1 gemini +6.0grok +6.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Israeli Labor Party IL Liberal democracy settled ↔ 4 pt +6.0
  • re-coder Re-coder B +5.0 Second-pass coder B — rubric-anchored re-read on the democracy axis; extreme magnitudes tempered slightly toward the rubric mid-anchors.
  • model Kimi +5.0 2× rounds Supports democratic institutions but has compromised on civil liberties during security crises.
  • prior Author baseline +6.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • re-coder Re-coder C +6.0 Second-pass coder C — rubric-anchored re-read on the democracy axis; magnitude follows the primary reading with independent judgment calls on the governance axes.
  • model Claude +7.0 ⛓ grounded 3× rounds Amend the Nation-State Law, entrench equality, a Human Dignity Basic Law.
  • model Grok +7.0 2× rounds Labor is a mainstream democratic party committed to Israel's liberal democratic institutions.
  • model minimax +7.0 2× rounds Labor is a mainstream democratic party committed to liberal-democratic institutions.
  • model mistral +7.0 Israeli Labor Party supports strong liberal democracy.
  • model gpt +7.0 Labor has a broadly liberal-democratic record and opposes attacks on courts and checks.
  • model DeepSeek +8.0 2× rounds Strong liberal-democratic commitment.
  • model qwen +8.0 2× rounds Founding party of Israeli democracy, strong liberal commitment.
  • model gemma +8.0 2× rounds Strongly committed to liberal democratic institutions.
  • model Gemini +9.0 2× rounds Committed to strong liberal-democratic checks, judicial independence, and rule of law.

  before · r1 gemini +8.0grok +9.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Israeli Labor Party IL West alignment settled ↔ 4 pt +8.0
  • re-coder Re-coder B +5.0 Second-pass coder B — rubric-anchored re-read on the west-alignment axis; extreme magnitudes tempered slightly toward the rubric mid-anchors.
  • model mistral +5.0 Israeli Labor Party is pro-Western.
  • prior Author baseline +6.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • re-coder Re-coder C +6.0 Second-pass coder C — rubric-anchored re-read on the west-alignment axis; magnitude follows the primary reading with independent judgment calls on the governance axes.
  • model DeepSeek +7.0 2× rounds Strongly pro-Western strategic alignment.
  • model Grok +8.0 2× rounds Labor is firmly aligned with the West seeing Israel as part of Western democratic civilization.
  • model Claude +8.0 2× rounds Firmly aligned with the US and Western blocs.
  • model Kimi +8.0 2× rounds Strongly pro-Western; traditional ally of US and EU.
  • model Gemini +9.0 2× rounds Strongly aligns with the United States and European strategic and military alliances.
  • model qwen +9.0 2× rounds Strongly pro-Western, especially US-aligned.
  • model minimax +9.0 2× rounds Labor is firmly aligned with the US and Western liberal democracies.
  • model gemma +9.0 2× rounds Strongly aligned with Western political and economic systems.
  • model gpt +9.0 Labor is strongly aligned with the US and European diplomatic-security bloc.

  before · r1 gemini +8.0grok +9.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Hadash IL State & religion settled ↔ 4 pt +8.0
  • re-coder Re-coder B +6.0 Second-pass coder B — rubric-anchored re-read on the state-religion axis; extreme magnitudes tempered slightly toward the rubric mid-anchors.
  • prior Author baseline +7.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • re-coder Re-coder C +7.0 Second-pass coder C — rubric-anchored re-read on the state-religion axis; magnitude follows the primary reading with independent judgment calls on the governance axes.
  • model Grok +8.0 2× rounds Hadash is militantly secular opposing religious parties' influence in Israeli state affairs.
  • model Kimi +8.0 2× rounds Secular communist platform strongly supports separation of religion and state.
  • model Claude +9.0 2× rounds Secularist, favoring strict separation of religion and state.
  • model Gemini +9.0 2× rounds Demands the absolute separation of religion from the state and legal systems.
  • model DeepSeek +9.0 2× rounds Firmly secular and advocates separation.
  • model qwen +9.0 2× rounds Firmly secular.
  • model minimax +9.0 2× rounds Hadash is firmly secular
  • model mistral +9.0 Hadash strongly supports a secular state.
  • model gpt +9.0 Hadash strongly favors secular state institutions and equality across religions.
  • model gemma +10.0 2× rounds Strongly advocates for a completely secular state.

  before · r1 grok +8.0gemini +10.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• The Democrats IL Regional stance settled ↔ 4 pt +5.5
  • model Kimi +4.0 Supports negotiation and two-state solution; pro-normalization with Palestinians.
  • prior Author baseline +5.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model DeepSeek +5.0 Pro-normalization and negotiation.
  • model minimax +5.0 The Democrats broadly support normalization framework and pursue regional agreements but with dovish Palestinian stance.
  • model qwen +5.0 Aligned with the stability camp and supports negotiated settlements.
  • model Grok +6.0 Supports stability normalization and justice-based regional order.
  • model Claude +7.0 Pro-peace and pro-normalization camp.
  • model gemma +7.0 Favors stability and normalization.
  • model Gemini +8.0 Champions regional diplomatic engagement, peace negotiations, and normalization stability.
  • model gpt +8.0 It favors diplomacy, negotiated settlement, and normalization tied to peace.

  before · r1 grok +6.0gemini +9.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• The Democrats IL Palestinian question settled ↔ 4 pt +5.5
  • model DeepSeek +4.0 Supports two-state solution.
  • model qwen +4.0 Supports Palestinian rights and a two-state solution with security guarantees.
  • model Grok +5.0 Supports two-state solution with Palestinian rights and negotiated peace.
  • model Kimi +5.0 Supports two-state solution and Palestinian rights; more dovish than Labor alone.
  • model gemma +5.0 Supports Palestinian rights and a two-state solution.
  • model Claude +6.0 Backs two states and Palestinian rights within a Zionist frame.
  • model minimax +6.0 The Democrats is dovish on the Palestinian question and supports a two-state solution with Palestinian self-determination.
  • prior Author baseline +7.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model gpt +7.0 It supports ending occupation and a two-state settlement with Palestinian rights.
  • model Gemini +8.0 Strongly supports a negotiated two-state solution and the realization of Palestinian rights.

  before · r1 grok +6.0gemini +8.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Ra'am (United Arab List) IL Palestinian question settled ↔ 4 pt +7.5
  • model Grok +5.0 Supports Palestinian rights with pragmatic approach to solutions.
  • prior Author baseline +6.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model DeepSeek +6.0 Pro-Palestinian but pragmatic within Israel.
  • model Kimi +6.0 Supports Palestinian rights but pragmatic; joined Bennett government focusing on Arab community issues.
  • model qwen +7.0 Supports Palestinian rights but focuses pragmatically on Arab citizens of Israel.
  • model Claude +8.0 Supports Palestinian rights though pursued pragmatically.
  • model gpt +8.0 Ra’am supports Palestinian rights but prioritizes pragmatic gains for Arab citizens of Israel.
  • model Gemini +9.0 Supports the establishment of an independent Palestinian state alongside Israel.
  • model gemma +9.0 Strongly supports Palestinian rights.
  • model minimax +9.0 Ra'am strongly supports Palestinian rights and statehood, though it has moderated to participate in Israeli coalitions.

  before · r1 gemini +7.0grok +7.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Shas IL Palestinian question settled ↔ 4 pt -5.0
  • model Gemini -6.0 Aligns with the right-wing bloc in opposing Palestinian statehood and territorial concessions.
  • model qwen -6.0 Opposes Palestinian statehood based on religious claims to the land.
  • model Claude -5.0 Right-leaning and generally opposed, though historically pragmatic.
  • model Grok -5.0 Security hawkish opposes territorial concessions to Palestinians.
  • model DeepSeek -5.0 Generally hawkish but pragmatic.
  • model gpt -5.0 Shas is generally hawkish in right-wing blocs, though historically pragmatic on security deals.
  • prior Author baseline -3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi -3.0 Generally hardline but pragmatic; more focused on religious and social issues than territorial.
  • model gemma -2.0 Generally opposed to Palestinian statehood
  • model minimax -2.0 Shas is not primarily focused on Palestinian issue but supports the right-wing coalition consensus against Palestinian statehood.

  before · r1 grok -5.0gemini -4.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• United Torah Judaism IL Civil liberties settled ↔ 4 pt -4.5
  • model qwen -7.0 Restricts civil liberties regarding religious coercion, marriage, and LGBTQ+ rights.
  • model gemma -6.0 Favors restricting content that conflicts with religious law.
  • model DeepSeek -5.0 Restrictive for religious reasons.
  • model gpt -5.0 UTJ prioritizes religious authority and communal norms over broad individual liberties.
  • model minimax -5.0 UTJ restricts civil liberties in line with halachic norms; opposes secular freedoms and LGBTQ+ expression.
  • prior Author baseline -4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Gemini -4.0 Indifferent or restrictive regarding secular civil liberties that conflict with Torah law.
  • model Grok -4.0 Restrictive on secular lifestyle expression; supports religious limits on freedoms.
  • model Kimi -4.0 Haredi values restrict some civil liberties; non-Zionist but pragmatic.
  • model Claude -3.0 Religious-conservative, more focused on Haredi autonomy than broad liberties.

  before · r1 gemini -6.0grok -2.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Yisrael Beiteinu IL State & religion settled ↔ 4 pt +7.0
  • model minimax +5.0 2× rounds Yisrael Beiteinu is secular in its core but makes concessions to religious parties for coalition purposes.
  • prior Author baseline +6.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +6.0 2× rounds Strongly secular; opposes religious authority in state and supports separation.
  • model DeepSeek +7.0 2× rounds Strongly secularist.
  • model gemma +7.0 2× rounds Generally favors a secular state
  • model Grok +8.0 2× rounds Yisrael Beiteinu is aggressively secular targeting Haredi and religious parties' privileges in Israeli law.
  • model Claude +8.0 2× rounds Strongly secular, advocating civil marriage and curbing clerical power.
  • model Gemini +8.0 2× rounds Demands strict separation of religion from state affairs to end ultra-Orthodox political coercion.
  • model qwen +8.0 2× rounds Secular nationalist, opposes religious coercion.
  • model mistral +8.0 Yisrael Beiteinu strongly supports a secular state.
  • model gpt +9.0 It strongly advocates civil marriage, public transport reforms, and curbing Orthodox monopoly.

  before · r1 gemini +8.0grok +8.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Yisrael Beiteinu IL West alignment settled ↔ 4 pt +7.5
  • prior Author baseline +5.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +6.0 Pro-Western; Russian-speaking immigrant base values Western alliance.
  • model Claude +7.0 Aligned with the US and the West.
  • model Grok +7.0 Pro US and Western strategic alliance for security.
  • model DeepSeek +7.0 Pro-Western.
  • model gpt +8.0 It is strategically pro-Western and security-aligned with the US-led camp.
  • model minimax +8.0 Yisrael Beiteinu is firmly pro-Western strategically, with strong US-Israel ties.
  • model Gemini +9.0 Strongly supports robust strategic and military alignment with Western powers.
  • model gemma +9.0 Strongly committed to strategic alignment with the West.
  • model qwen +9.0 Strongly pro-Western strategically and diplomatically.

  before · r1 gemini +5.0grok +8.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• National Unity IL Liberal democracy settled ↔ 4 pt +5.5
  • model qwen +4.0 Supported judicial compromise but also security measures as part of the war cabinet.
  • prior Author baseline +5.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +5.0 Supports democratic institutions but security concerns override some liberal checks.
  • model gpt +5.0 National Unity defends courts and checks but remains security-establishment oriented.
  • model minimax +5.0 National Unity is committed to liberal-democratic norms but has been in coalition with Likud during judicial-reform debates; moderate positive.
  • model Grok +6.0 Supports liberal democratic institutions; opposed extreme judicial overhaul.
  • model DeepSeek +6.0 Pro-democratic institutions.
  • model Claude +7.0 Prominently opposed the judicial overhaul in defense of democratic checks.
  • model Gemini +8.0 Strongly committed to preserving liberal-democratic checks and defending the independence of the courts.
  • model gemma +8.0 Strongly defends the liberal-democratic judicial system.

  before · r1 gemini +6.0grok +8.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Palestinian Islamic Jihad PS Liberal democracy settled ↔ 4 pt -8.5
  • model Gemini -9.0 Explicitly rejects liberal democracy and boyotts Palestinian Authority elections, viewing them as illegitimate products of Oslo.
  • model DeepSeek -9.0 PIJ rejects liberal democracy, seeks Islamic state with no separation of powers or minority rights.
  • model gemma -9.0 Rejects liberal democracy in favor of a religious-militant vanguard.
  • model gpt -9.0 Its armed theocratic resistance model is fundamentally incompatible with liberal-democratic checks.
  • model qwen -9.0 Rejects liberal democracy in favor of an Islamic emirate governed by clerics.
  • model Grok -8.0 PIJ rejects secular liberal democracy outright in favor of Islamic governance and shura-based authority.
  • model Kimi -8.0 PIJ rejects democratic politics entirely, does not participate in elections, and its Islamist ideology is fundamentally opposed to liberal democracy, minority rights, and independent judiciary.
  • model Claude -8.0 Rejects the electoral political process and boycotts elections.
  • model minimax -7.0 PIJ's declared platform prioritizes Islamic governance and armed struggle over liberal-democratic pluralism.
  • prior Author baseline -5.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
• PFLP PS State & religion provisional ↔ 4 pt +8.0
  • prior Author baseline +6.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +6.0 PFLP is explicitly secular and Marxist, advocating for separation of religion from state and law; it includes Christian and Muslim members and rejects religious governance.
  • model Grok +8.0 PFLP is explicitly secular and Marxist, advocating complete separation of religion from state and political life.
  • model minimax +8.0 PFLP is an explicitly secular Marxist party that advocates separation of religion from state.
  • model Claude +8.0 Avowedly secular Marxist movement.
  • model gemma +9.0 Strongly advocates for a secular state.
  • model Gemini +10.0 Demands absolute separation of religion from state and law, adhering to a strict secular leftist doctrine.
  • model gpt +10.0 It is explicitly secular and rejects religious authority in state law.
  • model qwen +10.0 Strictly secular, demanding a complete separation of religion from state and law.
• PFLP PS West alignment settled ↔ 4 pt -9.0
  • model Gemini -10.0 2× rounds Maintains absolute hostility toward Western blocs, viewing them as imperialist powers responsible for Palestinian oppression.
  • model qwen -9.0 2× rounds Anti-imperialist, strongly anti-Western.
  • model minimax -9.0 2× rounds PFLP is firmly anti-Western and anti-imperialist.
  • model gemma -9.0 2× rounds Strongly anti-Western and anti-imperialist.
  • model gpt -9.0 It is strongly anti-imperialist and hostile to Western strategic dominance.
  • prior Author baseline -8.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok -8.0 2× rounds PFLP maintains a core anti-imperialist identity strongly opposed to Western strategic, military, and political alignment in the region.
  • model DeepSeek -8.0 Strongly anti-Western.
  • model Claude -8.0 2× rounds Avowedly anti-imperialist and anti-Western.
  • model mistral -7.0 PFLP is strongly anti-Western.
  • model Kimi -6.0 2× rounds PFLP is anti-imperialist, historically Soviet-aligned, rejects US and Western Middle East policy, and is designated as a terrorist organization by the US and EU; it is firmly anti-Western strategically.
• Palestinian People's Party PS West alignment settled ↔ 4 pt -5.0
  • model Gemini -7.0 2× rounds Maintains an anti-imperialist stance that rejects strategic or military alignment with Western powers.
  • model Grok -5.0 2× rounds PPP inherits the communist tradition of anti-imperialism and opposition to Western strategic dominance in the region.
  • model minimax -5.0 2× rounds PPP is a Marxist party critical of Western imperialism and the two-state framework.
  • model DeepSeek -5.0 A leftist party critical of Western imperialism.
  • model Claude -5.0 2× rounds Marxist orientation hostile to Western imperialism.
  • model gemma -5.0 2× rounds Generally anti-Western from a socialist perspective.
  • model gpt -5.0 Its anti-imperialist left tradition remains skeptical of US and Western strategic alignment.
  • model qwen -4.0 2× rounds Historically Soviet-aligned, now critical but engaged.
  • prior Author baseline -3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi -3.0 2× rounds PPP is anti-imperialist and critical of Western capitalist powers and their Middle East policies, though it is not as stridently anti-Western as Islamist resistance groups and engages in some Western leftist networks.
  • model mistral -3.0 Palestinian People's Party is mildly anti-Western.
• Palestinian People's Party PS Civil liberties settled ↔ 4 pt +5.0
  • prior Author baseline +3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model DeepSeek +3.0 PPP supports civil liberties in principle but has minimal power record; leftist heritage favors expansion.
  • model Kimi +4.0 PPP as a communist party advocates for civil liberties and democratic rights in its platform, though communist parties historically have mixed records on civil liberties in practice.
  • model Claude +4.0 Leftist party advocating democratic rights and reform within the PLO.
  • model Grok +5.0 PPP as the successor to the communist party advocates democratic rights and civil liberties within a socialist national framework.
  • model Gemini +6.0 Declared platform champions the expansion of civil liberties, freedom of expression, and social freedoms.
  • model gemma +6.0 Generally supports civil liberties and political pluralism.
  • model gpt +7.0 As a secular communist successor party, it advocates pluralism and civil-political rights.
  • model qwen +7.0 Leftist party that officially supports democratic rights and civil liberties.
• Mubadara PS State & religion settled ↔ 4 pt +7.0
  • prior Author baseline +6.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +6.0 Mubadara is a secular movement that advocates for democratic governance without religious authority in state and law, founded by secular nationalists including Edward Said.
  • model DeepSeek +6.0 Mubadara advocates for a secular democratic state, separation of religion from politics.
  • model Claude +6.0 Secular, civic-nationalist orientation favoring separation of religion and state.
  • model Grok +7.0 Mubadara advocates explicitly for a secular democratic state with religion separated from political authority and law.
  • model gpt +7.0 It is a secular democratic movement rather than a religious-law project.
  • model Gemini +8.0 Advocates for a modern secular democratic state with clear separation between religious authority and civil law.
  • model gemma +9.0 Strongly advocates for a secular state and separation of religion from law.
  • model minimax +9.0 Mubadara is firmly secular and advocates strict separation of religion from state and law.
  • model qwen +10.0 Strongly advocates for a fully secular state with complete separation of religion and law.
• Mubadara PS Liberal democracy settled ↔ 4 pt +8.0
  • prior Author baseline +6.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model DeepSeek +7.0 Mubadara strongly commits to liberal democratic checks, internal PA reform, and anti-corruption.
  • model Claude +7.0 Strong stated commitment to democratic reform, anti-corruption, and accountability.
  • model Gemini +8.0 Explicitly founded to advocate for genuine liberal-democratic checks, political pluralism, and regular elections.
  • model Grok +8.0 Mubadara positions itself as a pro-democracy reform movement calling for elections, accountability, and strong liberal institutions.
  • model Kimi +8.0 Mubadara's core platform is built on internal democracy, free elections, separation of powers, independent judiciary, and democratic reform of PLO and PA structures; it was founded specifically to address democratic deficits.
  • model gpt +8.0 It strongly advocates democratic reform, accountable institutions, and opposition rights.
  • model minimax +8.0 Mubadara is explicitly a liberal-democratic civic movement founded on pluralism and rule of law.
  • model gemma +9.0 Strongly committed to liberal-democratic reforms and the rule of law.
  • model qwen +10.0 Unwavering commitment to liberal democracy, human rights, and political reform.
• National Charter Party JO Economic settled ↔ 4 pt +3.5
  • model Grok +2.0 Generally supportive of market-oriented economic reforms and private sector growth within the framework of regime economic policy.
  • model Kimi +3.0 Moderately pro-market, supports economic liberalization within state oversight
  • model gpt +3.0 It favors investment, private-sector growth, and pragmatic market reforms under state guidance.
  • model minimax +3.0 Centrist/market-leaning economic platform with some social protection elements.
  • model qwen +3.0 Supports market-oriented economic policies favored by the Jordanian establishment.
  • prior Author baseline +4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model gemma +4.0 Generally supports market mechanisms within a state-guided framework.
  • model Claude +4.0 Pro-business, market-friendly establishment orientation.
  • model DeepSeek +5.0 Pro-market
  • model Gemini +6.0 Advocates for a social market economy driven by private sector investment and open trade.
• National Charter Party JO West alignment settled ↔ 4 pt +6.5
  • model DeepSeek +4.0 Pro-Western strategic alignment
  • prior Author baseline +5.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +5.0 Pro-Western strategically, aligns with Jordanian government US partnership
  • model minimax +6.0 Pro-Western strategically; supportive of US-Jordan partnership and Western aid.
  • model Claude +6.0 Aligned with Jordan's close strategic partnership with the US and West.
  • model Grok +7.0 Supports Jordan's longstanding strategic alliance with the United States and Western partners for security and aid.
  • model gpt +7.0 It tracks Jordan’s pro-Western security and diplomatic orientation.
  • model Gemini +8.0 Strongly favors Jordan's strategic, diplomatic, and military alliance with Western nations.
  • model gemma +8.0 Strongly supports strategic alignment with Western powers.
  • model qwen +8.0 Strongly supports Jordan's strategic alliance with the United States and Western powers.
• Jordanian Communist Party JO State & religion settled ↔ 4 pt +8.5
  • prior Author baseline +6.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +7.0 Strongly secular, wants separation of religion from state and law
  • model Claude +8.0 ⛓ grounded 2× rounds Militant secularism: an "unrelenting struggle against obscurantist thought hostile to science," elevating rationalism.
  • model Grok +8.0 Marxist commitment to strict secularism and separation of religion from state affairs and law.
  • model DeepSeek +8.0 Militantly secular; demands religion removed from state and law.
  • model gpt +9.0 It is strongly secular and opposes religious authority in law and governance.
  • model minimax +9.0 Atheist/Marxist tradition; explicitly secularist and opposed to religious authority in law.
  • model qwen +9.0 Strictly advocates for the complete separation of religion from state and law.
  • model Gemini +10.0 Advocates for a completely secular state with full separation of religion from law and governance.
  • model gemma +10.0 Firmly committed to the separation of religion and state.
• Jordanian Communist Party JO Civil liberties settled ↔ 4 pt +6.0
  • prior Author baseline +4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok +5.0 2× rounds Despite rhetoric communist ideology historically favors state control over expansive civil liberties.
  • model Kimi +5.0 2× rounds Supports civil liberties in principle but historically tolerated authoritarianism when aligned with socialist states
  • model Gemini +6.0 2× rounds Advocates for the expansion of civil liberties, public dissent, and labor organization rights.
  • model DeepSeek +6.0 2× rounds Strongly defends press freedom and protest rights
  • model Claude +6.0 2× rounds Leftist party advocating expanded political and civil freedoms.
  • model minimax +7.0 2× rounds JCP advocates expanding civil liberties
  • model gpt +7.0 As a small secular left opposition party it emphasizes speech, association, and political freedoms.
  • model qwen +8.0 2× rounds Secular leftist, supports civil liberties.
  • model mistral +8.0 Jordanian Communist Party strongly supports expanding civil liberties.
  • model gemma +8.0 2× rounds Strongly advocates for the expansion of civil liberties.
• Reform Party JO Palestinian question settled ↔ 4 pt +6.0
  • model qwen +4.0 Supports Palestinian rights but strictly aligns with the state's official diplomatic positions.
  • model Kimi +5.0 Pro-Palestinian rights, supports Palestinian cause in line with Jordanian policy
  • model DeepSeek +5.0 Supports Palestinian cause but within two-state framework.
  • prior Author baseline +6.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model gemma +6.0 Supports Palestinian statehood through diplomatic channels.
  • model Claude +6.0 Shares the Jordanian consensus support for Palestinian rights.
  • model Grok +7.0 Strong rhetorical support for Palestinian rights and cause, consistent with Jordanian public opinion and national identity.
  • model gpt +7.0 As a Jordanian reformist party it likely supports Palestinian rights in line with broad national consensus.
  • model minimax +7.0 Standard Jordanian consensus on Palestinian rights; reform-oriented parties in Jordan generally pro-Palestinian.
  • model Gemini +8.0 Aligns with the official state policy supporting Palestinian rights and a negotiated two-state solution.
• Ennahda TN Palestinian question settled ↔ 4 pt +8.0
  • re-coder Re-coder B +6.0 Second-pass coder B — rubric-anchored re-read on the palestinian-question axis; extreme magnitudes tempered slightly toward the rubric mid-anchors.
  • prior Author baseline +7.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • re-coder Re-coder C +7.0 Second-pass coder C — rubric-anchored re-read on the palestinian-question axis; magnitude follows the primary reading with independent judgment calls on the governance axes.
  • model mistral +7.0 Ennahda supports Palestinian rights.
  • model Kimi +8.0 2× rounds Strongly pro-Palestinian; leaders have explicitly supported Palestinian liberation.
  • model DeepSeek +8.0 2× rounds Ennahda consistently supports Palestinian rights and opposes normalization with Israel.
  • model minimax +8.0 2× rounds Ennahda is strongly pro-Palestinian
  • model Claude +8.0 2× rounds Islamist party strongly supportive of Palestinian rights.
  • model Grok +9.0 2× rounds Ennahda has consistently framed the Palestinian cause as central to its foreign policy and identity, advocating strongly for Palestinian self-determination and rights.
  • model qwen +9.0 2× rounds Strongly pro-Palestinian as Islamist principle.
  • model gemma +9.0 2× rounds Strongly supports Palestinian rights.
  • model gpt +9.0 Ennahda strongly supports Palestinian self-determination and opposes Israeli occupation.
  • model Gemini +10.0 2× rounds The party strongly champions Palestinian self-determination and opposes normalization with Israel.
• Free Destourian Party TN State & religion settled ↔ 4 pt +7.0
  • model DeepSeek +4.0 Secularist party favoring separation of religion and state.
  • prior Author baseline +6.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Gemini +6.0 The party champions the Bourguibist secular tradition, advocating for the separation of religion from state affairs.
  • model gemma +6.0 Rooted in the secularist Bourguibist tradition of the state.
  • model Claude +7.0 Staunchly secularist in the Bourguibist mold.
  • model qwen +7.0 Strongly secularist; seeks to exclude religion from politics and law, echoing Bourguiba.
  • model Kimi +8.0 Strict Bourguibist secularism demanding separation of religion from state and law.
  • model Grok +8.0 PDL explicitly defends Tunisia's secular republican tradition and opposes any formal or informal religious authority in state institutions or law.
  • model minimax +8.0 Strictly secular state; anti-clerical core identity inherited from Bourguibism.
• Free Destourian Party TN Palestinian question settled ↔ 4 pt +6.0
  • model Kimi +3.0 Tunisian nationalist focus reduces emphasis on Palestinian question, but not opposed.
  • prior Author baseline +5.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model DeepSeek +5.0 The party supports Palestinian rights but less emphatically than Islamist parties.
  • model minimax +5.0 Pro-Palestinian in rhetoric
  • model gemma +6.0 Supports Palestinian statehood within a nationalist framework.
  • model Claude +6.0 Shares the broad Tunisian pro-Palestinian consensus.
  • model qwen +6.0 Expresses pro-Palestinian solidarity consistent with Arab nationalist tradition.
  • model Gemini +7.0 The PDL adheres to the traditional Tunisian stance of supporting Palestinian rights.
  • model Grok +7.0 PDL maintains standard Tunisian pro-Palestinian positions with nationalist framing rather than Islamist or maximalist resistance ideology.
• Justice and Development Party MA Economic settled ↔ 4 pt +3.0
  • prior Author baseline +1.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model minimax +2.0 PJD combines market-friendly rhetoric with welfare-state commitments; in government it pursued liberalization while maintaining subsidy programs.
  • model Kimi +3.0 PJD implemented neoliberal economic policies while in government despite social rhetoric.
  • model Grok +3.0 Mixed record: encouraged private investment and some liberalization while pursuing populist policies and maintaining significant state economic role.
  • model DeepSeek +3.0 Generally market-friendly with some social welfare elements.
  • model Claude +3.0 Center-right market orientation with social-spending elements.
  • model qwen +4.0 Pursued neoliberal market-friendly economic policies during its time in government.
  • model Gemini +5.0 While using populist rhetoric, in government it pursued market-oriented reforms, including cutting subsidies under international guidelines.
  • model gemma +5.0 Supports a market economy compatible with Islamic ethics and social welfare.
• Justice and Development Party MA Social settled ↔ 4 pt -6.0
  • model Gemini -8.0 Champions traditional Islamic moral authority and strongly opposes the expansion of individual and LGBTQ+ social freedoms.
  • model DeepSeek -8.0 Highly socially conservative; opposes LGBTQ+ rights and moral permissiveness.
  • model gemma -8.0 Strongly favors traditional religious moral authority over individual social liberties.
  • model Grok -7.0 Highly conservative on moral and personal freedoms; prioritizes traditional Islamic values, family authority, and restrictions on lifestyle and LGBTQ+ expression.
  • model Kimi -6.0 PJD is socially conservative, opposing LGBTQ+ rights and advocating traditional moral authority.
  • model Claude -6.0 Socially conservative Islamist platform.
  • model qwen -6.0 Advocates for traditional collective moral authority and conservative social values.
  • model minimax -5.0 PJD is socially conservative; it has opposed expanding personal-freedom reforms and supported traditional moral authority.
  • prior Author baseline -4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
• Justice and Development Party MA Palestinian question settled ↔ 4 pt +8.0
  • model mistral +5.0 Justice and Development Party supports Palestinian rights.
  • prior Author baseline +7.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model DeepSeek +7.0 2× rounds Strongly pro-Palestinian; ideological affinity with Islamist movements.
  • model Kimi +8.0 2× rounds PJD strongly supports Palestinian rights and opposed normalization, though palace reprimanded it for this.
  • model Gemini +8.0 2× rounds Maintains an intense, ideologically central commitment to Palestinian self-determination and opposition to Israeli occupation.
  • model minimax +8.0 2× rounds PJD is mixed; rhetorically pro-Palestinian but constrained by Morocco's normalization with Israel.
  • model Claude +8.0 2× rounds Islamist party strongly championing the Palestinian cause.
  • model Grok +9.0 2× rounds One of the strongest pro-Palestinian voices among mainstream parties; vocal supporter of rights, statehood, and critic of normalization and Israeli policies.
  • model qwen +9.0 2× rounds Islamist, strongly pro-Palestinian.
  • model gemma +9.0 2× rounds Strongly supports Palestinian rights and statehood.
• National Rally of Independents MA Economic settled ↔ 4 pt +8.0
  • prior Author baseline +5.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model DeepSeek +5.0 Liberal
  • model Claude +7.0 ⛓ grounded 2× rounds Self-labels "social democracy" with an enabling/welfare-state role — a centrist social-market posture despite a pro-business reputation.
  • model Kimi +7.0 RNI is explicitly liberal, advocating market competition, privatization, and reduced state intervention.
  • model Gemini +8.0 Led by a prominent billionaire, the party is strongly pro-market, business-friendly, and advocates for private sector-led growth.
  • model Grok +8.0 Strongly market-liberal and pro-business; led by entrepreneurs promoting foreign investment, deregulation, and private-sector-led growth.
  • model minimax +8.0 RNI under Akhannouch is strongly market-liberal, emphasizing privatization, investment, and business-friendly reforms.
  • model qwen +8.0 Strongly advocates for free-market mechanisms and represents business elites.
  • model gemma +9.0 Strongly neoliberal and pro-market
• National Rally of Independents MA West alignment settled ↔ 4 pt +8.0
  • prior Author baseline +5.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +7.0 RNI strongly supports Western strategic alignment, EU partnership, and Abraham Accords.
  • model Claude +7.0 Strongly aligned with US/EU partners.
  • model Gemini +8.0 Fully backs Morocco's deep strategic, economic, and security alliance with the United States and the European Union.
  • model DeepSeek +8.0 Firmly pro-Western strategic ally of US/EU.
  • model qwen +8.0 Strongly aligned with Western economic and strategic partnerships.
  • model Grok +9.0 Most explicitly pro-Western party; deep ties to US and EU on trade, investment, security cooperation, and strategic partnerships.
  • model gemma +9.0 Strongly aligned with Western strategic and security partnerships.
  • model minimax +9.0 RNI is one of Morocco's most pro-Western parties, with strong EU and US economic and security ties, including the Abraham Accords.
• National Rally of Independents MA Regional stance settled ↔ 4 pt +7.0
  • prior Author baseline +5.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +6.0 RNI supports Morocco's normalization and stability camp orientation in regional policy.
  • model DeepSeek +6.0 Pro-Gulf
  • model Claude +6.0 Maintains the state's normalization with Israel and stability orientation.
  • model minimax +7.0 RNI-led government actively supported Morocco's 2020 Abraham Accords normalization with Israel; strongly pro-stability camp.
  • model Gemini +8.0 Fully supports the state's strategic normalization with Israel and alignment with Arab Gulf states to ensure regional stability.
  • model Grok +8.0 Leads the government implementing Abraham Accords and pursuing deep economic and security integration with normalization partners and the West.
  • model qwen +8.0 Strongly supports regional stability and normalization and business integration.
  • model gemma +9.0 Strongly supports normalization and stability-led regional diplomacy.
• National Rally of Independents MA Palestinian question settled ↔ 4 pt +5.0
  • model DeepSeek +3.0 Mildly pro-Palestinian in line with Moroccan consensus.
  • prior Author baseline +4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok +5.0 Expresses general support for Palestinian rights while firmly implementing and defending Morocco's normalization policy and pragmatic diplomacy with Israel.
  • model minimax +5.0 RNI follows Morocco's official position supporting Palestinian statehood; Akhannouch government has maintained this line even after normalization.
  • model Claude +5.0 Mainstream rhetorical support for Palestinian rights.
  • model Kimi +6.0 RNI supports Palestinian rights rhetorically while implementing Morocco's normalization policy.
  • model qwen +6.0 Aligns with the official royal position supporting Palestinian statehood.
  • model Gemini +7.0 Officially maintains strong support for Palestinian national rights and the establishment of an independent Palestinian state.
  • model gemma +7.0 Strongly supports the Palestinian cause in line with Moroccan state policy.
• Authenticity and Modernity Party MA Palestinian question settled ↔ 4 pt +5.5
  • prior Author baseline +4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model DeepSeek +4.0 Supports Palestinian rights rhetorically but less emphatically than Islamist or leftist parties.
  • model gpt +5.0 PAM backs official Moroccan support for Palestinian statehood while accepting state diplomacy.
  • model minimax +5.0 Follows Morocco's official line of supporting a two-state solution and Palestinian statehood, though as a pro-government party it accommodates normalization with Israel.
  • model Claude +5.0 Echoes mainstream Moroccan rhetorical support for Palestinian rights.
  • model Grok +6.0 Supports Palestinian rights and statehood while pragmatically backing Morocco's normalization policy and diplomatic engagement with Israel.
  • model qwen +6.0 Supports the official royal stance of a two-state solution and Palestinian rights.
  • model Kimi +7.0 PAM supports Palestinian rights rhetorically while accepting Morocco's normalization with Israel.
  • model Gemini +7.0 Officially maintains strong support for Palestinian national rights and the establishment of an independent Palestinian state.
  • model gemma +8.0 Maintains strong official support for Palestinian statehood and rights.
• Sairoon Alliance IQ Social settled ↔ 4 pt -6.0
  • model Gemini -8.0 The Sadrists are highly conservative Shia Islamists who advocate for traditional moral authority and actively oppose social liberalism.
  • model Grok -8.0 Sadroon is deeply rooted in conservative Shia religious traditions with strong emphasis on traditional moral authority, family values, and opposition to liberal social changes.
  • model gemma -8.0 Strongly adheres to conservative religious and social authority.
  • model Kimi -6.0 Sadr is socially conservative Shia cleric; opposes LGBTQ+ rights and Western social values; enforces traditional moral authority
  • model DeepSeek -6.0 Sairoon (Sadrists) is socially conservative
  • model Claude -6.0 Deeply religious, morally conservative Sadrist base.
  • model qwen -6.0 Enforces strict traditional and religious moral codes, opposing Western social liberalism and individual freedoms.
  • model minimax -5.0 Sadrism is rooted in conservative Shia religious tradition and promotes traditional social values on family, gender, and morality.
  • prior Author baseline -4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
• Sairoon Alliance IQ State & religion settled ↔ 4 pt -5.0
  • model Gemini -7.0 The movement seeks a political system guided by Islamic religious values and clerical authority.
  • model Grok -7.0 Sairoon advocates a prominent role for Islamic law and Shia religious authority in Iraqi state institutions and personal status legislation.
  • model gemma -7.0 Favors the primacy of religious authority in state and law.
  • model Claude -6.0 Clerical Shia movement favoring religious authority.
  • model Kimi -5.0 Sadr supports strong Shia Islamic influence in state and law; opposes secular separation
  • model DeepSeek -5.0 Favors a strong role for Islam in state and society
  • prior Author baseline -4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model qwen -4.0 Advocates for a state where Shia Islamic principles heavily influence legislation and public life.
  • model minimax -3.0 Sadr's movement blends religious identity with Iraqi nationalism; it does not explicitly seek a religious state but maintains a strong clerical presence.
• State of Law Coalition IQ Social settled ↔ 4 pt -6.0
  • model Grok -8.0 Dawa/State of Law adheres to conservative Shia Islamist social values emphasizing traditional authority, religious morality, and resistance to liberal individual freedoms.
  • model Gemini -7.0 As a conservative Islamist coalition, it promotes traditional moral authority and opposes social permissiveness.
  • model gemma -7.0 Adheres to traditionalist and conservative social values.
  • model qwen -7.0 Promotes strict social conservatism and traditional authority, opposing liberal social reforms.
  • model Kimi -6.0 Maliki is socially conservative Shia Islamist; supports traditional moral authority and religious law in state affairs
  • prior Author baseline -5.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Claude -5.0 Islamist and socially conservative.
  • model gpt -4.0 The FLN is nationalist and socially conservative, though less doctrinally religious than Islamist parties.
  • model minimax -4.0 State of Law is rooted in Shia Islamist tradition and reflects conservative social values on family, gender, and personal morality.
• National Wisdom Movement IQ Palestinian question settled ↔ 4 pt +7.0
  • model Kimi +5.0 Hakim supports Palestinian rights as part of broader Arab/Muslim solidarity rhetoric
  • model Grok +6.0 As a Shia Islamist-derived party, National Wisdom expresses strong solidarity with Palestinian rights and opposes normalization with Israel in line with mainstream Iraqi Shia positions.
  • model DeepSeek +6.0 Rhetorically supports Palestinian rights as part of Arab-Shi'a solidarity.
  • model qwen +6.0 Supports Palestinian statehood and rights in line with mainstream Iraqi Shia political consensus.
  • prior Author baseline +7.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Claude +7.0 Shia Islamist movement firmly supportive of Palestinian rights.
  • model Gemini +8.0 Al-Hikma strongly supports Palestinian self-determination and rights in line with its Shia Islamist and Arab identity.
  • model minimax +8.0 Hikma consistently voices strong support for Palestinian rights, statehood, and resistance to Israeli occupation in line with Shia Islamist political discourse.
  • model gemma +9.0 Strongly supports Palestinian rights and statehood.
• Kurdistan Democratic Party IQ Regional stance settled ↔ 4 pt +5.5
  • prior Author baseline +3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model DeepSeek +3.0 KDP has pursued normalization with regional powers including Israel and the Gulf states.
  • model minimax +3.0 KDP maintains working ties with Turkey, the US, and Gulf states and has engaged discreetly with Israel; not part of the resistance axis.
  • model gpt +5.0 It is pragmatic and stability-oriented, closer to Western and Turkish channels than the resistance camp.
  • model qwen +5.0 Prioritizes stability and strong ties with Turkey and the West, opposing the Iranian-led Axis of Resistance.
  • model Gemini +6.0 The KDP pursues its goals through regional stability and diplomatic cooperation with Turkey and Gulf states, opposing the Axis of Resistance.
  • model Kimi +6.0 KDP is strongly pro-Western aligned, maintains close ties with Turkey and US; opposes Iran-backed resistance axis
  • model gemma +6.0 Favors stability and strategic ties with the West and Gulf states.
  • model Claude +6.0 Pursues aims through negotiation and ties to Turkey, the US, and the Gulf, outside the resistance axis.
  • model Grok +7.0 KDP pursues stability-oriented policies, close US and Turkey ties, and actively counters Iranian regional influence in Iraq and the broader area.
• Movement of Society for Peace DZ State & religion settled ↔ 4 pt -7.0
  • model Gemini -8.0 The MSP advocates for a greater role for Islamic authority in state legislation and rejects secularism.
  • model DeepSeek -8.0 MSP calls for Islamic law as primary source of legislation
  • model qwen -8.0 Wants greater role for Islam in state and law, though not full theocracy.
  • model gemma -7.0 Supports the primacy of religion in state and law.
  • model gpt -7.0 It favors a greater role for Islamic principles in law and governance.
  • model Claude -7.0 Seeks a larger role for Islamic law in state and society.
  • model Kimi -6.0 Favors religious authority in state and law.
  • prior Author baseline -5.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok -4.0 Seeks greater incorporation of Sharia in family law and public life while rejecting full theocracy.
  • model minimax -4.0 MSP advocates greater public role for Islamic reference (Mourchidatch) and religious values in law without full sharia state.
• Workers' Party DZ Civil liberties settled ↔ 4 pt +5.0
  • model Claude +3.0 Leftist rhetoric defends liberties, tempered by statist instincts.
  • prior Author baseline +5.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +5.0 Advocates expanded civil liberties in opposition.
  • model Grok +5.0 Opposes regime authoritarianism and supports union rights, protest, and free expression for progressive causes.
  • model minimax +5.0 PT consistently defends civil liberties and individual freedoms in its platform and opposition work.
  • model gemma +6.0 Supports the right to organize and protest for workers' rights.
  • model qwen +6.0 Defends protest and labor rights; critical of state repression.
  • model Gemini +7.0 The PT campaigns heavily for the expansion of civil liberties, trade union freedoms, and the right to protest.
• Hayat Tahrir al-Sham SY State & religion provisional ↔ 4 pt -8.0
  • model Gemini -10.0 HTS completely rejects secular governance, aiming to establish a state governed entirely by Islamic religious law.
  • model DeepSeek -10.0 Seeks to establish rule by Islamic law with no separation of religion and state.
  • model gemma -10.0 Advocates for a state entirely governed by religious (Sharia) law.
  • model qwen -10.0 Seeks to establish and enforce a strict interpretation of Islamic law as the basis of state and governance.
  • model Kimi -8.0 The March 2025 constitutional declaration establishes Islamic jurisprudence as the primary source of legislation and Islam as the religion of the president, rejecting secular separation.
  • model gpt -8.0 It favors Islamic authority and religious norms in state and law.
  • prior Author baseline -7.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Claude -7.0 Seeks Islamic governance with sharia as a main legal source, softened from jihadist maximalism.
  • model Grok -6.0 HTS promotes Islamic law as central to state governance and implemented Sharia based courts and regulations in controlled areas.
  • model minimax -6.0 HTS governance incorporates sharia-derived provisions in family and personal status law
• Ba'ath Party (Syria) SY Regional stance settled ↔ 4 pt -8.0
  • model gemma -10.0 Core member of the Axis of Resistance aligned with Iran.
  • model qwen -10.0 A core member of the Axis of Resistance allied with Iran and Hezbollah opposing normalization with Israel.
  • model Gemini -9.0 The party is a core member of the Axis of Resistance, rejecting normalization with Israel and aligning with Iran.
  • model Claude -9.0 Core member of the Iran-led Axis of Resistance and anti-normalization camp.
  • model Grok -8.0 Ba'ath aligned Syria with Iran Hezbollah and Hamas axis opposing Western normalization and supporting armed resistance politics.
  • model Kimi -8.0 The Ba'ath regime was a core member of the Iran-led Axis of Resistance, rejecting normalization with Israel and supporting armed resistance groups.
  • model gpt -8.0 It aligned with Iran and Hezbollah and opposed normalization with Israel.
  • model minimax -8.0 Ba'ath Syria was a core node of the Axis of Resistance
  • model DeepSeek -7.0 Allied with Iran and Hezbollah in the Axis of Resistance
  • prior Author baseline -6.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
• Ba'ath Party (Syria) SY Palestinian question settled ↔ 4 pt +8.0
  • model mistral +6.0 Ba'ath Party supports Palestinian rights.
  • prior Author baseline +7.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok +8.0 2× rounds Ba'ath Syria strongly backed Palestinian rights and resistance providing political and material support while opposing Israel normalization.
  • model minimax +8.0 2× rounds Ba'ath Syria positions itself as a frontline defender of Palestinian rights.
  • model DeepSeek +8.0 A longstanding supporter of Palestinian rights.
  • model Claude +8.0 2× rounds Historic Ba'athist championing of the Palestinian cause.
  • model gpt +8.0 It declares strong support for Palestinian rights and frames Israel as an enemy.
  • model Kimi +9.0 2× rounds The Ba'ath Party consistently framed its legitimacy around confrontation with Israel and strong support for Palestinian rights and statehood.
  • model gemma +9.0 2× rounds Central to party identity to support Palestinian rights.
  • model Gemini +10.0 2× rounds The Ba'ath party maintains a strong, foundational ideological commitment to Palestinian statehood and self-determination.
  • model qwen +10.0 2× rounds Historically supported Palestinian cause as part of Arab nationalism.
• Syrian National Coalition SY State & religion settled ↔ 4 pt +3.5
  • model gpt +2.0 It favors a civil democratic state while accommodating Syria's Islamic social identity.
  • model Claude +2.0 Pluralist civil-state rhetoric but with a significant Islamist component.
  • model Gemini +3.0 The Coalition's official platform advocates for a 'civil state' that respects Syria's Islamic identity while avoiding a theocratic model.
  • model Grok +3.0 SNC promotes civil state with religious freedoms and limited formal religious authority in law despite some Islamic reference preferences.
  • model DeepSeek +3.0 Officially civic but some Islamist components; not committed to strict secularism nor religious state.
  • prior Author baseline +4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +4.0 The SNC's founding documents called for a civil state with separation of religion from politics, though the Muslim Brotherhood's influence within the coalition created tension on this issue.
  • model minimax +4.0 SNC charter endorses a civil state with religion separate from state authority
  • model gemma +5.0 Supports a civil state with separation of religion and law.
  • model qwen +6.0 Advocates for a civil democratic state where Islam is a source of inspiration but not the sole basis of legislation.
• National Umma Party SD Liberal democracy settled ↔ 4 pt +5.5
  • prior Author baseline +4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model DeepSeek +5.0 Sadiq al-Mahdi government was democratic but flawed; now advocates liberal democracy.
  • model gpt +5.0 It has been a major civilian-democratic force, though its sectarian organization limits a higher liberal score.
  • model minimax +5.0 NUP is a longstanding advocate of pluralist parliamentary democracy, participated in the FFC, and was a principal target of both the 1989 and 2021 coups.
  • model Claude +5.0 Strongly associated with restoring civilian democratic rule and opposing the al-Bashir dictatorship.
  • model Gemini +6.0 The NUP is committed to liberal democratic checks and balances and civilian-led governance.
  • model Kimi +6.0 Core member of FFC coalition that led 2019 revolution, strong democratic commitment.
  • model Grok +6.0 Active in pro-democracy alliances and promotes Islamic democracy with civilian rule and pluralism.
  • model qwen +6.0 Strong commitment to democratic governance, led historically by figures like Sadiq al-Mahdi who championed pluralism.
  • model gemma +8.0 Long-standing and principled commitment to liberal democratic governance.
• National Umma Party SD Civil liberties settled ↔ 4 pt +4.0
  • prior Author baseline +3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +3.0 Part of pro-democracy FFC coalition, supports expanded rights but with religious constituency constraints.
  • model minimax +3.0 NUP platform emphasizes pluralism, freedoms, and rule of law; Sadiq al-Mahdi's 1986-89 government record on press and party freedoms was relatively permissive for its time.
  • model DeepSeek +4.0 Historically for civil liberties when in opposition but weaker in power.
  • model Claude +4.0 Led the democratic governments of the 1980s and the opposition to Bashir, generally championing freedoms.
  • model qwen +4.0 Demonstrates a stronger commitment to civil liberties and democratic freedoms than many peers.
  • model Grok +5.0 Supports expansion of political freedoms within an Islamic democratic framework that incorporates traditional values.
  • model gpt +5.0 Its recent stance emphasizes civilian rule, political freedoms, and opposition rights.
  • model Gemini +6.0 The NUP actively advocates for expanding civil liberties, press freedoms, and human rights within a civilian system.
  • model gemma +7.0 Strongly champions civil liberties as a core part of its democratic platform.
• Democratic Unionist Party SD Social settled ↔ 4 pt -4.0
  • model gemma -6.0 Rooted in traditional Sufi-influenced social conservatism.
  • model qwen -6.0 Rooted in the traditionalist al-Khatmiyya Sufi order, holding socially conservative views.
  • model gpt -5.0 Its Sufi-sectarian social base and conservative public morality place it on the traditional side.
  • model Gemini -4.0 The party's social views are anchored in traditional Sufi religious authority and conservative values.
  • model DeepSeek -4.0 Socially conservative but less rigidly religious than Islamist parties.
  • model Claude -4.0 Rooted in the conservative Khatmiyya Sufi order, it upholds traditional collective moral authority.
  • model Kimi -3.0 Sufi-based moderate Islam, traditionalist on moral and social issues.
  • model Grok -3.0 Liberal conservative stance balances democratic values with traditional Islamic social and moral norms.
  • model minimax -3.0 DUP's Khatmiyya social base is socially conservative and the party does not champion personal-freedom reforms.
  • prior Author baseline -2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
• Northern Islamic Movement IL Palestinian question settled ↔ 4 pt +9.5
  • model Grok +6.0 Strong support for Palestinian rights framed in Islamist resistance terms.
  • model DeepSeek +8.0 Strongly pro-Palestinian.
  • prior Author baseline +9.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +9.0 Strongly pro-Palestinian; supports Palestinian rights and opposes Israeli policies.
  • model qwen +9.0 Strongly supports Palestinian rights and Islamic stewardship over Jerusalem.
  • model Claude +10.0 Built around Palestinian and Al-Aqsa cause as its central mission.
  • model Gemini +10.0 Strongly supports maximalist Palestinian rights and rejects any compromise on Islamic holy sites.
  • model gemma +10.0 Full support for Palestinian rights.
  • model gpt +10.0 It strongly supports Palestinian rights and the Islamic-national claim to Palestine.
  • model minimax +10.0 Movement is strongly pro-Palestinian, focusing on Al-Aqsa and Jerusalem; maximalist Palestinian-rights position.

