Syria: Assad regime falls after a twelve-day rebel offensive

A rebel offensive from Idlib province under Hayat Tahrir al-Sham, led by Ahmed al-Sharaa, swept south through Aleppo, Hama, and Homs in under two weeks. Damascus fell on 8 December; Bashar al-Assad flew to Moscow that day. Fifty-three years of Assad-family rule ended faster than almost anyone, including the rebels themselves, had expected. What replaces it — the constitutional declaration came in March 2025 — is the open question of the coming decade.

Sources

Permalink: https://tarekgara.com/tayyar/pulse/e13680e3-b00e-49b9-b2ca-f44276e9d802

How to cite

Each record carries a retrieval date because the dataset is live — individual entries update as verification deepens. Use the per-record citation when referencing this specific profile; use the dataset citation below when referencing the project as a whole.

In-text: (Gara, 2026)

Per-record citation

APA 7Reference list · academic default

Gara, T. (2026). Syria: Assad regime falls after a twelve-day rebel offensive [Event record]. Tayyar: A MENA political-position dataset. Retrieved June 21, 2026, from https://tarekgara.com/tayyar/pulse/e13680e3-b00e-49b9-b2ca-f44276e9d802

Chicago author-dateCommon in political-science journals

Gara, Tarek. 2026. "Syria: Assad regime falls after a twelve-day rebel offensive." Event record, Tayyar: A MENA political-position dataset. Accessed June 21, 2026. https://tarekgara.com/tayyar/pulse/e13680e3-b00e-49b9-b2ca-f44276e9d802.

BibTeXFor LaTeX / Zotero / reference managers

@misc{tayyar-event-e13680e3-b00e-49b9-b2ca-f44276e9d802,
  title     = {{Syria: Assad regime falls after a twelve-day rebel offensive}},
  author    = {Gara, Tarek},
  year      = {2026},
  publisher = {Tayyar: A MENA political-position dataset},
  type      = {Event record},
  url       = {https://tarekgara.com/tayyar/pulse/e13680e3-b00e-49b9-b2ca-f44276e9d802},
  urldate   = {2026-06-21},
  note      = {Event date: 2024-12-08. First-pass entry; second-pass external review planned before publication.}
}

Dataset / working-paper citation

If you're citing Tayyar as a project rather than this individual record.

APA 7Preprint

Gara, T. (2026). Tayyar: A MENA political-position dataset [Preprint]. Retrieved June 21, 2026, from https://tarekgara.com/tayyar/paper

BibTeXPreprint

@unpublished{tayyar-preprint,
  title  = {{Tayyar: A MENA political-position dataset}},
  author = {Gara, Tarek},
  year   = {2026},
  type   = {Preprint},
  url    = {https://tarekgara.com/tayyar/paper},
  urldate = {2026-06-21},
  note   = {Living document, regenerated from the live dataset on page load.}
}

Event date: 2024-12-08. First-pass entry; second-pass external review planned before publication.