  before · r1 grok +8.0gemini +9.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Islamic Salvation Front DZ West alignment settled ↔ 4 pt -8.0
  • model Gemini -10.0 The FIS maintains a deeply hostile stance toward Western powers, viewing them as neo-colonial and culturally corrupting.
  • model gemma -9.0 Strongly hostile to Western strategic and cultural influence.
  • model qwen -9.0 Strongly anti-Western, viewing the West as culturally and politically hostile.
  • model Grok -8.0 Strongly anti-Western, anti-imperialist, and opposed to French cultural/political influence.
  • model DeepSeek -8.0 FIS is anti-Western
  • model minimax -8.0 FIS positioned itself as anti-Western and anti-imperialist
  • model Kimi -7.0 Anti-Western; rejected Western strategic alignment.
  • model Claude -7.0 Hostile to Western influence and secular Western values.
  • prior Author baseline -6.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
• Islamic Salvation Front DZ Civil liberties settled ↔ 4 pt -8.0
  • model Gemini -9.0 The party's fundamentalist Islamist ideology prioritizes religious law over individual civil liberties and freedom of expression.
  • model Kimi -8.0 Would severely restrict civil liberties based on sharia platform.
  • model Grok -8.0 Platform called for restrictions on speech, association, and expression conflicting with Islamic norms.
  • model gemma -8.0 Advocates for a social order based on Sharia
  • model minimax -8.0 FIS platform and pre-coup governance signals pointed to severe restrictions on speech
  • model qwen -8.0 Advocated restricting freedoms inconsistent with Sharia.
  • model DeepSeek -7.0 FIS platform restricts liberties in favor of Islamic moral code; banned party
  • model Claude -6.0 Islamist program implying restriction of liberties under sharia norms.
  • prior Author baseline -5.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
• Ansar Allah (Houthis) YE Economic settled ↔ 4 pt -6.0
  • model Grok -7.0 2× rounds Ansar Allah operates a statist war economy with centralized control over ports, taxation, import monopolies, and revenue distribution rather than open market mechanisms.
  • model mistral -7.0 Ansar Allah strongly supports statist economic policies.
  • model Gemini -6.0 2× rounds The group operates a heavily state-dominated economy with widespread confiscation, price controls, and centralized allocation of resources.
  • model DeepSeek -6.0 2× rounds Houthis maintain war economy with heavy state control over imports and distribution despite some informal markets.
  • model Claude -6.0 2× rounds Runs a controlled, statist war economy in held territory.
  • model gemma -6.0 2× rounds Strongly statist and controlled.
  • model gpt -6.0 Its wartime governance relies heavily on coercive allocation, taxation, and state-like control over markets.
  • model Kimi -4.0 2× rounds Houthis rely on state-controlled resource extraction and taxation, with limited market mechanisms in their war economy.
  • model qwen -4.0 2× rounds Populist-statist with war economy controls.
  • prior Author baseline -3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model minimax -3.0 2× rounds The Houthi movement runs a war-economy with significant state-control and patronage networks.
• Southern Transitional Council YE Civil liberties settled ↔ 4 pt -4.0
  • model Gemini -4.0 In areas under its de facto control, the STC has frequently restricted political rivals, protests, and critical media voices.
  • model Grok -4.0 In areas under its influence the STC has restricted journalists and activists critical of its leadership or UAE alignment, though its record is less systematically repressive than northern actors.
  • model gemma -4.0 While claiming to be liberators
  • model minimax -4.0 STC permits some civic activity in Aden but has cracked down on Islah, northern, and rival southern voices, raided protest camps, and constrained press, yielding a clearly restrictive record.
  • model Claude -4.0 Controls Aden with a record of detentions and suppression of rivals.
  • model qwen -4.0 Exercises authoritarian control in Aden, restricting political dissent and rival voices.
  • model Kimi -3.0 STC has been accused of arbitrary detentions and suppressing dissent in Aden, though less repressive than Houthis.
  • model DeepSeek -3.0 STC has suppressed northern-aligned dissent in Aden but tolerates some internal criticism.
  • model gpt -3.0 Its security record in southern areas includes pressure on opponents and civil society.
  • prior Author baseline +0.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
• National Forces Alliance LY West alignment settled ↔ 4 pt +6.0
  • prior Author baseline +4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model DeepSeek +4.0 Generally pro-Western in orientation and partnerships.
  • model Kimi +6.0 Pro-Western strategic alignment Jibril understood US perspective
  • model Grok +6.0 Actively sought and maintained strategic security, diplomatic, and economic partnerships with Western powers during and after the 2011 transition for reconstruction and legitimacy.
  • model gpt +6.0 Its leadership and program were strongly oriented toward Western partnership and international integration.
  • model minimax +6.0 Strong strategic orientation toward Western partners
  • model Gemini +7.0 Favors strong strategic, diplomatic, and security cooperation with Western nations to stabilize and rebuild Libya.
  • model gemma +7.0 Strongly favors strategic and diplomatic alignment with the US and EU.
  • model Claude +7.0 Strongly pro-Western; Jibril was the West's principal interlocutor during the 2011 intervention.
  • model qwen +8.0 Strategically and diplomatically aligned with Western powers seeking strong partnerships with the US and EU.
• National Forces Alliance LY Regional stance settled ↔ 4 pt +4.0
  • model minimax +2.0 Generally pro-Palestinian but pragmatic and oriented toward stability; no alignment with armed resistance networks.
  • prior Author baseline +3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model DeepSeek +3.0 Leans toward stability and diplomatic solutions.
  • model gpt +3.0 Its moderate technocratic orientation leans toward regional stability more than armed-resistance politics.
  • model Kimi +4.0 Open to cooperation with West and normalization
  • model Claude +4.0 Sits in the Western-aligned stability camp, opposed to the Islamist resistance bloc.
  • model gemma +5.0 Aligned with the stability camp and pragmatic regional diplomacy.
  • model Gemini +6.0 Favors regional stability, diplomatic engagement, and alignment with moderate regional states rather than armed resistance.
  • model Grok +6.0 Aligns with Egypt-UAE-led stability camp; pragmatic diplomacy, acceptance of normalization trends, and avoidance of resistance-axis proxy entanglements.
  • model qwen +6.0 Favors regional stability, aligns with the Gulf and Egyptian camps, and opposes the armed-resistance or maximalist political Islamist axes.
• National Forces Alliance LY Palestinian question settled ↔ 4 pt +5.5
  • model minimax +4.0 Consistent mainstream Libyan pro-Palestinian stance but without the maximalist framing of Islamist parties.
  • model Claude +4.0 Holds a conventional Arab pro-Palestinian position, though it is not central to its program.
  • prior Author baseline +5.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +5.0 Standard Arab pro-Palestinian rights position
  • model DeepSeek +5.0 Supports Palestinian rights but less emphatically than Islamists.
  • model Grok +6.0 Expresses solidarity with Palestinian rights and self-determination as standard Arab position but favors pragmatic negotiated outcomes over ideological maximalism.
  • model gemma +6.0 Supports Palestinian statehood and rights within a diplomatic framework.
  • model qwen +6.0 Supports Palestinian self-determination and the standard Arab peace initiative framework.
  • model gpt +7.0 Like mainstream Libyan nationalists, it supports Palestinian statehood and rights.
  • model Gemini +8.0 Supports Palestinian rights and statehood in accordance with broad Libyan national consensus.
• Al-Wefaq National Islamic Society BH State & religion settled ↔ 4 pt -6.0
  • model Gemini -7.0 Envisions a prominent role for religious authority and Islamic jurisprudence in the state's legal framework.
  • model Grok -7.0 Advocates significant role for religious scholars in legislation especially on moral and family matters, strongly favoring integration of religious authority into state law over secular separation.
  • model gemma -7.0 Seeks a state governed by Islamic principles.
  • model gpt -7.0 It is an Islamic political society rooted in clerical Shia networks and religious public authority.
  • model minimax -6.0 Advocated Islamic principles in governance and clerical oversight rather than strict secularism.
  • model qwen -6.0 It advocates for Islamic principles to guide legislation, though it is somewhat more pragmatic than Salafis.
  • model Kimi -5.0 Shi'a Islamist party wants religious influence in state, opposes strict secularism.
  • model DeepSeek -5.0 Shia Islamist party seeking Islamic framework but not full clerical rule.
  • model Claude -5.0 An explicitly Islamic society favoring a religious role in public life.
  • prior Author baseline -3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
• Al-Wefaq National Islamic Society BH Liberal democracy settled ↔ 4 pt +5.5
  • model minimax +4.0 Pushed for an elected government
  • model Claude +4.0 Demanded an elected government and constitutional monarchy, though its clerical Shia-Islamist base tempers liberal-democratic commitment.
  • model Kimi +5.0 Advocates for constitutional reform and democratic participation, though with religious constraints.
  • model Grok +5.0 Strongly advocates for a genuine constitutional monarchy with separation of powers, elected government, independent institutions, and rule of law, though framed within an Islamic democratic model that includes religious oversight on certain laws.
  • model gpt +5.0 It called for elected government, constitutional reform, and rights, though its Islamist base limits full liberal confidence.
  • prior Author baseline +6.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Gemini +7.0 Commits to a liberal-democratic framework with an empowered elected parliament and independent courts to limit executive power.
  • model gemma +7.0 Long-term advocate for a genuine constitutional monarchy with independent courts.
  • model qwen +7.0 It has long demanded a fully elected parliament with genuine legislative power and a constitutional monarchy.
  • model DeepSeek +8.0 Strongly committed to democratic reforms including independent judiciary and minority rights.
• Al-Menbar Islamic Society BH Social settled ↔ 4 pt -7.5
  • model Gemini -8.0 Advocates for traditional collective moral authority, strict Islamic values, and opposes individual social and moral liberties.
  • model DeepSeek -8.0 Strongly socially conservative
  • model gemma -8.0 Advocates for strict adherence to Islamic moral and social laws.
  • model gpt -8.0 Its Muslim Brotherhood orientation favors conservative collective moral authority over permissive social liberalism.
  • model qwen -8.0 It holds highly conservative views on personal freedoms
  • model Kimi -7.0 Socially conservative Islamist party advocating traditional moral authority and religious values.
  • model minimax -7.0 Salafi conservatism underpins restrictive positions on lifestyle
  • model Claude -7.0 Conservative Islamist favoring collective moral authority over personal social liberty.
  • model Grok -6.0 Advocates a conservative social agenda rooted in Islamic teachings, including restrictions on alcohol and promotion of traditional moral authority over individual lifestyle liberties.
  • prior Author baseline -4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
• Al-Menbar Islamic Society BH State & religion settled ↔ 4 pt -7.0
  • model DeepSeek -9.0 Advocates for Islamic law as the basis of state and society.
  • model Gemini -8.0 Demands that state legislation and governance be closely derived from Islamic law (Sharia).
  • model gpt -8.0 It advocates a stronger role for Islamic principles in law and public life.
  • model gemma -7.0 Promotes the integration of Sharia into state law.
  • model minimax -7.0 Advocates a greater role for Islamic sharia principles in legislation and public life.
  • model Claude -7.0 Islamist agenda seeking a substantial religious role in state and law.
  • model qwen -7.0 It advocates for Sharia to be the primary source of legislation and state governance.
  • model Kimi -6.0 Advocates for Islamic principles in law and governance, against strict secular separation.
  • prior Author baseline -5.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok -5.0 Seeks to integrate Islamic laws and values into Bahrain's constitution and legal framework, favoring religious authority in state matters over strict secular separation.
• Al-Menbar Islamic Society BH Palestinian question settled ↔ 4 pt +8.0
  • model Kimi +6.0 Strongly pro-Palestinian as pan-Islamist movement, supports Palestinian rights and statehood.
  • model Grok +7.0 As an Islamist political society, it maintains strong rhetorical and ideological support for Palestinian rights and self-determination consistent with broader Muslim Brotherhood traditions.
  • prior Author baseline +8.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model DeepSeek +8.0 Al-Menbar strongly supports Palestinian rights and opposes normalization with Israel.
  • model gemma +8.0 Consistently advocates for Palestinian rights and statehood.
  • model gpt +8.0 As a Bahraini Islamist party it strongly supports Palestinian rights and rejects occupation.
  • model minimax +8.0 Salafi platform is vocally pro-Palestinian and supportive of Palestinian statehood and rights.
  • model Claude +8.0 Muslim Brotherhood lineage makes it strongly and vocally pro-Palestinian.
  • model qwen +8.0 It strongly supports Palestinian rights and statehood as a core Islamist principle.
  • model Gemini +10.0 Maintains a firm and vocal commitment to Palestinian rights and strongly opposes normalization with Israel.
• El Insaf (Equity Party) MR Regional stance provisional ↔ 4 pt +4.0
  • prior Author baseline +2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model DeepSeek +2.0 Mauritania under El Insaf is not part of the Axis of Resistance and has oscillated between Arab League consensus and cautious Gulf alignment.
  • model minimax +2.0 Initially normalized with Israel and pursues Gulf/regional stability ties
  • model gpt +2.0 It is anti-normalization rhetorically on Palestine but generally pragmatic and stability-oriented in regional diplomacy.
  • model Gemini +4.0 The party aligns Mauritania with mainstream Arab League and Gulf stability policies, favoring diplomatic settlement over armed resistance.
  • model Claude +4.0 Pursues stability and ties with the Gulf and West rather than the Iran-led resistance axis.
  • model Kimi +5.0 El Insaf pursues regional stability through diplomatic engagement rather than armed resistance alignment.
  • model Grok +5.0 Government pursues pragmatic stability Western security partnerships and diplomatic Palestine support without resistance axis or armed anti-normalization alignment.
  • model gemma +6.0 Aligned with the government's preference for diplomatic stability and state-to-state negotiation.
  • model qwen +6.0 Prioritizes regional stability and diplomatic engagement over alignment with the Axis of Resistance.
• Union of Forces of Progress MR Social settled ↔ 4 pt +4.0
  • model Gemini +2.0 UFP supports progressive social reforms, women's rights, and anti-slavery measures, though it operates within Mauritania's conservative context.
  • model Grok +2.0 Social justice and multiracial inclusion agenda challenges traditional ethnic and status hierarchies while operating inside Mauritania's conservative cultural environment.
  • model Kimi +3.0 The secular left coalition favors more social freedom and individual rights than Islamist parties, though constrained by local context.
  • model Claude +3.0 Secular-progressive and relatively permissive on personal and moral freedom.
  • prior Author baseline +4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model DeepSeek +4.0 UFP is a secular left party that supports individual freedoms but operates in a conservative society where it avoids outright libertarian stances on issues like LGBTQ+ rights.
  • model gpt +4.0 It is comparatively secular and progressive by Mauritanian standards, though not fully socially libertarian.
  • model minimax +5.0 The UFP is a secularist party that promotes personal freedoms and individual expression within a Mauritanian context.
  • model gemma +6.0 Promotes individual freedoms and secular social values.
  • model qwen +6.0 Advocates for progressive social policies individual liberties and the expansion of women's rights.
• Free Patriotic Movement LB Regime stance settled ↔ 4 pt +5.5
  • prior Author baseline +3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +5.0 2× rounds FPM accepts Lebanon's foundational order and has been a key player in the post-Taif system, including securing the presidency for Michel Aoun; it defends the existing constitutional framework.
  • model DeepSeek +5.0 2× rounds Accepts and works within Lebanon's consociational order; founded as reformist inside system.
  • model mistral +5.0 Free Patriotic Movement leans toward pro-regime.
  • model gpt +5.0 It works within and defends the Lebanese constitutional order.
  • model qwen +6.0 2× rounds Participates in government; generally pro-regime despite criticisms.
  • model Claude +6.0 2× rounds Formerly establishment, now in shifting, contested alignment.
  • model Grok +7.0 2× rounds FPM participates in and supports Lebanon's sectarian power-sharing regime while allied with Hezbollah.
  • model Gemini +7.0 2× rounds FPM operates within and defends the foundational constitutional order of the Lebanese Republic.
  • model minimax +7.0 2× rounds FPM is a major Christian party allied with the ruling order and Hezbollah in government.
  • model gemma +7.0 2× rounds Generally supports the existing power-sharing regime.
• Lebanese Forces LB Pan-Arab vs particularist settled ↔ 4 pt -7.0
  • model gemma -10.0 Purely particularist
  • model Grok -9.0 Extreme Lebanese particularist nationalism; rejects pan-Arab ideology and external causes as distractions from or threats to Lebanese sovereignty.
  • model Gemini -8.0 Lebanese Forces promote a strict particularist Lebanese identity, rejecting pan-Arab political frameworks.
  • model gpt -8.0 Its politics are Lebanese nationalist and Christian particularist.
  • prior Author baseline -7.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi -7.0 LF is deeply particularist, emphasizing Lebanese (especially Maronite Christian) identity and rejecting pan-Arabism; Geagea has prioritized Lebanese state interests over Arab solidarity.
  • model Claude -7.0 A Lebanonist Christian particularist movement rather than Arab-nationalist.
  • model qwen -7.0 LF is strongly Lebanese nationalist and rejects pan-Arabism as incompatible with Christian identity.
  • model minimax -6.0 LF is sharply particularist
• Kataeb Party LB Pan-Arab vs particularist settled ↔ 4 pt -7.0
  • model gemma -9.0 Deeply particularist
  • model Gemini -8.0 Kataeb is a highly particularist Lebanese nationalist party that rejects pan-Arab political frameworks.
  • model Grok -8.0 Strong Lebanese particularist and nationalist tradition; historically opposed Nasserist pan-Arabism and Baathist regional projects as threats to sovereignty.
  • model gpt -8.0 It is Lebanese nationalist and particularist rather than pan-Arab.
  • prior Author baseline -7.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Claude -7.0 A Lebanonist Christian particularist tradition, not an Arab-nationalist one.
  • model Kimi -6.0 Kataeb is deeply particularist, emphasizing Lebanese Christian (especially Maronite) identity and rejecting pan-Arabism; it has explored Syriac-Aramaic non-Arab identity for Lebanese Christians.
  • model qwen -6.0 Kataeb is staunchly Lebanese nationalist, rejecting pan-Arab ideologies as threats to Christian identity.
  • model DeepSeek -5.0 Strongly Lebanese particularist; opposes pan-Arabism as a threat to Christian identity.
  • model minimax -5.0 Kataeb is firmly Lebanese-particularist (Phalangist tradition)
• Shas IL Regime stance settled ↔ 4 pt +6.0
  • model DeepSeek +4.0 Accepts Zionist order but wants religious dominance.
  • model Kimi +5.0 Defends Jewish state and participates in government, but non-Zionist Haredi ideology creates tension.
  • prior Author baseline +6.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Claude +6.0 Operates loyally within the Israeli state order.
  • model Grok +6.0 Pragmatic participant in coalitions; accepts state order for religious gains.
  • model gemma +6.0 Accepts the state
  • model gpt +7.0 Shas accepts the Israeli state order while seeking stronger religious influence within it.
  • model minimax +7.0 Shas supports the Jewish character of the state and works within its constitutional order.
  • model Gemini +8.0 Maintains strong loyalty to the Israeli state order while seeking to maximize its religious character.
  • model qwen +8.0 Accepts the state but seeks to infuse it with Sephardi religious authority.

  before · r1 gemini +3.0grok +8.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Freedom and Justice Party EG Pan-Arab vs particularist settled ↔ 4 pt +4.0
  • model Grok +2.0 Islamic ummah framing coexists with support for Arab causes and anti-normalization but does not center classical pan-Arab state unity.
  • model DeepSeek +2.0 Some pan-Islamic and pan-Arab rhetoric but primarily Egyptian-focused.
  • model Claude +3.0 Pan-Islamist solidarity overlapping anti-normalization currents.
  • prior Author baseline +4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model gpt +4.0 It combined Egyptian Islamist politics with broader Arab and Islamic solidarity.
  • model minimax +4.0 More pan-Islamist than pan-Arab; some pan-Arab rhetoric especially under Morsi toward Syria/Egypt.
  • model Kimi +5.0 Moderate pan-Arab solidarity with Islamist framing; criticized Camp David for isolating Egypt from Arab environment.
  • model Gemini +6.0 It frames its regional outlook around transnational Islamist and pan-Arab solidarity rather than narrow state nationalism.
  • model gemma +6.0 Strongly emphasizes Arab and Islamic solidarity.
  • model qwen +6.0 Frames politics around transnational Islamist solidarity rather than strict nation-state particularism.
• Tagammu Party EG Pan-Arab vs particularist settled ↔ 4 pt +7.0
  • prior Author baseline +5.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +6.0 Strong pan-Arab solidarity rooted in Nasserist tradition; calls for unity among all Arab nations.
  • model Claude +6.0 Nasserist pan-Arab orientation.
  • model DeepSeek +6.0 Pan-Arab orientation; Nasserist heritage.
  • model Grok +7.0 Nasserist and Arab nationalist heritage places strong emphasis on pan-Arab solidarity and collective Arab positions.
  • model gpt +7.0 Its Nasserist-left heritage strongly emphasizes Arab solidarity.
  • model Gemini +8.0 It is deeply rooted in the Nasserist tradition, framing its outlook around strong pan-Arab solidarity and anti-imperialism.
  • model qwen +8.0 Deeply committed to Nasserist pan-Arab solidarity and unity.
  • model gemma +9.0 Strongly frames its identity around pan-Arab solidarity.
  • model minimax +9.0 Quintessentially pan-Arab Nasserist party; core identity built on Arab nationalism.
• Movement of Society for Peace DZ Pan-Arab vs particularist settled ↔ 4 pt +4.5
  • prior Author baseline +2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model qwen +2.0 Some pan-Arab sentiment but primarily Islamist and Algerian-focused.
  • model DeepSeek +3.0 MSP is Islamist and moderately pan-Islamic
  • model Claude +3.0 Pan-Islamic solidarity and anti-normalization, moderate pan-Arab tilt.
  • model minimax +4.0 MSP leans pan-Islamist with strong pan-Arab framing.
  • model Gemini +5.0 The MSP strongly emphasizes pan-Arab and pan-Islamic solidarity over a purely particularist nation-state frame.
  • model Grok +5.0 Emphasizes Arab-Islamic solidarity and civilizational project transcending narrow nationalism.
  • model gpt +5.0 Its Muslim Brotherhood roots give it a strong Arab-Islamic solidarity orientation.
  • model Kimi +6.0 Pan-Arab Islamist solidarity; Brotherhood transnationalism.
  • model gemma +6.0 Frames politics around Islamic and Arab solidarity.
• Tunisian Workers Party TN Regime stance settled ↔ 4 pt -8.0
  • model Gemini -9.0 The party vehemently opposes Kais Saied's rule, labeling it an autocratic coup.
  • model Grok -9.0 The Tunisian Workers Party maintains a consistently revolutionary anti-regime posture, rejecting both the old Ben Ali order, post-2011 parliamentary system, and Saied's presidentialism as variants of class domination.
  • model gemma -9.0 Revolutionary stance and strongly anti-regime.
  • model minimax -8.0 Anti-regime across eras; opposed Ben Ali
  • model qwen -8.0 Opposes current regime as bourgeois-authoritarian; seeks revolutionary change.
  • model Kimi -6.0 Revolutionary communist party opposes existing bourgeois constitutional order entirely.
  • prior Author baseline -5.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model DeepSeek -5.0 Anti-regime
  • model Claude -5.0 Revolutionary Marxist tradition rejecting the existing order and opposing the Saied state.
• Tunisian Workers Party TN Pan-Arab vs particularist settled ↔ 4 pt +5.0
  • model Gemini +3.0 2× rounds The party emphasizes international socialist solidarity, supporting Arab popular struggles from a leftist perspective.
  • model Grok +3.0 2× rounds While primarily internationalist and class-based, the party expresses solidarity with Arab anti-imperialist struggles and Palestinian resistance without strong emphasis on ethnic pan-Arab political unity.
  • prior Author baseline +4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Claude +4.0 2× rounds Internationalist left blending Arab and class identity.
  • model Kimi +5.0 2× rounds Anti-imperialist solidarity includes pan-Arab framework within broader internationalist perspective.
  • model DeepSeek +5.0 2× rounds Pan-Arabist within leftist internationalist frame.
  • model mistral +5.0 Tunisian Workers Party supports pan-Arabism.
  • model qwen +6.0 2× rounds Marxist with pan-Arab solidarity tradition.
  • model minimax +6.0 2× rounds TWP is more focused on Tunisian workers than pan-Arab identity
  • model gemma +7.0 2× rounds Strongly identifies with Pan-Arabism.
• Al-Wefaq National Islamic Society BH Regime stance settled ↔ 4 pt -7.0
  • model Gemini -9.0 Rejects the existing absolute monarchical order and demands a foundational transition to a constitutional democracy.
  • model Kimi -8.0 Explicitly anti-regime, boycotted elections, called for constitutional monarchy reform, dissolved by authorities.
  • model minimax -8.0 Defied and challenged the Al Khalifa constitutional order seeking to curtail monarchic powers and was dissolved for that stance.
  • model qwen -8.0 Banned in 2016 with its leadership imprisoned, it fundamentally rejects the current monarchical order.
  • prior Author baseline -7.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model gemma -7.0 Opposed the existing political order
  • model Grok -6.0 Its demands for transformative constitutional reform, elected executive, and challenges to Al Khalifa dominance, combined with regime accusations of seeking to undermine the political system, place it as anti-regime toward the foundational monarchical order.
  • model gpt -6.0 It challenged Bahrain's foundational monarchical power structure by seeking major constitutional transformation.
  • model Claude -6.0 Treated as a threat to the foundational order, boycotted, and was dissolved/banned in 2016 for challenging the Al Khalifa system.
  • model DeepSeek -5.0 Accepts monarchy in principle but seeks fundamental constitutional change; suppressed as anti-regime by authorities.
• Islamic Asalah Society BH Regime stance settled ↔ 4 pt +8.0
  • model Kimi +6.0 Pro-regime loyalist party that supports existing political order and monarchy.
  • model DeepSeek +6.0 Generally pro-regime
  • model gemma +6.0 Operates within the state system and supports the monarchy.
  • prior Author baseline +7.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok +8.0 Functions as a reliable pro-government actor with members in state institutions, focusing on Sunni representation while generally defending the constitutional monarchical order and avoiding sustained challenges to foundational authority.
  • model gpt +8.0 Asalah is strongly loyal to Bahrain's existing Sunni monarchy and constitutional order.
  • model Claude +8.0 Staunch loyalist defender of the Al Khalifa constitutional order.
  • model minimax +9.0 One of the most loyalist Salafi blocs in Bahrain
  • model qwen +9.0 It is fiercely loyal to the Al Khalifa monarchy and actively defends the existing political order.
  • model Gemini +10.0 Demonstrates unconditional and absolute loyalty to the existing Al Khalifa foundational order.
• National Charter Party JO Regime stance settled ↔ 4 pt +8.5
  • model Kimi +6.0 Pro-regime, loyal to Hashemite constitutional order and monarchy
  • model DeepSeek +6.0 Pro-monarchy; founded by regime-affiliated figures to support constitutional order.
  • model minimax +6.0 Loyalist/pro-regime orientation; works within the constitutional monarchy framework.
  • prior Author baseline +7.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok +8.0 Aligned with the National Charter framework that accepts and operates within the Hashemite constitutional order and monarchy.
  • model gemma +9.0 Explicitly pro-regime and supportive of the monarchy.
  • model gpt +9.0 It is openly aligned with the monarchy and the existing constitutional order.
  • model Claude +9.0 Strongly pro-monarchy and supportive of the constitutional order.
  • model qwen +9.0 Explicitly founded to defend and support the Hashemite monarchy and the existing constitutional order.
  • model Gemini +10.0 Deeply loyalist party composed of state elites dedicated to defending the foundational constitutional order.
• Likud IL Traditionalism vs modernization settled ↔ 4 pt +4.0
  • prior Author baseline +0.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Claude +3.0 Economically tech-modernizing but socially conservative-leaning.
  • model Grok +3.0 Embraces technological and economic modernization while socially conservative lean.
  • model minimax +3.0 Likud pursues tech-economic modernization but is socially traditionalist, especially via religious-coalition influence.
  • model Gemini +4.0 Supports economic and technological modernization while compromising with traditionalist political factions.
  • model DeepSeek +4.0 Economically modernizing but socially traditionalist.
  • model Kimi +4.0 Technologically modernizing but socially traditionalist in coalition with religious parties.
  • model gemma +4.0 Economically modernizing but socially traditional.
  • model gpt +4.0 Likud supports economic and technological modernization but resists liberal institutional reforms.
  • model qwen +4.0 Technologically modernizing but socially traditionalist.

  before · r1 grok +2.0gemini +6.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Israeli Labor Party IL Traditionalism vs modernization settled ↔ 4 pt +6.5
  • prior Author baseline +5.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +6.0 2× rounds Progressive on social and institutional modernization.
  • model Claude +7.0 2× rounds Modernizing, secular-progressive orientation.
  • model DeepSeek +7.0 2× rounds Pro-modernization.
  • model minimax +7.0 2× rounds Labor is a foundational modernizing party of the Israeli center.
  • model mistral +7.0 Israeli Labor Party strongly supports modernization.
  • model Grok +8.0 2× rounds Labor drives Israel's modern secular Western-oriented development against traditional religious forces.
  • model qwen +8.0 2× rounds Modernizing, technocratic orientation.
  • model gemma +8.0 2× rounds Strongly aligned with modern
  • model gpt +8.0 Labor supports institutional modernization, gender equality, and liberal reforms.
  • model Gemini +9.0 2× rounds Favors continuous institutional, economic, and social modernization.

  before · r1 grok +7.0gemini +8.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Ta'al IL Traditionalism vs modernization settled ↔ 4 pt +5.0
  • prior Author baseline +2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +3.0 2× rounds Secular nationalist with some modernization agenda, but traditional Arab values present.
  • model minimax +3.0 2× rounds Ta'al is moderate
  • model Grok +5.0 2× rounds Ta'al emphasizes Palestinian national identity which includes traditional elements against rapid Western modernization.
  • model Claude +5.0 2× rounds Secular-modernizing nationalist.
  • model Gemini +5.0 2× rounds Supports social modernization and the political and social empowerment of women.
  • model mistral +5.0 Ta'al leans toward modernization.
  • model gpt +5.0 Ta’al supports institutional equality and Arab civic advancement within modern state structures.
  • model DeepSeek +6.0 2× rounds Pro-modernization.
  • model qwen +6.0 2× rounds Culturally traditional despite secularism.
  • model gemma +6.0 2× rounds Generally supports modernization and secular enlightenment.

  before · r1 gemini +5.0grok +6.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Yisrael Beiteinu IL Traditionalism vs modernization settled ↔ 4 pt +5.5
  • prior Author baseline +3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok +5.0 Modernizing secular force on economy and technology.
  • model DeepSeek +5.0 Pro-modernization.
  • model Kimi +5.0 Secular and modernizing; opposes Haredi religious influence.
  • model minimax +5.0 Yisrael Beiteinu is broadly modernizing on social and economic issues, secular-leaning.
  • model Claude +6.0 Secular-nationalist modernizing orientation.
  • model gpt +6.0 It supports secular modernization and state efficiency while retaining nationalist hard lines.
  • model Gemini +7.0 Promotes social and institutional modernization, particularly integrating secular education into all sectors.
  • model gemma +7.0 Strongly supports modernization and secularism.
  • model qwen +7.0 Supports institutional modernization, particularly in reducing religious coercion.

  before · r1 gemini +7.0grok +7.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Hamas PS Traditionalism vs modernization settled ↔ 4 pt -6.0
  • model DeepSeek -7.0 2× rounds Hamas is deeply traditionalist on social and family law, though it uses modern technology and military tactics.
  • model qwen -7.0 2× rounds Traditionalist with selective use of modern tools.
  • model minimax -7.0 2× rounds Hamas holds a traditionalist Islamist worldview.
  • model gemma -7.0 2× rounds Strongly favors traditional Islamic values over Western modernization.
  • model Grok -6.0 2× rounds Hamas prioritizes Islamic traditional values and resistance over secular social modernization or institutional reform agendas.
  • model mistral -6.0 Hamas leans toward traditionalism.
  • prior Author baseline -5.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Claude -4.0 2× rounds Islamist traditionalism over secular modernization.
  • model Gemini -3.0 2× rounds Embraces technological and organizational modernization while firmly rejecting social liberalization or secular reforms.
  • model Kimi -3.0 2× rounds Hamas is fundamentally traditionalist, opposing Western-style social modernization, seeking to preserve and enforce Islamic traditional values in public and private life.
  • model gpt -3.0 It uses modern organization and technology while retaining conservative religious social doctrine.
• Freedom and Justice Party EG Traditionalism vs modernization settled ↔ 4 pt -4.0
  • model Gemini -6.0 It opposes secular social modernization, emphasizing traditional Islamic legal and societal structures instead.
  • model gemma -5.0 Prioritizes traditional religious values over Western-style social modernization.
  • model minimax -5.0 Mixed: accepts some technological modernization but traditionalist on social/family law.
  • prior Author baseline -4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model DeepSeek -4.0 Accepts some technological modernization but traditional on social institutions.
  • model Kimi -4.0 Traditionalist on social issues and women's rights; opposes modernization of family law and religious authority in public life.
  • model Grok -4.0 Traditionalist on family law, gender, and moral issues with selective pragmatic acceptance of economic and technological modernization.
  • model Claude -3.0 Socially traditionalist despite selective reform rhetoric.
  • model gpt -3.0 It accepts some technocratic modernization while remaining socially and legally conservative.
  • model qwen -2.0 Socially traditionalist but pragmatically accepts technological modernization.
• New Wafd Party EG Centralism vs federalism settled ↔ 4 pt -6.5
  • model Gemini -9.0 It maintains the historic liberal nationalist commitment to a highly centralized, unitary Egyptian state.
  • model minimax -9.0 Wafd tradition is strongly centralist Egyptian nationalist.
  • model Grok -8.0 Historic liberal-nationalist party accepts Egypt's unitary centralized state without federalist proposals.
  • model qwen -8.0 Historically committed to a unified Egyptian state.
  • model gemma -7.0 Consistent with historical Wafdist support for a unitary state.
  • model Kimi -6.0 Nationalist liberal party in Egypt's centralist tradition; no indication of supporting federalist power-sharing.
  • model Claude -6.0 Centralist Egyptian nationalist tradition.
  • model gpt -6.0 It historically supports a unified Egyptian nation-state with limited decentralization.
  • prior Author baseline -5.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model DeepSeek -5.0 Supports unitary state; traditional centralist party.
• Patriotic Union of Kurdistan IQ Traditionalism vs modernization settled ↔ 4 pt +4.0
  • model gpt +1.0 It mixes reformist modernization themes with religious and communal conservatism.
  • prior Author baseline +3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Gemini +3.0 The PUK favors social and institutional modernization, though tribal and patronage dynamics still influence its practice.
  • model Claude +3.0 Secular-left modernizing orientation.
  • model Kimi +4.0 PUK is more modernizing than KDP, with stronger emphasis on women's rights and social reform
  • model DeepSeek +4.0 PUK has socialist-left heritage and supports modernization more than traditionalism.
  • model minimax +4.0 PUK champions a modernizing, reformist Kurdish project with emphasis on women's rights, education, and urban cultural development.
  • model Grok +5.0 PUK has supported modernization in education, infrastructure, and some social reforms in its areas of control within the constraints of traditional society.
  • model gemma +5.0 Promotes institutional and economic modernization.
  • model qwen +5.0 Pushes for modernization of KRG institutions and economy, despite entrenched patronage networks.
• Workers' Party DZ Traditionalism vs modernization settled ↔ 4 pt +5.5
  • prior Author baseline +3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Claude +3.0 Secular-progressive and modernizing in orientation.
  • model gemma +4.0 Supports institutional modernization geared toward the working class.
  • model Kimi +5.0 Pro-modernization through socialist transformation.
  • model Gemini +6.0 The PT advocates for institutional and industrial modernization while opposing traditionalist religious constraints.
  • model Grok +6.0 Supports scientific socialism, industrial development, education, and progressive social change against reactionary traditions.
  • model qwen +6.0 Supports scientific, educational, and gender modernization as part of socialist project.
  • model minimax +7.0 PT champions women's emancipation
• Socialist Forces Front DZ Traditionalism vs modernization settled ↔ 4 pt +6.0
  • prior Author baseline +3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Claude +5.0 Reformist and modernizing on institutions and social policy.
  • model qwen +5.0 Promotes gender equality, educational reform, and institutional modernization.
  • model Kimi +6.0 Pro-modernization; women's rights; institutional reform.
  • model gemma +6.0 Strongly supports social and institutional modernization.
  • model minimax +6.0 FFS champions women's rights
  • model Gemini +7.0 The FFS champions social, legal, and institutional modernization and the advancement of progressive rights.
  • model Grok +7.0 Progressive on women's rights, education, secular institutions, technological development, and social reform.
  • model DeepSeek +7.0 FFS is modernizing on gender equality
• General People's Congress YE Centralism vs federalism settled ↔ 4 pt -5.0
  • model Grok -6.0 The GPC historically championed strong central authority and Yemeni unity, opposing federal arrangements that would significantly devolve power from the center.
  • model gemma -6.0 Historically the party of a strong
  • model Claude -6.0 Saleh's party long resisted southern autonomy and favored a centralized unitary state.
  • model qwen -6.0 Historically championed a strong centralized Yemeni state under Saleh's patronage network.
  • model Gemini -5.0 The GPC historically championed a strong, centralized unitary state and remains skeptical of federal models that could fragment the nation.
  • model gpt -5.0 It historically favored a strong unified Yemeni state over deep regional power-sharing.
  • model DeepSeek -4.0 GPC historically favored a unitary Yemen but under Saleh accepted some decentralization rhetoric; now weakened.
  • prior Author baseline -3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model minimax -3.0 GPC under Saleh historically ran a strong central security state, but agreed to the 2014 federal constitution and now operates within the PLC federal framework, leaving them mixed/centrist.
  • model Kimi -2.0 GPC historically favored a strong centralized state under Saleh's rule, though some factions have pragmatically accepted federalism proposals.
• Yemeni Socialist Party YE Centralism vs federalism settled ↔ 4 pt +5.0
  • prior Author baseline +3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +3.0 YSP historically supported a unified state but now advocates for southern rights and some decentralization to address marginalization.
  • model minimax +3.0 YSP, heir to the PDRY, has historically defended a unitary Yemen but is sympathetic to regional autonomy arrangements; current platform leans federalist-leaning-centrist.
  • model qwen +4.0 Historically centralized, but now often supports federalism or southern rights as a marginalized opposition.
  • model Grok +5.0 As a southern-based party with PDRY roots, the YSP supports federal arrangements or enhanced southern autonomy within a united Yemen rather than strict centralism.
  • model DeepSeek +5.0 YSP supports a federal or confederal Yemen to protect southern rights after unification disappointment.
  • model Claude +5.0 Southern-rooted party supporting federalism and southern rights.
  • model gpt +6.0 It has generally favored decentralization and southern protections within post-unity politics.
  • model Gemini +7.0 The YSP strongly advocates for a federal state structure as the most viable mechanism to resolve the southern question and decentralize power.
  • model gemma +7.0 They historically support a decentralized or federal state to protect southern interests.
• Tunisian Workers Party TN Traditionalism vs modernization settled ↔ 4 pt +5.0
  • prior Author baseline +4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model DeepSeek +4.0 Modernizing in social and economic structures from a left perspective.
  • model gemma +4.0 Supports social modernization while rejecting capitalist economic modernization.
  • model Kimi +5.0 Communist ideology supports modernization through secular progressive transformation.
  • model Claude +5.0 Secular-progressive modernizing orientation.
  • model minimax +6.0 Modernizing
  • model qwen +6.0 Supports scientific, social, and institutional modernization as part of socialist vision.
  • model Gemini +8.0 The party supports extensive institutional, social, and cultural modernization based on progressive left-wing ideals.
  • model Grok +8.0 The Tunisian Workers Party sees socialist modernization as the path to overcome underdevelopment, traditional structures, and imperialist dependency.
• Authenticity and Modernity Party MA Traditionalism vs modernization settled ↔ 4 pt +6.5
  • prior Author baseline +4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +6.0 2× rounds PAM's name and platform emphasize modernity, women's advancement, and economic transformation.
  • model DeepSeek +6.0 2× rounds Presents itself as modernizing but within monarchical framework.
  • model minimax +6.0 2× rounds PAM positions itself as a modernizing force in Moroccan politics.
  • model mistral +6.0 Authenticity and Modernity Party strongly supports modernization.
  • model Claude +6.0 2× rounds Explicitly modernist, anti-Islamist establishment party.
  • model Grok +7.0 2× rounds Strong emphasis on institutional reform, technological progress, economic transformation, and social modernization paired with cultural authenticity.
  • model gpt +7.0 PAM defines itself around modernization, rights reforms, and institutional reform.
  • model Gemini +8.0 2× rounds Plates institutional, social, and technological modernization at the core of its political identity.
  • model qwen +8.0 2× rounds Pro-monarchy modernizing agenda.
  • model gemma +8.0 2× rounds Strongly advocates for modernization and urban progress.
• Union of Forces of Progress MR Traditionalism vs modernization settled ↔ 4 pt +6.0
  • prior Author baseline +4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +5.0 2× rounds The coalition strongly advocates for social and institutional modernization, women's rights, and reform of traditional structures.
  • model DeepSeek +5.0 2× rounds UFP supports modernization including women's rights and legal reforms but within a left-social framework rather than neoliberal.
  • model mistral +5.0 Union of Forces of Progress leans toward modernization.
  • model Claude +5.0 2× rounds Progressive, modernizing platform.
  • model Gemini +6.0 2× rounds The party strongly advocates for social and institutional modernization, including women's rights and dismantling traditional caste hierarchies.
  • model Grok +6.0 2× rounds Actively promotes progressive modernization on slavery eradication ethnic equality and reform of discriminatory traditional practices.
  • model gpt +6.0 It supports social and institutional modernization, including reforms tied to equality and democratic governance.
  • model minimax +7.0 2× rounds UFP is a modernizing progressive force in Mauritanian politics.
  • model qwen +8.0 2× rounds Progressive, supports modernization.
  • model gemma +8.0 2× rounds Supports modernization and progressive values.
• National Charter Party JO Traditionalism vs modernization settled ↔ 4 pt +4.0
  • prior Author baseline +2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +2.0 Moderately modernizing, supports some reform but cautious on social change
  • model Grok +3.0 Supports gradual economic and administrative modernization promoted by the regime, with cautious approach to rapid social change.
  • model gemma +3.0 Supports moderate modernization consistent with the state's vision.
  • model DeepSeek +4.0 Pro-economic and administrative modernization; cautious on social change.
  • model Claude +4.0 Supports the regime's political and economic modernization agenda.
  • model qwen +4.0 Supports economic and institutional modernization led by the state and the monarchy.
  • model Gemini +5.0 Supports state-led institutional and economic modernization, including women's political empowerment.
  • model minimax +5.0 Modernizing platform on rights, women's participation, and institutional reform.
  • model gpt +6.0 It backs administrative, economic, and political modernization under royal reform plans.
• Jordanian Communist Party JO Traditionalism vs modernization settled ↔ 4 pt +6.5
  • prior Author baseline +4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +4.0 Supports modernization of institutions and some social reform, though within socialist framework
  • model gpt +6.0 It supports secular modernization, women’s rights, and institutional reform.
  • model minimax +6.0 Modernizing on social and institutional reform, women's rights, and labor law.
  • model Claude +6.0 Secular-progressive modernizing agenda on rights and institutions.
  • model DeepSeek +7.0 Pro-modernization
  • model Gemini +8.0 Champions comprehensive social, institutional, and scientific modernization over traditionalism.
  • model Grok +8.0 Embraces scientific progress, industrialization, and radical social modernization to overcome traditional and 'feudal' structures.
  • model gemma +8.0 Favors secular modernization and progressive social reform.
  • model qwen +8.0 Strongly supports social progress, women's rights, and secular institutional reform.
• Otzma Yehudit IL Gender equality settled ↔ 4 pt -6.0
  • prior Author baseline -8.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model gemma -8.0 Strongly patriarchal and traditionalist.
  • model qwen -8.0 Strongly patriarchal and anti-feminist in its declared positions.
  • model Grok -6.0 Patriarchal traditionalist on gender roles family and opposition to LGBTQ equality.
  • model DeepSeek -6.0 Patriarchal and traditionalist.
  • model minimax -6.0 Otzma Yehudit is highly patriarchal; opposes women's equality, supports gender segregation and traditional roles.
  • model Gemini -5.0 Promotes conservative patriarchal values and opposes modern gender equality initiatives.
  • model Kimi -5.0 Traditionalist Jewish values; conservative on gender roles.
  • model gpt -5.0 It is religious-nationalist and socially traditional, though less gender-focused than Haredi parties.
  • model Claude -4.0 Religious-Zionist conservatism leaning patriarchal.

  before · r1 grok -8.0gemini -7.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Hamas PS Gender equality settled ↔ 4 pt -8.0
  • model qwen -9.0 2× rounds Strictly patriarchal interpretation of gender roles.
  • model minimax -9.0 Hamas holds deeply patriarchal
  • model Grok -8.0 2× rounds Hamas enforces strict patriarchal norms rooted in conservative Islamism, limiting women's rights, dress, and public roles.
  • model Kimi -8.0 2× rounds Hamas enforces conservative gender roles, restricts women's public participation, and applies Islamic family law; it has rolled back some women's rights gains from the PA era in Gaza.
  • model DeepSeek -8.0 2× rounds Hamas enforces patriarchal gender roles, restricts women's public participation, and upholds conservative family law.
  • model mistral -8.0 Hamas strongly supports patriarchal traditionalism.
  • model gemma -8.0 2× rounds Strictly enforces patriarchal traditionalism.
  • model Gemini -7.0 2× rounds Enforces a traditional patriarchal framework rooted in conservative Islamic interpretations governing family law and social roles.
  • model Claude -6.0 2× rounds Islamist movement enforcing patriarchal gender norms.
  • model gpt -6.0 Its Islamist program endorses traditional gender roles and conservative family norms.
  • prior Author baseline -5.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
• Hayat Tahrir al-Sham SY Gender equality settled ↔ 4 pt -7.5
  • model qwen -10.0 Enforces strict patriarchal norms and gender segregation severely restricting women's rights and public roles.
  • model DeepSeek -9.0 Enforces strict gender segregation and traditional roles in its areas of control.
  • model gemma -9.0 Enforces strict patriarchal norms and restrictive roles for women.
  • prior Author baseline -8.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Gemini -8.0 HTS enforces conservative Islamic regulations that reinforce patriarchal traditionalism and restrict gender equality in public life.
  • model Grok -7.0 HTS applies conservative Islamic rules on gender including dress codes segregation and traditional family law under Sharia principles.
  • model gpt -7.0 Its Islamist social order preserves conservative gender roles and limits family-law equality.
  • model minimax -7.0 HTS maintains a conservative Islamist social vision with restricted women's roles in public and political life
  • model Claude -7.0 Salafi-rooted conservatism with dress norms and minimal women's representation in government.
  • model Kimi -6.0 HTS enforces conservative gender roles rooted in Salafi jurisprudence, restricting women's public participation and dress, though it has allowed women's education and some professional roles in Idlib.
• Hayat Tahrir al-Sham SY Iran posture settled ↔ 4 pt -9.0
  • model Gemini -10.0 2× rounds HTS maintains absolute hostility toward Iran due to sectarian opposition and Iran's military intervention on behalf of the regime.
  • model qwen -10.0 2× rounds Sunni jihadist, fiercely anti-Iran.
  • model gemma -10.0 2× rounds Deeply adversarial toward the Iranian axis.
  • model Claude -9.0 2× rounds Sunni Islamist force that fought Iran-backed troops and expelled them.
  • model gpt -9.0 It is a Sunni Islamist opponent of Iran and Iran-backed forces in Syria.
  • prior Author baseline -8.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok -8.0 2× rounds HTS fought Iranian backed forces and Hezbollah viewing them as enemies and has maintained adversarial stance toward Iran.
  • model minimax -8.0 2× rounds HTS as a Sunni jihadist movement is firmly hostile to Iran and Shia influence.
  • model Kimi -7.0 2× rounds HTS is a Sunni Salafi group historically hostile to Shia Iran and the Iranian-led axis; it has actively distanced itself from Iranian influence and sought alignment with Turkey and Gulf states.
  • model DeepSeek -7.0 2× rounds Salafi-jihadist stance fiercely hostile to Shia Iran and its proxies.
  • model mistral -6.0 Hayat Tahrir al-Sham is anti-Iran.
• Nour Party EG Press freedom settled ↔ 4 pt -6.5
  • prior Author baseline -7.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Gemini -7.0 It advocates for the strict censorship of media and the press to prevent moral degradation and religious deviation.
  • model DeepSeek -7.0 Supports state control of media to prevent blasphemy and moral corruption.
  • model gpt -7.0 Its moral-religious program and regime alignment point toward restrictive media rules.
  • model minimax -7.0 Conservative Salafi stance against media seen as anti-Islamic.
  • model Kimi -6.0 Supports state-controlled press boundaries within Islamic moral framework; opposes press freedom that contradicts Sharia.
  • model gemma -6.0 Supports restrictions on press that deviate from religious morals.
  • model qwen -6.0 Opposes media that insults Islamic values or threatens public morality.
  • model Claude -5.0 Favors moral restrictions on media content.
  • model Grok -3.0 Supports regime-aligned media control and selective restrictions on critical or rival Islamist voices.
• Hezbollah LB Press freedom settled ↔ 4 pt -8.0
  • model Grok -9.0 Controls Al-Manar and affiliated media; journalists investigating its finances, weapons, or Iran ties face intimidation, threats, or worse in its areas of control.
  • model Kimi -9.0 Hezbollah has a severe record of press restriction, including intimidation and violence against journalists, control of media outlets (al-Manar, al-Akhbar), and suppression of critical reporting in its areas of influence.
  • model gemma -9.0 Strongly restricts press freedom and controls the narrative within its spheres of influence.
  • model qwen -9.0 Hezbollah intimidates journalists, controls media outlets, and opposes independent press in its zones.
  • model gpt -8.0 Journalists and media critics face intimidation in Hezbollah-controlled environments.
  • model minimax -8.0 Hezbollah has physically attacked journalists
  • model Gemini -7.0 Hezbollah suppresses independent journalism and maintains highly controlled party-run media networks.
  • model DeepSeek -7.0 Intimidates
  • model Claude -7.0 Operates Al-Manar as a partisan outlet and pressures independent journalists.
  • prior Author baseline -5.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
• Israeli Labor Party IL Regime stance settled ↔ 4 pt +8.0
  • model DeepSeek +5.0 Accepts Zionist-democratic order with reformist intent.
  • model Kimi +7.0 Zionist party that accepts and defends Israel's foundational constitutional order.
  • prior Author baseline +8.0 Founding party of the Zionist-democratic state; pro the foundational order (re-scored to foundational-order definition).
  • model gemma +8.0 Supports the Zionist-democratic foundation of Israel.
  • model gpt +8.0 Labor is a foundational Zionist party that accepts and defends Israel’s constitutional order.
  • model minimax +8.0 Labor is a foundational Zionist party that defends Israel's existence as a Jewish-democratic state.
  • model Claude +9.0 Founding party of the state, fully committed to the Zionist-democratic order.
  • model Gemini +9.0 Defends the foundational Zionist-democratic order of Israel as its historical architect.
  • model Grok +9.0 Foundational Zionist party strongly pro the Jewish-democratic state order.
  • model qwen +9.0 Founding party that strongly defends the Zionist-democratic state.

  before · r1 grok +6.0gemini +8.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• The Democrats IL Regime stance settled ↔ 4 pt +8.0
  • model DeepSeek +5.0 Pro-Zionist-democratic order.
  • model Kimi +6.0 Zionist but critical of current government; defends democratic constitutional order.
  • prior Author baseline +7.0 Liberal-Zionist; defends the Zionist-democratic order, especially its democratic half (re-scored to foundational-order definition).
  • model gpt +7.0 It accepts Israel’s constitutional order while pushing a more egalitarian liberal Zionism.
  • model Claude +8.0 Liberal-Zionist commitment to the constitutional order.
  • model Grok +8.0 Strongly pro the democratic Zionist state order with progressive reforms.
  • model gemma +8.0 Supports the Zionist-democratic state.
  • model minimax +8.0 The Democrats defends the Zionist-democratic foundational order while championing its liberal-democratic component.
  • model qwen +8.0 Defends the Zionist-democratic state with a liberal democratic framework.
  • model Gemini +9.0 Defends the foundational Zionist-democratic constitutional order, emphasizing its democratic values.

  before · r1 grok +5.0gemini +7.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Yisrael Beiteinu IL Regime stance settled ↔ 4 pt +8.0
  • model DeepSeek +5.0 Pro-Zionist order.
  • model Kimi +7.0 Zionist nationalist; defends Israel's foundational order.
  • model minimax +7.0 Yisrael Beiteinu is firmly pro-Zionist-Jewish order; defends the foundational character of the state.
  • prior Author baseline +8.0 Staunchly Zionist nationalist; pro the foundational order (re-scored to foundational-order definition).
  • model Claude +8.0 Strongly Zionist and loyal to the state order.
  • model Grok +8.0 Strongly pro Jewish state order with secular nationalist character.
  • model Gemini +9.0 Fiercely defends the foundational Zionist constitutional order of the state.
  • model gemma +9.0 Strongly supports the Zionist state.
  • model gpt +9.0 It strongly defends a Jewish-Zionist state order.
  • model qwen +9.0 Strongly defends the Zionist-democratic state with a strict national definition.

  before · r1 grok +7.0gemini +9.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• New Hope IL State & religion provisional ↔ 4 pt +4.0
  • model Claude +2.0 ⛓ grounded Israel as "the nation state of the Jewish people and a democratic state" — centre-right, lightly traditional.
  • prior Author baseline +6.0 Baseline estimate for newly-added 25th-Knesset party.
• Noam IL Gender equality provisional ↔ 4 pt -8.0
  • prior Author baseline -10.0 Baseline estimate for newly-added 25th-Knesset party.
  • model Claude -6.0 ⛓ grounded Patriarchal, family-traditional definition of peoplehood.
• Islamic Salvation Front DZ Gender equality settled ↔ 4 pt -9.0
  • model Gemini -10.0 The FIS advocates for a strict patriarchal social order and opposes modern concepts of gender equality.
  • model Kimi -9.0 Extremely patriarchal; sought to roll back women's rights.
  • model Grok -9.0 Traditional patriarchal positions on women's roles, dress, inheritance, and public participation per strict Sharia.
  • model DeepSeek -9.0 FIS explicitly advocates traditional gender roles and opposed equal rights reforms.
  • model gemma -9.0 Strongly adheres to patriarchal traditionalism based on a strict reading of Sharia.
  • model qwen -9.0 Strongly patriarchal; opposed gender equality in personal status laws.
  • model minimax -8.0 FIS explicitly endorsed conservative gender roles
  • model Claude -6.0 ⛓ grounded 2× rounds Traditionalist: preserve "the dignity of woman" via her religion and honour, at home and in employment.
• Hadash-Ta'al IL Social settled ↔ 4 pt +6.0
  • model Gemini +4.0 Leans progressive due to Hadash's influence but balances with Ta'al's more traditional Arab constituency.
  • model Grok +5.0 Mixed secular and nationalist; supports personal freedoms with some conservative social leanings.
  • model Kimi +5.0 Mixed positions from secular communist and Arab nationalist traditions.
  • model minimax +5.0 Both parties are secular but Ta'al's Palestinian-citizen base is more socially conservative than Hadash's Jewish secular base, pulling the score down slightly.
  • model DeepSeek +6.0 Socially liberal.
  • model gemma +6.0 Generally permissive
  • model gpt +6.0 The alliance leaned secular-liberal overall, though Ta’al is more community-pragmatic than ideological.
  • model qwen +7.0 Secular and relatively progressive on social issues.
  • model Claude +8.0 ⛓ grounded 2× rounds Left-liberal: equality, LGBT recognition, anti-discrimination.
• Hezbollah LB Social settled ↔ 3 pt -8.0
  • model Grok -9.0 2× rounds Hezbollah imposes strict authoritarian social control in its territories especially on women and dissenters.
  • model gemma -9.0 2× rounds Strongly enforces strict Islamic social authority.
  • re-coder Re-coder C -8.0 Second-pass coder C — rubric-anchored re-read on the social axis; magnitude follows the primary reading with independent judgment calls on the governance axes.
  • model Gemini -8.0 2× rounds Hezbollah enforces strict religious authority and collective moral codes over individual social expression.
  • model DeepSeek -8.0 2× rounds Enforces strict social conservatism; opposes LGBTQ+ rights and moral libertinism.
  • model qwen -8.0 2× rounds Highly authoritarian social control.
  • model Claude -8.0 2× rounds Imposes conservative religious-authoritarian social order.
  • model gpt -8.0 Its social doctrine is strongly conservative and religiously communitarian.
  • prior Author baseline -7.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi -7.0 2× rounds Hezbollah is an Islamist party that enforces strict traditional moral authority in its areas, opposing LGBTQ+ rights, individual expression, and personal freedoms in favor of religious collective norms.
  • model minimax -7.0 2× rounds Hezbollah projects a conservative religious-social model.
  • model mistral -7.0 Hezbollah strongly supports authority in social policies.
  • re-coder Re-coder B -6.0 Second-pass coder B — rubric-anchored re-read on the social axis; extreme magnitudes tempered slightly toward the rubric mid-anchors.
• Kataeb Party LB Economic settled ↔ 3 pt +5.0
  • prior Author baseline +3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Claude +4.0 Center-right and broadly free-market in orientation.
  • model qwen +4.0 Kataeb favors market-oriented reforms and reducing state corruption, though implementation remains theoretical.
  • model Grok +5.0 Center-right orientation favoring market mechanisms, private enterprise, and anti-clientelist reforms over heavy state allocation.
  • model Kimi +5.0 Kataeb supports free enterprise, individualism, and market mechanisms; its platform emphasizes a strong and free economy, aligning with center-right economic liberalism.
  • model DeepSeek +5.0 Pro-market; advocates for economic liberalization and anti-corruption.
  • model Gemini +6.0 Kataeb strongly supports a free-market economy, private enterprise, and economic liberalization.
  • model gemma +6.0 Strongly favors market mechanisms and economic liberalism.
  • model gpt +6.0 It leans Christian-democratic and pro-private-sector on economic policy.
  • model minimax +6.0 Kataeb is classically liberal on economic policy
• Tagammu Party EG Economic settled ↔ 3 pt -7.0
  • model gemma -9.0 Strongly favors state allocation and socialist economic policies.
  • model Gemini -8.0 As a socialist party, it strongly favors state allocation, public sector expansion, and central economic planning over free markets.
  • model gpt -8.0 It is a socialist-left party favoring state intervention and redistribution.
  • model minimax -8.0 Leftist/Nasserist party; strongly statist with socialist economic heritage.
  • prior Author baseline -7.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi -7.0 Strongly statist; calls for nationalization of major industries, redistribution of wealth, and opposes privatization.
  • model Claude -7.0 Socialist statism favoring state allocation and public sector.
  • model Grok -7.0 Nasserist-left platform demands nationalization of major industries, wealth redistribution, strong state economic role, and reversal of privatization.
  • model qwen -7.0 Leftist party advocating for state allocation, nationalization, and welfare.
  • model DeepSeek -6.0 Leftist party; favors state allocation and public ownership.
• Yesh Atid IL Economic settled ↔ 3 pt +4.0
  • prior Author baseline +3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model gpt +3.0 Yesh Atid is centrist and market-friendly with middle-class public-service commitments.
  • model Claude +4.0 Market-oriented middle-class centrism.
  • model Grok +4.0 Pro-market with social safety nets and anti-monopoly focus.
  • model Kimi +4.0 Centrist liberal; favors market economy with social safety net.
  • model minimax +4.0 Yesh Atid is a centrist pro-market party favoring competition and reducing state regulation.
  • model Gemini +5.0 Promotes a liberal, market-oriented capitalist economy with a focus on the high-tech sector.
  • model DeepSeek +6.0 Pro-market liberal.
  • model gemma +6.0 Strongly pro-market and economically liberal.
  • model qwen +6.0 Favors market mechanisms and high-tech driven economic growth.

  before · r1 grok +3.0gemini +6.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Yesh Atid IL Social settled ↔ 3 pt +7.0
  • prior Author baseline +5.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Claude +7.0 Secular and socially liberal.
  • model Grok +7.0 Libertarian on personal freedoms LGBTQ rights and secular lifestyle.
  • model DeepSeek +7.0 Socially liberal.
  • model Kimi +7.0 Secular liberal; strongly supports LGBTQ+ rights and social freedoms.
  • model qwen +7.0 Strongly libertarian and permissive on social issues, advocating for civil marriage.
  • model Gemini +8.0 Promotes permissive social values, individual expression, and full LGBTQ+ rights.
  • model gemma +8.0 Very permissive and socially liberal.
  • model gpt +8.0 Yesh Atid is socially liberal and secular on lifestyle issues.
  • model minimax +8.0 Yesh Atid is firmly socially libertarian: strongly supports LGBTQ+ rights and individual freedoms.

  before · r1 grok +6.0gemini +8.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Religious Zionism Party IL Social settled ↔ 3 pt -8.0
  • model Claude -9.0 Religious moral authority over personal life.
  • model qwen -9.0 Extreme authority on social issues, opposing LGBTQ+ rights and personal freedoms.
  • prior Author baseline -8.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Gemini -8.0 Enforces religious moral authority based on Orthodox Judaism and strongly opposes LGBTQ+ rights.
  • model DeepSeek -8.0 Ultra-conservative.
  • model Kimi -8.0 Extremely traditionalist; opposes LGBTQ+ rights and liberal social freedoms.
  • model gemma -8.0 Strongly favors religious moral authority.
  • model gpt -8.0 It favors traditional religious authority over permissive lifestyle freedoms.
  • model minimax -8.0 Religious Zionism is highly socially conservative: rejects LGBTQ+ rights, secular lifestyles, and individual moral autonomy.
  • model Grok -6.0 Religious traditional authority on social and moral issues.

  before · r1 gemini -9.0grok -8.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Hamas PS Social settled ↔ 3 pt -8.0
  • model Gemini -9.0 2× rounds Enforces conservative Islamic moral authority and traditional social codes within public life.
  • model Grok -9.0 2× rounds Hamas imposes rigorous traditional Islamist moral codes that severely restrict personal, social, and lifestyle liberties.
  • model DeepSeek -9.0 2× rounds Hamas enforces strict traditional moral authority, criminalizing LGBTQ+ rights and restricting personal expression.
  • model gemma -9.0 2× rounds Strongly imposes social authority based on religious law.
  • re-coder Re-coder C -8.0 Second-pass coder C — rubric-anchored re-read on the social axis; magnitude follows the primary reading with independent judgment calls on the governance axes.
  • model qwen -8.0 2× rounds Authoritarian social control based on Sharia.
  • model minimax -8.0 2× rounds Hamas promotes a conservative religious-social order.
  • model gpt -8.0 Its Islamist moral program prioritizes collective religious authority over lifestyle liberty.
  • prior Author baseline -7.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi -7.0 2× rounds Hamas enforces strict Islamic social norms in Gaza, suppresses LGBTQ+ rights, restricts personal freedoms, and imposes traditional collective moral authority through its governance and police power.
  • model mistral -7.0 Hamas strongly supports authority in social policies.
  • model Claude -7.0 2× rounds Imposes a conservative religious-authoritarian order.
  • re-coder Re-coder B -6.0 Second-pass coder B — rubric-anchored re-read on the social axis; extreme magnitudes tempered slightly toward the rubric mid-anchors.
• Palestinian People's Party PS Economic settled ↔ 3 pt -8.0
  • model minimax -9.0 PPP is a communist party advocating a planned socialist economy and extensive state ownership.
  • model Gemini -8.0 Functions as a communist successor party, strongly favoring statist economic allocation, labor rights, and public welfare.
  • model Grok -8.0 PPP remains committed to Marxist principles favoring extensive state control, planning, and redistribution over market mechanisms.
  • model Kimi -8.0 PPP is a communist party that explicitly favors state allocation, socialist economics, and collective ownership over market mechanisms; this is core to its ideological identity.
  • model gpt -8.0 Its socialist-left program favors redistribution and public ownership over market allocation.
  • model qwen -8.0 Evolved from the Communist Party, maintaining strong socialist and statist economic views.
  • prior Author baseline -6.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model DeepSeek -6.0 PPP is a communist party, strongly favoring state allocation and socialist economics.
  • model gemma -6.0 Favors socialist economic planning and state-led development.
  • model Claude -6.0 Communist legacy favoring state allocation, now softened toward social democracy.
• Ta'al IL Social settled ↔ 3 pt +4.0
  • prior Author baseline +2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Gemini +2.0 Maintains a generally secular orientation but remains moderate to accommodate traditional voters.
  • model gemma +3.0 More permissive than Ra'am but less than Hadash.
  • model Claude +4.0 Secular and moderately liberal.
  • model Grok +4.0 Secular nationalist lean supports personal freedoms with Arab cultural context.
  • model Kimi +4.0 Secular but traditional Arab society influences; moderate on social freedoms.
  • model gpt +4.0 Ta’al is secular-pragmatic but attentive to conservative Arab community norms.
  • model minimax +4.0 Ta'al is secular and broadly permissive on social freedoms though its base includes socially conservative Palestinian citizens.
  • model DeepSeek +5.0 Secular and permissive.
  • model qwen +5.0 Secular and relatively progressive on social issues.

  before · r1 gemini +0.0grok +5.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Balad IL Economic settled ↔ 3 pt -4.0
  • model Kimi -6.0 Social-democratic platform favoring state intervention and social justice.
  • model gemma -6.0 Favors state intervention and socialist economic policies.
  • model gpt -5.0 Balad is broadly left-nationalist and favors social protection over market-first allocation.
  • model qwen -5.0 Left-leaning with socialist tendencies, favoring state allocation for welfare.
  • model Claude -4.0 Social-democratic orientation favoring redistribution and state provision for the Arab minority.
  • model Gemini -4.0 Favors social-democratic economic policies and state-backed equality for marginalized communities.
  • model Grok -4.0 Left-nationalist orientation favors state intervention and welfare for equality over pure markets.
  • model DeepSeek -4.0 Left-leaning with some statist economic preferences but not fully anti-market.
  • prior Author baseline -3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model minimax -3.0 Balad leans toward state intervention to address Arab-Israeli socioeconomic gaps without a strongly statist socialist program.

  before · r1 grok -6.0gemini -5.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Balad IL Social settled ↔ 3 pt +5.0
  • model Gemini +3.0 Holds a moderately secular outlook while remaining sensitive to its conservative voter base.
  • prior Author baseline +4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok +4.0 Secular nationalist supports personal and lifestyle freedoms more than religious authority.
  • model gemma +4.0 Generally secular and permissive in social outlook.
  • model Claude +5.0 Secular party with relatively permissive social positions.
  • model DeepSeek +5.0 Secular and permissive on social issues typical of Arab leftist milieu.
  • model Kimi +5.0 Mixed: supports minority rights and some social freedoms, but traditional Palestinian society influences positions.
  • model gpt +5.0 Balad is secular and civil-rights oriented, though rooted in a conservative Arab society.
  • model minimax +5.0 Balad is secular and socially permissive relative to religious Arab parties, supportive of individual expression within a secular framework.
  • model qwen +6.0 Secular and relatively libertarian compared to religious parties.

  before · r1 gemini +3.0grok +4.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Shas IL Social settled ↔ 3 pt -8.5
  • model gemma -10.0 Absolute commitment to traditional religious moral authority.
  • model Claude -9.0 Strong religious moral authority over personal life.
  • model Gemini -9.0 Upholds absolute Torah authority over personal morality and strictly opposes LGBTQ+ rights.
  • model Kimi -9.0 Extremely traditionalist Haredi social values; opposes LGBTQ+ and liberal social freedoms.
  • model qwen -9.0 Extreme authority on social issues, enforcing traditional collective moral authority.
  • model DeepSeek -8.0 Ultra-conservative on social issues.
  • model gpt -8.0 Shas is deeply socially conservative and religious-authority oriented.
  • model minimax -8.0 Shas is firmly socially conservative: opposes LGBTQ+ rights, secular lifestyle, and individual moral autonomy.
  • prior Author baseline -7.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok -7.0 Strong religious moral authority on lifestyle and social issues.

  before · r1 gemini -9.0grok -8.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• United Torah Judaism IL Social settled ↔ 3 pt -9.0
  • model gemma -10.0 Absolute adherence to religious moral authority.
  • model qwen -10.0 Extreme authority on social issues, enforcing strict traditional collective moral authority.
  • model Claude -9.0 Strong religious moral authority over personal life.
  • model Gemini -9.0 Upholds absolute collective religious authority and opposes secular social or individual freedoms.
  • model Grok -9.0 Extreme religious authority on all social moral and lifestyle matters.
  • model DeepSeek -9.0 Ultra-conservative.
  • model Kimi -9.0 Extremely traditionalist Haredi; opposes all liberal social freedoms.
  • model gpt -9.0 UTJ is highly traditionalist on lifestyle, sexuality, and communal moral authority.
  • model minimax -9.0 UTJ is at the most socially conservative pole: opposes LGBTQ+ rights, secular lifestyle, and individual moral autonomy.
  • prior Author baseline -7.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.

  before · r1 gemini -10.0grok -9.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Hezbollah LB Civil liberties settled ↔ 3 pt -8.0
  • model Grok -8.0 De facto territorial control involves monitoring and suppressing dissent, social pressure on critics, and parallel security structures limiting free expression and association.
  • model Kimi -8.0 Hezbollah has a well-documented record of restricting civil liberties in areas under its control, including suppressing dissent, intimidating critics, and controlling media; its armed wing operates outside state authority.
  • model gemma -8.0 Record of severely restricting dissent and association in areas under its control.
  • model gpt -8.0 Its coercive power and treatment of critics sharply restrict dissent in areas it dominates.
  • model minimax -8.0 Hezbollah operates a parallel security apparatus
  • model qwen -8.0 Hezbollah actively suppresses dissent in areas it controls and opposes liberal civil liberties.
  • model Gemini -7.0 Hezbollah strictly restricts civil dissent and political opposition within its areas of influence.
  • model DeepSeek -7.0 Restricts speech critical of its weapons and allies; intimidates journalists and opponents.
  • model Claude -7.0 Suppresses dissent and intimidates critics and journalists in its areas of control.
  • prior Author baseline -5.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
• Freedom and Justice Party EG Palestinian question settled ↔ 3 pt +9.0
  • model mistral +7.0 The party supports Palestinian rights and causes.
  • model Kimi +8.0 2× rounds Strongly pro-Palestinian; called Camp David Accords a mark of shame; supports Hamas and Palestinian resistance.
  • model DeepSeek +8.0 2× rounds Strong pro-Palestinian stance; supports resistance but less maximalist than hardliners.
  • prior Author baseline +9.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • re-coder Re-coder B +9.0 Second-pass coder B — rubric-anchored re-read on the palestinian-question axis; extreme magnitudes tempered slightly toward the rubric mid-anchors.
  • re-coder Re-coder C +9.0 Second-pass coder C — rubric-anchored re-read on the palestinian-question axis; magnitude follows the primary reading with independent judgment calls on the governance axes.
  • model Grok +9.0 2× rounds The Muslim Brotherhood has deep ties to Hamas and pushes hardline pro-Palestinian anti-Israel stance as core ideology.
  • model Claude +9.0 2× rounds Strongly pro-Palestinian with ideological ties to Hamas.
  • model qwen +9.0 2× rounds Strongly pro-Palestinian as part of Muslim Brotherhood ideology.
  • model minimax +9.0 2× rounds FJP as the Brotherhood's party is strongly pro-Palestinian
  • model gpt +9.0 It strongly supports Palestinian rights and had ideological sympathy for Hamas.
  • model Gemini +10.0 2× rounds As the political wing of the Muslim Brotherhood, it is deeply committed to the Palestinian cause and ideologically aligned with Hamas.
  • model gemma +10.0 2× rounds Unwavering support for Palestinian rights and resistance.
• Nour Party EG State & religion settled ↔ 3 pt -9.0
  • model gpt -10.0 It explicitly supports Sharia-centered law and religious authority in the state.
  • prior Author baseline -9.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi -9.0 Explicitly seeks religious state with Sharia as main source of legislation; theocratic governance model.
  • model Claude -9.0 Seeks sharia as the basis of state and law.
  • model Gemini -9.0 2× rounds It seeks the absolute authority of Islamic law (Sharia) over all state legislation and legal frameworks.
  • model DeepSeek -9.0 Demands full implementation of Sharia as state law.
  • model gemma -9.0 Advocates for a state heavily governed by religious authority.
  • model qwen -9.0 Demands the strict implementation of Sharia and religious authority in all state matters.
  • model Grok -8.0 Core Salafi platform demands Sharia as main source and regulative framework for all state legislation, policy, and social order.
  • model minimax -7.0 Prefers religious-state framework referencing sharia but accepts Egyptian civil-state pragmatism post-2013.
• Nour Party EG Civil liberties settled ↔ 3 pt -6.5
  • prior Author baseline -7.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Gemini -7.0 Its ultraconservative Salafi ideology favors restricting civil liberties to ensure strict adherence to Islamic moral codes.
  • model gemma -7.0 Opposes liberties that conflict with religious norms or state stability.
  • model gpt -7.0 Its Salafi ideology and pro-regime conduct favor restricting dissent and moral expression.
  • model qwen -7.0 Salafi ideology restricts freedoms that contradict Islamic principles.
  • model Kimi -6.0 Ultra-conservative Salafi party supports restricting civil liberties to conform with strict Islamic moral codes.
  • model Claude -6.0 Salafi program favors restricting speech and association on moral grounds.
  • model DeepSeek -6.0 Opposes freedoms that violate Islamic law; supports restrictions.
  • model minimax -6.0 Conservative platform; supports restrictions on speech/behavior contrary to Islamic norms.
  • model Grok -4.0 As regime-supporting party has backed security-driven restrictions on rivals and broader civil society space.
• Tagammu Party EG Palestinian question settled ↔ 3 pt +8.5
  • prior Author baseline +7.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok +7.0 Strong support for Palestinian rights rooted in Arab nationalist and anti-imperialist tradition.
  • model Kimi +8.0 Strongly pro-Palestinian; rejects American and Israeli imperialism; solidaristic with Palestinian resistance.
  • model Claude +8.0 Strongly pro-Palestinian leftist solidarity.
  • model DeepSeek +8.0 Strongly pro-Palestinian; leftist solidarity tradition.
  • model gpt +9.0 It strongly supports Palestinian rights and anti-occupation politics.
  • model qwen +9.0 Strongly pro-Palestinian, rooted in anti-Zionist and leftist solidarity.
  • model Gemini +10.0 True to its leftist and Nasserist roots, it is fiercely dedicated to the Palestinian national cause.
  • model gemma +10.0 Maximalist support for Palestinian liberation and rights.
  • model minimax +10.0 Unambiguously and militantly pro-Palestinian; Nasserist core identity tied to Palestinian cause.
• Free Egyptians Party EG West alignment settled ↔ 3 pt +7.0
  • prior Author baseline +5.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +6.0 Liberal party with strong Western orientation, part of Al Hurriya Liberal Network, favors Western partnerships.
  • model Claude +6.0 Pro-Western strategic and economic orientation.
  • model gpt +6.0 It is strategically comfortable with Western economic and security partnership.
  • model Gemini +7.0 It favors strong strategic, military, and economic alignment with Western nations and global market integration.
  • model Grok +7.0 Business-oriented liberal party strongly favors strategic Western economic partnerships, trade, and cooperation.
  • model DeepSeek +7.0 Strongly pro-Western; advocates close strategic ties with US and EU.
  • model gemma +7.0 Strongly aligned with Western strategic and economic partnerships.
  • model minimax +7.0 Strongly pro-Western strategically and economically.
  • model qwen +8.0 Strategically aligned with the US and EU for military and economic support.
• Egyptian Social Democratic Party EG Civil liberties settled ↔ 3 pt +7.0
  • model minimax +5.0 Platform emphasizes personal freedoms
  • prior Author baseline +6.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +6.0 Party platform explicitly advocates for expanding civil liberties, free speech, and press freedom.
  • model Grok +7.0 Secular liberal-social democratic platform explicitly calls for expanded civil liberties, free expression, and protection of dissent and association.
  • model Claude +7.0 Liberal platform championing speech, association and dissent; never held executive power.
  • model Gemini +7.0 As a social-democratic and liberal-leaning party, it consistently advocates for the expansion of civil liberties and human rights.
  • model DeepSeek +7.0 Explicitly champions civil liberties and has opposed curbs on protests and press in its official platform.
  • model gemma +7.0 Platform explicitly advocates for the expansion of civil liberties and human rights.
  • model gpt +7.0 It presents itself as a civic opposition party defending speech, association, and protest rights.
  • model qwen +8.0 Liberal party advocating for expanded speech and association rights.
• Yesh Atid IL State & religion settled ↔ 3 pt +7.5
  • prior Author baseline +6.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +6.0 2× rounds Secular; supports separation of religion and state.
  • model DeepSeek +7.0 2× rounds Strongly secularist.
  • model mistral +7.0 Yesh Atid strongly supports a secular state.
  • model Grok +8.0 2× rounds Yesh Atid is a secular party fighting against religious parties' control over personal status and public life.
  • model Claude +8.0 2× rounds Separation of religion and state is a core platform plank.
  • model Gemini +8.0 2× rounds Advocates for a secular state approach and a significant reduction in religious coercion.
  • model qwen +8.0 2× rounds Strongly secular, advocates separation of religion and state.
  • model gpt +8.0 It strongly supports reducing religious coercion and expanding civil state authority.
  • model minimax +9.0 2× rounds Yesh Atid is an explicitly secular party advocating separation of religion and state.
  • model gemma +9.0 2× rounds Strongly advocates for a secular state.

  before · r1 grok +7.0gemini +8.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Yesh Atid IL Liberal democracy settled ↔ 3 pt +8.0
  • prior Author baseline +6.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok +7.0 Led opposition to judicial reform; strong commitment to liberal checks and institutions.
  • model Kimi +7.0 Strong supporter of liberal democracy and judicial independence; opposed judicial overhaul.
  • model gpt +7.0 It strongly opposed judicial overhaul and supports courts, checks, and free elections.
  • model Claude +8.0 Strong commitment to liberal-democratic checks.
  • model DeepSeek +8.0 Strongly liberal-democratic.
  • model minimax +8.0 Yesh Atid strongly committed to liberal-democratic checks, judicial independence, and minority rights.
  • model qwen +8.0 Strong commitment to liberal democracy, evidenced by leading the anti-judicial overhaul protests.
  • model Gemini +9.0 Maintains a premier commitment to liberal democracy, independent courts, and institutional checks.
  • model gemma +9.0 Strong defender of liberal-democratic checks and balances.

  before · r1 grok +8.0gemini +9.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Religious Zionism Party IL State & religion settled ↔ 3 pt -9.0
  • prior Author baseline -9.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Claude -9.0 Seeks to entrench Jewish religious law in the state.
  • model DeepSeek -9.0 Wants religious halakha in state.
  • model Kimi -9.0 Advocates Jewish religious authority in state and law; theocratic orientation.
  • model gemma -9.0 Wants the state to be guided by Jewish law.
  • model gpt -9.0 It seeks a much stronger role for Jewish law and rabbinic authority in the state.
  • model minimax -9.0 Religious Zionism seeks a halachic state with rabbinic authority over law.
  • model qwen -9.0 Strongly advocates for religious authority and Halacha in state and law.
  • model Gemini -8.0 Rejects the separation of religion and state, advocating for legislation rooted in Torah law.
  • model Grok -6.0 Strongly advocates Jewish religious law influence in state and public life.

  before · r1 gemini -9.0grok -8.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Hadash IL Liberal democracy settled ↔ 3 pt +7.0
  • re-coder Re-coder B +6.0 Second-pass coder B — rubric-anchored re-read on the democracy axis; extreme magnitudes tempered slightly toward the rubric mid-anchors.
  • model Grok +6.0 2× rounds Hadash commits to democratic values while highlighting Israel's democratic deficits regarding its Arab citizens.
  • prior Author baseline +7.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • re-coder Re-coder C +7.0 Second-pass coder C — rubric-anchored re-read on the democracy axis; magnitude follows the primary reading with independent judgment calls on the governance axes.
  • model Claude +7.0 2× rounds Defends liberal-democratic checks and minority rights from opposition.
  • model DeepSeek +7.0 2× rounds Strongly democratic but with Marxist qualifiers on class.
  • model Kimi +7.0 2× rounds Supports liberal democracy and civil rights, but anti-Zionist stance creates tension with Israeli constitutional order.
  • model minimax +8.0 2× rounds Hadash is committed to liberal-democratic norms and equality for all citizens.
  • model gpt +8.0 Hadash has a strong record defending courts, opposition rights, and minority protections.
  • model Gemini +9.0 2× rounds Advocates for robust liberal-democratic checks, independent courts, and minority rights protections.
  • model qwen +9.0 2× rounds Committed to liberal democracy within binational framework.
  • model mistral +9.0 Hadash is a strong advocate for liberal democracy.
  • model gemma +9.0 2× rounds Deeply committed to liberal democratic values and equality.

  before · r1 grok +7.0gemini +9.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Ta'al IL Civil liberties settled ↔ 3 pt +7.0
  • prior Author baseline +5.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model minimax +5.0 Ta'al is a secular Arab-nationalist party that defends civil liberties and minority rights.
  • model Grok +6.0 Strong advocate for expanding Arab civil liberties and protest rights.
  • model gemma +6.0 Defends civil rights for Arab citizens.
  • model Claude +7.0 Advocates expanding civil and minority rights.
  • model Gemini +7.0 Supports the expansion of civil liberties and robust protections against state discrimination.
  • model DeepSeek +7.0 Pro-civil liberties.
  • model Kimi +7.0 Secular Arab nationalist; supports civil liberties and minority rights.
  • model qwen +7.0 Strong advocate for civil liberties and minority rights for Arab citizens.
  • model gpt +8.0 Ta’al strongly defends Arab citizens’ speech, protest, and association rights.

  before · r1 gemini +7.0grok +7.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Balad IL State & religion settled ↔ 3 pt +7.0
  • prior Author baseline +6.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok +6.0 Advocates secular state with separation of religion from law and governance.
  • model DeepSeek +7.0 Strongly secular and advocates separation of religion and state.
  • model Kimi +7.0 Advocates secular state without religious hierarchy, though party members include religious Palestinians.
  • model gemma +7.0 Advocates for a secular state and separation of religion.
  • model gpt +7.0 Balad favors a secular civic state rather than religious law in state institutions.
  • model Claude +8.0 ⛓ grounded 2× rounds "A state of all its citizens," against Israel's self-definition as a Jewish state — strongly secular-civic.
  • model Gemini +8.0 Supports the separation of religious institutions from state law and public administration.
  • model minimax +8.0 Balad is strongly secular and opposed to religious authority in state affairs.
  • model qwen +9.0 Strongly secular and opposes religious control over state affairs.

  before · r1 grok +7.0gemini +8.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• The Democrats IL State & religion settled ↔ 3 pt +7.5
  • model Grok +6.0 Strongly secular wants reduced religious coercion in public sphere.
  • model DeepSeek +6.0 Secular.
  • model Kimi +6.0 Secular; supports separation of religion and state.
  • prior Author baseline +7.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model gemma +7.0 Supports a secular approach to state law.
  • model Claude +8.0 Favors strong separation of religion and state.
  • model minimax +8.0 The Democrats strongly favor separation of religion from state, opposed to religious-coalition pressures.
  • model qwen +8.0 Strongly supports separation of religion from state and civil marriage.
  • model Gemini +9.0 Demands the comprehensive separation of religion from state institutions and public law.
  • model gpt +9.0 It strongly favors separation of religion from state and civil equality.

  before · r1 grok +7.0gemini +10.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• The Democrats IL West alignment settled ↔ 3 pt +8.0
  • prior Author baseline +6.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok +7.0 Pro-Western democratic alliance with emphasis on shared liberal values.
  • model DeepSeek +7.0 Pro-Western.
  • model Kimi +7.0 Pro-Western; supports US and EU alliance but critical of some Western policies on Israel.
  • model Claude +8.0 Firmly aligned with the West.
  • model gpt +8.0 It is strategically pro-Western and aligned with liberal US-EU diplomacy.
  • model Gemini +9.0 Strongly supports deep strategic, economic, and security alignment with Western democracies.
  • model gemma +9.0 Strongly aligned with Western strategic interests.
  • model minimax +9.0 The Democrats is firmly pro-Western strategically, anchored in US-Israel and EU-Israel relations.
  • model qwen +9.0 Strongly pro-Western strategically and culturally.

  before · r1 gemini +8.0grok +8.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• The Democrats IL Civil liberties settled ↔ 3 pt +8.0
  • model DeepSeek +6.0 2× rounds Pro-civil liberties.
  • model mistral +6.0 The Democrats support expanding civil liberties.
  • prior Author baseline +7.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok +7.0 2× rounds As a center-left party The Democrats advocates expanding civil liberties and minority rights in Israel.
  • model Kimi +8.0 2× rounds Meretz heritage strongly supports civil liberties; Golan has defended democratic norms.
  • model qwen +8.0 2× rounds Centrist-liberal, supports civil liberties.
  • model minimax +8.0 2× rounds The Democrats is a centrist liberal party that strongly supports expanding civil liberties.
  • model gemma +8.0 2× rounds Strongly supports the expansion of civil liberties.
  • model Claude +9.0 2× rounds Strong civil-libertarian platform from its Meretz-Labor heritage.
  • model Gemini +9.0 2× rounds Strongly advocates for expanding civil liberties, free speech, and human rights protections.
  • model gpt +9.0 The party strongly prioritizes protest rights, minority rights, and civil liberties.

  before · r1 grok +8.0gemini +10.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Shas IL State & religion settled ↔ 3 pt -9.0
  • model gemma -10.0 Strongly advocates for theocratic elements in law.
  • model qwen -10.0 Strongly advocates for religious authority and Halacha in state and law.
  • model Claude -9.0 Seeks Halachic authority in state and law.
  • model Gemini -9.0 Vigorously opposes the separation of religion and state, championing Orthodox rabbinical authority.
  • model DeepSeek -9.0 Wants religious law and authority.
  • model Kimi -9.0 Advocates strong Jewish religious authority in state and law.
  • model gpt -9.0 Shas strongly supports religious law and rabbinic authority in public life.
  • model minimax -9.0 Shas strongly supports religious authority in state and law, especially halachic Jewish frameworks.
  • prior Author baseline -8.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok -7.0 Strongly pushes for religious (Jewish) authority in state law personal status and education.

  before · r1 gemini -10.0grok -8.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Yisrael Beiteinu IL Liberal democracy settled ↔ 3 pt +2.5
  • prior Author baseline +1.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model gpt +1.0 It supports secular institutions but has a nationalist record that limits minority-rights liberalism.
  • model Claude +2.0 Backs democracy but has pushed loyalty oaths and anti-Arab measures.
  • model gemma +2.0 Operates within democracy
  • model minimax +2.0 Yisrael Beiteinu supports democracy in form but pushes ethno-nationalist loyalty-oath policies that constrain liberal-democratic norms.
  • model DeepSeek +3.0 Nationalist but generally democratic.
  • model Kimi +3.0 Supports democratic form but nationalist priorities override some liberal checks.
  • model Gemini +4.0 Opposes Netanyahu's judicial overhaul but historically favored limiting judicial checks on security matters.
  • model Grok +4.0 Supports Jewish democracy; critical of Haredi and Arab influences on secular character.
  • model qwen +4.0 Supports democratic institutions but has a nationalist, authoritarian streak on security.

  before · r1 gemini -3.0grok +6.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Yisrael Beiteinu IL Palestinian question settled ↔ 3 pt -7.0
  • model gemma -9.0 Strongly opposed to Palestinian statehood.
  • model Claude -8.0 Hawkish, including population-transfer proposals, opposing Palestinian rights.
  • model gpt -8.0 It is hawkish and favors population-exchange or separation schemes hostile to Palestinian national claims.
  • model minimax -8.0 Yisrael Beiteinu strongly opposes Palestinian statehood and advocates population exchange/transfer of Arab areas.
  • model Gemini -7.0 Opposes a sovereign Palestinian state and proposes controversial population and land swaps.
  • model Kimi -7.0 Hardline; supports territorial exchange (Liberman Plan) and opposes Palestinian statehood.
  • prior Author baseline -6.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok -6.0 Opposes Palestinian state; supports separation or strong control measures.
  • model DeepSeek -6.0 Hawkish; opposes Palestinian statehood.
  • model qwen -6.0 Opposes Palestinian statehood and advocates for population swaps.

  before · r1 gemini -9.0grok -6.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• National Unity IL West alignment settled ↔ 3 pt +8.5
  • prior Author baseline +6.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model DeepSeek +7.0 Pro-Western strategic.
  • model Kimi +7.0 Pro-Western; military cooperation with US central to security doctrine.
  • model Grok +8.0 Pro-Western strategic alliance for defense and diplomacy.
  • model Claude +8.0 Strongly pro-Western and pro-US.
  • model Gemini +9.0 Deeply committed to Israel's strategic and military alliance with the West.
  • model gemma +9.0 Strong strategic alignment with the West.
  • model gpt +9.0 National Unity is firmly aligned with the US and Western security architecture.
  • model minimax +9.0 National Unity is strongly pro-Western strategically, with deep US and EU security cooperation.
  • model qwen +9.0 Strongly pro-Western strategically and diplomatically.

  before · r1 gemini +9.0grok +9.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• National Unity IL Civil liberties settled ↔ 3 pt +4.0
  • prior Author baseline +3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model minimax +3.0 National Unity is broadly pro-civil-liberties but joined a Likud-led wartime government; mildly liberal record.
  • model Grok +4.0 Moderate support for liberties balanced with strong security priorities.
  • model Kimi +4.0 Supports civil liberties but security-first approach leads to restrictions.
  • model gpt +4.0 National Unity is institutionally liberal at home but security-hawkish toward Palestinians.
  • model qwen +4.0 Moderate on civil liberties, balancing security concerns with democratic norms.
  • model Claude +5.0 Liberal-centrist on civil liberties.
  • model DeepSeek +5.0 Moderate liberal on civil liberties.
  • model Gemini +6.0 Supports the protection and moderate expansion of civil liberties and free expression.
  • model gemma +6.0 Generally supportive of civil liberties.

  before · r1 gemini +4.0grok +6.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Otzma Yehudit IL Liberal democracy settled ↔ 3 pt -8.0
  • model Gemini -9.0 Openly seeks to dismantle liberal-democratic checks, judicial independence, and minority rights.
  • model gemma -9.0 Rejects liberal checks in favor of ethnic supremacy.
  • model gpt -9.0 Its Kahanist lineage and governing conduct oppose liberal minority rights and judicial constraints.
  • model qwen -9.0 Record in office shows openly anti-liberal democratic and extremist views.
  • prior Author baseline -8.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model DeepSeek -8.0 Explicitly illiberal and ethnic-nationalist.
  • model minimax -8.0 Kahanist ideology is fundamentally anti-liberal-democratic: rejects pluralism and minority rights.
  • model Claude -7.0 ⛓ grounded 2× rounds "We will not allow our State to be destroyed in the name of democracy"; "there is no freedom of speech to incite."
  • model Kimi -7.0 Kahanist-inspired; supports Jewish supremacy over democratic equality; weak on minority rights.
  • model Grok -6.0 Prioritizes Jewish ethno-national supremacy over liberal minority rights and institutional checks.

  before · r1 gemini -9.0grok +3.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Hamas PS West alignment settled ↔ 3 pt -8.5
  • model Gemini -10.0 2× rounds Stands in total strategic hostility to Western blocs, which designate it as a terrorist organization.
  • model qwen -10.0 2× rounds Vehemently anti-Western, especially anti-US.
  • model gemma -10.0 2× rounds Strongly anti-Western.
  • model DeepSeek -9.0 2× rounds Hamas is staunchly anti-Western, rejecting US/EU diplomacy and designated as a terrorist group by Western powers.
  • model minimax -9.0 2× rounds Hamas is firmly anti-Western
  • model gpt -9.0 It is strategically hostile to US and European security alignment in the region.
  • prior Author baseline -8.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • re-coder Re-coder C -8.0 Second-pass coder C — rubric-anchored re-read on the west-alignment axis; magnitude follows the primary reading with independent judgment calls on the governance axes.
  • model Claude -8.0 ⛓ grounded 3× rounds Anti-Oslo; monetary and economic disengagement from "the Zionist entity."
  • model Grok -8.0 2× rounds Hamas maintains a fundamentally hostile strategic posture toward Western powers, viewing them as supporters of Israel and occupation.
  • model Kimi -8.0 2× rounds Hamas is explicitly anti-Western, designated as a terrorist organization by US and EU, rejects Western political and security alignment, and is a core part of the Iran-led resistance bloc.
  • model mistral -8.0 Hamas is strongly anti-Western.
  • re-coder Re-coder B -7.0 Second-pass coder B — rubric-anchored re-read on the west-alignment axis; extreme magnitudes tempered slightly toward the rubric mid-anchors.
• DFLP PS State & religion settled ↔ 3 pt +8.0
  • prior Author baseline +6.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +6.0 DFLP is explicitly secular and Marxist-Leninist, advocating for separation of religion from state and law, with Christian and Muslim members.
  • model DeepSeek +7.0 DFLP is a Marxist-Leninist secular party, firmly advocating separation of religion from state.
  • model Grok +8.0 DFLP explicitly promotes a secular state with clear separation of religion from governance and law.
  • model gemma +8.0 Strongly advocates for a secular state based on Marxist-Leninist principles.
  • model minimax +8.0 DFLP is a secular Marxist party advocating separation of religion from state.
  • model Claude +8.0 Avowedly secular Marxist movement seeking separation of religion and state.
  • model Gemini +9.0 Advocates for a secular state with the separation of religion from state institutions and legislation.
  • model gpt +9.0 It advocates a secular national movement and rejects religious law as the basis of the state.
  • model qwen +9.0 Strongly advocates for a secular state separating religion from law.
• Mubadara PS Civil liberties settled ↔ 3 pt +7.0
  • prior Author baseline +6.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +6.0 Mubadara's platform explicitly calls for freedom of political expression and organization, and it has been vocal in defending civil liberties, though it has not held power to demonstrate this in practice.
  • model DeepSeek +6.0 Mubadara (Palestinian National Initiative) advocates for democratic freedoms and civil liberties as a reformist third party.
  • model Grok +7.0 Mubadara consistently advocates for robust protection and expansion of civil liberties, human rights monitoring, and democratic space against both PA and Hamas.
  • model Claude +7.0 Democratic-reform platform centered on rights, transparency, and civil society.
  • model Gemini +8.0 Its platform strongly champions the protection and expansion of civil liberties and public freedoms.
  • model gemma +8.0 Explicitly advocates for the expansion of human and civil rights.
  • model gpt +8.0 Mubadara’s platform emphasizes nonviolence, rights, pluralism, and civic freedoms.
  • model qwen +9.0 Led by human rights activist Mustafa Barghouti, strongly advocates for civil liberties.
• Islamic Action Front JO State & religion settled ↔ 3 pt -8.0
  • model Gemini -9.0 2× rounds Advocates for the application of Sharia law and rejects the separation of religion from state matters.
  • prior Author baseline -8.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok -8.0 Core objective is to establish Sharia as the principal source of legislation and integrate religious authority into state institutions.
  • model Kimi -8.0 Wants religious authority in state and law, opposes secular separation, supports Islam as basis of legislation
  • model gemma -8.0 Seeks the integration of Sharia and religious authority into state law.
  • model gpt -8.0 It seeks a larger role for Islam and sharia principles in public law.
  • model Claude -8.0 Seeks a stronger role for Islamic law and religious authority in the state.
  • model qwen -8.0 Advocates for a greater role for Sharia in state legislation and public life.
  • model DeepSeek -7.0 Seeks Shari‘a as basis for law; rejects secular separation.
  • model minimax -6.0 Wants Islamic jurisprudence (sharia) as a principal source of legislation and greater religious guidance in public life.
• Jordanian Communist Party JO Palestinian question settled ↔ 3 pt +9.0
  • model DeepSeek +7.0 Pro-Palestinian rights and two-state solution; opposes occupation.
  • prior Author baseline +8.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok +8.0 Solidarity with Palestinian national liberation as integral to anti-imperialist struggle against Zionism and Western-backed occupation.
  • model qwen +8.0 Historically and consistently supports Palestinian self-determination and statehood.
  • model Kimi +9.0 Strongly pro-Palestinian, supports Palestinian rights and self-determination
  • model gpt +9.0 It strongly backs Palestinian self-determination and anti-occupation politics.
  • model minimax +9.0 Long-standing strong pro-Palestinian stance, aligned with PLO historically.
  • model Gemini +10.0 Unwaveringly supports Palestinian self-determination, statehood, and resistance to colonial occupation.
  • model gemma +10.0 Unwavering support for Palestinian self-determination and rights.
  • model Claude +10.0 Long-standing strong support for Palestinian rights and self-determination.
• Ennahda TN Liberal democracy settled ↔ 3 pt +4.0
  • re-coder Re-coder B +3.0 Second-pass coder B — rubric-anchored re-read on the democracy axis; extreme magnitudes tempered slightly toward the rubric mid-anchors.
  • prior Author baseline +4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok +4.0 2× rounds Ennahda demonstrated commitment to electoral democracy and constitution-drafting but its majoritarian approach and tolerance for executive overreach in coalitions limit its liberal-democratic score.
  • model DeepSeek +4.0 2× rounds Ennahda participated in democratic coalitions but has shown pragmatism that occasionally weakens liberal checks.
  • model minimax +4.0 2× rounds Ennahda in Tunisia has made notable commitments to democratic pluralism
  • model gpt +4.0 Its record in coalition was electorally democratic and compromise-oriented, though not consistently liberal on all checks and rights.
  • re-coder Re-coder C +5.0 Second-pass coder C — rubric-anchored re-read on the democracy axis; magnitude follows the primary reading with independent judgment calls on the governance axes.
  • model Claude +5.0 ⛓ grounded 3× rounds Affirms the 2014 civil constitution and the democratic transition; rejects the "Islamism" label.
  • model Kimi +5.0 2× rounds Committed to electoral democracy but internal authoritarianism and power-sharing weakened liberal checks.
  • model Gemini +6.0 2× rounds Ennahda has consistently committed to electoral democracy and constitutional checks, though its governance record was mixed.
  • model qwen +6.0 2× rounds Committed to electoral democracy after 2011.
  • model mistral +6.0 Ennahda supports liberal democracy.
  • model gemma +6.0 2× rounds Strongly supports democratic pluralism.
• Long Live Tunisia TN Palestinian question settled ↔ 3 pt +6.0
  • model minimax +4.0 Moderate pro-Palestinian position; less central than economic liberalization in platform.
  • model Kimi +5.0 Standard Tunisian pro-Palestinian solidarity position.
  • prior Author baseline +6.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok +6.0 Maintains conventional Tunisian solidarity with Palestinians without distinctive ideological intensity.
  • model DeepSeek +6.0 Supports Palestinian cause as part of Arab solidarity.
  • model Claude +6.0 Aligns with the standard Tunisian pro-Palestinian position.
  • model Gemini +7.0 The party maintains the standard Tunisian diplomatic commitment to Palestinian statehood rights.
  • model gemma +7.0 Supports Palestinian rights and a two-state solution.
  • model qwen +7.0 Saied expresses strong pro-Palestinian rhetoric, aligning with popular sentiment.
• Authenticity and Modernity Party MA West alignment settled ↔ 3 pt +7.5
  • prior Author baseline +5.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +7.0 PAM supports Morocco's Western strategic alignment, EU partnership, and normalization.
  • model DeepSeek +7.0 Morocco under monarchy is strongly pro-Western; PAM supports that alignment.
  • model gpt +7.0 PAM supports Morocco’s strategic partnership with Europe and the United States.
  • model Claude +7.0 Aligned with Morocco's strongly pro-US/EU strategic posture.
  • model Gemini +8.0 Fully backs Morocco's deep strategic, economic, and security alliance with the United States and the European Union.
  • model Grok +8.0 Deep strategic pro-Western orientation through security cooperation, trade, investment, and alignment with US/EU partnerships.
  • model gemma +8.0 Strongly supports strategic and diplomatic alignment with Western powers.
  • model minimax +8.0 PAM is closely aligned with Western economic and security partners; market-liberal and pro-EU/US in its foreign policy posture.
  • model qwen +8.0 Strongly aligned with Western strategic and diplomatic partnerships.
• Authenticity and Modernity Party MA Regional stance settled ↔ 3 pt +6.0
  • prior Author baseline +5.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model DeepSeek +5.0 Pro-Western monarchial camp aligned with Gulf stability and normalization trends.
  • model gpt +5.0 PAM aligns with Morocco’s stability-oriented diplomacy and accepts normalization policy.
  • model Kimi +6.0 PAM supports Morocco's normalization and stability orientation, not armed resistance.
  • model minimax +6.0 PAM supports Morocco's 2020 normalization with Israel and is part of the pro-stability, pro-Western camp regionally.
  • model Claude +6.0 Backs the state's normalization with Israel and Gulf-stability orientation.
  • model Grok +7.0 Firmly supports stability, Abraham Accords normalization, and integration with Gulf and Western partners over resistance-axis politics.
  • model Gemini +8.0 Fully supports the state's strategic normalization with Israel and alignment with Arab Gulf states to ensure regional stability.
  • model gemma +8.0 Fully aligns with the state's normalization and stability-oriented foreign policy.
  • model qwen +8.0 Aligns with Morocco's stability camp and normalization of regional relations.
• Istiqlal Party MA Palestinian question settled ↔ 3 pt +7.0
  • model DeepSeek +6.0 Historically pro-Palestinian and anti-normalization within Arab nationalist frame.
  • prior Author baseline +7.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +7.0 Istiqlal strongly supports Palestinian rights and opposed normalization, consistent with nationalist tradition.
  • model Gemini +7.0 Officially maintains strong support for Palestinian national rights and the establishment of an independent Palestinian state.
  • model Grok +7.0 Consistent historic and contemporary support for Palestinian rights and self-determination alongside acceptance of state normalization diplomacy.
  • model Claude +7.0 Long-standing Arab-Islamic nationalist support for the Palestinian cause.
  • model gpt +8.0 Istiqlal has a strong nationalist and Arab-Islamic commitment to Palestinian rights.
  • model minimax +8.0 Istiqlal has historically been strongly pro-Palestinian and led early Moroccan solidarity with the Palestinian cause.
  • model qwen +8.0 Maintains a strong historic commitment to Palestinian rights and statehood.
  • model gemma +9.0 Historically and currently one of the strongest supporters of the Palestinian cause.
• Sairoon Alliance IQ Palestinian question settled ↔ 3 pt +8.0
  • model Kimi +6.0 Sadr strongly supports Palestinian rights and anti-normalization, though this is framed within Iraqi nationalism
  • model DeepSeek +6.0 Sairoon supports Palestinian rights as part of populist Arab-nationalist and religious stance.
  • model qwen +6.0 Rhetorically strongly supports Palestinian rights and resistance against Israel.
  • prior Author baseline +7.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok +8.0 Sairoon expresses strong, vocal support for Palestinian rights and resistance, consistently opposing any normalization or compromise with Israel.
  • model gemma +8.0 Strongly supports Palestinian rights and cause.
  • model minimax +8.0 Sadr is a long-standing vocal supporter of Palestinian rights, resistance, and the rejection of Israel — central to his movement's identity.
  • model Claude +8.0 Strongly pro-Palestinian and anti-Israel.
  • model Gemini +9.0 The Sadrists strongly champion Palestinian rights and led the legislative effort to criminalize normalization with Israel in 2022.
• State of Law Coalition IQ West alignment settled ↔ 3 pt -5.0
  • model Gemini -6.0 The coalition is strategically anti-Western, calling for the end of the US military presence and pivoting toward Iran and Russia.
  • model Grok -6.0 State of Law maintains an adversarial strategic posture toward the US and West, rooted in historical opposition to occupation and close alignment with anti-Western Iran.
  • model qwen -6.0 Increasingly hostile to US influence, pivoting strategically towards Iran and resisting Western political pressure.
  • prior Author baseline -5.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi -5.0 Maliki is anti-Western; presided over US withdrawal, aligns with Iran, and opposes Western strategic influence
  • model minimax -5.0 State of Law under Maliki was skeptical of and at times hostile to US strategic interests, aligning with Iran in the regional balance.
  • model gemma -4.0 Strategically leans toward Iran
  • model gpt -3.0 It favors nonalignment and sovereignty over Western-bloc strategic alignment.
  • model Claude -3.0 A former occupation-era US partner that has since tilted toward Iran.
• State of Law Coalition IQ Regional stance settled ↔ 3 pt -5.0
  • model Gemini -7.0 The coalition is fully integrated into the regional resistance axis through its tight strategic alignment with Iran.
  • model gemma -7.0 Aligned with the
  • model Grok -6.0 State of Law aligns closely with Iran's regional posture, supporting the Axis of Resistance framework through political and militia networks in Iraq and beyond.
  • model minimax -6.0 State of Law under Maliki aligned with the Iran-led resistance axis, opposed to US presence, supported Hezbollah, and rejected normalization with Israel.
  • prior Author baseline -5.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model gpt -5.0 It supports Algeria's anti-normalization and anti-colonial regional line through state diplomacy.
  • model Claude -5.0 Aligned with the Iran-led resistance camp and anti-normalization.
  • model Kimi -4.0 Maliki aligns with Iran-led resistance axis; opposes normalization with Israel and US regional presence
  • model qwen -4.0 Aligns with the Axis of Resistance, supporting Iranian regional strategies and armed factions within Iraq.
• Kurdistan Democratic Party IQ Economic settled ↔ 3 pt +4.0
  • prior Author baseline +3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model minimax +3.0 KDP governs a market-oriented Kurdish economy with significant private sector and family-controlled business empires, though oil revenues also feed patronage networks.
  • model Gemini +4.0 The KDP generally supports market mechanisms and foreign investment, particularly in the oil sector, despite maintaining a patron-client system.
  • model Kimi +4.0 KDP favors market-oriented development in KRG with significant state role in oil sector
  • model gpt +4.0 It generally favors private investment, energy deals, and market-oriented regional development.
  • model qwen +4.0 Generally supports private enterprise and foreign investment, though cronyism is prevalent.
  • model Grok +5.0 KDP promotes market mechanisms through oil sector liberalization, foreign investment, and private business development in the Kurdistan Region.
  • model DeepSeek +6.0 KDP supports a mixed economy with private sector development and oil investment but retains state control over key resources.
  • model gemma +6.0 Generally favors market-led growth and foreign investment in the KRI.
  • model Claude +6.0 Oil-driven private-sector orientation with strong business ties to Turkey and the West.
• National Liberation Front DZ Palestinian question settled ↔ 3 pt +9.0
  • model DeepSeek +7.0 FLN is firmly pro-Palestinian
  • prior Author baseline +8.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model qwen +8.0 Historically and consistently pro-Palestinian as part of anti-colonial stance.
  • model Kimi +9.0 Strong pro-Palestinian rights; historical solidarity.
  • model Grok +9.0 Historic and ongoing vanguard of strong Algerian support for Palestinian liberation and statehood.
  • model gemma +9.0 Historically and currently strongly pro-Palestinian.
  • model Gemini +10.0 The FLN fully supports Palestinian self-determination and maintains an absolute refusal of normalization with Israel.
  • model minimax +10.0 FLN founders drew explicit parallels between anti-colonial struggle and Palestinian liberation
  • model Claude +10.0 Foundational, unwavering pro-Palestinian commitment.
• Democratic National Rally DZ Palestinian question settled ↔ 3 pt +8.0
  • prior Author baseline +7.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok +8.0 2× rounds Like every other Arab regime party it plays the pro-Palestinian card hard to pander to the street while doing nothing substantive.
  • model Kimi +8.0 2× rounds Strong pro-Palestinian rights stance consistent with Algerian foreign policy.
  • model DeepSeek +8.0 2× rounds RND follows Algeria’s official pro-Palestinian stance
  • model minimax +8.0 2× rounds RND aligns with the Algerian state consensus of strong pro-Palestinian positions.
  • model mistral +8.0 The party has historically supported Palestinian rights and a two-state solution.
  • model qwen +9.0 2× rounds Supports Palestinian rights as part of anti-colonial stance.
  • model gpt +9.0 2× rounds The RND follows Algeria's official pro-Palestinian diplomatic line.
  • model Claude +9.0 2× rounds Reflects Algeria's foundational, near-unanimous pro-Palestinian state line.
  • model gemma +9.0 2× rounds Consistently supports Palestinian statehood and rights.
  • model Gemini +10.0 2× rounds The RND completely supports Palestinian statehood and rights, in line with Algeria's official foreign policy.
• Workers' Party DZ State & religion settled ↔ 3 pt +7.5
  • prior Author baseline +6.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Claude +6.0 Secularist opposing religious authority in the state.
  • model Kimi +7.0 Secular; opposes religious authority in state.
  • model Gemini +7.0 The PT advocates for a secular state and the complete separation of religious authority from state law.
  • model Grok +8.0 Marxist secularism: religion as private matter; opposes any religious authority in state or law.
  • model gemma +8.0 Advocates for a secular state.
  • model qwen +8.0 Militantly secular; opposes any religious role in governance.
  • model minimax +9.0 PT is an explicitly atheist
• Socialist Forces Front DZ Social settled ↔ 3 pt +4.0
  • model Grok +3.0 Secular and relatively permissive on personal freedoms, gender equality, and lifestyle compared to Islamist parties.
  • model Claude +3.0 Secular and comparatively socially liberal.
  • prior Author baseline +4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +4.0 Socially progressive within secular framework.
  • model Gemini +4.0 The FFS is more supportive of personal freedoms and progressive social values compared to Algeria's conservative mainstream.
  • model qwen +4.0 Socially progressive on personal freedoms but cautious on LGBTQ+ in Algerian context.
  • model DeepSeek +5.0 FFS is socially permissive
  • model gemma +5.0 Supports secular social liberties and individual expression.
  • model minimax +6.0 FFS is strongly secular and progressive on personal freedoms
• Socialist Forces Front DZ Palestinian question settled ↔ 3 pt +7.0
  • model DeepSeek +6.0 FFS supports Palestinian rights but with a leftist
  • prior Author baseline +7.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok +7.0 Solid pro-Palestinian solidarity but frames it within human rights and international law rather than maximalist resistance.
  • model Claude +7.0 Pro-Palestinian in line with Algerian consensus.
  • model qwen +7.0 Solidarity with Palestinian self-determination as anti-colonial cause.
  • model Kimi +8.0 Pro-Palestinian rights; consistent with leftist solidarity.
  • model gemma +8.0 Consistent support for Palestinian national rights.
  • model minimax +8.0 FFS firmly supports Palestinian self-determination consistent with Algerian foreign-policy consensus.
  • model Gemini +9.0 The FFS strongly supports Palestinian self-determination and rights, in line with broad Algerian consensus.
• Hayat Tahrir al-Sham SY Social settled ↔ 3 pt -8.0
  • model gemma -10.0 Imposes strict religious moral codes and collective authority.
  • model qwen -10.0 Enforces extreme traditional collective moral authority severely restricting personal lifestyle and individual expression.
  • model Gemini -9.0 HTS enforces strict Islamic moral authority and severely restricts individual lifestyle and social freedoms.
  • model DeepSeek -9.0 Imposes harsh moral policing and punishes behavior deemed un-Islamic.
  • model Grok -8.0 HTS enforces strict traditional Islamic moral authority limiting personal expression lifestyle and social mixing per its Sharia interpretation.
  • model gpt -8.0 Its Islamist moral program prioritizes collective religious authority over lifestyle liberty.
  • prior Author baseline -7.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi -7.0 HTS enforces conservative Islamic social norms, restricting alcohol, LGBTQ+ expression, and personal freedoms in line with Salafi jurisprudence, though it has moderated some moral policing in Idlib.
  • model minimax -7.0 HTS's Islamist social vision enforces conservative moral norms and restricts personal freedoms on lifestyle and expression.
  • model Claude -7.0 Salafi-derived moral conservatism and policing of public behavior.
• Ba'ath Party (Syria) SY West alignment settled ↔ 3 pt -8.0
  • model gemma -10.0 Strategically hostile and aligned against Western interests.
  • model qwen -10.0 Maintains a staunchly anti-Western geopolitical posture heavily aligned with Russia and Iran against US influence.
  • model Gemini -9.0 The party maintains a hostile posture toward Western blocs, prioritizing strategic alliances with Russia and Iran.
  • model minimax -9.0 Ba'ath Syria was strategically aligned with the Soviet Union and then Russia and Iran
  • model Kimi -8.0 The Ba'ath regime was strategically aligned with Russia and Iran, hostile to the US and EU, and under heavy Western sanctions.
  • model DeepSeek -8.0 Under sanctions and military confrontation with US/EU due to alliance with Russia and Iran.
  • model gpt -8.0 It has been strategically hostile to the US and much of the EU-led Western bloc.
  • model Claude -8.0 Aligned with the USSR then Russia and Iran; hostile to and sanctioned by the West.
  • prior Author baseline -7.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok -7.0 Ba'ath Syria pursued anti-Western strategic alignment through alliances with Russia and Iran against US and European influence.
• Syrian National Coalition SY Liberal democracy settled ↔ 3 pt +7.0
  • prior Author baseline +5.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model minimax +5.0 SNC charter commits to a pluralistic democratic order with minority rights and civil liberties
  • model DeepSeek +6.0 Officially commits to liberal democracy with checks
  • model Claude +6.0 Founding charter commits to liberal democracy, elections and pluralism.
  • model Grok +7.0 SNC seeks pluralistic liberal democracy with free elections independent judiciary and strong minority and opposition rights guarantees.
  • model Kimi +7.0 The SNC was founded as a pro-democracy coalition, advocating for independent courts, free elections, and minority rights, though internal governance was often dominated by factional politics and Turkish influence.
  • model gpt +7.0 It declares commitment to pluralist democratic transition, elections, and institutional checks.
  • model Gemini +8.0 The Coalition officially commits to establishing a liberal democratic system with political pluralism and checks on executive power.
  • model gemma +8.0 Strong declared commitment to liberal democratic principles.
  • model qwen +8.0 Officially committed to establishing a liberal democratic system with pluralism and minority rights though its internal cohesion varies.
• Syrian National Coalition SY Regional stance settled ↔ 3 pt +5.0
  • model Gemini +3.0 The Coalition is aligned with regional states like Turkey, rejecting the Axis of Resistance and pursuing its goals through diplomatic channels.
  • model minimax +3.0 SNC supports Palestinian rights rhetorically but has generally aligned with the Western/Gulf-backed moderate opposition camp leaning toward negotiated outcomes.
  • prior Author baseline +4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model qwen +4.0 Seeks regional stability and relies on Gulf and Western support distancing itself from the Iranian-led Axis of Resistance.
  • model DeepSeek +5.0 Backed by Turkey and Gulf states; favors negotiated settlement and normalization with Arab states over Axis of Resistance.
  • model gpt +5.0 It aligns with Turkey, Gulf, and Western diplomatic channels rather than the Iran-led resistance axis.
  • model Grok +6.0 SNC criticizes Iranian Hezbollah role in Syria and aligns with stability and negotiation focused regional and international camps.
  • model Kimi +6.0 The SNC was aligned with Turkey, Gulf states, and Western powers seeking negotiated settlement and political transition, positioning itself in the stability/normalization camp rather than the resistance axis.
  • model gemma +6.0 Aligned with the stability/normalization camp
  • model Claude +6.0 Backed by Turkey, Gulf and West; opposed the Iran axis and worked through diplomacy.
• Syrian National Coalition SY Palestinian question settled ↔ 3 pt +7.0
  • prior Author baseline +5.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model DeepSeek +6.0 2× rounds Supports Palestinian rights but distances from Assad’s pro-resistance line; more neutral regional posture.
  • model minimax +6.0 2× rounds The Syrian opposition coalition generally supports Palestinian rights as part of its political platform.
  • model Claude +6.0 2× rounds Mainstream Syrian-Arab pro-Palestinian stance.
  • model Grok +7.0 2× rounds SNC affirms robust support for Palestinian self-determination and rights in line with Arab opposition consensus.
  • model Kimi +7.0 2× rounds The SNC consistently supported Palestinian rights and statehood as part of its opposition platform, aligning with mainstream Arab positions.
  • model mistral +7.0 Syrian National Coalition supports Palestinian rights.
  • model gemma +7.0 2× rounds Generally supports Palestinian rights.
  • model gpt +7.0 It supports Palestinian rights while focusing primarily on Syria's opposition agenda.
  • model Gemini +8.0 2× rounds The Coalition maintains a strong declared stance in support of Palestinian rights and self-determination.
  • model qwen +8.0 2× rounds Opposition coalition generally supportive of Palestinian rights.
• Syrian National Coalition SY Civil liberties settled ↔ 3 pt +6.5
  • prior Author baseline +5.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model minimax +5.0 SNC charter commits to expanding civil liberties and pluralistic freedoms as a post-Assad democratic Syria.
  • model Gemini +6.0 The Coalition's official platform commits to protecting civil liberties, free speech, and pluralism in a post-Assad Syria.
  • model DeepSeek +6.0 Opposition platform commits to civil liberties post-Assad
  • model Claude +6.0 Platform commits to expanded freedoms and pluralism; largely untested in power.
  • model Grok +7.0 SNC platform demands expanded civil liberties free speech and dissent protections as foundation for democratic post-Assad Syria.
  • model Kimi +7.0 The SNC's platform consistently advocated for expanding civil liberties, free expression, and press freedom, though it never held national power to implement these commitments.
  • model gemma +7.0 Declared commitment to expanding civil liberties and human rights.
  • model gpt +7.0 Its declared program emphasizes freedoms of speech, association, protest, and civil society.
  • model qwen +8.0 Officially champions the expansion of civil liberties free speech and human rights in its democratic platform.
• National Umma Party SD Palestinian question settled ↔ 3 pt +7.0
  • model Kimi +5.0 Supports Palestinian rights within broader Arab solidarity framework.
  • model DeepSeek +5.0 Traditional pro-Palestinian stance but not militant.
  • model qwen +6.0 Strongly supports Palestinian rights and self-determination, consistent with its Islamic and Arab orientation.
  • prior Author baseline +7.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok +7.0 Strong support for Palestinian rights consistent with Islamic and national solidarity traditions.
  • model gpt +7.0 It strongly supports Palestinian rights within Sudanese Arab-Islamic political consensus.
  • model minimax +7.0 NUP has consistently expressed strong rhetorical support for Palestinian rights, framed within pan-Islamic and pan-Arab solidarity.
  • model Claude +7.0 Firmly supports Palestinian rights and self-determination.
  • model Gemini +8.0 The NUP strongly champions Palestinian rights and has consistently opposed normalization with Israel.
  • model gemma +8.0 Strongly supports Palestinian rights and self-determination.
• Sudanese Communist Party SD State & religion settled ↔ 3 pt +8.5
  • prior Author baseline +6.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +8.0 Strongly advocates secular state with complete separation of religion from law and governance.
  • model DeepSeek +8.0 Strongly secular; demands separation of religion from state.
  • model Claude +8.0 Communist and firmly secular, advocating separation of religion from state and law.
  • model qwen +8.0 Strictly advocates for the separation of religion from state and law, opposing any role for Sharia.
  • model Gemini +9.0 2× rounds The SCP is explicitly secular, advocating for the total separation of religion from state and legal structures.
  • model Grok +9.0 Consistently secular and opposed to religious authority in politics or law; promotes scientific materialist approach to state.
  • model gpt +9.0 2× rounds The Freedom and Justice Party sought a larger role for Islamic law in the state.
  • model gemma +9.0 Strongly advocates for the total separation of religion from state and law.
  • model minimax +9.0 party:00000000-0000-0000-0000-000000000331:state-religion
• Sudanese Communist Party SD Palestinian question settled ↔ 3 pt +8.0
  • model DeepSeek +7.0 2× rounds Strong pro-Palestinian anti-colonial stance.
  • prior Author baseline +8.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +8.0 2× rounds Strong leftist solidarity with Palestinian liberation and anti-imperialist struggle.
  • model Grok +8.0 2× rounds Unyielding anti-imperialist support for full Palestinian self-determination and liberation struggle.
  • model qwen +8.0 2× rounds Historically pro-Palestinian as anti-imperialist stance.
  • model minimax +8.0 2× rounds SCP is a longstanding supporter of Palestinian liberation and anti-Zionist positions.
  • model mistral +8.0 Sudanese Communist Party strongly supports Palestinian rights.
  • model gpt +8.0 2× rounds The Freedom and Justice Party was strongly supportive of Palestinian rights.
  • model Gemini +9.0 2× rounds The party maintains an absolute commitment to Palestinian self-determination and strongly rejects normalization.
  • model Claude +9.0 2× rounds Anti-imperialist left, firmly pro-Palestinian.
  • model gemma +10.0 2× rounds Strongly supports Palestinian liberation.
• Democratic Unionist Party SD Palestinian question settled ↔ 3 pt +7.0
  • model qwen +5.0 Maintains a standard pro-Palestinian stance consistent with mainstream Arab political parties.
  • prior Author baseline +6.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model DeepSeek +6.0 Supports Palestinian rights rhetorically but less stridently than Islamists.
  • model Gemini +7.0 The party maintains a traditional, strong commitment to Palestinian self-determination and rights.
  • model Kimi +7.0 Strong pan-Arab tradition with consistent pro-Palestinian solidarity.
  • model Grok +7.0 Maintains strong solidarity with Palestinian rights and self-determination in line with predominant Sudanese and Arab positions.
  • model gpt +7.0 It reflects Sudanese Arab-Islamic mainstream support for Palestinian self-determination.
  • model minimax +7.0 DUP adopts the mainstream Sudanese/Arab position of firm support for Palestinian rights and self-determination.
  • model Claude +7.0 As an Arab-Islamic Sudanese party it strongly affirms Palestinian rights and statehood.
  • model gemma +8.0 Maintains a strong
• Northern Islamic Movement IL Social settled ↔ 3 pt -7.0
  • model Gemini -9.0 Enforces strict collective moral authority and opposes secular social freedoms or LGBTQ+ rights.
  • model gpt -8.0 Its Islamist doctrine is socially conservative and authority-oriented.
  • model minimax -8.0 Movement is highly socially conservative: enforces traditional Islamic morality and rejects LGBTQ+ rights and secular lifestyles.
  • model Claude -7.0 Conservative Islamist social authority.
  • model Grok -7.0 Highly traditional Islamist authority on lifestyle gender and moral issues.
  • model DeepSeek -7.0 Socially traditionalist and conservative.
  • model Kimi -7.0 Strongly traditionalist Islamist social values; opposes LGBTQ+ and liberal social freedoms.
  • prior Author baseline -6.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model gemma -6.0 Strongly favors traditional religious moral authority.
  • model qwen -6.0 Promotes conservative Islamic values and traditional collective moral authority.

  before · r1 gemini -9.0grok -9.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• General People's Congress YE Social settled ↔ 3 pt -4.0
  • model DeepSeek -5.0 GPC socially conservative (tribal base) but not as extreme as Houthis or Islah.
  • model gemma -5.0 They reflect traditional Yemeni social values and authority.
  • model gpt -5.0 It reflects Yemen’s conservative social mainstream rather than libertarian moral politics.
  • model minimax -5.0 GPC rules within conservative Yemeni social norms and, while not theocratic, enforces traditional moral authority, restricts personal freedoms, and is hostile to LGBTQ+ rights.
  • model Kimi -4.0 GPC under Saleh maintained conservative social norms and tribal authority, with limited personal freedoms.
  • model qwen -4.0 Upholds conservative tribal social norms and traditional collective moral authority.
  • prior Author baseline -3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Gemini -3.0 The GPC adheres to traditional social and moral norms but operates with a relatively secular and pragmatic approach compared to religious factions.
  • model Claude -3.0 Conservative society but a relatively secular, non-moralizing nationalist party.
  • model Grok -2.0 The GPC regime was relatively secular-authoritarian compared with Islamist alternatives, permitting limited social space while upholding conservative societal norms overall.
• General People's Congress YE Civil liberties settled ↔ 3 pt -5.0
  • model DeepSeek -6.0 When in power GPC restricted opposition protests and used security forces to crush dissent.
  • model gemma -6.0 Their record under Saleh was characterized by the restriction of political dissent.
  • model minimax -6.0 GPC's 33-year rule featured a pervasive security apparatus, suppression of southern and Houthi dissent, and manipulation of civic space; they are not champions of expanded liberties.
  • model Claude -6.0 Its long rule featured repression of dissent, protest, and the press.
  • model Kimi -5.0 Under Saleh, GPC presided over an authoritarian state with restricted civil liberties; current factions vary but none have strong liberal records.
  • model Grok -5.0 Under long Saleh-era rule the GPC presided over authoritarian governance with notable restrictions on political speech, association, and opposition activity.
  • model qwen -5.0 Legacy of authoritarian rule with significant restrictions on dissent and political opposition.
  • model Gemini -4.0 While officially committing to multi-party pluralism, the GPC's long governance record reflects a consistent pattern of restricting major opposition and dissent.
  • model gpt -4.0 Its governing legacy under Saleh was pluralist in form but restrictive toward serious dissent.
  • prior Author baseline -3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
• Yemeni Congregation for Reform (Islah) YE Social settled ↔ 3 pt -7.0
  • model gemma -8.0 They are strongly conservative and promote traditional religious moral authority.
  • model Gemini -7.0 Islah promotes strict traditional collective moral authority and religious conservatism across public and private life.
  • model Kimi -7.0 Islah advocates for conservative Islamic social norms, opposes LGBTQ+ rights, and supports religious authority in personal morality.
  • model Grok -7.0 As a Muslim Brotherhood-affiliated Islamist party, Islah upholds traditional moral authority, conservative gender roles, and religious oversight of personal and social conduct.
  • model DeepSeek -7.0 Islah is a conservative Sunni Islamist party opposing LGBTQ rights and moral liberalization.
  • model gpt -7.0 Its Islamist orientation favors traditional moral authority over personal social liberty.
  • model minimax -7.0 Islah imposes a conservative religious moral code, opposes LGBTQ+ rights, and supports public moral enforcement consistent with its Islamist platform.
  • model qwen -7.0 Enforces strict social conservatism, opposing lifestyle freedoms and individual expression.
  • model Claude -6.0 Islamist party imposing a conservative collective moral order.
  • prior Author baseline -5.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
• Yemeni Congregation for Reform (Islah) YE Palestinian question settled ↔ 3 pt +8.0
  • model DeepSeek +6.0 Islah strongly supports Palestinian cause from a Sunni Islamist perspective.
  • model Kimi +7.0 Islah strongly supports Palestinian rights and opposes normalization with Israel, consistent with Muslim Brotherhood positions.
  • prior Author baseline +8.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok +8.0 Islah maintains strong pro-Palestinian positions consistent with its Islamist ideology and opposition to normalization with Israel.
  • model gpt +8.0 It strongly supports Palestinian rights through Sunni Islamist and Arab solidarity frames.
  • model qwen +8.0 Strongly pro-Palestinian, aligning with the Muslim Brotherhood's staunch support for Hamas.
  • model Gemini +9.0 Strong support for Palestinian rights and statehood is an absolute ideological core value for Islah, given its Sunni Islamist roots.
  • model gemma +9.0 They are strongly pro-Palestinian based on Islamic and Arab solidarity.
  • model minimax +9.0 Islah follows the Muslim Brotherhood line of unconditional support for Palestinian rights, al-Quds framing, and rejection of normalization.
  • model Claude +9.0 Muslim Brotherhood roots drive strong pro-Palestinian advocacy.
• Ansar Allah (Houthis) YE Civil liberties settled ↔ 3 pt -8.5
  • model minimax -10.0 Houthis routinely arrest journalists, aid workers, and dissidents, ban protests, and run a pervasive security apparatus that crushes any independent civic activity.
  • model Gemini -9.0 The Houthis have established a highly repressive regime that strictly bans dissent, protests, and independent civic associations.
  • model gemma -9.0 They systematically suppress dissent and restrict freedom of association.
  • model gpt -9.0 Its record in controlled areas shows severe repression of dissent, protest, and association.
  • model Claude -9.0 In power they detain dissidents, ban protest, and crush association and free expression.
  • model DeepSeek -8.0 In areas they control Houthis violently suppress protests and jail journalists with no meaningful dissent allowed.
  • model Grok -8.0 In territories it governs, Ansar Allah severely restricts speech, association, and protest through arbitrary arrests, suppression of dissent, and control over civil society organizations.
  • model qwen -8.0 Severely restricts freedom of speech, protest, and association in Houthi-controlled areas.
  • prior Author baseline -7.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi -7.0 Houthis have suppressed dissent, detained activists, and restricted freedoms in areas under their control since 2014.
• Yemeni Socialist Party YE Social settled ↔ 3 pt +5.0
  • model qwen +3.0 More socially permissive and secular than the Islamist parties, reflecting its Marxist heritage.
  • prior Author baseline +4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +4.0 YSP historically promoted secular social policies and women's rights in South Yemen, more progressive than northern Islamist parties.
  • model gemma +4.0 They are the most socially permissive and individualist party in the Yemeni spectrum.
  • model Gemini +5.0 The YSP is one of the few Yemeni parties supporting individual social liberties and a progressive, secular approach to moral issues.
  • model Grok +5.0 Drawing from its Marxist-Leninist PDRY origins, the YSP is more socially permissive and progressive on gender roles and personal freedoms than Yemen's Islamist parties.
  • model gpt +5.0 It is comparatively secular and permissive by Yemeni party standards.
  • model Claude +5.0 The most permissive Yemeni party, drawing on its PDRY secular legacy.
  • model DeepSeek +6.0 YSP is the most socially liberal Yemeni party
  • model minimax +6.0 YSP is socially secular and libertarian, supporting personal freedoms and gender equality in its platform, though operating in a conservative society.
• Balad IL Traditionalism vs modernization settled ↔ 3 pt +5.0
  • prior Author baseline +4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +4.0 Supports progressive social change but anchored in Palestinian national identity and some traditional values.
  • model minimax +4.0 Balad supports modernization, women's rights, and reform but its base includes more socially conservative Palestinian citizens pulling the score down from secular-progressive parties.
  • model Claude +5.0 Secular-modernist Arab nationalist project.
  • model Gemini +5.0 Supports institutional and social modernization, including the advancement of women's rights.
  • model Grok +5.0 Supports modern democratic institutions and progressive reforms alongside national goals.
  • model gpt +5.0 Balad supports civic equality and institutional reform while retaining nationalist community framing.
  • model DeepSeek +6.0 Progressive on women's rights and family law reform.
  • model gemma +6.0 Supports institutional modernization and secular rights.
  • model qwen +7.0 Modernizing, secular, and holds progressive social views.

  before · r1 gemini +6.0grok +6.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Yemeni Socialist Party YE State & religion settled ↔ 3 pt +7.5
  • prior Author baseline +6.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +6.0 YSP is explicitly secular, advocating separation of religion from state, a legacy of its Marxist-Leninist past in South Yemen.
  • model gemma +6.0 They advocate for a secular approach to law and governance.
  • model Claude +6.0 Yemen's most strongly secularist party.
  • model Gemini +7.0 The YSP explicitly supports the separation of religion from the state and the implementation of secular civil laws.
  • model Grok +8.0 The YSP strongly advocates secular governance with clear separation of religion from state institutions and law, opposing Islamist influence in politics.
  • model DeepSeek +8.0 YSP advocates
  • model gpt +8.0 Its socialist tradition favors clear separation of religion from state authority.
  • model qwen +8.0 Strongly advocates for a secular state, separating religion from legislation and governance.
  • model minimax +9.0 YSP is a self-declared secular party with a strong commitment to separation of religion from state and law, continuing its PDRY legacy.
• Justice and Construction Party LY Palestinian question settled ↔ 3 pt +8.0
  • model Kimi +7.0 Strong pro-Palestinian rights position consistent with Muslim Brotherhood
  • model DeepSeek +7.0 Strongly supports Palestinian rights and opposes normalization with Israel.
  • prior Author baseline +8.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model gpt +8.0 As a Libyan Islamist party, it strongly supports Palestinian rights and rejects normalization without justice.
  • model minimax +8.0 Muslim Brotherhood tradition in Libya strongly and consistently pro-Palestinian
  • model Claude +8.0 As an Islamist movement it is strongly and vocally pro-Palestinian.
  • model Grok +9.0 As Muslim Brotherhood affiliate, maintains consistent maximalist support for Palestinian rights, statehood, and resistance to occupation as central ideological commitment.
  • model gemma +9.0 Strong ideological and public commitment to Palestinian statehood and rights.
  • model qwen +9.0 Strongly supports Palestinian rights and firmly opposes normalization with Israel.
  • model Gemini +10.0 Strongly advocates for Palestinian self-determination and unconditionally rejects normalization with Israel.
• National Forces Alliance LY Social settled ↔ 3 pt +3.0
  • prior Author baseline +2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model gemma +2.0 More permissive than the Islamist bloc
  • model gpt +2.0 It was secular-leaning by Libyan standards but still operated within a conservative society.
  • model Claude +2.0 More socially permissive than the Islamists while still operating within conservative Libyan society.
  • model Gemini +3.0 Advocates for a relatively pluralistic and tolerant social sphere while respecting Libya's conservative cultural realities.
  • model Kimi +3.0 More socially permissive within moderate Islamic framework
  • model DeepSeek +4.0 Secular liberal party favoring individual freedoms.
  • model qwen +4.0 Socially more permissive and liberal than Islamist counterparts supporting greater individual expression and women's participation.
  • model Grok +5.0 Promotes a civil state model with expanded personal freedoms and reduced religious policing of lifestyle, gender, and individual expression.
  • model minimax +5.0 Secular liberal orientation with permissive positions on personal freedoms relative to Islamist rivals.
• National Forces Alliance LY Civil liberties settled ↔ 3 pt +5.0
  • model gemma +3.0 Advocates for liberal protections of speech and association.
  • model DeepSeek +4.0 Liberal-secular party generally supportive of civil liberties.
  • model Claude +4.0 Liberal-leaning coalition that declared support for expanded speech, association, and press freedoms.
  • prior Author baseline +5.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +5.0 Liberal tendency pledges civil democratic state with expanded liberties
  • model gpt +5.0 It presented itself as a liberal-national coalition supportive of pluralism and public freedoms.
  • model minimax +5.0 Stated liberal platform defends free expression
  • model Gemini +6.0 Advocates for the protection of basic civic rights, freedom of expression, and association in its political platform.
  • model Grok +6.0 Liberal platform and NTC-era record emphasize expansion of political freedoms, free expression, and protection against authoritarian controls inherited from the Gaddafi period.
  • model qwen +6.0 Champions secular liberalism free speech and the expansion of individual civil rights.
• Al-Wefaq National Islamic Society BH Palestinian question settled ↔ 3 pt +9.0
  • model Kimi +7.0 Strong pro-Palestinian stance as part of broader anti-Western regional solidarity.
  • model Claude +7.0 Strongly pro-Palestinian in line with its Islamist orientation.
  • prior Author baseline +8.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok +8.0 As a Shia Islamist opposition movement, it expresses robust support for Palestinian rights, statehood, and resistance to occupation in line with its broader anti-imperialist and Islamic solidarity positions.
  • model DeepSeek +9.0 Strongly supports Palestinian rights and opposes normalization.
  • model gemma +9.0 Central to its political and religious identity.
  • model gpt +9.0 It strongly supports Palestinian rights and opposes Israeli occupation and normalization.
  • model minimax +9.0 Vocally and consistently pro-Palestinian rights and statehood.
  • model qwen +9.0 It maintains strong
  • model Gemini +10.0 Unwaveringly supports Palestinian statehood and rights, vehemently opposing normalization.
• Islamic Asalah Society BH Social settled ↔ 3 pt -9.0
  • model Gemini -10.0 Enforces strict Salafi collective moral authority, completely rejecting individual or moral social freedoms.
  • model Kimi -9.0 Ultra-conservative Salafi society advocating strict traditional moral authority.
  • model DeepSeek -9.0 Extremely socially conservative
  • model gemma -9.0 Strongly opposes social liberalization and LGBTQ+ rights.
  • model gpt -9.0 Its Salafi orientation strongly prioritizes traditional religious moral authority over personal social liberty.
  • model minimax -9.0 Among the most socially conservative Salafi formations in Bahrain
  • model Claude -9.0 Salafi doctrine sits at the moral-authority extreme on lifestyle and individual expression.
  • model qwen -9.0 It enforces extremely strict Salafi views on gender segregation, personal behavior, and morality.
  • model Grok -8.0 Strict Salafi doctrine demands comprehensive application of traditional Islamic moral codes governing personal conduct, gender roles, and public life, strongly favoring collective religious authority over individual libertarian freedoms.
  • prior Author baseline -7.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
• Islamic Asalah Society BH Civil liberties settled ↔ 3 pt -6.0
  • model Gemini -8.0 Strongly favors restricting civil liberties and cracking down heavily on opposition dissent and protests.
  • model DeepSeek -8.0 Explicitly supports restrictions on speech and dissent that violate Islamic law.
  • model qwen -8.0 Its strict Salafi ideology severely restricts civil liberties and freedoms that contradict religious doctrine.
  • model minimax -7.0 Pro-government Salafi bloc that has supported restrictions on opposition protest and independent press.
  • model Kimi -6.0 Ultra-conservative Salafi platform strongly restricts civil liberties in favor of religious order.
  • model gpt -6.0 Its conservative Salafi and pro-regime posture favors restrictions on dissent and moral expression.
  • model Claude -6.0 Salafi orientation favoring tight restrictions on speech and behavior, aligned with government limits.
  • prior Author baseline -5.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok -5.0 Salafi ideology emphasizes strict moral and social controls aligned with traditional Islamic interpretations, leading to restrictive positions on personal freedoms, expression, and association outside approved religious bounds.
  • model gemma -5.0 Favors restricting liberties that conflict with religious morality.
• Al-Menbar Islamic Society BH Economic settled ↔ 3 pt +3.0
  • prior Author baseline +1.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +2.0 Muslim Brotherhood affiliates generally favor market economy with Islamic welfare provisions.
  • model qwen +2.0 It generally favors market mechanisms but supports Islamic finance and welfare.
  • model Gemini +3.0 Adheres to a moderate Islamist stance that supports private property and market-friendly policies along with social charity.
  • model gemma +3.0 Supports market mechanisms tempered by Islamic social welfare.
  • model gpt +3.0 It generally accepts Bahrain's market-oriented economy while favoring Islamic social protections.
  • model Claude +3.0 Muslim Brotherhood-aligned but operating in a Gulf market context, leaning modestly pro-market with welfare elements.
  • model Grok +4.0 Supports the Bahraini regime's economic diversification and market-oriented policies as part of its loyalist stance within the rentier state framework.
  • model DeepSeek +4.0 Al-Menbar generally supports free-market policies but with Islamic social welfare provisions.
  • model minimax +4.0 Supports Bahrain's market model with Islamic finance emphasis and private-sector growth.
• Union of Forces of Progress MR Liberal democracy settled ↔ 3 pt +6.5
  • prior Author baseline +5.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Claude +5.0 Secular opposition promoting pluralism, reform and minority rights.
  • model Kimi +6.0 The coalition strongly advocates for liberal democratic institutions, judicial independence, and limits on executive power.
  • model Grok +6.0 Democratic socialist orientation supports multiparty republican institutions independent courts and robust protections for opposition and minority rights.
  • model DeepSeek +6.0 UFP as a secular opposition party advocates for democratic reforms and checks on executive power though it was part of the former authoritarian regime.
  • model Gemini +7.0 The party strongly advocates for a robust liberal democracy with deep institutional checks, minority protections, and independent courts.
  • model gemma +7.0 Strong advocate for liberal democratic institutions and executive limits.
  • model gpt +7.0 It has long presented itself as a democratic opposition force defending pluralism and checks on executive power.
  • model minimax +7.0 The UFP has a strong democratic-pluralist record
  • model qwen +8.0 Strongly committed to democratic pluralism independent institutions and the protection of minority rights.
• Union of Forces of Progress MR West alignment settled ↔ 3 pt -1.5
  • model DeepSeek -3.0 UFP is skeptical of Western military presence and economic domination but not fiercely anti-Western; leans non-aligned.
  • model qwen -2.0 Maintains a critical stance toward Western foreign policy and neo-colonialism while engaging in pragmatic diplomatic relations.
  • model minimax -1.0 The UFP maintains ties with European social-democratic allies and France
  • prior Author baseline +0.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
• Union of Forces of Progress MR Civil liberties settled ↔ 3 pt +6.5
  • prior Author baseline +5.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +5.0 As secular opposition, the coalition strongly advocates for press freedom, protest rights, and political association expansion.
  • model Grok +5.0 Actively advocates expanded protections and rights for ethnic minorities Haratin communities and against slavery discrimination and marginalization practices.
  • model minimax +6.0 The UFP is a longstanding secular opposition party that consistently advocates for press freedom
  • model Claude +6.0 Leftist opposition advocating free expression, press freedom and the right to dissent.
  • model Gemini +7.0 As a secular leftist opposition party, UFP consistently campaigns for the expansion of civil liberties and press freedoms.
  • model DeepSeek +7.0 UFP historically champions civil liberties and has opposed government restrictions on press and assembly.
  • model gpt +7.0 2× rounds Kataeb presents itself as reformist and rights-oriented despite militia-era baggage.
  • model gemma +8.0 Consistently advocates for expanded civil liberties
  • model qwen +8.0 As a leading opposition party it consistently advocates for human rights free speech and the expansion of civil liberties.
• Islamic Salvation Front DZ Regime stance settled ↔ 3 pt -9.0
  • model Gemini -10.0 The FIS completely rejects and seeks to overturn Algeria's current foundational political and military order.
  • model gemma -10.0 Historically and ideologically seeks to replace the current order with an Islamic state.
  • model minimax -10.0 FIS rejected Algeria's secular republican constitution and sought to replace it with an Islamic state
  • model qwen -10.0 Explicitly sought to overthrow the post-independence secular order.
  • prior Author baseline -9.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi -9.0 Anti-regime; sought to overturn republican order.
  • model Grok -9.0 Sought to overthrow the secular republican order and replace it with Islamic state.
  • model DeepSeek -9.0 FIS sought to overthrow Algeria’s secular-military order and replace it with an Islamic state.
  • model Claude -7.0 ⛓ grounded 2× rounds Anti-incumbent: dissolve the FLN-era National Assembly, free political prisoners, end the single-party media monopoly.
• People's Movement TN Pan-Arab vs particularist settled ↔ 3 pt +7.0
  • model Kimi +6.0 Nasserist and Arab nationalist heritage emphasizes pan-Arab solidarity.
  • model DeepSeek +6.0 Pan-Arabist left-wing party.
  • prior Author baseline +7.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model gemma +7.0 Strongly frames its politics around Pan-Arab solidarity.
  • model qwen +7.0 Embraces pan-Arab and anti-imperialist discourse in line with Nasserist roots.
  • model Grok +8.0 The party's core identity is pan-Arab nationalist with explicit commitment to Arab unity, anti-imperialist solidarity, and regional liberation causes.
  • model Gemini +9.0 Echâab is an explicitly Nasserist party dedicated to pan-Arab solidarity and unity.
  • model minimax +9.0 Strongly pan-Arab
  • model Claude +9.0 Explicitly Nasserist Arab-nationalist party.
• Yesh Atid IL Traditionalism vs modernization settled ↔ 3 pt +7.5
  • prior Author baseline +6.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok +7.0 Strongly modernizing on economy technology education and social issues.
  • model DeepSeek +7.0 Pro-modernization.
  • model Kimi +7.0 Strongly modernizing on social, technological, and institutional issues.
  • model minimax +7.0 Yesh Atid champions modernization, women's workforce participation, and progressive reforms.
  • model Claude +8.0 Secular-modernizing orientation.
  • model Gemini +8.0 Strongly pushes for institutional modernization, technological integration, and civic reforms.
  • model gpt +8.0 It emphasizes secular education, technology, governance reform, and modern institutions.
  • model qwen +8.0 Strongly supports social, institutional, and technological modernization.
  • model gemma +9.0 Maximum support for institutional and social modernization.

  before · r1 grok +8.0gemini +9.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• The Democrats IL Traditionalism vs modernization settled ↔ 3 pt +7.5
  • prior Author baseline +6.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok +6.0 Modernizing on technology economy and social progressive issues.
  • model DeepSeek +6.0 Pro-modernization.
  • model Kimi +7.0 Progressive on social and institutional modernization.
  • model minimax +7.0 The Democrats champion modernization, women's rights, and progressive reforms.
  • model Claude +8.0 Secular-progressive modernizing orientation.
  • model gemma +8.0 Strong supporter of modernization.
  • model qwen +8.0 Strongly supports social, institutional, and technological modernization.
  • model Gemini +9.0 Advocates for progressive institutional, social, and cultural modernization.
  • model gpt +9.0 It supports liberal institutional reform, gender equality, and secular modernization.

  before · r1 grok +8.0gemini +9.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• United Torah Judaism IL Traditionalism vs modernization settled ↔ 3 pt -8.0
  • prior Author baseline -10.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model gemma -10.0 Explicitly rejects secular modernization.
  • model qwen -9.0 Highly traditionalist and resistant to any social or institutional modernization.
  • model Claude -8.0 Strongly traditionalist and resistant to social modernization.
  • model Gemini -8.0 Is fundamentally traditionalist, actively resisting cultural and educational modernization.
  • model DeepSeek -8.0 Anti-modernization.
  • model gpt -8.0 UTJ resists secular education, family-law reform, and liberal modernization.
  • model minimax -8.0 UTJ is firmly traditionalist: rejects social modernization, defends religious family law.
  • model Grok -7.0 Strongly resists secular modernization; maintains traditionalist isolation where possible.
  • model Kimi -7.0 Traditionalist Haredi; opposes Western-style modernization and secular education.

  before · r1 gemini -10.0grok -9.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• National Unity IL Traditionalism vs modernization settled ↔ 3 pt +5.5
  • prior Author baseline +4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model minimax +4.0 National Unity is broadly modernizing on social and economic transformation.
  • model Grok +5.0 Supports technological and institutional modernization.
  • model DeepSeek +5.0 Pro-modernization.
  • model Kimi +5.0 Modernizing on security and technology; moderate on social issues.
  • model Claude +6.0 Modernizing centrist orientation.
  • model gpt +6.0 National Unity favors competent institutions, technology, and moderate social modernization.
  • model qwen +6.0 Supports institutional and technological modernization.
  • model Gemini +7.0 Promotes state and economic modernization alongside institutional transparency.
  • model gemma +7.0 Supports modernization.

  before · r1 grok +6.0gemini +7.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Nour Party EG Traditionalism vs modernization settled ↔ 3 pt -7.0
  • prior Author baseline -8.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Gemini -8.0 It strongly rejects secular social and institutional modernization in favor of rigid religious traditionalism.
  • model DeepSeek -8.0 Strongly traditionalist; opposes modernist social reforms.
  • model gemma -8.0 Strongly traditionalist; rejects social modernization in favor of religious tradition.
  • model Kimi -7.0 Strongly traditionalist; opposes modernization of social and family structures; wants Saudi-style Wahhabi governance.
  • model Claude -7.0 Strongly traditionalist on social and family questions.
  • model gpt -7.0 It accepts technical development but strongly resists social and legal liberalization.
  • model qwen -6.0 Deeply traditionalist, resisting social modernization and Western cultural influence.
  • model Grok -5.0 Traditionalist and conservative on religious authority, family law, and social norms while accepting selective economic and infrastructure modernization.
  • model minimax -5.0 Traditionalist on social/family issues; selectively modernizing on technology and infrastructure.
• Mostaqbal Watan EG Traditionalism vs modernization settled ↔ 3 pt +5.0
  • prior Author baseline +3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +3.0 Supports economic and technological modernization (Vision 2030) but socially conservative on women's rights and family law.
  • model Claude +4.0 Drives megaproject and infrastructural modernization from above.
  • model minimax +4.0 Supports modernization agenda including women in workforce and infrastructure development.
  • model Gemini +5.0 It champions aggressive technological, infrastructural, and institutional modernization, similar to state-led transformation projects.
  • model DeepSeek +5.0 Pushes infrastructure and economic modernization while socially traditional.
  • model gemma +5.0 Supports modernization in terms of infrastructure
  • model gpt +5.0 It backs state-driven modernization projects while remaining socially conservative.
  • model qwen +5.0 Supports state-led infrastructure and technological modernization projects.
  • model Grok +6.0 Endorses regime's infrastructure, economic, and technological modernization projects and Vision-style development agenda.
• National Liberation Front DZ Centralism vs federalism settled ↔ 3 pt -9.0
  • model Gemini -9.0 The FLN strongly supports Algeria's highly centralized, unitary state structure and opposes regional devolution.
  • model Kimi -9.0 Extremely centralist; historically suppressed regional autonomy demands.
  • model Grok -9.0 Architect and defender of Algeria's strongly centralized unitary Arab-Islamic nation-state.
  • model gemma -9.0 Strongly committed to a unitary
  • model minimax -9.0 FLN built and fiercely defended Algeria's hyper-centralist unitary Jacobin state.
  • model qwen -9.0 Strongly centralist; foundational to post-colonial Algerian state-building.
  • prior Author baseline -8.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Claude -8.0 Architect of Algeria's strongly centralist unitary state.
  • model DeepSeek -6.0 FLN is the historic pillar of Algeria’s highly centralized unitary state.
• Yemeni Congregation for Reform (Islah) YE Traditionalism vs modernization settled ↔ 3 pt -4.0
  • model Grok -5.0 Islah resists social modernization on gender equality, family law, and secularization, prioritizing traditional Islamic frameworks over liberal institutional reforms.
  • model DeepSeek -5.0 Islah accepts modern technology and economy but rejects social modernization on gender and family law.
  • prior Author baseline -4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Gemini -4.0 Islah prioritizes traditional religious and social values, resisting liberal or secular institutional and social modernization.
  • model gemma -4.0 They accept technical progress but oppose social modernization of family and gender roles.
  • model minimax -4.0 Islah blends religious traditionalism with selective technocratic modernization; on social and family-law issues it leans clearly traditionalist.
  • model Claude -4.0 Islamist traditionalism with only limited technocratic modernizing streaks.
  • model qwen -4.0 Socially traditionalist but pragmatically accepts modern technology and educational institutions.
  • model Kimi -3.0 Islah supports selective modernization in technology and economy while resisting social modernization that conflicts with Islamic values.
  • model gpt -2.0 It accepts institutional reform while remaining conservative on gender and family law.
• Yemeni Socialist Party YE Traditionalism vs modernization settled ↔ 3 pt +6.0
  • prior Author baseline +4.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +4.0 YSP supports social and institutional modernization, including women's rights and secular education, consistent with its leftist heritage.
  • model Claude +5.0 Secular-left reform agenda oriented toward modernization.
  • model gpt +6.0 It supports secular, institutional, and gender-related modernization more than most Yemeni actors.
  • model qwen +6.0 Champions social and institutional modernization, women's emancipation, and secular education.
  • model Gemini +7.0 The YSP is heavily modernizing, advocating for institutional reform, gender equality, and secular educational systems.
  • model Grok +7.0 The YSP supports progressive social and institutional modernization, including expanded women's rights, secular education, and reforms consistent with its socialist platform.
  • model gemma +7.0 They strongly support social and institutional modernization.
  • model minimax +7.0 YSP promotes gender equality, secular law, education expansion, and institutional modernization, placing it clearly on the modernizing side.
• Southern Transitional Council YE Centralism vs federalism settled ↔ 3 pt +9.0
  • model Kimi +7.0 STC explicitly advocates for southern autonomy or independence, seeking maximum federalism/decentralization for the south.
  • prior Author baseline +9.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok +9.0 The STC actively pursues southern self-determination, autonomy, or independence and has launched military and political initiatives to achieve a separate or highly autonomous southern entity.
  • model DeepSeek +9.0 STC demands full independence or at least a highly federalized southern region.
  • model Claude +9.0 Southern separatist body at the federalist/secessionist extreme of the spectrum.
  • model qwen +9.0 Demands either full secession for an independent South or a strict two-region federal system.
  • model Gemini +10.0 The STC is at the federalist extreme, demanding southern self-determination or a confederal arrangement leading to independence for South Yemen.
  • model gemma +10.0 Their primary goal is southern autonomy or independence.
  • model gpt +10.0 Its core project is southern self-rule and often outright independence from the unified state.
  • model minimax +10.0 STC explicitly demands a southern federal region and has at times advocated full southern independence; it is the archetype of a southern-Yemeni federalist movement.
• National Rally of Independents MA Traditionalism vs modernization settled ↔ 3 pt +6.0
  • prior Author baseline +5.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Claude +6.0 ⛓ grounded 2× rounds Frames itself around the "new development model" and emerging-economy reform.
  • model DeepSeek +6.0 Pro-economic and administrative modernization.
  • model minimax +6.0 RNI under Akhannouch champions a development-modernization agenda, including women's economic participation and infrastructure projects.
  • model qwen +6.0 Supports economic and institutional modernization to attract foreign investment.
  • model Kimi +7.0 RNI's platform is built on technocratic modernization, digital transformation, and New Development Model.
  • model Gemini +7.0 Strongly promotes economic and technological modernization alongside institutional efficiency.
  • model Grok +8.0 Actively drives economic liberalization, digitalization, infrastructure modernization, and business-environment reforms for global competitiveness.
  • model gemma +8.0 Driving force for technological
• Hadash IL Gender equality settled ↔ 3 pt +8.0
  • model minimax +6.0 Hadash is supportive of gender equality, women's representation, and reform of religious family law within its base.
  • model Kimi +7.0 Socialist feminist wing (Tandi) active; supports gender equality, though traditional Arab society creates tension.
  • model Claude +8.0 Strong programmatic commitment to gender equality.
  • model Grok +8.0 Strongly supports gender equality feminist policies and women's rights in public life.
  • model DeepSeek +8.0 Strong feminist and pro-gender equality platform.
  • model qwen +8.0 Strong commitment to gender equality rooted in its communist tradition.
  • prior Author baseline +9.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Gemini +9.0 Maintains a strict commitment to gender equality, feminist principles, and equal representation.
  • model gemma +9.0 Strongly promotes absolute gender equality.
  • model gpt +9.0 Hadash has a strongly egalitarian platform on women and gender representation.

  before · r1 gemini +8.0grok +8.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Religious Zionism Party IL Gender equality settled ↔ 3 pt -7.0
  • model qwen -9.0 Strongly patriarchal and opposes gender equality in religious and public life.
  • prior Author baseline -7.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok -7.0 Strongly patriarchal traditionalist opposes progressive gender equality policies.
  • model DeepSeek -7.0 Strongly patriarchal.
  • model Kimi -7.0 Strongly traditionalist on gender roles; opposes progressive gender equality.
  • model gemma -7.0 Strongly traditionalist and patriarchal.
  • model minimax -7.0 Religious Zionism is strongly patriarchal: opposes women's equality, supports gender segregation in public life.
  • model Claude -6.0 Religious patriarchal traditionalism.
  • model Gemini -6.0 Upholds patriarchal traditionalism and opposes feminist reforms in the military or public spheres.
  • model gpt -6.0 It promotes traditional family roles and religious limits on gender equality.

  before · r1 gemini -8.0grok -8.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Shas IL Gender equality settled ↔ 3 pt -7.5
  • model qwen -9.0 2× rounds Ultra-Orthodox, strictly patriarchal.
  • model gemma -9.0 2× rounds Strictly adheres to patriarchal traditionalism.
  • prior Author baseline -8.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Gemini -8.0 2× rounds Maintains a strictly patriarchal structure and explicitly bars women from its political list.
  • model Kimi -8.0 2× rounds Extremely traditionalist Haredi party; opposes gender equality in religious and public life.
  • model Claude -7.0 2× rounds Patriarchal religious traditionalism.
  • model DeepSeek -7.0 2× rounds Patriarchal; traditional gender roles.
  • model minimax -7.0 2× rounds Shas is an ultra-Orthodox party with deeply patriarchal positions on gender.
  • model mistral -7.0 Shas strongly supports patriarchal traditionalism.
  • model gpt -7.0 Shas maintains traditional gender roles and male-dominated religious leadership.
  • model Grok -6.0 2× rounds Shas enforces strict traditional Jewish gender roles and patriarchal family structures in its communities.

  before · r1 gemini -9.0grok -7.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Freedom and Justice Party EG Gender equality settled ↔ 3 pt -6.5
  • model minimax -8.0 Conservative on women's rights
  • model Kimi -7.0 Strongly patriarchal traditionalism; deems women unsuitable for presidency, supports conservative family law based on Sharia.
  • model Gemini -7.0 Its platform and ideology uphold traditional patriarchal gender roles and reject secular frameworks for women's rights.
  • model Grok -7.0 Conservative Islamist positions on family law and gender roles rooted in traditional Sharia interpretations favoring patriarchal structures.
  • model gemma -7.0 Adheres to traditional patriarchal roles based on religious interpretations.
  • model Claude -6.0 Islamist patriarchal stance on family law and gender roles.
  • model DeepSeek -6.0 Conservative on gender roles; opposes egalitarian family law reforms.
  • model gpt -6.0 Its Islamist platform endorsed traditional family roles and resisted liberal family-law reform.
  • model qwen -6.0 Promotes traditional gender roles and patriarchal family structures.
  • prior Author baseline -5.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
• Nour Party EG Gender equality settled ↔ 3 pt -8.5
  • model Kimi -9.0 2× rounds Extremely patriarchal traditionalism; strict Sharia-based family law, opposes gender equality in political representation.
  • model Gemini -9.0 2× rounds Its Salafi doctrine enforces strict patriarchal traditionalism and opposes gender equality frameworks.
  • model gemma -9.0 2× rounds Strongly advocates for traditional
  • model gpt -9.0 It strongly defends patriarchal family roles and conservative personal-status norms.
  • prior Author baseline -8.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok -8.0 2× rounds Hardline Salafi party enforcing strict patriarchal Islamic gender norms as these Islamist types always do.
  • model Claude -8.0 2× rounds Strongly patriarchal Salafi stance on gender roles and family law.
  • model DeepSeek -8.0 2× rounds Strongly patriarchal; opposes gender equality in family and public life.
  • model qwen -8.0 2× rounds Salafi party promotes patriarchal traditional gender roles.
  • model minimax -7.0 2× rounds Nour Party holds socially conservative Salafist positions on gender roles.
  • model mistral -6.0 Nour Party leans strongly toward patriarchal traditionalism.
• Israeli Labor Party IL Press freedom settled ↔ 3 pt +7.0
  • model Kimi +5.0 Generally supports free press, but security concerns have led to restrictions.
  • model Grok +6.0 Supports free press with standard democratic safeguards.
  • model minimax +6.0 Labor supports free press and has not pursued press-restriction policies.
  • model qwen +6.0 Generally supports press freedom, though past governments have imposed some restrictions.
  • prior Author baseline +7.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model DeepSeek +7.0 Pro-press freedom.
  • model Claude +8.0 Supports an independent free press.
  • model Gemini +8.0 Stands for a free, independent press and opposes government interference in public broadcasting.
  • model gemma +8.0 Strongly supports a free press.
  • model gpt +8.0 Labor generally supports independent journalism and free media.

  before · r1 gemini +8.0grok +8.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Freedom and Justice Party EG Press freedom settled ↔ 3 pt -4.0
  • model minimax -6.0 MB-era Morsi government prosecuted critical journalists and tolerated pro-Brotherhood media dominance.
  • model qwen -6.0 Cracked down on independent media and journalists while in office.
  • model Kimi -5.0 When in power, prosecuted journalists and critics for insulting Islam; supports state-controlled religious boundaries on press.
  • model Gemini -5.0 Its record in power showed a clear pattern of restricting press freedom and targeting critical journalists.
  • model Grok -4.0 In power favored media aligned with its narrative and tolerated restrictions on critical or opposition journalism.
  • model gemma -4.0 Their period in power was marked by tensions and restrictions on non-aligned press.
  • model gpt -4.0 Its time in power included pressure on hostile media and prosecutions of critics.
  • prior Author baseline -3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Claude -3.0 In power pressured media and outlets critical of the presidency.
  • model DeepSeek -3.0 During brief tenure tolerated some press freedom but sought to regulate media critical of Islamists.
• Noam IL State & religion settled ↔ 3 pt -8.5
  • prior Author baseline -10.0 Baseline estimate for newly-added 25th-Knesset party.
  • model Claude -7.0 ⛓ grounded Jewish peoplehood defined through family, matrilineal descent, Torah and mitzvot — a Rabbinate-style religious identity.
• Hadash-Ta'al IL Liberal democracy settled ↔ 3 pt +7.0
  • model Grok +5.0 Supports democratic participation and minority rights with moderate liberal commitment.
  • model minimax +5.0 Both Hadash and Ta'al commit to liberal-democratic norms, minority rights, and free press but seek to transform the foundational order.
  • model DeepSeek +6.0 Democratic commitment but with leftist reservations.
  • model Kimi +6.0 Combined platform supports civil rights but anti-Zionist stance creates tension.
  • model Claude +7.0 ⛓ grounded 2× rounds Arab-Palestinian citizens as a national minority with full equality; democratic civil liberties.
  • model gpt +7.0 The alliance defended parliamentary democracy, courts, and minority rights.
  • model Gemini +8.0 Stresses the importance of liberal-democratic checks and judicial independence to protect minority rights.
  • model gemma +8.0 Strong commitment to civil rights and democratic checks.
  • model qwen +8.0 Strong commitment to liberal democracy and minority rights.
• Hadash-Ta'al IL Economic settled ↔ 3 pt -6.0
  • model gemma -8.0 Combination of socialist and nationalist economic demands.
  • model Claude -6.0 ⛓ grounded 2× rounds Marxist-left redistribution: 50% military-spend cut, tax shift onto employers/banks/capital, reverse privatizations, a 35-hour week.
  • model DeepSeek -6.0 Left-wing alliance with statist economic orientation.
  • model Kimi -6.0 Joint list combining socialist Hadash and nationalist Ta'al; leans statist.
  • model gpt -6.0 The joint list combined Hadash socialist economics with Ta’al’s Arab minority-rights agenda.
  • model minimax -6.0 Joint Hadash-Ta'al list combines communist statist positions with Ta'al's pragmatic welfare-statist positions; overall anti-market.
  • model qwen -6.0 Mixed economic stance combining Hadash's socialism with Ta'al's nationalism.
  • model Gemini -5.0 Combines communist and social-democratic elements favoring state welfare and minority economic support.
  • model Grok -5.0 Alliance blends socialist and Arab nationalist economic views favoring state role in welfare.
• Kataeb Party LB Iran posture settled ↔ 3 pt -8.5
  • model Gemini -10.0 Kataeb is vehemently opposed to Iranian influence and intervention in Lebanese affairs.
  • model gemma -9.0 Strongly adversarial toward Iran and its regional influence.
  • model minimax -9.0 Kataeb strongly opposes Iranian influence in Lebanon and views Hezbollah as an Iranian proxy.
  • model qwen -9.0 Kataeb is fiercely anti-Iran, viewing it as a threat to Lebanese sovereignty through Hezbollah.
  • model Claude -8.0 ⛓ grounded 2× rounds Names Hezbollah as serving "the Iranian agenda" and demands the state monopoly on arms.
  • model Grok -8.0 Strongly adversarial to Iran and views Hezbollah as Iranian proxy threatening Lebanese sovereignty; advocates confronting rather than accommodating Tehran.
  • model Kimi -8.0 Kataeb is one of the most anti-Iran parties in Lebanon, explicitly opposing Iranian influence and Hezbollah; Gemayel has called Hezbollah an "Islamic Republic" imposing its will on Lebanon.
  • model gpt -8.0 It is strongly opposed to Iranian influence through Hezbollah.
  • model DeepSeek -7.0 Strongly anti-Iran; sees Iran as a destabilizing occupying force via Hezbollah.
• Nour Party EG Social settled ↔ 2 pt -9.0
  • model gemma -10.0 Extremely conservative; enforces strict collective moral authority.
  • model gpt -10.0 It advocates strict conservative Islamic moral authority in public life.
  • model Kimi -9.0 Extremely socially conservative; strict interpretation of Islamic custom on lifestyle, gender, and moral authority.
  • model Gemini -9.0 It advocates for an ultraconservative social order governed by strict collective Islamic moral authority.
  • model DeepSeek -9.0 Extremely socially conservative; rejects LGBTQ+ rights and individual expression.
  • model minimax -9.0 Strongly conservative on lifestyle
  • model qwen -9.0 Extremely socially conservative, enforcing strict Salafi moral codes.
  • prior Author baseline -8.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Claude -8.0 Strong traditional moral authority over personal life.
  • model Grok -8.0 Ultra-conservative Salafi ideology enforces strict traditional moral and social authority based on literalist Sharia interpretations.
• Palestinian Islamic Jihad PS Social settled ↔ 2 pt -9.0
  • model Gemini -10.0 Advocates absolute traditional collective moral authority rooted in strict Islamic fundamentalism.
  • model qwen -10.0 Imposes strict traditional Islamic moral authority on social life.
  • model Grok -9.0 PIJ enforces extreme traditional Islamist social controls with virtually no tolerance for personal moral or lifestyle liberties.
  • model DeepSeek -9.0 PIJ enforces strict traditional moral authority, rejects Western-style personal freedoms.
  • model gemma -9.0 Enforces strict religious authority and traditional social norms.
  • model gpt -9.0 Its Islamist doctrine prioritizes strict religious moral authority over individual lifestyle freedoms.
  • prior Author baseline -8.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi -8.0 PIJ's Islamist ideology demands strict traditional moral authority, rejects LGBTQ+ rights and personal freedoms, and would enforce conservative Islamic social norms if it had governing power.
  • model minimax -8.0 PIJ promotes strict Islamic social conservatism in its declared platform.
  • model Claude -8.0 Imposes strict Islamist moral authority.
• Hezbollah LB West alignment settled ↔ 2 pt -9.0
  • model Claude -10.0 ⛓ grounded 3× rounds Anti-Israel, anti-imperialist resistance posture.
  • model Gemini -10.0 2× rounds Hezbollah is fundamentally hostile to Western strategic and military influence in the Middle East.
  • model qwen -10.0 2× rounds Vehemently anti-Western, especially anti-US.
  • model gemma -10.0 2× rounds Strongly anti-Western and anti-US.
  • model gpt -10.0 It is strategically hostile to the US and Western-backed regional order.
  • prior Author baseline -9.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • re-coder Re-coder C -9.0 Second-pass coder C — rubric-anchored re-read on the west-alignment axis; magnitude follows the primary reading with independent judgment calls on the governance axes.
  • model Grok -9.0 2× rounds Hezbollah is ideologically and operationally anti-Western viewing the US and its allies as enemies of Islam.
  • model Kimi -9.0 2× rounds Hezbollah is explicitly anti-Western, designated as terrorist by the US and EU; its entire ideology is built on resistance to Western (especially US) influence and alignment with Iran.
  • model DeepSeek -9.0 2× rounds Openly anti-Western; designated terrorist group by US; aligned with Iran.
  • model minimax -9.0 2× rounds Hezbollah is firmly anti-Western
  • model mistral -9.0 Hezbollah is strongly anti-Western.
  • re-coder Re-coder B -8.0 Second-pass coder B — rubric-anchored re-read on the west-alignment axis; extreme magnitudes tempered slightly toward the rubric mid-anchors.
• Kataeb Party LB West alignment settled ↔ 2 pt +7.0
  • prior Author baseline +6.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model DeepSeek +6.0 Pro-Western; seeks US and European support against Hezbollah and Iran.
  • model Claude +7.0 ⛓ grounded 2× rounds Restoring Western and Arab ties; UN-recognised neutrality.
  • model Kimi +7.0 Kataeb is strongly pro-Western, seeking strategic alignment with the US and EU; it emphasizes Lebanon's openness to the world and rejects the Iranian-backed resistance axis.
  • model gpt +7.0 It is strategically pro-Western and anti-Hezbollah.
  • model minimax +7.0 Kataeb is firmly pro-Western
  • model Gemini +8.0 Kataeb is strongly pro-Western, seeking strategic and diplomatic partnerships with Western nations.
  • model Grok +8.0 Actively seeks strategic partnership with Western powers (US, EU, France) to support Lebanese sovereignty and counter Iranian axis influence.
  • model gemma +8.0 Strongly aligned with Western strategic and security interests.
• Likud IL Palestinian question settled ↔ 2 pt -8.0
  • prior Author baseline -8.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • re-coder Re-coder C -8.0 Second-pass coder C — rubric-anchored re-read on the palestinian-question axis; magnitude follows the primary reading with independent judgment calls on the governance axes.
  • model Claude -8.0 ⛓ grounded 3× rounds Rejects a Palestinian state: "between the Sea and the Jordan there will only be Israeli sovereignty."
  • model Gemini -8.0 2× rounds Opposes Palestinian statehood, favors settlement expansion, and asserts exclusive Jewish sovereignty.
  • model qwen -8.0 2× rounds Opposes Palestinian statehood and rights in practice.
  • model mistral -8.0 Likud strongly opposes Palestinian statehood and rights.
  • model gemma -8.0 2× rounds Generally opposed to Palestinian national aspirations.
  • model gpt -8.0 Likud opposes Palestinian sovereignty in practice and supports settlement expansion.
  • re-coder Re-coder B -7.0 Second-pass coder B — rubric-anchored re-read on the palestinian-question axis; extreme magnitudes tempered slightly toward the rubric mid-anchors.
  • model Grok -7.0 2× rounds Likud under Netanyahu rejects Palestinian statehood and expands settlements firmly opposing Palestinian maximalist demands.
  • model DeepSeek -7.0 2× rounds Opposes Palestinian statehood and supports settlements.
  • model minimax -7.0 2× rounds Likud is firmly opposed to Palestinian statehood and pro-Palestinian demands.
  • model Kimi -6.0 2× rounds Opposes Palestinian statehood under current conditions; supports settlement expansion.

  before · r1 gemini -8.0grok -7.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Yesh Atid IL Civil liberties settled ↔ 2 pt +7.0
  • prior Author baseline +6.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model qwen +6.0 Strong advocate for civil liberties, particularly regarding secular rights and equality.
  • model Claude +7.0 Liberal-centrist defense of civil liberties.
  • model Gemini +7.0 Advocates for the protection and expansion of civil liberties and individual freedoms.
  • model Grok +7.0 Strong advocate for civil liberties protest rights and minority protections.
  • model DeepSeek +7.0 Pro-civil liberties.
  • model Kimi +7.0 Liberal centrist; strongly supports civil liberties and individual rights.
  • model gpt +7.0 Yesh Atid defends liberal institutions and civil liberties in mainstream Israeli politics.
  • model minimax +7.0 Yesh Atid strongly supports civil liberties, free press, and free expression.
  • model gemma +8.0 Strongly supports civil liberties and individual rights.

  before · r1 grok +7.0gemini +8.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Israeli Labor Party IL Palestinian question settled ↔ 2 pt +4.8
  • re-coder Re-coder B +4.0 Second-pass coder B — rubric-anchored re-read on the palestinian-question axis; extreme magnitudes tempered slightly toward the rubric mid-anchors.
  • model Claude +4.0 ⛓ grounded 3× rounds Two states via negotiated "separation," demilitarized Palestinian state, settlement-bloc retention; the Rabin lineage.
  • model DeepSeek +4.0 2× rounds Supports two-state solution but not full Palestinian maximal rights.
  • model Kimi +4.0 2× rounds Supports two-state solution and Palestinian self-determination, but within Zionist framework.
  • model gemma +4.0 2× rounds Supports a two-state solution and basic Palestinian rights.
  • prior Author baseline +5.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • re-coder Re-coder C +5.0 Second-pass coder C — rubric-anchored re-read on the palestinian-question axis; magnitude follows the primary reading with independent judgment calls on the governance axes.
  • model minimax +5.0 2× rounds Labor historically supports a two-state solution
  • model mistral +5.0 Israeli Labor Party supports a two-state solution and Palestinian rights.
  • model gpt +5.0 Labor supports a two-state framework and Palestinian self-determination with Israeli security limits.
  • model Grok +6.0 2× rounds Labor has historically supported land-for-peace and Palestinian statehood more dovish than right-wing parties.
  • model Gemini +6.0 2× rounds Supports a negotiated two-state solution to secure Israel's democratic and Jewish future.
  • model qwen +6.0 2× rounds Supports two-state solution and Palestinian rights.

  before · r1 grok +5.0gemini +6.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Israeli Labor Party IL Civil liberties settled ↔ 2 pt +7.0
  • model Grok +5.0 Historically supportive of civil liberties with security trade-offs in practice.
  • model minimax +5.0 Labor has a strong liberal-democratic civil-liberties tradition but in coalition governments has sometimes compromised with religious parties.
  • prior Author baseline +6.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +6.0 Supports civil liberties in principle, but historical record includes security restrictions.
  • model Claude +7.0 Center-left tradition of protecting civil liberties.
  • model Gemini +7.0 Advocates for expanding civil liberties, individual freedoms, and anti-discrimination protections.
  • model DeepSeek +7.0 Generally protective of civil liberties.
  • model gemma +7.0 Consistent supporter of civil liberties.
  • model gpt +7.0 Labor generally defends civil liberties and liberal institutions in Israeli politics.
  • model qwen +7.0 Generally supports civil liberties, though its record in office has had security-related blemishes.

  before · r1 gemini +7.0grok +7.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Religious Zionism Party IL Palestinian question settled ↔ 2 pt -9.5
  • model Claude -10.0 Advocates West Bank annexation and opposes all Palestinian rights.
  • model Gemini -10.0 Uncompromisingly opposes Palestinian statehood and rights, advocating for full annexation.
  • model gpt -10.0 It rejects Palestinian statehood and supports annexation and settlement expansion.
  • model minimax -10.0 Religious Zionism firmly opposes Palestinian statehood, supports annexation and population-transfer policies.
  • model qwen -10.0 Absolute opposition to Palestinian statehood and rights.
  • prior Author baseline -9.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model DeepSeek -9.0 Opposes Palestinian statehood; supports annexation.
  • model Kimi -9.0 Opposes Palestinian statehood; supports annexation of West Bank and Jewish sovereignty over all land.
  • model gemma -9.0 Strongly opposed to Palestinian statehood and rights.
  • model Grok -8.0 Strongly opposes Palestinian statehood or significant rights concessions.

  before · r1 gemini -10.0grok -8.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Hadash IL Palestinian question settled ↔ 2 pt +9.0
  • re-coder Re-coder B +8.0 Second-pass coder B — rubric-anchored re-read on the palestinian-question axis; extreme magnitudes tempered slightly toward the rubric mid-anchors.
  • prior Author baseline +9.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • re-coder Re-coder C +9.0 Second-pass coder C — rubric-anchored re-read on the palestinian-question axis; magnitude follows the primary reading with independent judgment calls on the governance axes.
  • model Grok +9.0 2× rounds Hadash is one of the most pro-Palestinian Arab parties in the Knesset supporting full rights and end to occupation.
  • model DeepSeek +9.0 2× rounds Fully supports Palestinian self-determination.
  • model Kimi +9.0 2× rounds Strongly supports Palestinian rights, two-state solution, and ending occupation.
  • model Claude +10.0 2× rounds Central plank is full Palestinian rights and ending the occupation.
  • model Gemini +10.0 2× rounds Strongly supports the establishment of an independent Palestinian state alongside Israel.
  • model qwen +10.0 2× rounds Strongly pro-Palestinian rights and self-determination.
  • model minimax +10.0 2× rounds Hadash is a leading pro-Palestinian party in Israel
  • model mistral +10.0 Hadash is a strong supporter of Palestinian rights.
  • model gemma +10.0 2× rounds Total support for Palestinian national rights and self-determination.
  • model gpt +10.0 Hadash strongly supports Palestinian rights and an end to occupation.

  before · r1 grok +9.0gemini +10.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Hadash IL Civil liberties settled ↔ 2 pt +9.0
  • prior Author baseline +7.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok +8.0 2× rounds Hadash advocates expanding civil liberties especially for Arabs and opposes the right-wing's restrictive policies.
  • model DeepSeek +8.0 2× rounds Strong defender of civil liberties and minority rights.
  • model minimax +8.0 2× rounds Hadash strongly supports civil liberties
  • model mistral +8.0 Hadash strongly supports expanding civil liberties.
  • model Claude +9.0 2× rounds Long record of championing speech, protest and association rights.
  • model Gemini +9.0 2× rounds Strongly champions the expansion of civil liberties, free speech, and protest rights for all.
  • model Kimi +9.0 2× rounds Communist tradition strongly supports free speech, protest, and civil liberties for all.
  • model qwen +9.0 2× rounds Leftist, secular, strongly supports civil liberties.
  • model gemma +9.0 2× rounds Strong advocate for the expansion of civil and human rights.
  • model gpt +9.0 Hadash strongly defends speech, protest, association, and civil rights.

  before · r1 gemini +9.0grok +9.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Mostaqbal Watan EG Regime stance settled ↔ 2 pt +9.5
  • model DeepSeek +8.0 Pro-regime ruling party; defends current constitutional order.
  • model Claude +9.0 It is effectively the regime, defending the existing order.
  • prior Author baseline +9.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +9.0 Founded explicitly to support Sisi's election and policies; the quintessential pro-regime party defending constitutional order.
  • model Grok +9.0 Primary pro-Sisi party explicitly founded to support and defend the current political order and leadership.
  • model Gemini +10.0 It is the primary political instrument defending and entrenching the current foundational political order.
  • model gemma +10.0 The party of the current regime; fully aligned with the existing order.
  • model gpt +10.0 It is explicitly organized around supporting the existing Sisi-era political order.
  • model minimax +10.0 Founded explicitly to support President Sisi; quintessential pro-regime party.
  • model qwen +10.0 The primary parliamentary vehicle for President Sisi and the current regime.
• Ta'al IL Liberal democracy settled ↔ 2 pt +6.0
  • model Grok +5.0 Supports liberal democratic rights and strong minority protections.
  • model gemma +5.0 Supports liberal democratic norms to protect minorities.
  • model minimax +5.0 Ta'al is committed to liberal-democratic norms but seeks to transform the foundational Zionist order.
  • prior Author baseline +6.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model DeepSeek +6.0 Pro-democracy.
  • model Claude +6.0 Defends liberal-democratic checks and Arab minority rights.
  • model Kimi +6.0 Supports democratic participation but anti-Zionist stance creates tension with Israeli constitutional order.
  • model Gemini +7.0 Emphasizes strong liberal-democratic checks and judicial independence to protect minority rights.
  • model gpt +7.0 Ta’al is parliamentary and liberal on minority rights while rejecting Jewish supremacy.
  • model qwen +7.0 Strong commitment to liberal democracy and minority rights.

  before · r1 grok +6.0gemini +7.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Ta'al IL Palestinian question settled ↔ 2 pt +9.5
  • model Grok +8.0 Core focus on Palestinian rights self-determination and citizen equality in Israel.
  • model Kimi +8.0 Strongly pro-Palestinian; supports two-state solution and Palestinian rights.
  • prior Author baseline +9.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model DeepSeek +9.0 Strongly pro-Palestinian.
  • model qwen +9.0 Strongly supports Palestinian rights and self-determination.
  • model Claude +10.0 Built around full Palestinian national rights.
  • model Gemini +10.0 Strongly advocates for full Palestinian self-determination and a sovereign state.
  • model gemma +10.0 Maximalist support for Palestinian rights.
  • model gpt +10.0 Ta’al strongly supports Palestinian rights and self-determination.
  • model minimax +10.0 Ta'al (Ahmad Tibi) is at the maximum pro-Palestinian pole: full rights, statehood, return, and end of occupation.

  before · r1 grok +8.0gemini +9.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Balad IL Civil liberties settled ↔ 2 pt +7.0
  • prior Author baseline +6.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model minimax +6.0 Balad is a liberal-democratic civil-society actor defending free speech and minority rights within Israel; supports expanding protest and association freedoms.
  • model Grok +7.0 Strongly supports expanding civil liberties and protest rights for Arab minority and Palestinians.
  • model DeepSeek +7.0 Pro-expansion of civil liberties including minority rights and free expression.
  • model gemma +7.0 Strongly advocates for the civil rights of Arab citizens.
  • model Claude +8.0 ⛓ grounded 2× rounds Equal rights and cultural autonomy for the Palestinian minority.
  • model Gemini +8.0 Strongly supports the expansion of civil liberties and protection against minority discrimination.
  • model Kimi +8.0 Strongly advocates for free speech, protest rights, and minority civil liberties.
  • model gpt +8.0 Balad consistently emphasizes speech, protest, association, and minority civil rights.
  • model qwen +8.0 Strongly advocates for minority rights and civil liberties for Arab citizens.

  before · r1 gemini +8.0grok +8.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• The Democrats IL Liberal democracy settled ↔ 2 pt +8.5
  • prior Author baseline +7.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model DeepSeek +7.0 Strongly liberal-democratic.
  • model Kimi +7.0 Strong commitment to liberal democracy; formed in opposition to judicial overhaul.
  • model Claude +8.0 Strong commitment to liberal-democratic checks and minority rights.
  • model Grok +8.0 Core identity as defender of liberal democratic institutions and checks.
  • model Gemini +9.0 Deeply committed to robust liberal-democratic checks, judicial independence, and minority protections.
  • model gemma +9.0 Maximum commitment to liberal democratic institutions.
  • model gpt +9.0 It centers judicial independence, free press, and liberal-democratic checks.
  • model minimax +9.0 The Democrats is defined by its strong commitment to liberal-democratic checks, born from the 2023-24 judicial-reform protest movement.
  • model qwen +9.0 Strong commitment to liberal democracy and independent courts.

  before · r1 grok +9.0gemini +10.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• United Torah Judaism IL State & religion settled ↔ 2 pt -9.5
  • model DeepSeek -10.0 Wants halakhic state.
  • model gemma -10.0 Strongly advocates for a state based on Jewish law.
  • model gpt -10.0 UTJ strongly supports rabbinic authority and religious law in public institutions.
  • model minimax -10.0 UTJ is at the maximum religious-state pole: advocates halachic state with full Torah authority.
  • model qwen -10.0 Strongly advocates for total religious authority and Halacha in state and law.
  • model Claude -9.0 Seeks Torah-based authority in state and law.
  • model Gemini -9.0 Vigorously rejects state-religion separation, demanding total Orthodox control over civic status laws.
  • model Grok -9.0 Seeks maximum religious (halakha) authority in state law education and personal status.
  • model Kimi -9.0 Advocates Jewish religious authority in all aspects of state and law.
  • prior Author baseline -8.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.

  before · r1 gemini -10.0grok -9.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• National Unity IL State & religion settled ↔ 2 pt +4.0
  • model Kimi +2.0 Secular leaning but pragmatic on religious issues.
  • model qwen +2.0 Supports the status quo but leans toward maintaining a Jewish and democratic state.
  • prior Author baseline +3.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok +3.0 Secular lean prefers reducing religious coercion in public life.
  • model Gemini +4.0 Advocates for a pragmatic compromise on state-religion issues rather than strict separation.
  • model Claude +4.0 Secular-leaning, favoring moderate separation.
  • model DeepSeek +4.0 Centrist on religion-state.
  • model gemma +4.0 Leans toward secularism within the Zionist frame.
  • model gpt +4.0 National Unity supports some civil reforms while preserving Jewish-state compromises.
  • model minimax +4.0 National Unity favors the status quo with limited religious accommodation; leans secular.

  before · r1 gemini +3.0grok +5.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Fatah PS Palestinian question settled ↔ 2 pt +9.0
  • model Kimi +8.0 2× rounds Fatah is the dominant Palestinian nationalist party, founded the PLO, and has consistently pursued Palestinian statehood, though its methods have shifted from armed struggle to negotiation.
  • model minimax +8.0 Fatah is a Palestinian national movement strongly committed to Palestinian self-determination.
  • model mistral +8.0 Fatah is a strong supporter of Palestinian rights.
  • re-coder Re-coder B +9.0 Second-pass coder B — rubric-anchored re-read on the palestinian-question axis; extreme magnitudes tempered slightly toward the rubric mid-anchors.
  • model Claude +9.0 ⛓ grounded 3× rounds "Complete liberation of Palestine" — the foundational Palestinian-nationalist text.
  • model DeepSeek +9.0 2× rounds Fatah strongly supports Palestinian statehood and rights, though via negotiation rather than armed struggle.
  • model gpt +9.0 Fatah’s defining program is Palestinian statehood and national self-determination.
  • prior Author baseline +10.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • re-coder Re-coder C +10.0 Second-pass coder C — rubric-anchored re-read on the palestinian-question axis; magnitude follows the primary reading with independent judgment calls on the governance axes.
  • model Gemini +10.0 2× rounds Stands as the historic leading movement for Palestinian national self-determination and statehood.
  • model Grok +10.0 2× rounds Fatah has led the Palestinian national movement's pursuit of statehood, rights, and self-determination for decades.
  • model qwen +10.0 2× rounds Leading Palestinian national movement.
  • model gemma +10.0 2× rounds Core mission is Palestinian national rights.
• Hamas PS Civil liberties settled ↔ 2 pt -8.0
  • model gemma -9.0 Actual record in Gaza is characterized by severe restriction of speech and dissent.
  • model qwen -9.0 Routinely suppresses dissent, restricts freedoms, and jails political opponents in Gaza.
  • model Gemini -8.0 Its authoritarian record of governance in the Gaza Strip involves severe suppression of public dissent and political opposition.
  • model Grok -8.0 Hamas governance in Gaza features severe restrictions on dissent, opposition activity, and basic freedoms through arbitrary detention and intimidation.
  • model Kimi -8.0 Hamas has a documented record in Gaza of severely restricting civil liberties, suppressing dissent, arresting political opponents, and using violence against protesters and critics.
  • model gpt -8.0 Its Gaza rule has restricted dissent, protest, opposition activity, and civil society freedoms.
  • model Claude -8.0 Gaza record: dissent suppressed, no functioning opposition or free association.
  • prior Author baseline -7.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model DeepSeek -7.0 Hamas government in Gaza has severely restricted speech, protest, and association, especially against critics.
• Palestinian Islamic Jihad PS Palestinian question settled ↔ 2 pt +10.0
  • model Kimi +8.0 PIJ is dedicated to Palestinian liberation through armed struggle and rejects any compromise; it is maximally pro-Palestinian rights but opposes a negotiated two-state solution.
  • model Claude +9.0 Maximally pro-Palestinian through armed struggle.
  • prior Author baseline +10.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Gemini +10.0 Demands maximalist Palestinian national and religious rights from Jordan to the Mediterranean Sea.
  • model Grok +10.0 PIJ dedicates itself exclusively to maximalist armed struggle for full Palestinian liberation and rights.
  • model DeepSeek +10.0 PIJ is maximalist on Palestinian rights, rejecting any compromise with Israel.
  • model gemma +10.0 Committed to the total liberation of Palestine through armed struggle.
  • model gpt +10.0 Its entire program centers Palestinian liberation and resistance to Israel.
  • model qwen +10.0 Fully committed to armed struggle for Palestinian liberation and rights.
• Palestinian Islamic Jihad PS Civil liberties settled ↔ 2 pt -8.0
  • model gemma -9.0 Supports strict social and political control to maintain ideological purity.
  • model qwen -9.0 Authoritarian Islamist group that suppresses dissent and restricts personal freedoms.
  • model Gemini -8.0 Its Islamist platform prioritizes militant conformity and collective resistance over individual civil liberties.
  • model Grok -8.0 PIJ's theocratic and resistance-first ideology leaves little room for protected civil liberties or open dissent.
  • model Kimi -8.0 PIJ is a militant Islamist organization with no commitment to civil liberties; its ideology and operational methods are fundamentally incompatible with protecting speech, protest, and dissent.
  • model DeepSeek -8.0 PIJ, if in power, would severely restrict civil liberties in favor of Islamic governance, similar to Hamas.
  • model gpt -8.0 Its jihadist Islamist ideology offers little space for dissenting civil or political freedoms.
  • prior Author baseline -7.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Claude -7.0 Militant Islamist group with no commitment to speech, dissent, or association.
• PFLP PS Palestinian question settled ↔ 2 pt +10.0
  • model Kimi +8.0 PFLP is one of the original Palestinian resistance organizations, strongly committed to Palestinian rights and liberation, though it rejects the Oslo framework and two-state solution in favor of more maximalist positions.
  • model Grok +9.0 PFLP has been a steadfast advocate of Palestinian liberation, armed struggle, and full self-determination since its founding.
  • model Claude +9.0 Foundational rejectionist faction maximally committed to Palestinian rights.
  • prior Author baseline +10.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Gemini +10.0 Unwaveringly demands complete Palestinian national rights and the liberation of historical Palestine.
  • model gemma +10.0 Fundamental commitment to Palestinian national liberation.
  • model gpt +10.0 Palestinian liberation and self-determination are the party’s core purpose.
  • model qwen +10.0 Rejects the two-state solution, advocating for a single democratic state over all of historic Palestine.
• Palestinian People's Party PS Palestinian question settled ↔ 2 pt +10.0
  • model Grok +8.0 PPP has long participated in the PLO's struggle for Palestinian national rights and self-determination.
  • model Kimi +8.0 PPP is a Palestinian nationalist party, part of the PLO, and strongly supports Palestinian rights, statehood, and self-determination; this has been consistent since its founding.
  • model DeepSeek +8.0 PPP strongly supports Palestinian self-determination, part of PLO framework.
  • model Claude +9.0 Firmly pro-Palestinian rights and statehood.
  • prior Author baseline +10.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Gemini +10.0 Strongly supports Palestinian statehood, self-determination, and international law.
  • model gemma +10.0 Core mission is the realization of Palestinian national rights.
  • model gpt +10.0 It strongly supports Palestinian self-determination and national rights.
  • model qwen +10.0 Fully committed to Palestinian national rights and self-determination.
• DFLP PS Palestinian question settled ↔ 2 pt +10.0
  • model Kimi +8.0 DFLP is a core Palestinian nationalist organization, strongly supports Palestinian rights, statehood, and self-determination, and has been part of the PLO since 1969.
  • model Grok +9.0 DFLP as a founding PLO faction is strongly committed to Palestinian self-determination, statehood, and rights.
  • model DeepSeek +9.0 DFLP is firmly committed to Palestinian self-determination and statehood, albeit via secular leftist framework.
  • model Claude +9.0 Core PLO faction committed to Palestinian self-determination and statehood.
  • prior Author baseline +10.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Gemini +10.0 Strongly champions Palestinian self-determination, statehood, and the right of return.
  • model gemma +10.0 Central mission is the liberation of Palestine and achievement of national rights.
  • model gpt +10.0 Its core program centers Palestinian self-determination and national rights.
  • model qwen +10.0 Fully committed to Palestinian self-determination and rights.
• Mubadara PS Palestinian question settled ↔ 2 pt +10.0
  • model Kimi +8.0 Mubadara is a Palestinian nationalist movement dedicated to ending occupation, establishing a Palestinian state with Jerusalem as capital, and securing refugee return; it is firmly pro-Palestinian rights.
  • model Grok +9.0 Mubadara is deeply committed to advancing Palestinian rights, ending occupation, and achieving self-determination through peaceful popular means.
  • model DeepSeek +9.0 Mubadara firmly supports Palestinian self-determination and rights, led by Mustafa Barghouti.
  • model Claude +9.0 Firmly pro-Palestinian rights and self-determination.
  • prior Author baseline +10.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Gemini +10.0 Strongly advocates for complete Palestinian self-determination, statehood, and rights under international law.
  • model gemma +10.0 Dedicated to achieving Palestinian national rights and self-determination.
  • model gpt +10.0 Its central agenda is Palestinian self-determination and equal national rights.
  • model qwen +10.0 Strongly supports Palestinian self-determination and equality.
• Islamic Action Front JO Social settled ↔ 2 pt -8.0
  • model Grok -8.0 2× rounds IAF advocates strict Islamic social controls and authoritarian governance under sharia.
  • model Gemini -8.0 2× rounds Enforces strict collective moral authority based on Islamic law and opposes individual social liberalization.
  • model gemma -8.0 2× rounds Strongly advocates for traditional Islamic social authority.
  • model gpt -8.0 Its Muslim Brotherhood orientation favors conservative collective moral authority.
  • prior Author baseline -7.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model DeepSeek -7.0 2× rounds Strongly enforces traditional Islamic moral authority; opposes LGBTQ+ rights and liberal lifestyles.
  • model Kimi -6.0 2× rounds Strongly socially conservative, opposes LGBTQ+ rights, supports traditional moral authority and Sharia-based family law
  • model qwen -6.0 2× rounds Socially conservative Islamist.
  • model minimax -6.0 2× rounds IAF is socially conservative in line with its Muslim Brotherhood roots.
  • model mistral -6.0 Islamic Action Front strongly supports authority in social policies.
  • model Claude -6.0 2× rounds Islamist conservatism prioritizing religious authority over liberty.
• Islamic Action Front JO Palestinian question settled ↔ 2 pt +9.0
  • model Kimi +8.0 Strongly pro-Palestinian rights, anti-normalization, supports Palestinian statehood
  • model DeepSeek +8.0 Strongly pro-Palestinian rights; supports resistance and opposes normalization.
  • prior Author baseline +9.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok +9.0 Consistently champions full Palestinian rights, self-determination, right of return, and rejects any compromise normalizing occupation.
  • model gpt +9.0 It strongly supports Palestinian rights and resistance to Israeli occupation.
  • model minimax +9.0 Jordanian Muslim Brotherhood/IAF is firmly pro-Palestinian, supports statehood, right of return, and resistance to occupation.
  • model qwen +9.0 Fiercely pro-Palestinian, actively opposing normalization and advocating for Palestinian resistance and rights.
  • model Gemini +10.0 2× rounds Maintains absolute commitment to Palestinian rights, liberation, and resistance against Israeli occupation.
  • model gemma +10.0 Strongest domestic advocate for Palestinian rights and statehood.
  • model Claude +10.0 Core identity is militant support for Palestinian rights and resistance, tied to Hamas.
• Jordanian Communist Party JO Economic settled ↔ 2 pt -9.0
  • model gemma -10.0 Commitment to Marxist-Leninist state allocation and opposition to capitalism.
  • model Claude -9.0 ⛓ grounded 2× rounds Marxist-Leninist: building socialism, progressive direct taxation, abolishing indirect taxes, restoring the public sector.
  • model Gemini -9.0 Rejects market mechanisms in favor of state control, public ownership, and socialist allocation.
  • model Grok -9.0 Classic communist commitment to state ownership of production, central planning, and rejection of capitalist market allocation.
  • model Kimi -9.0 Strongly statist, opposes market mechanisms, favors state allocation and socialist planning
  • model gpt -9.0 Its communist identity commits it to strong state planning and anti-capitalist redistribution.
  • model qwen -9.0 Advocates for a centrally planned economy and state control over major industries.
  • prior Author baseline -8.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model DeepSeek -8.0 Explicitly statist: opposes privatization
  • model minimax -8.0 Marxist heritage; explicitly statist, advocates public ownership and economic planning.
• Tunisian Workers Party TN State & religion settled ↔ 2 pt +9.0
  • prior Author baseline +7.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model DeepSeek +7.0 Firmly secularist.
  • model Claude +8.0 Strongly secularist, hostile to religious authority in the state.
  • model qwen +8.0 Strongly secularist; advocates complete separation of religion from state [[37]].
  • model Gemini +9.0 The party is strictly secular, advocating for the total separation of religion from state and law.
  • model Grok +9.0 The party advocates the total exclusion of religious authority from state and law and promotes scientific materialism against religious influence in society.
  • model Kimi +9.0 Militantly secular communist tradition demands complete separation and opposes religious authority.
  • model gemma +9.0 Strongly advocates for a secular state.
  • model minimax +9.0 Strictly secular
• People's Movement TN Palestinian question settled ↔ 2 pt +9.0
  • model Kimi +8.0 Nasserist heritage entails strong support for Palestinian rights and statehood.
  • model DeepSeek +8.0 Strongly pro-Palestinian
  • model gemma +8.0 Strongly supports Palestinian rights and self-determination.
  • model minimax +8.0 Strongly pro-Palestinian; core pan-Arab left position.
  • prior Author baseline +9.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok +9.0 One of the most vocal pro-Palestinian parties in Tunisia, consistently supporting maximalist positions, resistance legitimacy, and anti-Zionist framing.
  • model Claude +9.0 Pan-Arab nationalism makes the Palestinian cause a central commitment.
  • model Gemini +10.0 The party places absolute support for Palestinian liberation at the core of its political identity.
  • model qwen +10.0 Strongly pro-Palestinian; organizes protests and hunger strikes in solidarity [[28]].
• Socialist Union of Popular Forces MA Palestinian question settled ↔ 2 pt +7.5
  • prior Author baseline +7.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +7.0 USFP strongly supports Palestinian rights and self-determination as part of leftist solidarity.
  • model Gemini +7.0 Officially maintains strong support for Palestinian national rights and the establishment of an independent Palestinian state.
  • model DeepSeek +7.0 Historically strong pro-Palestinian and anti-colonial solidarity.
  • model Claude +7.0 Arab-left tradition of strong pro-Palestinian solidarity.
  • model Grok +8.0 Longstanding strong support for Palestinian rights, self-determination, and Arab causes; critical of Israeli policies and normalization dynamics.
  • model qwen +8.0 Left-wing internationalist solidarity strongly supports Palestinian rights.
  • model gemma +9.0 Staunchly supportive of Palestinian self-determination and rights.
  • model gpt +9.0 PJD strongly supports Palestinian rights and criticizes normalization with Israel.
  • model minimax +9.0 USFP has been one of the most vocal pro-Palestinian parties in Morocco, with strong links to the Palestinian left and PLO tradition.
• Movement of Society for Peace DZ Social settled ↔ 2 pt -7.0
  • model Gemini -7.0 The MSP advocates for traditional Islamic moral values and collective social conservatism over individual libertarianism.
  • model Kimi -7.0 Socially conservative; traditional moral authority.
  • model Grok -7.0 Advocates conservative Islamic family values, moral legislation, and traditional gender roles in public life.
  • model DeepSeek -7.0 MSP is socially conservative
  • model gemma -7.0 Advocates for traditional Islamic moral authority in society.
  • model gpt -7.0 MSP promotes conservative Islamic moral norms in public life.
  • model Claude -7.0 Socially conservative, upholding traditional Islamic moral authority.
  • model qwen -7.0 Socially conservative; emphasizes Islamic morality over individual liberty.
  • prior Author baseline -5.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model minimax -5.0 MSP maintains conservative positions on personal morality
• Movement of Society for Peace DZ Palestinian question settled ↔ 2 pt +9.0
  • prior Author baseline +8.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok +8.0 Strong consistent support for Palestinian rights and opposition to normalization with Israel.
  • model DeepSeek +8.0 MSP strongly supports Palestinian rights and opposes normalization.
  • model qwen +8.0 Strong pro-Palestinian stance consistent with Islamist identity.
  • model Kimi +9.0 Strong pro-Palestinian rights; part of Muslim Brotherhood tradition.
  • model gemma +9.0 Consistent and strong support for Palestinian rights.
  • model minimax +9.0 MSP firmly supports Palestinian rights and Jerusalem as a pan-Islamic cause.
  • model Claude +9.0 Strongly pro-Palestinian as a core Islamist commitment.
  • model Gemini +10.0 The MSP holds an absolute, ideologically core commitment to Palestinian rights and total resistance to Israel.
  • model gpt +10.0 MSP is strongly pro-Palestinian and anti-normalization.
• Workers' Party DZ Economic settled ↔ 2 pt -9.0
  • model Gemini -10.0 As a Trotskyist party, the PT is intensely statist, opposing market mechanisms and advocating for total state ownership.
  • model gemma -10.0 Strongly advocates for a planned economy and state ownership of production.
  • model minimax -9.0 PT is a Trotskyist workers' party advocating socialist public ownership of the economy.
  • model Claude -9.0 Trotskyist anti-privatization, strongly statist economics.
  • model qwen -9.0 Strongly statist; advocates nationalization and anti-capitalist planning.
  • prior Author baseline -8.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi -8.0 Strongly statist; anti-neoliberal; workers' self-management.
  • model Grok -8.0 Revolutionary socialist: opposes privatization, demands nationalizations, workers' control, and strong redistributive state role.
• Socialist Forces Front DZ State & religion settled ↔ 2 pt +6.0
  • prior Author baseline +6.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +6.0 Advocates secular state; separation of religion and law.
  • model Gemini +6.0 The FFS supports the separation of religion from state affairs, advocating for a secular political framework.
  • model gemma +6.0 Advocates for a secular state and the separation of religion from law.
  • model Claude +6.0 Secularist, opposing religious authority over the state.
  • model qwen +6.0 Strongly secular; advocates clear separation of religion and state.
  • model Grok +7.0 Strongly secular: advocates clear separation of religion from state law and politics; opposes Islamist influence in governance.
  • model DeepSeek +7.0 FFS strongly advocates secularism and separation of religion from state.
  • model minimax +8.0 FFS is a laicist party that strongly defends separation of religion from state and law.
• Socialist Forces Front DZ Liberal democracy settled ↔ 2 pt +7.0
  • prior Author baseline +6.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +7.0 2× rounds Strong commitment to liberal democratic checks.
  • model DeepSeek +7.0 2× rounds FFS consistently advocates for liberal democracy
  • model mistral +7.0 Socialist Forces Front advocates for strong democratic values and liberal reforms.
  • model gpt +7.0 The FFS is an opposition party long associated with pluralism and democratic reform.
  • model Claude +7.0 2× rounds Long-standing genuine opposition party committed to pluralist democracy.
  • model gemma +7.0 2× rounds Long-standing advocate for democratic reform and pluralism.
  • model Grok +8.0 2× rounds FFS has long pushed democratic reforms against the military regime though still inside Arab left limits.
  • model Gemini +8.0 2× rounds The FFS is strongly committed to liberal-democratic principles, pluralism, independent courts, and executive limits.
  • model qwen +8.0 2× rounds Longstanding secular democratic opposition party.
  • model minimax +8.0 2× rounds FFS is a secular Berber party with a strong historic commitment to pluralist democracy and human rights.
• Socialist Forces Front DZ Civil liberties settled ↔ 2 pt +6.0
  • prior Author baseline +6.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +6.0 Strong advocate for civil liberties and democratic freedoms.
  • model DeepSeek +6.0 FFS champions civil liberties
  • model minimax +6.0 FFS has consistently defended freedom of expression
  • model Claude +6.0 Genuine democratic opposition championing speech and association.
  • model Grok +7.0 Consistent defender of free speech, protest rights, independent judiciary, and opposition to regime repression.
  • model gemma +7.0 Strongly advocates for the expansion and protection of civil liberties.
  • model qwen +7.0 Strong defender of free speech, assembly, and dissent against authoritarianism.
  • model Gemini +8.0 The FFS has a long, consistent record of advocating for the expansion and protection of civil liberties and human rights.
• Northern Islamic Movement IL Economic settled ↔ 2 pt -3.0
  • model Claude -4.0 Charity-and-welfare statism through Islamic institutions.
  • model Grok -4.0 Favors Islamic economics and community welfare state allocation.
  • model Kimi -4.0 Islamist social welfare orientation; likely favors state allocation for communal needs.
  • model Gemini -3.0 Favors Islamic economic principles emphasizing charity, community welfare, and state-backed assistance.
  • model gpt -3.0 Its social base and Islamic welfare orientation lean communitarian rather than market-liberal.
  • model minimax -3.0 Movement favors religious-welfare statist positions for Muslim citizens; leans statist but not strongly socialist.
  • prior Author baseline -2.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model DeepSeek -2.0 Islamic economics leans state intervention; under-defined.
  • model gemma -2.0 Leans toward social welfare and modest state intervention.
  • model qwen -2.0 Favors state support for the Arab sector and Islamic charities.

  before · r1 grok -3.0gemini -2.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Northern Islamic Movement IL State & religion settled ↔ 2 pt -8.5
  • model Claude -9.0 Seeks religious authority over public life.
  • model Gemini -9.0 Advocates for the supremacy of religious Islamic law in communal and public life.
  • model Kimi -9.0 Islamist organization advocating religious authority in state and law.
  • model minimax -9.0 Movement explicitly seeks Islamic religious authority in state and law.
  • model qwen -9.0 Wants Islamic authority and principles to guide state and law.
  • prior Author baseline -8.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok -8.0 Advocates strong religious authority in state law and personal status.
  • model DeepSeek -8.0 Wants religious authority in state.
  • model gpt -8.0 It favors a major public role for Islamic authority in law and society.
  • model gemma -7.0 Favors the influence of Islamic law and authority.

  before · r1 gemini -10.0grok -9.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Islamic Salvation Front DZ Social settled ↔ 2 pt -9.0
  • model Gemini -10.0 The party advocates for total collective religious authority over personal lifestyles and moral conduct.
  • model gemma -10.0 Advocates for total social adherence to traditional Islamic morality.
  • model Kimi -9.0 Extremely socially conservative; traditional moral authority.
  • model Grok -9.0 Strict traditional moral authority enforcing Islamic lifestyle codes and rejecting liberal social freedoms.
  • model DeepSeek -9.0 FIS enforces strict traditional moral authority
  • model Claude -9.0 Strongly conservative Islamist moral authority.
  • model qwen -9.0 Strict moral traditionalism; opposed personal freedoms conflicting with Sharia.
  • prior Author baseline -8.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model minimax -8.0 FIS projected a strict religious moral order restricting individual lifestyle and expression.
• Islamic Salvation Front DZ State & religion settled ↔ 2 pt -10.0
  • model Gemini -10.0 The core mission of the FIS is the establishment of a religious state where Sharia is the primary source of law.
  • model DeepSeek -10.0 FIS demands full integration of Islamic law into state and legal system.
  • model gemma -10.0 Seeks a state where religious law is the primary source of legislation.
  • model minimax -10.0 FIS explicitly aimed to make sharia the source of legislation and establish an Islamic state.
  • model qwen -10.0 Sought Islamic state with Sharia as foundation of law.
  • prior Author baseline -9.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi -9.0 Explicitly sought Islamic state with sharia law.
  • model Grok -9.0 Core goal was religious state with Sharia as supreme source of law and governance.
  • model Claude -8.0 ⛓ grounded 2× rounds The ruler "must commit to Islamic law as long as he rules a Muslim people"; an independent hisba apparatus.
• Ansar Allah (Houthis) YE Social settled ↔ 2 pt -8.0
  • model Gemini -9.0 The group imposes strict religious and collective moral authority over personal behaviors, dress codes, and social life.
  • model gpt -9.0 It enforces conservative religious moral authority over lifestyle and expression.
  • model Claude -9.0 Impose a rigid religious moral order with no space for individual lifestyle freedom.
  • model qwen -9.0 Enforces a highly authoritarian social code based on strict religious morality and tribal norms.
  • model Kimi -8.0 Houthis enforce conservative Islamic social norms, restrict personal freedoms, and operate morality police in controlled areas.
  • model Grok -8.0 Ansar Allah enforces strict traditional moral codes rooted in its Islamist ideology, restricting personal expression, LGBTQ+ rights, and lifestyle freedoms deemed un-Islamic.
  • model DeepSeek -8.0 Houthis impose strict moral codes
  • model gemma -8.0 They enforce a strict moral code based on religious authority.
  • model minimax -8.0 Houthis enforce strict religious moral policing, ban mixed gatherings, punish perceived moral transgressions, and provide no space for personal or lifestyle freedoms.
  • prior Author baseline -7.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
• Ansar Allah (Houthis) YE State & religion settled ↔ 2 pt -9.0
  • model Gemini -9.0 The Houthis advocate for a state governed by Zaydi Shia religious jurisprudence and the ultimate authority of their religious leader.
  • model DeepSeek -9.0 Houthis rule by a Zaidi religious-military council with sharia as formal legal source and no separation.
  • model gemma -9.0 They advocate for a state governed by religious (Zaydi) law.
  • model gpt -9.0 Its ideology places religious authority and Zaidi-inflected doctrine at the center of law and rule.
  • model minimax -9.0 Houthi rule institutionalizes Zaydi religious authority through the Supreme Revolutionary Committee, religious courts, and clerical oversight of governance, rejecting secular separation.
  • model Claude -9.0 Build a Zaydi theocratic state with religious authority over law, taxation, and education.
  • model qwen -9.0 Advocates for a theocratic state guided by Zaydi Shia religious authority (the Houthi slogan).
  • prior Author baseline -8.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi -8.0 Houthis integrate Zaydi Shia religious authority into governance, using religious legitimacy to justify rule.
  • model Grok -7.0 Zaydi religious authority and sayyid leadership play a central role in legitimacy, education, mobilization, and governance under Ansar Allah rather than secular separation of religion and state.
• Ansar Allah (Houthis) YE West alignment settled ↔ 2 pt -10.0
  • model Gemini -10.0 The Houthis maintain an explicitly hostile strategic stance toward Western powers, as encapsulated in their official slogan.
  • model gemma -10.0 They are overtly hostile to Western strategic interests.
  • model gpt -10.0 It is explicitly hostile to the United States and Western-backed regional security blocs.
  • model minimax -10.0 Houthis have attacked Western shipping, downed US drones, struck US-UK assets, and reject US/UK diplomatic mediation, branding Western powers as enemies.
  • model Claude -10.0 Avowedly anti-Western, US-designated, and actively attacking Western naval forces.
  • model qwen -10.0 Fiercely anti-Western, regularly using anti-American and anti-Zionist rhetoric and attacking Western shipping.
  • model Kimi -9.0 Houthis are explicitly anti-Western, with 'Death to America' as a slogan, and attack Western interests in the Red Sea.
  • model Grok -9.0 Ansar Allah maintains a hostile strategic posture toward Western powers, conducting direct attacks on US and UK naval assets and rejecting security partnerships or alignment with Western blocs.
  • model DeepSeek -9.0 Houthis are designated terrorists by the US and actively target Western and Gulf allies.
  • prior Author baseline -8.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
• Ansar Allah (Houthis) YE Regional stance settled ↔ 2 pt -10.0
  • model Gemini -10.0 The Houthis are a core militant component of the Axis of Resistance, explicitly pursuing armed struggle and rejecting normalization.
  • model gemma -10.0 They are a central actor in the Axis of Resistance.
  • model gpt -10.0 It is a core Axis of Resistance actor opposing normalization and using armed struggle rhetoric.
  • model minimax -10.0 Houthis are an explicit member of Iran's Axis of Resistance, have attacked Israeli territory, disrupted Red Sea shipping, and reject any normalization with Israel.
  • model Claude -10.0 Flagship member of the Iran-led Axis of Resistance and anti-normalization camp.
  • model qwen -10.0 The quintessential maximalist resistance actor, actively waging war against Saudi Arabia and Israel.
  • model Kimi -9.0 Houthis are core members of the Iran-led Axis of Resistance, conducting armed attacks against Saudi Arabia, UAE, and Israel-linked targets.
  • model Grok -9.0 As a core participant in the Iran-backed Axis of Resistance, Ansar Allah engages in armed actions against Israel, the US, and the Saudi-led coalition rather than pursuing normalization or stability frameworks.
  • model DeepSeek -9.0 Houthis are squarely in the Axis of Resistance with missile attacks on Gulf states and rejection of normalization with Israel.
  • prior Author baseline -8.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
• Ansar Allah (Houthis) YE Palestinian question settled ↔ 2 pt +9.5
  • model DeepSeek +8.0 Houthis publicly champion Palestinian armed resistance and have launched missiles toward Israel in solidarity.
  • model Gemini +9.0 Support for Palestinian statehood and opposition to Israel is a central pillar of Houthi official doctrine and military actions.
  • model Kimi +9.0 Houthis are vocal supporters of Palestinian armed resistance, attacking Israel-linked shipping and framing this as solidarity with Gaza.
  • model minimax +9.0 Palestinian solidarity is a core ideological plank — Houthis have launched missiles and drones at Israel, blocked Red Sea shipping, and frame their war as support for Gaza.
  • model qwen +9.0 Fiercely anti-Israel and uses the Palestinian cause as a central mobilizing ideology.
  • prior Author baseline +10.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok +10.0 Support for Palestinian rights and armed resistance is central to Ansar Allah's ideology, with Red Sea and missile operations explicitly framed as solidarity with Gaza and Palestine.
  • model gpt +10.0 2× rounds The GPC follows Yemen's mainstream pro-Palestinian nationalist position.
  • model gemma +10.0 They are militarily and rhetorically among the strongest supporters of Palestinian rights.
  • model Claude +10.0 Centre their identity on Palestine, attacking shipping in the name of Gaza.
• National Forces Alliance LY Liberal democracy settled ↔ 2 pt +5.5
  • model gpt +5.0 2× rounds The NFA presented itself as liberal and democratic during Libya's transition.
  • model Claude +5.0 2× rounds Liberal-leaning coalition with a moderate democratic commitment.
  • prior Author baseline +6.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +6.0 2× rounds Strong commitment to civil democratic state with minority rights
  • model minimax +6.0 2× rounds NFA is a liberal-democratic bloc favoring civilian
  • model mistral +6.0 National Forces Alliance supports liberal democracy.
  • model gemma +6.0 2× rounds Supports liberal democratic governance.
  • model Gemini +7.0 2× rounds Commits to a civil democratic state featuring regular elections, separation of powers, and institutional checks.
  • model Grok +7.0 2× rounds Positions itself as defender of constitutionalism, independent institutions, rule of law, and genuine liberal democratic checks within a civil state framework.
  • model DeepSeek +7.0 2× rounds Explicitly liberal and democratic in platform and record.
  • model qwen +7.0 2× rounds Mainstream liberal democratic orientation.
• Islamic Asalah Society BH State & religion settled ↔ 2 pt -8.5
  • model Gemini -10.0 Demands the comprehensive implementation of strict Salafi Sharia, completely rejecting secularism.
  • model DeepSeek -10.0 Demands full implementation of Sharia as state law.
  • model gpt -9.0 It advocates Islamic authority in law and public life more explicitly than secular separation.
  • model Claude -9.0 Salafi agenda seeking sharia and a thoroughly religious state and legal order.
  • model qwen -9.0 It demands the strict, comprehensive implementation of Sharia law in all aspects of state and society.
  • prior Author baseline -8.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi -8.0 Strongly advocates for religious authority in state and law, opposes secular separation.
  • model Grok -8.0 Historical refusal to fully accept man-made constitution in favor of Quran as sole legislation source, and focus on Islamic affairs in state, indicates strong preference for religious state and sharia supremacy in law.
  • model gemma -8.0 Explicitly advocates for the primacy of Sharia in law and state.
  • model minimax -8.0 Strongly advocates expanded sharia implementation in Bahraini law and policy.
• National Rally for Reform and Development (Tewassoul) MR Palestinian question settled ↔ 2 pt +9.0
  • prior Author baseline +8.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +8.0 Tewassoul strongly supports Palestinian rights and anti-normalization, consistent with Islamist solidarity framing.
  • model qwen +8.0 Strongly supports Palestinian rights and statehood consistent with its Islamist ideological orientation.
  • model Grok +9.0 Consistent strong pro-Palestinian record including historical participation in Gaza solidarity flotillas and firm anti-normalization advocacy.
  • model DeepSeek +9.0 Tewassoul strongly supports Palestinian rights and opposes normalization with Israel on religious and anti-colonial grounds.
  • model minimax +9.0 As a Muslim Brotherhood-aligned party
  • model Claude +9.0 Islamist party strongly committed to Palestinian rights and opposed to Israel.
  • model Gemini +10.0 The party maintains an absolute commitment to Palestinian liberation and actively campaigns against normalization with Israel.
  • model gpt +10.0 2× rounds Hezbollah makes Palestinian resistance central to its ideology.
  • model gemma +10.0 Unwavering and maximalist support for Palestinian rights and statehood.
• Union of Forces of Progress MR Palestinian question settled ↔ 2 pt +8.0
  • prior Author baseline +7.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +7.0 The coalition maintains strong pro-Palestinian solidarity consistent with leftist and Arab nationalist traditions.
  • model minimax +7.0 The UFP has consistently supported Palestinian rights as part of its progressive pan-Arab and left-wing platform.
  • model qwen +7.0 Supports Palestinian self-determination and rights aligning with traditional left-wing anti-imperialist stances.
  • model Grok +8.0 Left-wing anti-imperialist tradition produces firm support for Palestinian self-determination and rights as part of broader justice framework.
  • model DeepSeek +8.0 UFP supports Palestinian self-determination and opposes normalization with Israel from a leftist anti-colonial stance.
  • model gpt +8.0 Like much of the Mauritanian left, it strongly supports Palestinian rights and self-determination.
  • model Claude +8.0 Arab-left tradition strongly supportive of Palestinian rights.
  • model Gemini +9.0 UFP maintains a principled leftist internationalist stance in strong support of Palestinian self-determination and statehood.
  • model gemma +9.0 Strongly supports Palestinian rights from an anti-colonial and left-wing perspective.
• Palestinian Islamic Jihad PS Regime stance settled ↔ 2 pt -9.0
  • model Gemini -10.0 Entirely rejects the legitimacy of the Oslo-based Palestinian Authority constitutional order.
  • model gemma -10.0 Rejects the PA and the state of Israel as foundational orders.
  • model qwen -10.0 Seeks to overthrow both the PA and the state of Israel.
  • model DeepSeek -9.0 PIJ rejects the PA and Oslo framework entirely, seeking to overturn current Palestinian order.
  • model gpt -9.0 It rejects the Oslo-based PA order and the existing regional settlement framework.
  • model minimax -9.0 PIJ rejects the PLO/PA foundational order and envisions replacement with an Islamic state.
  • prior Author baseline -8.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok -8.0 PIJ denounces the PA and Oslo order as treasonous and actively works to delegitimize and replace it.
  • model Kimi -8.0 PIJ rejects the Oslo-created PA order entirely and seeks to overthrow it in favor of an Islamist resistance-based governance model; it is fundamentally anti-regime.
  • model Claude -8.0 Wholly rejects the Oslo/PA constitutional order.
• Kurdistan Democratic Party IQ Pan-Arab vs particularist settled ↔ 2 pt -9.0
  • prior Author baseline -10.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model gemma -10.0 Strictly Kurdish nationalist and particularist.
  • model qwen -10.0 Kurdish nationalist party that prioritizes Kurdish self-determination over pan-Arab solidarity.
  • model Gemini -9.0 As a Kurdish nationalist party, the KDP rejects pan-Arabism in favor of Kurdish ethnic particularism.
  • model Grok -9.0 KDP's core ideology is Kurdish nationalism, explicitly prioritizing ethnic particularism over any pan-Arab solidarity or frameworks.
  • model Claude -9.0 Kurdish ethnic-nationalist project, the antithesis of pan-Arab framing.
  • model Kimi -8.0 KDP is deeply particularist Kurdish nationalist, fundamentally opposed to pan-Arab frames
  • model DeepSeek -8.0 KDP is explicitly Kurdish nationalist and particularist
  • model gpt -8.0 Its identity is Kurdish particularist rather than pan-Arab.
  • model minimax -8.0 KDP is a Kurdish ethnic-nationalist party firmly rooted in Kurdish particularism and historically opposed to pan-Arab nationalist projects like Baathism.
• National Liberation Front DZ Regime stance settled ↔ 2 pt +9.0
  • model Grok +8.0 Foundational party of the independence republic and its constitutional order; remains pillar of the system.
  • prior Author baseline +9.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +9.0 Foundational regime party; defines constitutional order.
  • model DeepSeek +9.0 FLN is the founding party and main defender of Algeria’s post-independence order.
  • model minimax +9.0 FLN is the founding party of the Algerian republican regime and remains its principal defender.
  • model qwen +9.0 Defender of the post-independence republican order; core regime pillar.
  • model Gemini +10.0 The FLN is the historical backbone and core defender of Algeria's foundational political and constitutional order.
  • model gemma +10.0 The party is the foundational architect of the state order.
  • model Claude +10.0 It is the foundational regime party defending the existing order.
• Democratic National Rally DZ Regime stance settled ↔ 2 pt +9.0
  • model Kimi +8.0 Staunchly pro-regime; founded as regime-support party.
  • model DeepSeek +8.0 RND is a core pro-regime party supporting Algeria’s post-independence constitutional order.
  • model minimax +8.0 RND is a pillar of the post-1992 republican regime and explicitly defends the existing constitutional-military order.
  • prior Author baseline +9.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok +9.0 Founded explicitly to bolster and support the existing constitutional political order and presidency.
  • model gpt +9.0 The RND is a core pillar of the existing Algerian constitutional and governing order.
  • model Claude +9.0 Created to support the establishment; defends the existing constitutional order.
  • model qwen +9.0 Core pro-regime party closely tied to presidential establishment.
  • model Gemini +10.0 The RND was created explicitly to support and defend Algeria's existing regime and constitutional order.
  • model gemma +10.0 Explicitly designed to support and defend the existing state order.
• National Rally of Independents MA Regime stance settled ↔ 2 pt +9.0
  • model Kimi +8.0 RNI is a palace-aligned party leading the government under the monarchy's constitutional order.
  • prior Author baseline +9.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Claude +9.0 ⛓ grounded 2× rounds Palace-loyalist: anchors its programme to "the new development model the King called for."
  • model Grok +9.0 Closely palace-aligned party; current prime minister and leadership have deep ties to the monarchy and strongly defend the constitutional political order.
  • model DeepSeek +9.0 Core pro-monarchy governing party; fully supportive of regime.
  • model minimax +9.0 RNI is a pillar of the pro-monarchy establishment; Akhannouch serves as PM appointed by the king.
  • model Gemini +10.0 Unconditionally loyal to the monarchy and fully integrated into the state's foundational constitutional order.
  • model gemma +10.0 Entirely committed to the preservation and support of the monarchy.
  • model qwen +10.0 Unwaveringly pro-regime and deeply integrated into the monarchical establishment.
• Authenticity and Modernity Party MA Regime stance settled ↔ 2 pt +9.0
  • prior Author baseline +8.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +8.0 PAM was founded by a royal advisor and is widely seen as a palace-backed party defending the monarchy.
  • model DeepSeek +8.0 Pro-monarchy regime party founded by royal advisor; strongly defends constitutional order.
  • model minimax +8.0 PAM is a pro-monarchy, pro-constitutional-order party that explicitly defends the Moroccan throne as central to national identity.
  • model Grok +9.0 Explicitly monarchist party founded by a royal advisor; strong and consistent defender of the foundational constitutional order.
  • model gpt +9.0 PAM is strongly monarchist and defends the existing constitutional order.
  • model Claude +9.0 Founded close to the palace and strongly loyal to the monarchical order.
  • model Gemini +10.0 Unconditionally loyal to the monarchy and fully integrated into the state's foundational constitutional order.
  • model gemma +10.0 Explicitly designed as a pro-monarchy party to support the established order.
  • model qwen +10.0 Firmly defends the foundational constitutional order of the Moroccan monarchy.
• Free Egyptians Party EG Traditionalism vs modernization settled ↔ 2 pt +7.0
  • prior Author baseline +6.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Claude +6.0 Pro-modernization, technocratic and reformist.
  • model Kimi +7.0 Strongly modernizing platform emphasizing education, scientific advancement, and institutional reform.
  • model Grok +7.0 Promotes economic liberalization, technological openness, and social modernization with equality and rule of law.
  • model gemma +7.0 Strongly favors institutional and economic modernization.
  • model minimax +7.0 Modernizing platform supporting women's rights
  • model Gemini +8.0 It actively promotes social, technological, and economic modernization alongside women's empowerment.
  • model DeepSeek +8.0 Strongly modernizing; pushes for legal equality and technological progress.
  • model gpt +8.0 It favors business modernization, secular governance, and social reform within limits.
  • model qwen +8.0 Pro-technological and economic modernization.
• Egyptian Social Democratic Party EG Traditionalism vs modernization settled ↔ 2 pt +7.0
  • prior Author baseline +6.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +6.0 Advocates for social and institutional modernization, women's rights, and reform of traditional structures.
  • model Claude +6.0 Reformist on women's rights and institutional modernization.
  • model minimax +6.0 Supports women's rights
  • model Gemini +7.0 It strongly supports institutional, social, and legal modernization, including progressive social reforms.
  • model Grok +7.0 Supports progressive social modernization, women's rights expansion, and institutional reform over traditionalist constraints.
  • model DeepSeek +7.0 Strongly supports women's rights
  • model gemma +7.0 Strongly supports social and institutional modernization and gender equality.
  • model gpt +7.0 It backs institutional reform, women's participation, and modern civic governance.
  • model qwen +8.0 Supports social and institutional modernization.
• Kurdistan Democratic Party IQ Centralism vs federalism settled ↔ 2 pt +9.5
  • model Gemini +8.0 The KDP strongly advocates for Kurdish autonomy and a decentralized federal structure in Iraq to protect Kurdish rights.
  • model Claude +9.0 ⛓ grounded 2× rounds Kurdish self-determination, Article 140, a federal parliamentary Iraq with regional autonomy.
  • model Grok +9.0 KDP is the leading advocate for robust federalism and Kurdish self-rule within Iraq's constitutional framework.
  • model Kimi +9.0 KDP is the archetypal federalist party, seeking maximum autonomy for Kurdistan Region within Iraq
  • model minimax +9.0 KDP is a Kurdish nationalist party that champions the Kurdistan Region's autonomous federal status as foundational to its political project.
  • prior Author baseline +10.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model DeepSeek +10.0 KDP champions Kurdish regional autonomy and expanded federal powers in Iraq.
  • model gemma +10.0 Strongly advocates for maximum Kurdish regional autonomy and federalism.
  • model gpt +10.0 Kurdish nationalist politics makes maximal constitutional federalism and regional autonomy a core commitment.
  • model qwen +10.0 Strongly advocates for Kurdish regional autonomy and a federal Iraqi state structure.
• National Forces Alliance LY Traditionalism vs modernization settled ↔ 2 pt +6.0
  • model Kimi +5.0 Supports modernization and reform of social institutions
  • model gemma +5.0 Supports institutional modernization and liberal social reforms.
  • model Claude +5.0 Technocratic and reform-minded, oriented toward institutional and economic modernization.
  • prior Author baseline +6.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model DeepSeek +6.0 Pro-modernization in social and economic policy.
  • model Grok +6.0 Supports institutional modernization, expanded women's public roles, family-law reform, and openness to global economic and technological change.
  • model gpt +6.0 Its technocratic program emphasized modern institutions, development, and post-Qaddafi reform.
  • model Gemini +7.0 Supports institutional modernization, technological development, and the integration of women into the public sphere.
  • model minimax +7.0 Embraces comprehensive modernization — women's participation
  • model qwen +7.0 Strongly supports institutional modernization women's rights and technological and economic transformation.
• Israeli Labor Party IL Gender equality settled ↔ 2 pt +7.5
  • model Grok +6.0 Supports gender equality and progressive family law reforms.
  • model minimax +6.0 Labor has a strong record of promoting women's representation and gender equality in public life.
  • prior Author baseline +7.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model DeepSeek +7.0 Pro-gender equality historically.
  • model Kimi +7.0 Strong tradition of gender equality; historically progressive on women's rights.
  • model Claude +8.0 Strong commitment to gender equality and women's representation.
  • model Gemini +8.0 Strongly supports gender equality, women's empowerment, and equal political representation.
  • model gemma +8.0 Strong supporter of gender equality.
  • model gpt +8.0 Labor has a strong mainstream commitment to women’s rights and representation.
  • model qwen +8.0 Strong commitment to gender equality and women's political representation.

  before · r1 gemini +8.0grok +8.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• The Democrats IL Gender equality settled ↔ 2 pt +8.0
  • model Grok +7.0 Progressive support for gender equality and LGBTQ rights.
  • model DeepSeek +7.0 Pro-gender equality.
  • model minimax +7.0 The Democrats strongly support gender equality, LGBTQ+ rights, and women's representation.
  • prior Author baseline +8.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +8.0 Strong feminist tradition from Meretz and Labor; supports gender equality.
  • model gemma +8.0 Strong commitment to gender equality.
  • model Claude +9.0 Leading champion of gender equality.
  • model Gemini +9.0 Unwaveringly supports absolute gender equality and equal representation across all public sectors.
  • model gpt +9.0 It strongly supports women’s rights, LGBTQ rights, and gender equality.
  • model qwen +9.0 Strong commitment to gender equality and women's rights.

  before · r1 grok +8.0gemini +10.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• United Torah Judaism IL Gender equality settled ↔ 2 pt -9.0
  • model gemma -10.0 Strict patriarchal traditionalism.
  • model qwen -10.0 Extremely patriarchal with no women in leadership or public roles.
  • prior Author baseline -9.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Gemini -9.0 Adheres to strict patriarchal traditionalism and completely excludes women from political representation.
  • model Kimi -9.0 Extremely traditionalist Haredi; women excluded from political leadership and public roles.
  • model gpt -9.0 UTJ maintains strongly patriarchal religious norms and limited women’s representation.
  • model minimax -9.0 UTJ is one of the most patriarchal parties; opposes women's public roles, supports rigid gender segregation.
  • model Claude -8.0 Strongly patriarchal religious traditionalism.
  • model Grok -8.0 Strongly patriarchal traditionalist opposes gender equality and LGBTQ rights.
  • model DeepSeek -8.0 Extremely patriarchal.

  before · r1 gemini -10.0grok -9.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Ansar Allah (Houthis) YE Gender equality settled ↔ 2 pt -8.5
  • model DeepSeek -9.0 Houthi ideology and decrees enforce strict gender segregation and severely restrict women’s public roles and mobility.
  • model gpt -9.0 It promotes deeply patriarchal social rules and restricts women’s public autonomy.
  • model minimax -9.0 Houthis enforce strict mahram rules, ban women from certain travel without male guardians, marginalize women from public political roles, and maintain deeply patriarchal family-law practice.
  • model Claude -9.0 Enforce strict patriarchal norms, mahram restrictions, and female-morality enforcers.
  • model qwen -9.0 Imposes strict patriarchal rules, including the mahram requirement severely restricting women's movement.
  • model Gemini -8.0 The Houthis enforce strict patriarchal Zaydi norms, including restricting women's freedom of movement without a male guardian.
  • model Kimi -8.0 Houthis enforce strict gender segregation, restrict women's public participation, and have banned women from many workplaces.
  • model Grok -8.0 Ansar Allah enforces strict patriarchal norms, including mahram accompaniment requirements, conservative dress codes, and limited women's public roles and political representation.
  • model gemma -8.0 They enforce a strictly traditional
  • prior Author baseline -7.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
• Israeli Labor Party IL Iran posture settled ↔ 2 pt -8.0
  • model Gemini -9.0 Views the Iranian regime as an adversarial threat to Israel's regional security.
  • model Grok -9.0 Consistently adversarial to Iran as regional threat across decades in power and opposition.
  • model qwen -9.0 Fiercely adversarial toward the Islamic Republic of Iran.
  • model Claude -8.0 Treats Iran as a primary strategic adversary.
  • model Kimi -8.0 Strongly anti-Iran; supports Western alliance against Iranian regional influence.
  • model gemma -8.0 Strongly adversarial toward the Iranian regime.
  • model gpt -8.0 Labor treats Iran as a major regional adversary while favoring diplomatic coordination.
  • model minimax -8.0 Labor is firmly in the anti-Iran camp, supporting sanctions and opposing a nuclear-armed Iran.
  • prior Author baseline -7.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model DeepSeek -7.0 Adversarial to Iran's nuclear ambitions and regional influence.

  before · r1 grok -8.0gemini +3.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Otzma Yehudit IL Iran posture settled ↔ 2 pt -10.0
  • prior Author baseline -10.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Claude -10.0 Maximally hostile to Iran.
  • model Gemini -10.0 Advocates for maximum military aggression and total hostility against Iran.
  • model gemma -10.0 Extreme hostility and calls for direct conflict.
  • model gpt -10.0 It is intensely hostile to Iran and its regional allies.
  • model minimax -10.0 Otzma Yehudit is at the maximum anti-Iran pole, supporting military action against Iran's nuclear program.
  • model qwen -10.0 Fiercely adversarial toward Iran and its proxies.
  • model DeepSeek -9.0 Extremely anti-Iran.
  • model Kimi -9.0 Extremely anti-Iran; views Iran as existential threat.
  • model Grok -8.0 Strongly adversarial to Iran as part of broader anti-Arab/Islamist threat perception.

  before · r1 gemini -10.0grok -10.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Lebanese Forces LB Iran posture settled ↔ 2 pt -9.0
  • model Gemini -10.0 Lebanese Forces are a primary opponent of Iranian influence and Hezbollah's armed hegemony in Lebanon.
  • model gemma -10.0 Extremely adversarial toward Iran and its regional proxies.
  • model minimax -10.0 Lebanese Forces is militantly anti-Iran
  • model qwen -10.0 LF views Iran as an existential threat due to Hezbollah’s dominance and Iranian influence.
  • model Grok -9.0 Views Iranian regime and Hezbollah as primary threat to Lebanese existence; advocates maximum confrontation, isolation, and international pressure on Tehran axis.
  • model Kimi -9.0 LF is one of the most anti-Iran parties in Lebanon; Geagea explicitly opposes Iranian influence and Hezbollah, calling Hezbollah's weapons a threat to Lebanon and seeking to disarm the militia.
  • model gpt -9.0 It is among Lebanon’s most anti-Iranian major parties.
  • model Claude -9.0 The most vocal Lebanese party against Iran and Hezbollah's arms.
  • prior Author baseline -8.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
• Palestinian Islamic Jihad PS Iran posture settled ↔ 2 pt +9.0
  • model Kimi +8.0 PIJ is heavily dependent on Iranian financial and military support, with its leadership based in Damascus/Tehran; it is one of the most Iran-aligned Palestinian factions.
  • model DeepSeek +8.0 PIJ is closely aligned with Iran, receiving significant financial and military support.
  • prior Author baseline +9.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok +9.0 PIJ maintains one of the closest operational and ideological alignments with Iran among Palestinian factions, functioning as a key proxy element.
  • model minimax +9.0 PIJ is one of the closest Palestinian allies of Iran
  • model Claude +9.0 The most fully Iran-funded and Iran-aligned Palestinian faction.
  • model Gemini +10.0 Maintains absolute ideological, financial, and military alignment with the Islamic Republic of Iran.
  • model gemma +10.0 Extremely close strategic and financial alliance with the Iranian government.
  • model gpt +10.0 PIJ is among Iran’s closest Palestinian allies and receives major strategic support.
  • model qwen +10.0 Fully funded, armed, and directed by the Islamic Republic of Iran.
• State of Law Coalition IQ Iran posture settled ↔ 2 pt +7.0
  • model DeepSeek +6.0 State of Law (Maliki) is pro-Iranian alignment though less doctrinaire than Fatah.
  • model qwen +6.0 Deeply reliant on Iranian political and security support, aligning closely with Tehran's regional interests.
  • model Kimi +7.0 Maliki is closely aligned with Iran; spent exile in Iran, relies on Iranian support, and represents pro-Iran Shia bloc
  • model gemma +7.0 Maintains a strong alliance and strategic coordination with Iran.
  • model minimax +7.0 State of Law under Maliki was closely aligned with Iran, allowing Iranian overflights to Syria and cooperating with Iranian intelligence and military in Iraq.
  • model Claude +7.0 Closely aligned with Iran.
  • prior Author baseline +8.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Gemini +8.0 The State of Law Coalition is deeply aligned with Iran, serving as a core component of Tehran's political influence network in Iraq.
  • model Grok +8.0 State of Law and Dawa Party have deep historical and ongoing strategic, ideological, and political alignment with the Islamic Republic of Iran as a core orientation.
• Ansar Allah (Houthis) YE Iran posture settled ↔ 2 pt +9.0
  • model mistral +8.0 Ansar Allah is strongly pro-Iran.
  • prior Author baseline +9.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +9.0 2× rounds Houthis are Iran's primary proxy in Yemen, receiving weapons, training, and ideological support from the IRGC.
  • model Grok +9.0 2× rounds Ansar Allah maintains a close strategic and ideological alliance with Iran, receiving arms, training, and political support as a core member of the Axis of Resistance.
  • model DeepSeek +9.0 2× rounds Houthis are core members of Iran’s Axis of Resistance receiving weapons and training from Tehran.
  • model qwen +9.0 2× rounds Close strategic and ideological alignment with Iran.
  • model minimax +9.0 2× rounds The Houthis are closely aligned with Iran
  • model Claude +9.0 2× rounds Closely aligned with and armed by Iran.
  • model gpt +9.0 It is the Yemeni actor most closely aligned with Iran’s regional camp.
  • model Gemini +10.0 2× rounds The Houthis are deeply integrated into Iran's regional network and openly acknowledge their strategic and ideological alliance with Tehran.
  • model gemma +10.0 2× rounds Fully aligned with Iran.
• The Democrats IL Press freedom settled ↔ 2 pt +8.0
  • model Grok +7.0 Strong advocate for independent free press and against government interference.
  • model DeepSeek +7.0 Pro-press freedom.
  • model Kimi +7.0 Strong supporter of free press; Meretz tradition emphasizes media freedom.
  • prior Author baseline +8.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Claude +8.0 Defends an independent free press.
  • model minimax +8.0 The Democrats champion free press and journalistic independence; central plank of their program.
  • model qwen +8.0 Strong advocate for a free press and digital information access.
  • model Gemini +9.0 Stands for complete press freedom and strongly opposes any government censorship or media control.
  • model gemma +9.0 Strong advocate for press freedom.
  • model gpt +9.0 It strongly supports independent journalism and free public media.

  before · r1 grok +8.0gemini +10.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Hadash IL Press freedom settled ↔ 2 pt +8.0
  • model Grok +7.0 Advocates free independent press and opposes state control or censorship.
  • model DeepSeek +7.0 Supports free press as part of democratic rights.
  • model minimax +7.0 Hadash strongly supports free press and journalists' rights.
  • model Claude +8.0 Supports a free and independent press.
  • model Kimi +8.0 Supports free press as part of communist civil liberties tradition.
  • model qwen +8.0 Strong advocate for free press and digital information access.
  • prior Author baseline +9.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Gemini +9.0 Stands firmly for complete press freedom and opposes state censorship or media surveillance.
  • model gemma +9.0 Strong advocate for a free and independent press.
  • model gpt +9.0 Hadash consistently supports free media and opposes censorship.

  before · r1 gemini +9.0grok +9.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Hamas PS Press freedom settled ↔ 2 pt -8.0
  • model gemma -9.0 Record in Gaza involves systematic censorship and control of media.
  • model qwen -9.0 Maintains strict control over media in Gaza and harasses journalists who criticize the movement.
  • model Gemini -8.0 Strictly controls the media environment in Gaza, censoring independent journalism and banning critical reporting.
  • model Grok -8.0 Hamas maintains tight state control over all media in Gaza, using propaganda outlets and punishing independent or critical journalism.
  • model Kimi -8.0 Hamas has a severe record in Gaza of controlling media, arresting journalists, shutting down critical outlets, and restricting information flow; press freedom is virtually non-existent under Hamas rule.
  • model DeepSeek -8.0 Hamas enforces strict state control over press in Gaza, jailing journalists and shutting down outlets.
  • model gpt -8.0 Hamas governance in Gaza has pressured journalists and constrained independent media.
  • model Claude -8.0 Gaza record: tight control of media and suppression of critical journalism.
  • prior Author baseline -7.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
• Ansar Allah (Houthis) YE Press freedom settled ↔ 2 pt -9.0
  • model gpt -10.0 Its authorities have jailed, intimidated, and silenced journalists in areas they control.
  • model minimax -10.0 Reporters Without Borders ranks Houthi-held areas among the world's most repressive; journalists are detained, tortured, and killed, with no independent broadcast or digital space tolerated.
  • model Claude -10.0 Seized media outlets and jailed journalists, some sentenced to death.
  • model Gemini -9.0 The Houthis have completely eliminated independent journalism in their territory, replacing it with tightly controlled state and partisan media.
  • model Kimi -9.0 Houthis have shut down independent media, detained journalists, and operate a tightly controlled information environment in their territory.
  • model Grok -9.0 Critical journalists face arrest, torture, or killing in Houthi-controlled areas, resulting in effectively state-controlled or heavily self-censored media space.
  • model DeepSeek -9.0 Houthi authorities have shut down independent news outlets
  • model gemma -9.0 They maintain strict control over media and routinely jail journalists.
  • model qwen -9.0 Maintains strict state control over all media, routinely jailing journalists and censoring dissent.
  • prior Author baseline -8.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
• Yesh Atid IL Regime stance settled ↔ 2 pt +8.5
  • model DeepSeek +7.0 Strongly pro-Zionist-democratic order.
  • model Kimi +7.0 Zionist and defends Israel's constitutional order; liberal democratic values.
  • model gemma +8.0 Fully supports the Zionist-democratic order.
  • model gpt +8.0 Yesh Atid strongly accepts and defends the Zionist-democratic constitutional order.
  • model minimax +8.0 Yesh Atid strongly defends the Zionist-democratic order, including its liberal-democratic elements.
  • prior Author baseline +9.0 Centrist Zionist party defending the democratic state; pro the foundational order (re-scored to foundational-order definition).
  • model Claude +9.0 Mainstream Zionist party loyal to the constitutional order.
  • model Gemini +9.0 Staunchly defends the foundational Zionist-democratic order of Israel.
  • model Grok +9.0 Strongly defends the Jewish-democratic state foundational order.
  • model qwen +9.0 Strongly defends the Zionist-democratic state with a liberal democratic framework.

  before · r1 grok +6.0gemini +9.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Noam IL Social settled ↔ 2 pt -9.0
  • prior Author baseline -10.0 Baseline estimate for newly-added 25th-Knesset party.
  • model Claude -8.0 ⛓ grounded The "normalcy" frame is an explicit rejection of LGBT recognition and non-traditional family forms ("only mom and dad").
• Hadash-Ta'al IL State & religion settled ↔ 2 pt +7.5
  • model Grok +6.0 Generally supports secular state with religious personal status accommodations.
  • model Kimi +6.0 Secular orientation from both component parties.
  • model Gemini +7.0 Advocates for a secular state approach and opposes the imposition of Jewish religious law.
  • model gpt +7.0 The alliance favored civic equality and secular state treatment across communities.
  • model Claude +8.0 ⛓ grounded 2× rounds Militantly secular: separation of religion and state, civil marriage, recognise same-sex/single-parent families, a "secular" constitution.
  • model DeepSeek +8.0 Secularist alliance.
  • model gemma +8.0 Supports secularism and separation of church and state.
  • model minimax +8.0 Both parties are firmly secular and support separation of religion from state.
  • model qwen +8.0 Strongly supports separation of religion from state.
• Hadash-Ta'al IL Palestinian question settled ↔ 2 pt +9.5
  • model Grok +8.0 Strong advocacy for Palestinian rights self-determination and citizen equality.
  • model DeepSeek +9.0 Core issue: strong pro-Palestinian rights.
  • model Kimi +9.0 Strongly pro-Palestinian rights; both parties support Palestinian self-determination.
  • model qwen +9.0 Strongly supports Palestinian rights and self-determination.
  • model Claude +10.0 ⛓ grounded 2× rounds Full withdrawal to the 4 June 1967 lines, a sovereign Palestinian state with East Jerusalem as capital, refugees per UN resolutions.
  • model Gemini +10.0 Consistently champions full Palestinian statehood and the end of the occupation.
  • model gemma +10.0 Unified strong support for Palestinian rights.
  • model gpt +10.0 The alliance strongly supported Palestinian rights and an end to occupation.
  • model minimax +10.0 Both parties are at the maximum pro-Palestinian pole; the joint list represents the strongest Palestinian-rights bloc in the Knesset.
• Hezbollah LB Palestinian question settled ↔ 1 pt +9.0
  • prior Author baseline +9.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • re-coder Re-coder B +9.0 Second-pass coder B — rubric-anchored re-read on the palestinian-question axis; extreme magnitudes tempered slightly toward the rubric mid-anchors.
  • re-coder Re-coder C +9.0 Second-pass coder C — rubric-anchored re-read on the palestinian-question axis; magnitude follows the primary reading with independent judgment calls on the governance axes.
  • model Claude +9.0 ⛓ grounded 3× rounds Resistance framed around liberating occupied land and opposing "Israeli threats and aspirations."
  • model Grok +9.0 2× rounds Hezbollah positions itself as the vanguard of Palestinian resistance against Israel.
  • model Kimi +9.0 2× rounds Hezbollah is one of the most pro-Palestinian actors in the region, with its entire ideology built around "resistance" to Israel and support for Palestinian armed struggle; this is central to its identity.
  • model DeepSeek +9.0 2× rounds Strongly supports armed Palestinian resistance; weapons and training.
  • model Gemini +10.0 2× rounds Hezbollah places the liberation of Palestine and support for Palestinian armed resistance at the core of its ideology.
  • model qwen +10.0 2× rounds Strongly supports Palestinian armed resistance.
  • model minimax +10.0 2× rounds Hezbollah is a leading pro-Palestinian resistance force in the Arab world.
  • model mistral +10.0 Hezbollah is a strong supporter of Palestinian rights.
  • model gemma +10.0 2× rounds Unconditionally supports Palestinian rights and resistance.
  • model gpt +10.0 Support for Palestinian armed resistance is central to its identity.
• Balad IL Palestinian question settled ↔ 1 pt +10.0
  • prior Author baseline +9.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok +9.0 Core platform centers on strong support for Palestinian rights self-determination and equality.
  • model DeepSeek +9.0 Firmly supports Palestinian rights and two-state solution with equality.
  • model Claude +10.0 ⛓ grounded 2× rounds Centres Palestinian rights inside Israel; names "apartheid" and "transfer"; cultural autonomy for Palestinians.
  • model Gemini +10.0 Unconditional support for Palestinian self-determination, statehood, and historical rights.
  • model Kimi +10.0 Strongly supports Palestinian rights, statehood, and self-determination; advocates one-state solution.
  • model gemma +10.0 Central to its platform is full Palestinian self-determination.
  • model gpt +10.0 Balad strongly supports Palestinian self-determination and equality for Palestinians in Israel.
  • model minimax +10.0 Balad is one of the strongest advocates for full Palestinian rights, return of refugees, and a Palestinian state with Jerusalem as capital.
  • model qwen +10.0 Strongly pro-Palestinian rights and advocates for a Palestinian state.

  before · r1 grok +9.0gemini +10.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Otzma Yehudit IL Palestinian question settled ↔ 1 pt -10.0
  • prior Author baseline -10.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Claude -10.0 ⛓ grounded 2× rounds Annexationist maximalism: "a Jewish State, from the sea to the Jordan River," erasing the Green Line, treating support for a Palestinian state as an attack on state security.
  • model Gemini -10.0 Demands total annexation of the West Bank, denial of Palestinian rights, and encouragement of emigration.
  • model DeepSeek -10.0 Opposes any Palestinian rights or statehood; supports annexation.
  • model Kimi -10.0 Extreme opposition to Palestinian rights; supports transfer/expulsion of Arabs.
  • model gemma -10.0 Total opposition to Palestinian rights and statehood.
  • model gpt -10.0 It rejects Palestinian national rights and advocates Jewish supremacy over the land.
  • model minimax -10.0 Otzma Yehudit strongly opposes any Palestinian rights, statehood, or self-determination; advocates population transfer.
  • model qwen -10.0 Extreme opposition to Palestinian rights, advocating for deportation.
  • model Grok -9.0 Explicitly opposes Palestinian rights or statehood; supports annexation and control.

  before · r1 gemini -10.0grok -9.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Hamas PS Palestinian question settled ↔ 1 pt +10.0
  • re-coder Re-coder B +9.0 Second-pass coder B — rubric-anchored re-read on the palestinian-question axis; extreme magnitudes tempered slightly toward the rubric mid-anchors.
  • model Claude +9.0 ⛓ grounded 3× rounds Armed resistance as an inalienable right, full right of return, Jerusalem as capital, rejecting Oslo.
  • prior Author baseline +10.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • re-coder Re-coder C +10.0 Second-pass coder C — rubric-anchored re-read on the palestinian-question axis; magnitude follows the primary reading with independent judgment calls on the governance axes.
  • model Gemini +10.0 2× rounds Strongly champions Palestinian self-determination and statehood through the framework of national and Islamic liberation.
  • model Grok +10.0 2× rounds Hamas presents itself as the uncompromising vanguard of Palestinian rights and armed resistance to occupation.
  • model Kimi +10.0 2× rounds Hamas is fundamentally a Palestinian nationalist and Islamist organization dedicated to Palestinian rights and liberation, though its maximalist position includes refusal to recognize Israel.
  • model DeepSeek +10.0 2× rounds Hamas unequivocally supports Palestinian rights and self-determination, including armed resistance.
  • model qwen +10.0 2× rounds Core identity is Palestinian resistance.
  • model minimax +10.0 Hamas is a Palestinian resistance movement fully committed to Palestinian rights and liberation.
  • model mistral +10.0 Hamas is a strong supporter of Palestinian rights.
  • model gemma +10.0 2× rounds Unconditionally supports Palestinian rights.
  • model gpt +10.0 Its core ideology is maximal support for Palestinian liberation and self-determination.
• Palestinian Islamic Jihad PS West alignment settled ↔ 1 pt -10.0
  • model Gemini -10.0 Maintains unyielding hostility toward Western blocs, viewing them as the primary backing for Zionist occupation.
  • model Kimi -10.0 PIJ is designated as a terrorist organization by the West, receives no Western support, is aligned with Iran, and is fundamentally hostile to Western strategic interests and presence in the region.
  • model DeepSeek -10.0 PIJ is fiercely anti-Western, aligned with Iran and opposed to any US/EU engagement.
  • model gemma -10.0 Fundamentally hostile to the West strategically and politically.
  • model gpt -10.0 It is fiercely hostile to Western strategic alignment and US-backed regional policy.
  • model minimax -10.0 PIJ is designated as a terrorist organization by the US/EU and is strategically hostile to the West.
  • model qwen -10.0 Virulently anti-Western, viewing Western powers as enemies of Islam.
  • prior Author baseline -9.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok -9.0 PIJ holds an uncompromisingly hostile strategic view of the West as the primary backer of Israel and enemy of Islamic resistance.
  • model Claude -9.0 Strongly anti-Western and designated a terrorist organization.
• Palestinian Islamic Jihad PS Regional stance settled ↔ 1 pt -10.0
  • model Gemini -10.0 Stands at the vanguard of the Axis of Resistance, completely rejecting negotiation or normalization with Israel.
  • model Grok -10.0 PIJ represents the purest form of rejectionist armed resistance, refusing any compromise, negotiation, or normalization whatsoever.
  • model Kimi -10.0 PIJ is a core member of the Axis of Resistance, heavily Iranian-backed, rejects all normalization, and is dedicated exclusively to armed struggle against Israel; it is at the extreme resistance pole.
  • model DeepSeek -10.0 PIJ is a core Axis of Resistance member, entirely committed to armed struggle and anti-normalization.
  • model gemma -10.0 Strictly aligned with the Axis of Resistance and armed struggle.
  • model gpt -10.0 It is a hardline Axis of Resistance actor committed to armed struggle and anti-normalization.
  • model minimax -10.0 PIJ is a hardline rejectionist faction fully embedded in the Iran-led Axis of Resistance.
  • model Claude -10.0 Hardline armed-resistance and anti-normalization actor.
  • model qwen -10.0 Integral part of the Axis of Resistance, acting in lockstep with Iran and Hezbollah.
  • prior Author baseline -9.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
• Tunisian Workers Party TN Economic settled ↔ 1 pt -9.0
  • model Gemini -9.0 As a Marxist-Leninist party, it rejects market mechanisms in favor of total state allocation and worker control.
  • model Grok -9.0 Tunisian Workers Party advocates revolutionary socialist economics centered on public ownership, central planning, and the abolition of capitalist exploitation.
  • model Kimi -9.0 Hoxhaist communist party strongly favors state allocation over market mechanisms.
  • model gemma -9.0 Strongly statist and Marxist-oriented economic platform.
  • model minimax -9.0 Strongly anti-capitalist
  • model Claude -9.0 Marxist-Leninist program favoring state allocation.
  • model qwen -9.0 Marxist-communist; strongly statist, anti-market, and pro-public ownership [[37]].
  • prior Author baseline -8.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model DeepSeek -8.0 Far-left
• Tunisian Workers Party TN Palestinian question settled ↔ 1 pt +9.0
  • prior Author baseline +9.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok +9.0 Consistent and militant support for Palestinian liberation, armed resistance legitimacy, and uncompromising anti-Zionism as part of internationalist and anti-imperialist struggle.
  • model Kimi +9.0 Anti-imperialist communist tradition strongly supports Palestinian liberation.
  • model DeepSeek +9.0 Strongly pro-Palestinian
  • model gemma +9.0 Strongly supports Palestinian liberation and statehood.
  • model minimax +9.0 Strongly pro-Palestinian
  • model Claude +9.0 Strongly pro-Palestinian as a core anti-imperialist commitment.
  • model qwen +9.0 Solidarity with Palestinian liberation as anti-imperialist cause.
  • model Gemini +10.0 The party completely supports Palestinian national liberation and strongly condemns Zionism.
• Workers' Party DZ Palestinian question settled ↔ 1 pt +9.0
  • prior Author baseline +9.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Kimi +9.0 Strong pro-Palestinian; anti-imperialist solidarity.
  • model Grok +9.0 Strong anti-imperialist and anti-Zionist solidarity with Palestinian resistance as part of global anti-colonial struggle.
  • model gemma +9.0 Strongly supports the Palestinian cause.
  • model minimax +9.0 PT strongly supports Palestinian rights and frames the cause through anti-imperialist and socialist lenses.
  • model qwen +9.0 Unconditionally pro-Palestinian; frames struggle as anti-imperialist.
  • model Gemini +10.0 The PT holds an absolute, anti-imperialist commitment to the total liberation of Palestine and its rights.
  • model Claude +10.0 Vocally and unwaveringly pro-Palestinian.
• Islamic Salvation Front DZ Palestinian question settled ↔ 1 pt +9.0
  • prior Author baseline +9.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Claude +9.0 ⛓ grounded 2× rounds A plan to aid the Palestinian Intifada.
  • model Kimi +9.0 Strong pro-Palestinian; anti-Israel stance.
  • model Grok +9.0 Strong pro-Palestinian solidarity with anti-Zionist and often jihadist framing in 1990s.
  • model DeepSeek +9.0 FIS strongly supports Palestinian rights and resistance as part of its Islamist identity.
  • model minimax +9.0 FIS embraced full pan-Islamic solidarity with Palestinians and supported armed resistance to Israel.
  • model qwen +9.0 Strong pro-Palestinian stance as part of Islamist solidarity.
  • model Gemini +10.0 The FIS maintains an absolute, religiously grounded commitment to the Palestinian cause and total opposition to Israel.
  • model gemma +10.0 Absolute support for Palestinian liberation.
• Yemeni Socialist Party YE Palestinian question settled ↔ 1 pt +7.5
  • model Kimi +7.0 YSP has historically been strongly pro-Palestinian, consistent with leftist and Arab nationalist solidarity traditions.
  • model Grok +7.0 The YSP maintains a strong historical and contemporary commitment to Palestinian rights and liberation rooted in its leftist and pan-Arab traditions.
  • model DeepSeek +7.0 YSP has a long history of pro-Palestinian and anti-Zionist solidarity.
  • model gpt +7.0 It has a leftist Arab tradition strongly supportive of Palestinian self-determination.
  • model qwen +7.0 Maintains strong historical ties to the PLO and traditional Arab nationalist support for Palestine.
  • prior Author baseline +8.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Gemini +8.0 The YSP maintains its historic leftist commitment to supporting Palestinian self-determination and national rights.
  • model gemma +8.0 They strongly support Palestinian self-determination.
  • model minimax +8.0 YSP, in the Marxist-Leninist Arab tradition, has long supported Palestinian statehood, resistance, and anti-normalization politics.
  • model Claude +8.0 Leftist anti-imperialist tradition yields strong Palestinian support.
• Islamic Salvation Front DZ Traditionalism vs modernization settled ↔ 1 pt -8.0
  • prior Author baseline -8.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Gemini -8.0 The FIS champions religious traditionalism and strongly opposes Westernized social and cultural modernization.
  • model DeepSeek -8.0 FIS is deeply traditionalist on social issues
  • model gemma -8.0 Prioritizes religious tradition over secular social modernization.
  • model qwen -8.0 Rejected Western-style modernization; favored Islamic traditionalism.
  • model Kimi -7.0 Traditionalist; opposed modernizing social reforms.
  • model Grok -7.0 Rejected Western-style modernization in favor of Islamic authenticity and traditional social order.
  • model minimax -7.0 FIS emphasized restoring traditional Islamic moral and social order over modernist reform.
  • model Claude -7.0 Traditionalist on family law, women, and religious authority.
• Likud IL Iran posture settled ↔ 1 pt -10.0
  • model Claude -10.0 Defines Iran as the foremost existential threat.
  • model Gemini -10.0 Maintains an uncompromisingly hostile and adversarial posture against Iran's regional influence.
  • model gemma -10.0 Maximalist hostility toward Iran.
  • model gpt -10.0 Likud defines Iran as Israel’s central strategic enemy.
  • model minimax -10.0 Likud is at the maximum anti-Iran pole, viewing Iran as an existential threat and pursuing regime-pressure policies.
  • model qwen -10.0 Fiercely adversarial and views Iran as an existential threat.
  • prior Author baseline -9.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok -9.0 Defines Iran as existential threat; consistent adversarial posture in policy and rhetoric.
  • model DeepSeek -9.0 Extremely adversarial to Iran.
  • model Kimi -9.0 Extremely anti-Iran; Netanyahu made Iranian threat central to Israeli security policy.

  before · r1 gemini -9.0grok -9.0 no definitions — excluded from the median

• Hezbollah LB Iran posture settled ↔ 1 pt +10.0
  • model Kimi +9.0 2× rounds Hezbollah is Iran's most loyal proxy, founded and funded by the IRGC, with explicit allegiance to Wilayat al-Faqih; its strategic decisions are directed by Tehran.
  • model mistral +9.0 Hezbollah is strongly pro-Iran.
  • prior Author baseline +10.0 Author baseline — prior hand-coding against the rubric; to be upgraded to a document-grounded Claude pass per cell.
  • model Grok +10.0 2× rounds Hezbollah is Iran's most loyal proxy militia fully aligned with Tehran on all regional matters.
  • model Gemini +10.0 2× rounds Hezbollah is ideologically and strategically fully aligned with the Islamic Republic of Iran.
  • model DeepSeek +10.0 2× rounds Hezbollah is the closest ally of Iran; part of Axis of Resistance.
  • model qwen +10.0 2× rounds Fully aligned with Iran as strategic partner.
  • model minimax +10.0 2× rounds Hezbollah is Iran's closest Arab ally and principal proxy in the Levant.
  • model Claude +10.0 2× rounds Closest non-state ally and proxy of the Iranian state.
  • model gemma +10.0 2× rounds Fully aligned with the Iranian axis.
  • model gpt +10.0 Hezbollah is Iran’s closest Lebanese ally and part of its regional axis.
• New Hope IL Economic settled ↔ 1 pt +5.5
  • model Claude +5.0 ⛓ grounded A "free economy," small-business support, fighting bureaucracy: market-liberal.
  • prior Author baseline +6.0 Baseline estimate for newly-added 25th-Knesset party.
• New Hope IL Liberal democracy settled +3.0
  • prior Author baseline +3.0 Baseline estimate for newly-added 25th-Knesset party.
  • model Claude +3.0 ⛓ grounded Term limits and "reforms in the judicial and law enforcement systems" — Sa'ar's institutional-reform agenda (centrist).